MLB Full Audit Monday, September 07 2026

MARKET TRUST TIERS

18 market(s) with settled tracker history

Market	Trust	Season N	Season WR	Season P&L	14d N	14d WR	14d P&L	Grade A N	Grade A WR	Review-only N
K Prop	✅ TRUSTED	633	55%	-25.88u	38	58%	+0.03u	298	56%	64
Pitcher Hits Allowed	✅ TRUSTED	541	57%	+5.18u	28	61%	+0.80u	4	50%	6
Run Line	✅ TRUSTED	173	58%	+7.01u	0	-	+0.00u	46	61%	1
Batter Walks	👀 WATCH	2084	74%	-55.49u	0	-	+0.00u	8	75%	134
Pitcher Earned Runs	👀 WATCH	702	56%	-34.91u	71	52%	-8.40u	1	100%	9
Pitcher Walks	👀 WATCH	476	62%	+0.03u	50	72%	+7.08u	0	-	11
Batter Hits	👀 WATCH	55	71%	-0.17u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-	23
Batter Total Bases	👀 WATCH	35	51%	-1.50u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-	37
F5 ML	👀 WATCH	30	44%	+2.54u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-	0
No HR U1.5	👀 WATCH	11	27%	-5.27u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-	0
Moneyline	👀 WATCH	6	50%	+2.85u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-	0
NRFI	👀 WATCH	5	20%	-2.00u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-	4
YRFI	👀 WATCH	4	50%	-2.00u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-	7
Pitcher Outs	🔬 RESEARCH	135	48%	-14.15u	6	50%	-0.45u	3	67%	8
Total	🔬 RESEARCH	62	39%	-13.07u	0	-	+0.00u	1	100%	7
F5 Total	🔬 RESEARCH	38	42%	-10.07u	0	-	+0.00u	1	0%	6
No HR	🔬 RESEARCH	1	0%	-1.00u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-	0
Batter H+R+RBI	⛔ PAUSED	609	52%	-60.11u	0	-	+0.00u	86	53%	355

Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from Best/Good settled tracker performance; review-only rows are shown separately.

MARKET PROMOTION CRITERIA

What each market needs to move stages

Market	Current Stage	Next Stage	Progress	Promotion Blockers
K Prop	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	3/4	season P&L non-negative
Pitcher Hits Allowed	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	4/4	No blocker
Run Line	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	3/4	14d sample >= 10
Batter Walks	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0
Pitcher Earned Runs	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0
Pitcher Walks	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	5/5	No blocker
Batter Hits	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0
Batter Total Bases	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
F5 ML	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0
No HR U1.5	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Moneyline	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0
NRFI	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
YRFI	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Pitcher Outs	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	1/5	season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; 14d WR >= 52%
Total	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	1/5	season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; 14d WR >= 52%
F5 Total	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	0/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
No HR	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	0/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Batter H+R+RBI	⛔ PAUSED	🔬 Research	2/5	diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative; 14d sample >= 10

Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.

SAVANT PITCH QUALITY DIAGNOSTICS

21 pitcher(s) with public-data pitch-quality diagnostics

Pitcher	Game	Overall	Whiff	Contact	Arsenal	Top Pitch	Notes / Data Gaps
Nick Pivetta	San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals	75.7	58.5	100.0	6	Sweeper (41% whiff, 12% usage)	Savant whiff 26.4%, put-away 22.1%, xwOBA 0.212, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Dylan Cease	Toronto Blue Jays vs Athletics	73.2	75.0	79.0	6	Changeup (50% whiff, 12% usage)	Savant whiff 33.4%, put-away 24.5%, xwOBA 0.257, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Jesús Luzardo	Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves	70.6	71.2	74.5	4	Sweeper (47% whiff, 38% usage)	Savant whiff 31.8%, put-away 24.0%, xwOBA 0.266, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Chase Burns	Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers	65.7	67.6	68.0	4	Slider (52% whiff, 39% usage)	Savant whiff 31.4%, put-away 21.2%, xwOBA 0.279, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Jacob Lopez	Athletics vs Toronto Blue Jays	58.6	51.8	64.5	5	Slider (31% whiff, 34% usage)	Savant whiff 25.3%, put-away 17.4%, xwOBA 0.286, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Joey Cantillo	Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles	57.1	62.4	52.5	5	Changeup (39% whiff, 25% usage)	Savant whiff 29.0%, put-away 20.8%, xwOBA 0.310, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Joe Ryan	Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers	56.8	53.1	62.5	6	Sweeper (36% whiff, 14% usage)	Savant whiff 25.4%, put-away 18.7%, xwOBA 0.290, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Eury Pérez	Miami Marlins vs New York Mets	56.2	61.4	52.5	6	Slider (42% whiff, 16% usage)	Savant whiff 29.4%, put-away 18.9%, xwOBA 0.310, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Troy Melton	Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins	55.3	52.3	61.0	6	Slider (34% whiff, 18% usage)	Savant whiff 24.6%, put-away 19.3%, xwOBA 0.293, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Trevor Rogers	Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians	52.4	47.7	57.5	5	Sweeper (31% whiff, 14% usage)	Savant whiff 23.6%, put-away 16.7%, xwOBA 0.300, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Noah Cameron	Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks	52.3	54.1	52.0	6	Changeup (36% whiff, 21% usage)	Savant whiff 26.3%, put-away 17.9%, xwOBA 0.311, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Jonah Tong	New York Mets vs Miami Marlins	48.3	38.3	53.0	4	Changeup (30% whiff, 28% usage)	Savant whiff 21.8%, put-away 11.0%, xwOBA 0.309, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Robert Gasser	Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs	47.2	43.6	50.5	6	Sweeper (27% whiff, 25% usage)	Savant whiff 21.9%, put-away 16.0%, xwOBA 0.314, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Logan Webb	San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals	46.4	42.3	52.0	5	Changeup (27% whiff, 24% usage)	Savant whiff 20.3%, put-away 18.0%, xwOBA 0.311, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Grant Holmes	Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies	45.6	50.9	41.0	6	Slider (39% whiff, 37% usage)	Savant whiff 26.3%, put-away 14.7%, xwOBA 0.333, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Matthew Boyd	Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers	42.8	44.6	39.0	5	Slider (39% whiff, 15% usage)	Savant whiff 23.2%, put-away 14.5%, xwOBA 0.337, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Grayson Rodriguez	Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox	40.8	47.2	31.0	4	Changeup (36% whiff, 25% usage)	Savant whiff 24.0%, put-away 15.5%, xwOBA 0.353, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Jake Irvin	Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres	40.3	46.6	32.5	6	Curveball (36% whiff, 23% usage)	Savant whiff 23.2%, put-away 16.6%, xwOBA 0.350, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Brayan Bello	Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels	38.9	47.3	30.0	6	Cutter (48% whiff, 16% usage)	Savant whiff 23.6%, put-away 16.4%, xwOBA 0.355, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Michael McGreevy	St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants	35.2	38.3	31.5	7	Changeup (28% whiff, 20% usage)	Savant whiff 19.8%, put-away 15.0%, xwOBA 0.352, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Derek Law	Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals	24.1	41.8	0.0	5	Slider (30% whiff, 26% usage)	Savant whiff 22.2%, put-away 13.8%, xwOBA 0.450, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)

Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.

PITCHER ASSESSMENT DIAGNOSTICS

21 starter assessment(s) emitted by Pitcher Engine

Pitcher	Team	Hand	Season K%	Recent IP	Season IP	K IP	Pitch Ct	Leash	Savant	Contact	HR Vuln	Quality	Flags / Notes
Derek Law	Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals	R	19.9%	1.1	-	4.8	18	short	full	0.00	100.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 1.1 IP/start
Jacob Lopez	Athletics vs Toronto Blue Jays	L	23.9%	6.0	4.8	6.0	101	deep	full	64.50	35.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	low-K contact opponent 19.2%
Grant Holmes	Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies	R	17.9%	4.2	4.9	4.8	70	short	full	41.00	59.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.2 IP/start
Trevor Rogers	Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians	L	24.4%	5.0	5.5	5.4	84	short	full	57.50	42.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.0 IP/start
Brayan Bello	Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels	R	14.8%	2.9	4.5	4.3	49	short	full	30.00	70.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 2.9 IP/start
Matthew Boyd	Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers	L	16.8%	5.8	5.7	5.7	97	normal	full	39.00	61.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.7%
Chase Burns	Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers	R	29.1%	5.1	5.6	5.5	86	short	full	68.00	32.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.1 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.9%
Joey Cantillo	Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles	L	22.9%	4.5	4.9	4.8	76	short	full	52.50	47.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.5 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.8%
Troy Melton	Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins	R	19.2%	5.5	6.0	5.9	92	normal	full	61.00	39.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Noah Cameron	Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks	L	20.3%	6.0	5.7	5.7	101	deep	full	52.00	48.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	low-K contact opponent 19.4%
Grayson Rodriguez	Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox	R	21.5%	4.6	4.8	4.8	77	short	full	31.00	69.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.6 IP/start
Eury Pérez	Miami Marlins vs New York Mets	R	24.4%	4.0	5.4	5.1	67	short	full	52.50	47.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.0 IP/start
Robert Gasser	Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs	L	21.5%	4.5	5.1	5.0	76	short	full	50.50	49.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.5 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.7%
Joe Ryan	Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers	R	24.3%	5.6	5.5	5.5	94	normal	full	62.50	37.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Jonah Tong	New York Mets vs Miami Marlins	R	21.4%	2.8	-	5.2	47	short	full	53.00	47.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 2.8 IP/start
Jesús Luzardo	Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves	L	31.1%	5.9	6.1	6.0	99	normal	full	74.50	25.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Nick Pivetta	San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals	R	29.2%	4.0	4.0	4.8	67	short	full	100.00	0.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.0 IP/start
Logan Webb	San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals	R	18.1%	4.8	6.0	5.8	80	short	full	52.00	48.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.8 IP/start
Michael McGreevy	St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants	R	17.0%	5.3	5.5	5.4	89	normal	full	31.50	68.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Dylan Cease	Toronto Blue Jays vs Athletics	R	34.2%	5.9	6.0	6.0	99	normal	full	79.00	21.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Jake Irvin	Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres	R	22.7%	4.6	4.8	4.7	77	short	full	32.50	67.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.6 IP/start

Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.

PITCHER OUTS RESEARCH GATE

3/3 candidate(s) held from actionable output

Pitcher	Side	Game	Line	Proj	Gap	Edge / DIFF%	Grade	Rec	Status	Leash	K IP	Pitch Ct	Quality	Gate Reason
Dylan Cease	Dylan Cease Over	Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics	17.5	20.5	3.0	17.0%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	normal	6.0	99	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 17.0% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap +2.98 <= 3 min
Logan Webb	Logan Webb Under	St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants	17.5	16.9	-0.6	3.6%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	short	5.8	80	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5
Troy Melton	Troy Melton Over	Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers	17.5	17.7	0.2	1.0%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	normal	5.9	92	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.0% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5

QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.

HRR COMPONENT RESEARCH

73 HRR component candidate(s) emitted by Batter Engine | showing top 50 by component raw gap

Player	Game	Research Side	Component Proj	H	R	RBI	Current	Uncertainty	Support	Flags
Leonardo Bernal	St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants	Over 1.5	2.98	1.76	0.61	0.61	3.14 / Over	0.69	exact_hrr_l10	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment
Sal Stewart	Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.35	1.03	0.56	0.77	2.34 / Over	0.40	season_games=143,exact_hrr_l10	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment
Elly De La Cruz	Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.34	1.10	0.69	0.55	2.33 / Over	0.40	season_games=124,exact_hrr_l10	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment
James Wood	Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	2.34	0.96	0.81	0.57	1.99 / Over	0.35	season_games=118,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Jordan Walker	St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants	Over 1.5	2.31	1.11	0.57	0.63	2.52 / Over	0.35	season_games=140,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Shohei Ohtani	Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.31	1.02	0.67	0.61	2.14 / Over	0.35	season_games=133,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Brett Bateman	Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics	Over 1.5	2.29	1.38	0.64	0.28	2.18 / Over	0.35	season_games=25,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Ryan Jeffers	Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers	Over 1.5	2.23	0.94	0.58	0.70	2.11 / Over	0.30	season_games=79,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Alec Burleson	St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants	Over 1.5	2.20	1.08	0.49	0.63	2.49 / Over	0.35	season_games=143,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Kevin McGonigle	Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers	Over 1.5	2.19	1.11	0.69	0.39	1.96 / Over	0.30	season_games=138,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
CJ Abrams	Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	2.17	0.95	0.58	0.64	1.71 / Over	0.35	season_games=136,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics	Over 1.5	2.16	1.06	0.66	0.44	1.78 / Over	0.30	season_games=129,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Gleyber Torres	Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers	Over 1.5	2.13	1.05	0.61	0.46	2.09 / Over	0.30	season_games=84,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Freddie Freeman	Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.11	1.11	0.51	0.49	1.96 / Over	0.35	season_games=138,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Riley Greene	Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers	Over 1.5	2.10	1.02	0.54	0.54	2.01 / Over	0.30	season_games=122,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Rafael Devers	St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants	Over 1.5	2.10	0.99	0.52	0.58	2.40 / Over	0.35	season_games=144,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Jung Hoo Lee	St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants	Over 1.5	2.08	1.17	0.52	0.38	2.19 / Over	0.30	season_games=131,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Josh Bell	Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers	Over 1.5	2.07	0.95	0.49	0.63	2.08 / Over	0.30	season_games=137,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Dillon Dingler	Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers	Over 1.5	2.06	0.94	0.47	0.65	2.03 / Over	0.30	season_games=132,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Mookie Betts	Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.04	0.94	0.54	0.56	1.81 / Over	0.35	season_games=106,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Tommy Edman	Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.04	0.95	0.58	0.51	2.02 / Over	0.35	season_games=66,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Kody Clemens	Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers	Over 1.5	2.03	0.91	0.51	0.60	1.98 / Over	0.30	season_games=126,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Brooks Lee	Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers	Over 1.5	2.03	1.00	0.51	0.52	1.91 / Over	0.30	season_games=137,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Zack Gelof	Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics	Over 1.5	2.00	0.87	0.68	0.45	1.74 / Over	0.35	season_games=93,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Teoscar Hernandez	Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.96	1.07	0.48	0.40	1.77 / Over	0.64	exact_hrr_l10,lineup	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment
Kazuma Okamoto	Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics	Over 1.5	1.94	0.83	0.53	0.58	1.85 / Over	0.35	season_games=138,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Joshua Baez	St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants	Over 1.5	1.93	1.14	0.40	0.40	2.04 / Over	0.69	exact_hrr_l10	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment
Daylen Lile	Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	1.93	0.91	0.49	0.52	1.63 / Over	0.35	season_games=143,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Hector Rodriguez	Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.92	1.07	0.42	0.42	1.92 / Over	0.69	exact_hrr_l10	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment
Luke Keaschall	Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers	Over 1.5	1.92	1.03	0.58	0.30	1.73 / Over	0.30	season_games=134,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Ivan Herrera	St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants	Over 1.5	1.91	1.13	0.39	0.39	2.01 / Over	0.69	exact_hrr_l10	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment
Jackson Merrill	Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	1.89	0.93	0.48	0.47	2.08 / Over	0.35	season_games=140,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Turner Hill	St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants	Over 1.5	1.87	0.91	0.34	0.61	2.12 / Over	0.35	season_games=18,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Max Muncy	Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.86	0.79	0.54	0.53	1.78 / Over	0.35	season_games=131,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Ty France	Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	1.86	0.95	0.40	0.50	1.97 / Over	0.35	season_games=117,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Manny Machado	Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	1.84	0.84	0.48	0.53	1.96 / Over	0.35	season_games=139,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Elieser Hernández	Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.81	0.99	0.45	0.37	1.64 / Over	0.64	lineup	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment
George Springer	Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics	Over 1.5	1.81	0.90	0.48	0.43	1.66 / Over	0.35	season_games=111,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Bryce Eldridge	St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants	Over 1.5	1.80	0.96	0.41	0.42	2.09 / Over	0.35	season_games=98,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Alejandro Kirk	Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics	Over 1.5	1.76	0.94	0.31	0.52	1.67 / Over	0.35	season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Kyle Tucker	Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.76	0.77	0.55	0.45	1.57 / Over	0.35	season_games=135,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Ernie Clement	Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics	Over 1.5	1.76	1.02	0.41	0.33	1.61 / Over	0.35	season_games=140,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Brady House	Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	1.74	0.81	0.45	0.47	1.51 / Over	0.35	season_games=79,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
JJ Bleday	Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.73	0.77	0.47	0.49	1.72 / Over	0.40	season_games=115,exact_hrr_l10	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment
Will Smith	Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.67	0.76	0.45	0.46	1.42 / Under	0.40	season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed, component_side_conflicts_current_model
Kaelen Culpepper	Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers	Over 1.5	1.66	1.00	0.40	0.27	1.84 / Over	0.30	season_games=25,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Henry Bolte	Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics	Over 1.5	1.64	0.91	0.43	0.30	1.44 / Under	0.40	season_games=101,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed, component_side_conflicts_current_model
Tyler Stephenson	Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.61	0.80	0.34	0.47	1.60 / Over	0.40	season_games=113,exact_hrr_l10	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment
Jeff McNeil	Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics	Over 1.5	1.61	0.85	0.35	0.41	1.44 / Under	0.40	season_games=127,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed, component_side_conflicts_current_model
Royce Lewis	Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers	Over 1.5	1.59	0.85	0.37	0.37	1.65 / Over	0.30	season_games=108,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused

Diagnostics only. HRR remains paused; these component projections are not used for recommendations.

FULL AUDIT — ALL CANDIDATES

383 candidates evaluated

← Back to Picks

Grade	Signal	Type	Side	Game	Time (ET)	Line	Proj	Odds	Best Book / Line	Edge/Diff	Signal Breakdown ✓!✗–	Tier
► Add Signals
B	🔬 Research Only Matchup: [!] Opp lineup wRC+ 113 vs RHP — tough platoon matchup	K Prop	Joe Ryan Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	3.5	5.8	-115	FanDuel Over 3.5 -115 \| best price	64.7%	✓✓!!––	Add Signal
B	✅ Add Signal K final QC: opposing lineup not confirmed	K Prop	Chase Burns Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	4.5	6.7	-116	DK Over 4.5 -116 \| exact	49.7%	✓✓!✓––	Add Signal
B	✅ Add Signal Heavy juice (-163); break-even ~62%, requires clean execution	Pitcher Hits All	Jacob Lopez Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	5.5	4.6	-163	theScore Bet Under 5.5 -150 \| best price	16.4%	✓✓!–––	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-214); break-even ~68%, requires clean execution	Pitcher Walks	Joe Ryan Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	1.2	-214	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -190 \| best price	130.2%	✓✓!–––	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-171); break-even ~63%, requires clean execution	Pitcher Walks	Dylan Cease Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	2.7	-171	DK Over 1.5 -171 \| exact	78.1%	✓✓!–––	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-165); break-even ~62%, requires clean execution	Pitcher Walks	Jake Irvin Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	1.5	2.2	-165	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -165 \| best price	45.9%	✓✓!–––	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.08x)	Pitcher Earned R	Emmet Sheehan Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	2.2	-146	DK Over 1.5 -146 \| exact	46.7%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-265); break-even ~73%, requires clean execution	Batter Hits	George Springer Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	0.8	-265	BetOnline Under 1.5 -263 \| best price	43.8%	✓!✓–––	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Shay Whitcomb Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-416	Fanatics Under 0.5 -400 \| best price	85.0%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Christian Koss Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-479	DK Under 0.5 -479 \| exact	82.5%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	John Peck Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-491	DK Under 0.5 -491 \| exact	78.6%	✓✓!–!–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Nathan Church Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-548	DK Under 0.5 -548 \| exact	74.6%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-640); break-even ~86%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Alika Williams Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.1	-640	DK Under 0.5 -640 \| exact	73.4%	✓✓!–––	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Joshua Baez Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-433	DK Under 0.5 -433 \| exact	72.7%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.08x)	Batter Walks	Miguel Rojas Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-500	Fanatics Under 0.5 -500 \| exact	71.9%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-422); break-even ~81%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Colt Keith Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-422	Fanatics Under 0.5 -375 \| best price	71.5%	✓✓!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Nate Furman Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-437	DK Under 0.5 -437 \| exact	71.0%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Jung Hoo Lee Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-427	Fanatics Under 0.5 -425 \| best price	69.3%	✓✓!–✓!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Bryan Torres Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-335	Fanatics Under 0.5 -320 \| best price	69.0%	✓✓!–✓!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Abimelec Ortiz Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-450	DK Under 0.5 -450 \| exact	68.3%	✓✓!–!–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-425); break-even ~81%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Keibert Ruiz Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-425	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -425 \| exact	64.7%	✓✓!–––	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-454); break-even ~82%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Dillon Dingler Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-454	Caesars Under 0.5 -420 \| best price	63.6%	✓✓!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-363); break-even ~78%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Ernie Clement Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.2	-363	DK Under 0.5 -363 \| exact	62.8%	✓✓!–––	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Thomas Saggese Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-530	Fanatics Under 0.5 -500 \| best price	62.5%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Kaelen Culpepper Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-500	DK Under 0.5 -500 \| exact	59.8%	✓✓!–!–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-338); break-even ~77%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Brooks Lee Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-338	DK Under 0.5 -338 \| exact	59.6%	✓✓!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Max Clark Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-358	DK Under 0.5 -358 \| exact	59.1%	✓✓!–!–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-376); break-even ~79%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Zach McKinstry Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-376	Caesars Under 0.5 -375 \| best price	58.6%	✓✓!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Alec Burleson Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-372	DK Under 0.5 -372 \| exact	57.2%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Drew Gilbert Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-251	Fanatics Under 0.5 -215 \| best price	55.0%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-361); break-even ~78%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Kody Clemens Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-361	Fanatics Under 0.5 -350 \| best price	54.8%	✓✓!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Nolan Gorman Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-319	DK Under 0.5 -319 \| exact	54.6%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Jordan Walker Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-404	DK Under 0.5 -404 \| exact	52.8%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-284); break-even ~74%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Myles Straw Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.2	-284	Caesars Under 0.5 -280 \| best price	52.4%	✓✓!–––	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.08x)	Batter Walks	Tommy Edman Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-256	DK Under 0.5 -256 \| exact	51.8%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-260); break-even ~72%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Josh Bell Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-260	Fanatics Under 0.5 -245 \| best price	44.9%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-426); break-even ~81%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Royce Lewis Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-426	DK Under 0.5 -426 \| exact	42.6%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-271); break-even ~73%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Luke Keaschall Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-271	DK Under 0.5 -271 \| exact	37.5%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.08x)	Batter Walks	Teoscar Hernandez Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-257	DK Under 0.5 -257 \| exact	35.0%	✓!!–✓!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-288); break-even ~74%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Riley Greene Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-288	Fanatics Under 0.5 -240 \| best price	30.0%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.08x)	Batter Walks	Elieser Hernández Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-275	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -275 \| exact	26.7%	✓!!–✓!	Add Signal
► Lean Signals (Derisked)
B (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 41.8% (6 books) \| books against us 0% (6 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	K Prop	Jacob Lopez Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	4.5	5.8	+108	Bovada Direct Over 4.5 +115 \| best price	29.4%	✓✓✗✓––	Lean Signal - Derisked
B (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 44.2% (5 books) \| books against us 0% (5 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	K Prop	Dylan Cease Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	7.5	8.8	-103	FanDuel Over 7.5 +100 \| best price	17.9%	✓✓✗✓––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 18.8% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 clears, but raw gap +0.84 <= 1 min — posture note at D	K Prop	Nick Pivetta Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	4.5	5.3	-123	FanDuel Over 4.5 -111 \| best price	18.8%	✓✗✗✓––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.4% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Logan Webb Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	4.5	4.9	-158	BetOnline Over 4.5 -154 \| best price	8.4%	✓✗✗✓––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.2% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Jake Irvin Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	4.5	4.8	+124	DK Over 4.5 +124 \| exact	6.2%	✓✗✗✓––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.1% vs 17% min using selected line 3.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Michael McGreevy Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	3.5	3.7	+110	Bovada Direct Over 3.5 +115 \| best price	6.1%	✓✗✗!––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.9% vs 17% min using selected line 6.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Emmet Sheehan Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	6.5	6.6	+109	DK Over 6.5 +109 \| exact	1.9%	✓✗✗✓––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Troy Melton Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	4.5	4.6	+108	FanDuel Over 4.5 +124 \| best price	1.8%	✓✗✗✓––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 17.0% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap +2.98 <= 3 min — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Dylan Cease Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	17.5	20.5	-209	Fanatics Over 17.5 -195 \| best price	17.0%	✓✗✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Logan Webb Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	17.5	16.9	+131	Bovada Direct Under 17.5 +135 \| best price	3.6%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.0% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Troy Melton Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	17.5	17.7	-131	DK Over 17.5 -131 \| exact	1.0%	✓✗✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.9% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Hits All	Michael McGreevy Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	5.5	6.1	+102	Fanatics Over 5.5 +120 \| best price	10.9%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Hits All	Logan Webb Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	5.5	5.3	-117	DK Under 5.5 -117 \| exact	3.6%	✓✗✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 47.7% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree	Pitcher Walks	Chase Burns Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	1.9	-105	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -105 \| best price	28.6%	✓✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Pitcher Walks	Logan Webb Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	1.3	-182	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -180 \| best price	13.3%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Pitcher Walks	Michael McGreevy Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	1.7	-153	DK Over 1.5 -153 \| exact	13.0%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.1% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Walks	Emmet Sheehan Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	1.6	-142	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -140 \| best price	9.1%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.8% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Walks	Nick Pivetta Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+167	DK Over 1.5 +167 \| exact	8.8%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.3% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Walks	Troy Melton Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+112	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	5.3%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.1% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Walks	Jacob Lopez Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	2.5	2.4	-197	DK Under 2.5 -197 \| exact	5.1%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 46.8% (1 books)	Pitcher Earned R	Joe Ryan Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	2.0	+100	DK Over 1.5 +100 \| exact	33.3%	✓✓✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 48.1% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree	Pitcher Earned R	Chase Burns Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	1.8	-110	Fanatics Over 1.5 -105 \| best price	20.0%	✓!✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Pitcher Earned R	Troy Melton Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	2.5	2.2	-167	Fanatics Under 2.5 -155 \| best price	12.0%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 44.7% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree	Pitcher Earned R	Michael McGreevy Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	2.5	2.8	+105	Fanatics Over 2.5 +110 \| best price	12.0%	✓!✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Earned R	Jake Irvin Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	2.5	2.7	-124	DK Over 2.5 -124 \| exact	8.0%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.7% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Earned R	Nick Pivetta Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	1.5	1.6	-109	DK Over 1.5 -109 \| exact	6.7%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.7% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Earned R	Dylan Cease Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.4	-112	Fanatics Under 1.5 -110 \| best price	6.7%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Earned R	Jacob Lopez Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	2.5	2.6	-110	DK Over 2.5 -110 \| exact	4.0%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Earned R	Logan Webb Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	2.5	2.5	-172	DK Under 2.5 -172 \| exact	-	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Ernie Clement Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.0	-271	DK Under 1.5 -271 \| exact	36.1%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Alec Burleson Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	1.1	-238	DK Under 1.5 -238 \| exact	23.8%	✓✗✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 49.5% (4 books) \| books against us 33% (4 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	James Wood Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.8	-115	Caesars Over 0.5 -113 \| best price	61.5%	✓✓✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.08x)	Batter Walks	Hunter Feduccia Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-375	Fanatics Under 0.5 -375 \| exact	50.3%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Drew Cavanaugh Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-369	Caesars Under 0.5 -360 \| best price	49.5%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Nathan Lukes Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.2	-336	DK Under 0.5 -336 \| exact	49.5%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Jacob Young Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-479	DK Under 0.5 -479 \| exact	48.5%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Freddy Fermin Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-468	DK Under 0.5 -468 \| exact	48.2%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Daylen Lile Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-347	Caesars Under 0.5 -335 \| best price	46.1%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.08x)	Batter Walks	Hector Rodriguez Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-306	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 \| best price	44.0%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Brady House Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-424	DK Under 0.5 -424 \| exact	43.5%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Dylan Crews Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-373	DK Under 0.5 -373 \| exact	42.7%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Charles McAdoo Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.3	-338	DK Under 0.5 -338 \| exact	40.0%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Jeff McNeil Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.3	-377	DK Under 0.5 -377 \| exact	39.9%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Max Muncy (2002) Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.3	-463	Fanatics Under 0.5 -350 \| best price	39.5%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Trevor Larnach Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-371	Fanatics Under 0.5 -320 \| best price	38.4%	✓!!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.08x)	Batter Walks	Juan Brito Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-277	DK Under 0.5 -277 \| exact	36.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.08x)	Batter Walks	Alex Freeland Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-247	DK Under 0.5 -247 \| exact	36.3%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Carlos Cortes Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.3	-336	Caesars Under 0.5 -335 \| best price	36.2%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Dustin Harris Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-380	DK Under 0.5 -380 \| exact	35.8%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.08x)	Batter Walks	Mookie Betts Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-190	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -190 \| exact	34.4%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Jackson Merrill Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-309	DK Under 0.5 -309 \| exact	32.8%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Nasim Nunez Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-423	DK Under 0.5 -423 \| exact	31.4%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Zack Gelof Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.3	-247	Caesars Under 0.5 -240 \| best price	31.2%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Turner Hill Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-286	Fanatics Under 0.5 -265 \| best price	31.2%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Spencer Torkelson Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-303	Fanatics Under 0.5 -265 \| best price	30.4%	✓!!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Ty France Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-246	DK Under 0.5 -246 \| exact	30.1%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Jonah Heim Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.3	-347	DK Under 0.5 -347 \| exact	29.3%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Rafael Devers Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-160	Caesars Under 0.5 -148 \| best price	29.1%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Ivan Herrera Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-314	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 \| best price	27.6%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Henry Bolte Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.4	-251	Caesars Under 0.5 -245 \| best price	27.0%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.08x)	Batter Walks	Carlos Jorge Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-375	Fanatics Under 0.5 -375 \| exact	26.7%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.0% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Leonardo Bernal Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-323	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 \| best price	25.0%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.9% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Manny Machado Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.6	+153	Fanatics Over 0.5 +190 \| best price	22.9%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.1% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Tyler Stephenson Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-204	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -200 \| best price	22.1%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.0% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Matt McLain Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-299	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -290 \| best price	21.0%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.3% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Donovan Walton Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.4	-306	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 \| best price	20.3%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.2% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Xander Bogaerts Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.6	+159	Fanatics Over 0.5 +180 \| best price	20.2%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.0% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Shohei Ohtani Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.6	+104	Fanatics Over 0.5 +125 \| best price	18.0%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.5% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Sal Stewart Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-288	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -280 \| best price	17.5%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.8% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	CJ Abrams Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-322	DK Under 0.5 -322 \| exact	14.8%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.8% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	JJ Bleday Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.6	+112	Fanatics Over 0.5 +115 \| best price	14.8%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.7% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Bryce Eldridge Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-167	Caesars Under 0.5 -157 \| best price	14.7%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.5% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Eugenio Suarez Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-252	Caesars Under 0.5 -245 \| best price	14.5%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.9% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Will Smith Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.5	-190	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -190 \| exact	10.9%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.9% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Ryan Jeffers Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.5	-278	DK Under 0.5 -278 \| exact	10.9%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.2% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Jake Cronenworth Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.5	-181	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -180 \| best price	10.2%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.6% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Kazuma Okamoto Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.5	-184	DK Under 0.5 -184 \| exact	9.6%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.0% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Max Muncy Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.5	-175	DK Under 0.5 -175 \| exact	9.0%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.8% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Freddie Freeman Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.5	-180	Fanatics Under 0.5 -170 \| best price	7.8%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.6% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Kevin McGonigle Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.5	-272	Fanatics Under 0.5 -215 \| best price	7.6%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.9% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Walker Jenkins Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.5	-335	DK Under 0.5 -335 \| exact	6.9%	✓✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.8% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Luis Campusano Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.5	+168	Fanatics Over 0.5 +200 \| best price	6.8%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Alejandro Kirk Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.5	+131	Caesars Over 0.5 +138 \| best price	4.0%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Brett Bateman Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.5	+142	Caesars Over 0.5 +150 \| best price	4.0%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.4% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Fernando Tatis Jr. Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.5	-245	DK Under 0.5 -245 \| exact	3.4%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Kyle Tucker Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.5	+113	Caesars Over 0.5 +116 \| best price	3.0%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.6% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Elly De La Cruz Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.5	-168	Fanatics Under 0.5 -155 \| best price	1.6%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.8% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.5	+121	Caesars Over 0.5 +122 \| best price	0.8%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.7% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	George Springer Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.5	+128	Caesars Over 0.5 +136 \| best price	0.7%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.6% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Gleyber Torres Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.5	+175	DK Over 0.5 +175 \| exact	0.6%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.6% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Lawrence Butler Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.5	-191	Caesars Under 0.5 -190 \| best price	0.6%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 45.3% (3 books) \| books against us 0% (3 books) — strongly disagree	Batter H+R+RBI	Leonardo Bernal Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	3.1	+107	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +110 \| best price	109.1%	✓✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 49.5% (4 books) \| consensus 67% (4 books)	Batter H+R+RBI	Jordan Walker Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	2.5	-110	DK Over 1.5 -110 \| exact	68.0%	✓✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 66.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.99 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Alec Burleson Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	2.5	-138	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 \| best price	66.0%	✓✗✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 63.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap -0.95 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Nate Furman Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	0.6	-186	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -160 \| best price	63.6%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 59.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.90 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Rafael Devers Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	2.4	-145	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 \| best price	59.9%	✓✗✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 55.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.84 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Sal Stewart Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	2.3	+103	DK Over 1.5 +103 \| exact	55.7%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 55.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.83 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Elly De La Cruz Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	2.3	-105	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +110 \| best price	55.4%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 53.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap -0.80 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Shay Whitcomb Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	0.7	-178	Caesars Under 1.5 -176 \| best price	53.1%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 45.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Brett Bateman Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	2.2	-118	DK Over 1.5 -118 \| exact	45.1%	✓✗✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 44.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Myles Straw Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	0.8	-162	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -140 \| best price	44.6%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Shohei Ohtani Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	2.1	-138	DK Over 1.5 -138 \| exact	42.6%	✓✗✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 41.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Turner Hill Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	2.1	+100	DK Over 1.5 +100 \| exact	41.4%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 40.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ryan Jeffers Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	2.1	+100	DK Over 1.5 +100 \| exact	40.7%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 39.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Gleyber Torres Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	2.1	-103	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	39.1%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 39.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Bryce Eldridge Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	2.1	-110	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -110 \| best price	39.1%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Josh Bell Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	2.1	-105	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	38.9%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jackson Merrill Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	1.5	2.1	-135	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 \| best price	38.9%	✓✗✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Joshua Baez Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	2.0	+123	DK Over 1.5 +123 \| exact	35.9%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Dillon Dingler Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	2.0	-105	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	35.5%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Tommy Edman Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	2.0	-108	BetOnline Over 1.5 -105 \| best price	34.6%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ivan Herrera Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	2.0	-117	BetOnline Over 1.5 -110 \| best price	33.9%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Riley Greene Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	2.0	-112	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -110 \| best price	33.8%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 32.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	James Wood Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	1.5	2.0	+110	DK Over 1.5 +110 \| exact	32.7%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Kody Clemens Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	2.0	-107	DK Over 1.5 -107 \| exact	31.8%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ty France Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	1.5	2.0	-124	DK Over 1.5 -124 \| exact	31.2%	✓✗✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Freddie Freeman Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	2.0	-132	BetOnline Over 1.5 -120 \| best price	30.9%	✓✗✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Manny Machado Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	1.5	2.0	-134	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 \| best price	30.5%	✓✗✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Drew Cavanaugh Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	1.1	-170	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -150 \| best price	29.4%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Bryan Torres Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	1.1	-131	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -120 \| best price	29.3%	✓✗!–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 28.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Hector Rodriguez Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	1.9	+109	Caesars Over 1.5 +113 \| best price	28.0%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Zach McKinstry Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	1.1	-165	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -160 \| best price	24.9%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Kazuma Okamoto Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.9	-131	Caesars Over 1.5 -127 \| best price	23.2%	✓✗✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Kaelen Culpepper Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	1.8	+136	DK Over 1.5 +136 \| exact	22.5%	!✗✗–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Mookie Betts Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	1.8	-110	DK Over 1.5 -110 \| exact	20.8%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Max Muncy Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	1.8	+120	DK Over 1.5 +120 \| exact	18.8%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Teoscar Hernandez Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	1.8	+104	DK Over 1.5 +104 \| exact	17.9%	✓✗✗–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Tommy White Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.2	-165	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -165 \| exact	17.5%	✓✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Lawrence Butler Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.2	-169	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -160 \| best price	16.5%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Zack Gelof Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.7	+123	Caesars Over 1.5 +127 \| best price	16.2%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	JJ Bleday Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	1.7	+115	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	14.8%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	CJ Abrams Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	1.5	1.7	+120	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	14.1%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Luis Campusano Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	1.5	1.7	+104	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +110 \| best price	12.3%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jonah Heim Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.3	-168	DK Under 1.5 -168 \| exact	11.8%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Charles McAdoo Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.3	-161	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -140 \| best price	11.6%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Alejandro Kirk Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.7	-152	Caesars Over 1.5 -148 \| best price	11.5%	✓✗✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	George Springer Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.7	-157	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -150 \| best price	10.5%	✓✗✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Royce Lewis Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+130	DK Over 1.5 +130 \| exact	9.8%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Elieser Hernández Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+100	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +100 \| exact	9.3%	✓✗✗–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Colt Keith Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-169	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -160 \| best price	9.2%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Hao-Yu Lee Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-120	BetOnline Under 1.5 -120 \| exact	8.8%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Daylen Lile Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+113	DK Over 1.5 +113 \| exact	8.6%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Max Clark Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+120	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	8.3%	!✗✗–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ernie Clement Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.6	-128	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -120 \| best price	7.2%	✓✗✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Drew Gilbert Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-121	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -120 \| best price	7.2%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Tyler Stephenson Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+127	DK Over 1.5 +127 \| exact	6.8%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Dustin Harris Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-166	Caesars Under 1.5 -152 \| best price	6.2%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.0% vs 50% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Fernando Tatis Jr. Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	2.5	2.6	+120	theScore Bet Over 2.5 +120 \| best price	6.0%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Will Smith Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-136	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -130 \| best price	5.3%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Kyle Tucker Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+105	DK Over 1.5 +105 \| exact	4.7%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Henry Bolte Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.4	-165	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -150 \| best price	4.3%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jeff McNeil Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.4	-140	Caesars Under 1.5 -137 \| best price	4.2%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Spencer Torkelson Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-173	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -165 \| best price	3.2%	✓✗✓–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Thomas Saggese Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	1.5	-170	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -165 \| best price	2.6%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jake Cronenworth Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	1.5	1.5	-129	Caesars Under 1.5 -122 \| best price	2.4%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Xander Bogaerts Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+104	Caesars Over 1.5 +105 \| best price	1.3%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Nathan Church Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	1.5	-174	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -160 \| best price	1.2%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Brady House Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+126	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +130 \| best price	0.5%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Nathan Lukes Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.5	+101	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +110 \| best price	0.1%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 44.5% (3 books) \| split consensus 50% (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Leonardo Bernal Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	2.0	+160	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +160 \| exact	296.2%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Total Bas	Joshua Baez Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	1.8	+160	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +160 \| exact	268.2%	✗✓!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 241% (≥150%) — verify projection	Batter Total Bas	Ethan Salas Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	1.7	-132	BetOnline Over 0.5 -132 \| exact	241.0%	✗✓!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.08x)	Batter Total Bas	Hector Rodriguez Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	1.6	+150	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +150 \| exact	228.0%	✗✓✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 45.3% (3 books) \| split consensus 50% (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	James Wood Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	1.6	+140	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +140 \| exact	224.3%	✗✓✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 37.9% (1 books)	Batter Total Bas	Elieser Hernández Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	1.6	+150	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +150 \| exact	219.5%	✗✓✗–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 45.4% (1 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Carlos Jorge Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	1.6	+107	BetOnline Over 0.5 +107 \| exact	219.5%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Total Bas	Kaelen Culpepper Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	1.6	+200	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +200 \| exact	210.9%	✗✓!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 48.8% (1 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Max Muncy (2002) Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	1.5	-108	BetOnline Over 0.5 -108 \| exact	208.7%	✗✓✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 42.4% (3 books) \| split consensus 50% (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Max Muncy Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	1.5	+160	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +160 \| exact	203.8%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.08x)	Batter Total Bas	JJ Bleday Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	1.5	+160	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +160 \| exact	202.6%	✗✓!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 190.9% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.95 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Eugenio Suarez Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	1.4	+170	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +170 \| exact	190.9%	✗✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 181.0% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.91 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Zack Gelof Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	1.4	+170	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +170 \| exact	181.0%	✗✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 180.8% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.90 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	CJ Abrams Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	1.4	+160	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +160 \| exact	180.8%	✗✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 180.6% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.90 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Gleyber Torres Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	1.4	+160	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +160 \| exact	180.6%	✗✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 180.6% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.90 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Luis Campusano Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	1.4	+180	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +180 \| exact	180.6%	✗✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 179.4% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.90 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Max Clark Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	1.4	+180	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +180 \| exact	179.4%	✗✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 172.6% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.86 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Tyler Stephenson Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	1.4	+170	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +170 \| exact	172.6%	✗✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 170.7% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.85 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Royce Lewis Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	1.4	-140	Fanatics Over 0.5 -140 \| exact	170.7%	✗✗✓–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 158.9% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.79 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Teoscar Hernandez Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	1.3	-160	BetOnline Over 0.5 -159 \| best price	158.9%	✗✗✓–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 152.4% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.76 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Spencer Torkelson Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	1.3	+190	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +190 \| exact	152.4%	✗✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 144.2% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.72 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Trevor Larnach Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	1.2	+190	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +190 \| exact	144.2%	✗✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 138.1% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.69 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Nathan Lukes Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	1.2	+180	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +180 \| exact	138.1%	✗✗✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 130.9% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.65 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Brady House Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	1.1	+180	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +180 \| exact	130.9%	✗✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 130.1% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.65 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jonah Heim Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	1.1	+200	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +200 \| exact	130.1%	✗✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 128.6% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.64 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Matt McLain Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	1.1	+220	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +220 \| exact	128.6%	✗✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 127.8% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.64 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Thomas Saggese Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	1.1	-150	Fanatics Over 0.5 -150 \| exact	127.8%	✗✗✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 127.3% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.64 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Henry Bolte Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	1.1	+180	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +180 \| exact	127.3%	✗✗✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 126.6% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.63 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Keibert Ruiz Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	1.1	+190	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +190 \| exact	126.6%	✗✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 120.9% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.60 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Colt Keith Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	1.1	+200	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +200 \| exact	120.9%	✗✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 118.0% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.59 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Xander Bogaerts Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	1.1	+170	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +170 \| exact	118.0%	✗✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 116.6% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.58 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Nathan Church Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	1.1	+200	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +200 \| exact	116.6%	✗✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 114.7% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.57 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Kyle Tucker Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	1.1	+160	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +160 \| exact	114.7%	✗✗✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 111.8% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.56 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Dylan Crews Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	1.1	+190	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +190 \| exact	111.8%	✗✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 108.9% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.54 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jake Cronenworth Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	1.0	+170	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +170 \| exact	108.9%	✗✗✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 99.3% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Will Smith Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	1.0	+150	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +150 \| exact	99.3%	✗✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 93.5% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Charles McAdoo Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	1.0	+160	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +160 \| exact	93.5%	✗✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 87.9% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Lawrence Butler Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.9	+190	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +190 \| exact	87.9%	✗✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 85.0% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Dustin Harris Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.9	-145	BetOnline Over 0.5 -145 \| exact	85.0%	✗✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 84.9% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Carlos Cortes Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.9	+200	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +200 \| exact	84.9%	✗✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 83.7% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jacob Young Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.9	+240	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +240 \| exact	83.7%	✗✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 82.0% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Abimelec Ortiz Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.9	+190	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +190 \| exact	82.0%	✗✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 80.8% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Nolan Gorman Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.9	+220	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +220 \| exact	80.8%	✗✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 75.6% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Zach McKinstry Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.9	+190	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +190 \| exact	75.6%	✗✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 72.5% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Christian Koss Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.9	+230	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +230 \| exact	72.5%	✗✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 59.3% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Freddy Fermin Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.8	-149	BetOnline Over 0.5 -149 \| exact	59.3%	✗✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 56.0% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Miguel Rojas Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.8	-123	BetOnline Over 0.5 -123 \| exact	56.0%	✗✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 51.9% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Drew Cavanaugh Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.8	+200	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +200 \| exact	51.9%	✗✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 48.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Bryan Torres Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	0.8	-207	BetOnline Under 1.5 -192 \| best price	48.8%	✓✗!–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 47.5% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Walker Jenkins Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.7	+200	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +200 \| exact	47.5%	✗✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 45.5% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Nate Furman Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-300	BetOnline Under 0.5 +113 \| best price	45.5%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Rafael Devers Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	2.1	+110	BetOnline Over 1.5 +112 \| best price	42.2%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 37.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Fernando Tatis Jr. Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	1.5	2.1	-110	BetOnline Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	37.3%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.4% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	John Peck Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.7	-141	Caesars Over 0.5 -141 \| exact	34.4%	✗✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.7% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Shay Whitcomb Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.7	-130	Caesars Over 0.5 -130 \| exact	33.7%	✗✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jordan Walker Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	2.0	+143	DK Over 1.5 +143 \| exact	33.3%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Drew Gilbert Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	1.0	+160	theScore Bet Under 1.5 +160 \| exact	31.1%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Elly De La Cruz Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	1.9	+134	DK Over 1.5 +134 \| exact	29.6%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 28.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jeff McNeil Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.1	-201	Caesars Under 1.5 -197 \| best price	28.5%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Alec Burleson Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	1.9	+104	BetOnline Over 1.5 +112 \| best price	25.5%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Sal Stewart Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	1.9	+132	DK Over 1.5 +132 \| exact	23.5%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.2	-131	Caesars Under 1.5 -130 \| best price	21.3%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Bryce Eldridge Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	1.8	-190	BetOnline Over 1.5 +139 \| best price	20.2%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Shohei Ohtani Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	1.8	+108	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +170 \| best price	19.9%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Luke Keaschall Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	1.2	-173	DK Under 1.5 -173 \| exact	17.2%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.5% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Myles Straw Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.6	+180	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +180 \| exact	16.5%	✗✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jackson Merrill Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	1.5	1.7	+112	BetOnline Over 1.5 +124 \| best price	14.1%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Dillon Dingler Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	1.7	+139	BetOnline Over 1.5 +146 \| best price	13.5%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ty France Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	1.5	1.7	+133	BetOnline Over 1.5 +141 \| best price	13.2%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ernie Clement Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.3	-162	Caesars Under 1.5 -162 \| best price	12.3%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Kody Clemens Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	1.7	+116	BetOnline Over 1.5 +126 \| best price	11.8%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Daylen Lile Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	1.5	1.3	+140	theScore Bet Under 1.5 +140 \| exact	11.6%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jung Hoo Lee Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	1.7	+125	BetOnline Over 1.5 +128 \| best price	10.9%	!✗✗–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Alejandro Kirk Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.4	-151	Caesars Under 1.5 -150 \| best price	10.2%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	George Springer Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.4	-131	DK Under 1.5 -131 \| exact	8.1%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ryan Jeffers Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	1.6	-190	BetOnline Over 1.5 +136 \| best price	7.3%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Freddie Freeman Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+113	BetOnline Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	6.5%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Riley Greene Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+130	BetOnline Over 1.5 +132 \| best price	6.3%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Kevin McGonigle Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-158	DK Under 1.5 -158 \| exact	6.1%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Manny Machado Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+114	Fanatics Over 1.5 +135 \| best price	4.1%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Tommy Edman Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-197	BetOnline Under 1.5 -192 \| best price	3.6%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Mookie Betts Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-181	BetOnline Under 1.5 -167 \| best price	3.6%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Josh Bell Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+143	BetOnline Over 1.5 +149 \| best price	3.1%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Kazuma Okamoto Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.5	+113	BetOnline Over 1.5 +117 \| best price	2.7%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ivan Herrera Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	1.5	-191	DK Under 1.5 -191 \| exact	2.5%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Brooks Lee Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+124	BetOnline Over 1.5 +136 \| best price	1.6%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Brett Bateman Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.5	+161	DK Over 1.5 +161 \| exact	1.5%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: selected book disagrees \| books against us 0% (8 books) — strongly disagree	F5 ML	Cincinnati Reds	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	-	-	+120	BetUS +125 \| best price	+10.3%	–✓✗✓–!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.010/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Nasim Nunez Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-5000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -5000 \| exact	98.9%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.020/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Myles Straw Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.0	-3500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 \| exact	96.2%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Brett Bateman Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.0	-4000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 \| exact	93.9%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Zach McKinstry Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| exact	93.3%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Elieser Hernández Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-750	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -750 \| exact	93.3%	–✗!–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Nate Furman Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-3500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 \| exact	92.8%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Drew Cavanaugh Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| exact	92.8%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Tommy White Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.0	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| exact	91.6%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.050/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.1	-750	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -750 \| exact	89.0%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jeff McNeil Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.1	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| exact	89.0%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jake Cronenworth Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| exact	88.7%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Max Clark Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| exact	88.6%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Ernie Clement Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.1	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| exact	88.4%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Donovan Walton Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.1	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| exact	88.4%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Christian Koss Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-4000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 \| exact	88.2%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Bryan Torres Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| exact	88.2%	–✗!–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jacob Young Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-3500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 \| exact	87.8%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Luke Keaschall Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| exact	87.6%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Carlos Cortes Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.1	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| exact	87.5%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Henry Bolte Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.1	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| exact	86.4%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Colt Keith Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| exact	86.3%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Charles McAdoo Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.1	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	85.7%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Drew Gilbert Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| exact	85.6%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jung Hoo Lee Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| exact	85.2%	–✗!–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Keibert Ruiz Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| exact	84.9%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Kyle Tucker Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	84.7%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Nathan Church Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-3500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 \| exact	84.1%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Xander Bogaerts Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| exact	83.8%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Lawrence Butler Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.1	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| exact	83.7%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Nathan Lukes Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.1	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| exact	82.9%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Dylan Crews Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	82.8%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Will Smith Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| exact	82.7%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Trevor Larnach Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| exact	82.6%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Tommy Edman Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	82.1%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Kevin McGonigle Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	81.8%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Gleyber Torres Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| exact	81.5%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Thomas Saggese Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-3500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 \| exact	80.2%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Brady House Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| exact	79.4%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Walker Jenkins Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| exact	78.9%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Nolan Gorman Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| exact	78.9%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Freddie Freeman Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-900	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 \| exact	78.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Daylen Lile Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	77.9%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Ivan Herrera Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| exact	77.8%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Kaelen Culpepper Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| exact	77.2%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	George Springer Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.1	-650	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 \| exact	77.2%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Alejandro Kirk Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.1	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| exact	76.8%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Royce Lewis Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-900	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 \| exact	76.3%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Abimelec Ortiz Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	76.1%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jonah Heim Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.1	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| exact	75.7%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Luis Campusano Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	75.1%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Matt McLain Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| exact	74.8%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Josh Bell Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	74.0%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Tyler Stephenson Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	73.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Riley Greene Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-750	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -750 \| exact	72.3%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Spencer Torkelson Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	71.5%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Mookie Betts Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-900	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 \| exact	70.2%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Brooks Lee Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| exact	68.8%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Alec Burleson Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	68.8%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Zack Gelof Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.2	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	68.8%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	CJ Abrams Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| exact	67.5%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Leonardo Bernal Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| exact	67.0%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Ryan Jeffers Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-900	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 \| exact	66.9%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Fernando Tatis Jr. Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 \| exact	66.8%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jackson Merrill Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-650	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 \| exact	66.1%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Bryce Eldridge Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	65.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.180/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Ty France Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-900	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 \| exact	64.6%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Elly De La Cruz Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-900	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 \| exact	62.9%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Kody Clemens Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-700	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 \| exact	62.5%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Manny Machado Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-700	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 \| exact	61.9%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Max Muncy Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-650	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 \| exact	61.8%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Eugenio Suarez Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-650	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 \| exact	61.8%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	JJ Bleday Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-700	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 \| exact	61.7%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Dillon Dingler Under	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	61.7%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Kazuma Okamoto Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.2	-450	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -450 \| exact	61.5%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Hector Rodriguez Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	60.0%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	James Wood Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-550	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -550 \| exact	59.6%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.210/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jordan Walker Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| exact	58.8%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.210/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Shohei Ohtani Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -400 \| exact	58.8%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.220/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Sal Stewart Under	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-700	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 \| exact	56.6%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.270/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Rafael Devers Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 \| exact	46.9%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.300/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Joshua Baez Under	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| exact	40.1%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
► Watch Signals
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 40.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	0.9	-251	BetOnline Under 1.5 -238 \| best price	40.6%	✓✗✓–✓–	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Fernando Tatis Jr. Under	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	1.5	1.3	-225	DK Under 1.5 -225 \| exact	15.9%	✓✗✓–✓–	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 45.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jung Hoo Lee Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	1.5	2.2	-130	DK Over 1.5 -130 \| exact	45.8%	✓✗✓–✓!	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Kevin McGonigle Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	2.0	-128	Caesars Over 1.5 -125 \| best price	30.6%	✓✗✓–✓–	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Brooks Lee Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	1.9	-111	DK Over 1.5 -111 \| exact	27.2%	✓✗✓–✓–	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	1.5	1.8	-160	Caesars Over 1.5 -157 \| best price	18.8%	✓✗✓–✓–	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Luke Keaschall Over	TWI@TIG	3:11 PM	1.5	1.7	-117	DK Over 1.5 -117 \| exact	15.7%	✓✗✓–✓–	Watch Signal
D	◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 154.6% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.77 <= 1 min	Batter Total Bas	Turner Hill Over	CAR@GIA	8:11 PM	0.5	1.3	-200	Caesars Over 0.5 -200 \| exact	154.6%	✗✗✗––!	Watch Signal
D	◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 105.5% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.53 <= 1 min	Batter Total Bas	Tommy White Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	1.0	+190	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +190 \| exact	105.5%	✗✗✗–!–	Watch Signal
D	◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 80.8% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5	Batter Total Bas	Donovan Walton Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.9	-120	BetOnline Over 0.5 -116 \| best price	80.8%	✗✗✗–––	Watch Signal
D	◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 74.1% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5	Batter Total Bas	Alika Williams Over	JAY@ATH	10:06 PM	0.5	0.9	+109	BetOnline Over 0.5 +109 \| exact	74.1%	✗✗✗–––	Watch Signal
D	◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 56.0% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5	Batter Total Bas	Edwin Arroyo Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.8	-108	BetOnline Over 0.5 -108 \| exact	56.0%	✗✗✗––!	Watch Signal
D	◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 43.4% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5	Batter Total Bas	Alex Freeland Over	RED@DOD	9:11 PM	0.5	0.7	+112	Caesars Over 0.5 +112 \| exact	43.4%	✗✗✗––!	Watch Signal
D	◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.5% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5	Batter Total Bas	Nasim Nunez Over	NAT@PAD	5:11 PM	0.5	0.6	+300	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +300 \| exact	15.5%	✗✗✗–––	Watch Signal

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