MLB Full Audit Thursday, August 13 2026

MARKET TRUST TIERS

17 market(s) with settled tracker history

Market	Trust	Season N	Season WR	Season P&L	14d N	14d WR	14d P&L	Grade A N	Grade A WR	Review-only N
K Prop	✅ TRUSTED	552	54%	-27.99u	68	44%	-16.42u	261	56%	64
Pitcher Hits Allowed	✅ TRUSTED	487	58%	+13.46u	59	64%	+6.92u	4	50%	6
Run Line	✅ TRUSTED	167	58%	+6.39u	14	86%	+7.10u	46	61%	1
Batter Walks	👀 WATCH	1918	73%	-50.15u	729	72%	-45.37u	8	75%	134
Pitcher Earned Runs	👀 WATCH	571	56%	-27.14u	114	55%	-8.31u	1	100%	9
Pitcher Walks	👀 WATCH	414	60%	-11.86u	74	61%	-1.80u	0	-	11
Batter Hits	👀 WATCH	54	70%	-0.54u	9	56%	-2.01u	0	-	23
Batter Total Bases	👀 WATCH	34	53%	-0.50u	2	50%	-0.16u	0	-	37
F5 ML	👀 WATCH	30	44%	+2.54u	2	0%	-2.00u	0	-	0
No HR U1.5	👀 WATCH	10	30%	-4.27u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-	0
Moneyline	👀 WATCH	6	50%	+2.85u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-	0
NRFI	👀 WATCH	5	20%	-2.00u	2	0%	-2.00u	0	-	3
YRFI	👀 WATCH	3	67%	-1.00u	1	0%	-1.00u	0	-	6
Pitcher Outs	🔬 RESEARCH	123	47%	-14.65u	11	45%	-2.41u	2	50%	8
Total	🔬 RESEARCH	60	40%	-11.07u	5	40%	-1.28u	1	100%	7
F5 Total	🔬 RESEARCH	34	47%	-6.07u	18	44%	-4.04u	1	0%	6
Batter H+R+RBI	⛔ PAUSED	593	52%	-58.09u	54	52%	-5.87u	86	53%	355

Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from Best/Good settled tracker performance; review-only rows are shown separately.

MARKET PROMOTION CRITERIA

What each market needs to move stages

Market	Current Stage	Next Stage	Progress	Promotion Blockers
K Prop	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	2/4	season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative
Pitcher Hits Allowed	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	4/4	No blocker
Run Line	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	4/4	No blocker
Batter Walks	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0
Pitcher Earned Runs	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0
Pitcher Walks	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0
Batter Hits	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; 14d P&L non-negative
Batter Total Bases	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	0/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
F5 ML	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; 14d P&L non-negative
No HR U1.5	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Moneyline	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0
NRFI	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	0/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
YRFI	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	0/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Pitcher Outs	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	2/5	season P&L positive; 14d WR >= 52%; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52%
Total	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	1/5	season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; 14d WR >= 52%
F5 Total	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d WR >= 52%
Batter H+R+RBI	⛔ PAUSED	🔬 Research	2/5	diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative

Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.

SAVANT PITCH QUALITY DIAGNOSTICS

18 pitcher(s) with public-data pitch-quality diagnostics

Pitcher	Game	Overall	Whiff	Contact	Arsenal	Top Pitch	Notes / Data Gaps
Max Fried	New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners	69.3	55.8	87.5	7	Changeup (29% whiff, 12% usage)	Savant whiff 25.1%, put-away 21.9%, xwOBA 0.240, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Payton Tolle	Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays	68.2	63.3	77.0	5	Cutter (32% whiff, 20% usage)	Savant whiff 28.1%, put-away 23.4%, xwOBA 0.261, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Jacob deGrom	Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels	65.1	74.7	60.5	5	Changeup (43% whiff, 12% usage)	Savant whiff 33.8%, put-away 23.4%, xwOBA 0.294, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Walbert Ureña	Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers	60.9	59.8	64.5	4	Changeup (38% whiff, 32% usage)	Savant whiff 28.2%, put-away 19.7%, xwOBA 0.286, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Braxton Ashcraft	Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins	60.0	59.0	63.5	5	Curveball (40% whiff, 26% usage)	Savant whiff 26.1%, put-away 23.0%, xwOBA 0.288, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Parker Messick	Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers	60.0	53.3	71.0	6	Changeup (36% whiff, 24% usage)	Savant whiff 24.7%, put-away 20.3%, xwOBA 0.273, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Shane Drohan	Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers	59.7	59.5	62.0	6	Slider (42% whiff, 20% usage)	Savant whiff 27.4%, put-away 21.0%, xwOBA 0.291, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Logan Gilbert	Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees	58.6	63.8	58.0	6	Split-Finger (39% whiff, 14% usage)	Savant whiff 29.9%, put-away 20.2%, xwOBA 0.299, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Roki Sasaki	Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers	56.8	63.3	50.0	3	Slider (39% whiff, 21% usage)	Savant whiff 29.9%, put-away 19.9%, xwOBA 0.315, arsenal coverage 3 pitch type(s)
Kevin Gausman	Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals	55.7	56.8	56.0	3	Split-Finger (40% whiff, 39% usage)	Savant whiff 27.4%, put-away 18.3%, xwOBA 0.303, arsenal coverage 3 pitch type(s)
Taj Bradley	Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies	55.2	57.0	55.0	4	Cutter (36% whiff, 24% usage)	Savant whiff 26.5%, put-away 20.4%, xwOBA 0.305, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Cade Cavalli	Washington Nationals vs Chicago Cubs	53.2	56.5	51.0	6	Curveball (40% whiff, 27% usage)	Savant whiff 26.0%, put-away 20.7%, xwOBA 0.313, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Aaron Nola	Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins	52.4	54.6	48.5	6	Curveball (42% whiff, 33% usage)	Savant whiff 25.9%, put-away 19.1%, xwOBA 0.318, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Keider Montero	Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians	49.7	39.0	62.0	5	Slider (30% whiff, 19% usage)	Savant whiff 19.0%, put-away 17.3%, xwOBA 0.291, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Davis Martin	Chicago White Sox vs Cincinnati Reds	45.4	49.0	42.0	6	Curveball (40% whiff, 14% usage)	Savant whiff 24.1%, put-away 17.2%, xwOBA 0.331, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Tyler Phillips	Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates	45.1	52.4	37.5	6	Curveball (44% whiff, 17% usage)	Savant whiff 25.5%, put-away 17.7%, xwOBA 0.340, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Andrew Abbott	Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox	43.2	44.1	41.0	5	Changeup (38% whiff, 19% usage)	Savant whiff 22.5%, put-away 15.4%, xwOBA 0.333, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Max Scherzer	Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox	33.0	30.5	30.5	5	Curveball (24% whiff, 14% usage)	Savant whiff 17.5%, put-away 11.7%, xwOBA 0.354, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)

Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.

PITCHER ASSESSMENT DIAGNOSTICS

18 starter assessment(s) emitted by Pitcher Engine

Pitcher	Team	Hand	Season K%	Recent IP	Season IP	K IP	Pitch Ct	Leash	Savant	Contact	HR Vuln	Quality	Flags / Notes
Payton Tolle	Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays	L	32.7%	5.1	5.6	5.5	86	short	full	77.00	23.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.1 IP/start, low-K contact opponent 19.6%
Kevin Gausman	Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals	R	21.7%	5.5	5.6	5.6	92	normal	full	56.00	44.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Davis Martin	Chicago White Sox vs Cincinnati Reds	R	19.0%	4.4	5.3	5.2	74	short	full	42.00	58.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.4 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.6%
Andrew Abbott	Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox	L	17.0%	5.4	5.4	5.4	91	normal	full	41.00	59.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Parker Messick	Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers	L	24.2%	5.9	5.9	6.0	99	normal	full	71.00	29.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Keider Montero	Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians	R	18.4%	4.9	5.7	5.5	82	short	full	62.00	38.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.9 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.8%
Walbert Ureña	Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers	R	22.2%	4.8	5.3	5.2	80	short	full	64.50	35.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.8 IP/start
Roki Sasaki	Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers	R	24.7%	5.9	5.2	6.0	99	normal	full	50.00	50.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.8%
Tyler Phillips	Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates	R	17.7%	3.8	4.5	4.4	64	short	full	37.50	62.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 3.8 IP/start
Shane Drohan	Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers	L	24.6%	5.8	5.3	6.0	97	normal	full	62.00	38.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 9.8%
Taj Bradley	Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies	R	25.7%	5.8	5.7	6.0	97	normal	full	55.00	45.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Max Fried	New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners	L	26.8%	4.4	5.8	6.0	74	short	full	87.50	12.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.4 IP/start
Aaron Nola	Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins	R	23.4%	5.5	5.2	5.3	92	normal	full	48.50	51.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Braxton Ashcraft	Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins	R	24.8%	4.8	5.8	5.6	80	short	full	63.50	36.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.8 IP/start
Logan Gilbert	Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees	R	25.5%	6.1	6.1	6.1	102	deep	full	58.00	42.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 9.8%
Jacob deGrom	Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels	R	28.8%	4.5	5.4	5.2	76	short	full	60.50	39.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.5 IP/start
Max Scherzer	Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox	R	19.4%	3.7	4.0	4.1	62	short	full	30.50	69.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 3.7 IP/start
Cade Cavalli	Washington Nationals vs Chicago Cubs	R	25.7%	6.0	5.2	6.0	101	deep	full	51.00	49.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.8%

Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.

PITCHER OUTS RESEARCH GATE

8/8 candidate(s) held from actionable output

Pitcher	Side	Game	Line	Proj	Gap	Edge / DIFF%	Grade	Rec	Status	Leash	K IP	Pitch Ct	Quality	Gate Reason
Logan Gilbert	Logan Gilbert Over	Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees	17.5	19.5	2.0	11.3%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	deep	6.1	102	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 11.3% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap +1.98 <= 3 min
Parker Messick	Parker Messick Over	Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers	17.5	19.3	1.8	10.1%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	normal	6.0	99	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 10.1% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap +1.77 <= 3 min
Shane Drohan	Shane Drohan Under	Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers	17.5	16.3	-1.2	6.9%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	normal	6.0	97	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.9% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5
Max Fried	Max Fried Under	Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees	17.5	16.4	-1.1	6.6%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	short	6.0	74	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.6% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5
Braxton Ashcraft	Braxton Ashcraft Under	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins	17.5	16.6	-0.8	4.9%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	short	5.6	80	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.9% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5
Payton Tolle	Payton Tolle Under	Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays	17.5	16.7	-0.8	4.8%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	short	5.5	86	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.8% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5
Kevin Gausman	Kevin Gausman Under	Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals	17.5	17.1	-0.4	2.3%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	normal	5.6	92	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.3% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5
Taj Bradley	Taj Bradley Under	Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins	17.5	17.4	-0.1	0.8%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	normal	6.0	97	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.8% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5

QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.

HRR COMPONENT RESEARCH

120 HRR component candidate(s) emitted by Batter Engine | showing top 50 by component raw gap

Player	Game	Research Side	Component Proj	H	R	RBI	Current	Uncertainty	Support	Flags
Nathaniel Lowe	Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers	Over 1.5	2.47	1.38	0.54	0.54	2.47 / Over	0.69	exact_hrr_l10	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment
CJ Abrams	Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals	Over 1.5	2.47	1.07	0.64	0.76	2.33 / Over	0.35	season_games=118,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Seiya Suzuki	Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals	Over 1.5	2.38	1.04	0.64	0.70	2.30 / Over	0.35	season_games=103,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Shohei Ohtani	Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.37	1.07	0.67	0.63	2.31 / Over	0.35	season_games=115,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Brice Turang	Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.37	1.05	0.64	0.67	2.38 / Over	0.35	season_games=115,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Jackson Chourio	Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.35	1.13	0.67	0.56	2.36 / Over	0.35	season_games=87,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Elly De La Cruz	Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox	Over 1.5	2.30	1.07	0.67	0.56	2.32 / Over	0.35	season_games=100,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Dillon Dingler	Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers	Over 1.5	2.29	0.99	0.59	0.71	2.09 / Over	0.35	season_games=111,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Sal Stewart	Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox	Over 1.5	2.26	0.98	0.54	0.73	2.28 / Over	0.35	season_games=119,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Otto Lopez	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins	Over 1.5	2.24	1.25	0.58	0.42	2.05 / Over	0.35	season_games=117,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Brandon Lowe	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins	Over 1.5	2.23	1.01	0.60	0.62	2.47 / Over	0.35	season_games=113,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Andy Pages	Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.20	1.03	0.55	0.62	2.08 / Over	0.35	season_games=120,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Luis Arraez	Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins	Over 1.5	2.18	1.26	0.49	0.43	2.21 / Over	0.35	season_games=114,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Jake Bauers	Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.17	0.91	0.64	0.63	2.18 / Over	0.35	season_games=108,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Miguel Vargas	Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox	Over 1.5	2.16	0.88	0.68	0.60	2.34 / Over	0.35	season_games=117,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Kevin McGonigle	Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers	Over 1.5	2.15	1.07	0.67	0.41	1.90 / Over	0.35	season_games=116,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Nick Gonzales	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins	Over 1.5	2.13	1.18	0.52	0.43	2.32 / Over	0.35	season_games=116,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Alex Bregman	Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals	Over 1.5	2.13	1.02	0.58	0.53	1.92 / Over	0.35	season_games=118,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Ben Rice	Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees	Over 1.5	2.11	0.95	0.57	0.59	2.12 / Over	0.35	season_games=115,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Freddie Freeman	Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.10	1.14	0.49	0.47	2.03 / Over	0.35	season_games=118,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Kyle Schwarber	Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins	Over 1.5	2.10	0.91	0.59	0.59	2.22 / Over	0.35	season_games=116,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Bryan Reynolds	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins	Over 1.5	2.09	0.98	0.62	0.49	2.29 / Over	0.35	season_games=122,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Trea Turner	Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins	Over 1.5	2.09	1.01	0.68	0.40	2.01 / Over	0.35	season_games=118,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Chase DeLauter	Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers	Over 1.5	2.08	1.05	0.47	0.56	2.01 / Over	0.35	season_games=103,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Josh Bell	Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins	Over 1.5	2.07	0.94	0.51	0.61	2.06 / Over	0.35	season_games=117,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Bryce Harper	Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins	Over 1.5	2.06	0.88	0.60	0.58	2.06 / Over	0.35	season_games=122,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Chase Meidroth	Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox	Over 1.5	2.06	1.03	0.60	0.44	2.06 / Over	0.35	season_games=114,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
William Contreras	Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.03	0.99	0.51	0.53	2.02 / Over	0.35	season_games=112,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Braden Montgomery	Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox	Over 1.5	2.02	1.13	0.44	0.44	2.02 / Over	0.69	exact_hrr_l10	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment
Dansby Swanson	Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals	Over 1.5	1.99	0.74	0.66	0.58	1.79 / Over	0.35	season_games=116,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Brandon Marsh	Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins	Over 1.5	1.97	0.99	0.53	0.45	1.87 / Over	0.35	season_games=117,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Randy Arozarena	Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees	Over 1.5	1.97	0.97	0.59	0.40	1.66 / Over	0.35	season_games=113,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Daylen Lile	Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals	Over 1.5	1.96	0.94	0.50	0.53	1.87 / Over	0.35	season_games=120,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Nico Hoerner	Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals	Over 1.5	1.95	1.04	0.43	0.48	1.90 / Over	0.35	season_games=119,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Colson Montgomery	Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox	Over 1.5	1.93	0.81	0.50	0.62	2.02 / Over	0.35	season_games=113,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Ezequiel Duran	Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels	Over 1.5	1.91	0.91	0.45	0.55	1.79 / Over	0.35	season_games=112,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Brooks Lee	Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins	Over 1.5	1.90	0.92	0.46	0.53	1.73 / Over	0.35	season_games=116,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Michael Busch	Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals	Over 1.5	1.90	0.93	0.43	0.54	1.88 / Over	0.35	season_games=120,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Kody Clemens	Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins	Over 1.5	1.90	0.85	0.52	0.53	1.94 / Over	0.35	season_games=106,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Mike Trout	Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels	Over 1.5	1.89	0.85	0.63	0.41	1.88 / Over	0.35	season_games=102,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Luis Garcia Jr.	Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees	Over 1.5	1.88	1.11	0.38	0.38	1.98 / Over	0.69	exact_hrr_l10	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment
Kyle Tucker	Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.87	0.83	0.58	0.47	1.75 / Over	0.35	season_games=114,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Jo Adell	Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers	Over 1.5	1.87	0.88	0.43	0.56	1.72 / Over	0.35	season_games=119,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Kazuma Okamoto	Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays	Over 1.5	1.87	0.81	0.51	0.55	1.62 / Over	0.35	season_games=117,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Ian Happ	Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals	Over 1.5	1.85	0.79	0.61	0.45	1.81 / Over	0.35	season_games=117,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Brandon Nimmo	Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels	Over 1.5	1.83	1.03	0.41	0.39	1.79 / Over	0.35	season_games=115,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays	Over 1.5	1.82	0.95	0.50	0.37	1.69 / Over	0.35	season_games=113,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Bryson Stott	Philadelphia Phillies @ Minnesota Twins	Over 1.5	1.81	0.92	0.44	0.46	1.78 / Over	0.35	season_games=116,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
JJ Bleday	Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox	Over 1.5	1.80	0.79	0.49	0.52	1.88 / Over	0.35	season_games=91,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Jake Burger	Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels	Over 1.5	1.80	0.84	0.40	0.56	1.71 / Over	0.35	season_games=116,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed

Diagnostics only. HRR remains paused; these component projections are not used for recommendations.

FULL AUDIT — ALL CANDIDATES

563 candidates evaluated

← Back to Picks

Grade	Signal	Type	Side	Game	Time (ET)	Line	Proj	Odds	Best Book / Line	Edge/Diff	Signal Breakdown ✓!✗–	Tier
► Best Signals
A ⭐ Featured	⭐ Featured K final QC: opposing lineup not confirmed, juiced K over -130, expected IP 5.1 below A-grade leash	K Prop	Walbert Urena Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	4.5	6.2	-130	DK Over 4.5 -130 \| exact	37.1%	✓✓✓✓––	Best Signal
► Add Signals
B	🔬 Research Only Heavy juice (-154); break-even ~61%, requires clean execution	K Prop	Max Scherzer Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	4.5	2.9	-154	DK Under 4.5 -154 \| exact	36.0%	✓✓!✓––	Add Signal
B	✅ Add Signal Matchup: [!] Opp lineup wRC+ 115 vs RHP — tough platoon matchup	K Prop	Kevin Gausman Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	4.5	5.9	-148	BetMGM Over 4.5 -140 \| best price	31.5%	✓✓✓!––	Add Signal
B	✅ Add Signal Matchup: Pitch-type: opp whiffs above avg vs SP top pitch (×1.07) ✓ Over Ks \| [!] Opp lineup wRC+ 113 vs RHP — tough platoon matc…	K Prop	Roki Sasaki Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	5.5	7.2	-132	FanDuel Over 5.5 -130 \| best price	30.9%	✓✓✓!––	Add Signal
B	✅ Add Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Pitcher Hits All	Andrew Abbott Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	5.5	4.6	-165	Fanatics Under 5.5 -165 \| exact	16.4%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-166); break-even ~62%, requires clean execution	Pitcher Earned R	Tyler Phillips Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	2.0	-166	DK Over 1.5 -166 \| exact	33.3%	✓✓!–––	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Pitcher Earned R	Parker Messick Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	2.5	1.8	-155	DK Under 2.5 -155 \| exact	28.0%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.06x)	Pitcher Earned R	Walbert Urena Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	2.5	1.8	-132	DK Under 2.5 -132 \| exact	28.0%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Luis Garcia Jr. Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	0.1	-431	DK Under 0.5 -431 \| exact	75.7%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Jo Adell Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-462	DK Under 0.5 -462 \| exact	73.5%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-550); break-even ~85%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Otto Lopez Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-550	Fanatics Under 0.5 -550 \| exact	69.2%	✓✓!–––	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.06x)	Batter Walks	Nicky Lopez Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.1	-375	Fanatics Under 0.5 -375 \| exact	69.2%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Daylen Lile Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	0.2	-450	Fanatics Under 0.5 -450 \| exact	64.1%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Brayan Rocchio Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-403	DK Under 0.5 -403 \| exact	60.6%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal	Batter Walks	Bryce Harper Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	0.8	-125	Fanatics Over 0.5 -125 \| exact	60.2%	✓✓!–––	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal	Batter Walks	Kyle Schwarber Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	0.8	-140	Fanatics Over 0.5 -140 \| exact	58.5%	✓✓!–––	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Dillon Dingler Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-284	DK Under 0.5 -284 \| exact	56.9%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-350); break-even ~78%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Kody Clemens Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	0.2	-350	Fanatics Under 0.5 -350 \| exact	52.6%	✓✓!–––	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Cole Young Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	0.2	-431	Fanatics Under 0.5 -425 \| best price	51.7%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Jacob Young Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	0.2	-550	Fanatics Under 0.5 -550 \| exact	51.7%	✓✓!––!	Add Signal
► Lean Signals (Derisked)
B (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 44.3% (6 books) \| books against us 0% (6 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	K Prop	Cade Cavalli Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	5.5	7.1	+121	DK Over 5.5 +121 \| exact	28.4%	✓✓✗✓––	Lean Signal - Derisked
B (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 45.5% (5 books) \| books against us 0% (5 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	K Prop	Parker Messick Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	5.5	6.8	+111	FanDuel Over 5.5 +112 \| best price	23.0%	✓✓✗✓––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 47.8% (5 books) \| books against us 0% (5 books) — strongly disagree	K Prop	Shane Drohan Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	4.5	7.3	-112	FanDuel Over 4.5 +100 \| best price	61.6%	✓✓✗!––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 18.4% vs 17% min using selected line 3.5 clears, but raw gap +0.64 <= 1 min — posture note at D	K Prop	Tyler Phillips Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	3.5	4.1	-164	FanDuel Over 3.5 -156 \| best price	18.4%	✓✗✓!––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 17.6% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 clears, but raw gap +0.97 <= 1 min — posture note at D	K Prop	Payton Tolle Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	5.5	6.5	-112	BetOnline Over 5.5 -109 \| best price	17.6%	✓✗✗✓––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.6% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Aaron Nola Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	5.5	5.0	-149	BetMGM Under 5.5 -140 \| best price	8.6%	✓✗!✓––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.7% vs 17% min using selected line 6.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Logan Gilbert Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	6.5	6.9	-146	DK Over 6.5 -146 \| exact	6.7%	✓✗✓!––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.2% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Andrew Abbott Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	4.5	4.3	+111	Bovada Direct Under 4.5 +115 \| best price	4.2%	✓✗!!––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.3% vs 17% min using selected line 3.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Keider Montero Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	3.5	3.5	-169	DK Under 3.5 -169 \| exact	0.3%	✓✗!✓––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 11.3% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap +1.98 <= 3 min — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Logan Gilbert Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	17.5	19.5	-174	Caesars Over 17.5 -173 \| best price	11.3%	✓✗✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 10.1% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap +1.77 <= 3 min — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Parker Messick Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	17.5	19.3	-148	FanDuel Over 17.5 -148 \| best price	10.1%	✓✗✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.9% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Shane Drohan Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	17.5	16.3	-136	Caesars Under 17.5 -132 \| best price	6.9%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.6% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Max Fried Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	17.5	16.4	+124	Fanatics Under 17.5 +150 \| best price	6.6%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.9% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Braxton Ashcraft Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	17.5	16.6	-110	Fanatics Under 17.5 +100 \| best price	4.9%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.8% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Payton Tolle Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	17.5	16.7	-128	Fanatics Under 17.5 -110 \| best price	4.8%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.3% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Kevin Gausman Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	17.5	17.1	+121	Caesars Under 17.5 +127 \| best price	2.3%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.8% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Taj Bradley Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	17.5	17.4	-108	DK Under 17.5 -108 \| exact	0.8%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.1% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Hits All	Taj Bradley Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	5.5	5.0	-153	BetMGM Under 5.5 -140 \| best price	9.1%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.1% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Hits All	Aaron Nola Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	5.5	6.0	+113	DK Over 5.5 +113 \| exact	9.1%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.3% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Hits All	Braxton Ashcraft Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	5.5	5.1	-152	Fanatics Under 5.5 -150 \| best price	7.3%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.5% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Hits All	Cade Cavalli Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	5.5	5.2	-155	DK Under 5.5 -155 \| exact	5.5%	✓✗✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Hits All	Shane Drohan Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	5.5	5.3	-112	Fanatics Under 5.5 -110 \| best price	3.6%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Hits All	Kevin Gausman Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	5.5	5.6	-102	Fanatics Over 5.5 +100 \| best price	1.8%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 43.9% (1 books)	Pitcher Walks	Tyler Phillips Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.9	+113	DK Over 1.5 +113 \| exact	24.7%	✓✓✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Pitcher Walks	Max Fried Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	1.8	-132	DK Over 1.5 -132 \| exact	22.0%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Pitcher Walks	Parker Messick Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.8	-136	DK Over 1.5 -136 \| exact	19.5%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.8% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Walks	Logan Gilbert Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	1.6	+104	DK Over 1.5 +104 \| exact	6.8%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.1% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Walks	Keider Montero Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-165	DK Under 1.5 -165 \| exact	5.1%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Walks	Braxton Ashcraft Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-188	DK Under 1.5 -188 \| exact	3.6%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.06x)	Pitcher Earned R	Jacob deGrom Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	1.5	1.8	-151	Fanatics Over 1.5 -140 \| best price	20.0%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Pitcher Earned R	Cade Cavalli Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	2.5	2.1	-128	DK Under 2.5 -128 \| exact	16.0%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Pitcher Earned R	Max Fried Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	1.7	-134	DK Over 1.5 -134 \| exact	13.3%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Pitcher Earned R	Braxton Ashcraft Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	2.5	2.2	-175	DK Under 2.5 -175 \| exact	12.0%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Pitcher Earned R	Logan Gilbert Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	2.5	2.2	-156	Fanatics Under 2.5 -135 \| best price	12.0%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Earned R	Keider Montero Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	2.5	2.3	-133	DK Under 2.5 -133 \| exact	8.0%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Earned R	Andrew Abbott Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	2.5	2.7	-115	Fanatics Over 2.5 -115 \| exact	8.0%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Earned R	Kevin Gausman Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	2.5	2.3	-144	Fanatics Under 2.5 -140 \| best price	8.0%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Earned R	Roki Sasaki Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	2.5	2.3	-165	DK Under 2.5 -165 \| exact	8.0%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Earned R	Taj Bradley Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	2.5	2.4	-124	DK Under 2.5 -124 \| exact	4.0%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Earned R	Shane Drohan Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	2.5	2.4	-102	Fanatics Under 2.5 +105 \| best price	4.0%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Earned R	Max Scherzer Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	2.5	2.5	-130	Fanatics Under 2.5 -130 \| exact	-	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Earned R	Aaron Nola Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	2.5	2.5	-109	DK Under 2.5 -109 \| exact	-	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Hits	Masataka Yoshida Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	1.5	0.8	-249	BetOnline Under 1.5 -238 \| best price	43.5%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 40.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Jake Mangum Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	0.9	-220	BetOnline Under 1.5 -213 \| best price	40.6%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Pete Crow-Armstrong Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.1	-230	DK Under 1.5 -230 \| exact	27.8%	✓✗✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Otto Lopez Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.1	-233	DK Under 1.5 -233 \| exact	24.7%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Nick Gonzales Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.2	-242	DK Under 1.5 -242 \| exact	18.4%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Luis Arraez Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.3	-255	BetMGM Under 1.5 -210 \| best price	13.6%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 43.2% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Taylor Ward Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	0.8	+108	Fanatics Over 0.5 +120 \| best price	58.5%	✓✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Josh Bell Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	0.3	-200	Fanatics Under 0.5 -200 \| exact	48.6%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Brandon Marsh Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	0.3	-255	Fanatics Under 0.5 -255 \| exact	48.3%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Brooks Lee Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	0.3	-375	Fanatics Under 0.5 -375 \| exact	47.1%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Luis Arraez Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	0.3	-525	Fanatics Under 0.5 -525 \| exact	46.9%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 39.2% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Miguel Vargas Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.7	+132	Fanatics Over 0.5 +140 \| best price	45.9%	✓!✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Nico Hoerner Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	0.3	-500	Fanatics Under 0.5 -500 \| exact	45.5%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Kazuma Okamoto Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-400	Fanatics Under 0.5 -400 \| exact	45.0%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Nick Gonzales Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-490	DK Under 0.5 -490 \| exact	42.8%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Caleb Durbin Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-425	Fanatics Under 0.5 -425 \| exact	42.8%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	CJ Abrams Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	0.3	-375	Fanatics Under 0.5 -375 \| exact	42.6%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Nasim Nunez Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	0.3	-310	Fanatics Under 0.5 -310 \| exact	41.5%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Myles Straw Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-525	Fanatics Under 0.5 -525 \| exact	41.0%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Alejandro Kirk Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-330	Fanatics Under 0.5 -330 \| exact	41.0%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Andruw Monasterio Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-265	Fanatics Under 0.5 -265 \| exact	41.0%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Adley Rutschman Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-180	Fanatics Under 0.5 -180 \| exact	41.0%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Masataka Yoshida Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-330	Fanatics Under 0.5 -330 \| exact	41.0%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Nick Sogard Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-245	Fanatics Under 0.5 -245 \| exact	41.0%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Brett Bateman Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-375	Fanatics Under 0.5 -375 \| exact	41.0%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Charles McAdoo Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-400	Fanatics Under 0.5 -400 \| exact	41.0%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Jarren Duran Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-340	Fanatics Under 0.5 -340 \| exact	40.9%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.06x)	Batter Walks	Nolan Schanuel Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-225	Fanatics Under 0.5 -225 \| exact	40.6%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Andy Pages Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.3	-255	Fanatics Under 0.5 -255 \| exact	39.5%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 40.2% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Bryan Reynolds Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	0.7	+135	DK Over 0.5 +135 \| exact	36.9%	✓!✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Trea Turner Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	0.3	-350	Fanatics Under 0.5 -350 \| exact	36.9%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.06x)	Batter Walks	Zach Neto Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-425	Fanatics Under 0.5 -425 \| exact	36.4%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Alec Bohm Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	0.3	-320	Fanatics Under 0.5 -320 \| exact	36.3%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.06x)	Batter Walks	Joc Pederson Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-215	Fanatics Under 0.5 -215 \| exact	35.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.06x)	Batter Walks	Moises Ballesteros Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-300	Fanatics Under 0.5 -300 \| exact	35.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.06x)	Batter Walks	Wyatt Langford Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-170	Fanatics Under 0.5 -170 \| exact	35.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.06x)	Batter Walks	Wade Meckler Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-265	Fanatics Under 0.5 -265 \| exact	35.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.06x)	Batter Walks	Evan Carter Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-170	Fanatics Under 0.5 -170 \| exact	35.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.06x)	Batter Walks	Vaughn Grissom Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-475	Fanatics Under 0.5 -475 \| exact	35.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.06x)	Batter Walks	Corey Seager Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-170	Fanatics Under 0.5 -170 \| exact	35.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-266	DK Under 0.5 -266 \| exact	35.6%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Alan Roden Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	0.3	-375	Fanatics Under 0.5 -375 \| exact	35.6%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Royce Lewis Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	0.3	-400	Fanatics Under 0.5 -400 \| exact	35.6%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Kaelen Culpepper Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	0.3	-475	Fanatics Under 0.5 -475 \| exact	35.6%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	J.T. Realmuto Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	0.3	-310	Fanatics Under 0.5 -310 \| exact	35.6%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Trevor Larnach Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	0.3	-255	Fanatics Under 0.5 -255 \| exact	35.6%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: [IL] Byron Buxton	Batter Walks	Byron Buxton Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	0.3	-400	Fanatics Under 0.5 -400 \| exact	35.6%	✓!!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Ryan Jeffers Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	0.3	-230	Fanatics Under 0.5 -230 \| exact	35.6%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-240	Fanatics Under 0.5 -240 \| exact	34.8%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Josh Naylor Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-425	DK Under 0.5 -425 \| exact	34.4%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Dansby Swanson Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	0.3	-320	Fanatics Under 0.5 -320 \| exact	34.1%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Julio Rodriguez Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-322	DK Under 0.5 -322 \| exact	33.6%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Hector Rodriguez Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-332	Fanatics Under 0.5 -300 \| best price	33.6%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	George Springer Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	0.3	-300	Fanatics Under 0.5 -300 \| exact	32.8%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Chase DeLauter Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-251	DK Under 0.5 -251 \| exact	31.6%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Esmerlyn Valdez Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-207	Fanatics Under 0.5 -180 \| best price	31.3%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Spencer Horwitz Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-207	Fanatics Under 0.5 -195 \| best price	31.3%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Griffin Conine Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-285	DK Under 0.5 -285 \| exact	31.3%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Heriberto Hernandez Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-319	Fanatics Under 0.5 -300 \| best price	31.3%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Ronny Simon Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-324	Fanatics Under 0.5 -320 \| best price	31.3%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Joe Mack Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-375	DK Under 0.5 -375 \| exact	31.3%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Henry Davis Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-378	Fanatics Under 0.5 -375 \| best price	31.3%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Owen Caissie Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-419	DK Under 0.5 -419 \| exact	31.3%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Jake Mangum Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-465	Fanatics Under 0.5 -425 \| best price	31.3%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Esteury Ruiz Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-506	DK Under 0.5 -506 \| exact	31.3%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Munetaka Murakami Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-168	Fanatics Under 0.5 -165 \| best price	30.3%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Tyler Stephenson Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-237	Fanatics Under 0.5 -230 \| best price	30.3%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Matt McLain Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-284	Fanatics Under 0.5 -245 \| best price	30.3%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Eugenio Suarez Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-300	DK Under 0.5 -300 \| exact	30.3%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Dane Myers Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-328	Fanatics Under 0.5 -320 \| best price	30.3%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Edgar Quero Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-370	DK Under 0.5 -370 \| exact	30.3%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Brenton Doyle Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-382	Fanatics Under 0.5 -375 \| best price	30.3%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Randal Grichuk Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-482	DK Under 0.5 -482 \| exact	30.3%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Ke'Bryan Hayes Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-516	Fanatics Under 0.5 -500 \| best price	30.3%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Spencer Jones Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-279	DK Under 0.5 -279 \| exact	29.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Dominic Canzone Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-315	DK Under 0.5 -315 \| exact	29.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Ryan McMahon Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-330	DK Under 0.5 -330 \| exact	29.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Weston Wilson Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-367	Fanatics Under 0.5 -265 \| best price	29.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Heliot Ramos Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-430	DK Under 0.5 -430 \| exact	29.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	George Lombard Jr. Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-445	DK Under 0.5 -445 \| exact	29.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Jhonny Pereda Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-425	Fanatics Under 0.5 -425 \| exact	29.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Leo Rivas Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-230	Fanatics Under 0.5 -230 \| exact	29.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Spencer Torkelson Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-199	DK Under 0.5 -199 \| exact	29.3%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Xavier Edwards Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-273	Fanatics Under 0.5 -270 \| best price	28.1%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.06x)	Batter Walks	Ezequiel Duran Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.4	-320	Fanatics Under 0.5 -320 \| exact	28.0%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Gleyber Torres Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-173	DK Under 0.5 -173 \| exact	27.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Max Clark Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-356	DK Under 0.5 -356 \| exact	27.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Ben Malgeri Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-374	DK Under 0.5 -374 \| exact	27.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Hao-Yu Lee Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-423	DK Under 0.5 -423 \| exact	27.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Patrick Bailey Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-453	DK Under 0.5 -453 \| exact	27.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Corey Julks Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-524	DK Under 0.5 -524 \| exact	27.8%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Batter Walks	Max Muncy Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.4	-255	Fanatics Under 0.5 -255 \| exact	27.0%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Trent Grisham Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	0.4	-203	DK Under 0.5 -203 \| exact	26.3%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Randy Arozarena Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	0.4	-307	Fanatics Under 0.5 -270 \| best price	25.9%	✓!!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.2% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Elias Diaz Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.4	-400	Fanatics Under 0.5 -400 \| exact	25.2%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.0% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Abimelec Ortiz Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	0.4	-320	Fanatics Under 0.5 -320 \| exact	25.0%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.0% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Michael Conforto Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	0.4	-225	Fanatics Under 0.5 -225 \| exact	25.0%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.0% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Dylan Crews Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	0.4	-400	Fanatics Under 0.5 -400 \| exact	25.0%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.0% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Miguel Amaya Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	0.4	-425	Fanatics Under 0.5 -425 \| exact	25.0%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.0% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Jorbit Vivas Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	0.4	-450	Fanatics Under 0.5 -450 \| exact	25.0%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.0% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Jose Tena Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	0.4	-425	Fanatics Under 0.5 -425 \| exact	25.0%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.7% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Sal Stewart Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-310	DK Under 0.5 -310 \| exact	24.7%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.8% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Jake Burger Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.4	-350	Fanatics Under 0.5 -350 \| exact	23.8%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.7% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Jakob Marsee Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-290	Fanatics Under 0.5 -270 \| best price	23.7%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.5% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Joey Ortiz Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.4	-475	Fanatics Under 0.5 -475 \| exact	22.5%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.5% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	David Hamilton Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.4	-320	Fanatics Under 0.5 -320 \| exact	22.5%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.5% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Luis Lara Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.4	-185	Fanatics Under 0.5 -185 \| exact	22.5%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.5% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Teoscar Hernandez Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.4	-330	Fanatics Under 0.5 -330 \| exact	22.5%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.5% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Christian Yelich Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.4	-225	Fanatics Under 0.5 -225 \| exact	22.5%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.5% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Mookie Betts Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.4	-320	Fanatics Under 0.5 -320 \| exact	22.5%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.5% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Tommy Edman Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.4	-375	Fanatics Under 0.5 -375 \| exact	22.5%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.5% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Miguel Rojas Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.4	-425	Fanatics Under 0.5 -425 \| exact	22.5%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.5% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Hunter Feduccia Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.4	-375	Fanatics Under 0.5 -375 \| exact	22.5%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.5% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Enrique Hernandez Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.4	-450	Fanatics Under 0.5 -450 \| exact	22.5%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.4% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Travis Bazzana Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-262	DK Under 0.5 -262 \| exact	22.4%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.7% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Ben Rice Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	0.4	-181	DK Under 0.5 -181 \| exact	21.7%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.1% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Brice Turang Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.6	+120	Fanatics Over 0.5 +120 \| exact	21.1%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.6% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Mike Trout Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.6	+105	Fanatics Over 0.5 +105 \| exact	20.6%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.3% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Steven Kwan Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-248	DK Under 0.5 -248 \| exact	20.3%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.0% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Jackson Chourio Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.4	-350	Fanatics Under 0.5 -350 \| exact	20.0%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.3% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Elly De La Cruz Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-190	Fanatics Under 0.5 -170 \| best price	17.3%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.2% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Jake Bauers Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.6	+105	Fanatics Over 0.5 +105 \| exact	17.2%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.1% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	William Contreras Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.4	-300	Fanatics Under 0.5 -300 \| exact	17.1%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.5% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Alex Bregman Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	0.4	-230	Fanatics Under 0.5 -230 \| exact	15.5%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.8% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Seiya Suzuki Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	0.4	-165	Fanatics Under 0.5 -165 \| exact	12.8%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.3% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Jose Ramirez Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-196	DK Under 0.5 -196 \| exact	12.3%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.8% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Brandon Nimmo Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.4	-210	Fanatics Under 0.5 -210 \| exact	11.8%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.7% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Bryson Stott Under	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	0.4	-195	Fanatics Under 0.5 -195 \| exact	11.7%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.7% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Pete Crow-Armstrong Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	0.5	-185	Fanatics Under 0.5 -185 \| exact	10.7%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.1% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Ian Happ Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	0.5	-135	Fanatics Under 0.5 -135 \| exact	9.1%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.9% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Nathaniel Lowe Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.5	-281	DK Under 0.5 -281 \| exact	8.9%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.9% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Brandon Lowe Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	0.5	-226	Fanatics Under 0.5 -185 \| best price	8.9%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.9% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Josh Lowe Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.5	-500	Fanatics Under 0.5 -500 \| exact	8.9%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.5% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Braden Montgomery Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.5	-279	DK Under 0.5 -279 \| exact	8.5%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.5% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Colson Montgomery Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.5	-343	DK Under 0.5 -343 \| exact	8.5%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.3% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Wilyer Abreu Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	0.5	-245	Fanatics Under 0.5 -245 \| exact	7.3%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.9% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Willson Contreras Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	0.5	+200	Fanatics Over 0.5 +200 \| exact	6.9%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.7% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Kevin McGonigle Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.5	+154	DK Over 0.5 +154 \| exact	6.7%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.8% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Michael Busch Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	0.5	-185	Fanatics Under 0.5 -185 \| exact	5.8%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	JJ Bleday Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.5	+122	DK Over 0.5 +122 \| exact	4.7%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.3% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Chase Meidroth Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.5	+154	Fanatics Over 0.5 +155 \| best price	4.3%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.2% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Garrett Mitchell Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.5	-170	Fanatics Under 0.5 -170 \| exact	2.2%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.4% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Shohei Ohtani Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.5	+160	Fanatics Over 0.5 +160 \| exact	1.4%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 64.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.97 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Nathaniel Lowe Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	2.5	-124	DK Over 1.5 -124 \| exact	64.4%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 64.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.97 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Brandon Lowe Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	2.5	-132	DK Over 1.5 -132 \| exact	64.4%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 58.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.88 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Brice Turang Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	2.4	-111	DK Over 1.5 -111 \| exact	58.6%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 57.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.86 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jackson Chourio Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	2.4	-121	DK Over 1.5 -121 \| exact	57.6%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 55.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.84 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Miguel Vargas Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	2.3	-119	DK Over 1.5 -119 \| exact	55.8%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 55.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.83 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	CJ Abrams Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	2.3	-129	DK Over 1.5 -129 \| exact	55.2%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 54.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.82 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Nick Gonzales Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	2.3	-139	DK Over 1.5 -139 \| exact	54.6%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 54.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.82 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Elly De La Cruz Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	2.3	-131	DK Over 1.5 -131 \| exact	54.6%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 54.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.81 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Shohei Ohtani Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	2.3	-143	DK Over 1.5 -143 \| exact	54.3%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 53.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.80 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Seiya Suzuki Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	2.3	-133	Caesars Over 1.5 -130 \| best price	53.3%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 52.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.79 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Bryan Reynolds Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	2.3	-120	DK Over 1.5 -120 \| exact	52.4%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 52.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.78 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Sal Stewart Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	2.3	-126	DK Over 1.5 -126 \| exact	52.2%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 48.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Kyle Schwarber Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	2.2	-122	Caesars Over 1.5 -117 \| best price	48.0%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 47.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Luis Arraez Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	2.2	-137	DK Over 1.5 -137 \| exact	47.3%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 45.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jake Bauers Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	2.2	+121	DK Over 1.5 +121 \| exact	45.4%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 41.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ben Rice Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	2.1	-106	DK Over 1.5 -106 \| exact	41.3%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 39.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Dillon Dingler Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	2.1	-122	Caesars Over 1.5 -118 \| best price	39.5%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Andy Pages Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	2.1	-123	DK Over 1.5 -123 \| exact	38.9%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 37.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Josh Bell Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	2.1	-107	DK Over 1.5 -107 \| exact	37.5%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 37.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Chase Meidroth Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	2.1	-131	DK Over 1.5 -131 \| exact	37.4%	✓✗✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 37.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Bryce Harper Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	2.1	-111	DK Over 1.5 -111 \| exact	37.2%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Otto Lopez Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	2.0	-144	Caesars Over 1.5 -137 \| best price	36.5%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Freddie Freeman Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	2.0	-114	DK Over 1.5 -114 \| exact	35.4%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Braden Montgomery Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	2.0	+105	DK Over 1.5 +105 \| exact	34.7%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Colson Montgomery Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	2.0	+107	DK Over 1.5 +107 \| exact	34.7%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	William Contreras Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	2.0	-103	DK Over 1.5 -103 \| exact	34.4%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Chase DeLauter Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	2.0	-138	DK Over 1.5 -138 \| exact	34.2%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Trea Turner Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	2.0	-123	DK Over 1.5 -123 \| exact	33.8%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Luis Garcia Jr. Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	2.0	-105	DK Over 1.5 -105 \| exact	31.7%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Kody Clemens Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.9	-110	DK Over 1.5 -110 \| exact	29.1%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 28.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Alex Bregman Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.9	-129	DK Over 1.5 -129 \| exact	28.3%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 28.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jarren Duran Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	1.5	1.9	-120	Fanatics Over 1.5 -120 \| exact	28.1%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Kevin McGonigle Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.9	-101	DK Over 1.5 -101 \| exact	26.8%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Nico Hoerner Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.9	-124	DK Over 1.5 -124 \| exact	26.5%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	JJ Bleday Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	1.9	+109	DK Over 1.5 +109 \| exact	25.5%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Mike Trout Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	1.5	1.9	+120	DK Over 1.5 +120 \| exact	25.5%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Michael Busch Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.9	-127	DK Over 1.5 -127 \| exact	25.1%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Daylen Lile Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.9	-105	DK Over 1.5 -105 \| exact	24.7%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Brandon Marsh Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.9	+112	Caesars Over 1.5 +113 \| best price	24.6%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ian Happ Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.8	-113	Caesars Over 1.5 -109 \| best price	20.8%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Brandon Nimmo Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	1.5	1.8	-110	DK Over 1.5 -110 \| exact	19.3%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Dansby Swanson Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.8	+110	DK Over 1.5 +110 \| exact	19.2%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ezequiel Duran Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	1.5	1.8	-101	DK Over 1.5 -101 \| exact	19.2%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Bryson Stott Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.8	-101	DK Over 1.5 -101 \| exact	18.7%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Trent Grisham Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	1.8	-106	DK Over 1.5 -106 \| exact	17.7%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jose Ramirez Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.8	-123	Caesars Over 1.5 -121 \| best price	17.2%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Kyle Tucker Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	1.8	+104	DK Over 1.5 +104 \| exact	16.4%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Nasim Nunez Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.3	-172	DK Under 1.5 -172 \| exact	15.4%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Brooks Lee Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.7	+116	DK Over 1.5 +116 \| exact	15.1%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jo Adell Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.7	-103	DK Over 1.5 -103 \| exact	14.4%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Garrett Mitchell Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	1.7	+119	DK Over 1.5 +119 \| exact	13.9%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jake Burger Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	1.5	1.7	+102	DK Over 1.5 +102 \| exact	13.8%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Xavier Edwards Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.7	-128	Caesars Over 1.5 -120 \| best price	13.3%	✓✗✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	1.5	1.7	-105	DK Over 1.5 -105 \| exact	12.7%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Julio Rodriguez Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	1.7	+102	DK Over 1.5 +102 \| exact	12.0%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Hector Rodriguez Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	1.7	+129	DK Over 1.5 +129 \| exact	12.0%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Nolan Schanuel Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	1.5	1.7	+112	DK Over 1.5 +112 \| exact	11.9%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Randy Arozarena Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	1.7	+103	DK Over 1.5 +103 \| exact	10.4%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Alec Bohm Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.7	+100	DK Over 1.5 +100 \| exact	10.3%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jakob Marsee Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-156	DK Under 1.5 -156 \| exact	10.2%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Dylan Crews Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.6	+105	DK Over 1.5 +105 \| exact	9.8%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Keibert Ruiz Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.6	+108	DK Over 1.5 +108 \| exact	9.8%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Michael Conforto Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.6	+112	Caesars Over 1.5 +116 \| best price	9.8%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Abimelec Ortiz Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.6	+122	DK Over 1.5 +122 \| exact	9.8%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	George Springer Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	1.5	1.6	+106	DK Over 1.5 +106 \| exact	9.2%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Kazuma Okamoto Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	1.5	1.6	+125	DK Over 1.5 +125 \| exact	8.1%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Tommy Edman Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	1.6	-120	DK Over 1.5 -120 \| exact	7.6%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Mookie Betts Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	1.6	-111	DK Over 1.5 -111 \| exact	7.6%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Teoscar Hernandez Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	1.6	+118	DK Over 1.5 +118 \| exact	7.6%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Andrew Vaughn Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	1.6	+127	DK Over 1.5 +127 \| exact	7.6%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Christian Yelich Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	1.6	+128	DK Over 1.5 +128 \| exact	7.6%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jake Mangum Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.6	-143	DK Over 1.5 -143 \| exact	5.8%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Spencer Horwitz Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.6	-123	Caesars Over 1.5 -120 \| best price	5.8%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Javier Sanoja Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.6	-105	Caesars Over 1.5 -102 \| best price	5.8%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ronny Simon Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.6	-105	DK Over 1.5 -105 \| exact	5.8%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Heriberto Hernandez Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+109	DK Over 1.5 +109 \| exact	5.8%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Griffin Conine Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+113	Caesars Over 1.5 +116 \| best price	5.8%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Esmerlyn Valdez Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+114	DK Over 1.5 +114 \| exact	5.8%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jacob Gonzalez Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+122	DK Over 1.5 +122 \| exact	5.8%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Taylor Ward Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	1.4	-138	Caesars Under 1.5 -132 \| best price	5.3%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	1.6	+120	DK Over 1.5 +120 \| exact	5.1%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Travis Bazzana Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+102	Caesars Over 1.5 +103 \| best price	4.8%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ernie Clement Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	1.5	1.6	+137	DK Over 1.5 +137 \| exact	4.7%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.2% vs 50% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Pete Crow-Armstrong Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	2.5	2.4	-155	Caesars Under 2.5 -154 \| best price	4.2%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Brayan Rocchio Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+118	Caesars Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	4.1%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Byron Buxton Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.5	-131	DK Over 1.5 -131 \| exact	2.7%	✓✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ryan Jeffers Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.5	-109	Caesars Over 1.5 -108 \| best price	2.7%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Trevor Larnach Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.5	+102	DK Over 1.5 +102 \| exact	2.7%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	J.T. Realmuto Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.5	+106	DK Over 1.5 +106 \| exact	2.7%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Royce Lewis Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.5	+106	DK Over 1.5 +106 \| exact	2.7%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Justin Crawford Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.5	+131	DK Over 1.5 +131 \| exact	2.7%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Steven Kwan Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.5	-101	Caesars Under 1.5 +100 \| best price	2.6%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Munetaka Murakami Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	1.5	-101	DK Over 1.5 -101 \| exact	2.2%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Randal Grichuk Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	1.5	-101	DK Over 1.5 -101 \| exact	2.2%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Tyler Stephenson Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+105	DK Over 1.5 +105 \| exact	2.2%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Edgar Quero Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+110	DK Over 1.5 +110 \| exact	2.2%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Brenton Doyle Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+114	DK Over 1.5 +114 \| exact	2.2%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Eugenio Suarez Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+120	DK Over 1.5 +120 \| exact	2.2%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Dane Myers Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+126	DK Over 1.5 +126 \| exact	2.2%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Angel Martinez Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.5	-110	DK Over 1.5 -110 \| exact	1.3%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Gleyber Torres Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.5	-103	DK Over 1.5 -103 \| exact	1.3%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Hao-Yu Lee Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.5	-101	DK Over 1.5 -101 \| exact	1.3%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Javier Baez Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+113	DK Over 1.5 +113 \| exact	1.3%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Patrick Bailey Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+116	DK Over 1.5 +116 \| exact	1.3%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Cole Young Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	1.5	+108	Caesars Over 1.5 +110 \| best price	1.1%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jacob Young Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.5	+131	DK Over 1.5 +131 \| exact	1.1%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Spencer Torkelson Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+106	Caesars Over 1.5 +110 \| best price	1.1%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Heliot Ramos Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	1.5	-112	Caesars Over 1.5 -106 \| best price	1.0%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Dominic Canzone Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	1.5	+106	DK Over 1.5 +106 \| exact	1.0%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Cal Raleigh Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	1.5	+118	DK Over 1.5 +118 \| exact	1.0%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Josh Naylor Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	1.5	-157	DK Under 1.5 -157 \| exact	1.0%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Alejandro Kirk Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	1.5	1.5	+115	DK Over 1.5 +115 \| exact	0.6%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Brett Bateman Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	1.5	1.5	+121	DK Over 1.5 +121 \| exact	0.6%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Charles McAdoo Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	1.5	1.5	+130	DK Over 1.5 +130 \| exact	0.6%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Wade Meckler Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	1.5	1.5	+122	DK Over 1.5 +122 \| exact	0.5%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Vaughn Grissom Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	1.5	1.5	+135	DK Over 1.5 +135 \| exact	0.5%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Wyatt Langford Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	1.5	1.5	-134	Caesars Over 1.5 -132 \| best price	0.5%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Corey Seager Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	1.5	1.5	-123	Caesars Over 1.5 -122 \| best price	0.5%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Joc Pederson Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	1.5	1.5	-123	DK Over 1.5 -123 \| exact	0.5%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Evan Carter Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	1.5	1.5	+116	DK Over 1.5 +116 \| exact	0.5%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 44.9% (1 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Josh Lowe Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	2.0	+110	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +110 \| exact	308.8%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.06x)	Batter Total Bas	Elias Diaz Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	1.8	-140	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -140 \| exact	267.0%	✗✓!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 47.2% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Colson Montgomery Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	1.8	-165	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -165 \| exact	254.8%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 47.2% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Braden Montgomery Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	1.8	-180	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -180 \| exact	254.8%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 44.7% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Jake Bauers Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	1.7	-140	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -140 \| exact	239.0%	✗✓✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Total Bas	Miguel Amaya Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	1.7	-130	BetOnline Over 0.5 -130 \| exact	233.6%	✗✓!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Total Bas	Keibert Ruiz Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	1.7	-165	BetMGM Over 0.5 -165 \| exact	233.6%	✗✓✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 46.8% (3 books) \| books against us 0% (3 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Dylan Crews Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	1.7	-175	BetMGM Over 0.5 -175 \| exact	233.6%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Total Bas	Michael Conforto Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	1.7	-135	BetOnline Over 0.5 -135 \| best price	233.6%	✗✓✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Total Bas	Jorbit Vivas Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	1.7	-155	BetOnline Over 0.5 -149 \| best price	233.6%	✗✓!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Total Bas	Carson Kelly Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	1.7	-175	BetMGM Over 0.5 -175 \| exact	233.6%	✗✓!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Total Bas	Jose Tena Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	1.7	-155	BetMGM Over 0.5 -155 \| exact	233.6%	✗✓!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 227% (≥150%) — verify projection	Batter Total Bas	Christian Yelich Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	1.6	-160	BetOnline Over 0.5 -130 \| best price	226.9%	✗✓!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 227% (≥150%) — verify projection	Batter Total Bas	Andrew Vaughn Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	1.6	-160	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -160 \| exact	226.9%	✗✓!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 227% (≥150%) — verify projection	Batter Total Bas	Elieser Hernández Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	1.6	-165	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -165 \| exact	226.9%	✗✓!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 44.6% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	David Hamilton Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	1.6	+100	BetOnline Over 0.5 +122 \| best price	226.9%	✗✓✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 40.2% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Luis Lara Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	1.6	-110	Fanatics Over 0.5 -110 \| exact	226.9%	✗✓✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.06x)	Batter Total Bas	Nicky Lopez Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	1.6	-140	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -140 \| exact	224.2%	✗✓!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 222% (≥150%) — verify projection	Batter Total Bas	Henry Davis Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	1.6	-135	BetOnline Over 0.5 -135 \| exact	221.5%	✗✓!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 44.8% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Jacob Gonzalez Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	1.6	-150	Fanatics Over 0.5 -150 \| exact	221.5%	✗✓✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 47.7% (1 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Joe Mack Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	1.6	-103	BetOnline Over 0.5 -103 \| exact	221.5%	✗✓✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 46.9% (1 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Owen Caissie Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	1.6	+100	BetOnline Over 0.5 +100 \| exact	221.5%	✗✓✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 47.7% (1 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Esteury Ruiz Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	1.6	-103	BetOnline Over 0.5 -103 \| exact	221.5%	✗✓✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 212% (≥150%) — verify projection	Batter Total Bas	Royce Lewis Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	1.6	-175	BetMGM Over 0.5 -175 \| exact	212.1%	✗✓✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 212% (≥150%) — verify projection	Batter Total Bas	J.T. Realmuto Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	1.6	-185	BetMGM Over 0.5 -185 \| exact	212.1%	✗✓✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 212% (≥150%) — verify projection	Batter Total Bas	Kaelen Culpepper Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	1.6	-135	BetMGM Over 0.5 -135 \| exact	212.1%	✗✓✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 212% (≥150%) — verify projection	Batter Total Bas	Justin Crawford Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	1.6	-185	BetOnline Over 0.5 -167 \| best price	212.1%	✗✓!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 49.7% (1 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Alan Roden Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	1.6	-112	BetOnline Over 0.5 -112 \| exact	212.1%	✗✓✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 47.4% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Eugenio Suarez Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	1.6	-165	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -165 \| exact	210.6%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 43.0% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Matt McLain Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	1.6	-140	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -140 \| exact	210.6%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 46.1% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Edgar Quero Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	1.6	-180	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -180 \| exact	210.6%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 45.6% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Dane Myers Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	1.6	-165	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -165 \| exact	210.6%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 46.8% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Munetaka Murakami Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	1.6	-160	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -160 \| exact	210.6%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 47.7% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Brenton Doyle Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	1.6	-180	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -180 \| exact	210.6%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Total Bas	Luisangel Acuna Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	1.6	-125	Fanatics Over 0.5 -125 \| exact	210.6%	✗✓!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Total Bas	Ke'Bryan Hayes Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	1.6	-120	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -120 \| exact	210.6%	✗✓!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 45.8% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Mike Trout Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	1.6	-140	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -140 \| exact	209.2%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Total Bas	Max Clark Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	1.5	-145	BetOnline Over 0.5 -135 \| best price	207.7%	✗✓!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Total Bas	Ben Malgeri Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	1.5	-130	BetOnline Over 0.5 -130 \| exact	207.7%	✗✓!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 43.8% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Cal Raleigh Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	1.5	-125	BetMGM Over 0.5 -125 \| exact	206.9%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Total Bas	Dominic Canzone Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	1.5	-165	BetMGM Over 0.5 -165 \| exact	206.9%	✗✓✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Total Bas	Spencer Jones Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	1.5	-155	BetOnline Over 0.5 -149 \| best price	206.9%	✗✓!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Total Bas	Ryan McMahon Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	1.5	-125	Caesars Over 0.5 -117 \| best price	206.9%	✗✓✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Total Bas	George Lombard Jr. Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	1.5	-125	BetOnline Over 0.5 -123 \| best price	206.9%	✗✓✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 47.1% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Austin Wells Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	1.5	-105	BetOnline Over 0.5 +103 \| best price	206.9%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 47.9% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Colt Emerson Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	1.5	-105	BetOnline Over 0.5 -103 \| best price	206.9%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 49.2% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Weston Wilson Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	1.5	-110	BetOnline Over 0.5 -110 \| best price	206.9%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 206% (≥150%) — verify projection	Batter Total Bas	Myles Straw Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	1.5	-135	BetOnline Over 0.5 -135 \| exact	205.7%	✗✓!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 206% (≥150%) — verify projection	Batter Total Bas	Nick Sogard Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	1.5	-156	BetOnline Over 0.5 -156 \| exact	205.7%	✗✓!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 206% (≥150%) — verify projection	Batter Total Bas	Charles McAdoo Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	1.5	-156	BetOnline Over 0.5 -156 \| exact	205.7%	✗✓!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 206% (≥150%) — verify projection	Batter Total Bas	Brett Bateman Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	1.5	-196	BetOnline Over 0.5 -196 \| exact	205.7%	✗✓!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 45.6% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Vaughn Grissom Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	1.5	-165	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -165 \| exact	205.4%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 45.6% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Wade Meckler Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	1.5	-165	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -165 \| exact	205.4%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.06x)	Batter Total Bas	Moises Ballesteros Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	1.5	-130	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -130 \| exact	205.4%	✗✓!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.06x)	Batter Total Bas	Denzer Guzman Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	1.5	-140	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -140 \| exact	205.4%	✗✓!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.06x)	Batter Total Bas	Evan Carter Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	1.5	-150	Fanatics Over 0.5 -150 \| exact	205.4%	✗✓!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 49.0% (1 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Tyler Heineman Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	1.5	-110	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -110 \| exact	205.4%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 44.4% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Zach Neto Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	1.5	-140	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -140 \| exact	204.4%	✗✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 184.5% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.92 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Brooks Lee Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	1.4	-190	Caesars Over 0.5 -182 \| best price	184.5%	✗✗✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 163.8% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.82 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ernie Clement Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	1.3	-164	BetOnline Over 0.5 -164 \| exact	163.8%	✗✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 143.5% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.72 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Cole Young Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	1.2	-190	BetOnline Over 0.5 -185 \| best price	143.5%	✗✗✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 143.5% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.72 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jacob Young Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	1.2	-140	BetMGM Over 0.5 -140 \| exact	143.5%	✗✗✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 136.5% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.68 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Josh Naylor Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	1.2	-185	Caesars Over 0.5 -179 \| best price	136.5%	✗✗✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 119.6% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.60 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Luke Keaschall Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	1.1	-190	BetMGM Over 0.5 -190 \| exact	119.6%	✗✗✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 97.5% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Andres Gimenez Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	1.0	-123	BetOnline Over 0.5 -123 \| exact	97.5%	✗✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 88.6% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jakob Marsee Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	0.5	0.9	-156	BetOnline Over 0.5 -156 \| exact	88.6%	✗✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 45.5% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Nasim Nunez Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	0.7	-140	BetOnline Over 0.5 -135 \| best price	45.5%	✗✗✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 37.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Kyle Schwarber Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	2.1	+112	BetMGM Over 0.5 -140 \| alt rescue	37.7%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Pete Crow-Armstrong Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	2.0	-117	BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 \| best price	36.9%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Nathaniel Lowe Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	2.0	+121	BetOnline Over 1.5 +122 \| best price	36.3%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Brandon Lowe Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	2.0	+109	BetOnline Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	36.3%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Willson Contreras Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	1.5	2.0	+127	BetOnline Over 1.5 +130 \| best price	31.5%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jackson Chourio Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	2.0	+110	BetOnline Over 1.5 +113 \| best price	31.1%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Elly De La Cruz Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	2.0	+118	DK Over 1.5 +118 \| exact	31.0%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Steven Kwan Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.0	-168	DK Under 1.5 -168 \| exact	30.6%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Wilyer Abreu Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	1.5	2.0	+115	BetOnline Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	30.4%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Taylor Ward Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	1.1	-200	BetOnline Under 1.5 -200 \| best price	30.1%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Shohei Ohtani Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	1.9	+100	BetOnline Over 1.5 +109 \| best price	29.6%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ceddanne Rafaela Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	1.5	1.9	+125	BetOnline Over 1.5 +130 \| best price	29.3%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Miguel Vargas Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	1.9	+117	BetOnline Over 1.5 +122 \| best price	29.1%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	CJ Abrams Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.9	+103	BetOnline Over 1.5 +104 \| best price	25.1%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ben Rice Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	1.9	+131	DK Over 1.5 +131 \| exact	24.7%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	1.5	1.2	-174	Caesars Under 1.5 -170 \| best price	21.9%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Sal Stewart Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	1.8	+120	DK Over 1.5 +120 \| exact	21.7%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Brayan Rocchio Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.2	-270	BetOnline Under 1.5 -270 \| exact	20.9%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Seiya Suzuki Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.8	+117	BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	18.7%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Brice Turang Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	1.8	+132	BetOnline Over 1.5 +136 \| best price	18.4%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Dillon Dingler Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.8	+114	BetOnline Over 1.5 +126 \| best price	18.1%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Luis Garcia Jr. Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	1.8	+140	DK Over 1.5 +140 \| exact	17.6%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Luis Arraez Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.7	+115	BetOnline Over 1.5 +122 \| best price	16.1%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Kody Clemens Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.7	+117	BetOnline Over 1.5 +128 \| best price	15.7%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Xavier Edwards Under	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.3	-159	DK Under 1.5 -159 \| exact	15.6%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Bryce Harper Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.7	+126	DK Over 1.5 +126 \| exact	15.5%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Spencer Torkelson Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.3	-208	BetOnline Under 1.5 -208 \| exact	15.1%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Travis Bazzana Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.3	-208	BetOnline Under 1.5 -208 \| exact	14.8%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Bryan Reynolds Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.7	+134	BetOnline Over 1.5 +139 \| best price	14.6%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Randy Arozarena Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	1.3	-200	BetMGM Under 1.5 -160 \| best price	14.5%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Freddie Freeman Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	1.7	+130	BetOnline Over 1.5 +132 \| best price	13.5%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Kazuma Okamoto Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	1.5	1.3	-250	BetOnline Under 1.5 -250 \| exact	13.3%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jose Ramirez Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.3	-157	DK Under 1.5 -157 \| exact	13.1%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	JJ Bleday Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	1.7	+140	BetOnline Over 1.5 +144 \| best price	12.0%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Abimelec Ortiz Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.7	+130	BetMGM Over 1.5 +130 \| exact	11.2%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Andy Pages Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	1.6	+120	DK Over 1.5 +120 \| exact	9.3%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Tommy Edman Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	1.6	+128	BetOnline Over 1.5 +132 \| best price	9.0%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Mookie Betts Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	1.6	+140	DK Over 1.5 +140 \| exact	9.0%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Miguel Rojas Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	1.6	+204	BetOnline Over 1.5 +204 \| exact	9.0%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Teoscar Hernandez Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	1.6	+167	BetOnline Over 1.5 +167 \| exact	9.0%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Nick Gonzales Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+119	BetOnline Over 1.5 +122 \| best price	8.9%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ezequiel Duran Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	1.5	1.4	-190	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -190 \| exact	8.9%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jake Burger Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	1.5	1.4	-180	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -180 \| exact	8.8%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Chase DeLauter Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+115	DK Over 1.5 +115 \| exact	8.4%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Trent Grisham Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	1.4	-178	Caesars Under 1.5 -170 \| best price	8.3%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Otto Lopez Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+109	BetOnline Over 1.5 +117 \| best price	8.1%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jo Adell Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-169	BetOnline Under 1.5 -169 \| exact	7.7%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Brandon Nimmo Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	1.5	1.6	+139	BetOnline Over 1.5 +146 \| best price	7.3%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Griffin Conine Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+164	BetOnline Over 1.5 +164 \| exact	7.2%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Spencer Horwitz Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+127	BetOnline Over 1.5 +139 \| best price	7.2%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Javier Sanoja Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+145	BetOnline Over 1.5 +149 \| best price	7.2%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ronny Simon Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+164	BetOnline Over 1.5 +164 \| exact	7.2%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jake Mangum Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+118	DK Over 1.5 +118 \| exact	7.2%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Heriberto Hernandez Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+164	BetOnline Over 1.5 +164 \| exact	7.2%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Esmerlyn Valdez Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+164	BetOnline Over 1.5 +164 \| exact	7.2%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Nico Hoerner Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.4	-179	Caesars Under 1.5 -173 \| best price	6.8%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Kevin McGonigle Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-190	BetOnline Under 1.5 -189 \| best price	6.0%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Max Muncy Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	1.6	+164	BetOnline Over 1.5 +164 \| exact	5.2%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Julio Rodriguez Under	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	1.4	-188	BetMGM Under 1.5 -165 \| best price	4.9%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Michael Busch Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.4	-157	DK Under 1.5 -157 \| exact	4.3%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Caleb Durbin Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	1.5	1.4	-222	BetOnline Under 1.5 -222 \| exact	4.3%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Trea Turner Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.6	+113	Caesars Over 1.5 +114 \| best price	4.2%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Byron Buxton Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.6	+100	BetOnline Over 1.5 +102 \| best price	4.0%	✓✗✗–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ryan Jeffers Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.6	+128	BetOnline Over 1.5 +134 \| best price	4.0%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Trevor Larnach Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.6	+120	BetOnline Over 1.5 +149 \| best price	4.0%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Josh Bell Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.6	+132	BetOnline Over 1.5 +134 \| best price	3.8%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Tyler Stephenson Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+150	BetOnline Over 1.5 +158 \| best price	3.5%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Randal Grichuk Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+140	BetOnline Over 1.5 +144 \| best price	3.5%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	William Contreras Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	1.5	1.4	-199	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -180 \| best price	3.1%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Javier Baez Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+178	BetOnline Over 1.5 +178 \| exact	2.6%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Angel Martinez Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+125	BetOnline Over 1.5 +128 \| best price	2.6%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Hao-Yu Lee Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+155	BetOnline Over 1.5 +155 \| exact	2.6%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Gleyber Torres Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+164	BetOnline Over 1.5 +164 \| exact	2.6%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Patrick Bailey Over	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+174	BetOnline Over 1.5 +174 \| exact	2.6%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Heliot Ramos Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	1.5	1.5	+130	BetMGM Over 1.5 +140 \| best price	2.3%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Chase Meidroth Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+136	BetOnline Over 1.5 +139 \| best price	1.9%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Alejandro Kirk Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	1.5	1.5	+178	BetOnline Over 1.5 +178 \| exact	1.9%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Masataka Yoshida Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	1.5	1.5	+104	BetOnline Over 1.5 +106 \| best price	1.9%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Andruw Monasterio Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	1.5	1.5	+182	BetOnline Over 1.5 +182 \| exact	1.9%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Adley Rutschman Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	1.5	1.5	+120	BetOnline Over 1.5 +128 \| best price	1.9%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Wyatt Langford Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	1.5	1.5	+112	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	1.8%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Corey Seager Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	1.5	1.5	+126	BetOnline Over 1.5 +139 \| best price	1.8%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Joc Pederson Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	1.5	1.5	+121	BetOnline Over 1.5 +122 \| best price	1.8%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Alex Bregman Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.5	-165	Caesars Under 1.5 -162 \| best price	1.2%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jarren Duran Under	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	1.5	1.5	-181	Caesars Under 1.5 -164 \| best price	1.1%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Brandon Marsh Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	1.5	1.5	+130	BetOnline Over 1.5 +158 \| best price	0.7%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ian Happ Under	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.5	-184	Caesars Under 1.5 -182 \| best price	0.6%	✓✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Daylen Lile Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	1.5	1.5	+127	DK Over 1.5 +127 \| exact	0.4%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Total	Over 7.5	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	7.5	-	-115	MyBookie Over 7.5 -109 \| best price	+17.3%	–✓–––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.020/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Steven Kwan Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-3000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3000 \| exact	96.7%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Wyatt Langford Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.0	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Wade Meckler Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.0	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Vaughn Grissom Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.0	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Corey Seager Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.0	-750	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -750 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Evan Carter Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.0	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Tyler Heineman Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.0	-3500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Denzer Guzman Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.0	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Moises Ballesteros Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.0	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Joc Pederson Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.0	-600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Gleyber Torres Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| exact	93.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Javier Baez Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| exact	93.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Angel Genao Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| exact	93.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Hao-Yu Lee Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	93.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Patrick Bailey Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1100	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1100 \| exact	93.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Max Clark Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| exact	93.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Ben Malgeri Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| exact	93.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Tyler Stephenson Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	93.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Edgar Quero Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| exact	93.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Dane Myers Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| exact	93.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Eugenio Suarez Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| exact	93.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Matt McLain Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| exact	93.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Luisangel Acuna Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| exact	93.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Randal Grichuk Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| exact	93.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Munetaka Murakami Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-650	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 \| exact	93.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Brenton Doyle Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	93.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Ke'Bryan Hayes Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-3000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3000 \| exact	93.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Mookie Betts Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.0	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	93.1%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	David Hamilton Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.0	-3000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3000 \| exact	93.1%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Andrew Vaughn Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.0	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	93.1%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Elieser Hernández Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.0	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| exact	93.1%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Tommy Edman Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.0	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	93.1%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Christian Yelich Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.0	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| exact	93.1%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Nolan Schanuel Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.1	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| exact	87.1%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Nicky Lopez Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.1	-5000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -5000 \| exact	86.6%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Brayan Rocchio Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| exact	86.0%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Garrett Mitchell Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.1	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	85.6%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Kyle Tucker Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.1	-1100	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1100 \| exact	82.5%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Kevin McGonigle Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| exact	82.2%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Travis Bazzana Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	81.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	William Contreras Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.1	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	80.4%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Ezequiel Duran Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.1	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| exact	79.2%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jose Ramirez Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| exact	79.0%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Chase Meidroth Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| exact	78.8%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Brandon Nimmo Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.1	-1100	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1100 \| exact	78.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Freddie Freeman Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.1	-1100	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1100 \| exact	75.7%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Chase DeLauter Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	75.6%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jo Adell Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| exact	72.3%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Brice Turang Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.1	-1100	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1100 \| exact	72.0%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Spencer Torkelson Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-750	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -750 \| exact	70.9%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Elias Diaz Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.1	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| exact	70.4%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Hector Rodriguez Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	70.4%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Andy Pages Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.1	-700	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 \| exact	70.3%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jake Burger Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.1	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| exact	70.0%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Zach Neto Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.2	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| exact	68.6%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Mike Trout Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.2	-650	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 \| exact	62.3%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jake Bauers Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.2	-650	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 \| exact	60.9%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jackson Chourio Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.2	-650	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 \| exact	60.5%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Elly De La Cruz Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| exact	59.5%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.210/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Dillon Dingler Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	57.8%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.210/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Sal Stewart Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| exact	57.3%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.230/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Shohei Ohtani Under	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	0.2	-450	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -450 \| exact	54.9%	–✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.230/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	JJ Bleday Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| exact	53.7%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.240/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Miguel Vargas Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-700	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 \| exact	52.8%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.240/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Nathaniel Lowe Under	GUA@TIG	1:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| exact	52.2%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.240/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Josh Lowe Under	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	0.2	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	52.2%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.250/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Colson Montgomery Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-700	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 \| exact	50.7%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.250/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Braden Montgomery Under	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| exact	50.7%	–✗!––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
► Watch Signals
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.1% vs 17% min using selected line 6.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Jacob deGrom Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	6.5	7.4	-131	BetOnline Over 6.5 -123 \| best price	14.1%	✓✗✓✓––	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.8% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Taj Bradley Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	5.5	6.2	-146	BetMGM Over 5.5 -120 \| best price	12.8%	✓✗✓✓––	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.4% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Braxton Ashcraft Over	PIR@MAR	1:11 PM	5.5	6.1	-134	FanDuel Over 5.5 -125 \| best price	11.4%	✓✗✓✓––	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.1% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Max Fried Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	5.5	5.8	-149	BetMGM Over 5.5 -120 \| best price	5.1%	✓✗✓✓––	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.2% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Davis Martin Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	4.5	4.5	-128	Fanatics Over 4.5 -115 \| best price	0.2%	✓✗✓✓––	Watch Signal
D	◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 185.3% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.93 <= 1 min	Batter Total Bas	Hector Rodriguez Over	RED@SOX	2:11 PM	0.5	1.4	-165	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -165 \| exact	185.3%	✗✗✗––!	Watch Signal
D	◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 184.5% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.92 <= 1 min	Batter Total Bas	Bryson Stott Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	1.4	-190	BetMGM Over 0.5 -190 \| exact	184.5%	✗✗✗–––	Watch Signal
D	◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 174.4% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.87 <= 1 min	Batter Total Bas	George Springer Over	SOX@JAY	3:08 PM	0.5	1.4	-170	Fanatics Over 0.5 -170 \| exact	174.4%	✗✗✗–––	Watch Signal
D	◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 161.0% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.81 <= 1 min	Batter Total Bas	Nolan Schanuel Over	RAN@ANG	10:08 PM	0.5	1.3	-190	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -190 \| exact	161.0%	✗✗✗––!	Watch Signal
D	◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 157.0% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.79 <= 1 min	Batter Total Bas	Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over	MAR@YAN	1:36 PM	0.5	1.3	-140	Caesars Over 0.5 -137 \| best price	157.0%	✗✗✗––!	Watch Signal
D	◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 156.4% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.78 <= 1 min	Batter Total Bas	Garrett Mitchell Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	1.3	-150	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -150 \| exact	156.4%	✗✗✗–––	Watch Signal
D	◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 156.1% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.78 <= 1 min	Batter Total Bas	Alec Bohm Over	PHI@TWI	7:30 PM	0.5	1.3	-190	BetMGM Over 0.5 -190 \| exact	156.1%	✗✗✗–––	Watch Signal
D	◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 153.1% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.77 <= 1 min	Batter Total Bas	Dansby Swanson Over	CUB@NAT	4:06 PM	0.5	1.3	-155	BetMGM Over 0.5 -155 \| exact	153.1%	✗✗✗––!	Watch Signal
D	◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 144.0% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.72 <= 1 min	Batter Total Bas	Kyle Tucker Over	BRE@DOD	10:10 PM	0.5	1.2	-180	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -180 \| exact	144.0%	✗✗✗–––	Watch Signal

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