| Market | Trust | Season N | Season WR | Season P&L | 14d N | 14d WR | 14d P&L | Grade A N | Grade A WR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | 258 | 56% | -5.34u | 60 | 62% | +3.58u | 114 | 59% |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | 169 | 60% | +12.89u | 49 | 55% | -0.23u | 3 | 33% |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | 122 | 54% | -2.56u | 38 | 55% | -2.03u | 39 | 64% |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | 110 | 67% | +2.95u | 110 | 67% | +2.95u | 2 | 0% |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | 47 | 66% | +7.01u | 47 | 66% | +7.01u | 1 | 0% |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | 43 | 47% | -4.69u | 23 | 48% | -1.46u | 0 | - |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | 36 | 61% | +0.41u | 36 | 61% | +0.41u | 1 | 100% |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | 31 | 74% | +1.37u | 17 | 65% | -1.46u | 0 | - |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | 28 | 48% | +4.54u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | 9 | 22% | -5.18u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | 6 | 50% | +2.85u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | 3 | 33% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | 2 | 100% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 80 | 44% | -11.96u | 5 | 80% | +1.78u | 1 | 0% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 45 | 40% | -8.55u | 3 | 67% | +0.74u | 1 | 100% |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 4 | 50% | -0.64u | 4 | 50% | -0.64u | 0 | - |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 579 | 51% | -62.89u | 172 | 55% | -5.25u | 75 | 51% |
Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from configured market status plus settled tracker performance.
| Market | Current Stage | Next Stage | Progress | Promotion Blockers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 3/4 | season P&L non-negative |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 3/4 | 14d P&L non-negative |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 2/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 4/5 | Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 3/5 | season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 3/5 | season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 2/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| F5 Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 0/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 🔬 Research | 2/5 | diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.
| Pitcher | Game | Overall | Whiff | Contact | Arsenal | Top Pitch | Notes / Data Gaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski | Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies | 86.2 | 95.6 | 89.5 | 5 | Curveball (47% whiff, 12% usage) | Savant whiff 39.1%, put-away 33.7%, xwOBA 0.236, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Bryce Miller | Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers | 76.9 | 63.4 | 97.0 | 7 | Slider (48% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 29.6%, put-away 20.5%, xwOBA 0.221, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Spencer Strider | Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates | 71.9 | 77.8 | 71.5 | 4 | Curveball (52% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 35.5%, put-away 23.0%, xwOBA 0.272, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Braxton Ashcraft | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves | 68.8 | 67.9 | 75.0 | 5 | Curveball (42% whiff, 25% usage) | Savant whiff 28.7%, put-away 26.8%, xwOBA 0.265, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Lake Bachar | Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays | 68.8 | 76.8 | 67.0 | 5 | Slider (48% whiff, 24% usage) | Savant whiff 34.5%, put-away 24.1%, xwOBA 0.281, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Ben Brown | Chicago Cubs vs San Francisco Giants | 63.2 | 62.0 | 71.5 | 4 | Curveball (47% whiff, 36% usage) | Savant whiff 28.1%, put-away 22.2%, xwOBA 0.272, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Braydon Fisher | Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles | 60.2 | 65.2 | 59.5 | 4 | Slider (33% whiff, 50% usage) | Savant whiff 29.9%, put-away 21.7%, xwOBA 0.296, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Brandon Eisert | Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies | 59.3 | 52.4 | 64.0 | 4 | Changeup (37% whiff, 27% usage) | Savant whiff 26.0%, put-away 16.8%, xwOBA 0.287, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Joe Ryan | Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals | 58.7 | 54.4 | 67.5 | 6 | Sweeper (33% whiff, 13% usage) | Savant whiff 25.6%, put-away 19.5%, xwOBA 0.280, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Landen Roupp | San Francisco Giants vs Chicago Cubs | 58.7 | 57.0 | 63.5 | 5 | Curveball (39% whiff, 29% usage) | Savant whiff 25.2%, put-away 22.9%, xwOBA 0.288, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Los Angeles Dodgers vs Los Angeles Angels | 57.6 | 63.9 | 56.0 | 6 | Split-Finger (38% whiff, 28% usage) | Savant whiff 29.3%, put-away 21.6%, xwOBA 0.303, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Will Warren | New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox | 57.2 | 53.7 | 62.5 | 5 | Sweeper (24% whiff, 22% usage) | Savant whiff 24.2%, put-away 21.5%, xwOBA 0.290, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Nolan McLean | New York Mets vs San Diego Padres | 56.8 | 56.4 | 62.0 | 6 | Curveball (41% whiff, 12% usage) | Savant whiff 24.6%, put-away 23.5%, xwOBA 0.291, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Shane McClanahan | Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins | 55.0 | 59.9 | 57.5 | 4 | Changeup (34% whiff, 29% usage) | Savant whiff 27.6%, put-away 20.9%, xwOBA 0.300, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Ranger Suarez | Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees | 52.1 | 50.3 | 57.0 | 6 | Curveball (46% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 22.5%, put-away 21.7%, xwOBA 0.301, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Kyle Bradish | Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays | 51.2 | 53.5 | 49.5 | 4 | Curveball (43% whiff, 23% usage) | Savant whiff 24.4%, put-away 20.9%, xwOBA 0.316, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Jack Leiter | Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians | 50.5 | 61.4 | 41.5 | 6 | Slider (36% whiff, 18% usage) | Savant whiff 27.5%, put-away 22.7%, xwOBA 0.332, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Luinder Avila | Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins | 48.2 | 49.9 | 44.5 | 5 | Slider (36% whiff, 26% usage) | Savant whiff 24.2%, put-away 17.8%, xwOBA 0.326, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Keider Montero | Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners | 47.9 | 37.2 | 60.5 | 5 | Slider (26% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 17.7%, put-away 18.2%, xwOBA 0.294, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Tanner Bibee | Cleveland Guardians vs Texas Rangers | 47.5 | 55.0 | 40.5 | 6 | Cutter (38% whiff, 25% usage) | Savant whiff 26.8%, put-away 17.7%, xwOBA 0.334, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Griffin Canning | San Diego Padres vs New York Mets | 45.4 | 58.1 | 34.0 | 7 | Slider (35% whiff, 23% usage) | Savant whiff 25.1%, put-away 24.2%, xwOBA 0.347, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Andrew Painter | Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago White Sox | 42.1 | 43.0 | 37.5 | 6 | Split-Finger (37% whiff, 14% usage) | Savant whiff 22.0%, put-away 15.2%, xwOBA 0.340, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Zach Agnos | Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers | 42.0 | 46.4 | 32.0 | 6 | Sweeper (41% whiff, 15% usage) | Savant whiff 24.5%, put-away 13.7%, xwOBA 0.351, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Tatsuya Imai | Houston Astros vs Athletics | 40.9 | 52.4 | 29.5 | 5 | Slider (35% whiff, 44% usage) | Savant whiff 27.2%, put-away 14.2%, xwOBA 0.356, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Jack Kochanowicz | Los Angeles Angels vs Los Angeles Dodgers | 39.9 | 50.0 | 30.5 | 4 | Slider (38% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 24.0%, put-away 18.4%, xwOBA 0.354, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Matthew Liberatore | St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds | 38.5 | 44.1 | 30.0 | 7 | Curveball (38% whiff, 16% usage) | Savant whiff 22.5%, put-away 15.5%, xwOBA 0.355, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals | 38.3 | 38.9 | 40.5 | 5 | 4-Seam Fastball (23% whiff, 41% usage) | Savant whiff 18.7%, put-away 17.7%, xwOBA 0.334, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Nick Lodolo | Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals | 35.1 | 48.8 | 11.5 | 4 | Curveball (40% whiff, 25% usage) | Savant whiff 24.8%, put-away 15.5%, xwOBA 0.392, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Zack Littell | Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks | 26.7 | 30.5 | 18.0 | 5 | Slider (23% whiff, 29% usage) | Savant whiff 15.4%, put-away 16.1%, xwOBA 0.379, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Kade Morris | Athletics vs Houston Astros | - | - | - | 0 | - | Savant pitcher summary missing, Savant arsenal missing |
Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.
| Pitcher | Team | Hand | Season K% | Recent IP | Season IP | K IP | Pitch Ct | Leash | Savant | Contact | HR Vuln | Quality | Flags / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals | L | 18.7% | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 101 | deep | full | 40.50 | 59.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Kade Morris | Athletics vs Houston Astros | R | 21.6% | - | 13.1 | 7.2 | 121 | deep | missing | 50.00 | 50.00 | season+hand | recent_form_unavailable, savant_summary_missing |
| Spencer Strider | Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates | R | 26.3% | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.4 | 87 | normal | full | 71.50 | 28.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.1% |
| Kyle Bradish | Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays | R | 21.9% | 5.6 | 5.4 | 5.5 | 94 | normal | full | 49.50 | 50.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | low-K contact opponent 19.2% |
| Ranger Suarez | Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees | L | 24.6% | 4.6 | 5.3 | 5.2 | 77 | short | full | 57.00 | 43.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.6 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 11.3% |
| Ben Brown | Chicago Cubs vs San Francisco Giants | R | 26.5% | 5.4 | 10.2 | 7.5 | 91 | normal | full | 71.50 | 28.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Brandon Eisert | Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies | L | 25.4% | 1.2 | 12.2 | 5.4 | 20 | short | full | 64.00 | 36.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 1.2 IP/start |
| Nick Lodolo | Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals | L | 20.2% | 5.3 | 5.4 | 5.5 | 89 | normal | full | 11.50 | 88.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Tanner Bibee | Cleveland Guardians vs Texas Rangers | R | 20.7% | 5.8 | 5.3 | 5.4 | 97 | normal | full | 40.50 | 59.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Zach Agnos | Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers | R | 17.4% | 2.8 | 37.0 | 7.7 | 47 | short | full | 32.00 | 68.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 2.8 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 11.3% |
| Keider Montero | Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners | R | 17.1% | 5.1 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 86 | short | full | 60.50 | 39.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.1 IP/start |
| Tatsuya Imai | Houston Astros vs Athletics | R | 22.1% | 5.0 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 84 | short | full | 29.50 | 70.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.0 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.8% |
| Luinder Avila | Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins | R | 21.2% | 3.6 | 13.1 | 6.5 | 60 | short | full | 44.50 | 55.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 3.6 IP/start |
| Jack Kochanowicz | Los Angeles Angels vs Los Angeles Dodgers | R | 16.2% | 4.4 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 74 | short | full | 30.50 | 69.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.4 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.3% |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Los Angeles Dodgers vs Los Angeles Angels | R | 26.9% | 6.2 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 104 | deep | full | 56.00 | 44.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Lake Bachar | Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays | R | 27.1% | 1.9 | 31.1 | 7.0 | 32 | short | full | 67.00 | 33.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 1.9 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.6%, low-K contact opponent 18.9% |
| Jacob Misiorowski | Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies | R | 39.0% | 6.6 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 111 | deep | full | 89.50 | 10.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Joe Ryan | Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals | R | 28.5% | 6.2 | 5.4 | 6.0 | 104 | deep | full | 67.50 | 32.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Nolan McLean | New York Mets vs San Diego Padres | R | 24.9% | 5.3 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 89 | normal | full | 62.00 | 38.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Will Warren | New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox | R | 23.4% | 5.2 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 87 | normal | full | 62.50 | 37.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Andrew Painter | Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago White Sox | R | 18.3% | 4.9 | 5.3 | 5.2 | 82 | short | full | 37.50 | 62.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.9 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.5% |
| Braxton Ashcraft | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves | R | 26.9% | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 102 | deep | full | 75.00 | 25.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Griffin Canning | San Diego Padres vs New York Mets | R | 21.6% | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 72 | short | full | 34.00 | 66.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.3 IP/start |
| Landen Roupp | San Francisco Giants vs Chicago Cubs | R | 24.6% | 5.1 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 86 | short | full | 63.50 | 36.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.1 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 11.0% |
| Bryce Miller | Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers | R | 25.4% | 5.3 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 89 | normal | full | 97.00 | 3.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.8% |
| Matthew Liberatore | St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds | L | 24.2% | 4.7 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 79 | short | full | 30.00 | 70.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.7 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.2% |
| Shane McClanahan | Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins | L | 23.5% | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 84 | short | full | 57.50 | 42.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.0 IP/start |
| Jack Leiter | Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians | R | 25.2% | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 92 | normal | full | 41.50 | 58.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 10.5% |
| Braydon Fisher | Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles | R | 25.6% | 1.0 | 11.4 | 6.2 | 17 | short | full | 59.50 | 40.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 1.0 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.2% |
| Zack Littell | Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks | R | 17.3% | 5.6 | 7.4 | 6.8 | 94 | normal | full | 18.00 | 82.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.
| Pitcher | Side | Game | Line | Proj | Gap | Edge / DIFF% | Grade | Rec | Status | Leash | K IP | Pitch Ct | Quality | Gate Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski | Jacob Misiorowski Over | Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies | 17.5 | 21.6 | 4.0 | 23.2% | A | ALT_DERISK | research | deep | 6.0 | 111 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | ⚠ Market status RESEARCH: Pitcher Outs research-stage — downgraded to monitor/derisk — would have capped at C |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | 18.5 | 20.7 | 2.2 | 11.8% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | deep | 6.3 | 104 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 11.8% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.18 <= 3 min |
| Tanner Bibee | Tanner Bibee Under | Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers | 17.5 | 16.4 | -1.1 | 6.2% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.4 | 97 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.2% vs 10% min |
| Jack Leiter | Jack Leiter Under | Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers | 17.5 | 16.9 | -0.6 | 3.3% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.5 | 92 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 10% min |
| Nolan McLean | Nolan McLean Under | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | 17.5 | 17.2 | -0.3 | 1.7% | C | ALT_DERISK | research | normal | 5.5 | 89 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.7% vs 10% min |
QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.
| Player | Game | Research Side | Component Proj | H | R | RBI | Current | Uncertainty | Support | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rice | Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees | Over 1.5 | 2.97 | 1.18 | 1.01 | 0.78 | 2.69 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Tyler Freeman | Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies | Over 1.5 | 2.90 | 1.47 | 0.80 | 0.63 | 2.54 / Over | 0.59 | exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Cody Bellinger | Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees | Over 1.5 | 2.45 | 1.02 | 0.66 | 0.77 | 2.24 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 2.42 | 1.16 | 0.65 | 0.60 | 2.54 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Hunter Goodman | Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies | Over 1.5 | 2.39 | 0.92 | 0.82 | 0.66 | 1.74 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, component_projection_diverges_from_current_model |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees | Over 1.5 | 2.34 | 1.07 | 0.53 | 0.74 | 1.99 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Josh Jung | Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 2.27 | 1.27 | 0.47 | 0.52 | 2.54 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees | Over 1.5 | 2.23 | 1.15 | 0.51 | 0.57 | 2.13 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 2.19 | 1.09 | 0.54 | 0.57 | 2.65 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=46,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| TJ Rumfield | Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies | Over 1.5 | 2.14 | 0.98 | 0.52 | 0.64 | 1.54 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, component_projection_diverges_from_current_model |
| Troy Johnston | Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies | Over 1.5 | 2.13 | 1.03 | 0.52 | 0.59 | 1.63 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=59,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, component_projection_diverges_from_current_model |
| Mookie Betts | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 2.08 | 1.12 | 0.45 | 0.51 | 1.89 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Mike Trout | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 2.06 | 0.82 | 0.75 | 0.49 | 2.00 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=63,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Max Muncy | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 2.04 | 0.86 | 0.73 | 0.45 | 2.31 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Zach Neto | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 2.03 | 0.90 | 0.69 | 0.44 | 1.97 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees | Over 1.5 | 1.99 | 1.07 | 0.51 | 0.41 | 1.75 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=59,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Ryan Ward | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 1.96 | 1.08 | 0.48 | 0.40 | 1.70 / Over | 0.59 | exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Chase DeLauter | Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.92 | 0.98 | 0.36 | 0.58 | 2.00 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Trent Grisham | Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees | Over 1.5 | 1.90 | 0.71 | 0.59 | 0.60 | 1.75 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees | Over 1.5 | 1.89 | 0.85 | 0.53 | 0.51 | 1.89 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=57,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees | Over 1.5 | 1.88 | 0.91 | 0.60 | 0.37 | 1.62 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Will Smith | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 1.85 | 0.86 | 0.47 | 0.53 | 1.92 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=52,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Paul Goldschmidt | Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees | Over 1.5 | 1.85 | 1.01 | 0.46 | 0.37 | 1.65 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Brandon Nimmo | Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.80 | 1.01 | 0.41 | 0.38 | 2.03 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.80 | 0.94 | 0.41 | 0.46 | 2.07 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=63,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Jo Adell | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 1.79 | 0.90 | 0.34 | 0.55 | 1.75 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies | Over 2.5 | 2.78 | 1.17 | 0.68 | 0.93 | 2.45 / Under | 0.35 | season_games=57,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.76 | 1.08 | 0.41 | 0.27 | 1.69 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Joc Pederson | Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.01 | 0.40 | 0.33 | 1.62 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Ezequiel Duran | Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.75 | 0.91 | 0.38 | 0.46 | 1.96 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=55,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Travis Bazzana | Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.74 | 1.01 | 0.40 | 0.33 | 1.61 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Amed Rosario | Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees | Over 1.5 | 1.73 | 0.93 | 0.39 | 0.41 | 1.62 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.72 | 0.90 | 0.46 | 0.36 | 2.01 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Brice Turang | Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies | Over 2.5 | 2.72 | 1.04 | 0.95 | 0.72 | 2.56 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Corey Seager | Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.71 | 0.99 | 0.39 | 0.33 | 1.62 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Jackson Merrill | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.68 | 0.81 | 0.50 | 0.37 | 1.60 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=59,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Manny Machado | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.67 | 0.65 | 0.46 | 0.56 | 1.55 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Jake Burger | Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.66 | 0.85 | 0.40 | 0.42 | 2.02 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Angel Martinez | Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.65 | 1.01 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 1.82 / Over | 0.64 | exact_hrr_l10,lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Kyle Manzardo | Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.63 | 0.93 | 0.33 | 0.37 | 1.58 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| David Hamilton | Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies | Over 1.5 | 1.62 | 0.85 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 1.52 / Over | 0.69 | minimal | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Shohei Ohtani | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 2.5 | 2.62 | 1.21 | 0.84 | 0.57 | 2.80 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Jake Bauers | Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies | Over 2.5 | 2.62 | 1.00 | 0.74 | 0.87 | 2.65 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=54,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Wyatt Langford | Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.60 | 0.91 | 0.33 | 0.36 | 1.59 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Nick Madrigal | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 1.60 | 0.90 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 1.60 / Over | 0.69 | minimal | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Gavin Sheets | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.56 | 0.72 | 0.40 | 0.45 | 1.52 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=57,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Alex Call | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 1.56 | 0.95 | 0.31 | 0.30 | 1.76 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Jared Young | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.55 | 0.90 | 0.36 | 0.30 | 1.45 / Under | 0.69 | lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Alex Freeland | Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Over 1.5 | 1.52 | 0.93 | 0.30 | 0.29 | 1.76 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Mark Vientos | New York Mets @ San Diego Padres | Over 1.5 | 1.52 | 0.77 | 0.31 | 0.43 | 1.83 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=54,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
Diagnostics only. HRR remains paused; these component projections are not used for recommendations.
| Grade | Signal | Type | Side | Game | Time (ET) | Line | Proj | Odds | Best Book / Line | Edge/Diff | Checks ✓!✗– | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ► GOOD ADDS | ||||||||||||
| B | 👀 Watch Matchup: [!] Weather: +8% run env ✗ Under | Pitcher Earned R | Jacob Misiorowski Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | +106 | DK Under 1.5 +106 | exact | 40.0% | ✓✓!!–! | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch | Pitcher Earned R | Nolan McLean Over | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -144 | DK Over 1.5 -144 | exact | 33.3% | ✓✓!––– | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-153) — break-even ~60%, requires clean execution | Batter Walks | Shohei Ohtani Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 1.0 | -153 | DK Over 0.5 -153 | exact | 102.5% | ✓✓!–✓– | GOOD ADD |
| ► SMALL PLAYS | ||||||||||||
| A (Weak) | ◔ Small Play Framework warning(s): Books Agree — would have capped at B | Batter Walks | Brice Turang Over | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.8 | -141 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 -140 | best price | 51.3% | ✓✓!✓–✓ | SMALL PLAY |
| A (Weak) | ◔ Small Play Books strongly against: DK disagrees | split consensus 50% (4 books) — would have capped at C | Batter H+R+RBI | Josh Jung Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 2.5 | -105 | DK Over 1.5 -105 | exact | 69.5% | ✓✓✗✓✓✓ | SMALL PLAY |
| ► ALT / DERISK | ||||||||||||
| A (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Market status RESEARCH: Pitcher Outs research-stage — downgraded to monitor/derisk — would have capped at C | Pitcher Outs | Jacob Misiorowski Over | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 17.5 | 21.6 | -151 | DK Over 17.5 -151 | exact | 23.2% | ✓✓✓✓–✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| A (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk HRR trust gate: raw gap 1.2 — A would have capped at B | Batter H+R+RBI | Ben Rice Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 2.7 | -127 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -115 | best price | 79.2% | ✓✓✓✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| A (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk HRR trust gate: raw gap 1.0 — A would have capped at B | Batter H+R+RBI | Tyler Freeman Over | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 2.5 | -132 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 | best price | 69.4% | ✓✓✓✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| A (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 49.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Cody Bellinger Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -121 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -120 | best price | 49.1% | ✓✗✓✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| A (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Wilyer Abreu Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -122 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -120 | best price | 42.3% | ✓✗✓✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| A (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jarren Duran Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -118 | DK Over 1.5 -118 | exact | 25.9% | ✓✗✓✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| A (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ceddanne Rafaela Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -117 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 16.8% | ✓✗✓✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| A (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Hunter Goodman Over | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -121 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -115 | best price | 16.2% | ✓✗✓✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| A (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Paul Goldschmidt Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -130 | DK Over 1.5 -130 | exact | 9.8% | ✓✗✓✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees | books against us 20% (5 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C | K Prop | Jacob Misiorowski Over | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 7.5 | 10.9 | -149 | DK Over 7.5 -149 | exact | 45.6% | ✓✓✗✓–✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check — would have capped at C | Pitcher Walks | Jack Leiter Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -176 | DK Over 1.5 -176 | exact | 33.9% | ✓✓✗✓–✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check — would have capped at C | Pitcher Walks | Ranger Suarez Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +111 | DK Over 1.5 +111 | exact | 27.6% | ✓✓✗✓–✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C | Batter Walks | Ryan Ward Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.9 | +213 | DK Over 0.5 +213 | exact | 82.0% | ✓✓✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C | Batter Walks | Angel Martinez Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -517 | DK Under 0.5 -517 | exact | 77.2% | ✓✓✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C | Batter Walks | Ceddanne Rafaela Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -394 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -350 | best price | 65.3% | ✓✓✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C | Batter Walks | Ezequiel Tovar Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -384 | DK Under 0.5 -384 | exact | 61.5% | ✓✓✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C | Batter Walks | Troy Johnston Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -362 | DK Under 0.5 -362 | exact | 54.5% | ✓✓✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C | Batter Walks | Tyler Freeman Over | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.7 | +253 | DK Over 0.5 +253 | exact | 32.1% | ✓!✗✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk HRR trust gate: lineup not confirmed, raw gap 1.1 — B would have capped at C | Batter H+R+RBI | Juan Soto Over | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.6 | -136 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -130 | best price | 76.8% | ✓✓✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees | books against us 25% (4 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C | Batter H+R+RBI | Freddie Freeman Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.5 | -163 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -160 | best price | 69.4% | ✓✓✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| B (Weak) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK disagrees — would have capped at C | Total | Over 8.5 | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 8.5 | - | -102 | MyBookie Over 8 -119 | alt rescue | +20.4% | –✓✗✓–✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 18.0% vs 17% min clears, but raw gap +0.63 <= 1 min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Jack Kochanowicz Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 3.5 | 4.1 | +116 | BetMGM Over 2.5 -175 | alt rescue | 18.0% | ✓✗✗!–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.9% vs 17% min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Jack Leiter Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 5.5 | 6.4 | +113 | FanDuel Over 5.5 +124 | best price | 16.9% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.7% vs 17% min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Will Warren Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 5.5 | 4.9 | -160 | FanDuel Under 5.5 -152 | best price | 11.7% | ✓✗✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.4% vs 17% min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Ranger Suarez Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 5.5 | 5.2 | -149 | DK Under 5.5 -149 | exact | 6.4% | ✓✗✓!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.6% vs 17% min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 7.5 | 7.9 | +101 | BetRivers Over 7.5 +110 | best price | 5.6% | ✓✗✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 17% min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Tanner Bibee Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 5.5 | 5.4 | -164 | BetMGM Under 5.5 -160 | best price | 1.8% | ✓✗✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 11.8% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.18 <= 3 min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Outs | Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 18.5 | 20.7 | +137 | DK Over 18.5 +137 | exact | 11.8% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.2% vs 10% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Outs | Tanner Bibee Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 17.5 | 16.4 | +106 | DK Under 17.5 +106 | exact | 6.2% | ✓✗!!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 10% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Outs | Jack Leiter Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 17.5 | 16.9 | +105 | BetMGM Under 17.5 +115 | best price | 3.3% | ✓✗!!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.7% vs 10% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Outs | Nolan McLean Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 17.5 | 17.2 | -108 | DK Under 17.5 -108 | exact | 1.7% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.9% vs 15% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Hits All | Jack Kochanowicz Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 5.5 | 6.1 | -144 | BetMGM Over 5.5 -135 | best price | 10.9% | ✓✗✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.1% vs 15% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Hits All | Will Warren Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 5.5 | 5.0 | -162 | DK Under 5.5 -162 | exact | 9.1% | ✓✗✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.1% vs 15% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Hits All | Ranger Suarez Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 5.5 | 5.0 | -131 | DK Under 5.5 -131 | exact | 9.1% | ✓✗✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Pitcher Walks | Nolan McLean Over | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -188 | DK Over 1.5 -188 | exact | 36.1% | ✓✓✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Pitcher Walks | Griffin Canning Over | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -193 | DK Over 1.5 -193 | exact | 20.6% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.2% vs 20% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Walks | Tanner Bibee Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -134 | DK Over 1.5 -134 | exact | 10.2% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.2% vs 20% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Walks | Jacob Misiorowski Over | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +106 | DK Over 1.5 +106 | exact | 9.2% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.3% vs 20% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Walks | Will Warren Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -140 | DK Under 1.5 -140 | exact | 8.3% | ✓✗✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.9% vs 20% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Walks | Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -127 | DK Under 1.5 -127 | exact | 5.9% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.0% vs 20% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Walks | Jack Kochanowicz Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.6 | -134 | DK Over 2.5 -134 | exact | 5.0% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Earned R | Will Warren Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 2.5 | 2.0 | -164 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -135 | best price | 20.0% | ✓✓✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | Pitcher Earned R | Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -133 | DK Over 1.5 -133 | exact | 20.0% | ✓!!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Earned R | Ranger Suarez Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 2.5 | 2.1 | -124 | DK Under 2.5 -124 | exact | 16.0% | ✓!✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Earned R | Jack Leiter Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 2.5 | 2.1 | -154 | DK Under 2.5 -154 | exact | 16.0% | ✓!✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Earned R | Griffin Canning Over | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.9 | +129 | DK Over 2.5 +129 | exact | 16.0% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.9% vs 20% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Earned R | Jack Kochanowicz Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 3.5 | 3.4 | -136 | DK Under 3.5 -136 | exact | 2.9% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 20% min — would have capped at D | Pitcher Earned R | Tanner Bibee Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 2.5 | 2.5 | -147 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -125 | best price | - | ✓✗✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Matchup: [!] Weather: +8% run env ✗ Under | Batter Hits | Sal Frelick Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 0.8 | -213 | DK Under 1.5 -213 | exact | 47.5% | ✓!!!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Matchup: [!] Weather: +8% run env ✗ Under | Batter Hits | Christian Yelich Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 0.8 | -182 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -175 | best price | 43.2% | ✓!!!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Matchup: [!] Weather: +8% run env ✗ Under | Batter Hits | Jackson Chourio Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 0.8 | -134 | DK Under 1.5 -134 | exact | 43.2% | ✓!!!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Bo Bichette Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -257 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 +220 | best price | 33.8% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Brice Turang Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -191 | DK Under 1.5 -191 | exact | 29.2% | ✓✗!!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 28.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Jake Bauers Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -255 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 +220 | best price | 28.2% | ✓✗!!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Andy Pages Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -221 | DK Under 1.5 -221 | exact | 25.9% | ✓✗!–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | William Contreras Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -155 | DK Under 1.5 -155 | exact | 24.0% | ✓✗!!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Tyler Freeman Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -246 | DK Under 1.5 -246 | exact | 22.1% | ✓✗!!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Freddie Freeman Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -246 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 +200 | best price | 22.1% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter Hits | Shohei Ohtani Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -194 | DK Under 1.5 -194 | exact | 16.3% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Jo Adell Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -486 | DK Under 0.5 -486 | exact | 83.6% | ✓✓✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Mark Vientos Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -275 | DK Under 0.5 -275 | exact | 69.9% | ✓✓✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Caleb Durbin Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -341 | DK Under 0.5 -341 | exact | 66.2% | ✓✓✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Marcus Semien Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -264 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -260 | best price | 49.9% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Jake Burger Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -435 | DK Under 0.5 -435 | exact | 49.4% | ✓!✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Mickey Gasper Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -333 | DK Under 0.5 -333 | exact | 48.5% | ✓!✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Masataka Yoshida Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -381 | DK Under 0.5 -381 | exact | 48.5% | ✓!✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Marcelo Mayer Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -499 | DK Under 0.5 -499 | exact | 48.5% | ✓!✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Brett Sullivan Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -442 | DK Under 0.5 -442 | exact | 48.4% | ✓!✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Edouard Julien Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -253 | DK Under 0.5 -253 | exact | 48.4% | ✓!✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Jake McCarthy Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -366 | DK Under 0.5 -366 | exact | 48.4% | ✓!✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Ezequiel Duran Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -469 | DK Under 0.5 -469 | exact | 47.2% | ✓!✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Josh Jung Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -432 | DK Under 0.5 -432 | exact | 46.8% | ✓!✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Hunter Goodman Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -402 | DK Under 0.5 -402 | exact | 45.0% | ✓!✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Jarren Duran Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -261 | DK Under 0.5 -261 | exact | 44.4% | ✓!✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Mike Trout Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.7 | -108 | DK Over 0.5 -108 | exact | 42.9% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Andy Pages Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -262 | DK Under 0.5 -262 | exact | 41.3% | ✓!✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Luis Rengifo Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -273 | DK Under 0.5 -273 | exact | 40.2% | ✓!✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | TJ Rumfield Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -263 | DK Under 0.5 -263 | exact | 39.5% | ✓!✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | A.J. Ewing Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -298 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -290 | best price | 38.0% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Jared Young Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -257 | DK Under 0.5 -257 | exact | 38.0% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Batter Walks | Hayden Senger Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -447 | DK Under 0.5 -447 | exact | 38.0% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -317 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 | best price | 37.7% | ✓!✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Corey Seager Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -217 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -215 | best price | 36.8% | ✓!✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Joc Pederson Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -221 | DK Under 0.5 -221 | exact | 36.8% | ✓!✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Wyatt Langford Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -224 | DK Under 0.5 -224 | exact | 36.8% | ✓!✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Kyle Higashioka Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -463 | DK Under 0.5 -463 | exact | 36.8% | ✓!✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Brandon Nimmo Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -250 | DK Under 0.5 -250 | exact | 34.5% | ✓!✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Carson Benge Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -233 | DK Under 0.5 -233 | exact | 34.3% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Sal Frelick Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -205 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -200 | best price | 34.2% | ✓!✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Max Muncy Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.7 | +105 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 +105 | best price | 34.0% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Wilyer Abreu Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -276 | DK Under 0.5 -276 | exact | 32.4% | ✓!✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Freddie Freeman Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.7 | +108 | DK Over 0.5 +108 | exact | 32.1% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Freddy Fermin Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -317 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 | best price | 31.8% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Sung-Mun Song Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -258 | DK Under 0.5 -258 | exact | 31.8% | ✓!✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Ty France Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -252 | DK Under 0.5 -252 | exact | 31.8% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Miguel Andujar Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -435 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -350 | best price | 31.8% | ✓!✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Baby Line: Batting 7 — limited PA opportunity for an Over | Batter Walks | Steven Kwan Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.7 | +205 | DK Over 0.5 +205 | exact | 31.6% | !!✗✓!✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Bo Bichette Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -445 | DK Under 0.5 -445 | exact | 30.0% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Brett Baty Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -245 | DK Under 0.5 -245 | exact | 29.2% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Willson Contreras Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -209 | DK Under 0.5 -209 | exact | 28.4% | ✓!✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Brayan Rocchio Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -392 | DK Under 0.5 -392 | exact | 27.6% | ✓!✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Jackson Merrill Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -210 | DK Under 0.5 -210 | exact | 27.5% | ✓!✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Kyle Karros Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -335 | DK Under 0.5 -335 | exact | 27.3% | ✓!✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Donovan Walton Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -481 | DK Under 0.5 -481 | exact | 27.0% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Logan O'Hoppe Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -482 | DK Under 0.5 -482 | exact | 27.0% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Wade Meckler Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -381 | DK Under 0.5 -381 | exact | 27.0% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Oswald Peraza Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -366 | DK Under 0.5 -366 | exact | 27.0% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Batter Walks | Nick Madrigal Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -492 | DK Under 0.5 -492 | exact | 27.0% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Batter Walks | Adam Frazier Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -541 | DK Under 0.5 -541 | exact | 27.0% | ✓!✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Matchup: [!] Weather: +8% run env ✗ Under | Batter Walks | Christian Yelich Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | +102 | DK Under 0.5 +102 | exact | 26.8% | ✓!!!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Jackson Chourio Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -235 | DK Under 0.5 -235 | exact | 26.8% | ✓!✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | David Hamilton Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -204 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -200 | best price | 26.8% | ✓!✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | William Contreras Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -230 | DK Under 0.5 -230 | exact | 26.4% | ✓!✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.3% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Xander Bogaerts Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -216 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -215 | best price | 25.3% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.0% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Juan Soto Over | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.6 | -139 | DK Over 0.5 -139 | exact | 21.0% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.5% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Paul Goldschmidt Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -234 | DK Under 0.5 -234 | exact | 20.5% | ✓✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.5% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Anthony Volpe Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -336 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 | best price | 20.5% | ✓✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.5% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Jose Caballero Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -340 | DK Under 0.5 -340 | exact | 20.5% | ✓✗✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.5% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Amed Rosario Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -417 | DK Under 0.5 -417 | exact | 20.5% | ✓✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.5% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Ali Sanchez Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -680 | DK Under 0.5 -680 | exact | 20.5% | ✓✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.8% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Fernando Tatis Jr. Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -178 | DK Under 0.5 -178 | exact | 19.8% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.8% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Jake Bauers Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -111 | DK Under 0.5 -111 | exact | 18.8% | ✓✗!!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.4% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Evan Carter Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -242 | DK Under 0.5 -242 | exact | 18.4% | ✓✗✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.8% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Gavin Sheets Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -214 | DK Under 0.5 -214 | exact | 17.8% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.4% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Zach Neto Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -312 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 | best price | 16.4% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.4% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Jose Ramirez Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.6 | +144 | DK Over 0.5 +144 | exact | 14.4% | !✗✗✓!✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.6% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Travis Bazzana Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -235 | DK Under 0.5 -235 | exact | 11.6% | ✓✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.6% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Kyle Manzardo Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -241 | DK Under 0.5 -241 | exact | 11.6% | ✓✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.6% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Daniel Schneemann Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -281 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -280 | best price | 11.6% | ✓✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.6% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Patrick Bailey Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -403 | DK Under 0.5 -403 | exact | 11.6% | ✓✗✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.3% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Manny Machado Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -212 | DK Under 0.5 -212 | exact | 8.3% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.1% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Trent Grisham Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -209 | DK Under 0.5 -209 | exact | 4.1% | ✓✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.8% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Chase DeLauter Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -215 | DK Under 0.5 -215 | exact | 2.8% | ✓✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.2% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Will Smith Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -150 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -150 | best price | 2.2% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.0% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Alex Freeland Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | +151 | DK Over 0.5 +151 | exact | 1.0% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.0% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Alex Call Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | +102 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 +105 | best price | 1.0% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.0% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Mookie Betts Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | +121 | DK Over 0.5 +121 | exact | 1.0% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.8% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Garrett Mitchell Over | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -103 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 +100 | best price | 0.8% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 39.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jackson Chourio Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 2.5 | 1.5 | +112 | Bovada Direct Under 2.5 +115 | best price | 39.3% | ✓✗!!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 39.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Christian Yelich Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 2.5 | 1.5 | -115 | DK Under 2.5 -115 | exact | 39.3% | ✓✗✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Bo Bichette Over | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -131 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -130 | best price | 38.0% | ✓✗✓––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jake Burger Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +104 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 34.5% | !✗✗✓!✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Sal Frelick Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 2.5 | 1.6 | -157 | theScore Bet Under 2.5 -150 | best price | 34.4% | ✓✗✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Carson Benge Over | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +102 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 33.8% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Mike Trout Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +117 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 33.6% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Kyle Karros Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -154 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -150 | best price | 33.5% | ✓✗✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Zach Neto Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +125 | DK Over 1.5 +125 | exact | 31.6% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Garrett Mitchell Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 2.5 | 1.7 | -153 | theScore Bet Under 2.5 -150 | best price | 30.6% | ✓✗✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Caleb Durbin Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -135 | DK Under 1.5 -135 | exact | 23.6% | ✓✗✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Mark Vientos Over | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +118 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 21.9% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ezequiel Tovar Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -132 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -130 | best price | 21.7% | ✓✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Brett Sullivan Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -161 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -160 | best price | 20.9% | ✓✗✓!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Alex Freeland Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +105 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 17.1% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Alex Call Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -103 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +100 | best price | 17.1% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jo Adell Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +127 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 -165 | alt rescue | 16.4% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Miguel Andujar Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -137 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -135 | best price | 14.4% | ✓✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jake McCarthy Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -125 | BetOnline Under 1.5 -120 | best price | 13.4% | ✓✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ryan Ward Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -103 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 13.2% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Fernando Tatis Jr. Over | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -106 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 12.4% | ✓✗!–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Brett Baty Over | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +130 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 10.5% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ty France Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -149 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -125 | best price | 9.2% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Luis Rengifo Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | +112 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 +120 | best price | 7.5% | ✓✗!!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | A.J. Ewing Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -174 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -130 | best price | 6.8% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Nick Madrigal Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +145 | DK Over 1.5 +145 | exact | 6.4% | ✓✗!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jackson Merrill Over | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +109 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 6.3% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jake Bauers Over | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 2.5 | 2.6 | +104 | BetMGM Over 2.5 +110 | best price | 6.1% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Mickey Gasper Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -160 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -145 | best price | 5.8% | ✓✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Xander Bogaerts Over | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +103 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 4.2% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Masataka Yoshida Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -142 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -118 | best price | 3.9% | ✓✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Manny Machado Over | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +101 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 3.3% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jared Young Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -171 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -150 | best price | 3.1% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Steven Kwan Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -180 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -155 | best price | 2.7% | ✓✗✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Brice Turang Over | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 2.5 | 2.6 | -109 | BetMGM Over 2.5 -105 | best price | 2.5% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Marcus Semien Over | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +120 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 2.5% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Andy Pages Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.4 | -158 | theScore Bet Under 2.5 -150 | best price | 2.2% | ✓✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | William Contreras Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 2.5 | 2.5 | -110 | theScore Bet Under 2.5 -110 | best price | 2.0% | ✓✗!!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Gavin Sheets Over | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +128 | DK Over 1.5 +128 | exact | 1.0% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jose Caballero Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +123 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 0.3% | !✗✗✓!✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 58.1% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Juan Soto Over | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | +109 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 58.1% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 50.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Ben Rice Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | +117 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 50.2% | !✗✗✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 45.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Shohei Ohtani Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -131 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -125 | best price | 45.7% | !✗✓–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 41.4% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Luis Rengifo Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 0.9 | -157 | DK Under 1.5 -157 | exact | 41.4% | ✓✗✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 39.1% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Tyler Freeman Over | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | +115 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 39.1% | !✗✗✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 39.1% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Freddie Freeman Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | +103 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 39.1% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Josh Jung Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | +132 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 38.2% | !✗✗✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Max Muncy Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | +108 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 38.2% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 37.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Andy Pages Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | -108 | DK Over 1.5 -108 | exact | 37.2% | !✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Jake Bauers Over | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -110 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +100 | best price | 33.9% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Sal Frelick Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -132 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -130 | best price | 27.2% | ✓✗✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Mookie Betts Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +110 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 24.8% | !✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Garrett Mitchell Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -125 | DK Under 1.5 -125 | exact | 23.6% | ✓✗✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Fernando Tatis Jr. Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -199 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -190 | best price | 22.8% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | TJ Rumfield Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -181 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -175 | best price | 20.0% | ✓✗!!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Jake McCarthy Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -191 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -165 | best price | 15.6% | ✓✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.4% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Brice Turang Over | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -125 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 15.4% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Willson Contreras Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +130 | DK Over 1.5 +130 | exact | 12.8% | !✗✗✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.5% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Wilyer Abreu Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +113 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 12.5% | !✗✗✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Cody Bellinger Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +121 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 9.3% | !✗✗✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Will Smith Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -163 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -160 | best price | 7.7% | ✓✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Hunter Goodman Over | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +113 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 7.3% | !✗✗✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Paul Goldschmidt Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +125 | DK Over 1.5 +125 | exact | 7.0% | !✗✗✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Amed Rosario Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +142 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +145 | best price | 7.0% | !✗✗✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Ceddanne Rafaela Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -167 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -165 | best price | 4.6% | ✓✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.5% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Bo Bichette Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -164 | DK Under 1.5 -164 | exact | 4.5% | ✓✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.5% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | David Hamilton Over | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +118 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 2.5% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Jarren Duran Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +122 | DK Over 1.5 +122 | exact | 2.2% | !✗✗✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.1% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Jose Ramirez Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +106 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 0.1% | !✗✗✓!✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Matchup: [!] Weather: +8% run env ✗ Under | F5 Total | Under 5.5 | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 5.5 | - | -114 | BetOnline Under 5.5 -112 | best price | +8.7% | –✓–!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (8 books) — strongly disagree | F5 ML | Los Angeles Angels | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | - | - | +260 | draftkings +260 | +13.5% | –✓✗!–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (8 books) — strongly disagree | F5 ML | Colorado Rockies | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | - | - | +210 | draftkings +210 | +8.2% | –✓✗✓–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 5.6 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D | NRFI | NRFI | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | - | 5.6 | -120 | DraftKings -120 | +10.1% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.9 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D | NRFI | NRFI | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | - | 4.9 | -113 | DraftKings -113 | +3.2% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.4 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D | NRFI | NRFI | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | - | 4.4 | +102 | DraftKings +102 | +1.2% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.4 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D | NRFI | NRFI | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | - | 3.4 | +100 | DraftKings +100 | -11.4% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 2.9 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D | NRFI | NRFI | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | - | 2.9 | -148 | DraftKings -148 | -26.3% | –✗–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 35% (≥20%) — verify model inputs | YRFI | YRFI | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | - | 7.1 | +116 | DraftKings +116 | +35.4% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 20% (≥20%) — verify model inputs | YRFI | YRFI | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | - | 6.6 | -128 | DraftKings -128 | +20.2% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | - | 5.6 | -130 | DraftKings -130 | +7.8% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | - | 5.1 | -113 | DraftKings -113 | +5.7% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | - | 4.4 | -106 | DraftKings -106 | -1.1% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.020/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Caleb Durbin Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 96.9% | –✗✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.020/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Fernando Tatis Jr. Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -900 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 96.9% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.020/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Steven Kwan Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -4000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 | best price | 96.5% | –✗✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Brett Sullivan Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 94.7% | –✗✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Edouard Julien Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 94.7% | –✗✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jake McCarthy Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 94.7% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Ryan Ward Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 94.5% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Troy Johnston Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 94.4% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Miguel Andujar Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 94.4% | –✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Sung-Mun Song Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 94.4% | –✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Freddy Fermin Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -4000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 | best price | 94.4% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Ty France Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 94.4% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jared Young Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 94.0% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Luis Torrens Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 94.0% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | A.J. Ewing Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 94.0% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Mickey Gasper Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 94.0% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Masataka Yoshida Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 94.0% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Marcelo Mayer Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 94.0% | –✗✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jackson Chourio Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -550 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -350 | best price | 93.5% | –✗✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Christian Yelich Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -900 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 93.5% | –✗✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | David Hamilton Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.5% | –✗✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Kyle Manzardo Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -700 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Patrick Bailey Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Travis Bazzana Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Daniel Schneemann Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Joc Pederson Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -600 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Corey Seager Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -600 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -500 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Wyatt Langford Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Kyle Higashioka Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Paul Goldschmidt Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -700 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Amed Rosario Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jose Caballero Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Anthony Volpe Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Vaughn Grissom Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.2% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Oswald Peraza Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 93.2% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Wade Meckler Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.2% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Logan O'Hoppe Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 93.2% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Donovan Walton Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.2% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Luis Rengifo Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.0% | –✗✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Kyle Karros Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 92.1% | –✗✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Mookie Betts Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 92.1% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Alex Freeland Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 92.1% | –✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Alex Call Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 92.1% | –✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.050/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Brett Baty Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 89.3% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.050/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Sal Frelick Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 89.3% | –✗✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Ezequiel Tovar Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1600 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 88.8% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Garrett Mitchell Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -750 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -500 | best price | 88.1% | –✗✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Brayan Rocchio Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 87.0% | –✗✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Ezequiel Duran Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 85.5% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | William Contreras Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 85.3% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Ceddanne Rafaela Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 84.1% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Bo Bichette Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 82.5% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | TJ Rumfield Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1600 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 81.7% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jackson Merrill Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 81.0% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Marcus Semien Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 80.7% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Evan Carter Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 79.1% | –✗✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 78.6% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Carson Benge Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 77.5% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Wilyer Abreu Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -550 | best price | 76.8% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Xander Bogaerts Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1200 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 75.3% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Chase DeLauter Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1200 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 75.2% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Brice Turang Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 75.0% | –✗✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Will Smith Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -650 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 74.8% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Trent Grisham Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -700 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 74.7% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Cody Bellinger Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 74.6% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Brandon Nimmo Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -800 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 74.0% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jose Ramirez Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -500 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -500 | best price | 73.5% | –✗✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jo Adell Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -800 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 72.7% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Josh Jung Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 72.6% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Mark Vientos Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 69.9% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jorge Soler Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 69.8% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Zach Neto Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -700 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 68.2% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Angel Martinez Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -900 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 67.2% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jarren Duran Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -700 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 67.0% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Gavin Sheets Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1200 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 66.9% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Manny Machado Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 66.5% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jake Burger Under | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 65.7% | –✗✗!!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Tyler Freeman Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 62.4% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Freddie Freeman Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -800 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 62.4% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Shohei Ohtani Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -390 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -325 | best price | 61.7% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Willson Contreras Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -700 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 61.4% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.210/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Jake Bauers Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -500 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -400 | best price | 57.7% | –✗✗!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.210/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Andy Pages Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -750 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 57.2% | –✗✗–!– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.220/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Mike Trout Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -600 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -500 | best price | 56.8% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.230/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Hunter Goodman Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -500 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -350 | best price | 54.4% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.300/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Ben Rice Under | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -600 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -500 | best price | 40.8% | –✗✗!✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.300/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Max Muncy Under | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -400 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -400 | best price | 40.2% | –✗✗–✓– | ALT / DERISK |
| C (Review) | ↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.330/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D | Batter HR | Juan Soto Under | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -475 | best price | 34.4% | –✗✗––– | ALT / DERISK |
| ► MONITOR | ||||||||||||
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: diff_pct 19.1% vs 17% min clears, but raw gap +0.86 <= 1 min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Griffin Canning Over | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 4.5 | 5.4 | -115 | FanDuel Over 4.5 -115 | best price | 19.1% | ✓✗✓✓–– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.9% vs 17% min — would have capped at D | K Prop | Nolan McLean Over | MET@PAD | 10:11 PM | 5.5 | 5.9 | -149 | Bovada Direct Over 5.5 -135 | best price | 6.9% | ✓✗✓✓–– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Cody Bellinger Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | +184 | DK Over 0.5 +184 | exact | 8.0% | ✓✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.5% vs 30% min — would have capped at D | Batter Walks | Ben Rice Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | +167 | DK Over 0.5 +167 | exact | 5.5% | ✓✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: diff_pct 54.3% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.81 <= 1 min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Max Muncy Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | -143 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -115 | best price | 54.3% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Brandon Nimmo Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +102 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 35.3% | ✓✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Chase DeLauter Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +104 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 33.5% | ✓✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 32.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Willson Contreras Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -115 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 32.6% | ✓✗!✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Ezequiel Duran Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +134 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 30.4% | ✓✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Will Smith Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -139 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 | best price | 27.9% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Mookie Betts Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -158 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -150 | best price | 25.7% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Angel Martinez Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +120 | DK Over 1.5 +120 | exact | 21.3% | ✓✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jose Ramirez Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -128 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -125 | best price | 18.5% | !✗✓✓!✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Trent Grisham Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +104 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 16.7% | ✓✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Shohei Ohtani Over | ANG@DOD | 10:11 PM | 2.5 | 2.8 | -118 | theScore Bet Over 2.5 -110 | best price | 12.0% | ✓✗✓–✓– | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Troy Johnston Over | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +101 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 8.5% | ✓✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +115 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 8.2% | ✓✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Corey Seager Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -113 | DK Over 1.5 -113 | exact | 8.2% | ✓✗!✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Joc Pederson Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +109 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 8.2% | ✓✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Amed Rosario Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -113 | DK Over 1.5 -113 | exact | 7.7% | ✓✗!✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Travis Bazzana Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -105 | DK Over 1.5 -105 | exact | 7.5% | ✓✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Wyatt Langford Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +112 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 6.1% | ✓✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Anthony Volpe Over | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +128 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 5.6% | ✓✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | Kyle Manzardo Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +114 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 5.5% | ✓✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | TJ Rumfield Over | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -109 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 2.7% | ✓✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D | Batter H+R+RBI | David Hamilton Over | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -146 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -130 | best price | 1.2% | ✓✗✓✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Ezequiel Tovar Under | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.0 | -185 | DK Under 1.5 -185 | exact | 35.7% | ✓✗✓!✓! | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Corey Seager Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +120 | DK Over 1.5 +120 | exact | 5.3% | !✗!✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Travis Bazzana Over | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +140 | DK Over 1.5 +140 | exact | 4.7% | !✗!✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | William Contreras Over | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -141 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -120 | best price | 4.2% | !✗✓✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.5% vs 70% min — would have capped at D | Batter Total Bas | Christian Yelich Over | BRE@ROC | 9:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -132 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -130 | best price | 2.5% | ✓✗✓✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Market status RESEARCH: Total research-stage — downgraded to monitor/derisk — would have capped at C | Total | Over 7.5 | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 7.5 | - | -111 | BetRivers Over 7.5 -106 | best price | +29.6% | –✓–✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Market status RESEARCH: F5 Total research-stage — downgraded to monitor/derisk — would have capped at C | F5 Total | Over 3.5 | GUA@RAN | 7:36 PM | 3.5 | - | -154 | Bovada Direct Over 3.5 -150 | best price | +13.3% | –✓!✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| B (Review) | ◇ Monitor Market status RESEARCH: F5 Total research-stage — downgraded to monitor/derisk — would have capped at C | F5 Total | Over 4.5 | SOX@YAN | 7:36 PM | 4.5 | - | -104 | BetOnline Over 4.5 +100 | best price | +8.1% | –✓–✓–✓ | MONITOR |
✓ PASS ! WARN ✗ FAIL – N/A | Checks order: Baby Line · Model Edge · Books · Matchup · Role · Game Script