| Market | Trust | Season N | Season WR | Season P&L | 14d N | 14d WR | 14d P&L | Grade A N | Grade A WR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | 274 | 55% | -11.11u | 74 | 55% | -3.66u | 115 | 58% |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | 174 | 59% | +9.53u | 51 | 53% | -2.61u | 3 | 33% |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | 123 | 54% | -3.56u | 33 | 52% | -3.64u | 39 | 64% |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | 142 | 69% | +4.84u | 142 | 69% | +4.84u | 2 | 0% |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | 53 | 66% | +8.40u | 53 | 66% | +8.40u | 1 | 0% |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | 50 | 48% | -4.31u | 30 | 50% | -1.08u | 0 | - |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | 43 | 63% | +1.85u | 43 | 63% | +1.85u | 1 | 100% |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | 33 | 76% | +2.19u | 19 | 68% | -0.63u | 0 | - |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | 28 | 48% | +4.54u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | 9 | 22% | -5.18u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | 6 | 50% | +2.85u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | 3 | 33% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | 2 | 100% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 81 | 44% | -11.41u | 6 | 83% | +2.33u | 1 | 0% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 47 | 38% | -10.55u | 5 | 40% | -1.26u | 1 | 100% |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 5 | 60% | +0.01u | 5 | 60% | +0.01u | 0 | - |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 639 | 50% | -74.50u | 232 | 52% | -16.86u | 84 | 50% |
Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from configured market status plus settled tracker performance.
| Market | Current Stage | Next Stage | Progress | Promotion Blockers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 2/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 3/4 | 14d P&L non-negative |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 2/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 4/5 | Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 4/5 | Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 3/5 | season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 0/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52% |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 🔬 Research | 2/5 | diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.
| Pitcher | Game | Overall | Whiff | Contact | Arsenal | Top Pitch | Notes / Data Gaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Schlittler | New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox | 66.5 | 61.0 | 77.5 | 5 | 4-Seam Fastball (34% whiff, 45% usage) | Savant whiff 28.2%, put-away 20.9%, xwOBA 0.260, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Huascar Brazobán | New York Mets vs San Diego Padres | 65.8 | 56.4 | 79.0 | 4 | Changeup (31% whiff, 44% usage) | Savant whiff 26.4%, put-away 20.0%, xwOBA 0.257, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Jacob deGrom | Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians | 62.9 | 77.6 | 53.5 | 5 | Changeup (43% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 34.9%, put-away 24.2%, xwOBA 0.308, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Shane Drohan | Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies | 62.9 | 60.9 | 69.5 | 6 | Slider (36% whiff, 18% usage) | Savant whiff 28.0%, put-away 21.1%, xwOBA 0.276, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Mason Montgomery | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves | 60.4 | 71.3 | 54.0 | 4 | Curveball (39% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 30.8%, put-away 25.9%, xwOBA 0.307, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Kevin Gausman | Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles | 59.4 | 57.9 | 62.5 | 3 | Split-Finger (38% whiff, 38% usage) | Savant whiff 27.4%, put-away 19.3%, xwOBA 0.290, arsenal coverage 3 pitch type(s) |
| José Soriano | Los Angeles Angels vs Los Angeles Dodgers | 59.1 | 74.5 | 48.5 | 5 | Split-Finger (49% whiff, 18% usage) | Savant whiff 34.2%, put-away 22.4%, xwOBA 0.318, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Bryce Elder | Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates | 57.7 | 50.5 | 68.5 | 5 | Slider (33% whiff, 29% usage) | Savant whiff 23.0%, put-away 20.9%, xwOBA 0.278, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Emmet Sheehan | Los Angeles Dodgers vs Los Angeles Angels | 56.8 | 61.5 | 55.0 | 4 | Slider (40% whiff, 32% usage) | Savant whiff 29.1%, put-away 19.5%, xwOBA 0.305, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Gage Jump | Athletics vs Houston Astros | 55.6 | 43.8 | 67.5 | 5 | Slider (27% whiff, 24% usage) | Savant whiff 20.7%, put-away 18.7%, xwOBA 0.280, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Cade Cavalli | Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks | 54.3 | 58.9 | 50.5 | 5 | Curveball (43% whiff, 30% usage) | Savant whiff 25.5%, put-away 24.1%, xwOBA 0.314, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Trevor McDonald | San Francisco Giants vs Chicago Cubs | 53.9 | 58.6 | 53.0 | 4 | Changeup (41% whiff, 13% usage) | Savant whiff 25.9%, put-away 23.1%, xwOBA 0.309, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Ranger Suarez | Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees | 52.1 | 50.3 | 57.0 | 6 | Curveball (46% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 22.5%, put-away 21.7%, xwOBA 0.301, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Connor Prielipp | Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals | 50.7 | 47.8 | 53.5 | 5 | Curveball (36% whiff, 16% usage) | Savant whiff 23.8%, put-away 16.4%, xwOBA 0.308, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Joey Cantillo | Cleveland Guardians vs Texas Rangers | 49.0 | 52.0 | 45.5 | 5 | Changeup (40% whiff, 29% usage) | Savant whiff 25.9%, put-away 16.5%, xwOBA 0.324, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Jack Flaherty | Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners | 48.7 | 54.5 | 41.5 | 5 | Curveball (36% whiff, 20% usage) | Savant whiff 26.2%, put-away 18.4%, xwOBA 0.332, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Aaron Nola | Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago White Sox | 48.2 | 51.4 | 44.5 | 5 | Curveball (39% whiff, 34% usage) | Savant whiff 24.1%, put-away 19.6%, xwOBA 0.326, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Michael Soroka | Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals | 47.8 | 49.5 | 48.5 | 5 | Slurve (34% whiff, 33% usage) | Savant whiff 23.0%, put-away 19.8%, xwOBA 0.318, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Griffin Jax | Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins | 47.5 | 63.0 | 32.0 | 6 | Sweeper (39% whiff, 25% usage) | Savant whiff 30.0%, put-away 19.3%, xwOBA 0.351, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Noah Cameron | Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins | 47.4 | 50.6 | 44.0 | 6 | Curveball (34% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 24.3%, put-away 18.3%, xwOBA 0.327, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays | 47.2 | 40.2 | 51.0 | 7 | Changeup (32% whiff, 23% usage) | Savant whiff 20.4%, put-away 15.7%, xwOBA 0.313, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Mike Burrows | Houston Astros vs Athletics | 45.9 | 49.6 | 40.5 | 5 | Changeup (33% whiff, 26% usage) | Savant whiff 23.1%, put-away 19.7%, xwOBA 0.334, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Shane Baz | Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays | 43.7 | 41.6 | 46.0 | 5 | Curveball (30% whiff, 34% usage) | Savant whiff 20.3%, put-away 17.3%, xwOBA 0.323, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Luis Castillo | Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers | 42.8 | 50.8 | 32.0 | 4 | Slider (32% whiff, 26% usage) | Savant whiff 25.8%, put-away 15.6%, xwOBA 0.351, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Jameson Taillon | Chicago Cubs vs San Francisco Giants | 41.2 | 53.5 | 30.0 | 6 | Sweeper (33% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 25.8%, put-away 18.2%, xwOBA 0.355, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Rhett Lowder | Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals | 35.4 | 37.0 | 32.5 | 4 | Slider (32% whiff, 25% usage) | Savant whiff 18.4%, put-away 16.6%, xwOBA 0.350, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Kyle Freeland | Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers | 32.9 | 46.6 | 14.5 | 6 | Sweeper (34% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 22.9%, put-away 17.1%, xwOBA 0.386, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Michael McGreevy | St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds | 31.2 | 40.1 | 23.5 | 7 | Changeup (33% whiff, 21% usage) | Savant whiff 20.7%, put-away 15.0%, xwOBA 0.368, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Randy Vásquez | San Diego Padres vs New York Mets | 30.8 | 44.2 | 17.5 | 7 | Cutter (22% whiff, 24% usage) | Savant whiff 22.4%, put-away 15.6%, xwOBA 0.380, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Tyler Gilbert | Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies | 16.8 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 4 | Sweeper (29% whiff, 33% usage) | Savant whiff 13.6%, put-away 11.3%, xwOBA 0.544, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.
| Pitcher | Team | Hand | Season K% | Recent IP | Season IP | K IP | Pitch Ct | Leash | Savant | Contact | HR Vuln | Quality | Flags / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Soroka | Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals | R | 22.4% | 5.9 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 99 | normal | full | 48.50 | 51.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Gage Jump | Athletics vs Houston Astros | L | 21.6% | 6.0 | 6.0 | 5.8 | 101 | deep | full | 67.50 | 32.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Bryce Elder | Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates | R | 18.8% | 5.3 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 89 | normal | full | 68.50 | 31.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.1% |
| Shane Baz | Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays | R | 21.3% | 6.0 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 101 | deep | full | 46.00 | 54.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | low-K contact opponent 19.1% |
| Ranger Suarez | Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees | L | 24.8% | 4.2 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 70 | short | full | 57.00 | 43.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.2 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 11.3% |
| Jameson Taillon | Chicago Cubs vs San Francisco Giants | R | 19.8% | 5.1 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 86 | short | full | 30.00 | 70.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.1 IP/start |
| Tyler Gilbert | Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies | L | 19.1% | 1.1 | - | 5.1 | 18 | short | full | 0.00 | 100.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 1.1 IP/start |
| Rhett Lowder | Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals | R | 18.5% | 4.3 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 72 | short | full | 32.50 | 67.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.3 IP/start |
| Joey Cantillo | Cleveland Guardians vs Texas Rangers | L | 20.4% | 4.4 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 74 | short | full | 45.50 | 54.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.4 IP/start |
| Kyle Freeland | Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers | L | 18.7% | 4.3 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 72 | short | full | 14.50 | 85.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.3 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 11.3% |
| Jack Flaherty | Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners | R | 26.2% | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 76 | short | full | 41.50 | 58.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.5 IP/start |
| Mike Burrows | Houston Astros vs Athletics | R | 17.8% | 4.8 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 80 | short | full | 40.50 | 59.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.8 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.8% |
| Noah Cameron | Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins | L | 24.1% | 5.0 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 84 | short | full | 44.00 | 56.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.0 IP/start |
| José Soriano | Los Angeles Angels vs Los Angeles Dodgers | R | 25.9% | 5.5 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 92 | normal | full | 48.50 | 51.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.3% |
| Emmet Sheehan | Los Angeles Dodgers vs Los Angeles Angels | R | 24.8% | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 89 | normal | full | 55.00 | 45.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays | R | 16.9% | 5.4 | 6.3 | 6.1 | 91 | normal | full | 51.00 | 49.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.7%, low-K contact opponent 19.0% |
| Shane Drohan | Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies | L | 26.0% | 2.8 | 15.6 | 6.7 | 47 | short | full | 69.50 | 30.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 2.8 IP/start |
| Connor Prielipp | Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals | L | 23.0% | 4.2 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 70 | short | full | 53.50 | 46.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.2 IP/start |
| Huascar Brazobán | New York Mets vs San Diego Padres | R | 23.5% | 1.1 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 18 | short | full | 79.00 | 21.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 1.1 IP/start |
| Cam Schlittler | New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox | R | 28.1% | 4.9 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 82 | short | full | 77.50 | 22.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.9 IP/start |
| Aaron Nola | Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago White Sox | R | 23.8% | 4.2 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 70 | short | full | 44.50 | 55.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.2 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.5% |
| Mason Montgomery | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves | L | 25.3% | 1.1 | 8.1 | 5.4 | 18 | short | full | 54.00 | 46.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 1.1 IP/start |
| Randy Vásquez | San Diego Padres vs New York Mets | R | 17.1% | 5.1 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 86 | short | full | 17.50 | 82.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.1 IP/start |
| Trevor McDonald | San Francisco Giants vs Chicago Cubs | R | 21.1% | 5.1 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 86 | short | full | 53.00 | 47.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.1 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 11.0% |
| Luis Castillo | Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers | R | 24.6% | 3.7 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 62 | short | full | 32.00 | 68.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 3.7 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.8% |
| Michael McGreevy | St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds | R | 15.5% | 4.4 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 74 | short | full | 23.50 | 76.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.4 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.2% |
| Griffin Jax | Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins | R | 22.3% | 3.6 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 60 | short | full | 32.00 | 68.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 3.6 IP/start |
| Jacob deGrom | Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians | R | 28.5% | 5.4 | 5.3 | 5.4 | 91 | normal | full | 53.50 | 46.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.4% |
| Kevin Gausman | Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles | R | 25.3% | 5.2 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 87 | normal | full | 62.50 | 37.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.2% |
| Cade Cavalli | Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks | R | 25.6% | 5.9 | 4.9 | 6.0 | 99 | normal | full | 50.50 | 49.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.
| Pitcher | Side | Game | Line | Proj | Gap | Edge / DIFF% | Grade | Rec | Status | Leash | K IP | Pitch Ct | Quality | Gate Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon | Jameson Taillon Under | San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs | 17.5 | 14.9 | -2.6 | 14.9% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | short | 5.4 | 86 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 14.9% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap -2.61 <= 3 min |
| Emmet Sheehan | Emmet Sheehan Under | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | 17.5 | 16.7 | -0.8 | 4.6% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.3 | 89 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.6% vs 10% min |
QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.
| Player | Game | Research Side | Component Proj | H | R | RBI | Current | Uncertainty | Support | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wood | Washington Nationals @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Over 1.5 | 2.78 | 1.12 | 1.05 | 0.61 | 2.89 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Over 1.5 | 2.57 | 1.09 | 0.64 | 0.84 | 2.51 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 2.43 | 1.15 | 0.58 | 0.70 | 2.73 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=47,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 2.39 | 1.14 | 0.66 | 0.59 | 2.09 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Corbin Carroll | Washington Nationals @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Over 1.5 | 2.36 | 1.14 | 0.75 | 0.47 | 2.25 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Ketel Marte | Washington Nationals @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Over 1.5 | 2.35 | 1.03 | 0.63 | 0.69 | 2.42 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Jung Hoo Lee | San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs | Over 1.5 | 2.35 | 1.36 | 0.62 | 0.37 | 2.45 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=57,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Zach Neto | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 2.35 | 0.99 | 0.88 | 0.47 | 1.99 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Casey Schmitt | San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs | Over 1.5 | 2.33 | 1.17 | 0.51 | 0.65 | 2.65 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=57,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Mike Trout | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 2.28 | 0.87 | 0.91 | 0.49 | 2.12 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Over 1.5 | 2.22 | 1.25 | 0.53 | 0.44 | 2.02 / Over | 0.64 | exact_hrr_l10,lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Kyle Tucker | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 2.22 | 0.94 | 0.69 | 0.59 | 2.08 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Luis Arraez | San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs | Over 1.5 | 2.20 | 1.30 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 2.35 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Pedro Ramirez | San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs | Over 1.5 | 2.19 | 1.23 | 0.52 | 0.43 | 2.03 / Over | 0.64 | exact_hrr_l10,lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies | Over 2.5 | 3.17 | 1.17 | 1.21 | 0.80 | 3.09 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=59,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| TJ Rumfield | Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies | Over 1.5 | 2.15 | 0.98 | 0.52 | 0.65 | 1.73 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Max Muncy | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 2.09 | 0.88 | 0.76 | 0.45 | 1.91 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=59,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Ryan Ward | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 2.07 | 1.13 | 0.51 | 0.43 | 1.82 / Over | 0.59 | exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Ian Happ | San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs | Over 1.5 | 2.05 | 0.87 | 0.65 | 0.53 | 2.04 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 2.01 | 1.04 | 0.50 | 0.48 | 2.42 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.97 | 1.02 | 0.57 | 0.38 | 2.34 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs | Over 1.5 | 1.96 | 0.95 | 0.54 | 0.47 | 2.00 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Over 1.5 | 1.95 | 1.02 | 0.54 | 0.39 | 2.05 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Willy Adames | San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs | Over 1.5 | 1.95 | 1.01 | 0.50 | 0.44 | 2.14 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Nolan Arenado | Washington Nationals @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Over 1.5 | 1.95 | 0.88 | 0.50 | 0.57 | 1.79 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=59,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Nolan Schanuel | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 1.94 | 1.01 | 0.38 | 0.56 | 1.80 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=50,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Garrett Mitchell | Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies | Over 1.5 | 1.90 | 1.04 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 1.80 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Jared Young | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.88 | 1.09 | 0.42 | 0.36 | 1.70 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Rafael Devers | San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs | Over 1.5 | 1.88 | 0.98 | 0.42 | 0.48 | 2.18 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies | Over 2.5 | 2.86 | 1.21 | 0.69 | 0.96 | 2.73 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Nico Hoerner | San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs | Over 1.5 | 1.86 | 0.98 | 0.38 | 0.49 | 1.80 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Matt Chapman | San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs | Over 1.5 | 1.84 | 0.91 | 0.44 | 0.49 | 1.94 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Alex Call | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 1.84 | 0.98 | 0.40 | 0.45 | 1.73 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Seiya Suzuki | San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs | Over 1.5 | 1.83 | 0.90 | 0.54 | 0.39 | 1.86 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=51,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Michael Busch | San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs | Over 1.5 | 1.82 | 0.89 | 0.40 | 0.54 | 1.79 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Curtis Mead | Washington Nationals @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Over 1.5 | 1.81 | 1.00 | 0.39 | 0.42 | 1.68 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.79 | 1.10 | 0.42 | 0.27 | 1.49 / Under | 0.35 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Luis Rengifo | Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies | Over 1.5 | 1.78 | 1.00 | 0.41 | 0.37 | 1.77 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| A.J. Ewing | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.73 | 0.98 | 0.34 | 0.40 | 1.67 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Alex Bregman | San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs | Over 1.5 | 1.71 | 1.00 | 0.43 | 0.28 | 1.76 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Troy Johnston | Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies | Over 1.5 | 1.70 | 0.96 | 0.37 | 0.38 | 1.67 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Over 1.5 | 1.70 | 0.94 | 0.36 | 0.40 | 1.65 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Jo Adell | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 1.67 | 0.88 | 0.32 | 0.48 | 1.69 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=65,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Gabriel Moreno | Washington Nationals @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Over 1.5 | 1.66 | 0.92 | 0.36 | 0.39 | 1.55 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 2.5 | 2.66 | 1.20 | 0.87 | 0.59 | 2.42 / Under | 0.35 | season_games=63,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Blake Perkins | Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies | Over 1.5 | 1.64 | 0.94 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 1.71 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Dalton Rushing | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 1.63 | 0.94 | 0.35 | 0.34 | 1.70 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Jackson Merrill | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.62 | 0.78 | 0.49 | 0.35 | 1.46 / Under | 0.35 | season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Manny Machado | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.61 | 0.62 | 0.46 | 0.53 | 1.38 / Under | 0.35 | season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Xander Bogaerts | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.60 | 0.78 | 0.38 | 0.43 | 1.34 / Under | 0.35 | season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
Diagnostics only. HRR remains paused; these component projections are not used for recommendations.
| Grade | Signal | Type | Side | Game | Time (ET) | Line | Proj | Odds | Best Book / Line | Edge/Diff | Checks ✓!✗– | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ► GOOD ADDS | ||||||||||||
| B | ✅ Good Add Heavy juice (-160) — break-even ~62%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Hits All | Jose Soriano Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 5.5 | 4.3 | -160 | DK Under 5.5 -160 | exact | 21.8% | ✓✓✓––– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch | Pitcher Earned R | Emmet Sheehan Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -143 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -140 | best price | 33.3% | ✓✓!––– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-205) — break-even ~67%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Shohei Ohtani Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 1.0 | -205 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 -200 | best price | 104.1% | ✓✓!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch | Batter Walks | Freddie Freeman Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.7 | -140 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 -135 | best price | 48.8% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch | Batter Walks | Max Muncy Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.7 | -134 | DK Over 0.5 -134 | exact | 31.1% | ✓!!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| ► SMALL PLAYS | ||||||||||||
| A (Weak) | ◔ Small Play K final QC: juiced K over -130 — A would have capped at B | K Prop | Cade Cavalli Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 4.5 | 5.9 | -130 | FanDuel Over 4.5 -114 | best price | 31.8% | ✓✓✓✓–– | SMALL PLAY |
| A (Weak) | ◔ Small Play K final QC: top-six opp K% 18.3%, 6/9 bats with platoon edge, juiced K over -140, expected IP 5.4 below A-grade leash — A would h… | K Prop | Randy Vasquez Over | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 3.5 | 4.5 | -140 | FanDuel Over 3.5 -140 | best price | 29.4% | ✓✓✓✓–– | SMALL PLAY |
| ► ALT / DERISK | ||||||||||||
| A (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk HRR trust gate: raw gap 1.4 — A would have capped at B | Batter H+R+RBI | James Wood Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.9 | -123 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -120 | best price | 92.6% | ✓✓✓–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| A (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk HRR trust gate: raw gap 1.2 — A would have capped at B | Batter H+R+RBI | Juan Soto Over | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.7 | -128 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -125 | best price | 81.8% | ✓✓✓–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk K final QC: 6/9 bats with platoon edge, pitch-type boost on 18% usage pitch — B would have capped at C | K Prop | Shane Drohan Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 4.5 | 8.5 | +126 | Bovada Direct Over 3.5 -150 | alt rescue | 89.8% | ✓✓!✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (5 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C | K Prop | Trevor McDonald Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 4.5 | 5.7 | +105 | BetMGM Over 4.5 +115 | best price | 27.0% | ✓✓✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Heavy juice (-156) + role/script uncertainty — B would have capped at C | Pitcher Hits All | Kyle Freeland Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 6.5 | 7.7 | -156 | BetMGM Over 6.5 -135 | best price | 18.5% | ✓✓✓––! | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Recent form: L10 20% + L5 10% (both cold) — would have capped at C | Batter Hits | Ezequiel Tovar Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 0.7 | -208 | DK Under 1.5 -208 | exact | 56.2% | ✓!!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Heavy juice (-206) + role/script uncertainty — B would have capped at C | Batter Hits | Willi Castro Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 0.8 | -206 | DK Under 1.5 -206 | exact | 47.7% | ✓!!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C | Batter Walks | Jo Adell Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -413 | DK Under 0.5 -413 | exact | 83.3% | ✓✓✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C | Batter Walks | Luis Garcia Jr. Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -504 | DK Under 0.5 -504 | exact | 79.7% | ✓✓✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C | Batter Walks | Jacob Young Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -423 | DK Under 0.5 -423 | exact | 73.8% | ✓✓✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C | Batter Walks | Jung Hoo Lee Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -455 | DK Under 0.5 -455 | exact | 68.3% | ✓✓✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C | Batter Walks | Nolan Schanuel Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -332 | DK Under 0.5 -332 | exact | 59.7% | ✓✓✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C | Batter Walks | Ezequiel Tovar Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -319 | DK Under 0.5 -319 | exact | 56.5% | ✓✓✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C | Batter Walks | Marcus Semien Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -301 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -290 | best price | 56.1% | ✓✓✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check — would have capped at C | Batter Walks | Carson Benge Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -199 | DK Under 0.5 -199 | exact | 53.9% | ✓✓✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check — would have capped at C | Batter Walks | A.J. Ewing Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -256 | DK Under 0.5 -256 | exact | 52.8% | ✓✓✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check — would have capped at C | Batter Walks | Jared Young Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -260 | DK Under 0.5 -260 | exact | 52.8% | ✓✓✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk HRR trust gate: lineup not confirmed, L10 HRR over-rate 30%, raw gap 1.1 — B would have capped at C | Batter H+R+RBI | Casey Schmitt Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 2.6 | -118 | DK Over 1.5 -118 | exact | 76.9% | ✓✓✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk HRR trust gate: consensus lean 50%, raw gap 1.0, weak consensus 50% without extra raw cushion — B would have capped at C | Batter H+R+RBI | CJ Abrams Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.5 | -116 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 67.5% | ✓✓!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (5 books) — strongly disagree | K Prop | Jose Soriano Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 5.5 | 7.0 | +102 | FanDuel Over 5.5 +108 | best price | 27.5% | ✓✓✗!–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.6% vs 17% min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Emmet Sheehan Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 6.5 | 6.8 | -112 | FanDuel Over 6.5 +102 | best price | 4.6% | ✓✗✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.7% vs 17% min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Jameson Taillon Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 4.5 | 4.5 | -118 | DK Under 4.5 -118 | exact | 0.7% | ✓✗✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 14.9% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap -2.61 <= 3 min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Outs | Jameson Taillon Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 17.5 | 14.9 | +105 | BetMGM Under 17.5 +125 | best price | 14.9% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.6% vs 10% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Outs | Emmet Sheehan Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 17.5 | 16.7 | -105 | BetMGM Under 17.5 +105 | best price | 4.6% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 33% (3 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Hits All | Michael Soroka Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 5.5 | 4.5 | -158 | DK Under 5.5 -158 | exact | 18.2% | ✓✓✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.9% vs 15% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Hits All | Cade Cavalli Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 5.5 | 4.9 | -141 | DK Under 5.5 -141 | exact | 10.9% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.1% vs 15% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Hits All | Trevor McDonald Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 5.5 | 5.0 | -145 | DK Under 5.5 -145 | exact | 9.1% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 15% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Hits All | Jameson Taillon Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 5.5 | 5.3 | -139 | BetMGM Under 5.5 -115 | best price | 3.6% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Walks | Kyle Freeland Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +101 | DK Over 1.5 +101 | exact | 23.9% | ✓✓✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Walks | Jose Soriano Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 2.5 | 3.1 | -160 | DK Over 2.5 -160 | exact | 23.8% | ✓✓✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Walks | Shane Drohan Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +156 | DK Over 1.5 +156 | exact | 21.9% | ✓!✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Pitcher Walks | Trevor McDonald Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -132 | DK Over 1.5 -132 | exact | 18.7% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | Pitcher Walks | Cade Cavalli Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -158 | DK Over 1.5 -158 | exact | 15.6% | ✓!!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | Pitcher Walks | Randy Vasquez Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -106 | DK Under 1.5 -106 | exact | 13.1% | ✓!!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.2% vs 20% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Walks | Jameson Taillon Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -135 | DK Under 1.5 -135 | exact | 11.2% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.2% vs 20% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Walks | Michael Soroka Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -174 | DK Under 1.5 -174 | exact | 9.2% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.0% vs 20% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Walks | Emmet Sheehan Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -162 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -155 | best price | 6.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Earned R | Shane Drohan Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 2.5 | 1.8 | -166 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -160 | best price | 28.0% | ✓✓✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Earned R | Jameson Taillon Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 2.5 | 3.0 | +119 | DK Over 2.5 +119 | exact | 20.0% | ✓✓✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Earned R | Cade Cavalli Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 2.5 | 2.1 | -149 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -145 | best price | 16.0% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Earned R | Michael Soroka Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 2.5 | 2.1 | -150 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -150 | best price | 16.0% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Earned R | Jose Soriano Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.1 | -102 | DK Under 2.5 -102 | exact | 16.0% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.6% vs 20% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Earned R | Kyle Freeland Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 3.5 | 3.8 | -121 | DK Over 3.5 -121 | exact | 8.6% | ✓✗!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Earned R | Trevor McDonald Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 2.5 | 2.3 | -149 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -145 | best price | 8.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 20% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Earned R | Randy Vasquez Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.5 | -142 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -135 | best price | - | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Hunter Goodman Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -253 | DK Under 1.5 -253 | exact | 42.4% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 41.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | TJ Rumfield Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -233 | DK Under 1.5 -233 | exact | 41.6% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Pete Crow-Armstrong Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -274 | DK Under 1.5 -274 | exact | 36.7% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Freddie Freeman Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -271 | DK Under 1.5 -271 | exact | 34.8% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Luis Rengifo Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -216 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -210 | best price | 34.1% | ✓✗!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Andrew Vaughn Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -131 | DK Under 1.5 -131 | exact | 34.1% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Joey Ortiz Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -255 | DK Under 1.5 -255 | exact | 34.1% | ✓✗!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Jackson Chourio Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -112 | DK Under 1.5 -112 | exact | 34.1% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Blake Perkins Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -261 | DK Under 1.5 -261 | exact | 34.1% | ✓✗!–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Gary Sanchez Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -263 | DK Under 1.5 -263 | exact | 34.1% | ✓✗✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Bo Bichette Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -257 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 +200 | best price | 26.6% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Brice Turang Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -155 | DK Under 1.5 -155 | exact | 19.5% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | William Contreras Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -140 | DK Under 1.5 -140 | exact | 16.2% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Luis Arraez Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -267 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -235 | best price | 11.0% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Casey Schmitt Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -477 | DK Under 0.5 -477 | exact | 77.8% | ✓✓✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Luis Arraez Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -568 | DK Under 0.5 -568 | exact | 62.9% | ✓✓✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Willy Adames Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -382 | DK Under 0.5 -382 | exact | 61.6% | ✓✓✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | MJ Melendez Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -369 | DK Under 0.5 -369 | exact | 52.8% | ✓✓✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Batter Walks | Luis Torrens Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -443 | DK Under 0.5 -443 | exact | 52.8% | ✓✓✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Batter Walks | Bo Bichette Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -403 | DK Under 0.5 -403 | exact | 50.9% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Daylen Lile Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -377 | DK Under 0.5 -377 | exact | 50.8% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Brett Baty Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -263 | DK Under 0.5 -263 | exact | 50.4% | ✓!✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Wade Meckler Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -251 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -250 | best price | 47.7% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Oswald Peraza Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -368 | DK Under 0.5 -368 | exact | 47.7% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Nick Madrigal Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -499 | DK Under 0.5 -499 | exact | 47.7% | ✓!✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Curtis Mead Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -307 | DK Under 0.5 -307 | exact | 47.5% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Jose Tena Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -382 | DK Under 0.5 -382 | exact | 47.5% | ✓!✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Dylan Crews Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -412 | DK Under 0.5 -412 | exact | 47.5% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Keibert Ruiz Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -464 | DK Under 0.5 -464 | exact | 47.5% | ✓!✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Troy Johnston Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -364 | DK Under 0.5 -364 | exact | 45.4% | ✓!✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Mike Trout Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.7 | +122 | DK Over 0.5 +122 | exact | 45.2% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Rafael Devers Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -245 | DK Under 0.5 -245 | exact | 42.5% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Gabriel Moreno Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -235 | DK Under 0.5 -235 | exact | 41.6% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Tommy Troy Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -312 | DK Under 0.5 -312 | exact | 41.6% | ✓!✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Batter Walks | LuJames Groover Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -314 | DK Over 0.5 +219 | exact | 41.6% | ✓!✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Ryan Waldschmidt Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -352 | DK Under 0.5 -352 | exact | 41.6% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Braxton Fulford Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -216 | DK Under 0.5 -216 | exact | 40.5% | ✓!✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Chad Stevens Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -233 | DK Under 0.5 -233 | exact | 40.5% | ✓!✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Willi Castro Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -252 | DK Under 0.5 -252 | exact | 40.5% | ✓!✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Jake McCarthy Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -396 | DK Under 0.5 -396 | exact | 40.5% | ✓!✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Pete Crow-Armstrong Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -331 | DK Under 0.5 -331 | exact | 37.2% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Nolan Arenado Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -314 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 | best price | 37.1% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Matt Chapman Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -346 | DK Under 0.5 -346 | exact | 36.8% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Bryce Eldridge Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -230 | DK Under 0.5 -230 | exact | 36.4% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Carson Kelly Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -362 | DK Under 0.5 -362 | exact | 36.4% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Moisés Ballesteros Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -391 | DK Under 0.5 -391 | exact | 36.4% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Drew Gilbert Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -445 | DK Under 0.5 -445 | exact | 36.4% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Daniel Susac Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -532 | DK Under 0.5 -532 | exact | 36.4% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Kyle Tucker Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.7 | -107 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 -105 | best price | 36.4% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Ketel Marte Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -211 | DK Under 0.5 -211 | exact | 34.9% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Hunter Goodman Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -243 | DK Under 0.5 -243 | exact | 34.7% | ✓!✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Pavin Smith Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -200 | DK Under 0.5 -200 | exact | 33.0% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | CJ Abrams Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -293 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -290 | best price | 32.0% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | TJ Rumfield Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -151 | DK Under 0.5 -151 | exact | 28.5% | ✓!✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Gary Sanchez Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -174 | DK Under 0.5 -174 | exact | 28.4% | ✓!✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Garrett Mitchell Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -178 | DK Under 0.5 -178 | exact | 28.4% | ✓!✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Blake Perkins Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -232 | DK Under 0.5 -232 | exact | 28.4% | ✓!✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Jackson Chourio Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -241 | DK Under 0.5 -241 | exact | 28.4% | ✓!✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Andrew Vaughn Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -268 | DK Under 0.5 -268 | exact | 28.4% | ✓!✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Luis Rengifo Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -290 | DK Under 0.5 -290 | exact | 28.4% | ✓!✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Joey Ortiz Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -346 | DK Under 0.5 -346 | exact | 28.4% | ✓!✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Ty France Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -254 | DK Under 0.5 -254 | exact | 27.8% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Jase Bowen Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -278 | DK Under 0.5 -278 | exact | 27.8% | ✓!✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Batter Walks | Samad Taylor Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -326 | DK Under 0.5 -326 | exact | 27.8% | ✓!✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Miguel Andujar Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -330 | DK Under 0.5 -330 | exact | 27.8% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Batter Walks | Freddy Fermin Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -375 | DK Under 0.5 -375 | exact | 27.8% | ✓!✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.3% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | William Contreras Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -200 | DK Under 0.5 -200 | exact | 25.3% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.5% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Jackson Merrill Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -272 | DK Under 0.5 -272 | exact | 24.5% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.3% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | James Wood Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.6 | +100 | DK Over 0.5 +100 | exact | 22.3% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.0% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Seiya Suzuki Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -234 | DK Under 0.5 -234 | exact | 20.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.6% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Alex Bregman Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -279 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -275 | best price | 19.6% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.6% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Nico Hoerner Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -451 | DK Under 0.5 -451 | exact | 19.6% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.3% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Michael Busch Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.6 | +113 | DK Over 0.5 +113 | exact | 19.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.7% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Xander Bogaerts Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -246 | DK Under 0.5 -246 | exact | 18.7% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.6% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Fernando Tatis Jr. Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -187 | DK Under 0.5 -187 | exact | 16.6% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.6% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Juan Soto Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -117 | DK Under 0.5 -117 | exact | 15.6% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.0% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Zach Neto Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -283 | DK Under 0.5 -283 | exact | 15.0% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.8% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Kyle Karros Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -199 | DK Under 0.5 -199 | exact | 14.8% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.0% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Brice Turang Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.6 | +106 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 +110 | best price | 14.0% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.6% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Ian Happ Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.6 | +120 | DK Over 0.5 +120 | exact | 10.6% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.8% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Ryan Ward Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.6 | +165 | DK Over 0.5 +165 | exact | 9.8% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.8% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Pedro Ramirez Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -378 | DK Under 0.5 -378 | exact | 6.8% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.6% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Geraldo Perdomo Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | +147 | DK Over 0.5 +147 | exact | 5.6% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.6% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Manny Machado Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -207 | DK Under 0.5 -207 | exact | 4.6% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.9% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Alex Call Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -133 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 -130 | best price | 0.9% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.9% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Alex Freeland Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | +122 | DK Over 0.5 +122 | exact | 0.9% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.9% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Dalton Rushing Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | +124 | DK Over 0.5 +124 | exact | 0.9% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.9% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Miguel Rojas Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | +236 | DK Over 0.5 +236 | exact | 0.9% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.8% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Corbin Carroll Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -191 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -190 | best price | 0.8% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 56.4% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.85 <= 1 min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Luis Arraez Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | -111 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 56.4% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 55.7% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.84 <= 1 min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Carson Benge Over | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | -105 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +100 | best price | 55.7% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 45.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Rafael Devers Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | +105 | DK Over 1.5 +105 | exact | 45.2% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 43.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Willy Adames Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | +110 | DK Over 1.5 +110 | exact | 43.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Willi Castro Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 2.5 | 1.4 | -167 | theScore Bet Under 2.5 -165 | best price | 42.6% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 41.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Mike Trout Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -101 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 41.5% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Daylen Lile Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -108 | DK Over 1.5 -108 | exact | 36.4% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ian Happ Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -108 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 36.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Pedro Ramirez Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +127 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 35.3% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Luis Garcia Jr. Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -109 | DK Over 1.5 -109 | exact | 34.7% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Pete Crow-Armstrong Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -147 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -140 | best price | 33.4% | ✓✗✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 32.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Zach Neto Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +110 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 32.5% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Gary Sanchez Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 2.5 | 1.7 | -143 | theScore Bet Under 2.5 -140 | best price | 31.4% | ✓✗✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Matt Chapman Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +127 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 29.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Max Muncy Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -103 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +100 | best price | 27.3% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Andrew Vaughn Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 2.5 | 1.8 | +100 | DK Under 2.5 +100 | exact | 26.4% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jackson Chourio Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 2.5 | 1.9 | +111 | BetOnline Under 2.5 +120 | best price | 24.9% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Marcus Semien Over | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +115 | DK Over 1.5 +115 | exact | 24.8% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Seiya Suzuki Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +111 | DK Over 1.5 +111 | exact | 23.7% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Brice Turang Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 2.5 | 3.1 | -114 | BetMGM Over 2.5 -105 | best price | 23.6% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ryan Ward Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +110 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 21.6% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Hunter Goodman Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.0 | -148 | BetOnline Under 2.5 -140 | best price | 20.7% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Nico Hoerner Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -122 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -120 | best price | 20.1% | ✓✗✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Nolan Schanuel Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +124 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 20.1% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Miguel Andujar Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -149 | BetOnline Under 1.5 -130 | best price | 20.0% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Michael Busch Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -102 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +100 | best price | 19.3% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Nolan Arenado Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -106 | DK Over 1.5 -106 | exact | 19.3% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Brett Baty Over | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +132 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 19.2% | !✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Kyle Karros Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | +100 | DK Under 1.5 +100 | exact | 18.4% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Luis Rengifo Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -166 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -165 | best price | 17.9% | !✗✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Alex Bregman Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +101 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 17.4% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ty France Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -128 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -125 | best price | 16.8% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Alex Call Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -109 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 15.3% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Joey Ortiz Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -157 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -145 | best price | 14.3% | !✗✓–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Blake Perkins Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -160 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 | best price | 14.3% | !✗✓–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jared Young Over | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +115 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 13.3% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Dalton Rushing Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +101 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 13.0% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Chad Stevens Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -126 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -125 | best price | 12.7% | ✓✗✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jo Adell Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +130 | DK Over 1.5 +130 | exact | 12.4% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Curtis Mead Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -102 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +100 | best price | 12.1% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Troy Johnston Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -102 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +100 | best price | 11.2% | !✗✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | A.J. Ewing Over | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +118 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 11.1% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Xander Bogaerts Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -141 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -135 | best price | 10.7% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Dylan Crews Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +113 | DK Over 1.5 +113 | exact | 10.0% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Braxton Fulford Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -116 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -115 | best price | 9.9% | ✓✗✓–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Manny Machado Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -124 | DK Under 1.5 -124 | exact | 8.1% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jake McCarthy Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -107 | BetMGM Under 1.5 +100 | best price | 8.1% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Alex Freeland Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +132 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 7.4% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Miguel Rojas Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +108 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 7.4% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Pavin Smith Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -153 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -150 | best price | 6.2% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Tommy Troy Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -153 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -120 | best price | 5.9% | ✓✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | LuJames Groover Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -135 | DK Over 1.5 +101 | exact | 5.9% | ✓✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Keibert Ruiz Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +110 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 5.7% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Geraldo Perdomo Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -120 | DK Under 1.5 -120 | exact | 5.1% | ✓✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Nick Madrigal Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -187 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -180 | best price | 4.4% | ✓✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Bryce Eldridge Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +102 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 3.8% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Carson Kelly Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +130 | DK Over 1.5 +130 | exact | 3.8% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Shohei Ohtani Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.4 | -154 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -150 | best price | 3.1% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jose Tena Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +111 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 2.4% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jackson Merrill Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -131 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -120 | best price | 2.4% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ryan Waldschmidt Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -146 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -115 | best price | 0.9% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Fernando Tatis Jr. Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -102 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 +100 | best price | 0.9% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Oswald Peraza Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -169 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -160 | best price | 0.5% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 65.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Casey Schmitt Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 2.5 | +120 | DK Over 1.5 +120 | exact | 65.9% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 55.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Juan Soto Over | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | +116 | DK Over 1.5 +116 | exact | 55.0% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 50.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | James Wood Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | +123 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 50.0% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Kyle Karros Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -167 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -160 | best price | 42.2% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 39.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Brice Turang Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -134 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -115 | best price | 39.0% | !✗✓–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.4% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Ezequiel Tovar Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -112 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -110 | best price | 33.4% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 32.4% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Fernando Tatis Jr. Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -151 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -150 | best price | 32.4% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Corbin Carroll Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +125 | DK Over 1.5 +125 | exact | 30.9% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Manny Machado Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -185 | DK Under 1.5 -185 | exact | 30.7% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | CJ Abrams Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +131 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 29.2% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Ketel Marte Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +117 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 27.8% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Shohei Ohtani Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -107 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 26.6% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Jung Hoo Lee Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +127 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 25.3% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Hunter Goodman Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -119 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 23.0% | !✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Blake Perkins Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +118 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 21.9% | !✗✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Luis Rengifo Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +111 | DK Over 1.5 +111 | exact | 21.9% | !✗✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Andrew Vaughn Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -164 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -150 | best price | 21.9% | !✗✓–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Joey Ortiz Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +116 | DK Over 1.5 +116 | exact | 21.9% | !✗✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Garrett Mitchell Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +109 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 21.9% | !✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Gary Sanchez Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -110 | DK Over 1.5 -110 | exact | 21.9% | !✗✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Luis Arraez Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +123 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 21.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | William Contreras Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -154 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -150 | best price | 19.3% | !✗✓–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Nico Hoerner Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -187 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -180 | best price | 12.6% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Freddie Freeman Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +104 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 12.6% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Carson Benge Over | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +148 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +150 | best price | 11.3% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Curtis Mead Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +149 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +150 | best price | 9.2% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Daylen Lile Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +134 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 8.9% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Pete Crow-Armstrong Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +102 | DK Over 1.5 +102 | exact | 8.8% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Bo Bichette Over | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +117 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 8.7% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | TJ Rumfield Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -136 | DK Under 1.5 -136 | exact | 8.6% | ✓✗!–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Jake McCarthy Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -161 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -160 | best price | 6.9% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Willi Castro Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -112 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -110 | best price | 6.9% | ✓✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Braxton Fulford Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -183 | DK Under 1.5 -183 | exact | 6.9% | ✓✗✓–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Luis Garcia Jr. Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +136 | DK Over 1.5 +136 | exact | 3.6% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Gabriel Moreno Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +132 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 0.3% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | Total | Over 8.0 | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 8.0 | - | -105 | theScore Bet Over 7.5 -125 | alt rescue | +20.0% | –✓–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.07x) | F5 Total | Under 6.5 | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 6.5 | - | -132 | FanDuel Under 6.5 -132 | exact | +16.9% | –✓!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (8 books) — strongly disagree | F5 ML | Los Angeles Angels | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | - | - | +154 | draftkings +154 | +11.9% | –✓✗!–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 5.4 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D | NRFI | NRFI | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | - | 5.4 | -113 | DraftKings -113 | +9.2% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 5.0 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D | NRFI | NRFI | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | - | 5.0 | -125 | DraftKings -125 | +2.3% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.2 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D | NRFI | NRFI | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | - | 3.2 | +128 | DraftKings +128 | -7.3% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.2 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D | NRFI | NRFI | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | - | 4.2 | -132 | DraftKings -132 | -8.5% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.5 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D | NRFI | NRFI | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | - | 3.5 | -122 | DraftKings -122 | -15.3% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 24% (≥20%) — verify model inputs | YRFI | YRFI | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | - | 6.5 | -104 | DraftKings -104 | +24.3% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | - | 5.8 | +104 | DraftKings +104 | +17.6% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | - | 6.8 | -164 | DraftKings -164 | +16.3% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | - | 5.0 | -102 | DraftKings -102 | +6.7% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | - | 4.6 | -113 | DraftKings -113 | -0.3% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.010/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Fernando Tatis Jr. Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 97.3% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Miguel Andujar Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 94.9% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jase Bowen Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 94.9% | –✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Freddy Fermin Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 94.9% | –✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Ty France Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 94.9% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Willi Castro Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 94.1% | –✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Braxton Fulford Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1400 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 94.1% | –✗✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jake McCarthy Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 94.1% | –✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Chad Stevens Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 94.1% | –✗✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Ryan Ward Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 94.0% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Troy Johnston Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.9% | –✗✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Oswald Peraza Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 93.8% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Sebastian Rivero Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.8% | –✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Nick Madrigal Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 93.8% | –✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Wade Meckler Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.8% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jose Siri Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 93.8% | –✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Gabriel Moreno Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.7% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Tommy Troy Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -4000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 | best price | 93.7% | –✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Ryan Waldschmidt Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.7% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Christian Yelich Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -950 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -950 | best price | 93.5% | –✗✗––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Carson Kelly Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Moisés Ballesteros Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Bryce Eldridge Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -550 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -550 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Drew Gilbert Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Daniel Susac Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Mookie Betts Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -800 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 93.2% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Luis Arraez Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 93.1% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jose Tena Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.1% | –✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Dylan Crews Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.1% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Curtis Mead Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.1% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Keibert Ruiz Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.1% | –✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Luis Torrens Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.0% | –✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | MJ Melendez Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -900 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 93.0% | –✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | A.J. Ewing Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.0% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jared Young Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 93.0% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Miguel Rojas Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -4000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 | best price | 92.8% | –✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Alex Freeland Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 92.8% | –✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Dalton Rushing Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 92.8% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Alex Call Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 92.8% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jackson Chourio Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -600 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -500 | best price | 92.3% | –✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Andrew Vaughn Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -650 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 92.3% | –✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Luis Rengifo Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 92.3% | –✗✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Joey Ortiz Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 92.3% | –✗✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Gary Sanchez Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -550 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -550 | best price | 92.3% | –✗✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Blake Perkins Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 92.3% | –✗✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Garrett Mitchell Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 92.3% | –✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Kyle Karros Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 91.5% | –✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Geraldo Perdomo Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 91.2% | –✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Ezequiel Tovar Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 88.4% | –✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jung Hoo Lee Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 88.4% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Nico Hoerner Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -5000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -5000 | best price | 88.2% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Brett Baty Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 88.2% | –✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Matt Chapman Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 86.9% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Nolan Schanuel Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 85.0% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Alex Bregman Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 84.3% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Kyle Tucker Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 83.5% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Michael Busch Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 82.3% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Pavin Smith Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 82.3% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jackson Merrill Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 82.2% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Bo Bichette Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 80.4% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | William Contreras Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -750 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -750 | best price | 80.1% | –✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Xander Bogaerts Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 79.6% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | TJ Rumfield Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 79.1% | –✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Daylen Lile Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 75.6% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Luis Garcia Jr. Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 75.3% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Carson Benge Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 75.3% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Nolan Arenado Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 74.3% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jacob Young Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -4000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 | best price | 74.2% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Marcus Semien Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 73.7% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jo Adell Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -600 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 73.6% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Gavin Sheets Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1200 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 71.3% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Rafael Devers Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 71.2% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Corbin Carroll Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 71.0% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Manny Machado Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 70.3% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Pedro Ramirez Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 70.2% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Freddie Freeman Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 69.8% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Zach Neto Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -700 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 67.4% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Pete Crow-Armstrong Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 66.5% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Seiya Suzuki Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 65.2% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.180/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Shohei Ohtani Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -500 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -400 | best price | 64.9% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.180/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Brice Turang Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 64.3% | –✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Willy Adames Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -650 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 62.2% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Ketel Marte Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 61.0% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | CJ Abrams Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 59.1% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.220/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Ian Happ Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 56.1% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.220/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Mike Trout Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -400 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -400 | best price | 55.3% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.230/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Max Muncy Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -700 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 53.6% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.260/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Hunter Goodman Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -400 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -400 | best price | 47.7% | –✗✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.290/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | James Wood Under | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -650 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 42.0% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.300/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Casey Schmitt Under | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -475 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -475 | best price | 39.8% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.320/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Juan Soto Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -400 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -400 | best price | 35.7% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| ► MONITOR | ||||||||||||
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: diff_pct 19.6% vs 17% min clears, but raw gap +0.88 <= 1 min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Michael Soroka Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 4.5 | 5.4 | -147 | DK Over 4.5 -147 | exact | 19.6% | ✓✗✓✓–– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.8% vs 17% min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Kyle Freeland Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 3.5 | 3.8 | -121 | BetRivers Over 3.5 -105 | best price | 8.8% | ✓✗✓✓–– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: diff_pct 63.0% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.95 <= 1 min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jung Hoo Lee Over | GIA@CUB | 8:31 PM | 1.5 | 2.5 | -120 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -120 | best price | 63.0% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: diff_pct 61.6% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.92 <= 1 min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ketel Marte Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | -140 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -135 | best price | 61.6% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: diff_pct 61.3% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.92 <= 1 min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Bo Bichette Over | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | -135 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -130 | best price | 61.3% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 49.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Corbin Carroll Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -126 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -125 | best price | 49.9% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 49.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ezequiel Tovar Under | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 2.5 | 1.3 | -163 | DK Under 2.5 -163 | exact | 49.6% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 39.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Freddie Freeman Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -163 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -140 | best price | 39.0% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Kyle Tucker Over | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -133 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 38.5% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Garrett Mitchell Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -155 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -135 | best price | 20.3% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | TJ Rumfield Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -164 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -145 | best price | 15.6% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | William Contreras Over | BRE@ROC | 3:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.7 | -126 | BetOnline Over 2.5 -125 | best price | 9.3% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Gabriel Moreno Over | NAT@DIA | 3:16 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -125 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -125 | best price | 3.0% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Jackson Merrill Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -198 | DK Under 1.5 -198 | exact | 26.8% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Ty France Under | MET@PAD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -192 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -190 | best price | 19.0% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.1% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Kyle Tucker Under | ANG@DOD | 4:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -173 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -165 | best price | 3.1% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
✓ PASS ! WARN ✗ FAIL – N/A | Checks order: Baby Line · Model Edge · Books · Matchup · Role · Game Script