| Market | Trust | Season N | Season WR | Season P&L | 14d N | 14d WR | 14d P&L | Grade A N | Grade A WR | Review-only N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | 453 | 57% | -0.15u | 53 | 55% | -1.81u | 211 | 60% | 64 |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | 401 | 58% | +12.85u | 51 | 51% | -5.33u | 4 | 50% | 6 |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | 140 | 54% | -3.25u | 2 | 50% | -0.17u | 42 | 62% | 1 |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | 710 | 73% | -3.22u | 83 | 82% | +5.84u | 6 | 83% | 134 |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | 410 | 58% | -9.37u | 93 | 51% | -13.73u | 1 | 100% | 9 |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | 295 | 59% | -13.03u | 65 | 63% | +1.02u | 0 | - | 11 |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | 38 | 76% | +2.90u | 1 | 0% | -1.00u | 0 | - | 23 |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | 31 | 55% | +0.66u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 37 |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | 28 | 48% | +4.54u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | 9 | 22% | -5.18u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | 6 | 50% | +2.85u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | 3 | 33% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | 2 | 100% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 109 | 46% | -14.19u | 7 | 57% | -0.06u | 2 | 50% | 8 |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 50 | 38% | -10.52u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 1 | 100% | 7 |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 3 | 67% | +0.43u | 2 | 100% | +1.43u | 0 | - | 6 |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 504 | 51% | -55.47u | 20 | 60% | +1.22u | 74 | 53% | 355 |
Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from Best/Good settled tracker performance; review-only rows are shown separately.
| Market | Current Stage | Next Stage | Progress | Promotion Blockers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 2/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 3/4 | 14d P&L non-negative |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 1/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d sample >= 10; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 3/5 | season P&L positive; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 3/5 | season P&L positive; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 1/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; 14d WR >= 52% |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52% |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 🔬 Research | 3/5 | diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative |
Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.
| Pitcher | Game | Overall | Whiff | Contact | Arsenal | Top Pitch | Notes / Data Gaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox | 72.9 | 78.5 | 74.0 | 6 | Changeup (54% whiff, 12% usage) | Savant whiff 35.0%, put-away 24.8%, xwOBA 0.267, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Paul Skenes | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs | 68.3 | 61.2 | 78.0 | 7 | Changeup (37% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 27.4%, put-away 22.7%, xwOBA 0.259, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Casey Mize | Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals | 64.6 | 63.7 | 69.5 | 5 | Split-Finger (36% whiff, 24% usage) | Savant whiff 29.1%, put-away 21.9%, xwOBA 0.276, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets | 59.9 | 58.2 | 68.0 | 6 | Split-Finger (32% whiff, 27% usage) | Savant whiff 26.5%, put-away 21.5%, xwOBA 0.279, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners | 59.3 | 68.7 | 52.5 | 6 | Curveball (40% whiff, 22% usage) | Savant whiff 30.8%, put-away 23.4%, xwOBA 0.310, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Nolan McLean | New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers | 58.2 | 57.7 | 64.5 | 7 | Curveball (39% whiff, 13% usage) | Savant whiff 25.1%, put-away 23.7%, xwOBA 0.286, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Shota Imanaga | Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates | 57.1 | 58.8 | 57.5 | 6 | Split-Finger (41% whiff, 34% usage) | Savant whiff 28.1%, put-away 19.0%, xwOBA 0.300, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Bryan Woo | Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers | 56.4 | 53.0 | 63.0 | 6 | Sweeper (35% whiff, 13% usage) | Savant whiff 24.9%, put-away 19.6%, xwOBA 0.289, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Eury Pérez | Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres | 56.3 | 63.3 | 52.0 | 6 | Slider (44% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 29.5%, put-away 20.6%, xwOBA 0.311, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Sean Burke | Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros | 55.4 | 52.1 | 61.0 | 6 | Slider (32% whiff, 18% usage) | Savant whiff 24.7%, put-away 19.0%, xwOBA 0.293, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Tim Mayza | Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees | 55.3 | 49.9 | 62.5 | 4 | Slider (28% whiff, 33% usage) | Savant whiff 23.6%, put-away 19.0%, xwOBA 0.290, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Hunter Brown | Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox | 55.2 | 57.7 | 52.5 | 5 | Curveball (33% whiff, 21% usage) | Savant whiff 26.4%, put-away 21.2%, xwOBA 0.310, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Hunter Greene | Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals | 53.8 | 64.5 | 46.0 | 4 | Slider (49% whiff, 33% usage) | Savant whiff 27.1%, put-away 26.6%, xwOBA 0.323, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Ryan Weathers | New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies | 52.9 | 63.4 | 43.5 | 5 | Sweeper (44% whiff, 20% usage) | Savant whiff 28.6%, put-away 22.6%, xwOBA 0.328, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Foster Griffin | Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks | 52.7 | 52.7 | 55.0 | 7 | Changeup (36% whiff, 10% usage) | Savant whiff 25.3%, put-away 18.4%, xwOBA 0.305, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Sonny Gray | Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays | 51.4 | 46.7 | 59.5 | 6 | Sweeper (38% whiff, 19% usage) | Savant whiff 21.7%, put-away 19.5%, xwOBA 0.296, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Bryce Elder | Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles | 51.0 | 48.8 | 55.5 | 5 | Slider (31% whiff, 27% usage) | Savant whiff 21.6%, put-away 21.8%, xwOBA 0.304, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Robert Gasser | Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies | 50.3 | 43.0 | 55.5 | 5 | Cutter (27% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 22.4%, put-away 14.5%, xwOBA 0.304, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Brady Basso | Athletics vs Minnesota Twins | 50.2 | 62.7 | 31.5 | 4 | Curveball (67% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 30.1%, put-away 18.9%, xwOBA 0.352, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Andre Pallante | St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds | 49.3 | 39.2 | 58.0 | 5 | Slider (29% whiff, 30% usage) | Savant whiff 20.9%, put-away 13.6%, xwOBA 0.299, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Ryan Johnson | Los Angeles Angels vs San Francisco Giants | 48.3 | 46.8 | 42.5 | 4 | Sweeper (39% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 25.3%, put-away 12.6%, xwOBA 0.330, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Brandon Young | Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves | 47.7 | 48.3 | 49.0 | 5 | Slider (43% whiff, 14% usage) | Savant whiff 22.9%, put-away 18.8%, xwOBA 0.317, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Michael Wacha | Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers | 47.4 | 45.1 | 50.0 | 6 | Changeup (29% whiff, 24% usage) | Savant whiff 21.6%, put-away 18.2%, xwOBA 0.315, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Tanner Bibee | Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays | 46.4 | 50.0 | 44.5 | 6 | Cutter (34% whiff, 24% usage) | Savant whiff 24.2%, put-away 17.8%, xwOBA 0.326, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Robbie Ray | San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Angels | 46.0 | 51.0 | 42.5 | 5 | Curveball (41% whiff, 10% usage) | Savant whiff 25.3%, put-away 16.7%, xwOBA 0.330, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Ryan Feltner | Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers | 37.5 | 49.7 | 24.5 | 6 | Changeup (48% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 24.7%, put-away 16.5%, xwOBA 0.366, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Nick Martinez | Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians | 37.2 | 33.0 | 42.5 | 6 | Changeup (34% whiff, 28% usage) | Savant whiff 17.7%, put-away 13.9%, xwOBA 0.330, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Mike Paredes | Minnesota Twins vs Athletics | 35.8 | 35.2 | 33.0 | 4 | Sweeper (28% whiff, 22% usage) | Savant whiff 19.2%, put-away 13.0%, xwOBA 0.349, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Mitch Bratt | Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals | 27.9 | 18.0 | 32.0 | 6 | Slider (22% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 12.6%, put-away 9.2%, xwOBA 0.351, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Randy Vásquez | San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins | 27.5 | 38.5 | 13.0 | 7 | 4-Seam Fastball (22% whiff, 33% usage) | Savant whiff 20.5%, put-away 13.9%, xwOBA 0.389, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.
| Pitcher | Team | Hand | Season K% | Recent IP | Season IP | K IP | Pitch Ct | Leash | Savant | Contact | HR Vuln | Quality | Flags / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Bratt | Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals | L | 18.4% | 3.8 | 3.6 | 4.8 | 64 | short | full | 32.00 | 68.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 3.8 IP/start |
| Brady Basso | Athletics vs Minnesota Twins | L | 20.8% | 1.3 | - | 4.9 | 22 | short | full | 31.50 | 68.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 1.3 IP/start |
| Bryce Elder | Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles | R | 18.6% | 4.8 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 80 | short | full | 55.50 | 44.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.8 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.2% |
| Brandon Young | Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves | R | 20.7% | 5.8 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 97 | normal | full | 49.00 | 51.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Sonny Gray | Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays | R | 22.4% | 6.0 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 101 | deep | full | 59.50 | 40.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | low-K contact opponent 19.7% |
| Shota Imanaga | Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates | L | 22.9% | 5.5 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 92 | normal | full | 57.50 | 42.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Sean Burke | Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros | R | 28.4% | 6.1 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 102 | deep | full | 61.00 | 39.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Hunter Greene | Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals | R | 30.0% | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.6 | 91 | normal | full | 46.00 | 54.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Tanner Bibee | Cleveland Guardians vs Tampa Bay Rays | R | 16.8% | 5.0 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 84 | short | full | 44.50 | 55.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.0 IP/start, low-K contact opponent 19.0% |
| Ryan Feltner | Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers | R | 17.3% | 4.8 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 80 | short | full | 24.50 | 75.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.8 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.6% |
| Casey Mize | Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals | R | 25.2% | 5.5 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 92 | normal | full | 69.50 | 30.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Hunter Brown | Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox | R | 21.1% | 4.6 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 77 | short | full | 52.50 | 47.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.6 IP/start |
| Michael Wacha | Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers | R | 20.2% | 6.1 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 102 | deep | full | 50.00 | 50.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Ryan Johnson | Los Angeles Angels vs San Francisco Giants | R | 20.0% | 4.4 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 74 | short | full | 42.50 | 57.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.4 IP/start |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets | R | 24.9% | 6.8 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 114 | deep | full | 68.00 | 32.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Eury Pérez | Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres | R | 27.9% | 6.2 | 5.4 | 6.0 | 104 | deep | full | 52.00 | 48.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Robert Gasser | Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies | L | 21.9% | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 89 | normal | full | 55.50 | 44.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Mike Paredes | Minnesota Twins vs Athletics | R | 15.3% | 3.8 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 64 | short | full | 33.00 | 67.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 3.8 IP/start |
| Nolan McLean | New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers | R | 29.3% | 6.0 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 101 | deep | full | 64.50 | 35.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.3% |
| Ryan Weathers | New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies | L | 26.1% | 3.5 | 5.4 | 5.0 | 59 | short | full | 43.50 | 56.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 3.5 IP/start |
| Tim Mayza | Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees | L | 21.2% | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3.8 | 20 | short | full | 62.50 | 37.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 1.2 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.9% |
| Paul Skenes | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs | R | 28.8% | 4.6 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 77 | short | full | 78.00 | 22.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.6 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 11.1% |
| Randy Vásquez | San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins | R | 12.4% | 2.9 | 5.0 | 4.6 | 49 | short | full | 13.00 | 87.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 2.9 IP/start |
| Robbie Ray | San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Angels | L | 19.3% | 5.8 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 97 | normal | full | 42.50 | 57.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Bryan Woo | Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers | R | 24.4% | 5.6 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 94 | normal | full | 63.00 | 37.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Andre Pallante | St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds | R | 14.7% | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 92 | normal | full | 58.00 | 42.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.5% |
| Nick Martinez | Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians | R | 12.1% | 4.9 | 5.9 | 5.7 | 82 | short | full | 42.50 | 57.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.9 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.6% |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners | R | 27.8% | 5.6 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 94 | normal | full | 52.50 | 47.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Dylan Cease | Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox | R | 36.7% | 6.8 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 114 | deep | full | 74.00 | 26.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Foster Griffin | Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks | L | 22.0% | 6.4 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 107 | deep | full | 55.00 | 45.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | low-K contact opponent 19.4% |
Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.
| Pitcher | Side | Game | Line | Proj | Gap | Edge / DIFF% | Grade | Rec | Status | Leash | K IP | Pitch Ct | Quality | Gate Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Gasser | Robert Gasser Under | Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers | 17.5 | 15.1 | -2.4 | 13.7% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.2 | 89 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 13.7% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap -2.41 <= 3 min |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Nathan Eovaldi Over | Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers | 17.5 | 19.1 | 1.6 | 9.4% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 6.0 | 94 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.4% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
| Hunter Greene | Hunter Greene Under | Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals | 17.5 | 16.2 | -1.3 | 7.5% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.6 | 91 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.5% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
| Andre Pallante | Andre Pallante Under | Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals | 17.5 | 16.5 | -0.9 | 5.5% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.5 | 92 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.5% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
| Bryan Woo | Bryan Woo Under | Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers | 18.5 | 18.0 | -0.5 | 2.8% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 6.0 | 94 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.8% vs 10% min using selected line 18.5 |
QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.
| Player | Game | Research Side | Component Proj | H | R | RBI | Current | Uncertainty | Support | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang | Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers | Over 1.5 | 2.81 | 1.12 | 0.84 | 0.85 | 2.60 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=97,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers | Over 1.5 | 2.52 | 1.00 | 0.77 | 0.75 | 2.35 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=96,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Jake McCarthy | Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers | Over 1.5 | 2.51 | 1.15 | 0.67 | 0.69 | 2.17 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=90,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Alec Burleson | Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals | Over 1.5 | 2.49 | 1.15 | 0.55 | 0.79 | 2.43 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=102,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Josh Bell | Athletics @ Minnesota Twins | Over 1.5 | 2.43 | 0.95 | 0.61 | 0.86 | 2.23 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=102,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Athletics @ Minnesota Twins | Over 1.5 | 2.42 | 0.96 | 0.67 | 0.79 | 2.28 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=91,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Kody Clemens | Athletics @ Minnesota Twins | Over 1.5 | 2.39 | 0.95 | 0.67 | 0.77 | 2.20 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=90,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Jake Bauers | Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers | Over 1.5 | 2.38 | 0.90 | 0.68 | 0.80 | 2.44 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=94,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals | Over 1.5 | 2.36 | 1.03 | 0.62 | 0.71 | 2.17 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=102,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Jordan Walker | Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals | Over 1.5 | 2.32 | 1.10 | 0.57 | 0.65 | 2.69 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=101,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| JJ Wetherholt | Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals | Over 1.5 | 2.32 | 1.12 | 0.78 | 0.41 | 2.21 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=98,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Noelvi Marte | Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals | Over 1.5 | 2.28 | 1.25 | 0.49 | 0.54 | 2.18 / Over | 0.59 | exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Julio Rodriguez | Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 2.25 | 1.30 | 0.52 | 0.43 | 2.15 / Over | 0.64 | exact_hrr_l10,lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Randy Arozarena | Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 2.20 | 1.05 | 0.64 | 0.51 | 2.05 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=96,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Christian Yelich | Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers | Over 1.5 | 2.20 | 1.18 | 0.55 | 0.47 | 1.85 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| TJ Rumfield | Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers | Over 1.5 | 2.19 | 1.06 | 0.50 | 0.63 | 2.02 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=102,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Trevor Larnach | Athletics @ Minnesota Twins | Over 1.5 | 2.19 | 1.13 | 0.57 | 0.49 | 1.78 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals | Over 1.5 | 2.13 | 1.07 | 0.60 | 0.46 | 2.34 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=83,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Ivan Herrera | Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals | Over 1.5 | 2.12 | 1.17 | 0.46 | 0.50 | 2.02 / Over | 0.64 | exact_hrr_l10,lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Jonah Heim | Athletics @ Minnesota Twins | Over 1.5 | 2.06 | 1.03 | 0.48 | 0.55 | 1.74 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Brooks Lee | Athletics @ Minnesota Twins | Over 1.5 | 2.02 | 0.93 | 0.50 | 0.59 | 2.01 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=100,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Tommy White | Athletics @ Minnesota Twins | Over 1.5 | 2.01 | 1.01 | 0.47 | 0.53 | 1.74 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Royce Lewis | Athletics @ Minnesota Twins | Over 1.5 | 2.00 | 1.01 | 0.47 | 0.53 | 1.74 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Byron Buxton | Athletics @ Minnesota Twins | Over 2.5 | 2.95 | 1.22 | 1.03 | 0.70 | 2.69 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=79,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Kyle Karros | Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers | Over 1.5 | 1.91 | 0.85 | 0.67 | 0.39 | 1.66 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=99,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Nick Kurtz | Athletics @ Minnesota Twins | Over 2.5 | 2.90 | 1.07 | 0.95 | 0.89 | 2.77 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=92,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Brandon Nimmo | Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.89 | 1.06 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 1.97 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=97,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Garrett Mitchell | Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers | Over 1.5 | 1.87 | 0.89 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 1.97 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=93,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Willi Castro | Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers | Over 1.5 | 1.85 | 0.90 | 0.49 | 0.45 | 1.95 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=89,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Cole Carrigg | Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers | Over 1.5 | 1.83 | 0.95 | 0.42 | 0.46 | 1.62 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Josh Naylor | Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.81 | 1.02 | 0.39 | 0.41 | 1.64 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=97,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Victor Caratini | Athletics @ Minnesota Twins | Over 1.5 | 1.77 | 0.97 | 0.41 | 0.40 | 1.71 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Donovan Walton | Athletics @ Minnesota Twins | Over 1.5 | 1.76 | 0.96 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 1.70 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Cole Young | Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.67 | 0.91 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 1.89 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=104,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Luis Lara | Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers | Over 1.5 | 1.66 | 0.97 | 0.37 | 0.32 | 1.74 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Alan Roden | Athletics @ Minnesota Twins | Over 1.5 | 1.66 | 0.93 | 0.39 | 0.34 | 1.68 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Jeff McNeil | Athletics @ Minnesota Twins | Over 1.5 | 1.65 | 0.92 | 0.39 | 0.34 | 1.67 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals | Over 1.5 | 1.64 | 0.90 | 0.35 | 0.39 | 1.53 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Lars Nootbaar | Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals | Over 1.5 | 1.61 | 0.89 | 0.34 | 0.38 | 1.56 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Ezequiel Duran | Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.61 | 0.87 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 1.78 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=94,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Joc Pederson | Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.60 | 0.93 | 0.38 | 0.30 | 1.52 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Dominic Canzone | Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.60 | 0.90 | 0.33 | 0.37 | 1.52 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Eugenio Suarez | Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals | Over 1.5 | 1.58 | 0.87 | 0.34 | 0.37 | 1.50 / Under | 0.69 | lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Masyn Winn | Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals | Over 1.5 | 1.58 | 0.84 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 1.58 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=95,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Wyatt Langford | Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.57 | 0.91 | 0.37 | 0.29 | 1.52 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Cooper Pratt | Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers | Over 1.5 | 1.54 | 0.92 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 1.69 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Tyler Stephenson | Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals | Over 1.5 | 1.53 | 0.84 | 0.33 | 0.36 | 1.50 / Under | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Henry Bolte | Athletics @ Minnesota Twins | Over 1.5 | 1.52 | 0.87 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 1.62 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Lawrence Butler | Athletics @ Minnesota Twins | Under 1.5 | 1.48 | 0.85 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 1.62 / Over | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Ryan Kreidler | Athletics @ Minnesota Twins | Under 1.5 | 1.48 | 0.85 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 1.62 / Over | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
Diagnostics only. HRR remains paused; these component projections are not used for recommendations.
| Grade | Signal | Type | Side | Game | Time (ET) | Line | Proj | Odds | Best Book / Line | Edge/Diff | Signal Breakdown ✓!✗– | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ► Best Signals | ||||||||||||
| A | ⛔ Paused HRR trust gate: raw gap 1.2 | Batter H+R+RBI | Jordan Walker Over | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.7 | -123 | Caesars Over 1.5 -122 | best price | 79.0% | ✓✓✓–✓– | Best Signal |
| A | ⛔ Paused HRR trust gate: raw gap 1.1, heavy juice -155 | Batter H+R+RBI | Brice Turang Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.6 | -155 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -145 | best price | 73.3% | ✓✓✓–✓– | Best Signal |
| ► Add Signals | ||||||||||||
| B | 🔬 Research Only Matchup: Opp lineup wRC+ 104 vs LHP — neutral | [!] Pitch-type: opp whiffs below avg vs SP top pitch (×0.95) ✗ Over Ks | K Prop | Robert Gasser Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 5.5 | 4.4 | -123 | DK Under 5.5 -123 | exact | 20.4% | ✓✓!!–– | Add Signal |
| B | ✅ Add Signal Heavy juice (-150); break-even ~60%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Hits All | Robert Gasser Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 5.5 | 4.6 | -150 | DK Under 5.5 -150 | exact | 16.4% | ✓✓!––– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-202); break-even ~67%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Walks | Robert Gasser Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 1.5 | -202 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 -200 | best price | 200.2% | ✓✓!––– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.08x) | Pitcher Walks | Bryan Woo Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -194 | DK Under 1.5 -194 | exact | 30.0% | ✓✓!––! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-151); break-even ~60%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Earned R | Ryan Feltner Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 3.5 | 2.8 | -151 | DK Under 3.5 -151 | exact | 20.0% | ✓✓!––– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.08x) | Batter Walks | Nicky Lopez Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -576 | DK Under 0.5 -576 | exact | 62.5% | ✓✓!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.08x) | Batter Walks | Cole Young Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -394 | DK Under 0.5 -394 | exact | 62.5% | ✓✓!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.08x) | Batter Walks | Julio Rodriguez Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -435 | DK Under 0.5 -435 | exact | 58.9% | ✓✓!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Ezequiel Duran Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -537 | DK Under 0.5 -537 | exact | 58.5% | ✓✓!–!! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.08x) | Batter Walks | Josh Naylor Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -457 | DK Under 0.5 -457 | exact | 57.9% | ✓✓!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-404); break-even ~80%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Noelvi Marte Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -404 | DK Under 0.5 -404 | exact | 53.5% | ✓✓!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Kody Clemens Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -281 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -270 | best price | 53.2% | ✓✓!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.08x) | Batter Walks | Evan Carter Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -290 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -270 | best price | 51.8% | ✓✓!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.08x) | Batter Walks | Joc Pederson Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -320 | DK Under 0.5 -320 | exact | 51.8% | ✓✓!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.08x) | Batter Walks | Wyatt Langford Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -354 | DK Under 0.5 -354 | exact | 51.8% | ✓✓!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Alejandro Osuna Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -425 | DK Under 0.5 -425 | exact | 51.8% | ✓✓!–!! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.08x) | Batter Walks | Dominic Canzone Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -432 | Caesars Under 0.5 -420 | best price | 49.7% | ✓!!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.08x) | Batter Walks | Cal Raleigh Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -264 | Caesars Under 0.5 -250 | best price | 49.7% | ✓!!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-454); break-even ~82%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Cole Carrigg Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -454 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -400 | best price | 47.5% | ✓!!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.08x) | Batter Walks | Randy Arozarena Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -246 | Caesars Under 0.5 -245 | best price | 46.9% | ✓!!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Brooks Lee Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -371 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -330 | best price | 46.4% | ✓!!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.08x) | Batter Walks | Brandon Nimmo Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -419 | DK Under 0.5 -419 | exact | 45.6% | ✓!!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-359); break-even ~78%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Alec Burleson Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -359 | DK Under 0.5 -359 | exact | 44.9% | ✓!!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.08x) | Batter Walks | Josh Smith Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -433 | DK Under 0.5 -433 | exact | 44.0% | ✓!!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Josh Bell Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -174 | Caesars Under 0.5 -173 | best price | 43.7% | ✓!!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Byron Buxton Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -250 | Caesars Under 0.5 -240 | best price | 41.9% | ✓!!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-210); break-even ~68%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | JJ Bleday Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -210 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -195 | best price | 41.1% | ✓!!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-258); break-even ~72%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Eugenio Suarez Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -258 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -255 | best price | 41.1% | ✓!!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-248); break-even ~71%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Tyler Stephenson Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -248 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -240 | best price | 41.1% | ✓!!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-347); break-even ~78%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Masyn Winn Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -347 | DK Under 0.5 -347 | exact | 40.8% | ✓!!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-185); break-even ~65%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Lars Nootbaar Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -185 | Caesars Under 0.5 -182 | best price | 37.9% | ✓!!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-372); break-even ~79%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Bryan Torres Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -372 | DK Under 0.5 -372 | exact | 37.9% | ✓!!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Royce Lewis Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -197 | DK Under 0.5 -197 | exact | 36.9% | ✓!!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Trevor Larnach Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -167 | DK Under 0.5 -167 | exact | 36.9% | ✓!!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Victor Caratini Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -220 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -195 | best price | 36.9% | ✓!!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-428); break-even ~81%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Hunter Goodman Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -428 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -375 | best price | 36.9% | ✓!!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Jonah Heim Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -435 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -400 | best price | 31.5% | ✓!!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Tommy White Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -413 | DK Under 0.5 -413 | exact | 31.5% | ✓!!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Donovan Walton Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -364 | Caesars Under 0.5 -360 | best price | 31.5% | ✓!!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Jacob Wilson Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -630 | DK Under 0.5 -630 | exact | 31.5% | ✓!!–✓! | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-371); break-even ~79%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | TJ Rumfield Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -371 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -340 | best price | 29.0% | ✓!!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-238); break-even ~70%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | William Contreras Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -238 | DK Under 0.5 -238 | exact | 28.1% | ✓!!–✓– | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-298); break-even ~75%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Sal Stewart Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -298 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -290 | best price | 26.1% | ✓!!–✓– | Add Signal |
| ► Lean Signals (Derisked) | ||||||||||||
| B (Weak) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 44.0% (8 books) | books against us 14% (8 books) — strongly disagree — posture not… | K Prop | Nathan Eovaldi Over | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 6.5 | 8.1 | +107 | BetMGM Over 5.5 -160 | alt rescue | 25.3% | ✓✓✗✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 45.2% (4 books) | books against us 0% (4 books) — strongly disagree — posture note… | Batter Walks | Nick Kurtz Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.8 | +101 | Caesars Over 0.5 +107 | best price | 64.7% | ✓✓✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.8% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Andre Pallante Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 4.5 | 3.8 | -144 | DK Under 4.5 -144 | exact | 14.8% | ✓✗!✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.2% vs 17% min using selected line 6.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Hunter Greene Over | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 6.5 | 7.4 | -113 | BetOnline Over 6.5 +103 | best price | 13.2% | ✓✗✗✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.5% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Ryan Feltner Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 4.5 | 4.7 | +123 | BetMGM Over 4.5 +140 | best price | 4.5% | ✓✗✗!–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 13.7% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap -2.41 <= 3 min — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Robert Gasser Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 17.5 | 15.1 | -121 | BetMGM Under 17.5 -110 | best price | 13.7% | ✓✗✓––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.4% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Nathan Eovaldi Over | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 17.5 | 19.1 | -208 | Fanatics Over 17.5 -195 | best price | 9.4% | ✓✗✓––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.5% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Hunter Greene Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 17.5 | 16.2 | +135 | DK Under 17.5 +135 | exact | 7.5% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.5% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Andre Pallante Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 17.5 | 16.5 | -108 | BetMGM Under 17.5 -105 | best price | 5.5% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.8% vs 10% min using selected line 18.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Bryan Woo Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 18.5 | 18.0 | -170 | Bovada Direct Under 18.5 -155 | best price | 2.8% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.7% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Ryan Feltner Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 5.5 | 4.8 | -138 | DK Under 5.5 -138 | exact | 12.7% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.5% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Bryan Woo Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 5.5 | 5.2 | -145 | Bovada Direct Under 5.5 -140 | best price | 5.5% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Andre Pallante Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 5.5 | 5.5 | -120 | DK Under 5.5 -120 | exact | - | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 45.0% (2 books) | books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Walks | Hunter Greene Over | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +107 | DK Over 1.5 +107 | exact | 29.6% | ✓✓✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | Pitcher Walks | Ryan Feltner Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.1 | -159 | DK Under 2.5 -159 | exact | 14.6% | ✓!!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.5% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Walks | Nathan Eovaldi Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -188 | DK Under 1.5 -188 | exact | 9.5% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.8% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Walks | Andre Pallante Over | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -143 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -140 | best price | 7.8% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 49.2% (3 books) | books against us 0% (3 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Earned R | Nathan Eovaldi Over | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -167 | DK Over 1.5 -167 | exact | 46.7% | ✓✓✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Bryan Woo Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 2.5 | 2.3 | -153 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -150 | best price | 8.0% | ✓✗!––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Andre Pallante Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 2.5 | 2.4 | -144 | Fanatics Under 2.5 -135 | best price | 4.0% | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Hunter Greene Over | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 2.5 | 2.6 | +117 | BetMGM Over 2.5 +125 | best price | 4.0% | ✓✗✗––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Robert Gasser Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.5 | -155 | DK Under 2.5 -155 | exact | - | ✓✗!––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 37.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Jacob Wilson Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -178 | Fanatics Under 1.5 -170 | best price | 37.0% | ✓✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Jackson Chourio Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -224 | DK Under 1.5 -224 | exact | 34.7% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 28.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Brice Turang Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -273 | BetOnline Under 1.5 -263 | best price | 28.4% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | William Contreras Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -258 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -250 | best price | 25.2% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Byron Buxton Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -219 | DK Under 1.5 -219 | exact | 22.1% | ✓✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Colt Emerson Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -513 | DK Under 0.5 -513 | exact | 49.7% | ✓!!–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Luke Raley Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -484 | DK Under 0.5 -484 | exact | 49.7% | ✓!!–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Braxton Fulford Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -513 | DK Under 0.5 -513 | exact | 47.5% | ✓!!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Ke'Bryan Hayes Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -502 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -475 | best price | 41.1% | ✓!!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Edwin Arroyo Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -529 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -525 | best price | 41.1% | ✓!!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | TJ Friedl Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -361 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -300 | best price | 41.1% | ✓!!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Nathan Church Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -524 | DK Under 0.5 -524 | exact | 37.9% | ✓!!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Blaze Jordan Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -555 | DK Under 0.5 -555 | exact | 37.9% | ✓!!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 46.9% (4 books) | books against us 0% (4 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Jake Bauers Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.7 | -105 | Fanatics Over 0.5 +100 | best price | 37.9% | ✓!✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Ryan Kreidler Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -340 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -330 | best price | 36.9% | ✓!!–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Alan Roden Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -263 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -245 | best price | 36.9% | ✓!!–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Henry Bolte Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -389 | DK Under 0.5 -389 | exact | 31.5% | ✓!!–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Jeff McNeil Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -414 | DK Under 0.5 -414 | exact | 31.5% | ✓!!–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Lawrence Butler Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -276 | Caesars Under 0.5 -265 | best price | 31.5% | ✓!!–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.2% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Kyle Karros Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -349 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -310 | best price | 25.2% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.8% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Jordan Walker Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -406 | DK Under 0.5 -406 | exact | 22.8% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.5% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Elly De La Cruz Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -200 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -180 | best price | 16.5% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.1% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Garrett Mitchell Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -170 | DK Under 0.5 -170 | exact | 15.1% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.5% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Brice Turang Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.6 | +117 | Fanatics Over 0.5 +130 | best price | 14.5% | ✓✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.6% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D | Batter Walks | JJ Wetherholt Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -236 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -225 | best price | 12.6% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.7% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D | Batter Walks | J.P. Crawford Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -337 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -240 | best price | 11.7% | ✓✗!–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.7% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Jackson Chourio Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -296 | DK Under 0.5 -296 | exact | 9.7% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.7% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Cooper Pratt Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -321 | DK Under 0.5 -321 | exact | 9.7% | ✓✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.7% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D | Batter Walks | David Hamilton Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -341 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -300 | best price | 9.7% | ✓✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.7% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Christian Yelich Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -129 | DK Under 0.5 -129 | exact | 9.7% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.7% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Luis Lara Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -262 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -200 | best price | 9.7% | ✓✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Tyler Soderstrom Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | +183 | DK Over 0.5 +183 | exact | 3.0% | ✓✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Ivan Herrera Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -323 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 | best price | 2.7% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 62.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.94 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jake Bauers Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | -113 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 62.8% | ✓✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 56.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.85 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Hunter Goodman Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | -111 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 56.5% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 47.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | JJ Wetherholt Over | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -107 | DK Over 1.5 -107 | exact | 47.3% | ✓✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 45.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Noelvi Marte Over | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -102 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +100 | best price | 45.3% | ✓✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 44.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jake McCarthy Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | +104 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 44.3% | ✓✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Randy Arozarena Over | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +114 | DK Over 1.5 +114 | exact | 36.5% | ✓✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | TJ Rumfield Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +132 | DK Over 1.5 +132 | exact | 34.8% | ✓✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ivan Herrera Over | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +103 | DK Over 1.5 +103 | exact | 34.5% | ✓✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Willi Castro Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +115 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 30.3% | ✓✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.2% vs 50% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jacob Wilson Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 2.5 | 1.8 | -163 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -145 | best price | 29.2% | ✓✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.1% vs 50% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jackson Chourio Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 2.5 | 1.9 | -149 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -135 | best price | 26.1% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Cole Young Over | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +101 | DK Over 1.5 +101 | exact | 26.1% | ✓✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ezequiel Duran Over | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +116 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 18.5% | !✗✗–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Luis Lara Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -106 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 16.0% | !✗✗–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Donovan Walton Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +122 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +150 | best price | 13.5% | ✓✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Cooper Pratt Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -108 | DK Over 1.5 -108 | exact | 12.5% | !✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Alan Roden Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -105 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +100 | best price | 11.7% | !✗✗–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jeff McNeil Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -109 | DK Over 1.5 -109 | exact | 11.2% | !✗✗–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.0% vs 50% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Nick Kurtz Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.8 | +112 | DK Over 2.5 +112 | exact | 11.0% | ✓✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Kyle Karros Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +108 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 10.9% | ✓✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Josh Naylor Over | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -102 | Caesars Over 1.5 +102 | best price | 9.1% | ✓✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Cole Carrigg Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +102 | DK Over 1.5 +102 | exact | 8.3% | ✓✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ryan Kreidler Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +115 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 8.3% | !✗✗–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Henry Bolte Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -103 | DK Over 1.5 -103 | exact | 7.8% | !✗✗–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Lawrence Butler Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +112 | DK Over 1.5 +112 | exact | 7.8% | !✗✗–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.4% vs 50% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Byron Buxton Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.7 | -106 | theScore Bet Over 2.5 +100 | best price | 7.4% | ✓✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Edwin Arroyo Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -150 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -140 | best price | 7.0% | ✓✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ke'Bryan Hayes Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -160 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -150 | best price | 7.0% | ✓✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Masyn Winn Over | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +104 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 5.2% | ✓✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | J.P. Crawford Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -181 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -175 | best price | 5.2% | ✓✗!–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Lars Nootbaar Over | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +118 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 4.1% | ✓✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | TJ Friedl Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -168 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -160 | best price | 4.0% | ✓✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Blaze Jordan Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -159 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -150 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Cal Raleigh Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -148 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -140 | best price | 2.7% | ✓✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | JJ Bleday Over | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +102 | DK Over 1.5 +102 | exact | 1.8% | ✓✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Wyatt Langford Over | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -112 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 1.3% | ✓✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Joc Pederson Over | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +103 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 1.3% | ✓✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Dominic Canzone Over | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +101 | DK Over 1.5 +101 | exact | 1.2% | ✓✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Tyler Stephenson Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -131 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -115 | best price | 0.1% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Eugenio Suarez Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -131 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -120 | best price | 0.1% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 65.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Byron Buxton Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.5 | -142 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -120 | best price | 65.0% | !✗✓–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 44.3% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Hunter Goodman Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | +118 | DK Over 1.5 +118 | exact | 44.3% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 40.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jordan Walker Over | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | +113 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +118 | best price | 40.7% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Nick Kurtz Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -112 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -109 | best price | 38.4% | !✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Elly De La Cruz Over | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +122 | DK Over 1.5 +122 | exact | 36.6% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 28.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Tyler Soderstrom Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +112 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +117 | best price | 28.8% | !✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 28.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Kody Clemens Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +117 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 28.5% | !✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Brice Turang Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +109 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 24.8% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.6% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Alec Burleson Over | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +115 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 22.6% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jackson Chourio Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -114 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 19.9% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Christian Yelich Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +121 | DK Over 1.5 +121 | exact | 19.9% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Noelvi Marte Over | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +148 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +155 | best price | 18.4% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Julio Rodriguez Over | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +121 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +128 | best price | 16.4% | !✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Brandon Nimmo Over | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +115 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +124 | best price | 15.7% | !✗✓–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Victor Caratini Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +136 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +146 | best price | 15.4% | !✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Trevor Larnach Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +126 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +132 | best price | 15.4% | !✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Royce Lewis Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +109 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 15.4% | !✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jacob Wilson Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -112 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 15.0% | !✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jonah Heim Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +138 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +146 | best price | 15.0% | !✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Henry Bolte Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +146 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 +160 | alt rescue | 15.0% | !✗✗–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jeff McNeil Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +146 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +155 | best price | 15.0% | !✗✗–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Tommy White Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +134 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +144 | best price | 15.0% | !✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Sal Stewart Over | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +126 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +128 | best price | 12.1% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Josh Bell Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +120 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 11.2% | !✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Brooks Lee Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +132 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +152 | best price | 9.0% | !✗✗–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | JJ Wetherholt Over | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +141 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +152 | best price | 7.9% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | William Contreras Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +107 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 7.8% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Cole Carrigg Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +133 | DK Over 1.5 +133 | exact | 5.5% | !✗✗–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Dominic Canzone Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -175 | DK Under 1.5 -175 | exact | 1.5% | ✓✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.4% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Wyatt Langford Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -159 | DK Under 1.5 -159 | exact | 1.4% | ✓✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.8% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Tyler Stephenson Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -199 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -190 | best price | 0.8% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.5% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Garrett Mitchell Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -174 | Caesars Under 1.5 -165 | best price | 0.5% | ✓✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.08x) | Total | Over 7.5 | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 7.5 | - | +100 | MyBookie Over 7 -125 | alt rescue | +21.8% | –✓–––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | Total | Over 8.0 | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 8.0 | - | -105 | theScore Bet Over 7.5 -120 | alt rescue | +15.0% | –✓–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: selected-line market against 47.2% (2 books) | F5 Total | Under 5.5 | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 5.5 | - | +100 | Bovada Direct Under 6 -115 | alt rescue | +12.8% | –✓✗––! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: selected book disagrees | books against us 0% (9 books) — strongly disagree | F5 ML | Colorado Rockies | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | - | - | +160 | draftkings +160 | +12.2% | –✓✗!–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: selected book disagrees | books against us 0% (9 books) — strongly disagree | F5 ML | Athletics | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | - | - | +114 | draftkings +114 | +9.1% | –✓✗✓–! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: NRFI score 5.8 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | - | 5.8 | -138 | DraftKings -138 | +9.3% | –✗–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.8 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | - | 4.8 | -140 | DraftKings -140 | -2.9% | –✗–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.2 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | - | 3.2 | +120 | DraftKings +120 | -8.1% | –✗–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: NRFI score 2.8 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | - | 2.8 | +112 | DraftKings +112 | -15.3% | –✗–––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked High NRFI/YRFI edge 24% (≥20%) — verify model inputs | YRFI | YRFI | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | - | 7.2 | -142 | DraftKings -142 | +24.5% | –––––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | YRFI | YRFI | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | - | 6.8 | -154 | DraftKings -154 | +17.0% | –––––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | YRFI | YRFI | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | - | 5.2 | +110 | DraftKings +110 | +12.0% | –––––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked | YRFI | YRFI | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | - | 4.2 | +108 | DraftKings +108 | -0.4% | –––––– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Dominic Canzone Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -700 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 93.8% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Colt Emerson Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.8% | –✗!–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Luke Raley Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 93.8% | –✗!–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Cal Raleigh Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -550 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -550 | best price | 93.8% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Evan Carter Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 93.8% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Wyatt Langford Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -700 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 93.8% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Joc Pederson Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 93.8% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Alejandro Osuna Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.8% | –✗!–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Tyler Stephenson Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.8% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Eugenio Suarez Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 93.8% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | TJ Friedl Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 93.8% | –✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | JJ Bleday Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 93.8% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Ke'Bryan Hayes Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 93.8% | –✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Edwin Arroyo Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 93.8% | –✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Nathan Church Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.5% | –✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Lars Nootbaar Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 93.5% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Blaze Jordan Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.5% | –✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Bryan Torres Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.5% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Braxton Fulford Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 93.3% | –✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Cole Carrigg Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 93.3% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Henry Bolte Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 92.8% | –✗!–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Lawrence Butler Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 92.8% | –✗!–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jonah Heim Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 92.8% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Donovan Walton Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 92.8% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jacob Wilson Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 92.8% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Tommy White Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 92.8% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jeff McNeil Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 92.8% | –✗!–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Victor Caratini Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 92.7% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Ryan Kreidler Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 92.7% | –✗!–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Royce Lewis Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -650 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 92.7% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Trevor Larnach Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 92.7% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Alan Roden Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 92.7% | –✗!–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jackson Chourio Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -550 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -550 | best price | 92.4% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Cooper Pratt Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 92.4% | –✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Christian Yelich Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 92.4% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | David Hamilton Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 92.4% | –✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Luis Lara Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 92.4% | –✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Masyn Winn Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 92.4% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Josh Naylor Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 85.5% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Ezequiel Tovar Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 84.0% | –✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Kyle Karros Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 82.5% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Garrett Mitchell Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -750 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -750 | best price | 82.0% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Ezequiel Duran Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 79.9% | –✗!–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Willi Castro Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 79.2% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Randy Arozarena Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 78.9% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jake McCarthy Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 78.8% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Brandon Nimmo Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -650 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 78.6% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Ivan Herrera Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 77.8% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | William Contreras Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 77.7% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Nicky Lopez Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -5000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -5000 | best price | 76.8% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | J.P. Crawford Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 76.7% | –✗!–!! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | TJ Rumfield Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 74.9% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Josh Smith Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 74.7% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Cole Young Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 74.3% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Josh Bell Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 72.2% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Tyler Freeman Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 72.0% | –✗!–!– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Alec Burleson Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -750 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -750 | best price | 69.7% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Brooks Lee Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 69.0% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | JJ Wetherholt Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 68.5% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Brice Turang Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 67.9% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Julio Rodriguez Under | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 66.2% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Noelvi Marte Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 65.0% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Sal Stewart Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 61.6% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Tyler Soderstrom Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 59.9% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.210/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Elly De La Cruz Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 57.8% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.220/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Kody Clemens Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 56.1% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.220/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jake Bauers Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -500 | best price | 56.0% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.230/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jordan Walker Under | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 53.6% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.250/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Nick Kurtz Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -350 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -350 | best price | 50.0% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.330/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Hunter Goodman Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -400 | best price | 33.6% | –✗!–✓– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: HR proj 0.340/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Byron Buxton Under | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -350 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -350 | best price | 31.2% | –✗!–✓! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| ► Watch Signals | ||||||||||||
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.1% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Bryan Woo Over | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 5.5 | 5.6 | -123 | BetOnline Over 5.5 -116 | best price | 1.1% | ✓✗✓✓–– | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: diff_pct 61.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.93 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Alec Burleson Over | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | -122 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -120 | best price | 61.8% | ✓✗✓–✓– | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: diff_pct 56.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.84 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Elly De La Cruz Over | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | -128 | DK Over 1.5 -128 | exact | 56.2% | ✓✗✓–✓– | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: diff_pct 51.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 clears, but raw gap +0.78 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Tyler Soderstrom Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | -142 | Caesars Over 1.5 -139 | best price | 51.7% | ✓✗✓–✓! | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 48.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Josh Bell Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -144 | DK Over 1.5 -144 | exact | 48.8% | ✓✗✓–✓! | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 46.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Kody Clemens Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -131 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 | best price | 46.8% | ✓✗✓–✓! | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 44.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Sal Stewart Over | RED@CAR | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -121 | DK Over 1.5 -121 | exact | 44.8% | ✓✗✓–✓– | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 43.4% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Julio Rodriguez Over | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -112 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 43.4% | ✓✗✓–✓! | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Brooks Lee Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -125 | Caesars Over 1.5 -122 | best price | 34.0% | ✓✗✓–✓! | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.7% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Brandon Nimmo Over | MAR@RAN | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -116 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 31.7% | ✓✗✓–✓! | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Garrett Mitchell Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -120 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -118 | best price | 31.3% | ✓✗✓–✓– | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Christian Yelich Over | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -159 | DK Over 1.5 -159 | exact | 23.1% | ✓✗✓–✓– | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Trevor Larnach Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -149 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -135 | best price | 18.5% | ✓✗✓–✓! | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Royce Lewis Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -143 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -135 | best price | 16.2% | ✓✗✓–✓! | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jonah Heim Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -114 | DK Over 1.5 -114 | exact | 15.8% | ✓✗✓–✓! | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Tommy White Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -119 | DK Over 1.5 -119 | exact | 15.8% | ✓✗✓–✓! | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Victor Caratini Over | ATH@TWI | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -119 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -115 | best price | 14.0% | ✓✗✓–✓! | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.1% vs 50% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | William Contreras Under | ROC@BRE | 7:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.4 | -167 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -155 | best price | 5.1% | ✓✗✓–✓– | Watch Signal |
✓ Supports ! Mixed ✗ Opposes – No Data | Layer order: Line Fit | Model Edge | Market Alignment | Matchup | Availability | Game Context