| Market | Trust | Season N | Season WR | Season P&L | 14d N | 14d WR | 14d P&L | Grade A N | Grade A WR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | 287 | 55% | -10.32u | 86 | 56% | -3.50u | 117 | 58% |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | 179 | 59% | +9.86u | 55 | 55% | -1.27u | 3 | 33% |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | 124 | 54% | -2.89u | 28 | 54% | -1.99u | 40 | 65% |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | 176 | 68% | -1.48u | 172 | 67% | -2.45u | 2 | 0% |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | 57 | 54% | +0.87u | 35 | 57% | +1.97u | 0 | - |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | 56 | 64% | +7.11u | 52 | 65% | +7.82u | 1 | 0% |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | 49 | 61% | +1.01u | 46 | 59% | -1.15u | 2 | 50% |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | 36 | 75% | +2.06u | 22 | 68% | -0.77u | 0 | - |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | 28 | 48% | +4.54u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | 9 | 22% | -5.18u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | 6 | 50% | +2.85u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | 3 | 33% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | 2 | 100% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 82 | 45% | -10.71u | 7 | 86% | +3.02u | 1 | 0% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 49 | 40% | -8.74u | 7 | 57% | +0.55u | 1 | 100% |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 6 | 67% | +0.69u | 6 | 67% | +0.69u | 0 | - |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 728 | 50% | -87.23u | 321 | 51% | -29.60u | 91 | 51% |
Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from configured market status plus settled tracker performance.
| Market | Current Stage | Next Stage | Progress | Promotion Blockers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 2/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 3/4 | 14d P&L non-negative |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 2/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 4/5 | Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 4/5 | Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52% |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 🔬 Research | 2/5 | diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.
| Pitcher | Game | Overall | Whiff | Contact | Arsenal | Top Pitch | Notes / Data Gaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sánchez | Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays | 69.9 | 75.7 | 74.0 | 3 | Changeup (50% whiff, 38% usage) | Savant whiff 32.2%, put-away 27.7%, xwOBA 0.267, arsenal coverage 3 pitch type(s) |
| Kyle Harrison | Milwaukee Brewers vs Athletics | 63.5 | 63.3 | 67.5 | 4 | 4-Seam Fastball (32% whiff, 59% usage) | Savant whiff 29.3%, put-away 21.0%, xwOBA 0.280, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Will Warren | New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians | 57.2 | 53.7 | 62.5 | 5 | Sweeper (24% whiff, 22% usage) | Savant whiff 24.2%, put-away 21.5%, xwOBA 0.290, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Gavin Williams | Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees | 55.4 | 68.6 | 46.0 | 5 | Sweeper (44% whiff, 26% usage) | Savant whiff 30.6%, put-away 23.7%, xwOBA 0.323, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Ian Seymour | Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox | 54.1 | 58.2 | 51.5 | 6 | Sweeper (46% whiff, 21% usage) | Savant whiff 27.9%, put-away 18.7%, xwOBA 0.312, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Emerson Hancock | Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles | 48.6 | 51.4 | 47.0 | 6 | Sweeper (35% whiff, 20% usage) | Savant whiff 24.7%, put-away 18.4%, xwOBA 0.321, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Jeffrey Springs | Athletics vs Milwaukee Brewers | 48.0 | 44.9 | 50.0 | 5 | Changeup (39% whiff, 22% usage) | Savant whiff 21.8%, put-away 17.7%, xwOBA 0.315, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Logan Webb | San Francisco Giants vs Washington Nationals | 46.0 | 43.7 | 50.0 | 5 | Cutter (29% whiff, 10% usage) | Savant whiff 20.5%, put-away 19.1%, xwOBA 0.315, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Richard Lovelady | Washington Nationals vs San Francisco Giants | 42.9 | 57.7 | 31.0 | 4 | Sweeper (26% whiff, 44% usage) | Savant whiff 24.3%, put-away 25.3%, xwOBA 0.353, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels | 42.8 | 55.0 | 34.0 | 6 | Curveball (43% whiff, 34% usage) | Savant whiff 26.1%, put-away 19.1%, xwOBA 0.347, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Connelly Early | Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays | 41.6 | 46.7 | 39.0 | 6 | 4-Seam Fastball (25% whiff, 35% usage) | Savant whiff 21.7%, put-away 19.7%, xwOBA 0.337, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Andrew Abbott | Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres | 39.4 | 41.0 | 35.0 | 4 | Changeup (44% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 21.5%, put-away 14.3%, xwOBA 0.345, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Walker Buehler | San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds | 37.0 | 36.9 | 39.0 | 7 | Curveball (32% whiff, 13% usage) | Savant whiff 18.0%, put-away 17.3%, xwOBA 0.337, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Patrick Corbin | Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies | 35.9 | 37.6 | 29.5 | 5 | Slider (37% whiff, 25% usage) | Savant whiff 20.2%, put-away 13.6%, xwOBA 0.356, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros | 27.0 | 43.5 | 6.5 | 4 | Slider (30% whiff, 14% usage) | Savant whiff 21.6%, put-away 16.6%, xwOBA 0.402, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Trey Gibson | Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners | 14.2 | 17.3 | 5.0 | 5 | Curveball (25% whiff, 18% usage) | Savant whiff 12.2%, put-away 9.2%, xwOBA 0.405, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.
| Pitcher | Team | Hand | Season K% | Recent IP | Season IP | K IP | Pitch Ct | Leash | Savant | Contact | HR Vuln | Quality | Flags / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Springs | Athletics vs Milwaukee Brewers | L | 19.8% | 5.1 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 86 | short | full | 50.00 | 50.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.1 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 11.2% |
| Trey Gibson | Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners | R | 15.7% | 3.9 | 6.0 | 5.4 | 65 | short | full | 5.00 | 95.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 3.9 IP/start |
| Connelly Early | Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays | L | 23.3% | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 92 | normal | full | 39.00 | 61.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.7%, low-K contact opponent 19.2% |
| Andrew Abbott | Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres | L | 16.6% | 5.6 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 94 | normal | full | 35.00 | 65.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Gavin Williams | Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees | R | 28.5% | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 104 | deep | full | 46.00 | 54.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 11.3% |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels | R | 20.4% | 5.5 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 92 | normal | full | 34.00 | 66.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros | R | 21.2% | 4.2 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 70 | short | full | 6.50 | 93.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.2 IP/start |
| Kyle Harrison | Milwaukee Brewers vs Athletics | L | 31.2% | 5.4 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 91 | normal | full | 67.50 | 32.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.8% |
| Will Warren | New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians | R | 22.9% | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 89 | normal | full | 62.50 | 37.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.4% |
| Cristopher Sánchez | Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays | L | 30.2% | 7.2 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 121 | deep | full | 74.00 | 26.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | low-K contact opponent 19.2% |
| Walker Buehler | San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds | R | 20.1% | 5.4 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 91 | normal | full | 39.00 | 61.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.0% |
| Logan Webb | San Francisco Giants vs Washington Nationals | R | 20.6% | 5.8 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 97 | normal | full | 50.00 | 50.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Emerson Hancock | Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles | R | 24.1% | 5.6 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 94 | normal | full | 47.00 | 53.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.2% |
| Ian Seymour | Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox | L | 23.4% | 2.0 | 31.0 | 7.0 | 34 | short | full | 51.50 | 48.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 2.0 IP/start |
| Patrick Corbin | Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies | L | 17.7% | 4.6 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 77 | short | full | 29.50 | 70.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.6 IP/start |
| Richard Lovelady | Washington Nationals vs San Francisco Giants | L | 20.8% | 1.2 | 6.5 | 5.1 | 20 | short | full | 31.00 | 69.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 1.2 IP/start |
Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.
| Pitcher | Side | Game | Line | Proj | Gap | Edge / DIFF% | Grade | Rec | Status | Leash | K IP | Pitch Ct | Quality | Gate Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott | Andrew Abbott Under | Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres | 17.5 | 15.3 | -2.2 | 12.5% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.3 | 94 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 12.5% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (8 books) clears, but raw gap -2.18 <= 3 min |
| Logan Webb | Logan Webb Under | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | 18.5 | 18.0 | -0.5 | 2.6% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.9 | 97 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.6% vs 10% min using blended line 18.5 (8 books) |
QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.
| Player | Game | Research Side | Component Proj | H | R | RBI | Current | Uncertainty | Support | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Kurtz | Milwaukee Brewers @ Athletics | Over 1.5 | 2.80 | 1.04 | 0.94 | 0.82 | 2.46 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 2.77 | 1.03 | 0.73 | 1.01 | 2.80 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=66,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 2.75 | 1.11 | 1.03 | 0.61 | 2.63 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=66,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Zach Neto | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 2.60 | 1.02 | 0.99 | 0.59 | 2.24 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=63,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 2.59 | 1.08 | 0.65 | 0.86 | 2.47 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Casey Schmitt | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 2.56 | 1.27 | 0.64 | 0.66 | 2.76 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Mike Trout | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 2.44 | 0.88 | 1.01 | 0.56 | 2.08 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 2.44 | 1.39 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 2.36 / Over | 0.59 | exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Luis Arraez | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 2.38 | 1.38 | 0.55 | 0.46 | 2.63 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=63,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Jose Altuve | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 2.28 | 1.17 | 0.51 | 0.60 | 1.96 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| LaMonte Wade Jr. | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 2.28 | 1.17 | 0.51 | 0.60 | 1.96 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 2.23 | 0.95 | 0.52 | 0.77 | 2.19 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 2.23 | 1.02 | 0.54 | 0.67 | 2.30 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Jo Adell | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 2.23 | 0.99 | 0.48 | 0.76 | 2.16 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=66,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 2.20 | 1.27 | 0.52 | 0.42 | 2.40 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 2.5 | 3.13 | 1.29 | 0.95 | 0.89 | 3.38 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=66,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Willy Adames | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 2.07 | 1.03 | 0.54 | 0.51 | 2.21 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers @ Athletics | Over 2.5 | 3.06 | 1.09 | 1.06 | 0.90 | 2.60 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Rafael Devers | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 2.05 | 1.04 | 0.53 | 0.47 | 2.13 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=66,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Noelvi Marte | Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 2.02 | 1.23 | 0.40 | 0.39 | 2.20 / Over | 0.59 | exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Wade Meckler | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 2.00 | 1.02 | 0.46 | 0.51 | 1.69 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Christian Yelich | Milwaukee Brewers @ Athletics | Over 1.5 | 1.94 | 1.00 | 0.52 | 0.42 | 1.61 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Shea Langeliers | Milwaukee Brewers @ Athletics | Over 2.5 | 2.93 | 1.25 | 1.02 | 0.66 | 2.53 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=59,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 1.93 | 1.00 | 0.53 | 0.39 | 2.07 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 1.85 | 1.02 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 1.80 / Over | 0.64 | exact_hrr_l10,lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Blake Dunn | Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.81 | 1.05 | 0.41 | 0.35 | 1.67 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers @ Athletics | Over 2.5 | 2.79 | 1.18 | 0.72 | 0.90 | 2.42 / Under | 0.35 | season_games=59,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Curtis Mead | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 1.79 | 0.98 | 0.38 | 0.43 | 1.66 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers @ Athletics | Over 2.5 | 2.78 | 0.99 | 0.82 | 0.97 | 2.49 / Under | 0.35 | season_games=55,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.77 | 1.03 | 0.40 | 0.34 | 1.67 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Milwaukee Brewers @ Athletics | Over 1.5 | 1.77 | 0.81 | 0.47 | 0.49 | 1.68 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Taylor Trammell | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 1.74 | 1.01 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 1.83 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.73 | 1.06 | 0.34 | 0.32 | 1.85 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=63,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Colby Thomas | Milwaukee Brewers @ Athletics | Over 1.5 | 1.71 | 0.85 | 0.41 | 0.45 | 1.47 / Under | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Garrett Mitchell | Milwaukee Brewers @ Athletics | Over 1.5 | 1.69 | 0.71 | 0.47 | 0.51 | 1.64 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=54,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Jackson Merrill | Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.69 | 0.83 | 0.49 | 0.37 | 1.68 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 1.68 | 0.92 | 0.36 | 0.40 | 1.63 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Xander Bogaerts | Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.67 | 0.83 | 0.38 | 0.47 | 1.71 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Matt Chapman | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 1.67 | 0.90 | 0.40 | 0.37 | 2.02 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Manny Machado | Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.66 | 0.65 | 0.45 | 0.56 | 1.63 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Nick Madrigal | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 1.66 | 0.92 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 1.63 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Max Muncy (2002) | Milwaukee Brewers @ Athletics | Over 1.5 | 1.65 | 0.87 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 1.55 / Over | 0.69 | minimal | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Ty France | Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.65 | 0.94 | 0.34 | 0.38 | 1.55 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Brent Rooker | Milwaukee Brewers @ Athletics | Over 1.5 | 1.64 | 0.82 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 1.44 / Under | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Eugenio Suarez | Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.64 | 0.93 | 0.34 | 0.37 | 1.64 / Over | 0.64 | lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Bryce Eldridge | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 1.60 | 0.96 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 1.69 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Cam Smith | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Under 1.5 | 1.46 | 0.72 | 0.40 | 0.33 | 1.81 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=66,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Donovan Walton | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Under 1.5 | 1.43 | 0.83 | 0.30 | 0.29 | 1.55 / Over | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Gavin Sheets | Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres | Under 1.5 | 1.41 | 0.71 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 1.63 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Keibert Ruiz | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Under 1.5 | 1.39 | 0.84 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 1.56 / Over | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
Diagnostics only. HRR remains paused; these component projections are not used for recommendations.
| Grade | Signal | Type | Side | Game | Time (ET) | Line | Proj | Odds | Best Book / Line | Edge/Diff | Checks ✓!✗– | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ► BEST PLAYS | ||||||||||||
| A | 👀 Strong Watch Market status WATCH: Batter Walks carries Good Add posture during V2 stabilization | Batter Walks | Mike Trout Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 1.2 | -131 | Fanatics Over 0.5 -115 | best price | 139.2% | ✓✓✓–✓– | BEST PLAY |
| A | ⛔ Paused Signal HRR trust gate: raw gap 1.3 | Batter H+R+RBI | Christian Walker Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 2.8 | -123 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -120 | best price | 86.6% | ✓✓✓–✓– | BEST PLAY |
| A | ⛔ Paused Signal HRR over-rate: L10 30% (30-49%) — A-grade risk note | Batter H+R+RBI | Casey Schmitt Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.8 | -161 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -140 | best price | 83.8% | ✓✓✓–✓– | BEST PLAY |
| A | ⛔ Paused Signal HRR trust gate: raw gap 1.1 | Batter H+R+RBI | James Wood Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.6 | -112 | DK Over 1.5 -112 | exact | 75.3% | ✓✓✓–✓– | BEST PLAY |
| A | ⛔ Paused Signal HRR trust gate: raw gap 1.1, heavy juice -150 | Batter H+R+RBI | Luis Arraez Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.6 | -150 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -140 | best price | 75.1% | ✓✓✓–✓– | BEST PLAY |
| ► GOOD ADDS | ||||||||||||
| B | 🔬 Research Note Matchup: [!] Opp lineup wRC+ 115 vs RHP — tough platoon matchup | K Prop | Grayson Rodriguez Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 5.5 | 4.0 | -123 | DK Under 5.5 -123 | exact | 28.1% | ✓✓!!–– | GOOD ADD |
| B | ✅ Good Add Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Away pen fatigued (1.05x) | Pitcher Hits All | Andrew Abbott Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 5.5 | 4.3 | -124 | DK Under 5.5 -124 | exact | 21.8% | ✓✓!––! | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-181); break-even ~64%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Walks | Spencer Arrighetti Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 2.6 | -181 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -165 | best price | 71.9% | ✓✓!––– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Away pen fatigued (1.05x) | Pitcher Walks | Andrew Abbott Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -158 | DK Over 1.5 -158 | exact | 48.2% | ✓✓!––! | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch | Pitcher Walks | Jeffrey Springs Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -134 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 | best price | 28.4% | ✓✓!––– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-178); break-even ~64%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Walks | Grayson Rodriguez Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 2.5 | 2.0 | -178 | theScore Bet Under 2.5 -175 | best price | 21.9% | ✓✓!––– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch | Pitcher Earned R | Kyle Harrison Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 2.5 | 1.4 | -132 | Fanatics Under 2.5 -115 | best price | 44.0% | ✓✓✓––– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-150); break-even ~60%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Earned R | Jeffrey Springs Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 3.5 | 2.6 | -150 | DK Under 3.5 -150 | exact | 25.7% | ✓✓!––– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-151); break-even ~60%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Earned R | Grayson Rodriguez Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 2.5 | 3.1 | -151 | Fanatics Over 2.5 -135 | best price | 24.0% | ✓✓✓––– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-382); break-even ~79%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Jo Adell Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -382 | DK Under 0.5 -382 | exact | 72.5% | ✓✓!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-567); break-even ~85%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Luis Garcia Jr. Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -567 | DK Under 0.5 -567 | exact | 71.8% | ✓✓!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-315); break-even ~76%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Casey Schmitt Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -315 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 | best price | 69.3% | ✓✓!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-351); break-even ~78%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Jung Hoo Lee Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -351 | DK Under 0.5 -351 | exact | 56.2% | ✓✓!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch | Batter Walks | Yordan Alvarez Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.7 | -119 | Fanatics Over 0.5 -115 | best price | 48.5% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-244); break-even ~71%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Bryce Eldridge Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -244 | DK Under 0.5 -244 | exact | 43.1% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-465); break-even ~82%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Daylen Lile Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -465 | DK Under 0.5 -465 | exact | 40.6% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-263); break-even ~72%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Shea Langeliers Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -263 | DK Under 0.5 -263 | exact | 37.9% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-253); break-even ~72%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Willy Adames Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -253 | DK Under 0.5 -253 | exact | 37.4% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-192); break-even ~66%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | William Contreras Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -192 | Caesars Under 0.5 -176 | best price | 36.0% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-400); break-even ~80%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Curtis Mead Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -400 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -340 | best price | 35.9% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-433); break-even ~81%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Dylan Crews Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -433 | DK Under 0.5 -433 | exact | 35.9% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-204); break-even ~67%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Brent Rooker Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -204 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -190 | best price | 35.5% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-352); break-even ~78%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Colby Thomas Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -352 | DK Under 0.5 -352 | exact | 35.5% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Away pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Noelvi Marte Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -356 | DK Under 0.5 -356 | exact | 34.4% | ✓!!–✓! | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-304); break-even ~75%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Luis Arraez Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -304 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 | best price | 30.4% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-385); break-even ~79%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | CJ Abrams Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -385 | DK Under 0.5 -385 | exact | 30.3% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-207); break-even ~67%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Andrew Vaughn Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -207 | Caesars Under 0.5 -200 | best price | 28.6% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-193); break-even ~66%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Jackson Chourio Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -193 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -185 | best price | 28.6% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-213); break-even ~68%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Christian Yelich Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -213 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -160 | best price | 28.6% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Away pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Jackson Merrill Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -301 | DK Under 0.5 -301 | exact | 27.0% | ✓!!–✓! | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Away pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | JJ Bleday Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -170 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -165 | best price | 26.6% | ✓!!–✓! | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Away pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Eugenio Suarez Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -198 | DK Under 0.5 -198 | exact | 26.6% | ✓!!–✓! | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Away pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Blake Dunn Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -284 | DK Under 0.5 -284 | exact | 26.6% | ✓!!–✓! | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-246); break-even ~71%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Jeremy Pena Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -246 | DK Under 0.5 -246 | exact | 26.2% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-162); break-even ~62%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | LaMonte Wade Jr. Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -162 | Caesars Under 0.5 -159 | best price | 26.2% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-265); break-even ~73%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Jose Altuve Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -265 | DK Under 0.5 -265 | exact | 26.2% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-225); break-even ~69%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Christian Walker Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -225 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -225 | best price | 25.8% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Baby Line: Projected PA (4.6) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Yordan Alvarez Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 3.0 | -127 | DK Over 1.5 -127 | exact | 98.6% | !✓✓–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| ► ALT / DERISK | ||||||||||||
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: blended market against 49.2% (4 books) | books against us 0% (4 books) — strongly disagree — posture note… | Batter Walks | Nick Kurtz Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.8 | -116 | Caesars Over 0.5 -110 | best price | 63.7% | ✓✓✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: blended market against 45.1% (3 books) | books against us 0% (3 books) — strongly disagree — posture note… | Batter Walks | James Wood Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.8 | +100 | Fanatics Over 0.5 +115 | best price | 53.2% | ✓✓✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.9% vs 17% min using blended line 5.21 (7 books) — posture note at D | K Prop | Logan Webb Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 5.5 | 4.4 | -153 | FanDuel Under 5.5 -150 | best price | 20.4% | ✓✗!✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.7% vs 17% min using blended line 4.33 (6 books) — posture note at D | K Prop | Jeffrey Springs Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 4.5 | 3.6 | -151 | Bovada Direct Under 4.5 -150 | best price | 18.8% | ✓✗!!–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.4% vs 17% min using blended line 7 (6 books) — posture note at D | K Prop | Kyle Harrison Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 7.5 | 6.5 | -154 | BetMGM Under 7.5 -150 | best price | 13.6% | ✓✗!✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.8% vs 17% min using blended line 5.36 (7 books) — posture note at D | K Prop | Spencer Arrighetti Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 5.5 | 6.1 | -110 | BetMGM Over 5.5 +100 | best price | 10.9% | ✓✗✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.6% vs 17% min using blended line 4.36 (7 books) — posture note at D | K Prop | Walker Buehler Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 4.5 | 4.0 | -110 | BetRivers Under 4.5 +114 | best price | 10.4% | ✓✗!✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.0% vs 17% min using blended line 4.33 (6 books) — posture note at D | K Prop | Andrew Abbott Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 4.5 | 4.6 | -102 | BetMGM Over 4.5 +110 | best price | 1.9% | ✓✗✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 12.5% vs 10% min using blended line 17.5 (8 books) clears, but raw gap -2.18 <= 3 min — posture note at… | Pitcher Outs | Andrew Abbott Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 17.5 | 15.3 | -108 | FanDuel Under 17.5 -102 | best price | 12.5% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.6% vs 10% min using blended line 18.5 (8 books) — posture note at D | Pitcher Outs | Logan Webb Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 18.5 | 18.0 | -135 | Fanatics Under 18.5 -130 | best price | 2.6% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.5% vs 15% min using blended line 5.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Logan Webb Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 5.5 | 5.2 | +102 | BetMGM Under 5.5 +105 | best price | 5.5% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 15% min using blended line 5.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Jeffrey Springs Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 5.5 | 5.3 | -104 | Fanatics Under 5.5 +100 | best price | 3.6% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.7% vs 15% min using blended line 5.3 (5 books) — posture note at D | Pitcher Hits All | Grayson Rodriguez Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 5.5 | 5.6 | +105 | Fanatics Over 5.5 +115 | best price | 1.8% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: blended market against 42.0% (2 books) | books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Walks | Logan Webb Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +124 | DK Over 1.5 +124 | exact | 35.8% | ✓✓✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Away pen fatigued (1.05x) | Pitcher Walks | Walker Buehler Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -169 | DK Over 1.5 -169 | exact | 16.8% | ✓!!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | Pitcher Walks | Kyle Harrison Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -121 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -115 | best price | 16.0% | ✓!!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Away pen fatigued (1.05x) | Pitcher Earned R | Walker Buehler Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 2.5 | 2.1 | -175 | DK Under 2.5 -175 | exact | 16.0% | ✓!!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 20% min using selected line 2.5 — posture note at D | Pitcher Earned R | Spencer Arrighetti Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 2.5 | 2.4 | -136 | DK Under 2.5 -136 | exact | 4.0% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Projection is above blended line 2.5 (3 books): market gap +0.00; blended market flips the selected Under edge —… | Pitcher Earned R | Andrew Abbott Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 2.5 | 2.5 | -128 | DK Under 2.5 -128 | exact | - | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Projection is above blended line 2.5 (3 books): market gap +0.00; blended market flips the selected Under edge —… | Pitcher Earned R | Logan Webb Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 2.5 | 2.5 | -172 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -165 | best price | - | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.8% vs 50% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Jake Bauers Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -239 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 +220 | best price | 33.8% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.1% vs 50% min using blended line 1.17 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Brice Turang Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -246 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 +220 | best price | 30.6% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.17 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Shea Langeliers Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -249 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 +200 | best price | 23.5% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Projection is above blended line 1.17 (3 books): market gap +0.18; blended market flips the selected Under edge… | Batter Hits | Jung Hoo Lee Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -270 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -250 | best price | 10.3% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Luis Rengifo Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -238 | DK Under 0.5 -238 | exact | 43.9% | ✓!!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Drew Gilbert Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -415 | DK Under 0.5 -415 | exact | 43.1% | ✓!!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Eric Haase Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -599 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -500 | best price | 43.1% | ✓!!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: blended market against 36.5% (3 books) | books against us 0% (3 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Zach Neto Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.7 | +141 | Fanatics Over 0.5 +185 | best price | 39.9% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Jorbit Vivas Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -487 | DK Under 0.5 -487 | exact | 35.9% | ✓!!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Keibert Ruiz Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -589 | DK Under 0.5 -589 | exact | 35.9% | ✓!!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Alika Williams Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -406 | DK Under 0.5 -406 | exact | 35.5% | ✓!!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 7 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Henry Bolte Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -305 | Caesars Under 0.5 -280 | best price | 35.5% | ✓!!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Zack Gelof Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -346 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -280 | best price | 35.5% | ✓!!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Nasim Nunez Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -383 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -310 | best price | 33.7% | ✓!!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: blended market against 47.3% (4 books) | books against us 0% (4 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Brice Turang Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.7 | +100 | DK Over 0.5 +100 | exact | 31.5% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Joey Ortiz Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -217 | DK Under 0.5 -217 | exact | 28.6% | ✓!!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Tyler Stephenson Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -224 | DK Under 0.5 -224 | exact | 26.6% | ✓!!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 9 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Edwin Arroyo Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -370 | DK Under 0.5 -370 | exact | 26.6% | ✓!!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Role/Injury: Batting 8 — lower in order, fewer PA | Batter Walks | Taylor Trammell Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -309 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -215 | best price | 26.2% | ✓!!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Max Muncy (2002) Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -285 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -280 | best price | 20.8% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Freddy Fermin Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -457 | Caesars Under 0.5 -420 | best price | 19.9% | ✓✗!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Samad Taylor Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -400 | DK Under 0.5 -400 | exact | 19.9% | ✓✗!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Ty France Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -316 | Caesars Under 0.5 -290 | best price | 19.9% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Jase Bowen Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -441 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -340 | best price | 19.9% | ✓✗!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Fernando Tatis Jr. Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -172 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -150 | best price | 19.7% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Rafael Devers Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -217 | DK Under 0.5 -217 | exact | 16.3% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Jake Bauers Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -166 | Caesars Under 0.5 -159 | best price | 15.8% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Cam Smith Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -238 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -230 | best price | 15.6% | ✓✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Matt McLain Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -241 | Caesars Under 0.5 -240 | best price | 13.7% | ✓✗!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Tyler Soderstrom Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -310 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 | best price | 12.7% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Isaac Paredes Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -156 | DK Under 0.5 -156 | exact | 12.4% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Manny Machado Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -198 | DK Under 0.5 -198 | exact | 11.8% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Wade Meckler Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -180 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -180 | best price | 11.8% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Logan O'Hoppe Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -299 | DK Under 0.5 -299 | exact | 11.8% | ✓✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Donovan Walton Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -305 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -265 | best price | 11.8% | ✓✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Denzer Guzman Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -335 | Caesars Under 0.5 -325 | best price | 11.8% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.8% vs 30% min using selected line 0.5 — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Nick Madrigal Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -298 | DK Under 0.5 -298 | exact | 11.8% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Xander Bogaerts Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -260 | Caesars Under 0.5 -245 | best price | 11.6% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Garrett Mitchell Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -189 | Fanatics Under 0.5 -185 | best price | 11.1% | ✓✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Nathaniel Lowe Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -173 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -170 | best price | 6.7% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Matt Chapman Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | +172 | Fanatics Over 0.5 +185 | best price | 5.5% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Gavin Sheets Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -267 | DK Under 0.5 -267 | exact | 5.5% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 30% min using blended line 0.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Walks | Sal Stewart Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | +156 | Caesars Over 0.5 +160 | best price | 3.5% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 64.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) clears, but raw gap +0.97 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | CJ Abrams Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.5 | -114 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 64.6% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 57.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) clears, but raw gap +0.86 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Nathaniel Lowe Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | +105 | DK Over 1.5 +105 | exact | 57.5% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 53.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) clears, but raw gap +0.80 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Sal Stewart Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | -102 | Caesars Over 1.5 +100 | best price | 53.0% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 47.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Willy Adames Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -114 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 47.2% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 46.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Noelvi Marte Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | +118 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 46.5% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 44.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jo Adell Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -114 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 43.7% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Daylen Lile Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -107 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 38.0% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.0% vs 50% min using blended line 2.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Andrew Vaughn Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 2.5 | 1.6 | -145 | BetOnline Under 2.5 -135 | best price | 38.0% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.6% vs 50% min using blended line 2.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jackson Chourio Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 2.5 | 1.6 | -124 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -110 | best price | 35.5% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.2% vs 50% min using blended line 2.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Yordan Alvarez Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 2.5 | 3.4 | -107 | theScore Bet Over 2.5 +100 | best price | 35.2% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Matt Chapman Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +113 | DK Over 1.5 +113 | exact | 34.4% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | LaMonte Wade Jr. Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +123 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 30.9% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 83.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1 (4 books) clears, but raw gap +0.83 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Taylor Trammell Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +122 | BetMGM Over 0.5 -160 | alt rescue | 21.9% | !✗✓–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Cam Smith Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -107 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 20.4% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.0% vs 50% min using blended line 2.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jeremy Pena Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 2.5 | 2.0 | -164 | theScore Bet Under 2.5 -160 | best price | 20.0% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Luis Garcia Jr. Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -109 | DK Over 1.5 -109 | exact | 19.8% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Luis Rengifo Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | +106 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 +115 | best price | 14.9% | ✓✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Xander Bogaerts Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -106 | Caesars Over 1.5 -106 | best price | 14.3% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Wade Meckler Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +107 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 13.0% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Bryce Eldridge Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -101 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 12.7% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jackson Merrill Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -111 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 12.2% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Tyler Soderstrom Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -108 | DK Over 1.5 -108 | exact | 11.9% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | JJ Bleday Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +101 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 11.3% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Blake Dunn Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +102 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 11.3% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Curtis Mead Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -109 | DK Over 1.5 -109 | exact | 10.6% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Zack Gelof Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -171 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -150 | best price | 10.4% | ✓✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Garrett Mitchell Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -109 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 9.4% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Eugenio Suarez Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +126 | Caesars Over 1.5 +127 | best price | 9.2% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Nick Madrigal Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -105 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 8.6% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Dylan Crews Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -104 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +100 | best price | 8.5% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Henry Bolte Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -130 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -120 | best price | 7.6% | ✓✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Projection is below blended line 2 (6 books): market gap -0.39; blended market flips the selected Over edge — po… | Batter H+R+RBI | Christian Yelich Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -163 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -160 | best price | 7.5% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Eric Haase Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +105 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 7.0% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Projection is above blended line 1.25 (4 books): market gap +0.16; blended market flips the selected Under edge… | Batter H+R+RBI | Freddy Fermin Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -143 | DK Under 1.5 -143 | exact | 5.8% | ✓✗!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Keibert Ruiz Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +123 | DK Over 1.5 +123 | exact | 4.2% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 50% min using blended line 2.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Brice Turang Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 2.5 | 2.6 | +123 | DK Over 2.5 +123 | exact | 4.0% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Brent Rooker Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -113 | BetMGM Under 1.5 +105 | best price | 3.8% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Logan O'Hoppe Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +116 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 3.2% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.25 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Donovan Walton Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +119 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 3.2% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.2% vs 50% min using blended line 2.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | William Contreras Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 2.5 | 2.4 | -142 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -130 | best price | 3.1% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (7 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ty France Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +103 | DK Over 1.5 +103 | exact | 3.1% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Max Muncy (2002) Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -103 | DK Over 1.5 -103 | exact | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jase Bowen Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -175 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -150 | best price | 2.8% | ✓✗!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Colby Thomas Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -144 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -125 | best price | 1.9% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Joey Ortiz Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -120 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -110 | best price | 1.8% | ✓✗✓–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.2% vs 50% min using blended line 2.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Shea Langeliers Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 2.5 | 2.5 | +110 | Bovada Direct Over 2.5 +115 | best price | 1.1% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Projection is above blended line 2.25 (4 books): market gap +0.24; blended market flips the selected Under edge… | Batter H+R+RBI | Jake Bauers Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 2.5 | 2.5 | -136 | DK Under 2.5 -136 | exact | 0.4% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 67.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Casey Schmitt Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.5 | -106 | Caesars Over 1.5 -104 | best price | 67.3% | !✗✓–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 50.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Christian Walker Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | +123 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 50.9% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 47.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Shea Langeliers Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -122 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -115 | best price | 47.2% | !✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 43.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Luis Rengifo Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 0.8 | -168 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -150 | best price | 43.6% | ✓✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | James Wood Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | +138 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 37.7% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Willy Adames Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +130 | DK Over 1.5 +130 | exact | 34.9% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | CJ Abrams Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +137 | DK Over 1.5 +137 | exact | 30.7% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Luis Arraez Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +108 | Fanatics Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 30.6% | !✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jose Altuve Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +135 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 29.9% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jeremy Pena Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -104 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 29.9% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.9% vs 70% min using selected line 1.5 — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jake Bauers Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -112 | DK Over 1.5 -112 | exact | 24.9% | !✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jung Hoo Lee Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +117 | Caesars Over 1.5 +118 | best price | 24.4% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Rafael Devers Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +127 | DK Over 1.5 +127 | exact | 22.4% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Sal Stewart Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +145 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +150 | best price | 20.1% | !✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Nick Kurtz Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +111 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 18.8% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Manny Machado Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -186 | Caesars Under 1.5 -179 | best price | 17.9% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Zach Neto Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +122 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 16.9% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Isaac Paredes Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +135 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 15.8% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Brice Turang Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +107 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 14.8% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.5% vs 70% min using blended line 1.3 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jo Adell Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +125 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 14.2% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Fernando Tatis Jr. Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -164 | Caesars Under 1.5 -164 | best price | 12.2% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 65.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Nick Madrigal Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +158 | Caesars Over 1.5 +162 | best price | 10.1% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Daylen Lile Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +136 | DK Over 1.5 +136 | exact | 9.0% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Curtis Mead Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +132 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 7.7% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Luis Garcia Jr. Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -193 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -185 | best price | 6.9% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.3 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Mike Trout Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +119 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 6.0% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Christian Yelich Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +112 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 4.7% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Jackson Chourio Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -126 | DK Over 1.5 -126 | exact | 4.7% | !✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Andrew Vaughn Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -113 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 4.7% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Brent Rooker Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -153 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -150 | best price | 4.5% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.6% vs 70% min using blended line 1.25 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Max Muncy (2002) Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +135 | DK Over 1.5 +135 | exact | 4.3% | ✓✗✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.0% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | William Contreras Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -107 | DK Over 1.5 -107 | exact | 2.1% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 70% min using blended line 1.5 (4 books) — posture note at D | Batter Total Bas | Tyler Soderstrom Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -173 | Caesars Under 1.5 -170 | best price | 1.3% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | Total | Under 11.0 | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 11.0 | - | -110 | LowVig Under 11 -104 | best price | +23.8% | –✓–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Away pen fatigued (1.05x) | Total | Over 7.5 | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 7.5 | - | -114 | Fanatics Over 7.5 -110 | best price | +17.1% | –✓–––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: selected book disagrees | F5 Total | Under 5.5 | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 5.5 | - | -102 | MyBookie Under 6 -120 | alt rescue | +16.7% | –✓✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.9 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | - | 3.9 | +110 | DraftKings +110 | -2.9% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.9 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | - | 3.9 | -120 | DraftKings -120 | -9.5% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.1 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | - | 4.1 | -136 | DraftKings -136 | -10.8% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 2.9 below 7.7 threshold — posture note at D | NRFI | NRFI | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | - | 2.9 | +110 | DraftKings +110 | -14.3% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 23% (≥20%) — verify model inputs | YRFI | YRFI | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | - | 7.1 | -140 | DraftKings -140 | +23.3% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | - | 5.9 | +106 | DraftKings +106 | +19.7% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | - | 6.1 | -106 | DraftKings -106 | +18.5% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | - | 6.1 | -140 | DraftKings -140 | +11.9% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.020/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Fernando Tatis Jr. Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 96.6% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Brent Rooker Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -400 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -325 | best price | 94.0% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Colby Thomas Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -600 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 94.0% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Zack Gelof Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 94.0% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Henry Bolte Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 94.0% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Alika Williams Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 94.0% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Ty France Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 93.7% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jase Bowen Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.7% | –✗!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Samad Taylor Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.7% | –✗!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Freddy Fermin Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.7% | –✗!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Max Muncy (2002) Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 93.4% | –✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jackson Chourio Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -475 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -350 | best price | 93.4% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Andrew Vaughn Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -550 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -400 | best price | 93.4% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Christian Yelich Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -750 | best price | 93.4% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Luis Rengifo Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 93.4% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Joey Ortiz Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.4% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Nasim Nunez Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -10000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -10000 | best price | 93.4% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jorbit Vivas Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -5000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -5000 | best price | 93.2% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Curtis Mead Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.2% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Dylan Crews Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.2% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Keibert Ruiz Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.2% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Eugenio Suarez Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -800 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 93.2% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | JJ Bleday Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -900 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 93.2% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Tyler Stephenson Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.2% | –✗!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Blake Dunn Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.2% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Edwin Arroyo Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 93.2% | –✗!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Donovan Walton Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.1% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Wade Meckler Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.1% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Nick Madrigal Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -4000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 | best price | 93.1% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Logan O'Hoppe Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 93.1% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Bryce Eldridge Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 92.8% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Drew Gilbert Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 92.8% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Eric Haase Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 92.8% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Luis Arraez Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -5000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -5000 | best price | 92.7% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jose Altuve Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 91.8% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Taylor Trammell Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 91.8% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jeremy Pena Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 91.8% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.050/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Garrett Mitchell Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -750 | best price | 89.7% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jung Hoo Lee Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 88.6% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Matt Chapman Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1200 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 86.4% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | William Contreras Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -650 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 83.4% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jackson Merrill Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 79.8% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Luis Garcia Jr. Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 77.8% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Cam Smith Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 77.0% | –✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Tyler Soderstrom Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 75.6% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Daylen Lile Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2800 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1800 | best price | 75.5% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Xander Bogaerts Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1600 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 73.9% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Rafael Devers Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -800 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -550 | best price | 72.8% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Matt McLain Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 72.6% | –✗!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Brice Turang Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 70.8% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jo Adell Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -750 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 65.7% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Isaac Paredes Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -900 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -750 | best price | 65.6% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.180/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Manny Machado Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -750 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 64.8% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.180/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Noelvi Marte Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 63.9% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.180/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Gavin Sheets Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 63.9% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Nick Kurtz Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -450 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -450 | best price | 62.1% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Willy Adames Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -800 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 61.6% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Zach Neto Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -700 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 61.4% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Sal Stewart Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 60.7% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.210/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Jake Bauers Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 58.4% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.210/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Mike Trout Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -450 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -450 | best price | 57.2% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.220/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | CJ Abrams Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1600 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 56.8% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.250/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Nathaniel Lowe Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1200 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 50.0% | –✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.270/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | James Wood Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -1200 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -750 | best price | 46.8% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.270/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Shea Langeliers Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -370 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -280 | best price | 45.2% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.300/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Christian Walker Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -600 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -550 | best price | 40.6% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.300/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Casey Schmitt Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -700 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 39.3% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.430/G <= 0.5 threshold — posture note at D | Batter HR | Yordan Alvarez Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -350 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -280 | best price | 14.9% | –✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| ► MONITOR | ||||||||||||
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Jackson Chourio Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -207 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -200 | best price | 42.0% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Andrew Vaughn Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -228 | DK Under 1.5 -228 | exact | 42.0% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Christian Yelich Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -278 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -220 | best price | 42.0% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Jeremy Pena Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -194 | DK Under 1.5 -194 | exact | 30.1% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Hits | William Contreras Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -217 | DK Under 1.5 -217 | exact | 23.1% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Casey Schmitt Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -249 | DK Under 1.5 -249 | exact | 17.1% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Yordan Alvarez Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -218 | DK Under 1.5 -218 | exact | 7.3% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (3 books) — posture note at D | Batter Hits | Luis Arraez Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -225 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -200 | best price | 3.7% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: diff_pct 64.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) clears, but raw gap +0.96 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Nick Kurtz Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 2.5 | -134 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -115 | best price | 64.1% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: diff_pct 60.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) clears, but raw gap +0.90 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jung Hoo Lee Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | -138 | Caesars Over 1.5 -128 | best price | 60.0% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 49.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Zach Neto Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -121 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 49.4% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 46.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Isaac Paredes Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -124 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -115 | best price | 46.2% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Rafael Devers Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -122 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 41.9% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Mike Trout Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -125 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -120 | best price | 38.9% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jose Altuve Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -124 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -120 | best price | 30.9% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.3% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (6 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Fernando Tatis Jr. Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -135 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -130 | best price | 23.6% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: diff_pct 63.0% vs 50% min using blended line 1 (4 books) clears, but raw gap +0.63 <= 1 min — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Gavin Sheets Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +119 | BetMGM Over 0.5 -165 | alt rescue | 8.4% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.7% vs 50% min using blended line 1.5 (5 books) — posture note at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Manny Machado Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -114 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 8.3% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
✓ PASS ! WARN ✗ FAIL – N/A | Checks order: Baby Line · Model Edge · Books · Matchup · Role · Game Script