| Market | Trust | Season N | Season WR | Season P&L | 14d N | 14d WR | 14d P&L | Grade A N | Grade A WR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | 287 | 55% | -10.32u | 86 | 56% | -3.50u | 117 | 58% |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | 179 | 59% | +9.86u | 55 | 55% | -1.27u | 3 | 33% |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | 124 | 54% | -2.89u | 28 | 54% | -1.99u | 40 | 65% |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | 176 | 68% | -1.48u | 172 | 67% | -2.45u | 2 | 0% |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | 57 | 54% | +0.87u | 35 | 57% | +1.97u | 0 | - |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | 56 | 64% | +7.11u | 52 | 65% | +7.82u | 1 | 0% |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | 49 | 61% | +1.01u | 46 | 59% | -1.15u | 2 | 50% |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | 36 | 75% | +2.06u | 22 | 68% | -0.77u | 0 | - |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | 28 | 48% | +4.54u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | 9 | 22% | -5.18u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | 6 | 50% | +2.85u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | 3 | 33% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | 2 | 100% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 82 | 45% | -10.71u | 7 | 86% | +3.02u | 1 | 0% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 49 | 40% | -8.74u | 7 | 57% | +0.55u | 1 | 100% |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 6 | 67% | +0.69u | 6 | 67% | +0.69u | 0 | - |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 728 | 50% | -87.23u | 321 | 51% | -29.60u | 91 | 51% |
Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from configured market status plus settled tracker performance.
| Market | Current Stage | Next Stage | Progress | Promotion Blockers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 2/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 3/4 | 14d P&L non-negative |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 2/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 4/5 | Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 4/5 | Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52% |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 🔬 Research | 2/5 | diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.
| Pitcher | Game | Overall | Whiff | Contact | Arsenal | Top Pitch | Notes / Data Gaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sánchez | Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays | 69.9 | 75.7 | 74.0 | 3 | Changeup (50% whiff, 38% usage) | Savant whiff 32.2%, put-away 27.7%, xwOBA 0.267, arsenal coverage 3 pitch type(s) |
| Kyle Harrison | Milwaukee Brewers vs Athletics | 63.5 | 63.3 | 67.5 | 4 | 4-Seam Fastball (32% whiff, 59% usage) | Savant whiff 29.3%, put-away 21.0%, xwOBA 0.280, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Will Warren | New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians | 57.2 | 53.7 | 62.5 | 5 | Sweeper (24% whiff, 22% usage) | Savant whiff 24.2%, put-away 21.5%, xwOBA 0.290, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Gavin Williams | Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees | 55.4 | 68.6 | 46.0 | 5 | Sweeper (44% whiff, 26% usage) | Savant whiff 30.6%, put-away 23.7%, xwOBA 0.323, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Ian Seymour | Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox | 54.1 | 58.2 | 51.5 | 6 | Sweeper (46% whiff, 21% usage) | Savant whiff 27.9%, put-away 18.7%, xwOBA 0.312, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Emerson Hancock | Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles | 48.6 | 51.4 | 47.0 | 6 | Sweeper (35% whiff, 20% usage) | Savant whiff 24.7%, put-away 18.4%, xwOBA 0.321, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Jeffrey Springs | Athletics vs Milwaukee Brewers | 48.0 | 44.9 | 50.0 | 5 | Changeup (39% whiff, 22% usage) | Savant whiff 21.8%, put-away 17.7%, xwOBA 0.315, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Logan Webb | San Francisco Giants vs Washington Nationals | 46.0 | 43.7 | 50.0 | 5 | Cutter (29% whiff, 10% usage) | Savant whiff 20.5%, put-away 19.1%, xwOBA 0.315, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels | 42.8 | 55.0 | 34.0 | 6 | Curveball (43% whiff, 34% usage) | Savant whiff 26.1%, put-away 19.1%, xwOBA 0.347, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Connelly Early | Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays | 41.6 | 46.7 | 39.0 | 6 | 4-Seam Fastball (25% whiff, 35% usage) | Savant whiff 21.7%, put-away 19.7%, xwOBA 0.337, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Andrew Abbott | Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres | 39.4 | 41.0 | 35.0 | 4 | Changeup (44% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 21.5%, put-away 14.3%, xwOBA 0.345, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Walker Buehler | San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds | 37.0 | 36.9 | 39.0 | 7 | Curveball (32% whiff, 13% usage) | Savant whiff 18.0%, put-away 17.3%, xwOBA 0.337, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Patrick Corbin | Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies | 35.9 | 37.6 | 29.5 | 5 | Slider (37% whiff, 25% usage) | Savant whiff 20.2%, put-away 13.6%, xwOBA 0.356, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Miles Mikolas | Washington Nationals vs San Francisco Giants | 31.8 | 31.6 | 28.5 | 6 | Slider (21% whiff, 21% usage) | Savant whiff 17.3%, put-away 13.4%, xwOBA 0.358, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros | 27.0 | 43.5 | 6.5 | 4 | Slider (30% whiff, 14% usage) | Savant whiff 21.6%, put-away 16.6%, xwOBA 0.402, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.
| Pitcher | Team | Hand | Season K% | Recent IP | Season IP | K IP | Pitch Ct | Leash | Savant | Contact | HR Vuln | Quality | Flags / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Springs | Athletics vs Milwaukee Brewers | L | 19.8% | 5.1 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 86 | short | full | 50.00 | 50.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.1 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 11.2% |
| Connelly Early | Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays | L | 23.6% | 6.0 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 101 | deep | full | 39.00 | 61.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.6%, low-K contact opponent 19.1% |
| Andrew Abbott | Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres | L | 16.6% | 5.6 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 94 | normal | full | 35.00 | 65.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Gavin Williams | Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees | R | 28.3% | 6.4 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 107 | deep | full | 46.00 | 54.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 11.2% |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels | R | 20.4% | 5.5 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 92 | normal | full | 34.00 | 66.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros | R | 21.2% | 4.2 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 70 | short | full | 6.50 | 93.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.2 IP/start |
| Kyle Harrison | Milwaukee Brewers vs Athletics | L | 31.2% | 5.4 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 91 | normal | full | 67.50 | 32.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.8% |
| Will Warren | New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians | R | 23.4% | 5.2 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 87 | normal | full | 62.50 | 37.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.4% |
| Cristopher Sánchez | Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays | L | 29.9% | 7.6 | 6.6 | 6.8 | 128 | deep | full | 74.00 | 26.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | low-K contact opponent 19.1% |
| Walker Buehler | San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds | R | 20.1% | 5.4 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 91 | normal | full | 39.00 | 61.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.0% |
| Logan Webb | San Francisco Giants vs Washington Nationals | R | 20.6% | 5.8 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 97 | normal | full | 50.00 | 50.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Emerson Hancock | Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles | R | 24.0% | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 97 | normal | full | 47.00 | 53.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.1% |
| Ian Seymour | Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox | L | 21.0% | 1.4 | 31.0 | 6.9 | 24 | short | full | 51.50 | 48.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 1.4 IP/start |
| Patrick Corbin | Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia Phillies | L | 16.8% | 4.8 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 80 | short | full | 29.50 | 70.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.8 IP/start |
| Miles Mikolas | Washington Nationals vs San Francisco Giants | R | 16.0% | 4.5 | 9.3 | 7.2 | 76 | short | full | 28.50 | 71.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.5 IP/start |
Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.
| Pitcher | Side | Game | Line | Proj | Gap | Edge / DIFF% | Grade | Rec | Status | Leash | K IP | Pitch Ct | Quality | Gate Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams | Gavin Williams Over | New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians | 17.5 | 20.6 | 3.1 | 17.8% | A | ALT_DERISK | research | deep | 6.3 | 107 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | ⚠ Market status RESEARCH: Pitcher Outs research-stage — downgraded to monitor/derisk — would have capped at C |
| Andrew Abbott | Andrew Abbott Under | Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres | 17.5 | 15.3 | -2.2 | 12.5% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.3 | 94 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 12.5% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap -2.18 <= 3 min |
| Kyle Harrison | Kyle Harrison Under | Milwaukee Brewers @ Athletics | 17.5 | 16.5 | -1.0 | 5.6% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.2 | 91 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.6% vs 10% min |
| Cristopher Sanchez | Cristopher Sanchez Over | Philadelphia Phillies @ Toronto Blue Jays | 20.5 | 21.5 | 1.0 | 4.8% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | deep | 6.8 | 128 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.8% vs 10% min |
| Connelly Early | Connelly Early Under | Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays | 17.5 | 16.7 | -0.8 | 4.5% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | deep | 6.0 | 101 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.5% vs 10% min |
| Emerson Hancock | Emerson Hancock Over | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | 17.5 | 18.0 | 0.5 | 2.8% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.8 | 97 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.8% vs 10% min |
| Logan Webb | Logan Webb Under | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | 18.5 | 18.1 | -0.4 | 2.1% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.9 | 97 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.1% vs 10% min |
QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.
| Player | Game | Research Side | Component Proj | H | R | RBI | Current | Uncertainty | Support | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers @ Athletics | Over 1.5 | 2.73 | 1.03 | 0.96 | 0.74 | 2.50 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Yandy Diaz | Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays | Over 1.5 | 2.59 | 1.49 | 0.55 | 0.55 | 2.66 / Over | 0.69 | exact_hrr_l10 | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Nick Kurtz | Milwaukee Brewers @ Athletics | Over 1.5 | 2.51 | 0.96 | 0.76 | 0.79 | 2.37 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians | Over 1.5 | 2.46 | 1.09 | 0.70 | 0.66 | 2.70 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=59,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 2.39 | 1.00 | 0.81 | 0.58 | 2.53 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=66,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Christian Walker | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 2.38 | 0.97 | 0.63 | 0.79 | 2.69 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=66,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 2.36 | 1.05 | 0.59 | 0.72 | 2.42 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Casey Schmitt | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 2.28 | 1.15 | 0.50 | 0.62 | 2.56 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Nathaniel Lowe | Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 2.26 | 1.30 | 0.48 | 0.48 | 2.32 / Over | 0.69 | exact_hrr_l10 | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Randy Arozarena | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 2.20 | 1.05 | 0.69 | 0.47 | 2.14 / Over | 0.40 | season_games=66,exact_hrr_l10 | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Zach Neto | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 2.19 | 0.92 | 0.74 | 0.53 | 2.15 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=63,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Pete Alonso | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 2.19 | 0.93 | 0.61 | 0.65 | 2.10 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=66,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies @ Toronto Blue Jays | Over 1.5 | 2.18 | 1.23 | 0.48 | 0.47 | 2.39 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Jonathan Aranda | Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays | Over 1.5 | 2.18 | 0.98 | 0.52 | 0.68 | 2.42 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Luis Arraez | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 2.17 | 1.30 | 0.49 | 0.38 | 2.33 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=63,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Junior Caminero | Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays | Over 1.5 | 2.15 | 1.06 | 0.62 | 0.46 | 2.54 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 2.10 | 1.26 | 0.49 | 0.36 | 2.33 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies @ Toronto Blue Jays | Over 1.5 | 2.10 | 0.93 | 0.57 | 0.60 | 2.54 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Mike Trout | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 2.09 | 0.81 | 0.77 | 0.51 | 2.00 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays | Over 1.5 | 2.09 | 1.05 | 0.45 | 0.60 | 2.06 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians | Over 1.5 | 2.09 | 0.99 | 0.53 | 0.56 | 2.28 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=63,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 2.07 | 0.97 | 0.52 | 0.59 | 2.21 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Gunnar Henderson | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 2.04 | 0.94 | 0.57 | 0.53 | 1.97 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 2.02 | 1.01 | 0.56 | 0.44 | 2.07 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies @ Toronto Blue Jays | Over 1.5 | 2.02 | 0.95 | 0.54 | 0.53 | 2.56 / Over | 0.40 | season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed, component_projection_diverges_from_current_model |
| Jo Adell | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 1.98 | 0.96 | 0.42 | 0.60 | 2.11 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=66,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 1.98 | 0.91 | 0.45 | 0.61 | 2.15 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays | Over 1.5 | 1.94 | 1.08 | 0.42 | 0.44 | 2.13 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Taylor Ward | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 1.92 | 0.94 | 0.65 | 0.33 | 1.84 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Willy Adames | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 1.91 | 0.99 | 0.49 | 0.43 | 1.95 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays | Over 1.5 | 1.91 | 0.86 | 0.52 | 0.53 | 1.90 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Garrett Mitchell | Milwaukee Brewers @ Athletics | Over 1.5 | 1.91 | 0.74 | 0.51 | 0.66 | 1.68 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=54,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Nolan Schanuel | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 1.90 | 1.00 | 0.39 | 0.51 | 1.91 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=51,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Spencer Steer | Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.90 | 0.95 | 0.58 | 0.37 | 2.10 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Ernie Clement | Philadelphia Phillies @ Toronto Blue Jays | Over 1.5 | 1.89 | 1.15 | 0.41 | 0.34 | 1.71 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Josh Naylor | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 1.89 | 1.02 | 0.42 | 0.45 | 1.84 / Over | 0.40 | season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10 | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Philadelphia Phillies @ Toronto Blue Jays | Over 1.5 | 1.87 | 1.00 | 0.52 | 0.34 | 1.96 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Rafael Devers | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 1.85 | 0.96 | 0.43 | 0.46 | 2.25 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=66,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Matt Chapman | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 1.85 | 0.93 | 0.43 | 0.48 | 2.13 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Cole Young | Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 1.83 | 0.89 | 0.43 | 0.50 | 1.77 / Over | 0.40 | season_games=66,exact_hrr_l10 | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies @ Toronto Blue Jays | Over 1.5 | 1.80 | 0.96 | 0.54 | 0.30 | 1.99 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays | Over 1.5 | 1.78 | 1.01 | 0.39 | 0.37 | 1.82 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Philadelphia Phillies @ Toronto Blue Jays | Over 1.5 | 1.78 | 0.83 | 0.44 | 0.50 | 1.68 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Jose Ramirez | New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians | Over 1.5 | 1.76 | 1.04 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 1.86 / Over | 0.69 | exact_hrr_l10 | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Chandler Simpson | Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays | Over 1.5 | 1.74 | 1.08 | 0.47 | 0.19 | 1.78 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 2.5 | 2.74 | 1.20 | 0.72 | 0.82 | 3.25 / Over | 0.40 | season_games=66,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed, component_projection_diverges_from_current_model |
| Chase DeLauter | New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians | Over 1.5 | 1.72 | 0.92 | 0.33 | 0.47 | 1.75 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants | Over 1.5 | 1.71 | 0.99 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 1.76 / Over | 0.69 | exact_hrr_l10 | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Trent Grisham | New York Yankees @ Cleveland Guardians | Over 1.5 | 1.71 | 0.74 | 0.50 | 0.46 | 1.90 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.69 | 1.05 | 0.34 | 0.30 | 1.82 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=63,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
Diagnostics only. HRR remains paused; these component projections are not used for recommendations.
| Grade | Signal | Type | Side | Game | Time (ET) | Line | Proj | Odds | Best Book / Line | Edge/Diff | Checks ✓!✗– | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ► GOOD ADDS | ||||||||||||
| B | ✅ Good Add Heavy juice (-152) — break-even ~60%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Hits All | Connelly Early Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 5.5 | 4.0 | -152 | DK Under 5.5 -152 | exact | 27.3% | ✓✓!––– | GOOD ADD |
| B | ✅ Good Add Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.06x) | Pitcher Hits All | Cristopher Sanchez Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 5.5 | 4.0 | -120 | BetMGM Under 5.5 -105 | best price | 27.3% | ✓✓!––! | GOOD ADD |
| B | ✅ Good Add | Pitcher Hits All | Grayson Rodriguez Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 5.5 | 6.4 | +106 | DK Over 5.5 +106 | exact | 16.4% | ✓✓!––– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch | Pitcher Earned R | Grayson Rodriguez Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 2.5 | 3.6 | -134 | DK Over 2.5 -134 | exact | 44.0% | ✓✓!––– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.06x) | Pitcher Earned R | Cristopher Sanchez Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -106 | BetMGM Under 1.5 +100 | best price | 40.0% | ✓✓!––! | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-154) — break-even ~61%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Earned R | Jeffrey Springs Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 3.5 | 2.6 | -154 | DK Under 3.5 -154 | exact | 25.7% | ✓✓!––– | GOOD ADD |
| B | ✅ Good Add Heavy juice (-156) — break-even ~61%, requires clean execution | Run Line | Baltimore Orioles +1.5 | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | - | -156 | BetRivers Baltimore Orioles 1.5 -152 | best price | +9.7% | –!✓––✓ | GOOD ADD |
| ► SMALL PLAYS | ||||||||||||
| A (Weak) | ◔ Small Play K final QC: opposing lineup not confirmed, juiced K over -146, pitch-type boost on 20% usage pitch — A would have capped at B | K Prop | Emerson Hancock Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 4.5 | 6.5 | -146 | BetRivers Over 4.5 -139 | best price | 45.4% | ✓✓✓✓–– | SMALL PLAY |
| A (Weak) | ◔ Small Play HRR trust gate: lineup not confirmed, consensus lean 67%, raw gap 1.2, weak consensus 67% without extra raw cushion — A would hav… | Batter H+R+RBI | Ben Rice Over | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.7 | -118 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 79.8% | ✓✓✓––✓ | SMALL PLAY |
| ► ALT / DERISK | ||||||||||||
| A (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Market status RESEARCH: Pitcher Outs research-stage — downgraded to monitor/derisk — would have capped at C | Pitcher Outs | Gavin Williams Over | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 17.5 | 20.6 | -165 | DK Over 17.5 -165 | exact | 17.8% | ✓✓✓––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees | books against us 33% (3 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C | K Prop | Logan Webb Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 5.5 | 4.2 | -133 | DK Under 5.5 -133 | exact | 23.2% | ✓✓✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C | Pitcher Earned R | Gavin Williams Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 2.5 | 1.8 | -166 | DK Under 2.5 -166 | exact | 28.0% | ✓✓✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C | Pitcher Earned R | Will Warren Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 2.5 | 2.0 | -150 | DK Under 2.5 -150 | exact | 20.0% | ✓✓✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk HRR trust gate: lineup not confirmed, raw gap 1.2 — B would have capped at C | Batter H+R+RBI | Christian Walker Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 2.7 | -118 | DK Over 1.5 -118 | exact | 79.4% | ✓✓✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk HRR trust gate: lineup not confirmed, consensus lean 67%, raw gap 1.2, weak consensus 67% without extra raw cushion — B would hav… | Batter H+R+RBI | Yandy Diaz Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.7 | -149 | DK Over 1.5 -149 | exact | 77.5% | ✓✓✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk HRR trust gate: lineup not confirmed, L10 HRR over-rate 30%, only 2 confirming book(s), raw gap 1.1, weak consensus 50% without e… | Batter H+R+RBI | Casey Schmitt Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.6 | -167 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -165 | best price | 70.9% | ✓✓!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk HRR trust gate: lineup not confirmed, raw gap 1.1 — B would have capped at C | Batter H+R+RBI | Bryce Harper Over | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 2.6 | -126 | DK Over 1.5 -126 | exact | 70.9% | ✓✓✓––! | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk HRR trust gate: lineup not confirmed, raw gap 1.0 — B would have capped at C | Batter H+R+RBI | Junior Caminero Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.5 | -122 | DK Over 1.5 -122 | exact | 69.5% | ✓✓✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk HRR trust gate: lineup not confirmed, L10 HRR over-rate 40%, raw gap 1.0 — B would have capped at C | Batter H+R+RBI | Kyle Schwarber Over | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 2.5 | -137 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 | best price | 69.2% | ✓✓✓––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 21.8% vs 17% min clears, but raw gap +0.76 <= 1 min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Miles Mikolas Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 3.5 | 4.3 | +121 | FanDuel Over 3.5 +138 | best price | 21.8% | ✓✗✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.6% vs 17% min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Jeffrey Springs Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 4.5 | 3.8 | -167 | BetMGM Under 4.5 -140 | best price | 16.6% | ✓✗✗!–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.3% vs 17% min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Spencer Arrighetti Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 5.5 | 6.3 | +108 | DK Over 5.5 +108 | exact | 15.3% | ✓✗✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.6% vs 17% min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Walker Buehler Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 4.5 | 3.9 | -105 | FanDuel Under 4.5 -105 | best price | 13.6% | ✓✗!✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.1% vs 17% min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Grayson Rodriguez Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 4.5 | 4.2 | +127 | BetMGM Under 5.5 -145 | alt rescue | 7.1% | ✓✗✗!–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.1% vs 17% min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Cristopher Sanchez Over | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 6.5 | 7.0 | -120 | BetMGM Over 6.5 -105 | best price | 7.1% | ✓✗✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.2% vs 17% min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Kyle Harrison Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 6.5 | 6.2 | -102 | FanDuel Under 6.5 +106 | best price | 4.2% | ✓✗!✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.9% vs 17% min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Connelly Early Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 4.5 | 4.4 | +126 | BetMGM Under 5.5 -150 | alt rescue | 1.9% | ✓✗✗!–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.9% vs 17% min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Andrew Abbott Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 4.5 | 4.4 | -140 | DK Under 4.5 -140 | exact | 1.9% | ✓✗✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 17% min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Will Warren Over | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 4.5 | 4.6 | +109 | DK Over 4.5 +109 | exact | 1.8% | ✓✗✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.5% vs 17% min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Patrick Corbin Over | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 3.5 | 3.5 | -164 | FanDuel Over 3.5 -164 | best price | 0.5% | ✓✗✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 12.5% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap -2.18 <= 3 min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Outs | Andrew Abbott Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 17.5 | 15.3 | -125 | BetMGM Under 17.5 +100 | best price | 12.5% | ✓✗✓––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.6% vs 10% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Outs | Kyle Harrison Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 17.5 | 16.5 | -134 | BetMGM Under 17.5 -110 | best price | 5.6% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.8% vs 10% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Outs | Cristopher Sanchez Over | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 20.5 | 21.5 | -110 | DK Over 20.5 -110 | exact | 4.8% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.5% vs 10% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Outs | Connelly Early Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 17.5 | 16.7 | -113 | BetMGM Under 17.5 -110 | best price | 4.5% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.8% vs 10% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Outs | Emerson Hancock Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 17.5 | 18.0 | -103 | DK Over 17.5 -103 | exact | 2.8% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.1% vs 10% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Outs | Logan Webb Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 18.5 | 18.1 | -126 | DK Under 18.5 -126 | exact | 2.1% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Hits All | Andrew Abbott Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 5.5 | 4.1 | -129 | DK Under 5.5 -129 | exact | 25.4% | ✓✓✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | Pitcher Hits All | Logan Webb Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 5.5 | 4.7 | -110 | BetMGM Under 5.5 +100 | best price | 14.5% | ✓!!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 15% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Hits All | Jeffrey Springs Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 5.5 | 5.3 | -123 | BetMGM Under 5.5 -120 | best price | 3.6% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 15% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Hits All | Patrick Corbin Over | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 5.5 | 5.6 | +120 | BetMGM Over 4.5 -175 | alt rescue | 1.8% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Earned R | Kyle Harrison Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 2.5 | 1.4 | -123 | DK Under 2.5 -123 | exact | 44.0% | ✓✓✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Pitcher Earned R | Emerson Hancock Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 2.5 | 1.9 | -126 | DK Under 2.5 -126 | exact | 24.0% | ✓✓✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Earned R | Connelly Early Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 2.5 | 2.2 | -156 | DK Under 2.5 -156 | exact | 12.0% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Earned R | Spencer Arrighetti Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 2.5 | 2.2 | -116 | DK Under 2.5 -116 | exact | 12.0% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Earned R | Logan Webb Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 2.5 | 2.2 | -154 | DK Under 2.5 -154 | exact | 12.0% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Earned R | Walker Buehler Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 2.5 | 2.3 | -153 | DK Under 2.5 -153 | exact | 8.0% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 20% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Earned R | Patrick Corbin Over | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 2.5 | 2.6 | -114 | BetMGM Over 2.5 -110 | best price | 4.0% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 20% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Earned R | Andrew Abbott Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 2.5 | 2.5 | -117 | DK Under 2.5 -117 | exact | - | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Jeremy Pena Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -203 | DK Under 1.5 -203 | exact | 42.2% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Andrew Vaughn Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -216 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -200 | best price | 42.2% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Jackson Chourio Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -217 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -180 | best price | 42.2% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 40.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Cole Young Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -252 | DK Under 1.5 -252 | exact | 40.4% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 37.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Alec Bohm Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -267 | DK Under 1.5 -267 | exact | 37.8% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Trea Turner Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -222 | DK Under 1.5 -222 | exact | 34.5% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 32.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Ernie Clement Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -274 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -235 | best price | 32.3% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 32.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Josh Naylor Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -238 | DK Under 1.5 -238 | exact | 32.2% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Julio Rodriguez Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -191 | DK Under 1.5 -191 | exact | 30.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Shea Langeliers Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -263 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -260 | best price | 23.5% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | William Contreras Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -205 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -200 | best price | 23.1% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Casey Schmitt Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -227 | DK Under 1.5 -227 | exact | 19.1% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Yandy Diaz Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -253 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -250 | best price | 12.0% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Luis Arraez Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -228 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -200 | best price | 11.2% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Jung Hoo Lee Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -243 | DK Under 1.5 -243 | exact | 11.2% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Yordan Alvarez Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -250 | DK Under 1.5 -250 | exact | 7.3% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | split consensus 50% (2 books) | Batter H+R+RBI | James Wood Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.5 | -103 | DK Over 1.5 -103 | exact | 68.5% | ✓✓✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 66.6% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +1.00 <= 1 min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Brice Turang Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 2.5 | -158 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -155 | best price | 66.6% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 61.4% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.92 <= 1 min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | CJ Abrams Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | -115 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 61.4% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 61.3% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.92 <= 1 min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jonathan Aranda Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | +117 | DK Over 1.5 +117 | exact | 61.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 59.5% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.89 <= 1 min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Brandon Marsh Over | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | +114 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 59.5% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 57.8% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.87 <= 1 min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Nick Kurtz Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | -106 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +100 | best price | 57.8% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 55.1% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.83 <= 1 min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Luis Arraez Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | -146 | DK Over 1.5 -146 | exact | 55.1% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 55.1% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.83 <= 1 min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jung Hoo Lee Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | -148 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -145 | best price | 55.1% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 54.4% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.82 <= 1 min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Nathaniel Lowe Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | +105 | DK Over 1.5 +105 | exact | 54.4% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 52.1% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.78 <= 1 min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Cody Bellinger Over | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | -105 | DK Over 1.5 -105 | exact | 52.1% | ✓✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 49.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Rafael Devers Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -121 | DK Over 1.5 -121 | exact | 49.9% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 47.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Sal Stewart Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -107 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 47.1% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 43.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Zach Neto Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -117 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 43.6% | ✓✗✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 43.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Isaac Paredes Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -114 | DK Over 1.5 -114 | exact | 43.3% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Randy Arozarena Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -129 | DK Over 1.5 -129 | exact | 42.4% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Matt Chapman Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | +100 | DK Over 1.5 +100 | exact | 42.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 41.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Wilyer Abreu Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -107 | DK Over 1.5 -107 | exact | 41.7% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 40.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jo Adell Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -106 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 40.9% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 40.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Spencer Steer Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | +106 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 40.2% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 39.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Pete Alonso Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -120 | DK Over 1.5 -120 | exact | 39.9% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jeremy Pena Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 2.5 | 1.6 | -161 | theScore Bet Under 2.5 -160 | best price | 38.2% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jackson Chourio Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 2.5 | 1.6 | -127 | DK Under 2.5 -127 | exact | 38.2% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Andrew Vaughn Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 2.5 | 1.6 | -136 | DK Under 2.5 -136 | exact | 38.2% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Daylen Lile Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -102 | DK Over 1.5 -102 | exact | 38.0% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 37.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Willson Contreras Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -123 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -118 | best price | 37.1% | ✓✗✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Mike Trout Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -117 | DK Over 1.5 -117 | exact | 33.5% | ✓✗✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 32.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Trea Turner Over | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -164 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -160 | best price | 32.5% | ✓✗✓––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Gunnar Henderson Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -124 | DK Over 1.5 -124 | exact | 31.1% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -108 | DK Over 1.5 -108 | exact | 30.5% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Willy Adames Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -109 | DK Over 1.5 -109 | exact | 30.1% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Yordan Alvarez Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 2.5 | 3.2 | +105 | DK Over 2.5 +105 | exact | 30.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Nolan Schanuel Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +104 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 27.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Trent Grisham Over | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -109 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 26.7% | ✓✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jarren Duran Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -117 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 26.5% | ✓✗✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Alec Bohm Over | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -140 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -140 | best price | 24.3% | ✓✗✓––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Cam Smith Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +102 | DK Over 1.5 +102 | exact | 22.9% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Taylor Ward Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +104 | DK Over 1.5 +104 | exact | 22.7% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jeff McNeil Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -156 | DK Under 1.5 -156 | exact | 22.5% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Josh Naylor Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -147 | DK Over 1.5 -147 | exact | 22.4% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ceddanne Rafaela Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -122 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -115 | best price | 21.7% | ✓✗✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Fernando Tatis Jr. Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -133 | DK Over 1.5 -133 | exact | 21.1% | ✓✗✓––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Caleb Durbin Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -152 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -150 | best price | 19.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +113 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 18.6% | ✓✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Chandler Simpson Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -105 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +100 | best price | 18.4% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Cole Young Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -148 | DK Over 1.5 -148 | exact | 18.2% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Luis Garcia Jr. Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +114 | DK Over 1.5 +114 | exact | 17.4% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Julio Rodriguez Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 2.5 | 2.1 | -157 | DK Under 2.5 -157 | exact | 17.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Chase DeLauter Over | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -108 | DK Over 1.5 -108 | exact | 16.6% | ✓✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ernie Clement Over | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -110 | DK Over 1.5 -110 | exact | 14.2% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Brayan Rocchio Over | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +131 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 12.7% | ✓✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Bryson Stott Over | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +104 | DK Over 1.5 +104 | exact | 12.2% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Xander Bogaerts Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -113 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +100 | best price | 12.1% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Kazuma Okamoto Over | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +116 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 11.7% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Garrett Mitchell Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +107 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 11.7% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Luis Rengifo Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | +108 | DK Under 1.5 +108 | exact | 10.4% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Adolis Garcia Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -133 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -130 | best price | 9.5% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Gavin Sheets Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +127 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 8.4% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jacob Young Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +128 | DK Over 1.5 +128 | exact | 8.4% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Steven Kwan Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -168 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -155 | best price | 8.0% | ✓✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jackson Merrill Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +110 | DK Over 1.5 +110 | exact | 7.8% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Manny Machado Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -117 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 6.2% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | William Contreras Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 2.5 | 2.4 | -136 | DK Under 2.5 -136 | exact | 5.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Curtis Mead Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -114 | DK Over 1.5 -114 | exact | 4.7% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Bryce Eldridge Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -106 | DK Over 1.5 -106 | exact | 4.7% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Daniel Susac Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +104 | DK Over 1.5 +104 | exact | 4.7% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Dylan Crews Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +106 | DK Over 1.5 +106 | exact | 4.7% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Drew Gilbert Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +127 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 4.7% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Kyle Manzardo Over | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +115 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 4.3% | ✓✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Paul Goldschmidt Over | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +119 | DK Over 1.5 +119 | exact | 4.3% | ✓✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Adley Rutschman Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -112 | DK Over 1.5 -112 | exact | 3.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Dominic Canzone Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -109 | DK Over 1.5 -109 | exact | 3.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Samuel Basallo Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -105 | DK Over 1.5 -105 | exact | 3.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Luke Raley Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -104 | DK Over 1.5 -104 | exact | 3.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Colt Emerson Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +100 | DK Over 1.5 +100 | exact | 3.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jhonny Pereda Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +129 | DK Over 1.5 +129 | exact | 3.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Coby Mayo Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +130 | DK Over 1.5 +130 | exact | 3.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jackson Holliday Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +136 | DK Over 1.5 +136 | exact | 3.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Logan O'Hoppe Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +125 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Wade Meckler Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +110 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jose Altuve Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -123 | DK Over 1.5 -123 | exact | 3.0% | ✓✗✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Oswald Peraza Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +108 | DK Over 1.5 +108 | exact | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jake Meyers Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +103 | DK Over 1.5 +103 | exact | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Nick Madrigal Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +103 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Christian Vazquez Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +115 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Donovan Walton Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +119 | BetMGM Over 0.5 -165 | alt rescue | 3.0% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | LaMonte Wade Jr. Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +129 | DK Over 1.5 +129 | exact | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | JJ Bleday Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -131 | BetOnline Under 1.5 -130 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Blake Dunn Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -133 | BetOnline Under 1.5 -130 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Miguel Andujar Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -107 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 +100 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ty France Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -114 | DK Under 1.5 -114 | exact | 3.0% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Eugenio Suarez Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -160 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -150 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Edwin Arroyo Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -177 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -165 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Christian Yelich Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -151 | DK Over 1.5 -151 | exact | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Brent Rooker Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -118 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Joey Ortiz Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -111 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Henry Bolte Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -108 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Blake Perkins Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -101 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Colby Thomas Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +111 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jonah Heim Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +111 | DK Over 1.5 +111 | exact | 3.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Zack Gelof Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +118 | BetMGM Over 0.5 -165 | alt rescue | 3.0% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Shea Langeliers Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 2.5 | 2.4 | -149 | DK Under 2.5 -149 | exact | 2.8% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Angel Martinez Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -142 | BetOnline Under 1.5 -140 | best price | 2.7% | ✓✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Andruw Monasterio Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +118 | DK Over 1.5 +118 | exact | 1.1% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ben Williamson Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +119 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 1.1% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Carlos Narvaez Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +130 | DK Over 1.5 +130 | exact | 1.1% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Marcelo Mayer Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +132 | BetMGM Over 0.5 -165 | alt rescue | 1.1% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ryan Vilade Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +120 | DK Over 1.5 +120 | exact | 1.1% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Masataka Yoshida Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -101 | DK Over 1.5 -101 | exact | 1.1% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | George Springer Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -136 | BetOnline Under 1.5 -130 | best price | 0.5% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | J.T. Realmuto Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -120 | DK Under 1.5 -120 | exact | 0.5% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Total Bas | Yordan Alvarez Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 3.0 | -112 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 98.6% | ✓✓✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | split consensus 50% (2 books) | Batter Total Bas | Kyle Schwarber Over | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 2.6 | +104 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 71.6% | ✓✓✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 60.1% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Casey Schmitt Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | -111 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 60.1% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 55.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Ben Rice Over | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | +108 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 55.6% | ✓✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 50.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Christian Walker Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | +123 | DK Over 1.5 +123 | exact | 50.9% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 47.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Shea Langeliers Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -117 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 47.2% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 45.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Junior Caminero Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | +115 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 45.8% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 44.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Yandy Diaz Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | +102 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 44.2% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 43.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Luis Rengifo Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 0.8 | -157 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -150 | best price | 43.6% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 43.4% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Bryce Harper Over | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | +119 | DK Over 1.5 +119 | exact | 43.4% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 37.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | James Wood Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | +144 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +145 | best price | 37.7% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Rafael Devers Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +119 | DK Over 1.5 +119 | exact | 33.2% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | CJ Abrams Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +136 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +138 | best price | 30.7% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Julio Rodriguez Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -108 | DK Over 1.5 -108 | exact | 23.2% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.5% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Jung Hoo Lee Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +108 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 22.5% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.1% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Sal Stewart Over | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +140 | DK Over 1.5 +140 | exact | 20.1% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Luis Arraez Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +111 | DK Over 1.5 +111 | exact | 20.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Willson Contreras Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +111 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 19.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Gunnar Henderson Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +117 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 18.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Manny Machado Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -176 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -175 | best price | 17.9% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Zach Neto Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +128 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 16.9% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Wilyer Abreu Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +129 | DK Over 1.5 +129 | exact | 16.6% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.5% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Cody Bellinger Over | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +133 | DK Over 1.5 +133 | exact | 16.5% | ✓✗!––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.4% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Chandler Simpson Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -211 | DK Under 1.5 -211 | exact | 16.4% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Xander Bogaerts Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -194 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 +160 | best price | 16.2% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Cole Young Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -155 | DK Under 1.5 -155 | exact | 16.2% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Isaac Paredes Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +139 | DK Over 1.5 +139 | exact | 15.8% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Brice Turang Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +117 | DK Over 1.5 +117 | exact | 14.8% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Jo Adell Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +138 | DK Over 1.5 +138 | exact | 14.2% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -178 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -175 | best price | 12.9% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Fernando Tatis Jr. Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -165 | DK Under 1.5 -165 | exact | 12.2% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Pete Alonso Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +126 | DK Over 1.5 +126 | exact | 11.7% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Daylen Lile Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +140 | DK Over 1.5 +140 | exact | 9.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.1% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Randy Arozarena Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +132 | DK Over 1.5 +132 | exact | 8.1% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Trent Grisham Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -166 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 +140 | best price | 7.6% | ✓✗!––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.5% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Chase DeLauter Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -184 | DK Under 1.5 -184 | exact | 6.5% | ✓✗!––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Curtis Mead Over | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +131 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +145 | best price | 6.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Mike Trout Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +121 | BetMGM Over 0.5 -165 | alt rescue | 6.0% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Travis Bazzana Over | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +133 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 5.6% | ✓✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Josh Naylor Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -140 | DK Under 1.5 -140 | exact | 4.9% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Adley Rutschman Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +132 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 4.7% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Dominic Canzone Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +138 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 4.7% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Samuel Basallo Over | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +134 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 4.7% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Jose Altuve Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +133 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 4.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Jeremy Pena Over | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -106 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 4.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Jackson Chourio Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -125 | DK Over 1.5 -125 | exact | 4.3% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Andrew Vaughn Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -115 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 4.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Brent Rooker Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +111 | BetMGM Over 0.5 -165 | alt rescue | 4.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Christian Yelich Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +125 | DK Over 1.5 +125 | exact | 4.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Henry Bolte Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +142 | DK Over 1.5 +142 | exact | 4.3% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Ceddanne Rafaela Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +120 | DK Over 1.5 +120 | exact | 2.8% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Jarren Duran Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +122 | DK Over 1.5 +122 | exact | 2.7% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.4% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Masataka Yoshida Over | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +150 | DK Over 1.5 +150 | exact | 2.4% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.1% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | William Contreras Over | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -117 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -115 | best price | 2.1% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Miguel Andujar Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -177 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 +180 | best price | 1.8% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | JJ Bleday Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -186 | DK Under 1.5 -186 | exact | 1.8% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Ty France Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -187 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -185 | best price | 1.8% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.5% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Jose Ramirez Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -160 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -150 | best price | 1.5% | ✓✗!––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | J.T. Realmuto Over | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +144 | DK Over 1.5 +144 | exact | 0.8% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | George Springer Over | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +148 | DK Over 1.5 +148 | exact | 0.8% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Ernie Clement Over | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +133 | DK Over 1.5 +133 | exact | 0.6% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Alec Bohm Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -155 | DK Under 1.5 -155 | exact | 0.3% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Trea Turner Over | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -101 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 0.2% | ✓✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk High Total edge 27% (≥25%) — verify model inputs / check line movement | Total | Under 11.0 | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 11.0 | - | -117 | LowVig Under 11 -113 | best price | +26.8% | –✓–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | F5 Total | Under 5.5 | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 5.5 | - | +100 | BetOnline Under 6 -120 | alt rescue | +20.6% | –✓✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 6.2 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D | NRFI | NRFI | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | - | 6.2 | -136 | DraftKings -136 | +13.8% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 5.0 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D | NRFI | NRFI | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | - | 5.0 | -115 | DraftKings -115 | +4.1% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 5.0 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D | NRFI | NRFI | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | - | 5.0 | -125 | DraftKings -125 | +2.1% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.0 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D | NRFI | NRFI | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | - | 4.0 | +122 | DraftKings +122 | +1.5% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.1 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D | NRFI | NRFI | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | - | 4.1 | -113 | DraftKings -113 | -6.1% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.7 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D | NRFI | NRFI | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | - | 3.7 | -118 | DraftKings -118 | -11.5% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.2 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D | NRFI | NRFI | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | - | 3.2 | +104 | DraftKings +104 | -12.2% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.4 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D | NRFI | NRFI | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | - | 3.4 | -118 | DraftKings -118 | -15.5% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 24% (≥20%) — verify model inputs | YRFI | YRFI | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | - | 6.6 | -108 | DraftKings -108 | +24.4% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 21% (≥20%) — verify model inputs | YRFI | YRFI | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | - | 6.8 | -132 | DraftKings -132 | +21.3% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 20% (≥20%) — verify model inputs | YRFI | YRFI | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | - | 6.3 | -108 | DraftKings -108 | +20.4% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | - | 5.9 | -113 | DraftKings -113 | +15.0% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | - | 6.0 | -156 | DraftKings -156 | +7.5% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | - | 5.0 | -102 | DraftKings -102 | +6.9% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | - | 4.3 | -111 | DraftKings -111 | -3.3% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | - | 3.8 | +106 | DraftKings +106 | -5.0% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.020/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Steven Kwan Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -4000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 | best price | 96.9% | –✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.020/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Caleb Durbin Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 96.8% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.020/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Fernando Tatis Jr. Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 96.6% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Eugenio Suarez Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -700 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 93.8% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | JJ Bleday Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -800 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 93.8% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Ty France Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 93.8% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jase Bowen Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.8% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Bryce Johnson Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 93.8% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Miguel Andujar Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.8% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Tyler Stephenson Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.8% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Blake Dunn Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.8% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Edwin Arroyo Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.8% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Freddy Fermin Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.8% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | George Springer Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 93.6% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Charles McAdoo Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.6% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Brandon Valenzuela Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.6% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Myles Straw Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -5000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -5000 | best price | 93.6% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Yohendrick Pinango Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -4000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 | best price | 93.6% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | J.T. Realmuto Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 93.6% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Nick Fortes Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.5% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Marcelo Mayer Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.5% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Ben Williamson Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -4000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 | best price | 93.5% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Taylor Walls Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -4000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 | best price | 93.5% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Carlos Narvaez Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 93.5% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Isiah Kiner-Falefa Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -4000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 | best price | 93.5% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Ryan Vilade Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 93.5% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Andruw Monasterio Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.5% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Chandler Simpson Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -10000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -10000 | best price | 93.5% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jose Altuve Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Wade Meckler Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Christian Vazquez Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jake Meyers Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Nick Madrigal Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -4000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Oswald Peraza Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jeremy Pena Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Logan O'Hoppe Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Colby Thomas Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Zack Gelof Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Christian Yelich Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jackson Chourio Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -450 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -450 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Andrew Vaughn Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Henry Bolte Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Brent Rooker Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -475 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -475 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Alika Williams Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Blake Perkins Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Joey Ortiz Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Darell Hernaiz Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jonah Heim Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Colton Cowser Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Colt Emerson Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Dominic Canzone Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Coby Mayo Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jhonny Pereda Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Samuel Basallo Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Luke Raley Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -700 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jackson Holliday Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Adley Rutschman Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Leody Taveras Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Luis Rengifo Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Nasim Nunez Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -10000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -10000 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Ryan McMahon Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -900 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Kyle Manzardo Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -800 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jose Caballero Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Travis Bazzana Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Paul Goldschmidt Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Ali Sanchez Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Daniel Schneemann Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Spencer Jones Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Patrick Bailey Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Curtis Mead Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Dylan Crews Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Bryce Eldridge Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Drew Gilbert Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Daniel Susac Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Keibert Ruiz Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Luis Arraez Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Taylor Ward Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 91.1% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.050/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 90.9% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.050/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Garrett Mitchell Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 89.7% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jung Hoo Lee Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 88.8% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Cole Young Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 87.9% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Matt Chapman Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 86.1% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Daulton Varsho Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 85.8% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Brayan Rocchio Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 85.3% | –✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Ernie Clement Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 84.4% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Nolan Schanuel Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 83.8% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | William Contreras Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -700 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 83.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Ceddanne Rafaela Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 83.2% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Randy Arozarena Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 81.8% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Cedric Mullins Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 81.7% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Adolis Garcia Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -750 | best price | 80.4% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Josh Naylor Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 80.3% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jackson Merrill Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 79.8% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Chase DeLauter Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -950 | best price | 78.7% | –✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Luis Garcia Jr. Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 77.8% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Bryson Stott Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 77.4% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Cam Smith Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 77.0% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Trea Turner Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 76.9% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Wilyer Abreu Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 76.0% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Daylen Lile Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 75.5% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Angel Martinez Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1600 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 74.3% | –✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jacob Young Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -5000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -5000 | best price | 74.2% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Xander Bogaerts Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1200 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 73.9% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Alec Bohm Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 73.8% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 73.5% | –✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Trent Grisham Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -700 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -500 | best price | 73.3% | –✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Matt McLain Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 72.6% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jose Ramirez Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -750 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 72.1% | –✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Brandon Marsh Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 71.3% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Cody Bellinger Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 70.9% | –✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Brice Turang Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 70.8% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Rafael Devers Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -700 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 70.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Spencer Steer Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 68.4% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jarren Duran Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 66.9% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Willy Adames Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -750 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -750 | best price | 65.9% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jo Adell Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -750 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 65.7% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Isaac Paredes Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -900 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -750 | best price | 65.6% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Kazuma Okamoto Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 65.5% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.180/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Manny Machado Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -600 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 64.8% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.180/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | J.P. Crawford Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 63.6% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Nick Kurtz Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -475 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -475 | best price | 62.1% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jonathan Aranda Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1600 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 61.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Zach Neto Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -700 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 61.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Pete Alonso Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -700 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 61.1% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Sal Stewart Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -800 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 60.7% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Julio Rodriguez Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -700 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 60.6% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Yandy Diaz Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -800 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 60.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Gunnar Henderson Under | MAR@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -750 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -750 | best price | 59.9% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Willson Contreras Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -550 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -450 | best price | 59.9% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.210/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Mike Trout Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -450 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -450 | best price | 57.2% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.220/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | CJ Abrams Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 56.8% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.250/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Nathaniel Lowe Under | RED@PAD | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1200 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 50.0% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.260/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Junior Caminero Under | SOX@RAY | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -550 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -450 | best price | 47.7% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.260/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Bryce Harper Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -800 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 47.6% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.270/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | James Wood Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 46.8% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.270/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Shea Langeliers Under | BRE@ATH | 10:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -390 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -390 | best price | 45.2% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.290/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Casey Schmitt Under | NAT@GIA | 9:46 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -750 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -750 | best price | 41.9% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.300/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Christian Walker Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -650 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -550 | best price | 40.6% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.310/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Ben Rice Under | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -400 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -400 | best price | 38.7% | –✗✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.430/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Yordan Alvarez Under | AST@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -350 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -280 | best price | 14.9% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.440/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Kyle Schwarber Under | PHI@JAY | 7:08 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -350 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -350 | best price | 12.9% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| ► MONITOR | ||||||||||||
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor K final QC: opposing lineup not confirmed, juiced K over -135 — retained at B — would have capped at B | K Prop | Gavin Williams Over | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 6.5 | 8.3 | -135 | FanDuel Over 6.5 -134 | best price | 27.2% | ✓✓✓!–– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jose Ramirez Over | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -123 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -120 | best price | 23.8% | ✓✗✓––✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Travis Bazzana Over | YAN@GUA | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -116 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -115 | best price | 4.3% | ✓✗✓––✓ | MONITOR |
✓ PASS ! WARN ✗ FAIL – N/A | Checks order: Baby Line · Model Edge · Books · Matchup · Role · Game Script