| Market | Trust | Season N | Season WR | Season P&L | 14d N | 14d WR | 14d P&L | Grade A N | Grade A WR | Review-only N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | 468 | 56% | -5.97u | 62 | 53% | -3.24u | 221 | 58% | 64 |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | 412 | 58% | +10.45u | 55 | 49% | -7.68u | 4 | 50% | 6 |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | 145 | 55% | -1.20u | 7 | 71% | +1.88u | 42 | 62% | 1 |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | 959 | 74% | -5.42u | 332 | 77% | +3.64u | 6 | 83% | 134 |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | 429 | 57% | -14.60u | 100 | 49% | -17.08u | 1 | 100% | 9 |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | 318 | 59% | -14.57u | 78 | 60% | -1.85u | 0 | - | 11 |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | 42 | 76% | +3.08u | 5 | 60% | -0.82u | 0 | - | 23 |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | 32 | 53% | -0.34u | 1 | 0% | -1.00u | 0 | - | 37 |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | 28 | 48% | +4.54u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | 10 | 30% | -4.27u | 1 | 100% | +0.91u | 0 | - | 0 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | 6 | 50% | +2.85u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | 3 | 33% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | 2 | 100% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 110 | 46% | -13.67u | 7 | 57% | -0.13u | 2 | 50% | 8 |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 54 | 41% | -8.78u | 4 | 75% | +1.73u | 1 | 100% | 7 |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 8 | 50% | -1.05u | 7 | 57% | -0.05u | 0 | - | 6 |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 521 | 52% | -49.76u | 37 | 68% | +6.93u | 77 | 53% | 355 |
Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from Best/Good settled tracker performance; review-only rows are shown separately.
| Market | Current Stage | Next Stage | Progress | Promotion Blockers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 2/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 3/4 | 14d P&L non-negative |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 2/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 3/5 | season P&L positive; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 0/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52% |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 🔬 Research | 3/5 | diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative |
Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.
| Pitcher | Game | Overall | Whiff | Contact | Arsenal | Top Pitch | Notes / Data Gaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Henderson | Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants | 67.7 | 63.0 | 75.5 | 4 | Changeup (38% whiff, 33% usage) | Savant whiff 27.7%, put-away 23.9%, xwOBA 0.264, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Chase Burns | Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians | 65.9 | 66.9 | 69.5 | 3 | Slider (52% whiff, 37% usage) | Savant whiff 31.2%, put-away 20.8%, xwOBA 0.276, arsenal coverage 3 pitch type(s) |
| Chris Sale | Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets | 64.9 | 65.8 | 69.0 | 4 | Slider (38% whiff, 39% usage) | Savant whiff 30.7%, put-away 20.7%, xwOBA 0.277, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Reid Detmers | Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros | 62.3 | 61.8 | 66.0 | 5 | Curveball (38% whiff, 11% usage) | Savant whiff 29.0%, put-away 20.2%, xwOBA 0.283, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Troy Melton | Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles | 60.3 | 57.1 | 68.5 | 6 | Slider (32% whiff, 18% usage) | Savant whiff 25.9%, put-away 21.6%, xwOBA 0.278, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Gavin Williams | Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds | 57.5 | 66.8 | 51.5 | 5 | Sweeper (43% whiff, 27% usage) | Savant whiff 29.6%, put-away 23.8%, xwOBA 0.312, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Jake Bennett | Boston Red Sox vs Athletics | 57.3 | 49.1 | 69.5 | 6 | Changeup (34% whiff, 26% usage) | Savant whiff 23.2%, put-away 18.9%, xwOBA 0.276, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Landen Roupp | San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers | 57.1 | 52.1 | 65.0 | 5 | Curveball (34% whiff, 26% usage) | Savant whiff 24.1%, put-away 20.2%, xwOBA 0.285, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Peter Lambert | Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels | 56.2 | 51.1 | 63.0 | 7 | Changeup (36% whiff, 23% usage) | Savant whiff 24.6%, put-away 18.2%, xwOBA 0.289, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Gerrit Cole | New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox | 55.0 | 49.3 | 62.0 | 5 | Slider (25% whiff, 20% usage) | Savant whiff 21.6%, put-away 22.4%, xwOBA 0.291, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Taj Bradley | Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals | 55.0 | 57.2 | 54.0 | 4 | Split-Finger (38% whiff, 20% usage) | Savant whiff 26.5%, put-away 20.4%, xwOBA 0.307, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Cade Cavalli | Washington Nationals vs Toronto Blue Jays | 54.7 | 57.1 | 54.0 | 6 | Curveball (40% whiff, 27% usage) | Savant whiff 26.0%, put-away 21.5%, xwOBA 0.307, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Christian Scott | New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves | 53.4 | 56.2 | 53.0 | 6 | Sweeper (34% whiff, 23% usage) | Savant whiff 26.0%, put-away 20.5%, xwOBA 0.309, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Aaron Nola | Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins | 51.8 | 54.6 | 47.5 | 6 | Curveball (41% whiff, 34% usage) | Savant whiff 25.9%, put-away 19.1%, xwOBA 0.320, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Griffin Jax | Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers | 51.6 | 69.4 | 36.0 | 6 | Changeup (43% whiff, 23% usage) | Savant whiff 30.7%, put-away 24.2%, xwOBA 0.343, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies | 51.2 | 44.9 | 57.5 | 7 | Changeup (30% whiff, 21% usage) | Savant whiff 21.6%, put-away 18.0%, xwOBA 0.300, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Dean Kremer | Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers | 50.4 | 59.9 | 42.0 | 6 | Split-Finger (43% whiff, 30% usage) | Savant whiff 28.5%, put-away 19.3%, xwOBA 0.331, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Bubba Chandler | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks | 49.6 | 45.8 | 53.0 | 6 | Slider (30% whiff, 19% usage) | Savant whiff 23.0%, put-away 16.0%, xwOBA 0.309, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Gage Jump | Athletics vs Boston Red Sox | 49.5 | 50.7 | 49.0 | 6 | Slider (26% whiff, 23% usage) | Savant whiff 24.5%, put-away 18.0%, xwOBA 0.317, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Brandon Pfaadt | Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates | 47.0 | 43.0 | 50.0 | 6 | Curveball (33% whiff, 18% usage) | Savant whiff 21.0%, put-away 17.3%, xwOBA 0.315, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Michael King | San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies | 46.4 | 52.4 | 43.0 | 5 | Changeup (29% whiff, 28% usage) | Savant whiff 25.2%, put-away 18.4%, xwOBA 0.329, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Luis Castillo | Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Dodgers | 46.3 | 44.1 | 46.0 | 4 | 4-Seam Fastball (27% whiff, 44% usage) | Savant whiff 23.1%, put-away 14.2%, xwOBA 0.323, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Slade Cecconi | Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds | 41.8 | 40.4 | 41.0 | 7 | Curveball (30% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 20.3%, put-away 16.0%, xwOBA 0.333, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Anthony Kay | Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees | 40.4 | 46.6 | 32.0 | 6 | Sweeper (36% whiff, 22% usage) | Savant whiff 24.4%, put-away 14.0%, xwOBA 0.351, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Michael Lorenzen | Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres | 35.5 | 38.1 | 27.5 | 7 | Changeup (30% whiff, 20% usage) | Savant whiff 19.2%, put-away 16.0%, xwOBA 0.360, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Seth Lugo | Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins | 35.3 | 37.7 | 30.5 | 8 | Cutter (24% whiff, 16% usage) | Savant whiff 18.5%, put-away 17.0%, xwOBA 0.354, arsenal coverage 8 pitch type(s) |
| Colin Rea | Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals | 33.8 | 37.6 | 28.5 | 7 | Changeup (32% whiff, 18% usage) | Savant whiff 20.2%, put-away 13.4%, xwOBA 0.358, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Shane Bieber | Toronto Blue Jays vs Washington Nationals | 28.8 | 47.2 | 8.0 | 6 | Curveball (38% whiff, 18% usage) | Savant whiff 23.8%, put-away 15.8%, xwOBA 0.399, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.
| Pitcher | Team | Hand | Season K% | Recent IP | Season IP | K IP | Pitch Ct | Leash | Savant | Contact | HR Vuln | Quality | Flags / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt | Arizona Diamondbacks vs Pittsburgh Pirates | R | 15.7% | 5.3 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 89 | normal | full | 50.00 | 50.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Gage Jump | Athletics vs Boston Red Sox | L | 24.1% | 4.0 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 67 | short | full | 49.00 | 51.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.0 IP/start |
| Chris Sale | Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets | L | 30.6% | 5.4 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 91 | normal | full | 69.00 | 31.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Dean Kremer | Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers | R | 23.6% | 5.4 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 91 | normal | full | 42.00 | 58.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Jake Bennett | Boston Red Sox vs Athletics | L | 18.3% | 6.3 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 106 | deep | full | 69.50 | 30.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Colin Rea | Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals | R | 18.1% | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 87 | normal | full | 28.50 | 71.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Anthony Kay | Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees | L | 17.8% | 4.3 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 72 | short | full | 32.00 | 68.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.3 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.9% |
| Chase Burns | Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians | R | 27.5% | 5.4 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 91 | normal | full | 69.50 | 30.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.6% |
| Gavin Williams | Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds | R | 33.2% | 5.8 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 97 | normal | full | 51.50 | 48.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.5% |
| Slade Cecconi | Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds | R | 16.8% | 4.9 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 82 | short | full | 41.00 | 59.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.9 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.5% |
| Michael Lorenzen | Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres | R | 14.4% | 4.7 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 79 | short | full | 27.50 | 72.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.7 IP/start |
| Troy Melton | Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles | R | 26.4% | 5.5 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 92 | normal | full | 68.50 | 31.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.2% |
| Peter Lambert | Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels | R | 23.8% | 5.7 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 96 | normal | full | 63.00 | 37.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Seth Lugo | Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins | R | 19.7% | 5.4 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 91 | normal | full | 30.50 | 69.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Reid Detmers | Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros | L | 28.0% | 5.1 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 86 | short | full | 66.00 | 34.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.1 IP/start |
| Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies | R | 19.3% | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 111 | deep | full | 57.50 | 42.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Logan Henderson | Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants | R | 28.4% | 5.0 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 84 | short | full | 75.50 | 24.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.0 IP/start |
| Taj Bradley | Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals | R | 28.2% | 6.2 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 104 | deep | full | 54.00 | 46.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Christian Scott | New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves | R | 29.5% | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 72 | short | full | 53.00 | 47.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.3 IP/start |
| Gerrit Cole | New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox | R | 27.2% | 5.8 | 5.6 | 6.0 | 97 | normal | full | 62.00 | 38.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Aaron Nola | Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins | R | 24.0% | 5.4 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 91 | normal | full | 47.50 | 52.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Bubba Chandler | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks | R | 19.6% | 5.1 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 86 | short | full | 53.00 | 47.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.1 IP/start, low-K contact opponent 19.3% |
| Michael King | San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies | R | 21.2% | 5.4 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 91 | normal | full | 43.00 | 57.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Landen Roupp | San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers | R | 23.1% | 5.8 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 97 | normal | full | 65.00 | 35.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.6% |
| Luis Castillo | Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Dodgers | R | 18.7% | 5.6 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 94 | normal | full | 46.00 | 54.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.2% |
| Griffin Jax | Tampa Bay Rays vs Texas Rangers | R | 25.4% | 5.4 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 91 | normal | full | 36.00 | 64.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Shane Bieber | Toronto Blue Jays vs Washington Nationals | R | 19.4% | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.3 | 89 | normal | full | 8.00 | 92.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Cade Cavalli | Washington Nationals vs Toronto Blue Jays | R | 30.0% | 5.4 | 5.0 | 5.1 | 91 | normal | full | 54.00 | 46.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | low-K contact opponent 19.6% |
Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.
| Pitcher | Side | Game | Line | Proj | Gap | Edge / DIFF% | Grade | Rec | Status | Leash | K IP | Pitch Ct | Quality | Gate Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara | Sandy Alcantara Over | Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins | 18.5 | 20.6 | 2.1 | 11.1% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | deep | 6.5 | 111 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 11.1% vs 10% min using selected line 18.5 clears, but raw gap +2.06 <= 3 min |
| Taj Bradley | Taj Bradley Over | Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins | 17.5 | 18.8 | 1.3 | 7.6% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | deep | 6.0 | 104 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.6% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
| Seth Lugo | Seth Lugo Under | Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins | 17.5 | 16.3 | -1.2 | 7.0% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.6 | 91 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.0% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
| Michael King | Michael King Under | Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres | 17.5 | 16.3 | -1.2 | 6.8% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.6 | 91 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.8% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
| Peter Lambert | Peter Lambert Under | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | 17.5 | 16.9 | -0.6 | 3.6% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.8 | 96 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
| Reid Detmers | Reid Detmers Under | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | 17.5 | 17.0 | -0.5 | 3.0% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | short | 5.6 | 86 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
| Troy Melton | Troy Melton Under | Baltimore Orioles @ Detroit Tigers | 17.5 | 17.4 | -0.1 | 0.6% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 6.0 | 92 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.6% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
| Gerrit Cole | Gerrit Cole Over | New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox | 17.5 | 17.6 | 0.1 | 0.4% | B | MONITOR | research | normal | 6.0 | 97 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.4% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.
| Grade | Signal | Type | Side | Game | Time (ET) | Line | Proj | Odds | Best Book / Line | Edge/Diff | Signal Breakdown ✓!✗– | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ► Add Signals | ||||||||||||
| B | ✅ Add Signal Matchup: [!] Opp lineup wRC+ 117 vs LHP — tough platoon matchup | K Prop | Jake Bennett Over | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | 3.5 | 5.3 | -150 | Fanatics Over 3.5 -140 | best price | 50.1% | ✓✓✓!–– | Add Signal |
| B | 🔬 Research Only Matchup: Pitch-type: opp whiffs above avg vs SP top pitch (×1.06) ✓ Over Ks | [!] Opp lineup wRC+ 120 vs RHP — tough platoon matc… | K Prop | Shane Bieber Over | JAY@NAT | 6:46 PM | 3.5 | 4.6 | -170 | DK Over 3.5 -170 | exact | 31.1% | ✓✓!!–– | Add Signal |
| B | 🔬 Research Only Matchup: Pitch-type: opp whiffs above avg vs SP top pitch (×1.10) ✓ Over Ks | [!] Opp lineup wRC+ 118 vs RHP — tough platoon matc… | K Prop | Dean Kremer Over | ORI@TIG | 6:41 PM | 4.5 | 5.6 | -118 | Fanatics Over 4.5 -115 | best price | 24.5% | ✓✓✓!–– | Add Signal |
| B | 🔬 Research Only Market status RESEARCH: Total research-stage | Total | Over 8.0 | YAN@SOX | 7:41 PM | 8.0 | - | -114 | BetRivers Over 8 -109 | best price | +22.7% | –✓–✓–✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 🔬 Research Only Market status RESEARCH: F5 Total research-stage | F5 Total | Under 5.5 | GUA@RED | 7:10 PM | 5.5 | - | -146 | FanDuel Under 5.5 -146 | exact | +12.1% | –✓!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | ✅ Add Signal Market health drawdown: Run Line Grade B held as review-only while season P&L -1.201u | Run Line | New York Mets +1.5 | BRA@MET | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | - | -136 | MyBookie New York Mets 1.5 -127 | best price | +7.6% | –!✓✓–✓ | Add Signal |
| ► Lean Signals (Derisked) | ||||||||||||
| B (Weak) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 44.6% (2 books) | books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note… | K Prop | Troy Melton Over | ORI@TIG | 6:41 PM | 5.5 | 7.7 | +106 | FanDuel Over 5.5 +118 | best price | 39.1% | ✓✓✗✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 45.8% (1 books) — posture note at C | K Prop | Cade Cavalli Over | JAY@NAT | 6:46 PM | 4.5 | 5.7 | +106 | DK Over 4.5 +106 | exact | 26.2% | ✓✓✗✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 45.9% (3 books) | books against us 0% (3 books) — strongly disagree — posture note… | K Prop | Peter Lambert Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 5.5 | 6.9 | +109 | DK Over 5.5 +109 | exact | 25.8% | ✓✓✗✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: selected book disagrees | split consensus 50% (8 books) — posture note at C | Run Line | Cleveland Guardians +1.5 | GUA@RED | 7:10 PM | 1.5 | - | -149 | LowVig Cleveland Guardians 1.5 -140 | best price | +15.9% | –✓✗✓–✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 21.8% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 clears, but raw gap -0.98 <= 1 min — posture note at D | K Prop | Seth Lugo Under | ROY@TWI | 7:41 PM | 4.5 | 3.5 | -150 | FanDuel Under 4.5 -146 | best price | 21.8% | ✓✗!!–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.0% vs 17% min using selected line 3.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Michael Lorenzen Under | ROC@PAD | 9:41 PM | 3.5 | 3.0 | +107 | DK Under 3.5 +107 | exact | 13.0% | ✓✗!✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.2% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Anthony Kay Under | YAN@SOX | 7:41 PM | 4.5 | 4.1 | +119 | DK Under 4.5 +119 | exact | 9.2% | ✓✗!!–! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.9% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Slade Cecconi Under | GUA@RED | 7:10 PM | 4.5 | 4.1 | -151 | DK Under 4.5 -151 | exact | 8.9% | ✓✗!✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.8% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Gage Jump Under | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | 5.5 | 5.0 | -130 | FanDuel Under 5.5 -125 | best price | 8.8% | ✓✗!!–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.5% vs 17% min using selected line 6.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Gerrit Cole Over | YAN@SOX | 7:41 PM | 6.5 | 7.0 | +107 | Fanatics Over 6.5 +110 | best price | 8.5% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Griffin Jax Over | RAN@RAY | 6:41 PM | 5.5 | 5.9 | -118 | DK Over 5.5 -118 | exact | 8.0% | ✓✗!✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.5% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Christian Scott Over | BRA@MET | 7:11 PM | 5.5 | 5.9 | -101 | FanDuel Over 5.5 +116 | best price | 7.5% | ✓✗✗✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.4% vs 17% min using selected line 7.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Chris Sale Over | BRA@MET | 7:11 PM | 7.5 | 8.1 | +110 | FanDuel Over 7.5 +132 | best price | 7.4% | ✓✗✗✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.2% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Michael King Under | ROC@PAD | 9:41 PM | 5.5 | 5.2 | -135 | DK Under 5.5 -135 | exact | 6.2% | ✓✗!✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.4% vs 17% min using selected line 6.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Reid Detmers Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 6.5 | 6.3 | -142 | Bovada Direct Under 6.5 -130 | best price | 3.4% | ✓✗!✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Aaron Nola Under | PHI@MAR | 6:41 PM | 5.5 | 5.3 | -153 | DK Under 5.5 -153 | exact | 3.3% | ✓✗!✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.4% vs 17% min using selected line 6.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Taj Bradley Under | ROY@TWI | 7:41 PM | 6.5 | 6.4 | -115 | DK Under 6.5 -115 | exact | 1.4% | ✓✗!✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.1% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Sandy Alcantara Over | PHI@MAR | 6:41 PM | 5.5 | 5.6 | +108 | FanDuel Over 5.5 +124 | best price | 1.1% | ✓✗✗✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.5% vs 17% min using selected line 6.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Chase Burns Under | GUA@RED | 7:10 PM | 6.5 | 6.5 | -148 | DK Under 6.5 -148 | exact | 0.5% | ✓✗!✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 11.1% vs 10% min using selected line 18.5 clears, but raw gap +2.06 <= 3 min — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Sandy Alcantara Over | PHI@MAR | 6:41 PM | 18.5 | 20.6 | -107 | DK Over 18.5 -107 | exact | 11.1% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.6% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Taj Bradley Over | ROY@TWI | 7:41 PM | 17.5 | 18.8 | -173 | DK Over 17.5 -173 | exact | 7.6% | ✓✗✓––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.0% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Seth Lugo Under | ROY@TWI | 7:41 PM | 17.5 | 16.3 | -108 | DK Under 17.5 -108 | exact | 7.0% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.8% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Michael King Under | ROC@PAD | 9:41 PM | 17.5 | 16.3 | +115 | Caesars Under 17.5 +122 | best price | 6.8% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Peter Lambert Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 17.5 | 16.9 | +116 | DK Under 17.5 +116 | exact | 3.6% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Reid Detmers Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 17.5 | 17.0 | -106 | Bovada Direct Under 17.5 +120 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.6% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Troy Melton Under | ORI@TIG | 6:41 PM | 17.5 | 17.4 | -133 | Fanatics Under 17.5 -125 | best price | 0.6% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | Batter Hits | Curtis Mead Under | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 0.8 | -253 | DK Under 1.5 -253 | exact | 44.4% | ✓!!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Jacob Wilson Under | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -200 | DK Under 1.5 -200 | exact | 42.4% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Trevor Larnach Under | ROY@TWI | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -241 | DK Under 1.5 -241 | exact | 42.0% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 41.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Paul Goldschmidt Under | YAN@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -255 | BetOnline Under 1.5 -250 | best price | 41.2% | ✓✗!!–! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Sal Stewart Under | GUA@RED | 7:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -217 | DK Under 1.5 -217 | exact | 34.9% | ✓✗!––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Kody Clemens Under | ROY@TWI | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -257 | DK Under 1.5 -257 | exact | 34.5% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under | JAY@NAT | 6:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -264 | DK Under 1.5 -264 | exact | 34.4% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Willson Contreras Under | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -236 | DK Under 1.5 -236 | exact | 31.6% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Dillon Dingler Under | ORI@TIG | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -248 | DK Under 1.5 -248 | exact | 30.7% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Ceddanne Rafaela Under | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -262 | DK Under 1.5 -262 | exact | 29.8% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 28.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Junior Caminero Under | RAN@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -238 | DK Under 1.5 -238 | exact | 28.2% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Ernie Clement Under | JAY@NAT | 6:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -243 | DK Under 1.5 -243 | exact | 27.8% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Chandler Simpson Under | RAN@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -243 | DK Under 1.5 -243 | exact | 27.3% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Yordan Alvarez Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -264 | DK Under 1.5 -264 | exact | 24.5% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Fernando Tatis Jr. Under | ROC@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -240 | DK Under 1.5 -240 | exact | 21.6% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Yandy Diaz Under | RAN@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -202 | Fanatics Under 1.5 -190 | best price | 21.4% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Otto Lopez Under | PHI@MAR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -242 | DK Under 1.5 -242 | exact | 10.6% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 48.8% (1 books) | Batter Total Bas | James Wood Over | JAY@NAT | 6:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.6 | -109 | DK Over 1.5 -109 | exact | 72.3% | ✓✓✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 69.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Byron Buxton Over | ROY@TWI | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.5 | -103 | DK Over 1.5 -103 | exact | 69.4% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 69.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | CJ Abrams Over | JAY@NAT | 6:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.5 | +118 | DK Over 1.5 +118 | exact | 69.4% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 56.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Ben Rice Over | YAN@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | +121 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +124 | best price | 56.6% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 53.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Luis Garcia Jr. Over | JAY@NAT | 6:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | +111 | DK Over 1.5 +111 | exact | 53.5% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 48.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Yordan Alvarez Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -108 | DK Over 1.5 -108 | exact | 48.7% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 37.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Junior Caminero Over | RAN@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -117 | Caesars Over 1.5 -114 | best price | 37.8% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 37.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Elly De La Cruz Over | GUA@RED | 7:10 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | +101 | DK Over 1.5 +101 | exact | 37.2% | ✓✗✗––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Matt Olson Over | BRA@MET | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +115 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +122 | best price | 34.8% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Kody Clemens Over | ROY@TWI | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -116 | Caesars Over 1.5 -112 | best price | 33.6% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 32.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Willson Contreras Over | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -120 | Caesars Over 1.5 -118 | best price | 32.4% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 32.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Drake Baldwin Over | BRA@MET | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +117 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 32.0% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Michael Harris II Over | BRA@MET | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +126 | DK Over 1.5 +126 | exact | 30.1% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Daylen Lile Over | JAY@NAT | 6:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +118 | DK Over 1.5 +118 | exact | 29.0% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Dillon Dingler Over | ORI@TIG | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -107 | Caesars Over 1.5 -104 | best price | 27.4% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Nathaniel Lowe Over | GUA@RED | 7:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +132 | DK Over 1.5 +132 | exact | 26.6% | ✓✗✗––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | JJ Bleday Over | GUA@RED | 7:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +116 | DK Over 1.5 +116 | exact | 23.2% | ✓✗✗––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Sal Stewart Over | GUA@RED | 7:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -111 | DK Over 1.5 -111 | exact | 21.8% | ✓✗✗––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Cedric Mullins Under | RAN@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -186 | DK Under 1.5 -186 | exact | 20.2% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Brooks Lee Over | ROY@TWI | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +126 | Caesars Over 1.5 +127 | best price | 20.1% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Yandy Diaz Over | RAN@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -106 | Caesars Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 19.5% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jarren Duran Under | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -191 | Caesars Under 1.5 -179 | best price | 18.6% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Caleb Durbin Under | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -154 | DK Under 1.5 -154 | exact | 16.4% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Kevin McGonigle Over | ORI@TIG | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +116 | DK Over 1.5 +116 | exact | 14.1% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Salvador Perez Under | ROY@TWI | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -172 | DK Under 1.5 -172 | exact | 14.1% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Wilyer Abreu Over | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +113 | DK Over 1.5 +113 | exact | 14.0% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Miguel Vargas Over | YAN@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +113 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +117 | best price | 13.2% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Chandler Simpson Under | RAN@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -164 | DK Under 1.5 -164 | exact | 11.8% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Josh Bell Over | ROY@TWI | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +107 | DK Over 1.5 +107 | exact | 11.7% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Ceddanne Rafaela Over | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +105 | DK Over 1.5 +105 | exact | 11.5% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Pete Alonso Over | ORI@TIG | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +107 | Caesars Over 1.5 +111 | best price | 11.1% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under | JAY@NAT | 6:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -161 | DK Under 1.5 -161 | exact | 11.0% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Spencer Torkelson Under | ORI@TIG | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -168 | DK Under 1.5 -168 | exact | 10.1% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Riley Greene Over | ORI@TIG | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +106 | Caesars Over 1.5 +107 | best price | 9.7% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Curtis Mead Over | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -101 | DK Over 1.5 -101 | exact | 8.6% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Chase DeLauter Over | GUA@RED | 7:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +128 | DK Over 1.5 +128 | exact | 7.5% | ✓✗✗––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jonathan Aranda Over | RAN@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +106 | Caesars Over 1.5 +106 | best price | 7.4% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Bo Bichette Under | BRA@MET | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -198 | Caesars Under 1.5 -193 | best price | 7.0% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Mike Trout Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +116 | DK Over 1.5 +116 | exact | 6.5% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Wyatt Langford Over | RAN@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +127 | Caesars Over 1.5 +129 | best price | 6.4% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Joc Pederson Over | RAN@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +134 | DK Over 1.5 +134 | exact | 6.4% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Ben Williamson Over | RAN@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +150 | DK Over 1.5 +150 | exact | 6.4% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Isaac Paredes Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -186 | DK Under 1.5 -186 | exact | 6.2% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jasson Domínguez Over | YAN@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +143 | DK Over 1.5 +143 | exact | 6.1% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Anthony Volpe Over | YAN@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +133 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +139 | best price | 6.1% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Paul Goldschmidt Over | YAN@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +102 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +104 | best price | 6.1% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Nick Kurtz Over | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +120 | Fanatics Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 6.1% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Nathan Lukes Over | JAY@NAT | 6:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +121 | DK Over 1.5 +121 | exact | 5.9% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jose Tena Over | JAY@NAT | 6:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +137 | DK Over 1.5 +137 | exact | 5.9% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Dylan Crews Over | JAY@NAT | 6:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +147 | DK Over 1.5 +147 | exact | 5.9% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Alejandro Kirk Over | JAY@NAT | 6:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +154 | DK Over 1.5 +154 | exact | 5.9% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Trevor Larnach Over | ROY@TWI | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -105 | Caesars Over 1.5 -102 | best price | 4.7% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Ryan Jeffers Over | ROY@TWI | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +104 | Caesars Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 4.7% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Lane Thomas Over | ROY@TWI | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +128 | Caesars Over 1.5 +131 | best price | 4.7% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Carter Jensen Under | ROY@TWI | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -167 | Caesars Under 1.5 -148 | best price | 4.2% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jacob Wilson Over | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +102 | DK Over 1.5 +102 | exact | 4.0% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jahmai Jones Over | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +113 | DK Over 1.5 +113 | exact | 4.0% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jonah Heim Over | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +131 | DK Over 1.5 +131 | exact | 4.0% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Andruw Monasterio Over | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +133 | DK Over 1.5 +133 | exact | 4.0% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Tommy White Over | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +151 | DK Over 1.5 +151 | exact | 4.0% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Colt Keith Over | ORI@TIG | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +131 | Caesars Over 1.5 +133 | best price | 3.9% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Gleyber Torres Over | ORI@TIG | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +137 | Caesars Over 1.5 +138 | best price | 3.9% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Dylan Beavers Over | ORI@TIG | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +140 | DK Over 1.5 +140 | exact | 3.9% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jeremy Pena Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +116 | DK Over 1.5 +116 | exact | 3.9% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Ronald Acuna Jr. Over | BRA@MET | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +135 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +136 | best price | 3.6% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Francisco Lindor Over | BRA@MET | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +141 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +149 | best price | 3.6% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Ernie Clement Over | JAY@NAT | 6:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +121 | DK Over 1.5 +121 | exact | 2.7% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jac Caglianone Over | ROY@TWI | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +112 | DK Over 1.5 +112 | exact | 2.7% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Zach Neto Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +121 | DK Over 1.5 +121 | exact | 2.5% | ✓✗✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Gunnar Henderson Under | ORI@TIG | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -170 | Caesars Under 1.5 -164 | best price | 2.2% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Tyler Soderstrom Under | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -172 | Caesars Under 1.5 -152 | best price | 2.2% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | George Springer Over | JAY@NAT | 6:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +132 | Caesars Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 1.5% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Eugenio Suarez Over | GUA@RED | 7:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +114 | DK Over 1.5 +114 | exact | 0.6% | ✓✗✗––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | F5 Total | Under 5.5 | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | 5.5 | - | -122 | FanDuel Under 5.5 -122 | exact | +13.8% | –✓!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: NRFI score 5.6 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | GUA@RED | 7:10 PM | - | 5.6 | -102 | DraftKings -102 | +13.9% | –✗–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: NRFI score 6.1 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | BRE@GIA | 9:46 PM | - | 6.1 | -142 | DraftKings -142 | +11.8% | –✗–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: NRFI score 6.1 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | BRA@MET | 7:11 PM | - | 6.1 | -148 | DraftKings -148 | +10.8% | –✗–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: NRFI score 5.3 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | RAN@RAY | 6:41 PM | - | 5.3 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | +8.3% | –✗–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: NRFI score 5.2 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | PHI@MAR | 6:41 PM | - | 5.2 | -113 | DraftKings -113 | +6.5% | –✗–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.7 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | - | 4.7 | +108 | DraftKings +108 | +5.9% | –✗–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.7 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | - | 4.7 | -120 | DraftKings -120 | -0.0% | –✗–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.1 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | ROC@PAD | 9:41 PM | - | 4.1 | -120 | DraftKings -120 | -6.9% | –✗–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.0 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | YAN@SOX | 7:41 PM | - | 4.0 | -118 | DraftKings -118 | -8.5% | –✗–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.0 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | DIA@PIR | 6:41 PM | - | 4.0 | -122 | DraftKings -122 | -8.7% | –✗–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.5 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | ORI@TIG | 6:41 PM | - | 3.5 | +102 | DraftKings +102 | -9.4% | –✗–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.5 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | ROY@TWI | 7:41 PM | - | 3.5 | -104 | DraftKings -104 | -11.2% | –✗–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.2 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | CUB@CAR | 7:46 PM | - | 3.2 | +100 | DraftKings +100 | -13.0% | –✗–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.6 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | JAY@NAT | 6:46 PM | - | 3.6 | -122 | DraftKings -122 | -13.2% | –✗–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: NRFI score 2.7 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | MAR@DOD | 10:11 PM | - | 2.7 | +110 | DraftKings +110 | -16.9% | –✗–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: NRFI score 5.6 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | GUA@RED | 7:10 PM | - | 5.6 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -27.3% | –✗–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High NRFI/YRFI edge 22% (≥20%) — verify model inputs | YRFI | YRFI | JAY@NAT | 6:46 PM | - | 6.4 | -104 | DraftKings -104 | +22.3% | –––––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High NRFI/YRFI edge 20% (≥20%) — verify model inputs | YRFI | YRFI | ROY@TWI | 7:41 PM | - | 6.5 | -122 | DraftKings -122 | +20.3% | –––––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | YRFI | YRFI | ORI@TIG | 6:41 PM | - | 6.5 | -130 | DraftKings -130 | +18.3% | –––––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | YRFI | YRFI | MAR@DOD | 10:11 PM | - | 6.6 | -140 | DraftKings -140 | +17.9% | –––––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | YRFI | YRFI | DIA@PIR | 6:41 PM | - | 6.0 | -104 | DraftKings -104 | +17.8% | –––––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | YRFI | YRFI | YAN@SOX | 7:41 PM | - | 6.0 | -108 | DraftKings -108 | +17.4% | –––––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | YRFI | YRFI | ROC@PAD | 9:41 PM | - | 5.9 | -106 | DraftKings -106 | +15.9% | –––––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | YRFI | YRFI | CUB@CAR | 7:46 PM | - | 6.1 | -130 | DraftKings -130 | +13.4% | –––––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | YRFI | YRFI | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | - | 5.3 | -106 | DraftKings -106 | +9.0% | –––––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | YRFI | YRFI | SOX@ATH | 9:41 PM | - | 5.3 | -138 | DraftKings -138 | +3.1% | –––––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | YRFI | YRFI | PHI@MAR | 6:41 PM | - | 4.8 | -113 | DraftKings -113 | +2.4% | –––––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | YRFI | YRFI | BRA@MET | 7:11 PM | - | 3.9 | +116 | DraftKings +116 | -1.8% | –––––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | YRFI | YRFI | BRE@GIA | 9:46 PM | - | 3.9 | +112 | DraftKings +112 | -2.7% | –––––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | YRFI | YRFI | RAN@RAY | 6:41 PM | - | 4.0 | -120 | DraftKings -120 | -8.3% | –––––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | YRFI | YRFI | GUA@RED | 7:10 PM | - | 3.7 | -125 | DraftKings -125 | -13.0% | –––––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | YRFI | YRFI | GUA@RED | 7:10 PM | - | 3.7 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -51.9% | –––––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: selected book disagrees | split consensus 44% (9 books) | Run Line | San Francisco Giants +1.5 | BRE@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | - | -149 | MyBookie San Francisco Giants 1.5 -142 | best price | +13.5% | –✓✗!–✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: selected book disagrees | books against us 38% (8 books) — strongly disagree | Run Line | Texas Rangers +1.5 | RAN@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | - | -136 | LowVig Texas Rangers 1.5 -133 | best price | +7.3% | –!✗––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| ► Watch Signals | ||||||||||||
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.4% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Gerrit Cole Over | YAN@SOX | 7:41 PM | 17.5 | 17.6 | -107 | DK Over 17.5 -107 | exact | 0.4% | ✓✗✓✓–✓ | Watch Signal |
✓ Supports ! Mixed ✗ Opposes – No Data | Layer order: Line Fit | Model Edge | Market Alignment | Matchup | Availability | Game Context