| Market | Trust | Season N | Season WR | Season P&L | 14d N | 14d WR | 14d P&L | Grade A N | Grade A WR | Review-only N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | 273 | 55% | -8.17u | 48 | 50% | -4.86u | 130 | 59% | 64 |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | 220 | 57% | +5.63u | 70 | 49% | -10.48u | 2 | 50% | 6 |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | 136 | 54% | -2.73u | 24 | 62% | +1.84u | 41 | 63% | 1 |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | 627 | 72% | -9.06u | 597 | 73% | -12.74u | 5 | 80% | 134 |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | 114 | 57% | -2.08u | 83 | 52% | -9.81u | 1 | 100% | 9 |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | 91 | 59% | -2.07u | 74 | 59% | -1.62u | 0 | - | 11 |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | 37 | 78% | +3.90u | 16 | 75% | +1.05u | 0 | - | 23 |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | 30 | 57% | +1.66u | 4 | 75% | +1.50u | 0 | - | 37 |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | 28 | 48% | +4.54u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | 9 | 22% | -5.18u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | 6 | 50% | +2.85u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | 3 | 33% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | 2 | 100% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 82 | 43% | -13.89u | 7 | 57% | -0.15u | 2 | 50% | 8 |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 49 | 39% | -9.52u | 7 | 50% | -0.23u | 1 | 100% | 7 |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 1 | 0% | -1.00u | 1 | 0% | -1.00u | 0 | - | 6 |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 475 | 51% | -54.57u | 68 | 60% | +3.07u | 70 | 53% | 355 |
Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from Best/Good settled tracker performance; review-only rows are shown separately.
| Market | Current Stage | Next Stage | Progress | Promotion Blockers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 2/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 3/4 | 14d P&L non-negative |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 3/4 | season P&L non-negative |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 3/5 | season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 0/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 0/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 🔬 Research | 3/5 | diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative |
Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.
| Pitcher | Game | Overall | Whiff | Contact | Arsenal | Top Pitch | Notes / Data Gaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Brown | Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers | 76.2 | 62.6 | 100.0 | 5 | Curveball (39% whiff, 22% usage) | Savant whiff 24.2%, put-away 30.6%, xwOBA 0.215, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Payton Tolle | Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays | 67.9 | 55.3 | 82.5 | 5 | 4-Seam Fastball (27% whiff, 49% usage) | Savant whiff 25.3%, put-away 21.1%, xwOBA 0.250, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Reid Detmers | Los Angeles Angels vs Arizona Diamondbacks | 66.8 | 63.9 | 73.5 | 5 | Curveball (39% whiff, 10% usage) | Savant whiff 29.5%, put-away 21.1%, xwOBA 0.268, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Jesús Luzardo | Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins | 64.2 | 68.5 | 61.0 | 4 | Sweeper (47% whiff, 36% usage) | Savant whiff 31.9%, put-away 20.9%, xwOBA 0.293, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Drew Rasmussen | Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Dodgers | 61.7 | 55.0 | 73.0 | 6 | Changeup (46% whiff, 11% usage) | Savant whiff 24.7%, put-away 21.9%, xwOBA 0.269, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Jack Perkins | Athletics vs Pittsburgh Pirates | 58.3 | 60.6 | 57.0 | 6 | Changeup (45% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 29.5%, put-away 18.0%, xwOBA 0.301, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Tyler Phillips | Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies | 57.4 | 60.2 | 57.0 | 5 | Curveball (52% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 28.3%, put-away 19.8%, xwOBA 0.301, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Robert Gasser | Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians | 56.7 | 53.4 | 56.5 | 5 | 4-Seam Fastball (40% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 26.5%, put-away 16.7%, xwOBA 0.302, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Gerrit Cole | New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox | 55.6 | 39.2 | 75.0 | 5 | Slider (42% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 18.1%, put-away 19.2%, xwOBA 0.265, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Davis Martin | Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees | 55.2 | 61.1 | 54.5 | 6 | Slider (47% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 28.0%, put-away 21.3%, xwOBA 0.306, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Logan Gilbert | Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles | 52.6 | 60.2 | 49.0 | 6 | Split-Finger (39% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 29.2%, put-away 18.2%, xwOBA 0.317, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Kodai Senga | New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds | 51.2 | 61.7 | 38.0 | 6 | Split-Finger (41% whiff, 23% usage) | Savant whiff 28.6%, put-away 20.9%, xwOBA 0.339, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Zebby Matthews | Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers | 51.0 | 46.6 | 55.0 | 6 | Slider (39% whiff, 21% usage) | Savant whiff 22.4%, put-away 18.0%, xwOBA 0.305, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Andre Pallante | St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres | 49.9 | 44.5 | 54.5 | 5 | Slider (33% whiff, 29% usage) | Savant whiff 23.0%, put-away 14.8%, xwOBA 0.306, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Michael King | San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals | 47.9 | 56.2 | 42.5 | 5 | 4-Seam Fastball (34% whiff, 20% usage) | Savant whiff 26.5%, put-away 19.5%, xwOBA 0.330, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Grant Holmes | Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants | 47.7 | 56.0 | 40.0 | 6 | Slider (41% whiff, 40% usage) | Savant whiff 27.5%, put-away 17.3%, xwOBA 0.335, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Foster Griffin | Washington Nationals vs Kansas City Royals | 47.5 | 51.4 | 45.0 | 7 | Sweeper (32% whiff, 14% usage) | Savant whiff 24.3%, put-away 19.1%, xwOBA 0.325, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Michael Wacha | Kansas City Royals vs Washington Nationals | 47.2 | 49.0 | 46.5 | 6 | Changeup (32% whiff, 23% usage) | Savant whiff 22.9%, put-away 19.5%, xwOBA 0.322, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Edward Cabrera | Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies | 46.6 | 55.7 | 36.5 | 5 | Slider (46% whiff, 12% usage) | Savant whiff 27.0%, put-away 18.1%, xwOBA 0.342, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Slade Cecconi | Cleveland Guardians vs Milwaukee Brewers | 44.1 | 44.9 | 42.5 | 7 | Curveball (34% whiff, 16% usage) | Savant whiff 22.2%, put-away 16.7%, xwOBA 0.330, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Brandon Young | Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners | 43.2 | 43.7 | 44.0 | 5 | Slider (43% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 21.4%, put-away 17.2%, xwOBA 0.327, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Kumar Rocker | Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins | 42.0 | 43.9 | 39.0 | 5 | Slider (34% whiff, 38% usage) | Savant whiff 22.5%, put-away 15.2%, xwOBA 0.337, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Framber Valdez | Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros | 40.5 | 40.6 | 40.5 | 5 | Curveball (31% whiff, 28% usage) | Savant whiff 20.7%, put-away 15.4%, xwOBA 0.334, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Justin Wrobleski | Los Angeles Dodgers vs Tampa Bay Rays | 39.3 | 31.1 | 47.5 | 7 | 4-Seam Fastball (20% whiff, 51% usage) | Savant whiff 17.1%, put-away 13.3%, xwOBA 0.320, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Mitch Keller | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Athletics | 37.6 | 40.0 | 34.5 | 7 | Sweeper (22% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 20.4%, put-away 15.4%, xwOBA 0.346, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Brady Singer | Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets | 36.0 | 43.4 | 23.0 | 5 | Sweeper (41% whiff, 11% usage) | Savant whiff 21.9%, put-away 15.8%, xwOBA 0.369, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Ryan Feltner | Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs | 35.9 | 49.4 | 23.5 | 6 | Changeup (54% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 24.0%, put-away 17.7%, xwOBA 0.368, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Adrian Houser | San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves | 33.8 | 34.4 | 28.0 | 5 | Changeup (32% whiff, 18% usage) | Savant whiff 18.5%, put-away 13.6%, xwOBA 0.359, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Merrill Kelly | Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Angels | 24.8 | 40.3 | 6.0 | 6 | Slider (36% whiff, 13% usage) | Savant whiff 21.4%, put-away 13.8%, xwOBA 0.403, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.
| Pitcher | Team | Hand | Season K% | Recent IP | Season IP | K IP | Pitch Ct | Leash | Savant | Contact | HR Vuln | Quality | Flags / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Angels | R | 14.1% | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 97 | normal | full | 6.00 | 94.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Jack Perkins | Athletics vs Pittsburgh Pirates | R | 24.8% | 3.1 | 4.0 | 4.9 | 52 | short | full | 57.00 | 43.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 3.1 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.9% |
| Grant Holmes | Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants | R | 21.5% | 4.9 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 82 | short | full | 40.00 | 60.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.9 IP/start |
| Brandon Young | Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners | R | 18.9% | 5.7 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 96 | normal | full | 44.00 | 56.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Payton Tolle | Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays | L | 23.1% | 6.0 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 101 | deep | full | 82.50 | 17.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | low-K contact opponent 19.6% |
| Edward Cabrera | Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies | R | 21.6% | 4.1 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 69 | short | full | 36.50 | 63.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.1 IP/start |
| Davis Martin | Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees | R | 24.2% | 5.5 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 92 | normal | full | 54.50 | 45.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 11.3% |
| Brady Singer | Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets | R | 18.8% | 4.4 | 4.7 | 4.6 | 74 | short | full | 23.00 | 77.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.4 IP/start |
| Slade Cecconi | Cleveland Guardians vs Milwaukee Brewers | R | 20.0% | 5.4 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 91 | normal | full | 42.50 | 57.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 11.0% |
| Ryan Feltner | Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs | R | 19.4% | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.8 | 79 | short | full | 23.50 | 76.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.7 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.9% |
| Framber Valdez | Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros | L | 17.4% | 5.4 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 91 | normal | full | 40.50 | 59.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Hunter Brown | Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers | R | 29.9% | 5.1 | 5.3 | 5.6 | 86 | short | full | 100.00 | 0.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.1 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.9% |
| Michael Wacha | Kansas City Royals vs Washington Nationals | R | 18.4% | 6.0 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 101 | deep | full | 46.50 | 53.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Reid Detmers | Los Angeles Angels vs Arizona Diamondbacks | L | 32.1% | 6.2 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 104 | deep | full | 73.50 | 26.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Justin Wrobleski | Los Angeles Dodgers vs Tampa Bay Rays | L | 17.2% | 5.6 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 94 | normal | full | 47.50 | 52.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.7%, low-K contact opponent 19.0% |
| Tyler Phillips | Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies | R | 19.7% | 4.1 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 69 | short | full | 57.00 | 43.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.1 IP/start |
| Robert Gasser | Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians | L | 22.2% | 4.5 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 76 | short | full | 56.50 | 43.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.5 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.3% |
| Zebby Matthews | Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers | R | 20.9% | 5.8 | 6.1 | 5.9 | 97 | normal | full | 55.00 | 45.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Kodai Senga | New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds | R | 23.1% | 3.7 | 4.0 | 4.6 | 62 | short | full | 38.00 | 62.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 3.7 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.2% |
| Gerrit Cole | New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox | R | 21.3% | 5.3 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 89 | normal | full | 75.00 | 25.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Jesús Luzardo | Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins | L | 24.7% | 5.7 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 96 | normal | full | 61.00 | 39.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Mitch Keller | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Athletics | R | 17.5% | 4.7 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 79 | short | full | 34.50 | 65.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.7 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.6% |
| Michael King | San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals | R | 20.7% | 5.7 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 96 | normal | full | 42.50 | 57.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Adrian Houser | San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves | R | 18.5% | 4.3 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 72 | short | full | 28.00 | 72.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.3 IP/start |
| Logan Gilbert | Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles | R | 25.5% | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 96 | normal | full | 49.00 | 51.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.2% |
| Andre Pallante | St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres | R | 19.7% | 5.3 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 89 | normal | full | 54.50 | 45.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Drew Rasmussen | Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Dodgers | R | 28.1% | 6.0 | 5.6 | 6.0 | 101 | deep | full | 73.00 | 27.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.6% |
| Kumar Rocker | Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins | R | 19.1% | 5.5 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 92 | normal | full | 39.00 | 61.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Foster Griffin | Washington Nationals vs Kansas City Royals | L | 23.1% | 5.4 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 91 | normal | full | 45.00 | 55.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.
| Grade | Signal | Type | Side | Game | Time (ET) | Line | Proj | Odds | Best Book / Line | Edge/Diff | Checks ✓!✗– | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ► GOOD ADDS | ||||||||||||
| B | 🔬 Research Note Market status RESEARCH: Total research-stage | Total | Over 8.0 | GUA@BRE | 7:41 PM | 8.0 | - | -113 | Fanatics Over 8 -110 | best price | +25.9% | –✓!✓–✓ | GOOD ADD |
| ► ALT / DERISK | ||||||||||||
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Total | Over 7.5 | JAY@SOX | 6:45 PM | 7.5 | - | -113 | Bovada Direct Over 7.5 -105 | best price | +23.1% | –✓–––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | Total | Under 10.5 | PIR@ATH | 9:41 PM | 10.5 | - | +100 | BetRivers Under 11 -115 | alt rescue | +18.7% | –✓–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: selected book disagrees | Total | Over 8.0 | SOX@YAN | 7:06 PM | 8.0 | - | -105 | theScore Bet Over 7.5 -120 | alt rescue | +18.3% | –✓✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.07x) | Total | Over 7.5 | ORI@MAR | 9:41 PM | 7.5 | - | -106 | Caesars Over 7.5 +100 | best price | +17.8% | –✓–––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 5.6 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | SOX@YAN | 7:06 PM | - | 5.6 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -27.0% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 5.5 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | ROY@NAT | 6:46 PM | - | 5.5 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -29.2% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 5.4 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | MAR@PHI | 6:41 PM | - | 5.4 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -29.5% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.0 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | ORI@MAR | 9:41 PM | - | 4.0 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -47.4% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.0 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | PAD@CAR | 7:46 PM | - | 4.0 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -48.1% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.6 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | RAY@DOD | 10:11 PM | - | 3.6 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -53.0% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.6 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | JAY@SOX | 6:45 PM | - | 3.6 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -53.4% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.5 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | PIR@ATH | 9:41 PM | - | 3.5 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -54.9% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.4 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | ROC@CUB | 8:06 PM | - | 3.4 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -55.8% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.3 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | ANG@DIA | 9:41 PM | - | 3.3 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -56.8% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.2 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | TIG@AST | 8:11 PM | - | 3.2 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -58.1% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 2.8 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | MET@RED | 7:11 PM | - | 2.8 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -63.1% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 2.7 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | GIA@BRA | 7:16 PM | - | 2.7 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -64.4% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 2.4 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | GUA@BRE | 7:41 PM | - | 2.4 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -68.6% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 2.1 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | TWI@RAN | 8:06 PM | - | 2.1 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -73.0% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | TWI@RAN | 8:06 PM | - | 7.9 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | 2.9% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | GUA@BRE | 7:41 PM | - | 7.6 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -1.6% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | GIA@BRA | 7:16 PM | - | 7.3 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -5.7% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | MET@RED | 7:11 PM | - | 7.2 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -7.0% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | TIG@AST | 8:11 PM | - | 6.8 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -12.1% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | ANG@DIA | 9:41 PM | - | 6.7 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -13.4% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | ROC@CUB | 8:06 PM | - | 6.6 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -14.3% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | PIR@ATH | 9:41 PM | - | 6.5 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -15.2% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | RAY@DOD | 10:11 PM | - | 6.4 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -17.1% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | PAD@CAR | 7:46 PM | - | 6.0 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -22.1% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | ORI@MAR | 9:41 PM | - | 6.0 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -22.7% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | JAY@SOX | 6:45 PM | - | 5.7 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -25.8% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | MAR@PHI | 6:41 PM | - | 4.6 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -40.6% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | ROY@NAT | 6:46 PM | - | 4.5 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -40.9% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | SOX@YAN | 7:06 PM | - | 4.4 | -110 | DraftKings -110 | -43.1% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: selected book disagrees | books against us 27% (11 books) — strongly disagree | Run Line | San Francisco Giants +1.5 | GIA@BRA | 7:16 PM | 1.5 | - | -144 | Caesars San Francisco Giants 1.5 -140 | best price | +8.6% | –!✗✓–✓ | ALT / DERISK |
✓ PASS ! WARN ✗ FAIL – N/A | Checks order: Baby Line · Model Edge · Books · Matchup · Role · Game Script