| Market | Trust | Season N | Season WR | Season P&L | 14d N | 14d WR | 14d P&L | Grade A N | Grade A WR | Review-only N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | 517 | 56% | -11.70u | 68 | 47% | -12.23u | 242 | 57% | 64 |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | 459 | 58% | +9.05u | 61 | 51% | -6.80u | 4 | 50% | 6 |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | 160 | 57% | +4.51u | 21 | 76% | +6.77u | 44 | 64% | 1 |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | 1587 | 74% | -27.77u | 956 | 75% | -19.61u | 8 | 75% | 134 |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | 512 | 57% | -17.75u | 111 | 53% | -10.28u | 1 | 100% | 9 |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | 379 | 61% | -5.29u | 91 | 65% | +5.55u | 0 | - | 11 |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | 52 | 71% | +0.02u | 15 | 53% | -3.88u | 0 | - | 23 |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | 34 | 53% | -0.50u | 3 | 33% | -1.16u | 0 | - | 37 |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | 28 | 48% | +4.54u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | 10 | 30% | -4.27u | 1 | 100% | +0.91u | 0 | - | 0 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | 6 | 50% | +2.85u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | 4 | 25% | -1.00u | 1 | 0% | -1.00u | 0 | - | 2 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | 3 | 67% | -1.00u | 1 | 0% | -1.00u | 0 | - | 2 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 116 | 47% | -12.87u | 8 | 75% | +2.24u | 2 | 50% | 8 |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 55 | 40% | -9.78u | 5 | 60% | +0.73u | 1 | 100% | 7 |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 26 | 54% | -1.69u | 25 | 56% | -0.69u | 1 | 0% | 6 |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 568 | 52% | -53.29u | 77 | 60% | +3.73u | 85 | 53% | 355 |
Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from Best/Good settled tracker performance; review-only rows are shown separately.
| Market | Current Stage | Next Stage | Progress | Promotion Blockers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 2/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 3/4 | 14d P&L non-negative |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 4/4 | No blocker |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 3/5 | season P&L positive; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 4/5 | 14d P&L non-negative |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 0/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 0/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 0/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52% |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52% |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 🔬 Research | 3/5 | diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative |
Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.
| Pitcher | Game | Overall | Whiff | Contact | Arsenal | Top Pitch | Notes / Data Gaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs | 74.3 | 78.5 | 77.5 | 6 | Changeup (54% whiff, 12% usage) | Savant whiff 35.0%, put-away 24.7%, xwOBA 0.260, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Cristopher Sánchez | Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals | 66.5 | 72.9 | 65.5 | 3 | Changeup (46% whiff, 38% usage) | Savant whiff 31.7%, put-away 25.8%, xwOBA 0.284, arsenal coverage 3 pitch type(s) |
| Bryce Miller | Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers | 66.4 | 55.4 | 80.0 | 7 | Split-Finger (35% whiff, 24% usage) | Savant whiff 26.4%, put-away 18.9%, xwOBA 0.255, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Braxton Ashcraft | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers | 60.6 | 59.5 | 64.5 | 5 | Curveball (40% whiff, 26% usage) | Savant whiff 26.2%, put-away 23.4%, xwOBA 0.286, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Ranger Suarez | Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox | 57.4 | 54.1 | 64.5 | 6 | Curveball (44% whiff, 16% usage) | Savant whiff 23.8%, put-away 22.9%, xwOBA 0.286, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Nolan McLean | New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians | 57.1 | 59.0 | 61.0 | 7 | Curveball (40% whiff, 14% usage) | Savant whiff 25.8%, put-away 23.8%, xwOBA 0.293, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Mason Barnett | Athletics vs Cincinnati Reds | 51.4 | 50.8 | 53.5 | 5 | Slider (31% whiff, 24% usage) | Savant whiff 22.7%, put-away 21.8%, xwOBA 0.308, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Dustin May | Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates | 51.1 | 49.5 | 54.5 | 6 | Sweeper (31% whiff, 20% usage) | Savant whiff 22.7%, put-away 20.3%, xwOBA 0.306, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Foster Griffin | Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets | 50.3 | 50.7 | 51.5 | 7 | Sweeper (34% whiff, 14% usage) | Savant whiff 24.6%, put-away 17.8%, xwOBA 0.312, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Brandon Young | Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Angels | 47.0 | 48.3 | 47.5 | 5 | Slider (42% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 23.0%, put-away 18.7%, xwOBA 0.320, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Michael Wacha | Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins | 47.0 | 44.3 | 50.5 | 6 | Changeup (29% whiff, 24% usage) | Savant whiff 21.4%, put-away 17.8%, xwOBA 0.314, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Framber Valdez | Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners | 45.4 | 42.9 | 47.5 | 5 | Curveball (32% whiff, 29% usage) | Savant whiff 21.1%, put-away 17.0%, xwOBA 0.320, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Janson Junk | Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves | 43.5 | 32.3 | 52.0 | 6 | Changeup (29% whiff, 19% usage) | Savant whiff 16.6%, put-away 15.4%, xwOBA 0.311, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Andrew Abbott | Cincinnati Reds vs Athletics | 43.4 | 44.0 | 41.0 | 5 | Changeup (37% whiff, 18% usage) | Savant whiff 22.6%, put-away 15.1%, xwOBA 0.333, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Walker Buehler | San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks | 43.4 | 41.7 | 45.0 | 7 | Slider (29% whiff, 10% usage) | Savant whiff 20.0%, put-away 18.0%, xwOBA 0.325, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Bailey Ober | Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals | 43.2 | 39.5 | 45.0 | 6 | Sweeper (39% whiff, 12% usage) | Savant whiff 20.0%, put-away 15.8%, xwOBA 0.325, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Ryan Johnson | Los Angeles Angels vs Baltimore Orioles | 43.0 | 46.3 | 32.0 | 4 | Split-Finger (35% whiff, 26% usage) | Savant whiff 24.4%, put-away 13.8%, xwOBA 0.351, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Martín Pérez | Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins | 42.9 | 41.6 | 45.5 | 5 | Changeup (34% whiff, 30% usage) | Savant whiff 20.4%, put-away 17.2%, xwOBA 0.324, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Luis Castillo | Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox | 42.8 | 43.9 | 39.0 | 4 | 4-Seam Fastball (27% whiff, 44% usage) | Savant whiff 23.0%, put-away 14.2%, xwOBA 0.337, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| David Peterson | Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue Jays | 41.2 | 44.0 | 36.0 | 5 | Curveball (33% whiff, 11% usage) | Savant whiff 21.1%, put-away 18.1%, xwOBA 0.343, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Miles Mikolas | Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies | 31.6 | 26.5 | 31.0 | 6 | Curveball (23% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 15.4%, put-away 11.9%, xwOBA 0.353, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Kohl Drake | Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres | 27.6 | 53.0 | 0.0 | 5 | Changeup (38% whiff, 18% usage) | Savant whiff 26.6%, put-away 16.0%, xwOBA 0.417, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.
| Pitcher | Team | Hand | Season K% | Recent IP | Season IP | K IP | Pitch Ct | Leash | Savant | Contact | HR Vuln | Quality | Flags / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kohl Drake | Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres | L | 21.5% | 4.3 | 4.3 | 5.1 | 72 | short | full | 0.00 | 100.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.3 IP/start |
| Mason Barnett | Athletics vs Cincinnati Reds | R | 19.8% | 2.4 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 40 | short | full | 53.50 | 46.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 2.4 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.7% |
| Martín Pérez | Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins | L | 17.1% | 5.0 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 84 | short | full | 45.50 | 54.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.0 IP/start |
| Brandon Young | Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Angels | R | 20.2% | 6.1 | 5.7 | 5.8 | 102 | deep | full | 47.50 | 52.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Ranger Suarez | Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox | L | 27.3% | 4.5 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 76 | short | full | 64.50 | 35.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.5 IP/start |
| David Peterson | Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue Jays | L | 18.3% | 5.1 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 86 | short | full | 36.00 | 64.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.1 IP/start, low-K contact opponent 19.5% |
| Luis Castillo | Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox | R | 17.3% | 5.8 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 97 | normal | full | 39.00 | 61.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Andrew Abbott | Cincinnati Reds vs Athletics | L | 18.5% | 5.4 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 91 | normal | full | 41.00 | 59.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Foster Griffin | Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets | L | 19.5% | 6.1 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 102 | deep | full | 51.50 | 48.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Framber Valdez | Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners | L | 17.8% | 6.0 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 101 | deep | full | 47.50 | 52.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Michael Wacha | Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins | R | 20.4% | 5.8 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 97 | normal | full | 50.50 | 49.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Ryan Johnson | Los Angeles Angels vs Baltimore Orioles | R | 19.4% | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 70 | short | full | 32.00 | 68.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.2 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.2% |
| Janson Junk | Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves | R | 18.8% | 4.6 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 77 | short | full | 52.00 | 48.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.6 IP/start |
| Dustin May | Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates | R | 24.1% | 4.8 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 80 | short | full | 54.50 | 45.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.8 IP/start |
| Bailey Ober | Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals | R | 17.4% | 4.9 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 82 | short | full | 45.00 | 55.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.9 IP/start |
| Nolan McLean | New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians | R | 28.2% | 6.0 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 101 | deep | full | 61.00 | 39.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.7% |
| Cristopher Sánchez | Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals | L | 26.9% | 5.4 | 6.3 | 6.1 | 91 | normal | full | 65.50 | 34.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Braxton Ashcraft | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers | R | 25.2% | 4.8 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 80 | short | full | 64.50 | 35.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.8 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.7% |
| Walker Buehler | San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks | R | 18.5% | 4.3 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 72 | short | full | 45.00 | 55.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.3 IP/start, low-K contact opponent 19.2% |
| Bryce Miller | Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers | R | 22.5% | 5.5 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 92 | normal | full | 80.00 | 20.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Dylan Cease | Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs | R | 35.7% | 7.2 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 121 | deep | full | 77.50 | 22.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.9% |
| Miles Mikolas | Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies | R | 10.4% | 4.6 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 77 | short | full | 31.00 | 69.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.6 IP/start |
Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.
| Pitcher | Side | Game | Line | Proj | Gap | Edge / DIFF% | Grade | Rec | Status | Leash | K IP | Pitch Ct | Quality | Gate Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott | Andrew Abbott Under | Athletics @ Cincinnati Reds | 17.5 | 14.9 | -2.6 | 14.8% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.3 | 91 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 14.8% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap -2.59 <= 3 min |
| Cristopher Sanchez | Cristopher Sanchez Over | Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies | 18.5 | 20.5 | 2.0 | 10.8% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 6.1 | 91 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 10.8% vs 10% min using selected line 18.5 clears, but raw gap +2.01 <= 3 min |
| Nolan McLean | Nolan McLean Over | New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians | 17.5 | 18.8 | 1.3 | 7.2% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | deep | 6.0 | 101 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.2% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
| Brandon Young | Brandon Young Over | Los Angeles Angels @ Baltimore Orioles | 17.5 | 18.1 | 0.6 | 3.5% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | deep | 5.8 | 102 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.5% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
| Bryce Miller | Bryce Miller Over | Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners | 17.5 | 18.0 | 0.5 | 2.6% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.7 | 92 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.6% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
| Framber Valdez | Framber Valdez Under | Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners | 17.5 | 17.3 | -0.2 | 1.0% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | deep | 5.6 | 101 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.0% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
| Michael Wacha | Michael Wacha Under | Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals | 18.5 | 18.5 | -0.0 | 0.0% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 6.2 | 97 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 10% min using selected line 18.5 |
QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.
| Grade | Signal | Type | Side | Game | Time (ET) | Line | Proj | Odds | Best Book / Line | Edge/Diff | Signal Breakdown ✓!✗– | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ► Best Signals | ||||||||||||
| A | ✅ Best Signal K final QC: opposing lineup not confirmed, juiced K over -157, pitch-type boost on 15% usage pitch | K Prop | Brandon Young Over | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 4.5 | 6.2 | -157 | DK Over 4.5 -157 | exact | 37.2% | ✓✓✓✓–– | Best Signal |
| ► Add Signals | ||||||||||||
| B | 🔬 Research Only Heavy juice (-164); break-even ~62%, requires clean execution | K Prop | Miles Mikolas Under | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 3.5 | 2.0 | -164 | FanDuel Under 3.5 -160 | best price | 42.6% | ✓✓!✓–– | Add Signal |
| ► Lean Signals (Derisked) | ||||||||||||
| B (Weak) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 47.6% (1 books) — posture note at C | K Prop | Dylan Cease Over | JAY@CUB | 2:21 PM | 7.5 | 10.7 | -102 | FanDuel Over 7.5 -102 | exact | 42.2% | ✓✓✗✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 22.2% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 clears, but raw gap -1.00 <= 1 min — posture note at D | K Prop | Mason Barnett Under | ATH@RED | 12:40 PM | 4.5 | 3.5 | -103 | DK Under 4.5 -103 | exact | 22.2% | ✓✗✗✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.2% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Michael Wacha Over | TWI@ROY | 7:41 PM | 4.5 | 5.0 | +113 | DK Over 4.5 +113 | exact | 12.2% | ✓✗✗✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.5% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Nolan McLean Over | MET@GUA | 1:11 PM | 5.5 | 6.0 | -144 | DK Over 5.5 -144 | exact | 9.5% | ✓✗!✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.7% vs 17% min using selected line 3.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Bailey Ober Over | TWI@ROY | 7:41 PM | 3.5 | 3.8 | -162 | DK Over 3.5 -162 | exact | 7.7% | ✓✗!✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.7% vs 17% min using selected line 3.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Janson Junk Under | MAR@BRA | 7:16 PM | 3.5 | 3.3 | -115 | FanDuel Under 3.5 -115 | exact | 6.7% | ✓✗!✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.9% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Ryan Johnson Over | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 4.5 | 4.8 | -103 | FanDuel Over 4.5 +102 | best price | 5.9% | ✓✗✗✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.8% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Bryce Miller Over | TIG@MAR | 4:11 PM | 5.5 | 5.8 | -110 | DK Over 5.5 -110 | exact | 5.8% | ✓✗!!–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.4% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Martin Perez Under | MAR@BRA | 7:16 PM | 4.5 | 4.3 | -172 | FanDuel Under 4.5 -172 | exact | 5.4% | ✓✗!✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.1% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Framber Valdez Over | TIG@MAR | 4:11 PM | 4.5 | 4.7 | -155 | DK Over 4.5 -155 | exact | 4.1% | ✓✗!✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.8% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Ranger Suarez Under | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 5.5 | 5.3 | +112 | FanDuel Under 5.5 +116 | best price | 3.8% | ✓✗!!–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.7% vs 17% min using selected line 3.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | David Peterson Under | JAY@CUB | 2:21 PM | 3.5 | 3.4 | +104 | DK Under 3.5 +104 | exact | 1.7% | ✓✗!✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.4% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Andrew Abbott Over | ATH@RED | 12:40 PM | 4.5 | 4.5 | -121 | DK Over 4.5 -121 | exact | 0.4% | ✓✗!✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 14.8% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap -2.59 <= 3 min — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Andrew Abbott Under | ATH@RED | 12:40 PM | 17.5 | 14.9 | +105 | DK Under 17.5 +105 | exact | 14.8% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 10.8% vs 10% min using selected line 18.5 clears, but raw gap +2.01 <= 3 min — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Cristopher Sanchez Over | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 18.5 | 20.5 | -131 | DK Over 18.5 -131 | exact | 10.8% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.2% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Nolan McLean Over | MET@GUA | 1:11 PM | 17.5 | 18.8 | -158 | Caesars Over 17.5 -154 | best price | 7.2% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.5% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Brandon Young Over | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 17.5 | 18.1 | -118 | DK Over 17.5 -118 | exact | 3.5% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.6% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Bryce Miller Over | TIG@MAR | 4:11 PM | 17.5 | 18.0 | -159 | DK Over 17.5 -159 | exact | 2.6% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.0% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Framber Valdez Under | TIG@MAR | 4:11 PM | 17.5 | 17.3 | +103 | DK Under 17.5 +103 | exact | 1.0% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 10% min using selected line 18.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Michael Wacha Under | TWI@ROY | 7:41 PM | 18.5 | 18.5 | -179 | DK Under 18.5 -179 | exact | 0.0% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Caleb Durbin Under | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -273 | DK Under 1.5 -273 | exact | 42.5% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Ryan Jeffers Under | TWI@ROY | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -256 | DK Under 1.5 -256 | exact | 42.3% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 37.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Alec Bohm Under | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -215 | BetOnline Under 1.5 -213 | best price | 37.8% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 37.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Sal Stewart Under | ATH@RED | 12:40 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -272 | DK Under 1.5 -272 | exact | 37.7% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Bryce Harper Under | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -221 | DK Under 1.5 -221 | exact | 35.7% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under | JAY@CUB | 2:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -271 | DK Under 1.5 -271 | exact | 35.5% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Gunnar Henderson Under | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -246 | BetOnline Under 1.5 -233 | best price | 34.3% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Pete Alonso Under | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -269 | DK Under 1.5 -269 | exact | 33.4% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Bo Bichette Under | MET@GUA | 1:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -241 | DK Under 1.5 -241 | exact | 33.0% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 32.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Wilyer Abreu Under | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -229 | DK Under 1.5 -229 | exact | 32.1% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Nolan Schanuel Under | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -247 | DK Under 1.5 -247 | exact | 30.3% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Ceddanne Rafaela Under | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -237 | DK Under 1.5 -237 | exact | 24.7% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Trea Turner Under | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -170 | BetOnline Under 1.5 -169 | best price | 24.7% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Brandon Marsh Under | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -272 | BetOnline Under 1.5 -256 | best price | 24.7% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Bobby Witt Jr. Under | TWI@ROY | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -269 | DK Under 1.5 -269 | exact | 20.9% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Luis Arraez Under | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -200 | DK Under 1.5 -200 | exact | 8.2% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Total Bas | CJ Abrams Over | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 0.5 | 2.1 | -156 | BetOnline Over 0.5 -156 | exact | 314.4% | ✗✓!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Total Bas | Jacob Young Over | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 0.5 | 1.6 | -164 | BetOnline Over 0.5 -164 | exact | 226.1% | ✗✓!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Total Bas | Jorbit Vivas Over | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 0.5 | 1.6 | -118 | BetOnline Over 0.5 -118 | exact | 220.6% | ✗✓!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Total Bas | Brady House Over | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 0.5 | 1.6 | -175 | BetOnline Over 0.5 -175 | exact | 220.6% | ✗✓!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 213% (≥150%) — verify projection | Batter Total Bas | Connor Wong Over | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 1.6 | -156 | BetOnline Over 0.5 -156 | exact | 213.2% | ✗✓!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 213% (≥150%) — verify projection | Batter Total Bas | Joey Bart Over | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 1.6 | -156 | BetOnline Over 0.5 -156 | exact | 213.2% | ✗✓!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Weak) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 49.7% (1 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Luisangel Acuna Over | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 1.6 | -112 | BetOnline Over 0.5 -112 | exact | 213.2% | ✗✓✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 206% (≥150%) — verify projection | Batter Total Bas | Colton Cowser Over | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 0.5 | 1.5 | -130 | BetOnline Over 0.5 -130 | exact | 206.2% | ✗✓!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 206% (≥150%) — verify projection | Batter Total Bas | Wade Meckler Over | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 0.5 | 1.5 | -169 | BetOnline Over 0.5 -169 | exact | 206.2% | ✗✓!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 206% (≥150%) — verify projection | Batter Total Bas | Christian Franklin Over | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 0.5 | 1.5 | -149 | BetOnline Over 0.5 -149 | exact | 206.2% | ✗✓!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 206% (≥150%) — verify projection | Batter Total Bas | Carlos Narvaez Over | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 0.5 | 1.5 | -130 | BetOnline Over 0.5 -130 | exact | 206.2% | ✗✓!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 185.9% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.93 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Daylen Lile Over | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 0.5 | 1.4 | -164 | BetOnline Over 0.5 -164 | exact | 185.9% | ✗✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 142.5% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.71 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Harry Ford Over | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 0.5 | 1.2 | -118 | BetOnline Over 0.5 -118 | exact | 142.5% | ✗✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 55.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Francisco Alvarez Over | MET@GUA | 1:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | +143 | DK Over 1.5 +143 | exact | 55.0% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 46.4% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Nasim Nunez Over | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.7 | -149 | BetOnline Over 0.5 -149 | exact | 46.4% | ✗✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 40.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Willson Contreras Over | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | +112 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +113 | best price | 40.5% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 39.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Elly De La Cruz Over | ATH@RED | 12:40 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | +104 | DK Over 1.5 +104 | exact | 39.3% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Kyle Schwarber Over | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -115 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -106 | best price | 36.9% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Steven Kwan Under | MET@GUA | 1:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -187 | Caesars Under 1.5 -182 | best price | 33.2% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Josh Lowe Over | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +171 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +171 | exact | 30.8% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 28.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Bobby Witt Jr. Over | TWI@ROY | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -106 | DK Over 1.5 -106 | exact | 28.5% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Luis Arraez Over | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -103 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +102 | best price | 27.4% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Kody Clemens Over | TWI@ROY | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +110 | DK Over 1.5 +110 | exact | 27.4% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Bryce Harper Over | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -121 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -112 | best price | 26.8% | ✓✗✓––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Pete Alonso Over | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -105 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +102 | best price | 24.8% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Wilyer Abreu Over | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -117 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -112 | best price | 24.6% | ✓✗✓––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Gunnar Henderson Over | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -103 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -102 | best price | 24.0% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Noelvi Marte Over | ATH@RED | 12:40 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +148 | DK Over 1.5 +148 | exact | 23.8% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Ceddanne Rafaela Over | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +112 | DK Over 1.5 +112 | exact | 23.3% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Brandon Marsh Over | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +104 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +109 | best price | 23.2% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Trea Turner Over | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -128 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -125 | best price | 22.4% | ✓✗✓––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Isaac Collins Under | TWI@ROY | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -174 | DK Under 1.5 -174 | exact | 21.2% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Justin Crawford Under | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -205 | BetOnline Under 1.5 -175 | best price | 19.2% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Chase Meidroth Under | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -203 | Caesars Under 1.5 -190 | best price | 16.2% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Julio Rodriguez Over | TIG@MAR | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +113 | DK Over 1.5 +113 | exact | 15.7% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Sal Stewart Over | ATH@RED | 12:40 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +103 | DK Over 1.5 +103 | exact | 14.9% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Kazuma Okamoto Over | JAY@CUB | 2:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +136 | DK Over 1.5 +136 | exact | 12.8% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Randy Arozarena Over | TIG@MAR | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +144 | DK Over 1.5 +144 | exact | 12.4% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Riley Greene Under | TIG@MAR | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -175 | Caesars Under 1.5 -170 | best price | 11.8% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under | JAY@CUB | 2:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -152 | Caesars Under 1.5 -139 | best price | 11.7% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Ernie Clement Over | JAY@CUB | 2:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +143 | DK Over 1.5 +143 | exact | 11.6% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jose Ramirez Under | MET@GUA | 1:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -176 | Caesars Under 1.5 -170 | best price | 10.4% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Travis Bazzana Under | MET@GUA | 1:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -191 | DK Under 1.5 -191 | exact | 10.1% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Tyler Soderstrom Over | ATH@RED | 12:40 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +133 | DK Over 1.5 +133 | exact | 10.0% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jac Caglianone Over | TWI@ROY | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +103 | DK Over 1.5 +103 | exact | 9.8% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Mike Trout Over | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +123 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +124 | best price | 9.3% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Zach Neto Over | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +116 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 9.3% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Miguel Vargas Over | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +123 | DK Over 1.5 +123 | exact | 8.5% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Caleb Durbin Under | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -154 | DK Under 1.5 -154 | exact | 7.8% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Dillon Dingler Over | TIG@MAR | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +137 | DK Over 1.5 +137 | exact | 7.7% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | J.T. Realmuto Over | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +113 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +122 | best price | 6.9% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Dylan Crews Over | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +131 | DK Over 1.5 +131 | exact | 6.9% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Andrés Chaparro Over | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +182 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +182 | exact | 6.9% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Colson Montgomery Over | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +164 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +164 | exact | 4.7% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Braden Montgomery Over | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +178 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +178 | exact | 4.7% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jarren Duran Under | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -141 | Caesars Under 1.5 -139 | best price | 4.7% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Nick Sogard Over | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +122 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 4.4% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Masataka Yoshida Over | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +126 | DK Over 1.5 +126 | exact | 4.4% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Munetaka Murakami Over | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +158 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +158 | exact | 4.4% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Randal Grichuk Over | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +122 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +128 | best price | 4.4% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Andruw Monasterio Over | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +171 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +171 | exact | 4.4% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Brenton Doyle Over | SOX@SOX | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +174 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +174 | exact | 4.4% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Alejandro Kirk Over | JAY@CUB | 2:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +152 | DK Over 1.5 +152 | exact | 4.3% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Ryan Jeffers Over | TWI@ROY | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +100 | Caesars Over 1.5 +103 | best price | 4.1% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Trevor Larnach Over | TWI@ROY | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +121 | DK Over 1.5 +121 | exact | 4.1% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Royce Lewis Over | TWI@ROY | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +131 | DK Over 1.5 +131 | exact | 4.1% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Michael Massey Over | TWI@ROY | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +139 | DK Over 1.5 +139 | exact | 4.1% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Nick Loftin Over | TWI@ROY | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +142 | DK Over 1.5 +142 | exact | 4.1% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | JJ Bleday Over | ATH@RED | 12:40 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +103 | DK Over 1.5 +103 | exact | 3.8% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jacob Wilson Over | ATH@RED | 12:40 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +113 | DK Over 1.5 +113 | exact | 3.5% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Tyler Stephenson Over | ATH@RED | 12:40 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +122 | DK Over 1.5 +122 | exact | 3.5% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Eugenio Suarez Over | ATH@RED | 12:40 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +129 | DK Over 1.5 +129 | exact | 3.5% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jonah Heim Over | ATH@RED | 12:40 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +134 | DK Over 1.5 +134 | exact | 3.5% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Tommy White Over | ATH@RED | 12:40 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +140 | DK Over 1.5 +140 | exact | 3.5% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Carter Jensen Under | TWI@ROY | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -141 | Caesars Under 1.5 -139 | best price | 3.2% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Dominic Canzone Over | TIG@MAR | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +150 | DK Over 1.5 +150 | exact | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Nolan Schanuel Under | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -158 | DK Under 1.5 -158 | exact | 2.9% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Chase DeLauter Over | MET@GUA | 1:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +146 | DK Over 1.5 +146 | exact | 2.6% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Bo Bichette Under | MET@GUA | 1:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -144 | Caesars Under 1.5 -139 | best price | 2.5% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Christian Encarnacion-Strand O | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +115 | DK Over 1.5 +115 | exact | 2.1% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Dylan Beavers Over | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +121 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +134 | best price | 2.1% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jackson Holliday Over | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +134 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +141 | best price | 2.1% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Vaughn Grissom Over | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +134 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +139 | best price | 2.1% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Moises Ballesteros Over | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +138 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +155 | best price | 2.1% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Coby Mayo Over | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +152 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +152 | exact | 2.1% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Denzer Guzman Over | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +149 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +149 | exact | 2.1% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Salvador Perez Under | TWI@ROY | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -163 | Caesars Under 1.5 -162 | best price | 2.1% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Kevin McGonigle Under | TIG@MAR | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -167 | Caesars Under 1.5 -162 | best price | 2.0% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Bryson Stott Under | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -167 | Caesars Under 1.5 -159 | best price | 1.8% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Carson Benge Under | MET@GUA | 1:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -186 | DK Under 1.5 -186 | exact | 1.5% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Brooks Lee Under | TWI@ROY | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -194 | Caesars Under 1.5 -190 | best price | 1.3% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Alec Bohm Under | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -130 | Caesars Under 1.5 -129 | best price | 1.2% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Francisco Lindor Under | MET@GUA | 1:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -151 | Caesars Under 1.5 -150 | best price | 0.6% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | A.J. Ewing Under | MET@GUA | 1:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -154 | DK Under 1.5 -154 | exact | 0.6% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Josh Bell Under | TWI@ROY | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -145 | DK Under 1.5 -145 | exact | 0.4% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Away pen fatigued (1.05x) | Total | Over 7.5 | JAY@CUB | 2:21 PM | 7.5 | - | -105 | DK Over 7.5 -105 | exact | +18.1% | –✓–––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | Total | Over 7.5 | PIR@BRE | 2:11 PM | 7.5 | - | -118 | MyBookie Over 7.5 -111 | best price | +16.9% | –✓–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | F5 Total | Under 5.5 | ANG@ORI | 12:36 PM | 5.5 | - | -120 | BetOnline Under 5.5 -110 | best price | +12.1% | –✓!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | F5 Total | Under 5.5 | PAD@DIA | 9:41 PM | 5.5 | - | -140 | Bovada Direct Under 5.5 -135 | best price | +9.0% | –✓!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | F5 Total | Under 5.5 | MAR@BRA | 7:16 PM | 5.5 | - | -140 | FanDuel Under 5.5 -140 | exact | +8.8% | –✓!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: selected book disagrees | books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree | F5 ML | Athletics | ATH@RED | 12:40 PM | - | - | +126 | BetRivers +128 | best price | +11.1% | –✓✗✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: selected book disagrees | books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree | F5 ML | Washington Nationals | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | - | - | +250 | BetOnline +252 | best price | +10.1% | –✓✗✓–! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| ► Watch Signals | ||||||||||||
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.5% vs 17% min using selected line 7.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Cristopher Sanchez Over | NAT@PHI | 6:06 PM | 7.5 | 8.2 | +122 | FanDuel Over 6.5 -142 | alt rescue | 9.5% | ✓✗✓✓–– | Watch Signal |
✓ Supports ! Mixed ✗ Opposes – No Data | Layer order: Line Fit | Model Edge | Market Alignment | Matchup | Availability | Game Context