MLB Full Audit Thursday, July 30 2026

MARKET TRUST TIERS

17 market(s) with settled tracker history

Market	Trust	Season N	Season WR	Season P&L	14d N	14d WR	14d P&L	Grade A N	Grade A WR	Review-only N
K Prop	✅ TRUSTED	477	56%	-9.75u	71	51%	-7.02u	223	57%	64
Pitcher Hits Allowed	✅ TRUSTED	427	58%	+7.55u	70	49%	-10.58u	4	50%	6
Run Line	✅ TRUSTED	151	56%	-0.35u	13	69%	+2.73u	43	63%	1
Batter Walks	👀 WATCH	1142	74%	-3.12u	515	77%	+5.94u	7	86%	134
Pitcher Earned Runs	👀 WATCH	449	56%	-19.20u	119	48%	-22.56u	1	100%	9
Pitcher Walks	👀 WATCH	337	60%	-12.07u	97	62%	+0.65u	0	-	11
Batter Hits	👀 WATCH	44	75%	+2.47u	7	57%	-1.43u	0	-	23
Batter Total Bases	👀 WATCH	32	53%	-0.34u	1	0%	-1.00u	0	-	37
F5 ML	👀 WATCH	28	48%	+4.54u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-	0
No HR U1.5	👀 WATCH	10	30%	-4.27u	1	100%	+0.91u	0	-	0
Moneyline	👀 WATCH	6	50%	+2.85u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-	0
NRFI	👀 WATCH	3	33%	+0.00u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-	0
YRFI	👀 WATCH	2	100%	+0.00u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-	0
Pitcher Outs	🔬 RESEARCH	112	47%	-12.23u	9	67%	+1.31u	2	50%	8
Total	🔬 RESEARCH	55	40%	-9.78u	5	60%	+0.73u	1	100%	7
F5 Total	🔬 RESEARCH	14	50%	-1.77u	13	54%	-0.77u	1	0%	6
Batter H+R+RBI	⛔ PAUSED	533	52%	-51.25u	49	63%	+5.43u	80	55%	355

Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from Best/Good settled tracker performance; review-only rows are shown separately.

MARKET PROMOTION CRITERIA

What each market needs to move stages

Market	Current Stage	Next Stage	Progress	Promotion Blockers
K Prop	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	2/4	season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative
Pitcher Hits Allowed	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	3/4	14d P&L non-negative
Run Line	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	3/4	season P&L non-negative
Batter Walks	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	3/5	season P&L positive; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0
Pitcher Earned Runs	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0
Pitcher Walks	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	3/5	season P&L positive; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0
Batter Hits	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; 14d P&L non-negative
Batter Total Bases	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	0/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
F5 ML	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0
No HR U1.5	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Moneyline	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0
NRFI	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
YRFI	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Pitcher Outs	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	2/5	season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52%
Total	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	2/5	season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52%
F5 Total	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	2/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52%
Batter H+R+RBI	⛔ PAUSED	🔬 Research	3/5	diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative

Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.

SAVANT PITCH QUALITY DIAGNOSTICS

19 pitcher(s) with public-data pitch-quality diagnostics

Pitcher	Game	Overall	Whiff	Contact	Arsenal	Top Pitch	Notes / Data Gaps
Nolan McLean	New York Mets vs Miami Marlins	57.7	59.3	62.0	7	Curveball (42% whiff, 14% usage)	Savant whiff 25.8%, put-away 23.9%, xwOBA 0.291, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Sean Burke	Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees	57.1	53.8	63.5	6	Slider (32% whiff, 18% usage)	Savant whiff 25.2%, put-away 19.8%, xwOBA 0.288, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Yohan Ramírez	Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds	56.4	58.0	56.5	4	Sweeper (37% whiff, 36% usage)	Savant whiff 26.7%, put-away 20.9%, xwOBA 0.302, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Bryan Woo	Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Dodgers	55.8	52.1	62.0	6	Sweeper (34% whiff, 12% usage)	Savant whiff 24.5%, put-away 19.3%, xwOBA 0.291, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Eury Pérez	Miami Marlins vs New York Mets	55.7	60.5	53.0	6	Slider (43% whiff, 15% usage)	Savant whiff 28.5%, put-away 19.7%, xwOBA 0.309, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Roki Sasaki	Los Angeles Dodgers vs Seattle Mariners	55.2	62.4	47.0	3	Slider (40% whiff, 22% usage)	Savant whiff 29.8%, put-away 19.1%, xwOBA 0.321, arsenal coverage 3 pitch type(s)
Ryan Weathers	New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox	53.2	62.8	44.5	5	Sweeper (42% whiff, 20% usage)	Savant whiff 28.4%, put-away 22.3%, xwOBA 0.326, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Shane McClanahan	Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers	51.4	57.2	50.0	4	Changeup (39% whiff, 29% usage)	Savant whiff 26.6%, put-away 20.2%, xwOBA 0.315, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Andre Pallante	St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs	51.0	41.8	59.5	5	Slider (31% whiff, 30% usage)	Savant whiff 21.8%, put-away 14.6%, xwOBA 0.296, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Sonny Gray	Boston Red Sox vs Athletics	50.3	47.1	56.5	6	Sweeper (37% whiff, 19% usage)	Savant whiff 22.1%, put-away 19.2%, xwOBA 0.302, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Cole Winn	Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays	48.0	57.4	37.5	5	Slider (41% whiff, 22% usage)	Savant whiff 27.6%, put-away 18.6%, xwOBA 0.340, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
JP Sears	San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants	46.4	47.2	47.5	6	Sweeper (35% whiff, 15% usage)	Savant whiff 21.4%, put-away 20.8%, xwOBA 0.320, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Grant Holmes	Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals	45.4	50.0	41.0	6	Slider (39% whiff, 37% usage)	Savant whiff 25.9%, put-away 14.5%, xwOBA 0.333, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Noah Cameron	Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins	44.5	51.1	37.5	6	Changeup (34% whiff, 21% usage)	Savant whiff 25.1%, put-away 17.3%, xwOBA 0.340, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Bailey Ober	Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals	43.5	39.1	46.0	6	Sweeper (38% whiff, 12% usage)	Savant whiff 19.8%, put-away 15.8%, xwOBA 0.323, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Jake Irvin	Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves	43.0	52.7	33.0	6	Curveball (44% whiff, 26% usage)	Savant whiff 25.4%, put-away 18.2%, xwOBA 0.349, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Mason Barnett	Athletics vs Boston Red Sox	42.7	45.9	40.5	5	Slider (30% whiff, 26% usage)	Savant whiff 20.9%, put-away 20.5%, xwOBA 0.334, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Rhett Lowder	Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates	36.7	43.7	28.0	4	Slider (35% whiff, 28% usage)	Savant whiff 20.6%, put-away 18.8%, xwOBA 0.359, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Javier Assad	Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals	33.9	24.4	42.0	7	Cutter (14% whiff, 14% usage)	Savant whiff 13.9%, put-away 12.9%, xwOBA 0.331, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)

Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.

PITCHER ASSESSMENT DIAGNOSTICS

19 starter assessment(s) emitted by Pitcher Engine

Pitcher	Team	Hand	Season K%	Recent IP	Season IP	K IP	Pitch Ct	Leash	Savant	Contact	HR Vuln	Quality	Flags / Notes
Mason Barnett	Athletics vs Boston Red Sox	R	17.5%	1.8	-	5.0	30	short	full	40.50	59.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 1.8 IP/start
Grant Holmes	Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals	R	19.0%	4.8	4.9	4.9	80	short	full	41.00	59.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.8 IP/start
Sonny Gray	Boston Red Sox vs Athletics	R	22.0%	6.0	5.6	5.7	101	deep	full	56.50	43.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Javier Assad	Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals	R	19.1%	3.5	5.2	5.0	59	short	full	42.00	58.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 3.5 IP/start
Sean Burke	Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees	R	30.9%	6.2	5.5	6.0	104	deep	full	63.50	36.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 9.8%
Rhett Lowder	Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates	R	16.7%	2.8	4.7	4.3	47	short	full	28.00	72.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 2.8 IP/start
Noah Cameron	Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins	L	22.4%	6.4	5.3	6.0	107	deep	full	37.50	62.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Roki Sasaki	Los Angeles Dodgers vs Seattle Mariners	R	23.1%	5.0	5.2	5.2	84	short	full	47.00	53.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.0 IP/start
Eury Pérez	Miami Marlins vs New York Mets	R	27.0%	6.2	5.5	6.0	104	deep	full	53.00	47.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Bailey Ober	Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals	R	17.7%	4.9	5.4	5.3	82	short	full	46.00	54.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.9 IP/start
Nolan McLean	New York Mets vs Miami Marlins	R	28.8%	6.0	5.7	6.0	101	deep	full	62.00	38.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Ryan Weathers	New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox	L	25.9%	5.1	5.4	5.3	86	short	full	44.50	55.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.1 IP/start
Yohan Ramírez	Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds	R	22.0%	1.2	-	4.8	20	short	full	56.50	43.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 1.2 IP/start
JP Sears	San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants	L	20.9%	4.3	4.9	5.1	72	short	full	47.50	52.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.3 IP/start
Bryan Woo	Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Dodgers	R	23.1%	5.2	5.8	5.7	87	normal	full	62.00	38.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.1%
Andre Pallante	St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs	R	16.7%	5.7	5.6	5.6	96	normal	full	59.50	40.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.9%
Shane McClanahan	Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers	L	20.9%	5.0	5.0	5.0	84	short	full	50.00	50.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.0 IP/start
Cole Winn	Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays	R	22.7%	1.2	-	4.8	20	short	full	37.50	62.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 1.2 IP/start, low-K contact opponent 19.2%
Jake Irvin	Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves	R	24.3%	4.4	4.7	4.6	74	short	full	33.00	67.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.4 IP/start

Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.

PITCHER OUTS RESEARCH GATE

5/5 candidate(s) held from actionable output

Pitcher	Side	Game	Line	Proj	Gap	Edge / DIFF%	Grade	Rec	Status	Leash	K IP	Pitch Ct	Quality	Gate Reason
Roki Sasaki	Roki Sasaki Under	Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers	17.5	14.7	-2.8	15.8%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	short	5.2	84	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 15.8% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap -2.77 <= 3 min
Nolan McLean	Nolan McLean Over	Miami Marlins @ New York Mets	17.5	18.6	1.1	6.5%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	deep	6.0	101	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.5% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5
Sonny Gray	Sonny Gray Over	Boston Red Sox @ Athletics	17.5	18.4	0.9	5.0%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	deep	5.7	101	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.0% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5
Eury Perez	Eury Perez Over	Miami Marlins @ New York Mets	17.5	18.1	0.6	3.6%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	deep	6.0	104	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5
Bryan Woo	Bryan Woo Under	Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers	17.5	17.0	-0.5	3.0%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	normal	5.7	87	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5

QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.

HRR COMPONENT RESEARCH

58 HRR component candidate(s) emitted by Batter Engine | showing top 50 by component raw gap

Player	Game	Research Side	Component Proj	H	R	RBI	Current	Uncertainty	Support	Flags
Nick Kurtz	Boston Red Sox @ Athletics	Over 1.5	2.82	1.02	0.94	0.87	2.38 / Over	0.30	season_games=97,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Andy Pages	Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.52	1.10	0.73	0.69	2.26 / Over	0.30	season_games=107,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Luis Arraez	San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	2.51	1.47	0.61	0.43	2.33 / Over	0.30	season_games=102,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Freddie Freeman	Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.40	1.19	0.59	0.62	2.15 / Over	0.30	season_games=105,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Randy Arozarena	Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.40	1.11	0.81	0.48	2.24 / Over	0.30	season_games=101,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Tyler Soderstrom	Boston Red Sox @ Athletics	Over 1.5	2.33	0.93	0.67	0.74	2.00 / Over	0.30	season_games=96,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Liam Hicks	Miami Marlins @ New York Mets	Over 1.5	2.22	1.07	0.60	0.55	2.14 / Over	0.30	season_games=97,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Jarren Duran	Boston Red Sox @ Athletics	Over 1.5	2.14	0.83	0.66	0.65	1.78 / Over	0.30	season_games=100,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Rafael Devers	San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	2.13	0.96	0.53	0.64	1.98 / Over	0.30	season_games=108,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Manny Machado	San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	2.11	0.85	0.56	0.70	2.02 / Over	0.35	season_games=105,exact_hrr_l10,lineup	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_pitcher_assessment
Max Muncy	Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.11	0.87	0.65	0.59	1.80 / Over	0.30	season_games=99,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Cole Young	Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.10	1.04	0.58	0.48	1.98 / Over	0.30	season_games=109,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Otto Lopez	Miami Marlins @ New York Mets	Over 1.5	2.04	1.25	0.48	0.31	2.16 / Over	0.30	season_games=105,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Bo Bichette	Miami Marlins @ New York Mets	Over 1.5	2.04	1.07	0.46	0.51	2.12 / Over	0.30	season_games=108,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Anthony Seigler	Boston Red Sox @ Athletics	Over 1.5	2.02	1.04	0.53	0.45	1.66 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Fernando Tatis Jr.	San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	1.94	1.11	0.45	0.39	2.08 / Over	0.35	season_games=107,exact_hrr_l10,lineup	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_pitcher_assessment
Xavier Edwards	Miami Marlins @ New York Mets	Over 1.5	1.94	1.14	0.49	0.31	1.82 / Over	0.30	season_games=109,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Jackson Merrill	San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	1.91	0.93	0.49	0.50	1.89 / Over	0.35	season_games=105,exact_hrr_l10,lineup	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_pitcher_assessment
Josh Naylor	Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.91	1.03	0.44	0.44	1.83 / Over	0.30	season_games=102,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Carson Benge	Miami Marlins @ New York Mets	Over 1.5	1.89	1.01	0.48	0.40	1.94 / Over	0.30	season_games=104,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Julio Rodriguez	Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.87	1.11	0.41	0.35	2.05 / Over	0.64	exact_hrr_l10,lineup	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment
Jung Hoo Lee	San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	1.87	1.11	0.46	0.30	2.04 / Over	0.30	season_games=98,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Kyle Stowers	Miami Marlins @ New York Mets	Over 1.5	1.86	0.89	0.43	0.55	1.86 / Over	0.30	season_games=84,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Masataka Yoshida	Boston Red Sox @ Athletics	Over 1.5	1.86	0.93	0.44	0.49	1.63 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Jacob Wilson	Boston Red Sox @ Athletics	Over 1.5	1.85	0.94	0.49	0.41	1.57 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Tommy Edman	Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.83	0.99	0.46	0.38	1.63 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Kyle Tucker	Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.80	0.83	0.52	0.45	1.79 / Over	0.30	season_games=101,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Heliot Ramos	San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	1.79	1.00	0.42	0.36	1.65 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Bryce Eldridge	San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	1.79	0.98	0.38	0.43	1.65 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Jonah Heim	Boston Red Sox @ Athletics	Over 1.5	1.78	0.89	0.42	0.47	1.54 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Tommy White	Boston Red Sox @ Athletics	Over 1.5	1.74	0.87	0.41	0.46	1.54 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Dominic Canzone	Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.73	0.93	0.38	0.42	1.56 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Willy Adames	San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	1.72	0.88	0.47	0.38	1.82 / Over	0.30	season_games=103,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Elieser Hernández	Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.70	0.91	0.38	0.41	1.61 / Over	0.64	lineup	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment
Teoscar Hernandez	Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.69	0.91	0.37	0.41	1.60 / Over	0.64	lineup	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment
Mookie Betts	Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.68	0.89	0.37	0.41	1.60 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Luis Rengifo	San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	1.67	0.94	0.40	0.33	1.55 / Over	0.64	lineup	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment
Willson Contreras	Boston Red Sox @ Athletics	Over 2.5	2.63	1.04	0.68	0.92	2.40 / Under	0.35	season_games=100,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, component_side_conflicts_current_model
Ty France	San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	1.60	0.88	0.34	0.38	1.52 / Over	0.64	lineup	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment
A.J. Ewing	Miami Marlins @ New York Mets	Over 1.5	1.60	0.94	0.36	0.30	1.52 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Francisco Lindor	Miami Marlins @ New York Mets	Over 1.5	1.56	0.92	0.35	0.29	1.52 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Lawrence Butler	Boston Red Sox @ Athletics	Over 1.5	1.53	0.83	0.36	0.34	1.51 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Heriberto Hernandez	Miami Marlins @ New York Mets	Under 1.5	1.49	0.86	0.30	0.33	1.52 / Over	0.69	lineup	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment, component_side_conflicts_current_model
Ceddanne Rafaela	Boston Red Sox @ Athletics	Under 2.5	2.46	1.18	0.69	0.59	2.18 / Under	0.30	season_games=103,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Cal Raleigh	Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Under 1.5	1.44	0.83	0.31	0.30	1.50 / Over	0.64	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model
Javier Sanoja	Miami Marlins @ New York Mets	Under 1.5	1.43	0.86	0.29	0.29	1.53 / Over	0.74	minimal	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment, component_side_conflicts_current_model
Jeff McNeil	Boston Red Sox @ Athletics	Under 1.5	1.43	0.79	0.34	0.29	1.48 / Under	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Andruw Monasterio	Boston Red Sox @ Athletics	Under 1.5	1.41	0.81	0.31	0.29	1.51 / Over	0.64	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model
Luis Campusano	San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres	Under 1.5	1.39	0.82	0.29	0.28	1.49 / Under	0.64	lineup	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment
Wilyer Abreu	Boston Red Sox @ Athletics	Under 2.5	2.37	1.02	0.65	0.71	2.16 / Under	0.30	season_games=105,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused

Diagnostics only. HRR remains paused; these component projections are not used for recommendations.

FULL AUDIT — ALL CANDIDATES

327 candidates evaluated

← Back to Picks

Grade	Signal	Type	Side	Game	Time (ET)	Line	Proj	Odds	Best Book / Line	Edge/Diff	Signal Breakdown ✓!✗–	Tier
► Best Signals
A	✅ Best Signal K final QC: juiced K over -149, pitch-type boost on 15% usage pitch	K Prop	Eury Perez Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	5.5	7.5	-149	BetRivers Over 5.5 -143 \| best price	35.9%	✓✓✓✓––	Best Signal
► Add Signals
B	👀 Watch Signal	Pitcher Walks	Eury Perez Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	1.5	2.4	-147	DK Over 1.5 -147 \| exact	61.0%	✓✓!–––	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-160); break-even ~62%, requires clean execution	Pitcher Earned R	Eury Perez Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	1.5	2.1	-160	DK Over 1.5 -160 \| exact	40.0%	✓✓!–––	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-175); break-even ~64%, requires clean execution	Pitcher Earned R	Mason Barnett Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	2.1	-175	BetMGM Over 1.5 -175 \| exact	40.0%	✓✓!–––	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-171); break-even ~63%, requires clean execution	Pitcher Earned R	Nolan McLean Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	2.5	1.8	-171	DK Under 2.5 -171 \| exact	28.0%	✓✓!–––	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal	Pitcher Earned R	Sonny Gray Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	2.5	2.0	-144	Fanatics Under 2.5 -135 \| best price	20.0%	✓✓!–––	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-211); break-even ~68%, requires clean execution	Batter Hits	Jacob Wilson Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	0.8	-211	BetMGM Under 1.5 -210 \| best price	43.1%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Jung Hoo Lee Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-421	DK Under 0.5 -421 \| exact	68.6%	✓✓!–!!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-405); break-even ~80%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Ceddanne Rafaela Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-405	DK Under 0.5 -405 \| exact	60.2%	✓✓!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Otto Lopez Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-399	Fanatics Under 0.5 -375 \| best price	55.3%	✓✓!–!–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Willy Adames Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-263	DK Under 0.5 -263 \| exact	53.6%	✓✓!–✓!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Luis Arraez Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-463	DK Under 0.5 -463 \| exact	52.5%	✓✓!–✓!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Bryce Eldridge Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-203	Caesars Under 0.5 -193 \| best price	49.6%	✓!!–✓!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Heliot Ramos Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-332	DK Under 0.5 -332 \| exact	49.6%	✓!!–✓!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-368); break-even ~79%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Bo Bichette Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-368	DK Under 0.5 -368 \| exact	48.9%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-493); break-even ~83%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Jacob Wilson Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-493	DK Under 0.5 -493 \| exact	48.3%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-392); break-even ~80%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Jonah Heim Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-392	DK Under 0.5 -392 \| exact	48.3%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-454); break-even ~82%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Tommy White Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-454	DK Under 0.5 -454 \| exact	48.3%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-295); break-even ~75%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Lawrence Butler Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-295	Fanatics Under 0.5 -270 \| best price	48.3%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-294); break-even ~75%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Andy Pages Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-294	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -290 \| best price	46.7%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-313); break-even ~76%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Cole Young Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-313	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -290 \| best price	45.5%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Jackson Merrill Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-332	DK Under 0.5 -332 \| exact	44.8%	✓!!–✓!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-228); break-even ~70%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Caleb Durbin Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-228	DK Under 0.5 -228 \| exact	43.1%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-343); break-even ~77%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Tommy Edman Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-343	DK Under 0.5 -343 \| exact	43.0%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-290); break-even ~74%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Mookie Betts Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-290	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -290 \| best price	43.0%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-336); break-even ~77%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Teoscar Hernandez Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-336	DK Under 0.5 -336 \| exact	43.0%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-507); break-even ~84%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Enrique Hernandez Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-507	DK Under 0.5 -507 \| exact	43.0%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-209); break-even ~68%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Jarren Duran Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-209	DK Under 0.5 -209 \| exact	36.3%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Rafael Devers Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-218	Caesars Under 0.5 -209 \| best price	32.9%	✓!!–✓!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-188); break-even ~65%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Max Muncy Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-188	Caesars Under 0.5 -175 \| best price	31.8%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-247); break-even ~71%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Heriberto Hernandez Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-247	Caesars Under 0.5 -235 \| best price	31.6%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-328); break-even ~77%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Griffin Conine Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-328	Fanatics Under 0.5 -310 \| best price	31.6%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-311); break-even ~76%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Josh Naylor Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-311	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 \| best price	31.3%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-310); break-even ~76%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Carson Benge Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-310	Fanatics Under 0.5 -255 \| best price	31.1%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-258); break-even ~72%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Masataka Yoshida Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-258	DK Under 0.5 -258 \| exact	30.9%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-164); break-even ~62%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Anthony Seigler Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-164	DK Under 0.5 -164 \| exact	30.9%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Luis Campusano Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-227	Fanatics Under 0.5 -215 \| best price	30.8%	✓!!–✓!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Luis Rengifo Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-316	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 \| best price	30.8%	✓!!–✓!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Ty France Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-289	DK Under 0.5 -289 \| exact	30.8%	✓!!–✓!	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-320); break-even ~76%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Dominic Canzone Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-320	Fanatics Under 0.5 -280 \| best price	30.7%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-449); break-even ~82%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Weston Wilson Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-449	Fanatics Under 0.5 -400 \| best price	30.7%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-180); break-even ~64%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Cal Raleigh Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-180	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -170 \| best price	30.7%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-312); break-even ~76%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Brett Baty Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-312	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 \| best price	30.5%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-600); break-even ~86%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Elieser Hernández Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 \| exact	29.4%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-269); break-even ~73%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Freddie Freeman Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-269	Caesars Under 0.5 -240 \| best price	28.6%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-247); break-even ~71%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	A.J. Ewing Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-247	Fanatics Under 0.5 -230 \| best price	27.6%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-202); break-even ~67%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Francisco Lindor Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-202	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -200 \| best price	27.6%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-327); break-even ~77%, requires clean execution	Batter Walks	Luis Robert Jr. Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-327	DK Under 0.5 -327 \| exact	27.6%	✓!!–✓–	Add Signal
B	🔬 Research Only Market status RESEARCH: F5 Total research-stage	F5 Total	Over 3.5	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	3.5	-	-118	BetOnline Over 3.5 -110 \| best price	+10.8%	–✓✓–––	Add Signal
B	✅ Add Signal Heavy juice (-155); break-even ~61%, requires clean execution	Run Line	San Francisco Giants +1.5	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	-	-155	LowVig San Francisco Giants 1.5 -143 \| best price	+11.0%	–!✓––✓	Add Signal
B	✅ Add Signal Matchup: [!] Opp lineup wRC+ 116 vs RHP — tough platoon matchup	Run Line	Seattle Mariners +1.5	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	-	-157	LowVig Seattle Mariners 1.5 -149 \| best price	+8.3%	–!✓!–✓	Add Signal
► Lean Signals (Derisked)
B (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Framework posture advisory — posture note at C	Batter Total Bas	Teoscar Hernandez Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	1.6	-165	Caesars Over 0.5 -164 \| best price	218.4%	✗✓✓–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
B (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Framework posture advisory — posture note at C	Batter Total Bas	Jonah Heim Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	1.5	-190	Caesars Over 0.5 -190 \| best price	206.4%	✗✓✓–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.6% vs 17% min using selected line 3.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	JP Sears Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	3.5	3.9	-117	BetRivers Over 3.5 -105 \| best price	12.6%	✓✗✗✓––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Sonny Gray Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	5.5	5.1	-158	DK Under 5.5 -158 \| exact	8.0%	✓✗!!––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.3% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Roki Sasaki Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	5.5	5.8	-132	FanDuel Over 5.5 -108 \| best price	6.3%	✓✗✗✓––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.4% vs 17% min using selected line 6.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Nolan McLean Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	6.5	6.3	-105	BetOnline Under 6.5 -103 \| best price	2.4%	✓✗!✓––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.9% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Robbie Ray Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	4.5	4.5	-119	BetMGM Under 4.5 -115 \| best price	0.9%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.4% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Bryan Woo Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	5.5	5.5	-144	DK Under 5.5 -144 \| exact	0.4%	✓✗!!––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 15.8% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap -2.77 <= 3 min — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Roki Sasaki Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	17.5	14.7	-137	BetMGM Under 17.5 -135 \| best price	15.8%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.5% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Nolan McLean Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	17.5	18.6	-189	FanDuel Over 17.5 -180 \| best price	6.5%	✓✗✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.0% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Sonny Gray Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	17.5	18.4	-165	BetMGM Over 17.5 -160 \| best price	5.0%	✓✗✓–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Eury Perez Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	17.5	18.1	-111	DK Over 17.5 -111 \| exact	3.6%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Bryan Woo Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	17.5	17.0	+105	DK Under 17.5 +105 \| exact	3.0%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.7% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Hits All	Sonny Gray Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	5.5	4.8	+108	Bovada Direct Under 6.5 -160 \| alt rescue	12.7%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.3% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Hits All	Bryan Woo Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	5.5	5.9	-114	BetMGM Over 5.5 -105 \| best price	7.3%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Pitcher Walks	Roki Sasaki Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.7	-135	DK Over 1.5 -135 \| exact	15.4%	✓!!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 47.2% (1 books)	Pitcher Walks	Bryan Woo Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.3	-102	DK Under 1.5 -102 \| exact	12.4%	✓!✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.8% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Walks	Sonny Gray Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.7	-103	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	10.8%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.4% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Walks	Robbie Ray Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	2.5	2.7	+140	DK Over 2.5 +140 \| exact	9.4%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.1% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Walks	Nolan McLean Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	2.5	2.4	-199	theScore Bet Under 2.5 -190 \| best price	3.1%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Walks	JP Sears Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.5	+159	DK Over 1.5 +159 \| exact	0.0%	✓✗✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 49.8% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree	Pitcher Earned R	JP Sears Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	2.1	-118	BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 \| best price	40.0%	✓✓✗––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Earned R	Robbie Ray Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	2.5	2.6	-126	BetMGM Over 2.5 -120 \| best price	4.0%	✓✗✓––!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Earned R	Bryan Woo Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	2.5	2.4	+108	DK Under 2.5 +108 \| exact	4.0%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Pitcher Earned R	Roki Sasaki Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	2.5	2.4	-127	DK Under 2.5 -127 \| exact	4.0%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 48.2% (4 books) \| consensus 67% (4 books)	Batter Hits	Caleb Durbin Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	0.8	-224	DK Under 1.5 -224 \| exact	45.4%	✓!✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 40.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Masataka Yoshida Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	0.9	-273	BetMGM Under 1.5 -250 \| best price	40.8%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 40.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Anthony Seigler Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	0.9	-259	BetOnline Under 1.5 -250 \| best price	40.8%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Wilyer Abreu Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.0	-250	BetMGM Under 1.5 -235 \| best price	33.1%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Willson Contreras Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.1	-240	DK Under 1.5 -240 \| exact	30.0%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Ceddanne Rafaela Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.1	-203	BetMGM Under 1.5 -190 \| best price	27.0%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Luis Arraez Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.3	-219	DK Under 1.5 -219 \| exact	12.2%	✓✗!–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Grant McCray Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-366	DK Under 0.5 -366 \| exact	49.6%	✓!!–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Daniel Susac Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-500	Fanatics Under 0.5 -500 \| exact	49.6%	✓!!–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Christian Koss Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-496	DK Under 0.5 -496 \| exact	49.6%	✓!!–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Carlos Cortes Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-475	Fanatics Under 0.5 -475 \| exact	48.3%	✓!!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Donovan Walton Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-585	Fanatics Under 0.5 -450 \| best price	48.3%	✓!!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Jeff McNeil Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-505	DK Under 0.5 -505 \| exact	48.3%	✓!!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Dalton Rushing Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-325	DK Under 0.5 -325 \| exact	43.0%	✓!!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Marcus Semien Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-320	DK Under 0.5 -320 \| exact	37.8%	✓!!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 32.8% (1 books) — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Eddy Alvarez Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.7	+180	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +180 \| exact	35.2%	!!✗–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 30.8% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Walks	Francisco Alvarez Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.7	+185	Fanatics Over 0.5 +220 \| best price	35.2%	!!✗–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Julio Rodriguez Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-359	DK Under 0.5 -359 \| exact	35.0%	✓!!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Graham Pauley Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-380	DK Under 0.5 -380 \| exact	31.6%	✓!!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Joe Mack Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-342	Fanatics Under 0.5 -310 \| best price	31.6%	✓!!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Andruw Monasterio Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-270	Fanatics Under 0.5 -230 \| best price	30.9%	✓!!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Connor Wong Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-266	DK Under 0.5 -266 \| exact	30.9%	✓!!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Jake Cronenworth Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-214	DK Under 0.5 -214 \| exact	30.8%	✓!!–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Jase Bowen Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-485	Fanatics Under 0.5 -475 \| best price	30.8%	✓!!–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Colt Emerson Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-421	DK Under 0.5 -421 \| exact	30.7%	✓!!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Luke Raley Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-390	Fanatics Under 0.5 -375 \| best price	30.7%	✓!!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Walks	Jorge Polanco Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-291	Fanatics Under 0.5 -240 \| best price	27.6%	✓!!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.2% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Kyle Tucker Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-227	Caesars Under 0.5 -210 \| best price	24.2%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.6% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Tyler Soderstrom Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.4	-251	Caesars Under 0.5 -245 \| best price	23.6%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.2% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Liam Hicks Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-217	Caesars Under 0.5 -213 \| best price	22.2%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.5% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Fernando Tatis Jr. Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.4	-155	Fanatics Under 0.5 -140 \| best price	21.5%	✓✗!–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.3% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Nick Kurtz Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.6	+115	Fanatics Over 0.5 +115 \| exact	21.3%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.9% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Kyle Stowers Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-178	DK Under 0.5 -178 \| exact	19.9%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.9% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Randy Arozarena Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-208	DK Under 0.5 -208 \| exact	15.9%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.9% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Jakob Marsee Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.5	+156	Caesars Over 0.5 +160 \| best price	7.9%	!✗✗–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.8% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Wilyer Abreu Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.5	-154	DK Under 0.5 -154 \| exact	6.8%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.9% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Xander Bogaerts Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.5	-204	Caesars Under 0.5 -190 \| best price	5.9%	✓✗!–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.8% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Manny Machado Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.5	-190	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -190 \| best price	4.8%	✓✗!–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.9% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Xavier Edwards Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.5	+158	DK Over 0.5 +158 \| exact	2.9%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.4% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Walks	Willson Contreras Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.5	-102	Fanatics Over 0.5 +110 \| best price	2.4%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 58.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.88 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Nick Kurtz Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	2.4	-150	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -140 \| best price	58.7%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 49.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Randy Arozarena Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	2.2	-115	BetMGM Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	49.2%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 43.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Otto Lopez Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	1.5	2.2	-102	DK Over 1.5 -102 \| exact	43.9%	!✗✗–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Liam Hicks Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	1.5	2.1	+106	BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	42.9%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 41.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Bo Bichette Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	1.5	2.1	-109	DK Over 1.5 -109 \| exact	41.2%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Julio Rodriguez Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	2.0	-113	DK Over 1.5 -113 \| exact	36.6%	!✗✓–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jung Hoo Lee Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	2.0	+102	BetMGM Over 1.5 +105 \| best price	36.0%	!✗✗–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 32.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Rafael Devers Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	2.0	+109	DK Over 1.5 +109 \| exact	32.0%	✓✗✗–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Cole Young Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	2.0	+107	DK Over 1.5 +107 \| exact	31.8%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.1% vs 50% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Caleb Durbin Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	2.5	1.7	-167	DK Under 2.5 -167 \| exact	31.1%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Carson Benge Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	1.5	1.9	+121	DK Over 1.5 +121 \| exact	29.1%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jackson Merrill Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.9	-112	Caesars Over 1.5 -110 \| best price	26.3%	✓✗✗–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Kyle Stowers Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	1.5	1.9	+113	DK Over 1.5 +113 \| exact	24.1%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Josh Naylor Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.8	+108	DK Over 1.5 +108 \| exact	21.9%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Willy Adames Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.8	+120	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	21.3%	✓✗✗–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Xavier Edwards Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	1.5	1.8	-104	BetOnline Over 1.5 +110 \| best price	21.2%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Kyle Tucker Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.8	-107	BetMGM Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	19.3%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.5% vs 50% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Wilyer Abreu Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	2.5	2.2	-132	theScore Bet Under 2.5 -130 \| best price	13.5%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.0% vs 50% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ceddanne Rafaela Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	2.5	2.2	-152	theScore Bet Under 2.5 -140 \| best price	13.0%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.1% vs 50% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Shohei Ohtani Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	2.5	2.2	-140	BetOnline Under 2.5 -140 \| exact	10.1%	✓✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Bryce Eldridge Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.6	+110	BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	9.8%	✓✗✗–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Elieser Hernández Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.6	-140	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -140 \| exact	7.0%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Teoscar Hernandez Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+100	BetMGM Over 1.5 +110 \| best price	6.9%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jake Cronenworth Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.4	-174	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -165 \| best price	5.4%	✓✗!–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Dominic Canzone Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+108	DK Over 1.5 +108 \| exact	4.2%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Carlos Cortes Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.4	-150	BetOnline Under 1.5 -115 \| best price	4.2%	✓✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.9% vs 50% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Willson Contreras Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	2.5	2.4	-134	DK Under 2.5 -134 \| exact	3.9%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jonah Heim Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.5	+107	DK Over 1.5 +107 \| exact	2.9%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Luis Robert Jr. Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	1.5	1.5	-171	BetMGM Under 1.5 -145 \| best price	2.6%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Javier Sanoja Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+110	BetOnline Over 1.5 +110 \| exact	2.0%	✓✗✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Xander Bogaerts Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.5	-106	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	1.8%	!✗✗–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ty France Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.5	-108	DK Over 1.5 -108 \| exact	1.6%	✓✗✗–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Heriberto Hernandez Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+113	BetOnline Over 1.5 +130 \| best price	1.3%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	A.J. Ewing Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+123	DK Over 1.5 +123 \| exact	1.3%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Francisco Lindor Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+108	BetMGM Over 1.5 +110 \| best price	1.3%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jeff McNeil Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.5	-148	BetMGM Under 1.5 -130 \| best price	1.2%	✓✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Andruw Monasterio Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.5	-132	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 \| best price	0.9%	!✗✓–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Connor Wong Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.5	-107	BetMGM Over 1.5 +105 \| best price	0.9%	!✗✗–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Lawrence Butler Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.5	+109	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +110 \| best price	0.8%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Dalton Rushing Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.5	-153	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -150 \| best price	0.5%	✓✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Luis Campusano Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.5	-153	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -150 \| best price	0.4%	✓✗!–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Cal Raleigh Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+127	BetMGM Over 0.5 -165 \| alt rescue	0.2%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Total Bas	Francisco Alvarez Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	2.3	-120	BetOnline Over 0.5 -115 \| best price	364.8%	✗✓✓–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 31.6% (1 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Eddy Alvarez Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	2.3	+200	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +200 \| exact	364.8%	✗✓✗–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 46.0% (4 books) \| books against us 33% (4 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Total Bas	Willy Adames Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	1.6	-150	BetMGM Over 0.5 -150 \| exact	227.9%	✗✓✗–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 45.5% (4 books) \| books against us 33% (4 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Total Bas	Kyle Stowers Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	1.6	-150	BetMGM Over 0.5 -150 \| exact	226.2%	✗✓✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Total Bas	Daniel Susac Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	1.6	-165	Caesars Over 0.5 -162 \| best price	221.0%	✗✓✓–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 48.4% (4 books) \| consensus 67% (4 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Christian Koss Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	1.6	-150	BetOnline Over 0.5 -132 \| best price	221.0%	✗✓✗–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 41.2% (4 books) \| books against us 0% (4 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Grant McCray Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	1.6	+100	BetOnline Over 0.5 +106 \| best price	221.0%	✗✓✗–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 31.6% (1 books)	Batter Total Bas	Elieser Hernández Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	1.6	+200	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +200 \| exact	218.9%	✗✓✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 46.1% (4 books) \| books against us 33% (4 books) — strongly disagree — posture not…	Batter Total Bas	Dalton Rushing Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	1.6	-150	Caesars Over 0.5 -148 \| best price	218.4%	✗✓✗–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 218% (≥150%) — verify projection	Batter Total Bas	Enrique Hernandez Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	1.6	-140	BetOnline Over 0.5 -135 \| best price	218.4%	✗✓!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 212% (≥150%) — verify projection	Batter Total Bas	Henry Bolte Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	1.6	-192	BetOnline Over 0.5 -192 \| exact	212.4%	✗✓!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 210% (≥150%) — verify projection	Batter Total Bas	Javier Sanoja Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	1.6	-185	BetOnline Over 0.5 -185 \| exact	210.1%	✗✓!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA	Batter Total Bas	Donovan Walton Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	1.5	-150	BetOnline Over 0.5 -143 \| best price	206.4%	✗✓✓–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 43.5% (3 books) \| books against us 0% (3 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Jeff McNeil Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	1.5	-200	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +170 \| best price	206.4%	✗✓✗–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 46.4% (4 books) \| books against us 33% (4 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Total Bas	Lawrence Butler Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	1.5	-160	BetMGM Over 0.5 -160 \| exact	206.4%	✗✓✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 33.9% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Carlos Cortes Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	1.5	+170	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +170 \| exact	206.4%	✗✓✗–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 43.5% (4 books) \| books against us 33% (4 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Total Bas	Cal Raleigh Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	1.5	-120	BetMGM Over 0.5 -120 \| exact	204.5%	✗✓✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 46.8% (4 books) \| consensus 67% (4 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Luke Raley Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	1.5	-120	BetMGM Over 0.5 -120 \| exact	204.5%	✗✓✗–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 44.9% (4 books) \| consensus 67% (4 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Colt Emerson Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	1.5	-115	BetMGM Over 0.5 -115 \| exact	204.5%	✗✓✗–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 41.6% (4 books) \| books against us 0% (4 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Total Bas	Weston Wilson Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	1.5	+105	BetOnline Over 0.5 +109 \| best price	204.5%	✗✓✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High TB diff 204% (≥150%) — verify projection	Batter Total Bas	Jared Young Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	1.5	-143	BetOnline Over 0.5 -143 \| exact	203.6%	✗✓!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 46.4% (4 books) \| consensus 67% (4 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jake Cronenworth Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	1.5	-135	BetOnline Over 0.5 -119 \| best price	202.7%	✗✓✗–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 42.2% (4 books) \| books against us 0% (4 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Jase Bowen Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	1.5	-110	Caesars Over 0.5 -102 \| best price	202.7%	✗✓✗–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 40.2% (3 books) \| split consensus 50% (3 books)	Batter Total Bas	Luis Campusano Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	1.5	+190	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +190 \| exact	202.7%	✗✓✗–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 46.7% (4 books) \| books against us 33% (4 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Total Bas	Heriberto Hernandez Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	1.5	-175	Caesars Over 0.5 -170 \| best price	201.8%	✗✓✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 46.1% (4 books) \| books against us 33% (4 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Total Bas	Griffin Conine Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	1.5	-120	BetOnline Over 0.5 -112 \| best price	201.8%	✗✓✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 43.7% (4 books) \| books against us 0% (4 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Joe Mack Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	1.5	-110	BetMGM Over 0.5 -110 \| exact	201.8%	✗✓✗–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Weak)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 35.2% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	Batter Total Bas	Graham Pauley Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	1.5	+260	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +260 \| exact	201.8%	✗✓✗–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 196.6% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.98 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Carson Benge Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	1.5	-150	BetMGM Over 0.5 -150 \| exact	196.6%	✗✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 195.9% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.98 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	A.J. Ewing Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	1.5	-185	Caesars Over 0.5 -170 \| best price	195.9%	✗✗✓–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 195.9% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.98 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Luis Robert Jr. Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	1.5	-155	BetOnline Over 0.5 -152 \| best price	195.9%	✗✗✓–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 191.0% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.96 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Liam Hicks Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	1.5	-200	Caesars Over 0.5 -190 \| best price	191.0%	✗✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 179.2% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.90 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Josh Naylor Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	1.4	-190	BetMGM Over 0.5 -190 \| exact	179.2%	✗✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 131.0% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.66 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	J.P. Crawford Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	1.2	-130	BetOnline Over 0.5 -130 \| exact	131.0%	✗✗!–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 98.6% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Brett Baty Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	1.0	-125	BetOnline Over 0.5 -120 \| best price	98.6%	✗✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Willson Contreras Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	2.0	-119	BetOnline Over 1.5 -106 \| best price	35.3%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Otto Lopez Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	1.5	1.8	+153	DK Over 1.5 +153 \| exact	19.0%	!✗✗–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Luis Arraez Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.8	+114	BetOnline Over 1.5 +124 \| best price	18.8%	!✗✗–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Nick Kurtz Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.8	+115	BetOnline Over 1.5 +117 \| best price	18.6%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Rafael Devers Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.8	+135	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +150 \| alt rescue	17.8%	!✗✗–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Wilyer Abreu Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.8	-123	BetOnline Over 1.5 -111 \| best price	17.4%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Julio Rodriguez Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.8	+130	BetOnline Over 1.5 +136 \| best price	17.2%	!✗✗–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Freddie Freeman Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.7	+110	DK Over 1.5 +110 \| exact	16.2%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ceddanne Rafaela Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.7	-112	BetOnline Over 1.5 -111 \| best price	16.2%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jarren Duran Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.3	-155	BetMGM Under 1.5 -150 \| best price	16.2%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Tyler Soderstrom Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.7	+128	DK Over 1.5 +128 \| exact	14.1%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Andy Pages Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.7	+126	BetOnline Over 1.5 +126 \| best price	13.4%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Caleb Durbin Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.3	-131	DK Under 1.5 -131 \| exact	12.3%	✓✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Xavier Edwards Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-203	DK Under 1.5 -203 \| exact	10.3%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Randy Arozarena Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+130	BetOnline Over 1.5 +141 \| best price	9.8%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jung Hoo Lee Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.6	+154	BetOnline Over 1.5 +167 \| best price	9.3%	!✗✗–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Manny Machado Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.6	+110	Fanatics Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	8.6%	!✗✗–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Andruw Monasterio Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.6	+120	BetMGM Over 1.5 +145 \| best price	7.6%	!✗✗–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Connor Wong Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.6	+147	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +150 \| alt rescue	7.6%	!✗✗–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Anthony Seigler Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.6	+110	BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	7.6%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Masataka Yoshida Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.6	+120	DK Over 1.5 +120 \| exact	7.6%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Heliot Ramos Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.6	+113	BetOnline Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	7.0%	!✗✗–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Bryce Eldridge Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.6	+135	BetOnline Over 1.5 +152 \| best price	7.0%	!✗✗–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Tommy Edman Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+129	DK Over 1.5 +129 \| exact	6.1%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Mookie Betts Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+125	BetOnline Over 1.5 +132 \| best price	6.1%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Fernando Tatis Jr. Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.6	+117	BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	5.3%	!✗✗–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jacob Wilson Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.5	+109	DK Over 1.5 +109 \| exact	2.1%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Tommy White Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.5	+129	BetMGM Over 1.5 +145 \| best price	2.1%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jackson Merrill Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.5	+142	BetOnline Over 1.5 +144 \| best price	1.6%	!✗✗–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Dominic Canzone Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+130	BetOnline Over 1.5 +136 \| best price	1.5%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Francisco Lindor Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	1.5	1.5	-185	BetMGM Under 1.5 -185 \| exact	1.4%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Cole Young Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+135	BetOnline Over 1.5 +144 \| best price	1.2%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ty France Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.5	+140	BetOnline Over 1.5 +141 \| best price	0.9%	!✗✗–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Luis Rengifo Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.5	+143	DK Over 1.5 +143 \| exact	0.9%	!✗✗–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Max Muncy Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+119	BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	0.9%	!✗✗–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Bo Bichette Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	1.5	1.5	-172	Fanatics Under 1.5 -170 \| best price	0.6%	✓✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C 🔬 MODEL SIGNAL	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	No HR	No HR (Game)	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.2	+920	DraftKings 0.5 +920	+12.3%	✓–––––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C 🔬 MODEL SIGNAL	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	No HR	Under 1.5 HR (Game)	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	1.5	0.5	+920	DraftKings 1.5 +920	+12.3%	✓–––––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked	Total	Over 7.0	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	7.0	-	-114	LowVig Over 7 -113 \| best price	+20.2%	–✓––––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: selected-line market against 48.8% (7 books)	F5 Total	Under 5.5	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	5.5	-	-114	Caesars Under 5.5 +100 \| best price	+13.0%	–✓✗–––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: selected book disagrees \| books against us 0% (9 books) — strongly disagree	F5 ML	Athletics	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	-	-	+150	BetUS +160 \| best price	+9.2%	–✓✗✓––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: selected book disagrees \| books against us 0% (9 books) — strongly disagree	Moneyline	Athletics	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	-	-	+158	BetRivers +165 \| best price	+15.1%	–✓✗✓––	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Luis Robert Jr. Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-900	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 \| exact	93.8%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	A.J. Ewing Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| exact	93.8%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Francisco Lindor Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-650	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 \| exact	93.8%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jorge Polanco Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	93.8%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Heriberto Hernandez Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	93.7%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Griffin Conine Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	93.7%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Joe Mack Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| exact	93.7%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Graham Pauley Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| exact	93.7%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Luis Rengifo Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jase Bowen Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Ty France Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Luis Campusano Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jake Cronenworth Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Colt Emerson Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Cal Raleigh Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -500 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Luke Raley Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-700	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Dominic Canzone Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Weston Wilson Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Tommy White Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jonah Heim Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Lawrence Butler Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Donovan Walton Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jeff McNeil Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Carlos Cortes Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jacob Wilson Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| exact	93.6%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Tommy Edman Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	93.3%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Dalton Rushing Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 \| exact	93.3%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Mookie Betts Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| exact	93.3%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Elieser Hernández Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-900	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 \| exact	93.3%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Christian Koss Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| exact	93.2%	–✗!–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Grant McCray Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| exact	93.2%	–✗!–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Daniel Susac Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| exact	93.2%	–✗!–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Bryce Eldridge Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| exact	93.2%	–✗!–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Heliot Ramos Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 \| exact	93.2%	–✗!–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Andruw Monasterio Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| exact	93.2%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Anthony Seigler Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-900	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 \| exact	93.2%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Masataka Yoshida Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	93.2%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Connor Wong Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| exact	93.2%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Luis Arraez Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-4000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 \| exact	92.3%	–✗!–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jakob Marsee Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| exact	91.0%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.050/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Xavier Edwards Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-4000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 \| exact	89.9%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Brett Baty Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	88.4%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jung Hoo Lee Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-3500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 \| exact	87.8%	–✗!–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Fernando Tatis Jr. Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 \| exact	85.0%	–✗!–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Otto Lopez Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| exact	84.4%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Josh Naylor Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	84.4%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Kyle Tucker Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-750	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -750 \| exact	83.4%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Xander Bogaerts Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| exact	82.4%	–✗!–!!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Bo Bichette Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| exact	81.0%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Caleb Durbin Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| exact	80.1%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Carson Benge Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| exact	78.7%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Ceddanne Rafaela Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-900	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 \| exact	78.2%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Cole Young Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| exact	75.2%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jarren Duran Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-750	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -750 \| exact	75.0%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Marcus Semien Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| exact	75.0%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Randy Arozarena Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-750	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -750 \| exact	74.1%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Freddie Freeman Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-650	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 \| exact	73.0%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Liam Hicks Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| exact	72.5%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Jackson Merrill Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| exact	71.4%	–✗!–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Wilyer Abreu Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -400 \| exact	69.5%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Andy Pages Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-700	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 \| exact	67.8%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Kyle Stowers Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-750	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -750 \| exact	67.4%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Willy Adames Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-700	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 \| exact	65.5%	–✗!–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Julio Rodriguez Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-700	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 \| exact	65.3%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.180/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Tyler Soderstrom Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-550	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -550 \| exact	64.1%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Max Muncy Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -400 \| exact	61.5%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Rafael Devers Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-750	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -750 \| exact	60.1%	–✗!–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.220/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Manny Machado Under	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-475	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -475 \| exact	56.2%	–✗!–✓!	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.220/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Nick Kurtz Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-450	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -450 \| exact	56.1%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.240/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Willson Contreras Under	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-475	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -475 \| exact	52.2%	–✗!–✓–	Lean Signal - Derisked
C (Review)	↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.320/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D	Batter HR	Eddy Alvarez Under	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-650	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 \| exact	35.2%	–✗!–!–	Lean Signal - Derisked
► Watch Signals
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: diff_pct 55.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.83 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Luis Arraez Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	2.3	-137	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 \| best price	55.2%	✓✗✓–✓!	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: diff_pct 51.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.76 <= 1 min — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Andy Pages Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	2.3	-120	BetMGM Over 1.5 -120 \| best price	51.0%	✓✗✓–✓–	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 43.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Freddie Freeman Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	2.1	-135	BetOnline Over 1.5 -130 \| best price	43.1%	✓✗✓–✓–	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Fernando Tatis Jr. Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	2.1	-142	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -140 \| best price	38.9%	✓✗✓–✓!	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Manny Machado Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	2.0	-135	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 \| best price	34.7%	✓✗✓–✓!	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Tyler Soderstrom Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	2.0	-115	DK Over 1.5 -115 \| exact	33.2%	✓✗✓–✓–	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Max Muncy Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.8	-119	Caesars Over 1.5 -118 \| best price	19.9%	✓✗✓–✓–	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jarren Duran Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.8	-138	DK Over 1.5 -138 \| exact	18.5%	✓✗✓–✓–	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Anthony Seigler Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.7	-158	BetMGM Over 1.5 -155 \| best price	10.5%	✓✗✓–✓–	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Heliot Ramos Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.6	-122	Caesars Over 1.5 -118 \| best price	9.8%	✓✗✓–✓!	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Tommy Edman Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.6	-123	DK Over 1.5 -123 \| exact	9.0%	✓✗✓–✓–	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Masataka Yoshida Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.6	-150	BetMGM Over 1.5 -130 \| best price	8.4%	✓✗✓–✓–	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Mookie Betts Over	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.6	-122	BetMGM Over 1.5 -115 \| best price	6.9%	✓✗✓–✓–	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jacob Wilson Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.6	-148	BetMGM Over 1.5 -140 \| best price	4.9%	✓✗✓–✓–	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Luis Rengifo Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	1.5	1.6	-119	BetMGM Over 1.5 -115 \| best price	3.6%	✓✗✓–✓!	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Tommy White Over	SOX@ATH	9:41 PM	1.5	1.5	-124	BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 \| best price	2.9%	✓✗✓–✓–	Watch Signal
B (Review)	◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Kyle Tucker Under	MAR@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.2	-187	Caesars Under 1.5 -182 \| best price	17.2%	✓✗✓–✓–	Watch Signal
D	◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 195.9% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.98 <= 1 min	Batter Total Bas	Jorge Polanco Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	1.5	-120	BetOnline Over 0.5 -115 \| best price	195.9%	✗✗✗–!–	Watch Signal
D	◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 137.3% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.69 <= 1 min	Batter Total Bas	Marcus Semien Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	1.2	-130	BetOnline Over 0.5 -123 \| best price	137.3%	✗✗✗–!–	Watch Signal
D	◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 121.6% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5 clears, but raw gap +0.61 <= 1 min	Batter Total Bas	Xander Bogaerts Over	GIA@PAD	9:41 PM	0.5	1.1	-165	BetMGM Over 0.5 -165 \| exact	121.6%	✗✗✗–!!	Watch Signal
D	◇ Watch Signal Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 83.2% vs 100% min using selected line 0.5	Batter Total Bas	Jakob Marsee Over	MAR@MET	8:11 PM	0.5	0.9	-135	BetOnline Over 0.5 -118 \| best price	83.2%	✗✗✗–!–	Watch Signal

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