MLB Full Audit Friday, June 12 2026

MARKET TRUST TIERS

17 market(s) with settled tracker history

Market	Trust	Season N	Season WR	Season P&L	14d N	14d WR	14d P&L	Grade A N	Grade A WR	Review-only N
K Prop	✅ TRUSTED	252	56%	-6.83u	45	56%	-0.70u	121	58%	64
Pitcher Hits Allowed	✅ TRUSTED	202	59%	+13.29u	64	58%	+2.01u	2	50%	6
Run Line	✅ TRUSTED	133	53%	-4.85u	30	60%	+1.42u	41	63%	1
Batter Walks	👀 WATCH	323	69%	-12.08u	307	69%	-15.52u	0	-	134
Pitcher Earned Runs	👀 WATCH	75	60%	+3.52u	56	55%	-1.89u	0	-	9
Pitcher Walks	👀 WATCH	63	67%	+6.24u	47	70%	+7.24u	0	-	11
Batter Hits	👀 WATCH	31	84%	+5.61u	11	91%	+3.17u	0	-	23
F5 ML	👀 WATCH	28	48%	+4.54u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-	0
Batter Total Bases	👀 WATCH	27	56%	+0.90u	3	100%	+2.32u	0	-	37
No HR U1.5	👀 WATCH	9	22%	-5.18u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-	0
Moneyline	👀 WATCH	6	50%	+2.85u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-	0
NRFI	👀 WATCH	3	33%	+0.00u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-	0
YRFI	👀 WATCH	2	100%	+0.00u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-	0
Pitcher Outs	🔬 RESEARCH	77	42%	-13.96u	2	50%	-0.23u	1	0%	8
Total	🔬 RESEARCH	46	36%	-11.33u	4	25%	-2.05u	1	100%	7
F5 Total	🔬 RESEARCH	1	0%	-1.00u	1	0%	-1.00u	0	-	6
Batter H+R+RBI	⛔ PAUSED	437	50%	-53.23u	30	67%	+4.41u	62	50%	355

Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from Best/Good settled tracker performance; review-only rows are shown separately.

MARKET PROMOTION CRITERIA

What each market needs to move stages

Market	Current Stage	Next Stage	Progress	Promotion Blockers
K Prop	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	2/4	season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative
Pitcher Hits Allowed	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	4/4	No blocker
Run Line	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	3/4	season P&L non-negative
Batter Walks	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0
Pitcher Earned Runs	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	4/5	14d P&L non-negative
Pitcher Walks	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	5/5	No blocker
Batter Hits	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	3/5	season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0
F5 ML	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0
Batter Total Bases	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0
No HR U1.5	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Moneyline	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0
NRFI	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
YRFI	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Pitcher Outs	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	1/5	season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; 14d WR >= 52%
Total	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	0/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
F5 Total	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	0/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Batter H+R+RBI	⛔ PAUSED	🔬 Research	3/5	diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative

Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.

SAVANT PITCH QUALITY DIAGNOSTICS

28 pitcher(s) with public-data pitch-quality diagnostics

Pitcher	Game	Overall	Whiff	Contact	Arsenal	Top Pitch	Notes / Data Gaps
Jacob Misiorowski	Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies	85.4	94.8	88.5	5	Curveball (48% whiff, 11% usage)	Savant whiff 38.4%, put-away 34.3%, xwOBA 0.238, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Bryce Miller	Seattle Mariners vs Washington Nationals	77.6	62.7	100.0	7	Slider (34% whiff, 16% usage)	Savant whiff 29.3%, put-away 20.4%, xwOBA 0.214, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Spencer Strider	Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets	68.1	70.9	69.5	4	Changeup (52% whiff, 11% usage)	Savant whiff 32.7%, put-away 21.9%, xwOBA 0.276, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Braxton Ashcraft	Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins	65.9	64.9	71.0	5	Curveball (40% whiff, 24% usage)	Savant whiff 27.7%, put-away 25.8%, xwOBA 0.273, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Joe Ryan	Minnesota Twins vs St. Louis Cardinals	58.4	52.8	68.5	6	Sweeper (33% whiff, 14% usage)	Savant whiff 24.8%, put-away 19.5%, xwOBA 0.278, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Landen Roupp	San Francisco Giants vs Chicago Cubs	58.3	55.9	63.5	5	Curveball (39% whiff, 28% usage)	Savant whiff 25.0%, put-away 22.2%, xwOBA 0.288, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Nolan McLean	New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves	56.2	54.8	62.5	6	Curveball (40% whiff, 12% usage)	Savant whiff 24.1%, put-away 22.8%, xwOBA 0.290, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Roki Sasaki	Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago White Sox	54.8	62.6	46.5	3	Slider (43% whiff, 22% usage)	Savant whiff 29.6%, put-away 19.7%, xwOBA 0.322, arsenal coverage 3 pitch type(s)
Shane McClanahan	Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels	54.8	59.1	57.0	4	Changeup (34% whiff, 29% usage)	Savant whiff 26.9%, put-away 21.6%, xwOBA 0.301, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Ryan Weathers	New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays	54.2	63.3	47.0	5	Sweeper (44% whiff, 19% usage)	Savant whiff 27.9%, put-away 23.8%, xwOBA 0.321, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Gage Jump	Athletics vs Colorado Rockies	50.5	40.9	60.5	5	Slider (24% whiff, 24% usage)	Savant whiff 21.7%, put-away 13.8%, xwOBA 0.294, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Griffin Canning	San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles	49.1	56.9	42.5	7	Slider (38% whiff, 23% usage)	Savant whiff 25.5%, put-away 22.2%, xwOBA 0.330, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Jack Flaherty	Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians	49.1	56.5	40.5	5	Curveball (37% whiff, 20% usage)	Savant whiff 27.0%, put-away 18.8%, xwOBA 0.334, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Jack Leiter	Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox	48.9	57.8	40.5	6	Slider (35% whiff, 17% usage)	Savant whiff 26.1%, put-away 21.8%, xwOBA 0.334, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Luinder Avila	Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros	47.8	48.4	45.0	5	Slider (39% whiff, 26% usage)	Savant whiff 23.9%, put-away 16.9%, xwOBA 0.325, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Tanner Bibee	Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers	46.8	53.9	41.0	6	Cutter (37% whiff, 26% usage)	Savant whiff 26.2%, put-away 17.7%, xwOBA 0.333, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Sandy Alcantara	Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates	46.5	41.9	49.0	7	Changeup (31% whiff, 22% usage)	Savant whiff 20.7%, put-away 16.8%, xwOBA 0.317, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Sam Aldegheri	Los Angeles Angels vs Tampa Bay Rays	46.0	43.2	50.5	4	Changeup (40% whiff, 35% usage)	Savant whiff 23.2%, put-away 13.1%, xwOBA 0.314, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Tatsuya Imai	Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals	46.0	57.4	36.5	5	Slider (37% whiff, 45% usage)	Savant whiff 29.0%, put-away 15.8%, xwOBA 0.342, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Andrew Painter	Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers	42.1	43.5	36.5	6	Slider (38% whiff, 20% usage)	Savant whiff 22.3%, put-away 15.3%, xwOBA 0.342, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Shane Baz	Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres	41.3	42.0	41.0	5	Curveball (29% whiff, 34% usage)	Savant whiff 20.3%, put-away 17.7%, xwOBA 0.333, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Sonny Gray	Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers	41.3	41.5	41.0	6	Sweeper (34% whiff, 18% usage)	Savant whiff 21.4%, put-away 14.9%, xwOBA 0.333, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Eduardo Rodriguez	Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds	38.7	40.6	39.5	5	Curveball (24% whiff, 11% usage)	Savant whiff 19.3%, put-away 18.4%, xwOBA 0.336, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Javier Assad	Chicago Cubs vs San Francisco Giants	33.8	26.5	42.0	7	4-Seam Fastball (17% whiff, 14% usage)	Savant whiff 15.1%, put-away 12.7%, xwOBA 0.331, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Anthony Kay	Chicago White Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers	31.7	38.6	21.5	6	Sweeper (29% whiff, 20% usage)	Savant whiff 21.2%, put-away 12.6%, xwOBA 0.372, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Nick Lodolo	Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks	31.7	41.5	12.0	4	Curveball (35% whiff, 26% usage)	Savant whiff 22.2%, put-away 13.3%, xwOBA 0.391, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Kyle Leahy	St. Louis Cardinals vs Minnesota Twins	29.3	44.0	12.5	6	Changeup (43% whiff, 12% usage)	Savant whiff 21.7%, put-away 16.9%, xwOBA 0.390, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Zack Littell	Washington Nationals vs Seattle Mariners	29.1	33.2	21.0	5	Slider (22% whiff, 29% usage)	Savant whiff 16.6%, put-away 16.2%, xwOBA 0.373, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)

Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.

PITCHER ASSESSMENT DIAGNOSTICS

28 starter assessment(s) emitted by Pitcher Engine

Pitcher	Team	Hand	Season K%	Recent IP	Season IP	K IP	Pitch Ct	Leash	Savant	Contact	HR Vuln	Quality	Flags / Notes
Eduardo Rodriguez	Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds	L	18.5%	6.0	6.0	6.0	101	deep	full	39.50	60.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.1%
Gage Jump	Athletics vs Colorado Rockies	L	20.2%	6.0	6.0	5.9	101	deep	full	60.50	39.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Spencer Strider	Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets	R	26.0%	5.2	5.1	5.3	87	normal	full	69.50	30.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Shane Baz	Baltimore Orioles vs San Diego Padres	R	20.4%	6.4	5.9	6.0	107	deep	full	41.00	59.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Sonny Gray	Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers	R	21.9%	5.6	5.1	5.2	94	normal	full	41.00	59.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Javier Assad	Chicago Cubs vs San Francisco Giants	R	18.3%	2.9	10.7	6.4	49	short	full	42.00	58.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 2.9 IP/start
Anthony Kay	Chicago White Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers	L	18.0%	5.2	5.5	5.5	87	normal	full	21.50	78.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.5%
Nick Lodolo	Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks	L	19.7%	5.3	5.4	5.5	89	normal	full	12.00	88.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Tanner Bibee	Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers	R	18.1%	6.2	5.5	5.6	104	deep	full	41.00	59.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.0%
Jack Flaherty	Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians	R	26.9%	4.9	4.4	4.5	82	short	full	40.50	59.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.9 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.4%
Tatsuya Imai	Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals	R	22.6%	5.0	4.3	4.7	84	short	full	36.50	63.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.0 IP/start
Luinder Avila	Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros	R	21.0%	3.6	10.4	6.4	60	short	full	45.00	55.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 3.6 IP/start
Sam Aldegheri	Los Angeles Angels vs Tampa Bay Rays	L	19.5%	2.8	12.0	5.7	47	short	full	50.50	49.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 2.8 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.6%, low-K contact opponent 19.0%
Roki Sasaki	Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago White Sox	R	26.0%	5.8	5.3	6.0	97	normal	full	46.50	53.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 9.5%
Sandy Alcantara	Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates	R	17.7%	6.2	6.4	6.3	104	deep	full	49.00	51.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.0%
Jacob Misiorowski	Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies	R	37.6%	6.8	6.0	6.2	114	deep	full	88.50	11.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Joe Ryan	Minnesota Twins vs St. Louis Cardinals	R	28.3%	6.2	5.4	6.0	104	deep	full	68.50	31.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Nolan McLean	New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves	R	24.6%	5.3	5.5	5.5	89	normal	full	62.50	37.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Ryan Weathers	New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays	L	27.0%	6.1	5.8	6.0	102	deep	full	47.00	53.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	low-K contact opponent 19.5%
Andrew Painter	Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers	R	18.0%	4.9	5.3	5.2	82	short	full	36.50	63.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.9 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 11.1%
Braxton Ashcraft	Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins	R	26.7%	6.1	6.1	6.1	102	deep	full	71.00	29.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Griffin Canning	San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles	R	22.4%	4.5	4.6	4.9	76	short	full	42.50	57.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.5 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.2%
Landen Roupp	San Francisco Giants vs Chicago Cubs	R	24.6%	5.1	5.3	5.3	86	short	full	63.50	36.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.1 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 11.0%
Bryce Miller	Seattle Mariners vs Washington Nationals	R	26.4%	5.3	6.8	6.0	89	normal	full	100.00	0.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Kyle Leahy	St. Louis Cardinals vs Minnesota Twins	R	18.6%	4.8	4.9	4.9	80	short	full	12.50	87.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.8 IP/start
Shane McClanahan	Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels	L	23.6%	5.0	5.0	5.0	84	short	full	57.00	43.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.0 IP/start
Jack Leiter	Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox	R	23.5%	5.5	5.5	5.5	92	normal	full	40.50	59.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Zack Littell	Washington Nationals vs Seattle Mariners	R	17.2%	5.6	7.1	6.7	94	normal	full	21.00	79.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-

Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.

PITCHER OUTS RESEARCH GATE

11/11 candidate(s) held from actionable output

Pitcher	Side	Game	Line	Proj	Gap	Edge / DIFF%	Grade	Rec	Status	Leash	K IP	Pitch Ct	Quality	Gate Reason
Jacob Misiorowski	Jacob Misiorowski Over	Philadelphia Phillies @ Milwaukee Brewers	18.5	22.0	3.5	19.1%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	deep	6.2	114	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Books Disagree: blended market against 40.2% (4 books) \| books against us 0% (4 books) — strongly disagree
Braxton Ashcraft	Braxton Ashcraft Over	Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates	17.5	20.1	2.6	14.6%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	deep	6.1	102	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 14.6% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (4 books) clears, but raw gap +2.56 <= 3 min
Nick Lodolo	Nick Lodolo Under	Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds	17.5	15.0	-2.5	14.2%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	normal	5.5	89	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 14.2% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (3 books) clears, but raw gap -2.48 <= 3 min
Trey Yesavage	Trey Yesavage Under	New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays	17.5	15.4	-2.1	11.9%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	-	-	-	-	Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 11.9% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap -2.08 <= 3 min
Ryan Weathers	Ryan Weathers Over	New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays	17.5	19.4	1.9	10.8%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	deep	6.0	102	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 10.8% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (4 books) clears, but raw gap +1.89 <= 3 min
Sandy Alcantara	Sandy Alcantara Over	Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates	17.5	19.2	1.7	9.8%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	deep	6.3	104	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.8% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (3 books)
Joe Ryan	Joe Ryan Over	St. Louis Cardinals @ Minnesota Twins	17.5	18.5	1.0	5.8%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	deep	6.0	104	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.8% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (3 books)
Eduardo Rodriguez	Eduardo Rodriguez Over	Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cincinnati Reds	17.5	18.4	0.8	4.9%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	deep	6.0	101	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.9% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (4 books)
Jack Leiter	Jack Leiter Under	Texas Rangers @ Boston Red Sox	17.5	16.7	-0.8	4.4%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	normal	5.5	92	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.4% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (4 books)
Tanner Bibee	Tanner Bibee Under	Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians	17.5	17.2	-0.3	1.5%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	deep	5.6	104	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.5% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (4 books)
Nolan McLean	Nolan McLean Under	Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets	17.5	17.3	-0.2	1.3%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	normal	5.5	89	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (4 books)

QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.

FULL AUDIT — ALL CANDIDATES

181 candidates evaluated

← Back to Picks

Grade	Signal	Type	Side	Game	Time (ET)	Line	Proj	Odds	Best Book / Line	Edge/Diff	Checks ✓!✗–	Rec
► BEST PLAYS
A	✅ Best Play K final QC: opposing lineup not confirmed, juiced K over -133, pitch-type boost on 16% usage pitch	K Prop	Bryce Miller Over	MAR@NAT	6:46 PM	4.5	6.7	-133	FanDuel Over 4.5 -122 \| best price	48.4%	✓✓✓✓––	BEST PLAY
► GOOD ADDS
B	🔬 Research Note Heavy juice (-151); break-even ~60%, requires clean execution	K Prop	Shane Baz Under	PAD@ORI	7:06 PM	5.5	4.5	-151	FanDuel Under 5.5 -144 \| best price	18.5%	✓✓!✓––	GOOD ADD
B	👀 Watch	Batter Total Bas	Byron Buxton Over	CAR@TWI	8:11 PM	1.5	2.7	-114	DK Over 1.5 -114 \| exact	80.9%	✓✓✓–––	GOOD ADD
► ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: blended market against 46.2% (4 books) \| books against us 0% (4 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	K Prop	Zack Littell Over	MAR@NAT	6:46 PM	3.5	5.0	+106	DK Over 3.5 +106 \| exact	41.5%	✓✓✗✓––	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: blended market against 49.5% (3 books) \| books against us 0% (3 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	K Prop	Jacob Misiorowski Over	PHI@BRE	7:41 PM	8.5	10.5	-117	FanDuel Over 8.5 -104 \| best price	23.3%	✓✓✗✓––	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: blended market against 44.4% (2 books) \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree — posture note…	K Prop	Ryan Weathers Over	YAN@JAY	7:37 PM	5.5	6.7	+109	Fanatics Over 5.5 +115 \| best price	22.0%	✓✓✗✓––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: blended market against 48.7% (3 books) \| books against us 0% (3 books) — strongly disagree	K Prop	Luinder Avila Over	AST@ROY	8:11 PM	3.5	5.9	-106	FanDuel Over 3.5 -104 \| best price	67.4%	✓✓✗!––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.4% vs 17% min using blended line 5 (4 books) — posture note at D	K Prop	Jack Leiter Over	RAN@SOX	7:11 PM	4.5	5.7	-146	DK Over 4.5 -146 \| exact	26.0%	✓✗✗✓––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 19.4% vs 17% min using blended line 3.5 (3 books) clears, but raw gap -0.68 <= 1 min — posture note at D	K Prop	Javier Assad Under	CUB@GIA	10:16 PM	3.5	2.8	-144	FanDuel Under 3.5 -144 \| best price	19.3%	✓✗!✓––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 18.4% vs 17% min using blended line 4.5 (3 books) clears, but raw gap -0.83 <= 1 min — posture note at D	K Prop	Nick Lodolo Under	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	4.5	3.7	-101	DK Under 4.5 -101 \| exact	18.4%	✓✗!!––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 17.7% vs 17% min using blended line 3.5 (3 books) clears, but raw gap -0.62 <= 1 min — posture note at D	K Prop	Samuel Aldegheri Under	RAY@ANG	9:39 PM	3.5	2.9	-153	FanDuel Under 3.5 -150 \| best price	17.8%	✓✗!!––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.9% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Braxton Ashcraft Over	MAR@PIR	6:41 PM	5.5	6.3	-116	DK Over 5.5 -116 \| exact	13.9%	✓✗!✓––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.7% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Trey Yesavage Over	YAN@JAY	7:37 PM	5.5	6.3	-148	DK Over 5.5 -148 \| exact	13.7%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.9% vs 17% min using blended line 5.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	K Prop	Sonny Gray Under	RAN@SOX	7:11 PM	5.5	4.8	-137	DK Under 5.5 -137 \| exact	12.9%	✓✗!✓––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 17% min using blended line 5.5 (4 books) — posture note at D	K Prop	Eduardo Rodriguez Under	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	5.5	5.1	-134	FanDuel Under 5.5 -128 \| best price	8.1%	✓✗!!––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.8% vs 17% min using blended line 4.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	K Prop	Sandy Alcantara Over	MAR@PIR	6:41 PM	4.5	4.8	+104	DK Over 4.5 +104 \| exact	7.8%	✓✗✗!––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.6% vs 17% min using blended line 5.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	K Prop	Tanner Bibee Under	TIG@GUA	7:11 PM	5.5	5.1	-160	FanDuel Under 5.5 -160 \| best price	7.6%	✓✗!!––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.2% vs 17% min using blended line 5.25 (4 books) — posture note at D	K Prop	Jack Flaherty Under	TIG@GUA	7:11 PM	5.5	5.1	-159	FanDuel Under 5.5 -158 \| best price	7.5%	✓✗!✓––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.3% vs 17% min using selected line 5.5 — posture note at D	K Prop	Nolan McLean Under	BRA@MET	7:15 PM	5.5	5.2	+119	DK Under 5.5 +119 \| exact	6.3%	✓✗!!––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.8% vs 17% min using blended line 6.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	K Prop	Joe Ryan Under	CAR@TWI	8:11 PM	6.5	6.3	-153	DK Under 6.5 -153 \| exact	2.8%	✓✗!✓––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.7% vs 17% min using blended line 4.5 (4 books) — posture note at D	K Prop	Griffin Canning Over	PAD@ORI	7:06 PM	4.5	4.5	-105	FanDuel Over 4.5 -105 \| best price	0.7%	✓✗✗✓––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.3% vs 17% min using blended line 6.5 (4 books) — posture note at D	K Prop	Shane McClanahan Over	RAY@ANG	9:39 PM	6.5	6.5	+102	Fanatics Over 6.5 +115 \| best price	0.4%	✓✗✗✓––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: blended market against 40.2% (4 books) \| books against us 0% (4 books) — strongly disagree	Pitcher Outs	Jacob Misiorowski Over	PHI@BRE	7:41 PM	18.5	22.0	+130	Fanatics Over 18.5 +135 \| best price	19.1%	✓✓✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 14.6% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (4 books) clears, but raw gap +2.56 <= 3 min — posture note at…	Pitcher Outs	Braxton Ashcraft Over	MAR@PIR	6:41 PM	17.5	20.1	-160	DK Over 17.5 -160 \| exact	14.6%	✓✗✓––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 14.2% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (3 books) clears, but raw gap -2.48 <= 3 min — posture note at…	Pitcher Outs	Nick Lodolo Under	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	17.5	15.0	-111	DK Under 17.5 -111 \| exact	14.2%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 11.9% vs 10% min using selected line 17.5 clears, but raw gap -2.08 <= 3 min — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Trey Yesavage Under	YAN@JAY	7:37 PM	17.5	15.4	-124	DK Under 17.5 -124 \| exact	11.9%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 10.8% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (4 books) clears, but raw gap +1.89 <= 3 min — posture note at…	Pitcher Outs	Ryan Weathers Over	YAN@JAY	7:37 PM	17.5	19.4	-121	DK Over 17.5 -121 \| exact	10.8%	✓✗✓––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.8% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Sandy Alcantara Over	MAR@PIR	6:41 PM	17.5	19.2	-166	Bovada Direct Over 17.5 -165 \| best price	9.8%	✓✗✓––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.8% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Joe Ryan Over	CAR@TWI	8:11 PM	17.5	18.5	-172	Bovada Direct Over 17.5 -170 \| best price	5.8%	✓✗✓–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.9% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (4 books) — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Eduardo Rodriguez Over	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	17.5	18.4	-117	DK Over 17.5 -117 \| exact	4.9%	✓✗✓––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.4% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (4 books) — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Jack Leiter Under	RAN@SOX	7:11 PM	17.5	16.7	+102	Caesars Under 17.5 +103 \| best price	4.4%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.5% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (4 books) — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Tanner Bibee Under	TIG@GUA	7:11 PM	17.5	17.2	-122	Fanatics Under 17.5 -120 \| best price	1.5%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (4 books) — posture note at D	Pitcher Outs	Nolan McLean Under	BRA@MET	7:15 PM	17.5	17.3	-113	Fanatics Under 17.5 +100 \| best price	1.3%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	Batter Hits	Corey Seager Under	RAN@SOX	7:11 PM	1.5	0.8	-271	DK Under 1.5 -271 \| exact	44.0%	✓!!–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	Batter Hits	Bo Bichette Under	BRA@MET	7:15 PM	1.5	0.8	-266	DK Under 1.5 -266 \| exact	43.9%	✓!!–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.08x)	Batter Hits	Gabriel Moreno Under	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	1.5	0.8	-267	DK Under 1.5 -267 \| exact	43.6%	✓!!––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Hits	Jeremy Pena Under	AST@ROY	8:11 PM	1.5	0.9	-213	DK Under 1.5 -213 \| exact	43.0%	✓!!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 41.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Jake Mangum Under	MAR@PIR	6:41 PM	1.5	0.9	-271	DK Under 1.5 -271 \| exact	41.8%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 39.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Bryan Reynolds Under	MAR@PIR	6:41 PM	1.5	0.9	-247	DK Under 1.5 -247 \| exact	39.0%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Chandler Simpson Under	RAY@ANG	9:39 PM	1.5	1.0	-252	DK Under 1.5 -252 \| exact	35.6%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Spencer Horwitz Under	MAR@PIR	6:41 PM	1.5	1.0	-251	DK Under 1.5 -251 \| exact	35.3%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.9% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Gunnar Henderson Under	PAD@ORI	7:06 PM	1.5	1.0	-272	DK Under 1.5 -272 \| exact	33.9%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Junior Caminero Under	RAY@ANG	9:39 PM	1.5	1.0	-231	DK Under 1.5 -231 \| exact	30.6%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Cole Young Under	MAR@NAT	6:46 PM	1.5	1.1	-223	DK Under 1.5 -223 \| exact	29.6%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Alec Burleson Under	CAR@TWI	8:11 PM	1.5	1.1	-260	DK Under 1.5 -260 \| exact	29.6%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Josh Naylor Under	MAR@NAT	6:46 PM	1.5	1.1	-223	DK Under 1.5 -223 \| exact	27.1%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Ildemaro Vargas Under	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	1.5	1.2	-263	DK Under 1.5 -263 \| exact	22.2%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Fernando Tatis Jr. Under	PAD@ORI	7:06 PM	1.5	1.2	-224	Fanatics Under 1.5 -190 \| best price	21.6%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.1% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Otto Lopez Under	MAR@PIR	6:41 PM	1.5	1.2	-201	DK Under 1.5 -201 \| exact	21.1%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Yordan Alvarez Under	AST@ROY	8:11 PM	1.5	1.2	-247	DK Under 1.5 -247 \| exact	19.8%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.5% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Julio Rodriguez Under	MAR@NAT	6:46 PM	1.5	1.2	-196	DK Under 1.5 -196 \| exact	19.5%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.0% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Byron Buxton Under	CAR@TWI	8:11 PM	1.5	1.2	-249	DK Under 1.5 -249 \| exact	19.0%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Ketel Marte Under	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	1.5	1.2	-202	DK Under 1.5 -202 \| exact	18.3%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Yandy Diaz Under	RAY@ANG	9:39 PM	1.5	1.3	-165	DK Under 1.5 -165 \| exact	14.3%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.3% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Luis Arraez Under	CUB@GIA	10:16 PM	1.5	1.4	-236	DK Under 1.5 -236 \| exact	10.3%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.6% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Hits	Jung Hoo Lee Under	CUB@GIA	10:16 PM	1.5	1.4	-266	DK Under 1.5 -266 \| exact	9.6%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 68.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Corbin Carroll Over	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	1.5	2.5	+102	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 \| best price	68.9%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 68.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Yordan Alvarez Over	AST@ROY	8:11 PM	1.5	2.5	-111	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -110 \| best price	68.7%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 50.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ben Rice Over	YAN@JAY	7:37 PM	1.5	2.3	+113	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	50.5%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 49.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ketel Marte Over	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	1.5	2.2	-127	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -125 \| best price	49.5%	✓✗✓––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 49.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Noelvi Marte Over	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	1.5	2.2	+147	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +150 \| best price	49.5%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 45.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Casey Schmitt Over	CUB@GIA	10:16 PM	1.5	2.2	+112	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	45.6%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 44.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Dillon Dingler Over	TIG@GUA	7:11 PM	1.5	2.2	+111	DK Over 1.5 +111 \| exact	43.8%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 40.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Yandy Diaz Over	RAY@ANG	9:39 PM	1.5	2.1	-129	Caesars Over 1.5 -127 \| best price	40.3%	✓✗✓–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Matt Olson Over	BRA@MET	7:15 PM	1.5	2.0	+130	DK Over 1.5 +130 \| exact	33.9%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Willson Contreras Over	RAN@SOX	7:11 PM	1.5	2.0	+134	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 \| best price	33.7%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jordan Walker Over	CAR@TWI	8:11 PM	1.5	2.0	+132	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 \| best price	33.2%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Kody Clemens Over	CAR@TWI	8:11 PM	1.5	2.0	+114	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	30.5%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 28.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Bobby Witt Jr. Over	AST@ROY	8:11 PM	1.5	1.9	+102	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 \| best price	28.3%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Christian Walker Over	AST@ROY	8:11 PM	1.5	1.9	+118	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	27.3%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Chandler Simpson Under	RAY@ANG	9:39 PM	1.5	1.1	-170	Caesars Under 1.5 -162 \| best price	26.7%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Riley Greene Over	TIG@GUA	7:11 PM	1.5	1.9	+120	Caesars Over 1.5 +122 \| best price	26.3%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ildemaro Vargas Over	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	1.5	1.9	+117	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	25.6%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Josh Jung Over	RAN@SOX	7:11 PM	1.5	1.9	+119	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	25.1%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Brice Turang Over	PHI@BRE	7:41 PM	1.5	1.9	+129	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 \| best price	24.1%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jung Hoo Lee Over	CUB@GIA	10:16 PM	1.5	1.8	+121	DK Over 1.5 +121 \| exact	22.7%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Juan Soto Over	BRA@MET	7:15 PM	1.5	1.8	+115	DK Over 1.5 +115 \| exact	22.1%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Gunnar Henderson Over	PAD@ORI	7:06 PM	1.5	1.8	+100	Caesars Over 1.5 +101 \| best price	21.5%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (4 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Luis Arraez Over	CUB@GIA	10:16 PM	1.5	1.8	+116	Caesars Over 1.5 +119 \| best price	21.1%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Sal Stewart Over	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	1.5	1.8	+123	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	20.8%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (4 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Bo Bichette Under	BRA@MET	7:15 PM	1.5	1.2	-152	Caesars Under 1.5 -143 \| best price	20.7%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Junior Caminero Over	RAY@ANG	9:39 PM	1.5	1.8	-104	DK Over 1.5 -104 \| exact	20.5%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Alex Bregman Under	CUB@GIA	10:16 PM	1.5	1.2	-180	DK Under 1.5 -180 \| exact	20.0%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Manny Machado Under	PAD@ORI	7:06 PM	1.5	1.2	-184	Caesars Under 1.5 -176 \| best price	19.3%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Brandon Nimmo Over	RAN@SOX	7:11 PM	1.5	1.8	+121	DK Over 1.5 +121 \| exact	18.9%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Alec Burleson Over	CAR@TWI	8:11 PM	1.5	1.8	+105	DK Over 1.5 +105 \| exact	16.8%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ernie Clement Over	YAN@JAY	7:37 PM	1.5	1.7	+124	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	15.7%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Wilyer Abreu Over	RAN@SOX	7:11 PM	1.5	1.7	+117	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	15.1%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Taylor Ward Under	PAD@ORI	7:06 PM	1.5	1.3	-178	Caesars Under 1.5 -176 \| best price	15.0%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	William Contreras Over	PHI@BRE	7:41 PM	1.5	1.7	+129	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 \| best price	14.6%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Kevin McGonigle Over	TIG@GUA	7:11 PM	1.5	1.7	+129	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 \| best price	14.3%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Pete Alonso Over	PAD@ORI	7:06 PM	1.5	1.7	+126	DK Over 1.5 +126 \| exact	14.3%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Nico Hoerner Under	CUB@GIA	10:16 PM	1.5	1.3	-193	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -190 \| best price	13.8%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Dominic Smith Under	BRA@MET	7:15 PM	1.5	1.3	-198	Caesars Under 1.5 -182 \| best price	13.7%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Brooks Lee Over	CAR@TWI	8:11 PM	1.5	1.7	+130	Caesars Over 1.5 +131 \| best price	13.3%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Cody Bellinger Over	YAN@JAY	7:37 PM	1.5	1.7	+141	DK Over 1.5 +141 \| exact	13.1%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Salvador Perez Under	AST@ROY	8:11 PM	1.5	1.3	-174	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -170 \| best price	13.0%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jackson Merrill Under	PAD@ORI	7:06 PM	1.5	1.3	-161	Caesars Under 1.5 -150 \| best price	12.6%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Spencer Steer Over	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	1.5	1.7	+125	DK Over 1.5 +125 \| exact	12.1%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Michael Harris II Over	BRA@MET	7:15 PM	1.5	1.7	+115	DK Over 1.5 +115 \| exact	12.0%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Rafael Devers Over	CUB@GIA	10:16 PM	1.5	1.7	+126	DK Over 1.5 +126 \| exact	11.7%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Seiya Suzuki Under	CUB@GIA	10:16 PM	1.5	1.3	-200	DK Under 1.5 -200 \| exact	11.2%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jo Adell Under	RAY@ANG	9:39 PM	1.5	1.3	-185	Caesars Under 1.5 -173 \| best price	10.4%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Geraldo Perdomo Under	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	1.5	1.4	-205	DK Under 1.5 -205 \| exact	10.1%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.0% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ivan Herrera Under	CAR@TWI	8:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-177	DK Under 1.5 -177 \| exact	10.0%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	JJ Wetherholt Under	CAR@TWI	8:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-155	Caesars Under 1.5 -154 \| best price	10.0%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Isaac Paredes Under	AST@ROY	8:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-184	Caesars Under 1.5 -170 \| best price	9.3%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jose Ramirez Over	TIG@GUA	7:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+122	DK Over 1.5 +122 \| exact	8.5%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under	YAN@JAY	7:37 PM	1.5	1.4	-160	DK Under 1.5 -160 \| exact	8.4%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.7% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Trent Grisham Under	YAN@JAY	7:37 PM	1.5	1.4	-181	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -180 \| best price	7.7%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Nolan Arenado Over	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	1.5	1.6	+121	Caesars Over 1.5 +121 \| best price	7.1%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	George Springer Over	YAN@JAY	7:37 PM	1.5	1.6	+138	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 \| best price	6.3%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.2% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jonathan Aranda Over	RAY@ANG	9:39 PM	1.5	1.6	+139	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 \| best price	5.2%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ozzie Albies Over	BRA@MET	7:15 PM	1.5	1.6	+125	DK Over 1.5 +125 \| exact	4.8%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Josh Bell Over	CAR@TWI	8:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+147	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +150 \| best price	4.4%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Fernando Tatis Jr. Under	PAD@ORI	7:06 PM	1.5	1.4	-134	Caesars Under 1.5 -121 \| best price	4.3%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ben Williamson Over	RAY@ANG	9:39 PM	1.5	1.6	+140	Caesars Over 1.5 +140 \| best price	3.5%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ceddanne Rafaela Over	RAN@SOX	7:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+119	Caesars Over 1.5 +122 \| best price	3.1%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jeremy Pena Over	AST@ROY	8:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+100	DK Over 1.5 +100 \| exact	2.9%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jose Altuve Over	AST@ROY	8:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+134	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 \| best price	2.9%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jackson Chourio Over	PHI@BRE	7:41 PM	1.5	1.5	+105	DK Over 1.5 +105 \| exact	2.9%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Christian Yelich Over	PHI@BRE	7:41 PM	1.5	1.5	+124	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	2.9%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Jarren Duran Over	RAN@SOX	7:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+103	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 \| best price	2.7%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Mauricio Dubon Under	BRA@MET	7:15 PM	1.5	1.5	-201	Caesars Under 1.5 -193 \| best price	2.2%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (4 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	JJ Bleday Over	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	1.5	1.5	+121	DK Over 1.5 +121 \| exact	1.7%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Dane Myers Over	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	1.5	1.5	+124	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	1.7%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Ryan Waldschmidt Over	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	1.5	1.5	+138	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 \| best price	1.7%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Gabriel Moreno Over	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	1.5	1.5	+107	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +110 \| best price	1.7%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Travis Bazzana Over	TIG@GUA	7:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+143	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +145 \| best price	1.6%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Kerry Carpenter Over	TIG@GUA	7:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+122	DK Over 1.5 +122 \| exact	1.6%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Maikel Garcia Under	AST@ROY	8:11 PM	1.5	1.5	-193	Caesars Under 1.5 -182 \| best price	1.6%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Pete Crow-Armstrong Under	CUB@GIA	10:16 PM	1.5	1.5	-157	Caesars Under 1.5 -150 \| best price	1.5%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Chase DeLauter Under	TIG@GUA	7:11 PM	1.5	1.5	-178	DK Under 1.5 -178 \| exact	1.3%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Isiah Kiner-Falefa Over	RAN@SOX	7:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+156	Caesars Over 1.5 +157 \| best price	1.1%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.1% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Mickey Gasper Over	RAN@SOX	7:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+150	DK Over 1.5 +150 \| exact	1.1%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Wyatt Langford Over	RAN@SOX	7:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+118	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	1.1%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Corey Seager Over	RAN@SOX	7:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+103	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 \| best price	1.1%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Zach Neto Over	RAY@ANG	9:39 PM	1.5	1.5	+140	DK Over 1.5 +140 \| exact	0.6%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D	Batter Total Bas	Mike Trout Over	RAY@ANG	9:39 PM	1.5	1.5	+137	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 \| best price	0.4%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Projection is above blended line 1.5 (3 books): market gap +0.00; blended market flips the selected Under edge —…	Batter Total Bas	Adley Rutschman Under	PAD@ORI	7:06 PM	1.5	1.5	-178	Caesars Under 1.5 -170 \| best price	0.1%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Projection is above blended line 1.5 (3 books): market gap +0.00; blended market flips the selected Under edge —…	Batter Total Bas	Miguel Andujar Under	PAD@ORI	7:06 PM	1.5	1.5	-205	Caesars Under 1.5 -200 \| best price	0.1%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Projection is above blended line 1.5 (3 books): market gap +0.00; blended market flips the selected Under edge —…	Batter Total Bas	Samuel Basallo Under	PAD@ORI	7:06 PM	1.5	1.5	-161	Caesars Under 1.5 -157 \| best price	0.1%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk High Total edge 42% (≥25%) — verify model inputs / check line movement	Total	Under 13.5	ROC@ATH	10:06 PM	13.5	-	-107	LowVig Under 13.5 -102 \| best price	+42.0%	–✓––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk High F5 edge 38% (≥18%) — verify model inputs / check line movement	F5 Total	Under 8.0	ROC@ATH	10:06 PM	8.0	-	-120	BetOnline Under 8 -120 \| exact	+37.7%	–✓––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	F5 Total	Under 5.5	PAD@ORI	7:06 PM	5.5	-	-140	FanDuel Under 5.5 -140 \| exact	+12.2%	–✓!––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	F5 Total	Under 5.5	AST@ROY	8:11 PM	5.5	-	-146	FanDuel Under 5.5 -146 \| exact	+8.2%	–✓!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 5.6 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D	NRFI	NRFI	CAR@TWI	8:11 PM	-	5.6	+102	DraftKings +102	+14.7%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 5.8 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D	NRFI	NRFI	MAR@PIR	6:41 PM	-	5.8	-122	DraftKings -122	+12.3%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 5.4 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D	NRFI	NRFI	CUB@GIA	10:16 PM	-	5.4	-128	DraftKings -128	+5.8%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.8 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D	NRFI	NRFI	MAR@NAT	6:46 PM	-	4.8	-102	DraftKings -102	+4.5%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.4 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D	NRFI	NRFI	ROC@ATH	10:06 PM	-	3.4	+170	DraftKings +170	+1.9%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.9 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D	NRFI	NRFI	BRA@MET	7:15 PM	-	4.9	-120	DraftKings -120	+1.9%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.9 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D	NRFI	NRFI	PAD@ORI	7:06 PM	-	3.9	+104	DraftKings +104	-4.4%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.3 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D	NRFI	NRFI	RAN@SOX	7:11 PM	-	4.3	-120	DraftKings -120	-4.5%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.1 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D	NRFI	NRFI	RAY@ANG	9:39 PM	-	4.1	-113	DraftKings -113	-5.7%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.2 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D	NRFI	NRFI	PHI@BRE	7:41 PM	-	4.2	-130	DraftKings -130	-8.3%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.5 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D	NRFI	NRFI	AST@ROY	8:11 PM	-	3.5	+102	DraftKings +102	-8.8%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.7 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D	NRFI	NRFI	DOD@SOX	7:41 PM	-	3.7	-106	DraftKings -106	-9.4%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.4 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D	NRFI	NRFI	YAN@JAY	7:37 PM	-	3.4	-115	DraftKings -115	-14.6%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.5 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D	NRFI	NRFI	TIG@GUA	7:11 PM	-	3.5	-125	DraftKings -125	-15.7%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 2.4 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D	NRFI	NRFI	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	-	2.4	+100	DraftKings +100	-20.0%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 29% (≥20%) — verify model inputs	YRFI	YRFI	DIA@RED	7:16 PM	-	7.6	-128	DraftKings -128	+28.9%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 25% (≥20%) — verify model inputs	YRFI	YRFI	TIG@GUA	7:11 PM	-	6.5	-102	DraftKings -102	+24.6%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	DOD@SOX	7:41 PM	-	6.3	-120	DraftKings -120	+18.4%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	AST@ROY	8:11 PM	-	6.5	-130	DraftKings -130	+17.8%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	PHI@BRE	7:41 PM	-	5.8	+100	DraftKings +100	+16.8%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	YAN@JAY	7:37 PM	-	5.9	-115	DraftKings -115	+14.6%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	RAY@ANG	9:39 PM	-	5.9	-113	DraftKings -113	+14.6%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	RAN@SOX	7:11 PM	-	5.7	-106	DraftKings -106	+13.5%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	PAD@ORI	7:06 PM	-	6.1	-132	DraftKings -132	+13.5%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	BRA@MET	7:15 PM	-	5.1	-110	DraftKings -110	+6.2%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	MAR@NAT	6:46 PM	-	5.2	-125	DraftKings -125	+4.5%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	CUB@GIA	10:16 PM	-	4.6	+100	DraftKings +100	+3.0%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	ROC@ATH	10:06 PM	-	5.9	-210	DraftKings -210	+0.2%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	MAR@PIR	6:41 PM	-	4.2	-104	DraftKings -104	-3.3%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	CAR@TWI	8:11 PM	-	4.4	-130	DraftKings -130	-5.7%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
► MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: diff_pct 17.6% vs 17% min using blended line 5.5 (3 books) clears, but raw gap +0.97 <= 1 min — posture note at D	K Prop	Spencer Strider Over	BRA@MET	7:15 PM	5.5	6.5	-140	Fanatics Over 5.5 -120 \| best price	17.7%	✓✗✓✓––	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.0% vs 17% min using blended line 3.5 (4 books) — posture note at D	K Prop	Kyle Leahy Over	CAR@TWI	8:11 PM	3.5	4.1	-161	FanDuel Over 3.5 -152 \| best price	16.0%	✓✗✓✓––	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.9% vs 17% min using blended line 4.5 (4 books) — posture note at D	K Prop	Tatsuya Imai Over	AST@ROY	8:11 PM	4.5	5.2	-132	FanDuel Over 4.5 -122 \| best price	14.8%	✓✗✓✓––	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.6% vs 17% min using blended line 3.5 (4 books) — posture note at D	K Prop	Andrew Painter Over	PHI@BRE	7:41 PM	3.5	3.9	-156	FanDuel Over 3.5 -138 \| best price	12.6%	✓✗✓✓––	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.8% vs 17% min using blended line 4.5 (4 books) — posture note at D	K Prop	Landen Roupp Over	CUB@GIA	10:16 PM	4.5	4.8	-160	Fanatics Over 4.5 -160 \| best price	7.8%	✓✗✓✓––	MONITOR

✓ PASS ! WARN ✗ FAIL – N/A | Checks order: Baby Line · Model Edge · Books · Matchup · Role · Game Script