| Market | Trust | Season N | Season WR | Season P&L | 14d N | 14d WR | 14d P&L | Grade A N | Grade A WR | Review-only N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | 246 | 56% | -4.55u | 42 | 62% | +3.57u | 119 | 59% | 64 |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | 198 | 59% | +11.87u | 63 | 57% | +1.60u | 2 | 50% | 6 |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | 132 | 54% | -3.85u | 30 | 60% | +1.42u | 41 | 63% | 1 |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | 283 | 68% | -15.40u | 271 | 68% | -19.41u | 0 | - | 134 |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | 71 | 63% | +7.52u | 55 | 62% | +4.16u | 0 | - | 9 |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | 55 | 67% | +6.21u | 41 | 68% | +5.21u | 0 | - | 11 |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | 29 | 86% | +6.12u | 13 | 92% | +3.92u | 0 | - | 23 |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | 28 | 48% | +4.54u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | 27 | 56% | +0.90u | 4 | 100% | +3.00u | 0 | - | 37 |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | 9 | 22% | -5.18u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | 6 | 50% | +2.85u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | 3 | 33% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | 2 | 100% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - | 0 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 77 | 42% | -13.96u | 2 | 50% | -0.23u | 1 | 0% | 8 |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 46 | 36% | -11.33u | 4 | 25% | -2.05u | 1 | 100% | 7 |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 1 | 0% | -1.00u | 1 | 0% | -1.00u | 0 | - | 6 |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 429 | 50% | -55.66u | 22 | 64% | +1.97u | 60 | 48% | 355 |
Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from Best/Good settled tracker performance; review-only rows are shown separately.
| Market | Current Stage | Next Stage | Progress | Promotion Blockers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 3/4 | season P&L non-negative |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 4/4 | No blocker |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 3/4 | season P&L non-negative |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 5/5 | No blocker |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 5/5 | No blocker |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 3/5 | season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% or Grade B sample >= 50, WR >= 55%, P&L > 0 |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 1/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; 14d WR >= 52% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 0/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 0/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 🔬 Research | 3/5 | diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative |
Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.
| Pitcher | Game | Overall | Whiff | Contact | Arsenal | Top Pitch | Notes / Data Gaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo | Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles | 60.9 | 53.2 | 71.5 | 5 | Sweeper (38% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 24.7%, put-away 20.0%, xwOBA 0.272, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Tyler Phillips | Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks | 54.5 | 58.1 | 52.5 | 5 | Curveball (50% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 27.6%, put-away 19.2%, xwOBA 0.310, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Zebby Matthews | Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers | 51.6 | 46.2 | 58.5 | 6 | Curveball (40% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 22.6%, put-away 17.4%, xwOBA 0.298, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Kyle Bradish | Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners | 50.5 | 52.4 | 48.5 | 4 | Curveball (42% whiff, 22% usage) | Savant whiff 24.2%, put-away 20.4%, xwOBA 0.318, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Edward Cabrera | Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies | 48.5 | 56.2 | 39.5 | 5 | Slider (45% whiff, 12% usage) | Savant whiff 27.2%, put-away 18.1%, xwOBA 0.336, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Michael Wacha | Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers | 48.3 | 51.9 | 46.5 | 6 | Changeup (34% whiff, 23% usage) | Savant whiff 23.8%, put-away 20.5%, xwOBA 0.322, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Christian Scott | New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals | 47.1 | 46.4 | 48.0 | 6 | Sweeper (33% whiff, 24% usage) | Savant whiff 22.0%, put-away 18.6%, xwOBA 0.319, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Martín Pérez | Atlanta Braves vs Chicago White Sox | 45.1 | 42.0 | 49.0 | 5 | Changeup (32% whiff, 33% usage) | Savant whiff 20.5%, put-away 17.3%, xwOBA 0.317, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Keider Montero | Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins | 43.4 | 33.7 | 54.0 | 5 | Slider (26% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 16.8%, put-away 16.5%, xwOBA 0.307, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Kumar Rocker | Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals | 42.7 | 44.6 | 40.0 | 5 | Slider (34% whiff, 38% usage) | Savant whiff 22.7%, put-away 15.6%, xwOBA 0.335, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Mitch Keller | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers | 41.8 | 42.6 | 41.0 | 7 | Changeup (26% whiff, 11% usage) | Savant whiff 21.3%, put-away 16.4%, xwOBA 0.333, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Justin Wrobleski | Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates | 41.5 | 31.4 | 52.5 | 7 | 4-Seam Fastball (20% whiff, 51% usage) | Savant whiff 16.9%, put-away 13.9%, xwOBA 0.310, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Hunter Dobbins | St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets | 38.9 | 55.9 | 29.0 | 6 | Curveball (44% whiff, 11% usage) | Savant whiff 24.2%, put-away 23.8%, xwOBA 0.357, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Ryan Feltner | Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs | 36.6 | 49.7 | 24.0 | 6 | Changeup (56% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 24.1%, put-away 17.8%, xwOBA 0.367, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Merrill Kelly | Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins | 23.5 | 42.4 | 0.5 | 6 | Slider (39% whiff, 13% usage) | Savant whiff 22.5%, put-away 13.7%, xwOBA 0.414, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.
| Pitcher | Team | Hand | Season K% | Recent IP | Season IP | K IP | Pitch Ct | Leash | Savant | Contact | HR Vuln | Quality | Flags / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrill Kelly | Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins | R | 14.9% | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 97 | normal | full | 0.50 | 99.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Martín Pérez | Atlanta Braves vs Chicago White Sox | L | 22.2% | 4.2 | 6.2 | 5.8 | 70 | short | full | 49.00 | 51.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.2 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.5% |
| Kyle Bradish | Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners | R | 21.5% | 5.6 | 5.3 | 5.4 | 94 | normal | full | 48.50 | 51.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Edward Cabrera | Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies | R | 21.7% | 3.7 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 62 | short | full | 39.50 | 60.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 3.7 IP/start |
| Ryan Feltner | Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs | R | 19.9% | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 77 | short | full | 24.00 | 76.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.6 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 11.0% |
| Keider Montero | Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins | R | 16.8% | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 92 | normal | full | 54.00 | 46.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Michael Wacha | Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers | R | 20.2% | 5.8 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 97 | normal | full | 46.50 | 53.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Justin Wrobleski | Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates | L | 18.8% | 6.4 | 6.8 | 6.7 | 107 | deep | full | 52.50 | 47.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.1% |
| Tyler Phillips | Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks | R | 19.6% | 4.1 | 21.6 | 8.0 | 69 | short | full | 52.50 | 47.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.1 IP/start |
| Zebby Matthews | Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers | R | 21.3% | 5.8 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 97 | normal | full | 58.50 | 41.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.0% |
| Christian Scott | New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals | R | 24.5% | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 79 | short | full | 48.00 | 52.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.7 IP/start |
| Mitch Keller | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers | R | 17.9% | 4.9 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 82 | short | full | 41.00 | 59.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.9 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.4% |
| Bryan Woo | Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles | R | 26.8% | 5.9 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 99 | normal | full | 71.50 | 28.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.2% |
| Hunter Dobbins | St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets | R | 24.1% | 4.1 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 69 | short | full | 29.00 | 71.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.1 IP/start |
| Kumar Rocker | Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals | R | 19.3% | 5.6 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 94 | normal | full | 40.00 | 60.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.
| Pitcher | Side | Game | Line | Proj | Gap | Edge / DIFF% | Grade | Rec | Status | Leash | K IP | Pitch Ct | Quality | Gate Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Wrobleski | Justin Wrobleski Over | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | 17.5 | 20.1 | 2.6 | 15.0% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | deep | 6.7 | 107 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 15.0% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (8 books) clears, but raw gap +2.63 <= 3 min |
| Kyle Bradish | Kyle Bradish Under | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | 17.5 | 16.2 | -1.3 | 7.3% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.4 | 94 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.2% vs 10% min using blended line 17.12 (8 books) |
QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.
| Player | Game | Research Side | Component Proj | H | R | RBI | Current | Uncertainty | Support | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Pages | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 2.99 | 1.18 | 0.83 | 0.98 | 2.76 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=67,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox | Over 1.5 | 2.84 | 1.12 | 0.80 | 0.92 | 2.62 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=68,exact_hrr_l10,lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Brandon Lowe | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 2.75 | 1.03 | 0.92 | 0.80 | 2.61 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Nick Gonzales | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 2.62 | 1.23 | 0.80 | 0.59 | 2.30 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Bryan Reynolds | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 2.60 | 0.99 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 2.36 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=68,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Miguel Vargas | Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox | Over 1.5 | 2.56 | 0.93 | 0.82 | 0.81 | 2.61 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=66,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox | Over 1.5 | 2.46 | 1.20 | 0.60 | 0.66 | 2.31 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox | Over 1.5 | 2.45 | 1.11 | 0.69 | 0.65 | 2.28 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=68,exact_hrr_l10,lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Randy Arozarena | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 2.41 | 1.13 | 0.71 | 0.57 | 2.34 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=69,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Julio Rodriguez | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 2.40 | 1.31 | 0.59 | 0.49 | 2.17 / Over | 0.64 | exact_hrr_l10,lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox | Over 1.5 | 2.32 | 1.27 | 0.57 | 0.47 | 2.05 / Over | 0.64 | exact_hrr_l10,lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Chase Meidroth | Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox | Over 1.5 | 2.27 | 1.14 | 0.78 | 0.34 | 1.92 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Max Muncy | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 2.27 | 0.91 | 0.84 | 0.52 | 2.14 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Josh Naylor | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 2.14 | 1.09 | 0.45 | 0.59 | 1.96 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Pete Alonso | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 2.10 | 0.90 | 0.59 | 0.60 | 1.90 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=69,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Spencer Horwitz | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 2.07 | 0.94 | 0.52 | 0.61 | 1.90 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Kyle Tucker | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 2.04 | 0.87 | 0.66 | 0.51 | 2.03 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 2.5 | 2.92 | 1.22 | 0.99 | 0.71 | 2.84 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=66,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Cole Young | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 1.89 | 0.92 | 0.44 | 0.54 | 1.79 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=69,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Gunnar Henderson | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 1.88 | 0.90 | 0.52 | 0.46 | 1.70 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=68,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Randal Grichuk | Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox | Over 1.5 | 1.84 | 1.01 | 0.46 | 0.38 | 1.66 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox | Over 1.5 | 1.84 | 0.76 | 0.48 | 0.60 | 1.74 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=68,exact_hrr_l10,lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Marcell Ozuna | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 1.82 | 0.93 | 0.43 | 0.47 | 1.60 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Rafael Flores | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 1.73 | 0.92 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 1.64 / Over | 0.69 | minimal | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Taylor Ward | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 1.69 | 0.90 | 0.57 | 0.22 | 1.48 / Under | 0.35 | season_games=68,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Luke Raley | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 1.67 | 0.90 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 1.58 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 2.5 | 2.63 | 1.15 | 0.71 | 0.77 | 2.56 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 1.57 | 0.87 | 0.36 | 0.34 | 1.57 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Jorge Mateo | Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox | Over 1.5 | 1.56 | 0.90 | 0.34 | 0.33 | 1.62 / Over | 0.64 | lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Dalton Rushing | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 1.54 | 0.90 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 1.68 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Coby Mayo | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 1.54 | 0.86 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 1.54 / Over | 0.69 | minimal | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Colton Cowser | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 1.54 | 0.86 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 1.54 / Over | 0.69 | minimal | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Jackson Holliday | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 1.54 | 0.86 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 1.54 / Over | 0.69 | minimal | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Leody Taveras | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 1.54 | 0.86 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 1.54 / Over | 0.69 | minimal | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Alex Freeland | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 1.51 | 0.87 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 1.68 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Dominic Canzone | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Under 1.5 | 1.48 | 0.86 | 0.32 | 0.30 | 1.55 / Over | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Jake Mangum | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Under 1.5 | 1.47 | 0.83 | 0.35 | 0.29 | 1.54 / Over | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Edgar Quero | Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox | Under 1.5 | 1.44 | 0.85 | 0.32 | 0.27 | 1.57 / Over | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Ryan Ward | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Under 1.5 | 1.43 | 0.81 | 0.33 | 0.29 | 1.48 / Under | 0.59 | exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Miles Mastrobuoni | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Under 1.5 | 1.38 | 0.82 | 0.30 | 0.26 | 1.51 / Over | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Luisangel Acuna | Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox | Under 1.5 | 1.32 | 0.80 | 0.27 | 0.25 | 1.52 / Over | 0.69 | lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Jared Triolo | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Under 1.5 | 1.32 | 0.76 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 1.49 / Under | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Sam Antonacci | Atlanta Braves @ Chicago White Sox | Under 1.5 | 1.29 | 0.78 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 1.52 / Over | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Jhonny Pereda | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Under 1.5 | 1.28 | 0.78 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 1.47 / Under | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Colt Emerson | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Under 1.5 | 1.25 | 0.76 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 1.47 / Under | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Mookie Betts | Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Under 2.5 | 2.09 | 1.06 | 0.48 | 0.54 | 1.81 / Under | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
Diagnostics only. HRR remains paused; these component projections are not used for recommendations.
| Grade | Signal | Type | Side | Game | Time (ET) | Line | Proj | Odds | Best Book / Line | Edge/Diff | Checks ✓!✗– | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ► GOOD ADDS | ||||||||||||
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-165); break-even ~62%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Walks | Mitch Keller Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -165 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -165 | best price | 37.8% | ✓✓!––– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Michael Harris II Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -437 | DK Under 0.5 -437 | exact | 65.6% | ✓✓!–✓! | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-417); break-even ~81%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Nick Gonzales Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -417 | DK Under 0.5 -417 | exact | 61.3% | ✓✓!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-288); break-even ~74%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Andy Pages Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -288 | DK Under 0.5 -288 | exact | 51.8% | ✓✓!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Mauricio Dubon Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -348 | DK Under 0.5 -348 | exact | 43.8% | ✓!!–✓! | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-228); break-even ~70%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Marcell Ozuna Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -228 | Caesars Under 0.5 -218 | best price | 43.1% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-355); break-even ~78%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Esmerlyn Valdez Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -355 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -340 | best price | 43.1% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Jorge Mateo Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -353 | DK Under 0.5 -353 | exact | 38.4% | ✓!!–✓! | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Ozzie Albies Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -434 | DK Under 0.5 -434 | exact | 38.2% | ✓!!–✓! | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Austin Riley Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -223 | Caesars Under 0.5 -213 | best price | 35.3% | ✓!!–✓! | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-267); break-even ~73%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Brandon Lowe Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -267 | DK Under 0.5 -267 | exact | 29.8% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-236); break-even ~70%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Mookie Betts Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -236 | DK Under 0.5 -236 | exact | 29.7% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Randal Grichuk Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -457 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -450 | best price | 25.9% | ✓!!–✓! | GOOD ADD |
| B | ✅ Good Add Matchup: [!] Opp lineup wRC+ 119 vs RHP — tough platoon matchup | Run Line | Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | - | -110 | Caesars Pittsburgh Pirates 1.5 -105 | best price | +19.9% | –✓✓!–✓ | GOOD ADD |
| ► SMALL PLAYS | ||||||||||||
| A (Weak) | ◔ Small Play Framework warning(s): Game Script — posture note at B | Batter H+R+RBI | Matt Olson Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.6 | -119 | DK Over 1.5 -119 | exact | 74.4% | ✓✓✓–✓! | SMALL PLAY |
| A (Weak) | ◔ Small Play Framework warning(s): Game Script — posture note at B | Batter H+R+RBI | Miguel Vargas Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.6 | -129 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 74.2% | ✓✓✓–✓! | SMALL PLAY |
| ► ALT / DERISK | ||||||||||||
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: blended market against 47.8% (5 books) | books against us 0% (5 books) — strongly disagree — posture note… | Batter H+R+RBI | Brandon Lowe Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.6 | -102 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +100 | best price | 73.8% | ✓✓✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.7% vs 17% min using blended line 6.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | K Prop | Bryan Woo Over | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 6.5 | 7.4 | +120 | BetMGM Over 6.5 +125 | best price | 13.7% | ✓✗✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 17% min using blended line 4.17 (6 books) — posture note at D | K Prop | Mitch Keller Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 4.5 | 4.0 | -153 | FanDuel Under 4.5 -150 | best price | 10.7% | ✓✗!!–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.0% vs 17% min using blended line 4.3 (5 books) — posture note at D | K Prop | Martin Perez Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 4.5 | 4.9 | +106 | BetMGM Over 4.5 +125 | best price | 8.1% | ✓✗✗!–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Projection is above blended line 4.36 (7 books): market gap +0.03; blended market flips the selected Under edge… | K Prop | Justin Wrobleski Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 4.5 | 4.4 | -108 | Bovada Direct Under 4.5 +110 | best price | 2.4% | ✓✗!✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 15.0% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (8 books) clears, but raw gap +2.63 <= 3 min — posture note at… | Pitcher Outs | Justin Wrobleski Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 17.5 | 20.1 | -131 | theScore Bet Over 17.5 -130 | best price | 15.0% | ✓✗✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.2% vs 10% min using blended line 17.12 (8 books) — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Kyle Bradish Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 17.5 | 16.2 | -114 | DK Under 17.5 -114 | exact | 7.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.9% vs 15% min using blended line 5.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Mitch Keller Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 5.5 | 6.1 | -134 | BetMGM Over 5.5 -115 | best price | 10.9% | ✓✗✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.1% vs 15% min using blended line 5.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Justin Wrobleski Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 5.5 | 5.0 | +112 | DK Under 5.5 +112 | exact | 9.1% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.8% vs 15% min using blended line 5.3 (5 books) — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Kyle Bradish Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 5.5 | 5.1 | -150 | DK Under 5.5 -150 | exact | 7.3% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: blended market against 49.1% (2 books) | books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Walks | Martin Perez Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -114 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 45.1% | ✓✓✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.6% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Walks | Bryan Woo Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -148 | DK Under 1.5 -148 | exact | 11.6% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.4% vs 20% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Walks | Justin Wrobleski Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +118 | DK Over 1.5 +118 | exact | 9.4% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.8% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Walks | Kyle Bradish Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 2.5 | 2.5 | -159 | DK Under 2.5 -159 | exact | 0.8% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Projection is below blended line 3.17 (3 books): market gap -0.07; blended market flips the selected Over edge —… | Pitcher Earned R | Mitch Keller Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 2.5 | 3.1 | -165 | DK Over 2.5 -165 | exact | 24.0% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | Pitcher Earned R | Bryan Woo Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 2.5 | 2.1 | -153 | DK Under 2.5 -153 | exact | 16.0% | ✓!!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: blended market against 47.1% (2 books) | books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Earned R | Justin Wrobleski Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 2.5 | 2.8 | -103 | DK Over 2.5 -103 | exact | 12.0% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min using blended line 2.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Kyle Bradish Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 2.5 | 2.3 | -143 | DK Under 2.5 -143 | exact | 8.0% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min using blended line 2.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Martin Perez Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 2.5 | 2.3 | -166 | Fanatics Under 2.5 -155 | best price | 8.0% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.4% vs 50% min using blended line 1.17 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Mookie Betts Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -232 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 +220 | best price | 34.1% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.2% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Nick Gonzales Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -234 | DK Under 1.5 -234 | exact | 24.2% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | Batter Walks | Gunnar Henderson Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -331 | DK Under 0.5 -331 | exact | 49.3% | ✓!!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Jared Triolo Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -386 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -350 | best price | 43.1% | ✓!!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Jake Mangum Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -418 | DK Under 0.5 -418 | exact | 43.1% | ✓!!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Sandy León Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -459 | DK Under 0.5 -459 | exact | 38.4% | ✓!!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: blended market against 40.0% (3 books) | books against us 0% (3 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Miguel Vargas Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.7 | +143 | DK Over 0.5 +143 | exact | 37.6% | ✓!✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | Batter Walks | Pete Alonso Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -310 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -310 | best price | 34.8% | ✓!!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Alex Freeland Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -249 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -240 | best price | 29.7% | ✓!!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Dalton Rushing Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -334 | DK Under 0.5 -334 | exact | 29.7% | ✓!!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | Batter Walks | Coby Mayo Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -432 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -425 | best price | 27.6% | ✓!!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | Batter Walks | Colton Cowser Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -253 | DK Under 0.5 -253 | exact | 27.6% | ✓!!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | Batter Walks | Leody Taveras Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -348 | DK Under 0.5 -348 | exact | 27.6% | ✓!!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | Batter Walks | Jackson Holliday Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -294 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -270 | best price | 27.6% | ✓!!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | Batter Walks | Sam Huff Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -870 | DK Under 0.5 -870 | exact | 27.6% | ✓!!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | Batter Walks | Tyler O'Neill Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -404 | DK Under 0.5 -404 | exact | 27.6% | ✓!!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Sam Antonacci Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -426 | Caesars Under 0.5 -360 | best price | 25.9% | ✓!!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Edgar Quero Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -364 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -300 | best price | 25.9% | ✓!!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Luisangel Acuna Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -540 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -500 | best price | 25.9% | ✓!!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Cole Young Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -171 | DK Under 0.5 -171 | exact | 24.6% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Rafael Flores Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -393 | DK Under 0.5 -393 | exact | 22.9% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Spencer Horwitz Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -276 | DK Under 0.5 -276 | exact | 20.2% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Max Muncy Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -191 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -190 | best price | 19.0% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Shohei Ohtani Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.6 | -109 | Caesars Over 0.5 -106 | best price | 18.8% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Chase Meidroth Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -269 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -245 | best price | 17.4% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Randy Arozarena Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -200 | DK Under 0.5 -200 | exact | 13.5% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Ryan Ward Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.6 | +241 | Fanatics Over 0.5 +250 | best price | 12.5% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Taylor Ward Over | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.6 | +125 | Caesars Over 0.5 +138 | best price | 12.5% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Matt Olson Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -189 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -170 | best price | 11.8% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Luke Raley Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -264 | DK Under 0.5 -264 | exact | 11.5% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Colt Emerson Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -280 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -280 | best price | 11.5% | ✓✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Dominic Canzone Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -305 | Caesars Under 0.5 -295 | best price | 11.5% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Jhonny Pereda Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -286 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -280 | best price | 11.5% | ✓✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Miles Mastrobuoni Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -253 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -225 | best price | 11.5% | ✓✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Josh Naylor Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -277 | DK Under 0.5 -277 | exact | 10.6% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Julio Rodriguez Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -286 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -280 | best price | 9.0% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Freddie Freeman Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -184 | DK Under 0.5 -184 | exact | 3.6% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Kyle Tucker Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -155 | DK Under 0.5 -155 | exact | 1.9% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Bryan Reynolds Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | +154 | Fanatics Over 0.5 +190 | best price | 1.5% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.9 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Mookie Betts Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 2.5 | 1.8 | -168 | Bovada Direct Under 2.5 -165 | best price | 27.7% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Pete Alonso Over | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -118 | DK Over 1.5 -118 | exact | 26.6% | ✓✗✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Spencer Horwitz Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -102 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +100 | best price | 26.5% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Gunnar Henderson Over | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -121 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -120 | best price | 13.7% | ✓✗✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.6% vs 50% min using blended line 2.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Shohei Ohtani Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 2.5 | 2.8 | -104 | DK Over 2.5 -104 | exact | 13.6% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Alex Freeland Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +115 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 12.3% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Dalton Rushing Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -106 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +100 | best price | 12.3% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.2% vs 50% min using blended line 1.25 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Rafael Flores Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +134 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 9.5% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jorge Mateo Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -104 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 7.8% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Marcell Ozuna Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +104 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 6.6% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Luke Raley Over | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +111 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 5.1% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Esmerlyn Valdez Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +110 | DK Over 1.5 +110 | exact | 4.5% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Edgar Quero Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +114 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 4.4% | !✗✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Dominic Canzone Over | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +108 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Leody Taveras Over | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +109 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Coby Mayo Over | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +126 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Colton Cowser Over | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -103 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jackson Holliday Over | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +114 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jake Mangum Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -118 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 2.5% | !✗✓–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.4% vs 50% min using blended line 2.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Freddie Freeman Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 2.5 | 2.6 | +119 | BetOnline Over 2.5 +120 | best price | 2.3% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jhonny Pereda Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -156 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -150 | best price | 2.1% | ✓✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Colt Emerson Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -167 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -150 | best price | 2.1% | ✓✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ryan Ward Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -135 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -120 | best price | 1.5% | ✓✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Taylor Ward Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -132 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -120 | best price | 1.5% | ✓✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.33 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Sam Antonacci Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +131 | DK Over 1.5 +131 | exact | 1.2% | !✗✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Luisangel Acuna Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +133 | DK Over 1.5 +133 | exact | 1.2% | !✗✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Miles Mastrobuoni Over | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +110 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 1.0% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jared Triolo Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -178 | Fanatics Under 1.5 -140 | best price | 0.7% | ✓✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 47.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Shohei Ohtani Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -130 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -125 | best price | 47.6% | !✗✓–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 45.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Matt Olson Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | +119 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 45.1% | !✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Brandon Lowe Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | +138 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 42.6% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 41.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Andy Pages Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | +105 | DK Over 1.5 +105 | exact | 41.5% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Freddie Freeman Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -111 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 36.3% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 32.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Miguel Vargas Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +107 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 31.7% | !✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Michael Harris II Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +111 | DK Over 1.5 +111 | exact | 24.0% | !✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Julio Rodriguez Over | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +108 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 21.8% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Max Muncy Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +115 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 20.6% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Mookie Betts Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +103 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 19.7% | !✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Cole Young Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -184 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -175 | best price | 16.8% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Randy Arozarena Over | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +142 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +145 | best price | 15.8% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Austin Riley Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -178 | Caesars Under 1.5 -164 | best price | 14.7% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Ozzie Albies Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +114 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 13.7% | !✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jorge Mateo Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +138 | Caesars Over 1.5 +142 | best price | 9.2% | !✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Chase Meidroth Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -182 | Caesars Under 1.5 -179 | best price | 8.7% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Randal Grichuk Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +122 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 7.9% | !✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Nick Gonzales Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -143 | Caesars Under 1.5 -137 | best price | 6.3% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jake Mangum Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +139 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +145 | best price | 5.9% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Bryan Reynolds Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +115 | DK Over 1.5 +115 | exact | 5.4% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Kyle Tucker Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -177 | Caesars Under 1.5 -170 | best price | 4.3% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 41.8% vs 70% min using blended line 1.1 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Colton Cowser Over | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +139 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 +140 | alt rescue | 4.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Josh Naylor Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -163 | Caesars Under 1.5 -157 | best price | 4.1% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Gunnar Henderson Over | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +113 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 2.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Pete Alonso Over | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +124 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 1.2% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Projection is above blended line 1.5 (5 books): market gap +0.00; blended market flips the selected Under edge —… | Batter Total Bas | Mauricio Dubon Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -170 | Caesars Under 1.5 -164 | best price | - | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: selected book disagrees | books against us 0% (9 books) — strongly disagree | F5 ML | Pittsburgh Pirates | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | - | - | +135 | draftkings +135 | +10.6% | –✓✗!–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 6.2 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | - | 6.2 | -120 | DraftKings -120 | +17.1% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.7 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | - | 3.7 | -104 | DraftKings -104 | -8.4% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.8 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | - | 3.8 | -113 | DraftKings -113 | -9.2% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | - | 6.3 | -122 | DraftKings -122 | +17.5% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | - | 5.5 | -113 | DraftKings -113 | +10.1% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | - | 3.8 | -106 | DraftKings -106 | -8.1% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Marco Gonzales Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.5% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Dominic Canzone Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -650 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 93.4% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Patrick Wisdom Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -650 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 93.4% | –✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Luke Raley Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -600 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 93.4% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Coby Mayo Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -800 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 93.4% | –✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Colton Cowser Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -750 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 93.4% | –✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Sam Huff Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.4% | –✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jhonny Pereda Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.4% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Tyler O'Neill Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 93.4% | –✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Colt Emerson Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 93.4% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Leody Taveras Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.4% | –✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jackson Holliday Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 93.4% | –✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jared Triolo Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 93.3% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Marcell Ozuna Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 93.3% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jake Mangum Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -5000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -5000 | best price | 93.3% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Luisangel Acuna Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 93.2% | –✗!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Sam Antonacci Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 93.2% | –✗!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Edgar Quero Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.2% | –✗!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Randal Grichuk Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -650 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 93.2% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jacob Gonzalez Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.2% | –✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jorge Mateo Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.1% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Ha-Seong Kim Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.1% | –✗!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Sandy León Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.1% | –✗!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Ryan Ward Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 93.0% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Taylor Ward Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 93.0% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Mookie Betts Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 92.5% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Dalton Rushing Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -750 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -750 | best price | 92.5% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Alex Freeland Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 92.5% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Cole Young Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 88.2% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Chase Meidroth Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 85.6% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Kyle Tucker Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 84.2% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Mauricio Dubon Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 81.2% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Andrew Benintendi Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 79.4% | –✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Randy Arozarena Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 79.1% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Josh Naylor Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 78.6% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Bryan Reynolds Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 78.5% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Austin Riley Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -700 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 76.5% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Spencer Horwitz Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 71.0% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Ozzie Albies Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 70.6% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Gunnar Henderson Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -650 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -550 | best price | 65.9% | –✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Freddie Freeman Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -750 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 65.7% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.180/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Pete Alonso Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -550 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -550 | best price | 64.0% | –✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Julio Rodriguez Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -650 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 61.4% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Michael Harris II Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -650 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 59.4% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.210/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Shohei Ohtani Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -400 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -325 | best price | 58.2% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.240/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Andy Pages Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -800 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 52.5% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.240/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Max Muncy Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -450 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -450 | best price | 52.2% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.260/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Brandon Lowe Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -700 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 47.4% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.270/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Miguel Vargas Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -550 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -500 | best price | 46.4% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.280/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Matt Olson Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -450 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -450 | best price | 44.1% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| ► MONITOR | ||||||||||||
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.6% vs 17% min using blended line 5.36 (7 books) — posture note at D | K Prop | Kyle Bradish Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 5.5 | 5.1 | -127 | FanDuel Under 5.5 -106 | best price | 8.0% | ✓✗✓✓–– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Julio Rodriguez Under | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -250 | DK Under 1.5 -250 | exact | 31.4% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 28.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Ozzie Albies Under | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -264 | DK Under 1.5 -264 | exact | 28.4% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Andy Pages Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -246 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -235 | best price | 24.8% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Freddie Freeman Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -222 | DK Under 1.5 -222 | exact | 20.1% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Shohei Ohtani Under | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -221 | DK Under 1.5 -221 | exact | 17.2% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: diff_pct 50.8% vs 50% min using blended line 1.83 (6 books) clears, but raw gap +0.93 <= 1 min — posture note at… | Batter H+R+RBI | Andy Pages Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.8 | -156 | Caesars Over 1.5 -154 | best price | 84.0% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: diff_pct 57.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) clears, but raw gap +0.86 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Bryan Reynolds Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | -127 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -125 | best price | 57.1% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: diff_pct 56.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) clears, but raw gap +0.84 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Randy Arozarena Over | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | -121 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -120 | best price | 56.1% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: diff_pct 54.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (7 books) clears, but raw gap +0.81 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Michael Harris II Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | -137 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -135 | best price | 53.8% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: diff_pct 53.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) clears, but raw gap +0.80 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Nick Gonzales Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | -142 | DK Over 1.5 -142 | exact | 53.6% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: diff_pct 52.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) clears, but raw gap +0.78 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ozzie Albies Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | -134 | DK Over 1.5 -134 | exact | 52.0% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 44.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Julio Rodriguez Over | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -140 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -135 | best price | 44.4% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Max Muncy Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -133 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 | best price | 42.9% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Mauricio Dubon Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -129 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -125 | best price | 36.5% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Kyle Tucker Over | DOD@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -122 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 35.2% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Josh Naylor Over | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -124 | DK Over 1.5 -124 | exact | 30.3% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 28.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Chase Meidroth Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -129 | DK Over 1.5 -129 | exact | 28.2% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (7 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Cole Young Over | MAR@ORI | 7:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -122 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -120 | best price | 19.6% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Austin Riley Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -114 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 16.0% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Randal Grichuk Over | BRA@SOX | 7:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -118 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -115 | best price | 10.8% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
✓ PASS ! WARN ✗ FAIL – N/A | Checks order: Baby Line · Model Edge · Books · Matchup · Role · Game Script