| Market | Trust | Season N | Season WR | Season P&L | 14d N | 14d WR | 14d P&L | Grade A N | Grade A WR | Review-only N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | 313 | 57% | -2.91u | 57 | 60% | +2.86u | 143 | 60% | 64 |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | 260 | 57% | +6.61u | 52 | 46% | -9.38u | 3 | 33% | 6 |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | 138 | 54% | -3.08u | 5 | 80% | +1.76u | 41 | 63% | 1 |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | 627 | 72% | -9.06u | 217 | 78% | +11.60u | 5 | 80% | 134 |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | 182 | 59% | +0.20u | 96 | 57% | -4.22u | 1 | 100% | 9 |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | 134 | 58% | -7.35u | 62 | 52% | -11.27u | 0 | - | 11 |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | 37 | 78% | +3.90u | 4 | 50% | -1.18u | 0 | - | 23 |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | 31 | 55% | +0.66u | 3 | 33% | -1.12u | 0 | - | 37 |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | 28 | 48% | +4.54u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | 9 | 22% | -5.18u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | 6 | 50% | +2.85u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | 3 | 33% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | 2 | 100% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 86 | 44% | -12.74u | 8 | 62% | +0.55u | 2 | 50% | 8 |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 50 | 38% | -10.52u | 4 | 67% | +0.82u | 1 | 100% | 7 |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 1 | 0% | -1.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 6 |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 484 | 50% | -56.69u | 36 | 58% | +0.69u | 70 | 53% | 355 |
Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from Best/Good settled tracker performance; review-only rows are shown separately.
| Market | Current Stage | Next Stage | Progress | Promotion Blockers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 3/4 | season P&L non-negative |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 3/4 | 14d P&L non-negative |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 2/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 3/5 | season P&L positive; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 3/5 | 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; 14d P&L non-negative |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52% |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 0/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 🔬 Research | 3/5 | diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative |
Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.
| Pitcher | Game | Overall | Whiff | Contact | Arsenal | Top Pitch | Notes / Data Gaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski | Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs | 88.4 | 94.7 | 95.5 | 5 | 4-Seam Fastball (43% whiff, 64% usage) | Savant whiff 38.3%, put-away 34.5%, xwOBA 0.224, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Paul Skenes | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds | 69.9 | 63.2 | 80.5 | 7 | Changeup (38% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 28.3%, put-away 22.8%, xwOBA 0.254, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Zack Wheeler | Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets | 63.7 | 61.0 | 71.0 | 6 | Split-Finger (42% whiff, 14% usage) | Savant whiff 28.2%, put-away 20.8%, xwOBA 0.273, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Walbert Ureña | Los Angeles Angels vs Athletics | 62.2 | 61.0 | 66.0 | 4 | Changeup (36% whiff, 32% usage) | Savant whiff 27.5%, put-away 22.3%, xwOBA 0.283, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Payton Tolle | Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees | 61.2 | 50.8 | 73.0 | 5 | 4-Seam Fastball (26% whiff, 50% usage) | Savant whiff 23.7%, put-away 19.7%, xwOBA 0.269, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Max Meyer | Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals | 56.0 | 61.3 | 54.5 | 5 | Slider (43% whiff, 26% usage) | Savant whiff 28.6%, put-away 20.4%, xwOBA 0.306, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays | 55.3 | 65.0 | 47.5 | 6 | Curveball (36% whiff, 21% usage) | Savant whiff 29.5%, put-away 22.2%, xwOBA 0.320, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Roki Sasaki | Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres | 54.6 | 62.7 | 46.0 | 3 | Slider (42% whiff, 22% usage) | Savant whiff 29.6%, put-away 19.8%, xwOBA 0.323, arsenal coverage 3 pitch type(s) |
| J.T. Ginn | Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels | 54.2 | 57.6 | 54.5 | 5 | Changeup (33% whiff, 18% usage) | Savant whiff 26.4%, put-away 21.2%, xwOBA 0.306, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Will Warren | New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox | 52.2 | 48.2 | 56.5 | 5 | Sweeper (22% whiff, 20% usage) | Savant whiff 22.3%, put-away 19.9%, xwOBA 0.302, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Joey Cantillo | Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners | 52.1 | 57.2 | 48.0 | 5 | Changeup (39% whiff, 28% usage) | Savant whiff 26.4%, put-away 20.6%, xwOBA 0.319, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Taj Bradley | Minnesota Twins vs Colorado Rockies | 51.7 | 56.7 | 47.0 | 4 | Split-Finger (41% whiff, 19% usage) | Savant whiff 26.9%, put-away 19.1%, xwOBA 0.321, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Andrew Alvarez | Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles | 51.2 | 57.4 | 46.5 | 5 | Slider (37% whiff, 28% usage) | Savant whiff 28.0%, put-away 17.7%, xwOBA 0.322, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers | 48.0 | 57.8 | 42.0 | 6 | Curveball (40% whiff, 33% usage) | Savant whiff 26.4%, put-away 21.3%, xwOBA 0.331, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Luis Castillo | Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians | 46.1 | 49.0 | 41.0 | 4 | 4-Seam Fastball (30% whiff, 46% usage) | Savant whiff 25.0%, put-away 15.4%, xwOBA 0.333, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Trevor Rogers | Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals | 44.6 | 40.7 | 48.0 | 5 | Sweeper (30% whiff, 12% usage) | Savant whiff 22.2%, put-away 12.5%, xwOBA 0.319, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Keider Montero | Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros | 44.2 | 33.1 | 57.0 | 5 | Slider (24% whiff, 18% usage) | Savant whiff 16.4%, put-away 16.6%, xwOBA 0.301, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Reynaldo López | Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants | 41.8 | 44.3 | 40.5 | 4 | Slider (31% whiff, 32% usage) | Savant whiff 21.0%, put-away 18.7%, xwOBA 0.334, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Andrew Abbott | Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates | 41.4 | 42.6 | 37.5 | 5 | Changeup (40% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 22.3%, put-away 14.4%, xwOBA 0.340, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Walker Buehler | San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers | 41.2 | 38.9 | 45.0 | 7 | Slider (30% whiff, 10% usage) | Savant whiff 18.6%, put-away 18.0%, xwOBA 0.325, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Nick Martinez | Tampa Bay Rays vs Arizona Diamondbacks | 38.0 | 37.1 | 41.0 | 6 | Changeup (35% whiff, 28% usage) | Savant whiff 18.3%, put-away 16.9%, xwOBA 0.333, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Patrick Corbin | Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers | 35.3 | 38.9 | 26.0 | 5 | Slider (37% whiff, 26% usage) | Savant whiff 21.1%, put-away 13.0%, xwOBA 0.363, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Colin Rea | Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers | 33.3 | 37.5 | 27.5 | 7 | Slider (31% whiff, 11% usage) | Savant whiff 20.3%, put-away 13.2%, xwOBA 0.360, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Zac Gallen | Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays | 32.6 | 34.7 | 25.5 | 5 | Slider (30% whiff, 23% usage) | Savant whiff 18.9%, put-away 13.2%, xwOBA 0.364, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Michael McGreevy | St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins | 30.1 | 36.3 | 25.0 | 7 | Changeup (28% whiff, 21% usage) | Savant whiff 19.1%, put-away 14.5%, xwOBA 0.365, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Tomoyuki Sugano | Colorado Rockies vs Minnesota Twins | 22.3 | 30.7 | 9.0 | 7 | Split-Finger (29% whiff, 20% usage) | Savant whiff 17.6%, put-away 11.9%, xwOBA 0.397, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.
| Pitcher | Team | Hand | Season K% | Recent IP | Season IP | K IP | Pitch Ct | Leash | Savant | Contact | HR Vuln | Quality | Flags / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | Arizona Diamondbacks vs Tampa Bay Rays | R | 12.8% | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 84 | short | full | 25.50 | 74.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.0 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.5%, low-K contact opponent 19.1% |
| J.T. Ginn | Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels | R | 20.9% | 5.7 | 5.4 | 5.5 | 96 | normal | full | 54.50 | 45.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Reynaldo López | Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants | R | 21.4% | 1.6 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 27 | short | full | 40.50 | 59.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 1.6 IP/start |
| Trevor Rogers | Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals | L | 17.2% | 5.9 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 99 | normal | full | 48.00 | 52.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Payton Tolle | Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees | L | 21.9% | 5.4 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 91 | normal | full | 73.00 | 27.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.8% |
| Colin Rea | Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers | R | 15.8% | 4.7 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 79 | short | full | 27.50 | 72.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.7 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.8% |
| Andrew Abbott | Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates | L | 19.0% | 5.6 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 94 | normal | full | 37.50 | 62.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Joey Cantillo | Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners | L | 22.7% | 4.8 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 80 | short | full | 48.00 | 52.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.8 IP/start |
| Tomoyuki Sugano | Colorado Rockies vs Minnesota Twins | R | 14.5% | 5.0 | 5.3 | 5.2 | 84 | short | full | 9.00 | 91.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.0 IP/start |
| Keider Montero | Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros | R | 15.6% | 5.0 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 84 | short | full | 57.00 | 43.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.0 IP/start |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers | R | 23.3% | 5.6 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 94 | normal | full | 42.00 | 58.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.6% |
| Walbert Ureña | Los Angeles Angels vs Athletics | R | 22.2% | 5.8 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 97 | normal | full | 66.00 | 34.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.8% |
| Roki Sasaki | Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres | R | 25.4% | 5.3 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 89 | normal | full | 46.00 | 54.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Max Meyer | Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals | R | 27.1% | 5.8 | 5.6 | 6.0 | 97 | normal | full | 54.50 | 45.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Jacob Misiorowski | Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs | R | 39.0% | 7.2 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 121 | deep | full | 95.50 | 4.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 11.1% |
| Taj Bradley | Minnesota Twins vs Colorado Rockies | R | 24.1% | 4.7 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 79 | short | full | 47.00 | 53.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.7 IP/start |
| Will Warren | New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox | R | 22.4% | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 86 | short | full | 56.50 | 43.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.1 IP/start |
| Zack Wheeler | Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets | R | 26.7% | 6.0 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 101 | deep | full | 71.00 | 29.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Paul Skenes | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds | R | 32.3% | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 92 | normal | full | 80.50 | 19.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.1% |
| Walker Buehler | San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers | R | 21.7% | 5.1 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 86 | short | full | 45.00 | 55.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.1 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.5% |
| Luis Castillo | Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians | R | 21.6% | 4.7 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 79 | short | full | 41.00 | 59.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.7 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.2% |
| Michael McGreevy | St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins | R | 15.2% | 5.4 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 91 | normal | full | 25.00 | 75.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Nick Martinez | Tampa Bay Rays vs Arizona Diamondbacks | R | 15.3% | 5.8 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 97 | normal | full | 41.00 | 59.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | low-K contact opponent 19.5% |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays | R | 23.6% | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 104 | deep | full | 47.50 | 52.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | low-K contact opponent 19.6% |
| Patrick Corbin | Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers | L | 16.6% | 3.9 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 65 | short | full | 26.00 | 74.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 3.9 IP/start |
| Andrew Alvarez | Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles | L | 24.2% | 3.8 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 64 | short | full | 46.50 | 53.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 3.8 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.8% |
Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.
| Pitcher | Side | Game | Line | Proj | Gap | Edge / DIFF% | Grade | Rec | Status | Leash | K IP | Pitch Ct | Quality | Gate Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski | Jacob Misiorowski Over | Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers | 17.5 | 21.2 | 3.7 | 21.2% | B | GOOD_ADD | research | deep | 6.4 | 121 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Market status RESEARCH: Pitcher Outs research-stage -- downgraded to monitor/derisk |
| Zack Wheeler | Zack Wheeler Over | Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets | 17.5 | 20.8 | 3.3 | 18.8% | B | GOOD_ADD | research | deep | 6.2 | 101 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Market status RESEARCH: Pitcher Outs research-stage -- downgraded to monitor/derisk |
| Andrew Abbott | Andrew Abbott Under | Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates | 17.5 | 14.9 | -2.6 | 14.9% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.3 | 94 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 14.9% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap -2.61 <= 3 min |
| Taj Bradley | Taj Bradley Under | Colorado Rockies @ Minnesota Twins | 17.5 | 15.0 | -2.5 | 14.0% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | short | 5.3 | 79 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 14.0% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap -2.46 <= 3 min |
| Trevor Rogers | Trevor Rogers Under | Washington Nationals @ Baltimore Orioles | 17.5 | 15.5 | -2.0 | 11.4% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.3 | 99 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 11.4% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap -2.00 <= 3 min |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Nathan Eovaldi Over | Texas Rangers @ Toronto Blue Jays | 18.5 | 20.4 | 1.9 | 10.1% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | deep | 6.2 | 104 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 10.1% vs 10% min using selected line 18.5 clears, but raw gap +1.87 <= 3 min |
| Roki Sasaki | Roki Sasaki Under | Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres | 17.5 | 15.9 | -1.6 | 9.4% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.2 | 89 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.4% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
| JT Ginn | JT Ginn Under | Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels | 17.5 | 15.9 | -1.6 | 9.1% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | - | - | - | - | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.1% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
| Nick Martinez | Nick Martinez Under | Arizona Diamondbacks @ Tampa Bay Rays | 17.5 | 16.5 | -1.0 | 5.7% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.9 | 97 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.7% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
| Paul Skenes | Paul Skenes Over | Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates | 17.5 | 18.3 | 0.8 | 4.5% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.5 | 92 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.5% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 |
QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.
| Grade | Signal | Type | Side | Game | Time (ET) | Line | Proj | Odds | Best Book / Line | Edge/Diff | Checks ✓!✗– | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ► GOOD ADDS | ||||||||||||
| B | ✅ Good Add Matchup: [!] Opp lineup wRC+ 114 vs RHP — tough platoon matchup | K Prop | Walbert Urena Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 4.5 | 6.3 | -150 | BetMGM Over 4.5 -140 | best price | 40.1% | ✓✓✓!–– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 🔬 Research Note Matchup: [!] Opp lineup wRC+ 115 vs RHP — tough platoon matchup | K Prop | Colin Rea Under | CUB@BRE | 7:46 PM | 4.5 | 3.2 | -154 | DK Under 4.5 -154 | exact | 29.0% | ✓✓!!–– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 🔬 Research Note Market status RESEARCH: K Prop missing SP stats | K Prop | Zach Thornton Under | PHI@MET | 7:11 PM | 4.5 | 3.4 | -142 | BetMGM Under 4.5 -135 | best price | 25.2% | ✓✓!––– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 🔬 Research Note Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Away pen fatigued (1.06x) | Pitcher Outs | Jacob Misiorowski Over | CUB@BRE | 7:46 PM | 17.5 | 21.2 | -116 | DK Over 17.5 -116 | exact | 21.2% | ✓✓!––! | GOOD ADD |
| B | 🔬 Research Note Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Away pen fatigued (1.05x) | Pitcher Outs | Zack Wheeler Over | PHI@MET | 7:11 PM | 17.5 | 20.8 | -159 | DK Over 17.5 -159 | exact | 18.8% | ✓✓!––! | GOOD ADD |
| B | ✅ Good Add Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Away pen fatigued (1.05x) | Pitcher Hits All | Zac Gallen Over | DIA@RAY | 7:10 PM | 5.5 | 7.6 | -130 | BetMGM Over 5.5 -120 | best price | 38.2% | ✓✓✓––! | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.07x) | Pitcher Earned R | Roki Sasaki Over | DOD@PAD | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | -120 | DK Over 1.5 -120 | exact | 53.3% | ✓✓!––! | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Away pen fatigued (1.05x) | Pitcher Earned R | Zac Gallen Over | DIA@RAY | 7:10 PM | 2.5 | 3.4 | -126 | DK Over 2.5 -126 | exact | 36.0% | ✓✓!––! | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Away pen fatigued (1.05x) | Pitcher Earned R | Zack Wheeler Under | PHI@MET | 7:11 PM | 2.5 | 1.7 | -156 | DK Under 2.5 -156 | exact | 32.0% | ✓✓!––! | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Away pen fatigued (1.06x) | Pitcher Earned R | Jacob Misiorowski Under | CUB@BRE | 7:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -196 | DK Under 1.5 -196 | exact | 26.7% | ✓✓!––! | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch | Pitcher Earned R | Will Warren Under | YAN@SOX | 7:11 PM | 2.5 | 1.9 | -138 | DK Under 2.5 -138 | exact | 24.0% | ✓✓!––– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.07x) | Pitcher Earned R | Walker Buehler Under | DOD@PAD | 9:46 PM | 2.5 | 2.0 | -133 | DK Under 2.5 -133 | exact | 20.0% | ✓✓!––! | GOOD ADD |
| ► ALT / DERISK | ||||||||||||
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: blended market against 43.8% (6 books) | books against us 0% (6 books) — strongly disagree — posture note… | K Prop | Roki Sasaki Over | DOD@PAD | 9:46 PM | 5.5 | 6.8 | +117 | FanDuel Over 5.5 +118 | best price | 23.4% | ✓✓✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: blended market against 49.4% (6 books) | books against us 20% (6 books) — strongly disagree | K Prop | Jacob Misiorowski Over | CUB@BRE | 7:46 PM | 8.5 | 10.9 | -117 | BetMGM Over 8.5 -105 | best price | 27.9% | ✓✓✗!–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 26.6% vs 17% min using selected line 3.5 clears, but raw gap -0.93 <= 1 min — posture note at D | K Prop | Zac Gallen Under | DIA@RAY | 7:10 PM | 3.5 | 2.6 | -109 | BetMGM Under 3.5 -105 | best price | 26.6% | ✓✗✗!–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: blended market against 45.7% (6 books) | books against us 0% (6 books) — strongly disagree | K Prop | Max Meyer Over | MAR@CAR | 8:15 PM | 5.5 | 6.8 | +106 | BetMGM Over 5.5 +110 | best price | 23.8% | ✓✓✗!–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 21.2% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 clears, but raw gap -0.95 <= 1 min — posture note at D | K Prop | Walker Buehler Under | DOD@PAD | 9:46 PM | 4.5 | 3.5 | -125 | DK Under 4.5 -125 | exact | 21.2% | ✓✗!!–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 19.2% vs 17% min using selected line 3.5 clears, but raw gap -0.67 <= 1 min — posture note at D | K Prop | Tomoyuki Sugano Under | ROC@TWI | 8:11 PM | 3.5 | 2.8 | -122 | FanDuel Under 3.5 -114 | best price | 19.2% | ✓✗!✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.7% vs 17% min using selected line 3.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Nick Martinez Under | DIA@RAY | 7:10 PM | 3.5 | 3.0 | +111 | DK Under 3.5 +111 | exact | 15.7% | ✓✗!✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.8% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Nathan Eovaldi Over | RAN@JAY | 7:08 PM | 5.5 | 6.3 | +122 | BetMGM Over 4.5 -155 | alt rescue | 14.8% | ✓✗✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.4% vs 17% min using selected line 6.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Taj Bradley Under | ROC@TWI | 8:11 PM | 6.5 | 5.6 | -118 | DK Under 6.5 -118 | exact | 13.4% | ✓✗!✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.3% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Trevor Rogers Under | NAT@ORI | 7:06 PM | 4.5 | 3.9 | -104 | FanDuel Under 4.5 +104 | best price | 12.3% | ✓✗!✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.9% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Andrew Abbott Under | RED@PIR | 6:41 PM | 5.5 | 5.0 | -155 | DK Under 5.5 -155 | exact | 9.9% | ✓✗!✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.1% vs 17% min using selected line 3.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Michael McGreevy Under | MAR@CAR | 8:15 PM | 3.5 | 3.2 | +130 | DK Under 3.5 +130 | exact | 9.1% | ✓✗!✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.8% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Joey Cantillo Over | MAR@GUA | 7:11 PM | 5.5 | 5.9 | +100 | FanDuel Over 5.5 +110 | best price | 7.8% | ✓✗✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.8% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Spencer Arrighetti Over | AST@TIG | 6:41 PM | 5.5 | 5.9 | -108 | BetRivers Over 5.5 -103 | best price | 7.8% | ✓✗✗!–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.7% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Luis Castillo Under | MAR@GUA | 7:11 PM | 4.5 | 4.2 | -113 | FanDuel Under 4.5 -106 | best price | 7.7% | ✓✗!!–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.9% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Payton Tolle Under | YAN@SOX | 7:11 PM | 5.5 | 5.1 | -115 | FanDuel Under 5.5 -114 | best price | 6.9% | ✓✗!✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.5% vs 17% min using selected line 8.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Paul Skenes Under | RED@PIR | 6:41 PM | 8.5 | 8.0 | -148 | BetOnline Under 8.5 -141 | best price | 5.5% | ✓✗!✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.3% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Will Warren Under | YAN@SOX | 7:11 PM | 4.5 | 4.3 | +131 | BetOnline Under 5.5 -159 | alt rescue | 4.3% | ✓✗✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.2% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | JT Ginn Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 5.5 | 5.3 | -133 | BetMGM Under 5.5 -125 | best price | 3.2% | ✓✗!!–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.1% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | David Sandlin Under | ROY@SOX | 7:41 PM | 4.5 | 4.4 | -131 | DK Under 4.5 -131 | exact | 3.1% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.3% vs 17% min using selected line 3.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Keider Montero Under | AST@TIG | 6:41 PM | 3.5 | 3.4 | +109 | DK Under 3.5 +109 | exact | 2.3% | ✓✗!!–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.9% vs 17% min using selected line 3.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Patrick Corbin Over | RAN@JAY | 7:08 PM | 3.5 | 3.5 | -166 | DK Over 3.5 -166 | exact | 0.9% | ✓✗!✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 14.9% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap -2.61 <= 3 min — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Andrew Abbott Under | RED@PIR | 6:41 PM | 17.5 | 14.9 | -134 | DK Under 17.5 -134 | exact | 14.9% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 14.0% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap -2.46 <= 3 min — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Taj Bradley Under | ROC@TWI | 8:11 PM | 17.5 | 15.0 | +100 | DK Under 17.5 +100 | exact | 14.0% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 11.4% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap -2.00 <= 3 min — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Trevor Rogers Under | NAT@ORI | 7:06 PM | 17.5 | 15.5 | -108 | Bovada Direct Under 17.5 -105 | best price | 11.4% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 10.1% vs 10% min using selected line 18.5 clears, but raw gap +1.87 <= 3 min — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Nathan Eovaldi Over | RAN@JAY | 7:08 PM | 18.5 | 20.4 | +114 | Bovada Direct Over 18.5 +115 | best price | 10.1% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.4% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Roki Sasaki Under | DOD@PAD | 9:46 PM | 17.5 | 15.9 | -123 | DK Under 17.5 -123 | exact | 9.4% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.1% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | JT Ginn Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 17.5 | 15.9 | -104 | DK Under 17.5 -104 | exact | 9.1% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.7% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Nick Martinez Under | DIA@RAY | 7:10 PM | 17.5 | 16.5 | -122 | DK Under 17.5 -122 | exact | 5.7% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.5% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Paul Skenes Over | RED@PIR | 6:41 PM | 17.5 | 18.3 | -190 | DK Over 17.5 -190 | exact | 4.5% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: blended market against 49.5% (3 books) | split consensus 50% (3 books) | Pitcher Hits All | Keider Montero Under | AST@TIG | 6:41 PM | 5.5 | 4.0 | -133 | DK Under 5.5 -133 | exact | 27.3% | ✓✓✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | Pitcher Hits All | Andrew Abbott Under | RED@PIR | 6:41 PM | 5.5 | 4.7 | -157 | BetMGM Under 5.5 -140 | best price | 14.5% | ✓!!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.7% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Nick Martinez Over | DIA@RAY | 7:10 PM | 5.5 | 6.2 | -109 | DK Over 5.5 -109 | exact | 12.7% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.9% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Nathan Eovaldi Over | RAN@JAY | 7:08 PM | 5.5 | 6.1 | -121 | DK Over 5.5 -121 | exact | 10.9% | ✓✗✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.1% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Payton Tolle Under | YAN@SOX | 7:11 PM | 5.5 | 5.0 | -156 | BetMGM Under 5.5 -155 | best price | 9.1% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.3% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Taj Bradley Under | ROC@TWI | 8:11 PM | 5.5 | 5.1 | -151 | DK Under 5.5 -151 | exact | 7.3% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Will Warren Over | YAN@SOX | 7:11 PM | 5.5 | 5.7 | +108 | DK Over 5.5 +108 | exact | 3.6% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Patrick Corbin Under | RAN@JAY | 7:08 PM | 5.5 | 5.4 | -156 | Bovada Direct Under 5.5 -155 | best price | 1.8% | ✓✗✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Colin Rea Under | CUB@BRE | 7:46 PM | 5.5 | 5.5 | -128 | BetMGM Under 5.5 -115 | best price | - | ✓✗✓––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 15% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Tomoyuki Sugano Under | ROC@TWI | 8:11 PM | 5.5 | 5.5 | +104 | BetMGM Under 5.5 +110 | best price | - | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | Pitcher Earned R | Payton Tolle Under | YAN@SOX | 7:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.1 | -130 | DK Under 2.5 -130 | exact | 16.0% | ✓!!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Away pen fatigued (1.06x) | Pitcher Earned R | Colin Rea Over | CUB@BRE | 7:46 PM | 2.5 | 2.9 | -131 | DK Over 2.5 -131 | exact | 16.0% | ✓!!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.07x) | Pitcher Earned R | Walbert Urena Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 2.5 | 2.1 | -143 | DK Under 2.5 -143 | exact | 16.0% | ✓!!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: blended market against 49.6% (1 books) | Pitcher Earned R | Nick Martinez Over | DIA@RAY | 7:10 PM | 2.5 | 2.8 | -113 | DK Over 2.5 -113 | exact | 12.0% | ✓!✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.6% vs 20% min using selected line 3.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Tomoyuki Sugano Under | ROC@TWI | 8:11 PM | 3.5 | 3.2 | -157 | DK Under 3.5 -157 | exact | 8.6% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Andrew Abbott Over | RED@PIR | 6:41 PM | 2.5 | 2.7 | -113 | DK Over 2.5 -113 | exact | 8.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Spencer Arrighetti Over | AST@TIG | 6:41 PM | 2.5 | 2.7 | -117 | DK Over 2.5 -117 | exact | 8.0% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Nathan Eovaldi Over | RAN@JAY | 7:08 PM | 2.5 | 2.7 | +100 | DK Over 2.5 +100 | exact | 8.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Zach Thornton Over | PHI@MET | 7:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.7 | -105 | DK Over 2.5 -105 | exact | 8.0% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.7% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Paul Skenes Under | RED@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -138 | DK Under 1.5 -138 | exact | 6.7% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Taj Bradley Over | ROC@TWI | 8:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.6 | -110 | DK Over 2.5 -110 | exact | 4.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | JT Ginn Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 2.5 | 2.4 | -157 | DK Under 2.5 -157 | exact | 4.0% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Keider Montero Under | AST@TIG | 6:41 PM | 2.5 | 2.5 | -138 | DK Under 2.5 -138 | exact | - | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Patrick Corbin Under | RAN@JAY | 7:08 PM | 2.5 | 2.5 | -115 | DK Under 2.5 -115 | exact | - | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| ► MONITOR | ||||||||||||
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.1% vs 17% min using selected line 4.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Andrew Alvarez Over | NAT@ORI | 7:06 PM | 4.5 | 5.0 | -151 | BetMGM Over 4.5 -135 | best price | 10.1% | ✓✗✓✓–– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.5% vs 17% min using selected line 6.5 — posture note at D | K Prop | Zack Wheeler Over | PHI@MET | 7:11 PM | 6.5 | 6.9 | -117 | FanDuel Over 6.5 -110 | best price | 6.5% | ✓✗✓✓–– | MONITOR |
✓ PASS ! WARN ✗ FAIL – N/A | Checks order: Baby Line · Model Edge · Books · Matchup · Role · Game Script