| Market | Trust | Season N | Season WR | Season P&L | 14d N | 14d WR | 14d P&L | Grade A N | Grade A WR | Review-only N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | 493 | 56% | -11.62u | 63 | 46% | -12.19u | 231 | 57% | 64 |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | 439 | 57% | +2.69u | 59 | 44% | -13.71u | 4 | 50% | 6 |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | 156 | 56% | +1.22u | 18 | 72% | +4.30u | 43 | 63% | 1 |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | 1304 | 74% | -7.70u | 677 | 77% | +1.36u | 7 | 86% | 134 |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | 473 | 57% | -15.93u | 106 | 49% | -17.59u | 1 | 100% | 9 |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | 345 | 61% | -7.44u | 79 | 63% | +2.28u | 0 | - | 11 |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | 46 | 74% | +1.84u | 9 | 56% | -2.06u | 0 | - | 23 |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | 33 | 55% | +0.50u | 2 | 50% | -0.16u | 0 | - | 37 |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | 28 | 48% | +4.54u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | 10 | 30% | -4.27u | 1 | 100% | +0.91u | 0 | - | 0 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | 6 | 50% | +2.85u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | 3 | 33% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | 2 | 100% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 113 | 48% | -11.69u | 6 | 83% | +2.43u | 2 | 50% | 8 |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 55 | 40% | -9.78u | 5 | 60% | +0.73u | 1 | 100% | 7 |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 21 | 52% | -1.85u | 20 | 55% | -0.85u | 1 | 0% | 6 |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 550 | 52% | -49.19u | 66 | 64% | +7.50u | 80 | 55% | 355 |
Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from Best/Good settled tracker performance; review-only rows are shown separately.
| Market | Current Stage | Next Stage | Progress | Promotion Blockers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 2/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 3/4 | 14d P&L non-negative |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 4/4 | No blocker |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 3/5 | season P&L positive; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 3/5 | season P&L positive; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; 14d P&L non-negative |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52% |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52% |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 🔬 Research | 3/5 | diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative |
Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.
| Pitcher | Game | Overall | Whiff | Contact | Arsenal | Top Pitch | Notes / Data Gaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski | Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Angels | 89.9 | 93.3 | 98.5 | 5 | Curveball (47% whiff, 11% usage) | Savant whiff 38.7%, put-away 32.2%, xwOBA 0.218, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Zack Wheeler | Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles | 72.8 | 70.5 | 80.5 | 6 | Split-Finger (49% whiff, 16% usage) | Savant whiff 31.7%, put-away 23.3%, xwOBA 0.254, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Chase Burns | Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates | 65.3 | 66.4 | 68.5 | 3 | Slider (51% whiff, 38% usage) | Savant whiff 31.1%, put-away 20.4%, xwOBA 0.278, arsenal coverage 3 pitch type(s) |
| Walbert Ureña | Los Angeles Angels vs Milwaukee Brewers | 62.0 | 59.2 | 67.0 | 4 | Changeup (37% whiff, 32% usage) | Savant whiff 27.9%, put-away 19.6%, xwOBA 0.281, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Emmet Sheehan | Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox | 59.8 | 64.4 | 57.0 | 4 | Slider (38% whiff, 30% usage) | Savant whiff 30.2%, put-away 20.3%, xwOBA 0.301, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Gavin Williams | Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks | 59.3 | 68.9 | 53.0 | 5 | Sweeper (44% whiff, 28% usage) | Savant whiff 30.5%, put-away 24.3%, xwOBA 0.309, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Jake Bennett | Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers | 58.4 | 49.2 | 71.0 | 6 | Changeup (35% whiff, 26% usage) | Savant whiff 23.3%, put-away 18.9%, xwOBA 0.273, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Gerrit Cole | New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs | 57.9 | 51.3 | 66.5 | 5 | Slider (25% whiff, 20% usage) | Savant whiff 22.5%, put-away 22.6%, xwOBA 0.282, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Peter Lambert | Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers | 56.3 | 50.7 | 63.5 | 7 | Changeup (37% whiff, 23% usage) | Savant whiff 24.5%, put-away 18.0%, xwOBA 0.288, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Taj Bradley | Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners | 56.1 | 57.8 | 56.0 | 4 | Cutter (38% whiff, 24% usage) | Savant whiff 26.7%, put-away 20.7%, xwOBA 0.303, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Landen Roupp | San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres | 55.3 | 50.4 | 62.5 | 5 | Curveball (34% whiff, 26% usage) | Savant whiff 23.7%, put-away 19.3%, xwOBA 0.290, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Griffin Jax | Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago White Sox | 54.7 | 71.2 | 41.0 | 6 | Changeup (43% whiff, 24% usage) | Savant whiff 31.4%, put-away 24.7%, xwOBA 0.333, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Cade Cavalli | Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves | 53.4 | 55.8 | 52.5 | 6 | Curveball (39% whiff, 27% usage) | Savant whiff 25.6%, put-away 20.9%, xwOBA 0.310, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Gage Jump | Athletics vs Detroit Tigers | 52.4 | 54.1 | 51.5 | 6 | Slider (29% whiff, 23% usage) | Savant whiff 25.9%, put-away 18.6%, xwOBA 0.312, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Kyle Bradish | Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies | 51.7 | 51.6 | 53.0 | 4 | Curveball (40% whiff, 22% usage) | Savant whiff 23.8%, put-away 20.3%, xwOBA 0.309, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Kyle Hart | San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants | 51.2 | 41.2 | 62.0 | 5 | Split-Finger (32% whiff, 20% usage) | Savant whiff 19.3%, put-away 18.9%, xwOBA 0.291, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| George Kirby | Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins | 51.0 | 47.3 | 54.5 | 7 | Sweeper (26% whiff, 30% usage) | Savant whiff 22.3%, put-away 19.0%, xwOBA 0.306, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins vs New York Mets | 50.8 | 45.2 | 57.0 | 7 | Changeup (29% whiff, 21% usage) | Savant whiff 21.7%, put-away 18.0%, xwOBA 0.301, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Keider Montero | Detroit Tigers vs Athletics | 49.6 | 38.6 | 62.5 | 5 | Changeup (29% whiff, 13% usage) | Savant whiff 18.7%, put-away 17.6%, xwOBA 0.290, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Kumar Rocker | Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros | 47.4 | 53.1 | 43.0 | 6 | Slider (41% whiff, 38% usage) | Savant whiff 25.8%, put-away 17.9%, xwOBA 0.329, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| JR Ritchie | Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals | 44.4 | 48.9 | 39.5 | 6 | Curveball (34% whiff, 27% usage) | Savant whiff 23.4%, put-away 18.5%, xwOBA 0.336, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Matthew Liberatore | St. Louis Cardinals vs Toronto Blue Jays | 42.7 | 47.3 | 34.5 | 8 | Curveball (38% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 23.7%, put-away 16.2%, xwOBA 0.346, arsenal coverage 8 pitch type(s) |
| Anthony Kay | Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays | 42.0 | 47.8 | 34.5 | 6 | Sweeper (36% whiff, 22% usage) | Savant whiff 24.7%, put-away 14.7%, xwOBA 0.346, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Mitch Keller | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds | 38.8 | 41.3 | 35.0 | 7 | Sweeper (24% whiff, 16% usage) | Savant whiff 20.9%, put-away 15.7%, xwOBA 0.345, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Kyle Freeland | Colorado Rockies vs Kansas City Royals | 37.7 | 45.5 | 27.5 | 6 | Curveball (33% whiff, 21% usage) | Savant whiff 22.1%, put-away 17.6%, xwOBA 0.360, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Seth Lugo | Kansas City Royals vs Colorado Rockies | 35.2 | 37.0 | 31.0 | 8 | Cutter (24% whiff, 16% usage) | Savant whiff 18.2%, put-away 16.8%, xwOBA 0.353, arsenal coverage 8 pitch type(s) |
| Colin Rea | Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees | 33.3 | 36.2 | 29.0 | 7 | Changeup (30% whiff, 18% usage) | Savant whiff 19.7%, put-away 13.1%, xwOBA 0.357, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Max Scherzer | Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals | 28.1 | 28.2 | 21.0 | 5 | Curveball (26% whiff, 13% usage) | Savant whiff 17.1%, put-away 10.3%, xwOBA 0.373, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Merrill Kelly | Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians | 25.3 | 38.4 | 9.0 | 6 | Slider (33% whiff, 11% usage) | Savant whiff 20.3%, put-away 14.1%, xwOBA 0.397, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Robert Stock | New York Mets vs Miami Marlins | - | - | - | 0 | - | Savant pitcher summary missing, Savant arsenal missing |
Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.
| Pitcher | Team | Hand | Season K% | Recent IP | Season IP | K IP | Pitch Ct | Leash | Savant | Contact | HR Vuln | Quality | Flags / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians | R | 17.0% | 5.4 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 91 | normal | full | 9.00 | 91.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.6% |
| Gage Jump | Athletics vs Detroit Tigers | L | 26.6% | 4.4 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 74 | short | full | 51.50 | 48.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.4 IP/start |
| JR Ritchie | Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals | R | 20.4% | 2.7 | 5.1 | 4.8 | 45 | short | full | 39.50 | 60.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 2.7 IP/start |
| Kyle Bradish | Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies | R | 21.3% | 5.3 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 89 | normal | full | 53.00 | 47.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Jake Bennett | Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers | L | 18.0% | 6.3 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 106 | deep | full | 71.00 | 29.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.0% |
| Colin Rea | Chicago Cubs vs New York Yankees | R | 17.9% | 5.6 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 94 | normal | full | 29.00 | 71.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.7% |
| Anthony Kay | Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays | L | 19.2% | 5.1 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 86 | short | full | 34.50 | 65.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.1 IP/start, low-K contact opponent 19.2% |
| Chase Burns | Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates | R | 26.2% | 5.4 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 91 | normal | full | 68.50 | 31.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Gavin Williams | Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks | R | 37.0% | 6.4 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 107 | deep | full | 53.00 | 47.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | low-K contact opponent 19.3% |
| Kyle Freeland | Colorado Rockies vs Kansas City Royals | L | 18.9% | 6.2 | 5.2 | 5.4 | 104 | deep | full | 27.50 | 72.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Keider Montero | Detroit Tigers vs Athletics | R | 19.6% | 4.3 | 5.7 | 5.4 | 72 | short | full | 62.50 | 37.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.3 IP/start |
| Peter Lambert | Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers | R | 25.2% | 5.6 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 94 | normal | full | 63.50 | 36.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Seth Lugo | Kansas City Royals vs Colorado Rockies | R | 17.6% | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 94 | normal | full | 31.00 | 69.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Walbert Ureña | Los Angeles Angels vs Milwaukee Brewers | R | 22.5% | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 91 | normal | full | 67.00 | 33.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.7% |
| Emmet Sheehan | Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox | R | 26.3% | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 82 | short | full | 57.00 | 43.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.9 IP/start |
| Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins vs New York Mets | R | 19.4% | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 111 | deep | full | 57.00 | 43.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Jacob Misiorowski | Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Angels | R | 42.9% | 5.6 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 94 | normal | full | 98.50 | 1.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Taj Bradley | Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners | R | 25.7% | 6.2 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 104 | deep | full | 56.00 | 44.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Robert Stock | New York Mets vs Miami Marlins | R | - | - | - | 5.8 | 96 | unknown | missing | 50.00 | 50.00 | fallback+hand | season_pitcher_stats_missing, recent_form_unavailable, savant_summary_missing |
| Gerrit Cole | New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs | R | 27.3% | 6.1 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 102 | deep | full | 66.50 | 33.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.9% |
| Zack Wheeler | Philadelphia Phillies vs Baltimore Orioles | R | 35.7% | 5.0 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 84 | short | full | 80.50 | 19.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.0 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.2% |
| Mitch Keller | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds | R | 17.1% | 4.2 | 5.4 | 5.2 | 70 | short | full | 35.00 | 65.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.2 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.7% |
| Kyle Hart | San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants | L | 24.3% | 1.8 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 30 | short | full | 62.00 | 38.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 1.8 IP/start |
| Landen Roupp | San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres | R | 21.8% | 5.7 | 5.4 | 5.5 | 96 | normal | full | 62.50 | 37.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| George Kirby | Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins | R | 21.5% | 6.2 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 104 | deep | full | 54.50 | 45.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Matthew Liberatore | St. Louis Cardinals vs Toronto Blue Jays | L | 23.2% | 5.1 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 86 | short | full | 34.50 | 65.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.1 IP/start, low-K contact opponent 19.4% |
| Griffin Jax | Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago White Sox | R | 26.6% | 5.2 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 87 | normal | full | 41.00 | 59.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Kumar Rocker | Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros | R | 22.1% | 5.3 | 5.0 | 5.1 | 89 | normal | full | 43.00 | 57.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Max Scherzer | Toronto Blue Jays vs St. Louis Cardinals | R | 18.4% | 3.9 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 65 | short | full | 21.00 | 79.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 3.9 IP/start |
| Cade Cavalli | Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves | R | 25.4% | 6.0 | 5.1 | 6.0 | 101 | deep | full | 52.50 | 47.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.
| Player | Game | Research Side | Component Proj | H | R | RBI | Current | Uncertainty | Support | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Pages | Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 2.46 | 1.09 | 0.72 | 0.65 | 2.16 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=110,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 2.38 | 1.02 | 0.59 | 0.78 | 2.24 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=102,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 2.37 | 1.20 | 0.63 | 0.54 | 2.11 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=106,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Freddie Freeman | Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 2.34 | 1.19 | 0.57 | 0.58 | 2.05 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=108,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 2.15 | 0.99 | 0.57 | 0.59 | 1.99 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=108,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Kyle Tucker | Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 1.75 | 0.81 | 0.52 | 0.42 | 1.62 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=104,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Nick Sogard | Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 1.72 | 0.94 | 0.43 | 0.35 | 1.53 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Tommy Edman | Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 1.69 | 0.90 | 0.38 | 0.41 | 1.56 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Shohei Ohtani | Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 2.5 | 2.66 | 1.16 | 0.85 | 0.65 | 2.38 / Under | 0.35 | season_games=105,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Caleb Durbin | Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 1.61 | 0.79 | 0.45 | 0.38 | 1.58 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=103,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Masataka Yoshida | Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 1.58 | 0.85 | 0.35 | 0.38 | 1.51 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Mookie Betts | Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 1.58 | 0.84 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 1.53 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Max Muncy | Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 1.58 | 0.77 | 0.46 | 0.35 | 1.60 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=102,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Elieser Hernández | Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Under 1.5 | 1.42 | 0.84 | 0.32 | 0.27 | 1.56 / Over | 0.69 | lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Teoscar Hernandez | Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Under 1.5 | 1.34 | 0.79 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 1.47 / Under | 0.64 | lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Romy Gonzalez | Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Under 1.5 | 1.32 | 0.80 | 0.27 | 0.25 | 1.52 / Over | 0.69 | lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Dalton Rushing | Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Under 1.5 | 1.19 | 0.72 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 1.43 / Under | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
Diagnostics only. HRR remains paused; these component projections are not used for recommendations.
| Grade | Signal | Type | Side | Game | Time (ET) | Line | Proj | Odds | Best Book / Line | Edge/Diff | Signal Breakdown ✓!✗– | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ► Best Signals | ||||||||||||
| A | ✅ Best Signal | K Prop | Emmet Sheehan Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 5.5 | 6.7 | -125 | DK Over 5.5 -125 | exact | 22.4% | ✓✓✓✓–– | Best Signal |
| ► Add Signals | ||||||||||||
| B | ✅ Add Signal Matchup: Pitch-type: opp whiffs above avg vs SP top pitch (×1.07) ✓ Over Ks | [!] Opp lineup wRC+ 115 vs LHP — tough platoon matc… | K Prop | Jake Bennett Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 3.5 | 5.2 | -136 | Bovada Direct Over 3.5 -120 | best price | 49.4% | ✓✓✓!–– | Add Signal |
| B | ✅ Add Signal | Pitcher Hits All | Jake Bennett Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 5.5 | 4.7 | -121 | BetMGM Under 5.5 -115 | best price | 14.5% | ✓!✓––– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-168); break-even ~63%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Earned R | Emmet Sheehan Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -168 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -165 | best price | 40.0% | ✓✓!––– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-469); break-even ~82%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Ceddanne Rafaela Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -469 | DK Under 0.5 -469 | exact | 70.7% | ✓✓!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-290); break-even ~74%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Caleb Durbin Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -290 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -290 | best price | 56.5% | ✓✓!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Jarren Duran Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -426 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -400 | best price | 51.5% | ✓✓!–!– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-224); break-even ~69%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Nick Sogard Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -224 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -165 | best price | 47.8% | ✓!!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-461); break-even ~82%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Masataka Yoshida Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -461 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -425 | best price | 47.8% | ✓!!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-375); break-even ~79%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Andy Pages Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -375 | DK Under 0.5 -375 | exact | 46.8% | ✓!!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-455); break-even ~82%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Tommy Edman Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -455 | DK Under 0.5 -455 | exact | 43.4% | ✓!!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-330); break-even ~77%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Mookie Betts Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -330 | Caesars Under 0.5 -325 | best price | 43.4% | ✓!!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-334); break-even ~77%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Freddie Freeman Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -334 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -330 | best price | 30.6% | ✓!!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-290); break-even ~74%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Wilyer Abreu Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -290 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -245 | best price | 29.8% | ✓!!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | ✅ Add Signal Matchup: [!] Opp lineup wRC+ 115 vs LHP — tough platoon matchup | Run Line | Boston Red Sox +1.5 | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | - | -146 | FanDuel Boston Red Sox 1.5 -132 | best price | +7.1% | –!✓!–✓ | Add Signal |
| ► Lean Signals (Derisked) | ||||||||||||
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | Pitcher Walks | Jake Bennett Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -146 | DK Under 1.5 -146 | exact | 18.0% | ✓!!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.9% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Walks | Emmet Sheehan Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -166 | DK Under 1.5 -166 | exact | 3.9% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | Pitcher Earned R | Jake Bennett Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 2.5 | 2.2 | -106 | BetMGM Under 2.5 +100 | best price | 12.0% | ✓!!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Shohei Ohtani Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -260 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -250 | best price | 31.1% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Carlos Narvaez Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -460 | DK Under 0.5 -460 | exact | 47.8% | ✓!!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Andruw Monasterio Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -354 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -310 | best price | 47.8% | ✓!!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Dalton Rushing Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -424 | DK Under 0.5 -424 | exact | 43.4% | ✓!!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Teoscar Hernandez Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -404 | DK Under 0.5 -404 | exact | 43.4% | ✓!!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Max Muncy Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -276 | DK Under 0.5 -276 | exact | 32.4% | ✓!!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Elieser Hernández Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -450 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -450 | exact | 32.0% | ✓!!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.6% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Kyle Tucker Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -275 | DK Under 0.5 -275 | exact | 23.6% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.3% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Willson Contreras Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -202 | DK Under 0.5 -202 | exact | 22.3% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.1% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Shohei Ohtani Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -226 | DK Under 0.5 -226 | exact | 7.1% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 49.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Willson Contreras Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | +107 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 49.1% | ✓✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 40.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ceddanne Rafaela Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | +108 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 40.9% | ✓✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Wilyer Abreu Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +104 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 33.0% | ✓✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Kyle Tucker Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +112 | DK Over 1.5 +112 | exact | 8.2% | ✓✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Max Muncy Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +109 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 6.7% | !✗✗–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Caleb Durbin Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +124 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 5.5% | ✓✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.0% vs 50% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Shohei Ohtani Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 2.5 | 2.4 | -152 | DK Under 2.5 -152 | exact | 5.0% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Dalton Rushing Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -173 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -165 | best price | 4.8% | ✓✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Elieser Hernández Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -110 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -110 | exact | 4.3% | !✗✗–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Nick Sogard Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +138 | DK Over 1.5 +138 | exact | 2.3% | ✓✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Teoscar Hernandez Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -122 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -118 | best price | 1.8% | ✓✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Romy Gonzalez Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +105 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +105 | exact | 1.1% | !✗✗–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Masataka Yoshida Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +106 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 0.4% | ✓✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 223% (≥150%) — verify projection | Batter Total Bas | Connor Wong Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 1.6 | -115 | BetMGM Over 0.5 -115 | exact | 223.4% | ✗✓!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Weak) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 49.1% (4 books) | consensus 67% (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Dalton Rushing Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 1.5 | -140 | BetMGM Over 0.5 -140 | exact | 204.4% | ✗✓✗–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 199.0% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.99 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Masataka Yoshida Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 1.5 | -190 | BetMGM Over 0.5 -190 | exact | 199.0% | ✗✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 199.0% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.99 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Nick Sogard Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 1.5 | -160 | BetOnline Over 0.5 -149 | best price | 199.0% | ✗✗✓–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 139.6% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.70 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Caleb Durbin Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 1.2 | -155 | BetMGM Over 0.5 -155 | exact | 139.6% | ✗✗✓–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 121.8% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.61 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Kyle Tucker Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 1.1 | -175 | BetOnline Over 0.5 -159 | best price | 121.8% | ✗✗✓–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Shohei Ohtani Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -109 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -101 | best price | 30.6% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Willson Contreras Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +130 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 +140 | alt rescue | 27.2% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Ceddanne Rafaela Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +140 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 +160 | alt rescue | 14.5% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Freddie Freeman Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +121 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 12.4% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Wilyer Abreu Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +130 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 +140 | alt rescue | 8.8% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Andy Pages Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +112 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 7.9% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Miguel Rojas Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +171 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +171 | exact | 7.8% | !✗✗–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jahmai Jones Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +171 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +171 | exact | 7.8% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Romy Gonzalez Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +178 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +178 | exact | 7.8% | !✗✗–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Elieser Hernández Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -200 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -200 | exact | 7.8% | !✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Mookie Betts Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +120 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +141 | best price | 1.5% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Tommy Edman Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +119 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +126 | best price | 1.5% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Teoscar Hernandez Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +138 | DK Over 1.5 +138 | exact | 1.5% | !✗✗–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Carlos Narvaez Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | exact | 93.7% | –✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Nick Sogard Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | exact | 93.7% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Andruw Monasterio Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | exact | 93.7% | –✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Masataka Yoshida Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | exact | 93.7% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Tommy Edman Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | exact | 93.6% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Dalton Rushing Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | exact | 93.6% | –✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Mookie Betts Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | exact | 93.6% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Elieser Hernández Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -650 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 | exact | 93.2% | –✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Kyle Tucker Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | exact | 85.3% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Caleb Durbin Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | exact | 82.2% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jarren Duran Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | exact | 77.9% | –✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Ceddanne Rafaela Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | exact | 75.1% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Freddie Freeman Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | exact | 74.8% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Wilyer Abreu Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 | exact | 70.7% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Andy Pages Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -650 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 | exact | 70.0% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.180/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Max Muncy Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 | exact | 63.6% | –✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.220/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Shohei Ohtani Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -390 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -390 | exact | 55.4% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.230/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Willson Contreras Under | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 | exact | 54.3% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| ► Watch Signals | ||||||||||||
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 43.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Andy Pages Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -129 | DK Over 1.5 -129 | exact | 43.7% | ✓✗✓–✓– | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Freddie Freeman Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -130 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -130 | best price | 36.4% | ✓✗✓–✓– | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Tommy Edman Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -122 | DK Over 1.5 -122 | exact | 4.2% | ✓✗✓–✓– | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Mookie Betts Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -106 | DK Over 1.5 -106 | exact | 2.2% | ✓✗✓–✓– | Watch Signal |
| D | ◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 199.0% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.99 <= 1 min | Batter Total Bas | Andruw Monasterio Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 1.5 | -140 | BetOnline Over 0.5 -123 | best price | 199.0% | ✗✗✗–!– | Watch Signal |
| D | ◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 199.0% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.99 <= 1 min | Batter Total Bas | Carlos Narvaez Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 1.5 | +260 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 +260 | exact | 199.0% | ✗✗✗–!– | Watch Signal |
| D | ◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 187.6% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.94 <= 1 min | Batter Total Bas | Max Muncy Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 1.4 | -140 | BetMGM Over 0.5 -140 | exact | 187.6% | ✗✗✗–!– | Watch Signal |
| D | ◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 127.7% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.64 <= 1 min | Batter Total Bas | Jarren Duran Over | SOX@DOD | 7:21 PM | 0.5 | 1.1 | -135 | BetOnline Over 0.5 -123 | best price | 127.7% | ✗✗✗–!– | Watch Signal |
✓ Supports ! Mixed ✗ Opposes – No Data | Layer order: Line Fit | Model Edge | Market Alignment | Matchup | Availability | Game Context