| Market | Trust | Season N | Season WR | Season P&L | 14d N | 14d WR | 14d P&L | Grade A N | Grade A WR | Review-only N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | 406 | 57% | -2.73u | 53 | 49% | -8.03u | 188 | 60% | 64 |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | 357 | 59% | +18.13u | 50 | 62% | +3.77u | 3 | 33% | 6 |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | 138 | 54% | -3.08u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 41 | 63% | 1 |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | 627 | 72% | -9.06u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 5 | 80% | 134 |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | 330 | 59% | +3.35u | 77 | 61% | +2.38u | 1 | 100% | 9 |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | 240 | 59% | -12.72u | 59 | 58% | -4.25u | 0 | - | 11 |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | 37 | 78% | +3.90u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 23 |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | 31 | 55% | +0.66u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 37 |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | 28 | 48% | +4.54u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | 9 | 22% | -5.18u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | 6 | 50% | +2.85u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | 3 | 33% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | 2 | 100% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 103 | 46% | -13.54u | 7 | 43% | -1.42u | 2 | 50% | 8 |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 50 | 38% | -10.52u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 1 | 100% | 7 |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 1 | 0% | -1.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 6 |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 484 | 50% | -56.69u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 70 | 53% | 355 |
Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from Best/Good settled tracker performance; review-only rows are shown separately.
| Market | Current Stage | Next Stage | Progress | Promotion Blockers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 2/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 4/4 | No blocker |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 2/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 5/5 | No blocker |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 1/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; 14d WR >= 52% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 1/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; 14d WR >= 52% |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 0/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 🔬 Research | 2/5 | diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative; 14d sample >= 10 |
Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.
| Pitcher | Game | Overall | Whiff | Contact | Arsenal | Top Pitch | Notes / Data Gaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller | Seattle Mariners vs San Francisco Giants | 73.1 | 62.4 | 89.5 | 7 | Split-Finger (36% whiff, 24% usage) | Savant whiff 28.6%, put-away 21.4%, xwOBA 0.236, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Logan Henderson | Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins | 65.0 | 62.7 | 71.5 | 4 | Changeup (35% whiff, 32% usage) | Savant whiff 27.7%, put-away 23.7%, xwOBA 0.272, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Jared Jones | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cleveland Guardians | 64.9 | 72.7 | 60.0 | 4 | Changeup (38% whiff, 16% usage) | Savant whiff 32.6%, put-away 23.8%, xwOBA 0.295, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Reid Detmers | Los Angeles Angels vs Detroit Tigers | 61.5 | 61.7 | 64.0 | 5 | Curveball (39% whiff, 10% usage) | Savant whiff 29.0%, put-away 20.0%, xwOBA 0.287, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Chris Sale | Atlanta Braves vs Texas Rangers | 61.4 | 63.8 | 63.0 | 4 | Slider (38% whiff, 39% usage) | Savant whiff 29.8%, put-away 20.5%, xwOBA 0.289, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Troy Melton | Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels | 60.7 | 53.5 | 73.0 | 6 | Slider (35% whiff, 19% usage) | Savant whiff 24.3%, put-away 21.2%, xwOBA 0.269, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Gabriel Hughes | Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds | 60.1 | 43.6 | 79.5 | 5 | 4-Seam Fastball (29% whiff, 58% usage) | Savant whiff 22.2%, put-away 15.5%, xwOBA 0.256, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Jake Bennett | Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays | 59.0 | 49.1 | 73.5 | 6 | Changeup (32% whiff, 26% usage) | Savant whiff 23.7%, put-away 18.1%, xwOBA 0.268, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Landen Roupp | San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners | 58.4 | 54.7 | 64.5 | 5 | Curveball (35% whiff, 26% usage) | Savant whiff 25.1%, put-away 20.8%, xwOBA 0.286, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Peter Lambert | Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles | 57.2 | 51.0 | 64.0 | 7 | Changeup (38% whiff, 22% usage) | Savant whiff 24.7%, put-away 17.8%, xwOBA 0.287, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Gavin Williams | Cleveland Guardians vs Pittsburgh Pirates | 53.8 | 64.8 | 45.5 | 5 | Sweeper (43% whiff, 27% usage) | Savant whiff 29.2%, put-away 22.8%, xwOBA 0.324, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Dean Kremer | Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros | 53.1 | 64.5 | 44.0 | 6 | Split-Finger (45% whiff, 35% usage) | Savant whiff 29.9%, put-away 20.9%, xwOBA 0.327, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Cade Cavalli | Washington Nationals vs Athletics | 52.4 | 56.6 | 49.5 | 6 | Curveball (39% whiff, 28% usage) | Savant whiff 25.9%, put-away 21.2%, xwOBA 0.316, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Spencer Miles | Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox | 52.3 | 42.0 | 66.0 | 5 | Curveball (22% whiff, 26% usage) | Savant whiff 19.2%, put-away 19.9%, xwOBA 0.283, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Roki Sasaki | Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees | 51.5 | 59.4 | 41.5 | 3 | Slider (38% whiff, 21% usage) | Savant whiff 28.5%, put-away 18.6%, xwOBA 0.332, arsenal coverage 3 pitch type(s) |
| Gerrit Cole | New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers | 51.0 | 39.7 | 62.0 | 5 | Slider (27% whiff, 19% usage) | Savant whiff 18.0%, put-away 19.9%, xwOBA 0.291, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Griffin Jax | Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox | 51.0 | 71.7 | 31.5 | 6 | Changeup (40% whiff, 22% usage) | Savant whiff 31.6%, put-away 24.9%, xwOBA 0.352, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers | 51.0 | 45.2 | 57.0 | 7 | Changeup (30% whiff, 21% usage) | Savant whiff 21.6%, put-away 18.3%, xwOBA 0.301, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Gage Jump | Athletics vs Washington Nationals | 50.4 | 50.0 | 53.0 | 6 | Curveball (27% whiff, 12% usage) | Savant whiff 24.7%, put-away 17.0%, xwOBA 0.309, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Michael King | San Diego Padres vs Kansas City Royals | 46.4 | 52.8 | 43.0 | 5 | 4-Seam Fastball (31% whiff, 19% usage) | Savant whiff 25.3%, put-away 18.6%, xwOBA 0.329, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Bailey Ober | Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs | 43.9 | 39.5 | 46.5 | 6 | Sweeper (38% whiff, 11% usage) | Savant whiff 19.8%, put-away 16.3%, xwOBA 0.322, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Brady Singer | Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies | 40.7 | 50.3 | 28.5 | 5 | Sweeper (42% whiff, 12% usage) | Savant whiff 24.5%, put-away 17.6%, xwOBA 0.358, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Anthony Kay | Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays | 39.6 | 44.5 | 33.0 | 6 | Sweeper (36% whiff, 22% usage) | Savant whiff 23.6%, put-away 13.6%, xwOBA 0.349, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Cal Quantrill | Texas Rangers vs Atlanta Braves | 38.4 | 34.1 | 42.5 | 5 | 4-Seam Fastball (30% whiff, 19% usage) | Savant whiff 19.1%, put-away 12.3%, xwOBA 0.330, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Seth Lugo | Kansas City Royals vs San Diego Padres | 34.6 | 37.7 | 29.0 | 8 | Cutter (25% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 18.3%, put-away 17.3%, xwOBA 0.357, arsenal coverage 8 pitch type(s) |
| Michael McGreevy | St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks | 34.2 | 37.8 | 31.0 | 7 | Sweeper (27% whiff, 10% usage) | Savant whiff 19.8%, put-away 14.5%, xwOBA 0.353, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Colin Rea | Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins | 32.0 | 36.4 | 26.0 | 7 | Slider (32% whiff, 11% usage) | Savant whiff 19.9%, put-away 12.9%, xwOBA 0.363, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Merrill Kelly | Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals | 24.5 | 39.9 | 5.0 | 6 | Slider (35% whiff, 11% usage) | Savant whiff 20.8%, put-away 14.6%, xwOBA 0.405, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.
| Pitcher | Team | Hand | Season K% | Recent IP | Season IP | K IP | Pitch Ct | Leash | Savant | Contact | HR Vuln | Quality | Flags / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals | R | 15.0% | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 97 | normal | full | 5.00 | 95.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Gage Jump | Athletics vs Washington Nationals | L | 24.3% | 4.9 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 82 | short | full | 53.00 | 47.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.9 IP/start |
| Chris Sale | Atlanta Braves vs Texas Rangers | L | 28.8% | 4.9 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 82 | short | full | 63.00 | 37.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.9 IP/start |
| Dean Kremer | Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros | R | 25.4% | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 92 | normal | full | 44.00 | 56.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Jake Bennett | Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays | L | 20.8% | 6.5 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 109 | deep | full | 73.50 | 26.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | low-K contact opponent 18.9% |
| Colin Rea | Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins | R | 15.9% | 4.9 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 82 | short | full | 26.00 | 74.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.9 IP/start |
| Anthony Kay | Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays | L | 17.6% | 4.5 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 76 | short | full | 33.00 | 67.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.5 IP/start, low-K contact opponent 19.6% |
| Brady Singer | Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies | R | 20.8% | 5.6 | 5.0 | 5.1 | 94 | normal | full | 28.50 | 71.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Gavin Williams | Cleveland Guardians vs Pittsburgh Pirates | R | 29.6% | 5.2 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 87 | normal | full | 45.50 | 54.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.5% |
| Gabriel Hughes | Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds | R | 22.7% | 4.5 | 6.0 | 5.6 | 76 | short | full | 79.50 | 20.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.5 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.7% |
| Troy Melton | Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels | R | 24.5% | 5.6 | 6.2 | 6.0 | 94 | normal | full | 73.00 | 27.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Peter Lambert | Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles | R | 23.3% | 5.5 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 92 | normal | full | 64.00 | 36.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.1% |
| Seth Lugo | Kansas City Royals vs San Diego Padres | R | 18.4% | 5.0 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 84 | short | full | 29.00 | 71.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.0 IP/start |
| Reid Detmers | Los Angeles Angels vs Detroit Tigers | L | 25.2% | 5.4 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 91 | normal | full | 64.00 | 36.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.6% |
| Roki Sasaki | Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees | R | 21.4% | 4.5 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 76 | short | full | 41.50 | 58.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.5 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.2% |
| Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers | R | 19.3% | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 109 | deep | full | 57.00 | 43.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.6% |
| Logan Henderson | Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins | R | 27.1% | 5.2 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 87 | normal | full | 71.50 | 28.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Bailey Ober | Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs | R | 17.0% | 5.6 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 94 | normal | full | 46.50 | 53.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 11.0% |
| Gerrit Cole | New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers | R | 23.3% | 5.3 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 89 | normal | full | 62.00 | 38.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.4% |
| Jared Jones | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cleveland Guardians | R | 26.1% | 4.2 | 4.4 | 4.6 | 70 | short | full | 60.00 | 40.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.2 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.8% |
| Michael King | San Diego Padres vs Kansas City Royals | R | 19.5% | 5.4 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 91 | normal | full | 43.00 | 57.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Landen Roupp | San Francisco Giants vs Seattle Mariners | R | 24.5% | 5.3 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 89 | normal | full | 64.50 | 35.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Bryce Miller | Seattle Mariners vs San Francisco Giants | R | 29.1% | 6.0 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 101 | deep | full | 89.50 | 10.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Michael McGreevy | St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks | R | 15.8% | 5.8 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 97 | normal | full | 31.00 | 69.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | low-K contact opponent 19.6% |
| Griffin Jax | Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox | R | 25.8% | 5.2 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 87 | normal | full | 31.50 | 68.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Cal Quantrill | Texas Rangers vs Atlanta Braves | R | 16.1% | 3.8 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 64 | short | full | 42.50 | 57.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 3.8 IP/start |
| Spencer Miles | Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox | R | 23.8% | 2.5 | 3.3 | 4.5 | 42 | short | full | 66.00 | 34.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 2.5 IP/start |
| Cade Cavalli | Washington Nationals vs Athletics | R | 26.7% | 4.7 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 79 | short | full | 49.50 | 50.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.7 IP/start |
Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.
| Pitcher | Side | Game | Line | Proj | Gap | Edge / DIFF% | Grade | Rec | Status | Leash | K IP | Pitch Ct | Quality | Gate Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | Merrill Kelly Under | St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks | 17.5 | 16.2 | -1.4 | 7.7% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.8 | 97 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.7% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
| Reid Detmers | Reid Detmers Under | Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels | 17.5 | 17.0 | -0.5 | 2.7% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.7 | 91 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
| Troy Melton | Troy Melton Over | Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels | 17.5 | 18.0 | 0.5 | 2.6% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 6.0 | 94 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.6% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
| Sandy Alcantara | Sandy Alcantara Over | Miami Marlins @ Milwaukee Brewers | 17.5 | 19.9 | 2.4 | 13.9% | B | MONITOR | research | deep | 6.5 | 109 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 13.9% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap +2.44 <= 3 min |
| Bryce Miller | Bryce Miller Over | San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners | 17.5 | 19.3 | 1.8 | 10.1% | B | MONITOR | research | deep | 6.0 | 101 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 10.1% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap +1.76 <= 3 min |
| Gavin Williams | Gavin Williams Over | Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cleveland Guardians | 17.5 | 18.6 | 1.1 | 6.3% | B | MONITOR | research | normal | 6.0 | 87 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.3% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
| Chris Sale | Chris Sale Over | Texas Rangers @ Atlanta Braves | 17.5 | 17.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% | B | MONITOR | research | short | 5.6 | 82 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.
| Grade | Signal | Type | Side | Game | Time (ET) | Line | Proj | Odds | Best Book / Line | Edge/Diff | Signal Breakdown ✓!✗– | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ► Best Signals | ||||||||||||
| A | ✅ Best Signal | Pitcher Hits All | Gabriel Hughes Under | RED@ROC | 8:41 PM | 5.5 | 3.7 | -108 | BetMGM Under 6.5 -150 | alt rescue | 32.7% | ✓✓✓––✓ | Best Signal |
| A | ✅ Best Signal | Pitcher Hits All | Merrill Kelly Over | CAR@DIA | 9:41 PM | 5.5 | 6.6 | -135 | DK Over 5.5 -135 | exact | 20.0% | ✓✓✓––✓ | Best Signal |
| ► Add Signals | ||||||||||||
| B | 🔬 Research Only Heavy juice (-172); break-even ~63%, requires clean execution | K Prop | Cal Quantrill Under | RAN@BRA | 7:16 PM | 3.5 | 2.4 | -172 | BetRivers Under 3.5 -167 | best price | 32.2% | ✓✓!✓–– | Add Signal |
| B | 🔬 Research Only Matchup: Opp lineup wRC+ 106 vs RHP — neutral | [!] Pitch-type: opp whiffs below avg vs SP top pitch (×0.92) ✗ Over Ks | K Prop | Spencer Miles Under | SOX@JAY | 7:16 PM | 3.5 | 2.4 | +102 | BetMGM Under 3.5 +110 | best price | 32.0% | ✓✓!!–– | Add Signal |
| B | ✅ Add Signal K final QC: opposing lineup not confirmed, juiced K over -135, pitch-type boost on 19% usage pitch | K Prop | Troy Melton Over | TIG@ANG | 9:39 PM | 5.5 | 7.0 | -135 | BetRivers Over 5.5 -117 | best price | 26.9% | ✓✓!✓–– | Add Signal |
| B | 🔬 Research Only Matchup: [!] Opp lineup wRC+ 117 vs RHP — tough platoon matchup | K Prop | Cade Cavalli Over | NAT@ATH | 9:41 PM | 4.5 | 5.7 | -133 | BetMGM Over 4.5 -120 | best price | 26.6% | ✓✓✓!–– | Add Signal |
| B | 🔬 Research Only Matchup: Pitch-type: opp whiffs above avg vs SP top pitch (×1.07) ✓ Over Ks | [!] Opp lineup wRC+ 112 vs RHP — tough platoon matc… | K Prop | Roki Sasaki Over | DOD@YAN | 7:06 PM | 4.5 | 5.6 | -156 | BetMGM Over 4.5 -155 | best price | 24.1% | ✓✓✓!–– | Add Signal |
| B | ✅ Add Signal Heavy juice (-151); break-even ~60%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Hits All | Cal Quantrill Under | RAN@BRA | 7:16 PM | 5.5 | 3.6 | -151 | Bovada Direct Under 5.5 -150 | best price | 34.5% | ✓✓!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | ✅ Add Signal Matchup: [!] Weather: +8% run env ✗ Under | Pitcher Hits All | Michael King Under | PAD@ROY | 8:11 PM | 5.5 | 3.8 | -140 | theScore Bet Under 5.5 -140 | best price | 30.9% | ✓✓!!–! | Add Signal |
| B | ✅ Add Signal | Pitcher Hits All | Cade Cavalli Under | NAT@ATH | 9:41 PM | 5.5 | 4.3 | -121 | BetMGM Under 5.5 -110 | best price | 21.8% | ✓✓!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | ✅ Add Signal Heavy juice (-156); break-even ~61%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Hits All | Brady Singer Under | RED@ROC | 8:41 PM | 6.5 | 5.2 | -156 | BetMGM Under 6.5 -145 | best price | 20.0% | ✓✓!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | ✅ Add Signal | Pitcher Hits All | Bailey Ober Under | TWI@CUB | 8:06 PM | 5.5 | 4.7 | -135 | DK Under 5.5 -135 | exact | 14.5% | ✓!!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-193); break-even ~66%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Walks | Peter Lambert Over | ORI@AST | 8:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.5 | -193 | DK Over 1.5 -193 | exact | 68.7% | ✓✓!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-150); break-even ~60%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Walks | Merrill Kelly Over | CAR@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -150 | DK Over 1.5 -150 | exact | 45.4% | ✓✓!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-182); break-even ~65%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Walks | Roki Sasaki Over | DOD@YAN | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -182 | DK Over 1.5 -182 | exact | 38.2% | ✓✓!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-156); break-even ~61%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Walks | Reid Detmers Over | TIG@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -156 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -155 | best price | 33.6% | ✓✓!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal | Pitcher Walks | Gage Jump Over | NAT@ATH | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -114 | DK Over 1.5 -114 | exact | 22.1% | ✓!!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal | Pitcher Walks | Gabriel Hughes Over | RED@ROC | 8:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -146 | DK Over 1.5 -146 | exact | 22.1% | ✓!!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal | Pitcher Walks | Sandy Alcantara Over | MAR@BRE | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -104 | DK Over 1.5 -104 | exact | 20.3% | ✓!!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-186); break-even ~65%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Walks | Anthony Kay Over | SOX@JAY | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -186 | DK Over 1.5 -186 | exact | 15.7% | ✓!!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-158); break-even ~61%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Walks | Cal Quantrill Under | RAN@BRA | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -158 | DK Under 1.5 -158 | exact | 15.7% | ✓!!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-224); break-even ~69%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Walks | Bryce Miller Under | GIA@MAR | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -224 | DK Under 1.5 -224 | exact | 13.8% | ✓!!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-152); break-even ~60%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Walks | Dean Kremer Over | ORI@AST | 8:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -152 | DK Over 1.5 -152 | exact | 12.8% | ✓!!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-170); break-even ~63%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Earned R | Gavin Williams Over | PIR@GUA | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | -170 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -165 | best price | 53.3% | ✓✓!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal | Pitcher Earned R | Merrill Kelly Over | CAR@DIA | 9:41 PM | 2.5 | 3.8 | -112 | DK Over 2.5 -112 | exact | 52.0% | ✓✓!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal | Pitcher Earned R | Gabriel Hughes Under | RED@ROC | 8:41 PM | 3.5 | 1.8 | -149 | BetMGM Under 3.5 -145 | best price | 48.6% | ✓✓!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal | Pitcher Earned R | Cade Cavalli Under | NAT@ATH | 9:41 PM | 2.5 | 1.8 | -133 | DK Under 2.5 -133 | exact | 28.0% | ✓✓!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal | Pitcher Earned R | Logan Henderson Over | MAR@BRE | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -135 | DK Over 1.5 -135 | exact | 26.7% | ✓✓!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-155); break-even ~61%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Earned R | Brady Singer Under | RED@ROC | 8:41 PM | 3.5 | 2.6 | -155 | BetMGM Under 3.5 -115 | best price | 25.7% | ✓✓!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-170); break-even ~63%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Earned R | Troy Melton Under | TIG@ANG | 9:39 PM | 2.5 | 1.9 | -170 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -165 | best price | 24.0% | ✓✓!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal | Pitcher Earned R | Jared Jones Over | PIR@GUA | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -147 | DK Over 1.5 -147 | exact | 20.0% | ✓!!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal | Pitcher Earned R | Bryce Miller Over | GIA@MAR | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -136 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -135 | best price | 20.0% | ✓!!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal | Pitcher Earned R | Cal Quantrill Under | RAN@BRA | 7:16 PM | 2.5 | 2.1 | -117 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -110 | best price | 16.0% | ✓!!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal | Pitcher Earned R | Seth Lugo Over | PAD@ROY | 8:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.9 | -131 | DK Over 2.5 -131 | exact | 16.0% | ✓!!✓–✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-154); break-even ~61%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Earned R | Landen Roupp Under | GIA@MAR | 10:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.1 | -154 | DK Under 2.5 -154 | exact | 16.0% | ✓!!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal | Pitcher Earned R | Colin Rea Over | TWI@CUB | 8:06 PM | 2.5 | 2.8 | -128 | DK Over 2.5 -128 | exact | 12.0% | ✓!!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal Heavy juice (-159); break-even ~61%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Earned R | Bailey Ober Over | TWI@CUB | 8:06 PM | 2.5 | 2.8 | -159 | DK Over 2.5 -159 | exact | 12.0% | ✓!!––✓ | Add Signal |
| B | 👀 Watch Signal | Pitcher Earned R | Peter Lambert Under | ORI@AST | 8:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.2 | -115 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -115 | best price | 12.0% | ✓!!––✓ | Add Signal |
| ► Lean Signals | ||||||||||||
| A (Weak) | ◔ Lean Signal - Small Stake Framework warning(s): Market Alignment — posture note at B | Pitcher Walks | Michael King Over | PAD@ROY | 8:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -182 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -180 | best price | 41.6% | ✓✓!✓–✓ | Lean Signal - Small Stake |
| ► Lean Signals (Derisked) | ||||||||||||
| B (Weak) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 49.2% (2 books) | books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note… | Pitcher Walks | Gavin Williams Over | PIR@GUA | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -110 | DK Over 1.5 -110 | exact | 32.1% | ✓✓✗––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books strongly against: blended market against 46.0% (2 books) | books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note… | Pitcher Walks | Seth Lugo Over | PAD@ROY | 8:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +101 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 12.8% | ✓!✗✓–✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 49.5% (6 books) | books against us 40% (6 books) — strongly disagree | K Prop | Dean Kremer Over | ORI@AST | 8:11 PM | 4.5 | 6.4 | -137 | FanDuel Over 4.5 +108 | best price | 41.8% | ✓✓✗!–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 20.1% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 clears, but raw gap +0.90 <= 1 min — posture note at D | K Prop | Brady Singer Over | RED@ROC | 8:41 PM | 4.5 | 5.4 | +122 | DK Over 4.5 +122 | exact | 20.1% | ✓✗✗✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 17.9% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 clears, but raw gap -0.98 <= 1 min — posture note at D | K Prop | Gerrit Cole Under | DOD@YAN | 7:06 PM | 5.5 | 4.5 | -137 | BetRivers Under 5.5 -134 | best price | 17.9% | ✓✗!!–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: diff_pct 17.5% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 clears, but raw gap +0.79 <= 1 min — posture note at D | K Prop | Gage Jump Over | NAT@ATH | 9:41 PM | 4.5 | 5.3 | -146 | DK Over 4.5 -146 | exact | 17.5% | ✓✗✗✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.7% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Sandy Alcantara Over | MAR@BRE | 7:41 PM | 4.5 | 5.1 | -142 | BetRivers Over 4.5 -141 | best price | 13.7% | ✓✗✗!–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.3% vs 17% min using selected line 3.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Seth Lugo Over | PAD@ROY | 8:11 PM | 3.5 | 3.8 | -169 | BetMGM Over 3.5 -160 | best price | 9.3% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.2% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Michael King Over | PAD@ROY | 8:11 PM | 4.5 | 4.9 | +111 | BetRivers Over 4.5 +115 | best price | 9.2% | ✓✗✗!–✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.1% vs 17% min using selected line 7.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Gavin Williams Over | PIR@GUA | 7:11 PM | 7.5 | 8.1 | +115 | FanDuel Over 7.5 +126 | best price | 8.1% | ✓✗✗!–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.5% vs 17% min using selected line 3.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Merrill Kelly Over | CAR@DIA | 9:41 PM | 3.5 | 3.7 | -125 | BetMGM Over 3.5 -110 | best price | 6.5% | ✓✗✗✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.8% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Peter Lambert Over | ORI@AST | 8:11 PM | 5.5 | 5.8 | -106 | BetRivers Over 5.5 +104 | best price | 5.8% | ✓✗✗✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Landen Roupp Over | GIA@MAR | 10:11 PM | 5.5 | 5.8 | -107 | BetMGM Over 5.5 -105 | best price | 4.7% | ✓✗✗✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.5% vs 17% min using selected line 7.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Chris Sale Over | RAN@BRA | 7:16 PM | 7.5 | 7.8 | +107 | BetRivers Over 7.5 +116 | best price | 4.5% | ✓✗✗!–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.9% vs 17% min using selected line 6.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Reid Detmers Over | TIG@ANG | 9:39 PM | 6.5 | 6.7 | -132 | BetRivers Over 6.5 -120 | best price | 2.9% | ✓✗!✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.3% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Gabriel Hughes Under | RED@ROC | 8:41 PM | 4.5 | 4.4 | -126 | BetRivers Under 4.5 -118 | best price | 2.3% | ✓✗!✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.9% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Logan Henderson Under | MAR@BRE | 7:41 PM | 5.5 | 5.5 | -149 | FanDuel Under 5.5 -146 | best price | 0.9% | ✓✗!✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.4% vs 17% min using selected line 3.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Anthony Kay Under | SOX@JAY | 7:16 PM | 3.5 | 3.5 | -118 | FanDuel Under 3.5 -113 | best price | 0.4% | ✓✗!✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.1% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Jared Jones Over | PIR@GUA | 7:11 PM | 5.5 | 5.5 | -111 | BetMGM Over 5.5 +100 | best price | 0.1% | ✓✗✗✓–– | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.7% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Merrill Kelly Under | CAR@DIA | 9:41 PM | 17.5 | 16.2 | -106 | DK Under 17.5 -106 | exact | 7.7% | ✓✗!––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Reid Detmers Under | TIG@ANG | 9:39 PM | 17.5 | 17.0 | -127 | BetMGM Under 17.5 -115 | best price | 2.7% | ✓✗!––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.6% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Troy Melton Over | TIG@ANG | 9:39 PM | 17.5 | 18.0 | +100 | theScore Bet Over 16.5 -130 | alt rescue | 2.6% | ✓✗✗––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.7% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Anthony Kay Under | SOX@JAY | 7:16 PM | 5.5 | 4.8 | -160 | BetMGM Under 5.5 -150 | best price | 12.7% | ✓✗!––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.9% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Michael McGreevy Under | CAR@DIA | 9:41 PM | 5.5 | 4.9 | -108 | BetMGM Under 5.5 +105 | best price | 10.9% | ✓✗!––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.3% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Gavin Williams Under | PIR@GUA | 7:11 PM | 5.5 | 5.1 | -150 | DK Under 5.5 -150 | exact | 7.3% | ✓✗✗––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.2% vs 15% min using selected line 6.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Sandy Alcantara Under | MAR@BRE | 7:41 PM | 6.5 | 6.1 | -161 | BetMGM Under 6.5 -155 | best price | 6.2% | ✓✗!––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Gerrit Cole Under | DOD@YAN | 7:06 PM | 5.5 | 5.4 | -162 | DK Under 5.5 -162 | exact | 1.8% | ✓✗!––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Colin Rea Over | TWI@CUB | 8:06 PM | 5.5 | 5.6 | -113 | theScore Bet Over 5.5 -105 | best price | 1.8% | ✓✗✗––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 45.8% (2 books) | books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Walks | Colin Rea Over | TWI@CUB | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +103 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 16.1% | ✓!✗––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 34.9% (2 books) | books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Walks | Logan Henderson Over | MAR@BRE | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +175 | DK Over 1.5 +175 | exact | 14.5% | ✓!✗––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Books Disagree: blended market against 39.9% (2 books) | books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Walks | Troy Melton Over | TIG@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +131 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 12.1% | ✓!✗––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.0% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Walks | Cade Cavalli Over | NAT@ATH | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +102 | DK Over 1.5 +102 | exact | 11.0% | ✓✗✗––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.5% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Walks | Michael McGreevy Under | CAR@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | +105 | DK Under 1.5 +105 | exact | 10.5% | ✓✗!––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.4% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Walks | Bailey Ober Over | TWI@CUB | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -109 | DK Over 1.5 -109 | exact | 8.4% | ✓✗✗––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.6% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Walks | Brady Singer Over | RED@ROC | 8:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +109 | DK Over 1.5 +109 | exact | 7.6% | ✓✗✗––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.7% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Walks | Jared Jones Over | PIR@GUA | 7:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -148 | DK Over 1.5 -148 | exact | 6.7% | ✓✗!––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.6% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Walks | Landen Roupp Under | GIA@MAR | 10:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.4 | -139 | DK Under 2.5 -139 | exact | 4.6% | ✓✗!––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.3% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Walks | Gerrit Cole Over | DOD@YAN | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -116 | DK Over 1.5 -116 | exact | 2.3% | ✓✗!––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.1% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Walks | Chris Sale Under | RAN@BRA | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -174 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -165 | best price | 1.1% | ✓✗!––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Roki Sasaki Over | DOD@YAN | 7:06 PM | 2.5 | 2.7 | +108 | DK Over 2.5 +108 | exact | 8.0% | ✓✗✗––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Sandy Alcantara Over | MAR@BRE | 7:41 PM | 2.5 | 2.7 | -135 | DK Over 2.5 -135 | exact | 8.0% | ✓✗!––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Reid Detmers Under | TIG@ANG | 9:39 PM | 2.5 | 2.3 | -140 | DK Under 2.5 -140 | exact | 8.0% | ✓✗!––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Gage Jump Under | NAT@ATH | 9:41 PM | 2.5 | 2.3 | -103 | BetMGM Under 2.5 +100 | best price | 8.0% | ✓✗!––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Gerrit Cole Under | DOD@YAN | 7:06 PM | 2.5 | 2.4 | -104 | DK Under 2.5 -104 | exact | 4.0% | ✓✗!––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Anthony Kay Over | SOX@JAY | 7:16 PM | 2.5 | 2.6 | -102 | BetMGM Over 2.5 +105 | best price | 4.0% | ✓✗✗––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Dean Kremer Under | ORI@AST | 8:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.4 | -124 | DK Under 2.5 -124 | exact | 4.0% | ✓✗!––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Michael King Under | PAD@ROY | 8:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.4 | -105 | BetMGM Under 2.5 +100 | best price | 4.0% | ✓✗!!–! | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Michael McGreevy Under | CAR@DIA | 9:41 PM | 2.5 | 2.4 | -120 | BetMGM Under 2.5 +100 | best price | 4.0% | ✓✗!––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| C (Review) | ↘ Lean Signal - Derisked Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Chris Sale Under | RAN@BRA | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +113 | DK Under 1.5 +113 | exact | - | ✓✗!––✓ | Lean Signal - Derisked |
| ► Watch Signals | ||||||||||||
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: diff_pct 17.2% vs 17% min using selected line 3.5 clears, but raw gap +0.60 <= 1 min — posture note at D | K Prop | Bailey Ober Over | TWI@CUB | 8:06 PM | 3.5 | 4.1 | -139 | BetRivers Over 3.5 -125 | best price | 17.2% | ✓✗✓✓–– | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.4% vs 17% min using selected line 3.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Colin Rea Under | TWI@CUB | 8:06 PM | 3.5 | 3.2 | +102 | DK Under 3.5 +102 | exact | 7.4% | ✓✗✓✓–– | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.0% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Bryce Miller Over | GIA@MAR | 10:11 PM | 5.5 | 5.8 | -158 | BetRivers Over 5.5 -136 | best price | 5.0% | ✓✗✓✓–– | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: diff_pct 13.9% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap +2.44 <= 3 min — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Sandy Alcantara Over | MAR@BRE | 7:41 PM | 17.5 | 19.9 | -167 | FanDuel Over 17.5 -158 | best price | 13.9% | ✓✗✓––✓ | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: diff_pct 10.1% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap +1.76 <= 3 min — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Bryce Miller Over | GIA@MAR | 10:11 PM | 17.5 | 19.3 | -124 | DK Over 17.5 -124 | exact | 10.1% | ✓✗✓––✓ | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.3% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Gavin Williams Over | PIR@GUA | 7:11 PM | 17.5 | 18.6 | -154 | DK Over 17.5 -154 | exact | 6.3% | ✓✗✓––✓ | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Chris Sale Over | RAN@BRA | 7:16 PM | 17.5 | 17.5 | -165 | BetMGM Over 17.5 -165 | best price | 0.0% | ✓✗✓––✓ | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.1% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Seth Lugo Over | PAD@ROY | 8:11 PM | 5.5 | 6.0 | -157 | BetMGM Over 5.5 -140 | best price | 9.1% | ✓✗✓✓–✓ | Watch Signal |
| B (Review) | ◇ Watch Signal Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Gage Jump Under | NAT@ATH | 9:41 PM | 5.5 | 5.4 | -121 | Bovada Direct Under 5.5 -120 | best price | 1.8% | ✓✗✓––✓ | Watch Signal |
✓ Supports ! Mixed ✗ Opposes – No Data | Layer order: Line Fit | Model Edge | Market Alignment | Matchup | Availability | Game Context