MLB Full Audit Saturday, June 06 2026

MARKET TRUST TIERS

17 market(s) with settled tracker history

Market	Trust	Season N	Season WR	Season P&L	14d N	14d WR	14d P&L	Grade A N	Grade A WR
K Prop	✅ TRUSTED	258	56%	-5.34u	60	62%	+3.58u	114	59%
Pitcher Hits Allowed	✅ TRUSTED	169	60%	+12.89u	49	55%	-0.23u	3	33%
Run Line	✅ TRUSTED	122	54%	-2.56u	38	55%	-2.03u	39	64%
Batter Walks	👀 WATCH	110	67%	+2.95u	110	67%	+2.95u	2	0%
Pitcher Earned Runs	👀 WATCH	47	66%	+7.01u	47	66%	+7.01u	1	0%
Batter Total Bases	👀 WATCH	43	47%	-4.69u	23	48%	-1.46u	0	-
Pitcher Walks	👀 WATCH	36	61%	+0.41u	36	61%	+0.41u	1	100%
Batter Hits	👀 WATCH	31	74%	+1.37u	17	65%	-1.46u	0	-
F5 ML	👀 WATCH	28	48%	+4.54u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-
No HR U1.5	👀 WATCH	9	22%	-5.18u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-
Moneyline	👀 WATCH	6	50%	+2.85u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-
NRFI	👀 WATCH	3	33%	+0.00u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-
YRFI	👀 WATCH	2	100%	+0.00u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-
Pitcher Outs	🔬 RESEARCH	80	44%	-11.96u	5	80%	+1.78u	1	0%
Total	🔬 RESEARCH	45	40%	-8.55u	3	67%	+0.74u	1	100%
F5 Total	🔬 RESEARCH	4	50%	-0.64u	4	50%	-0.64u	0	-
Batter H+R+RBI	⛔ PAUSED	579	51%	-62.89u	172	55%	-5.25u	75	51%

Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from configured market status plus settled tracker performance.

MARKET PROMOTION CRITERIA

What each market needs to move stages

Market	Current Stage	Next Stage	Progress	Promotion Blockers
K Prop	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	3/4	season P&L non-negative
Pitcher Hits Allowed	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	3/4	14d P&L non-negative
Run Line	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	2/4	season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative
Batter Walks	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	4/5	Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
Pitcher Earned Runs	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	3/5	season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
Batter Total Bases	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative
Pitcher Walks	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	3/5	season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
Batter Hits	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d P&L non-negative; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
F5 ML	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
No HR U1.5	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Moneyline	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
NRFI	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
YRFI	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Pitcher Outs	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	2/5	season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 10 and WR >= 52%
Total	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
F5 Total	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	0/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Batter H+R+RBI	⛔ PAUSED	🔬 Research	2/5	diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative

Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.

SAVANT PITCH QUALITY DIAGNOSTICS

30 pitcher(s) with public-data pitch-quality diagnostics

Pitcher	Game	Overall	Whiff	Contact	Arsenal	Top Pitch	Notes / Data Gaps
Jacob Misiorowski	Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies	86.2	95.6	89.5	5	Curveball (47% whiff, 12% usage)	Savant whiff 39.1%, put-away 33.7%, xwOBA 0.236, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Bryce Miller	Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers	76.9	63.4	97.0	7	Slider (48% whiff, 15% usage)	Savant whiff 29.6%, put-away 20.5%, xwOBA 0.221, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Spencer Strider	Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates	71.9	77.8	71.5	4	Curveball (52% whiff, 15% usage)	Savant whiff 35.5%, put-away 23.0%, xwOBA 0.272, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Braxton Ashcraft	Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves	68.8	67.9	75.0	5	Curveball (42% whiff, 25% usage)	Savant whiff 28.7%, put-away 26.8%, xwOBA 0.265, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Lake Bachar	Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays	68.8	76.8	67.0	5	Slider (48% whiff, 24% usage)	Savant whiff 34.5%, put-away 24.1%, xwOBA 0.281, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Ben Brown	Chicago Cubs vs San Francisco Giants	63.2	62.0	71.5	4	Curveball (47% whiff, 36% usage)	Savant whiff 28.1%, put-away 22.2%, xwOBA 0.272, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Braydon Fisher	Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles	60.2	65.2	59.5	4	Slider (33% whiff, 50% usage)	Savant whiff 29.9%, put-away 21.7%, xwOBA 0.296, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Brandon Eisert	Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies	59.3	52.4	64.0	4	Changeup (37% whiff, 27% usage)	Savant whiff 26.0%, put-away 16.8%, xwOBA 0.287, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Joe Ryan	Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals	58.7	54.4	67.5	6	Sweeper (33% whiff, 13% usage)	Savant whiff 25.6%, put-away 19.5%, xwOBA 0.280, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Landen Roupp	San Francisco Giants vs Chicago Cubs	58.7	57.0	63.5	5	Curveball (39% whiff, 29% usage)	Savant whiff 25.2%, put-away 22.9%, xwOBA 0.288, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Los Angeles Dodgers vs Los Angeles Angels	57.6	63.9	56.0	6	Split-Finger (38% whiff, 28% usage)	Savant whiff 29.3%, put-away 21.6%, xwOBA 0.303, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Will Warren	New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox	57.2	53.7	62.5	5	Sweeper (24% whiff, 22% usage)	Savant whiff 24.2%, put-away 21.5%, xwOBA 0.290, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Nolan McLean	New York Mets vs San Diego Padres	56.8	56.4	62.0	6	Curveball (41% whiff, 12% usage)	Savant whiff 24.6%, put-away 23.5%, xwOBA 0.291, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Shane McClanahan	Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins	55.0	59.9	57.5	4	Changeup (34% whiff, 29% usage)	Savant whiff 27.6%, put-away 20.9%, xwOBA 0.300, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Ranger Suarez	Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees	52.1	50.3	57.0	6	Curveball (46% whiff, 15% usage)	Savant whiff 22.5%, put-away 21.7%, xwOBA 0.301, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Kyle Bradish	Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays	51.2	53.5	49.5	4	Curveball (43% whiff, 23% usage)	Savant whiff 24.4%, put-away 20.9%, xwOBA 0.316, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Jack Leiter	Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians	50.5	61.4	41.5	6	Slider (36% whiff, 18% usage)	Savant whiff 27.5%, put-away 22.7%, xwOBA 0.332, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Luinder Avila	Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins	48.2	49.9	44.5	5	Slider (36% whiff, 26% usage)	Savant whiff 24.2%, put-away 17.8%, xwOBA 0.326, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Keider Montero	Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners	47.9	37.2	60.5	5	Slider (26% whiff, 17% usage)	Savant whiff 17.7%, put-away 18.2%, xwOBA 0.294, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Tanner Bibee	Cleveland Guardians vs Texas Rangers	47.5	55.0	40.5	6	Cutter (38% whiff, 25% usage)	Savant whiff 26.8%, put-away 17.7%, xwOBA 0.334, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Griffin Canning	San Diego Padres vs New York Mets	45.4	58.1	34.0	7	Slider (35% whiff, 23% usage)	Savant whiff 25.1%, put-away 24.2%, xwOBA 0.347, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Andrew Painter	Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago White Sox	42.1	43.0	37.5	6	Split-Finger (37% whiff, 14% usage)	Savant whiff 22.0%, put-away 15.2%, xwOBA 0.340, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Zach Agnos	Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers	42.0	46.4	32.0	6	Sweeper (41% whiff, 15% usage)	Savant whiff 24.5%, put-away 13.7%, xwOBA 0.351, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Tatsuya Imai	Houston Astros vs Athletics	40.9	52.4	29.5	5	Slider (35% whiff, 44% usage)	Savant whiff 27.2%, put-away 14.2%, xwOBA 0.356, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Jack Kochanowicz	Los Angeles Angels vs Los Angeles Dodgers	39.9	50.0	30.5	4	Slider (38% whiff, 17% usage)	Savant whiff 24.0%, put-away 18.4%, xwOBA 0.354, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Matthew Liberatore	St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds	38.5	44.1	30.0	7	Curveball (38% whiff, 16% usage)	Savant whiff 22.5%, put-away 15.5%, xwOBA 0.355, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Eduardo Rodriguez	Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals	38.3	38.9	40.5	5	4-Seam Fastball (23% whiff, 41% usage)	Savant whiff 18.7%, put-away 17.7%, xwOBA 0.334, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Nick Lodolo	Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals	35.1	48.8	11.5	4	Curveball (40% whiff, 25% usage)	Savant whiff 24.8%, put-away 15.5%, xwOBA 0.392, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Zack Littell	Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks	26.7	30.5	18.0	5	Slider (23% whiff, 29% usage)	Savant whiff 15.4%, put-away 16.1%, xwOBA 0.379, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Kade Morris	Athletics vs Houston Astros	-	-	-	0	-	Savant pitcher summary missing, Savant arsenal missing

Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.

PITCHER ASSESSMENT DIAGNOSTICS

30 starter assessment(s) emitted by Pitcher Engine

Pitcher	Team	Hand	Season K%	Recent IP	Season IP	K IP	Pitch Ct	Leash	Savant	Contact	HR Vuln	Quality	Flags / Notes
Eduardo Rodriguez	Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals	L	18.1%	6.4	6.0	6.1	107	deep	full	40.50	59.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Kade Morris	Athletics vs Houston Astros	R	21.6%	-	13.1	7.2	121	deep	missing	50.00	50.00	season+hand	recent_form_unavailable, savant_summary_missing
Spencer Strider	Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates	R	27.9%	5.4	5.2	5.4	91	normal	full	71.50	28.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.1%
Kyle Bradish	Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays	R	22.0%	5.2	5.4	5.4	87	normal	full	49.50	50.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	low-K contact opponent 19.2%
Ranger Suarez	Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees	L	24.6%	4.6	5.3	5.2	77	short	full	57.00	43.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.6 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 11.3%
Ben Brown	Chicago Cubs vs San Francisco Giants	R	26.5%	5.4	10.2	7.5	91	normal	full	71.50	28.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Brandon Eisert	Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies	L	25.4%	1.2	12.2	5.4	20	short	full	64.00	36.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 1.2 IP/start
Nick Lodolo	Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals	L	20.5%	5.1	5.4	5.5	86	short	full	11.50	88.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.1 IP/start
Tanner Bibee	Cleveland Guardians vs Texas Rangers	R	20.7%	5.8	5.3	5.4	97	normal	full	40.50	59.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Zach Agnos	Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers	R	17.4%	2.8	37.0	7.7	47	short	full	32.00	68.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 2.8 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 11.3%
Keider Montero	Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners	R	17.1%	5.1	5.5	5.5	86	short	full	60.50	39.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.1 IP/start
Tatsuya Imai	Houston Astros vs Athletics	R	22.6%	5.1	4.2	4.7	86	short	full	29.50	70.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.1 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.8%
Luinder Avila	Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins	R	21.2%	3.6	13.1	6.5	60	short	full	44.50	55.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 3.6 IP/start
Jack Kochanowicz	Los Angeles Angels vs Los Angeles Dodgers	R	16.2%	4.4	5.3	5.1	74	short	full	30.50	69.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.4 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.3%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Los Angeles Dodgers vs Los Angeles Angels	R	26.9%	6.2	6.3	6.3	104	deep	full	56.00	44.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Lake Bachar	Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays	R	26.0%	1.5	31.1	6.9	25	short	full	67.00	33.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 1.5 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.7%, low-K contact opponent 18.8%
Jacob Misiorowski	Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies	R	39.0%	6.6	5.9	6.0	111	deep	full	89.50	10.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Joe Ryan	Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals	R	28.6%	6.1	5.4	6.0	102	deep	full	67.50	32.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Nolan McLean	New York Mets vs San Diego Padres	R	24.9%	5.3	5.5	5.5	89	normal	full	62.00	38.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Will Warren	New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox	R	23.4%	5.2	5.3	5.3	87	normal	full	62.50	37.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Andrew Painter	Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago White Sox	R	17.9%	4.7	5.3	5.2	79	short	full	37.50	62.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.7 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.6%
Braxton Ashcraft	Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves	R	27.1%	6.5	6.2	6.2	109	deep	full	75.00	25.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Griffin Canning	San Diego Padres vs New York Mets	R	21.6%	4.3	4.5	4.9	72	short	full	34.00	66.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.3 IP/start
Landen Roupp	San Francisco Giants vs Chicago Cubs	R	24.2%	5.0	5.3	5.3	84	short	full	63.50	36.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.0 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 11.1%
Bryce Miller	Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers	R	25.4%	5.3	7.0	6.0	89	normal	full	97.00	3.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 9.8%
Matthew Liberatore	St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds	L	24.2%	4.7	5.2	5.1	79	short	full	30.00	70.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.7 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.2%
Shane McClanahan	Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins	L	23.2%	5.1	5.0	5.0	86	short	full	57.50	42.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.1 IP/start
Jack Leiter	Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Guardians	R	25.2%	5.5	5.5	5.5	92	normal	full	41.50	58.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.5%
Braydon Fisher	Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles	R	25.6%	1.0	11.4	6.2	17	short	full	59.50	40.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 1.0 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.3%
Zack Littell	Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks	R	16.1%	5.4	7.4	6.7	91	normal	full	18.00	82.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-

Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.

PITCHER OUTS RESEARCH GATE

7/7 candidate(s) held from actionable output

Pitcher	Side	Game	Line	Proj	Gap	Edge / DIFF%	Grade	Rec	Status	Leash	K IP	Pitch Ct	Quality	Gate Reason
Braxton Ashcraft	Braxton Ashcraft Over	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves	17.5	20.2	2.7	15.7%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	deep	6.2	109	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 15.7% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.74 <= 3 min
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over	Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers	18.5	20.7	2.2	11.8%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	deep	6.3	104	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 11.8% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.18 <= 3 min
Tanner Bibee	Tanner Bibee Under	Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers	17.5	16.4	-1.1	6.2%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	normal	5.4	97	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.2% vs 10% min
Will Warren	Will Warren Under	Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees	17.5	16.8	-0.7	4.0%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	normal	5.3	87	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 10% min
Jack Leiter	Jack Leiter Under	Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers	17.5	16.9	-0.6	3.3%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	normal	5.5	92	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 10% min
Nolan McLean	Nolan McLean Under	New York Mets @ San Diego Padres	17.5	17.2	-0.3	1.7%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	normal	5.5	89	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.7% vs 10% min
Jacob Misiorowski	Jacob Misiorowski Over	Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies	17.5	21.6	4.0	23.2%	B	MONITOR	research	deep	6.0	111	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	⚠ Market status RESEARCH: Pitcher Outs research-stage — downgraded to monitor/derisk — would have capped at C

QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.

HRR COMPONENT RESEARCH

87 HRR component candidate(s) emitted by Batter Engine | showing top 50 by component raw gap

Player	Game	Research Side	Component Proj	H	R	RBI	Current	Uncertainty	Support	Flags
Tyler Freeman	Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies	Over 1.5	2.91	1.47	0.80	0.64	2.55 / Over	0.59	exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Ben Rice	Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees	Over 1.5	2.66	1.09	0.81	0.76	2.58 / Over	0.35	season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Matt Olson	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves	Over 1.5	2.66	1.09	0.75	0.82	2.24 / Over	0.30	season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Brandon Lowe	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves	Over 1.5	2.51	1.04	0.81	0.66	2.22 / Over	0.30	season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Ryan O'Hearn	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves	Over 1.5	2.42	1.05	0.63	0.75	2.03 / Over	0.30	season_games=49,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Hunter Goodman	Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies	Over 1.5	2.39	0.92	0.82	0.66	1.73 / Over	0.35	season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, component_projection_diverges_from_current_model
Bryan Reynolds	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves	Over 1.5	2.33	0.97	0.67	0.69	1.95 / Over	0.30	season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Ozzie Albies	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves	Over 1.5	2.30	1.07	0.66	0.58	1.95 / Over	0.30	season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Josh Jung	Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers	Over 1.5	2.27	1.27	0.47	0.52	2.54 / Over	0.30	season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Nick Gonzales	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves	Over 1.5	2.27	1.14	0.57	0.56	2.04 / Over	0.30	season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Endy Rodriguez	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves	Over 1.5	2.26	1.27	0.54	0.45	2.10 / Over	0.64	exact_hrr_l10,lineup	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment
Oneil Cruz	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves	Over 1.5	2.25	1.02	0.64	0.59	2.27 / Over	0.30	season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Juan Soto	New York Mets @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	2.19	1.09	0.54	0.57	2.65 / Over	0.35	season_games=46,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Cody Bellinger	Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees	Over 1.5	2.19	0.96	0.60	0.63	2.15 / Over	0.35	season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Willson Contreras	Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees	Over 1.5	2.14	1.03	0.48	0.62	1.95 / Over	0.35	season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
TJ Rumfield	Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies	Over 1.5	2.14	0.98	0.52	0.64	1.55 / Over	0.35	season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, component_projection_diverges_from_current_model
Troy Johnston	Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies	Over 1.5	2.13	1.03	0.52	0.59	1.63 / Over	0.35	season_games=59,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, component_projection_diverges_from_current_model
Ronald Acuna Jr.	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves	Over 1.5	2.10	1.18	0.50	0.41	1.95 / Over	0.64	exact_hrr_l10,lineup	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment
Mike Trout	Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.06	0.82	0.75	0.49	2.00 / Over	0.35	season_games=63,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Mauricio Dubon	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves	Over 1.5	2.06	1.16	0.49	0.41	1.91 / Over	0.64	exact_hrr_l10,lineup	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment
Zach Neto	Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.03	0.90	0.69	0.44	1.97 / Over	0.35	season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Kyle Tucker	Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	2.02	0.91	0.62	0.49	2.14 / Over	0.35	season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Wilyer Abreu	Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees	Over 1.5	2.01	1.08	0.46	0.47	2.05 / Over	0.35	season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Max Muncy	Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.93	0.85	0.69	0.39	2.28 / Over	0.35	season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Spencer Horwitz	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves	Over 1.5	1.91	0.97	0.51	0.43	1.67 / Over	0.30	season_games=59,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Jarren Duran	Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees	Over 1.5	1.89	0.85	0.53	0.51	1.88 / Over	0.30	season_games=57,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees	Over 1.5	1.88	0.91	0.60	0.37	1.62 / Over	0.30	season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Will Smith	Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.85	0.86	0.47	0.53	1.92 / Over	0.30	season_games=52,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Brandon Nimmo	Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers	Over 1.5	1.80	1.01	0.41	0.38	2.03 / Over	0.30	season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Bo Bichette	New York Mets @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	1.80	0.94	0.41	0.46	2.07 / Over	0.35	season_games=63,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Ceddanne Rafaela	Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees	Over 1.5	1.79	0.98	0.41	0.40	1.68 / Over	0.35	season_games=59,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Jo Adell	Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.79	0.90	0.34	0.55	1.75 / Over	0.35	season_games=64,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Trent Grisham	Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees	Over 1.5	1.77	0.70	0.56	0.51	1.72 / Over	0.35	season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Fernando Tatis Jr.	New York Mets @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	1.76	1.08	0.41	0.27	1.69 / Over	0.30	season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Joc Pederson	Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers	Over 1.5	1.75	1.01	0.40	0.33	1.62 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Ezequiel Duran	Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers	Over 1.5	1.75	0.91	0.38	0.46	1.96 / Over	0.30	season_games=55,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Chase DeLauter	Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers	Over 1.5	1.73	0.93	0.32	0.48	1.94 / Over	0.35	season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Angel Martinez	Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers	Over 1.5	1.73	1.02	0.35	0.35	1.82 / Over	0.69	exact_hrr_l10	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment
Carson Benge	New York Mets @ San Diego Padres	Over 1.5	1.72	0.90	0.46	0.36	2.00 / Over	0.35	season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Brice Turang	Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies	Over 2.5	2.72	1.04	0.95	0.72	2.56 / Over	0.35	season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Corey Seager	Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers	Over 1.5	1.71	0.99	0.39	0.33	1.62 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Jake Burger	Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers	Over 1.5	1.66	0.85	0.40	0.42	2.02 / Over	0.30	season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
David Hamilton	Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies	Over 1.5	1.62	0.85	0.39	0.39	1.52 / Over	0.69	minimal	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment
Jake Bauers	Milwaukee Brewers @ Colorado Rockies	Over 2.5	2.62	1.00	0.74	0.87	2.65 / Over	0.35	season_games=54,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed
Wyatt Langford	Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers	Over 1.5	1.60	0.91	0.33	0.36	1.59 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Alex Call	Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.60	0.90	0.35	0.35	1.60 / Over	0.69	minimal	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment
Alex Freeland	Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.60	0.90	0.35	0.35	1.60 / Over	0.69	minimal	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment
Mookie Betts	Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers	Over 1.5	1.60	0.90	0.35	0.35	1.60 / Over	0.69	minimal	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment
Amed Rosario	Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees	Over 1.5	1.57	0.88	0.34	0.34	1.57 / Over	0.69	minimal	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment
Anthony Volpe	Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees	Over 1.5	1.57	0.88	0.34	0.34	1.57 / Over	0.69	minimal	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment

Diagnostics only. HRR remains paused; these component projections are not used for recommendations.

FULL AUDIT — ALL CANDIDATES

414 candidates evaluated

← Back to Picks

Grade	Signal	Type	Side	Game	Time (ET)	Line	Proj	Odds	Best Book / Line	Edge/Diff	Checks ✓!✗–	Rec
► GOOD ADDS
B	👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Pitcher Earned R	Jacob Misiorowski Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	0.9	+110	DK Under 1.5 +110 \| exact	40.0%	✓✓!––!	GOOD ADD
B	👀 Watch	Pitcher Earned R	Nolan McLean Over	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	2.0	-147	DK Over 1.5 -147 \| exact	33.3%	✓✓!–––	GOOD ADD
B	👀 Watch	Batter Walks	Shohei Ohtani Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	1.0	-148	DK Over 0.5 -148 \| exact	102.5%	✓✓!–––	GOOD ADD
B	👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Brice Turang Over	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.8	-141	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -140 \| best price	51.3%	✓✓!––!	GOOD ADD
► SMALL PLAYS
A (Weak)	◔ Small Play HRR trust gate: lineup not confirmed, raw gap 1.1 — A would have capped at C	Batter H+R+RBI	Ben Rice Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	2.6	-127	BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 \| best price	72.0%	✓✓✓✓–✓	SMALL PLAY
► ALT / DERISK
A (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Framework warning(s): Game Script — would have capped at B	Batter H+R+RBI	Tyler Freeman Over	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	2.5	-137	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 \| best price	69.8%	✓✓✓–✓!	ALT / DERISK
A (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jarren Duran Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.9	-117	DK Over 1.5 -117 \| exact	25.1%	✓✗✓✓✓✓	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees \| books against us 20% (5 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	K Prop	Jacob Misiorowski Over	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	7.5	10.9	-139	DK Over 7.5 -139 \| exact	45.6%	✓✓✗✓––	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (5 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	K Prop	Spencer Strider Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	6.5	8.5	+106	BetRivers Over 6.5 +116 \| best price	30.2%	✓✓✗✓––	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (5 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	K Prop	Jack Leiter Over	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	5.5	6.6	+108	FanDuel Over 5.5 +124 \| best price	19.7%	✓✓✗✓––	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check — would have capped at C	Pitcher Walks	Ranger Suarez Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.9	+101	DK Over 1.5 +101 \| exact	27.5%	✓✓✗✓–✓	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Bryan Reynolds Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	1.0	+132	DK Over 0.5 +132 \| exact	96.8%	✓✓✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Ezequiel Tovar Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.2	-384	DK Under 0.5 -384 \| exact	61.5%	✓✓✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Mauricio Dubon Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-472	DK Under 0.5 -472 \| exact	60.0%	✓✓✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Troy Johnston Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.2	-349	DK Under 0.5 -349 \| exact	54.5%	✓✓✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Dominic Smith Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-462	DK Under 0.5 -462 \| exact	53.2%	✓✓✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Endy Rodriguez Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-205	DK Under 0.5 -205 \| exact	51.2%	✓✓✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk HRR trust gate: lineup not confirmed, raw gap 1.1 — B would have capped at C	Batter H+R+RBI	Juan Soto Over	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	2.6	-126	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -125 \| best price	76.8%	✓✓✓–––	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK disagrees \| split consensus 50% (4 books) — would have capped at C	Batter H+R+RBI	Josh Jung Over	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	1.5	2.5	-102	DK Over 1.5 -102 \| exact	69.5%	✓✓✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 20.9% vs 17% min clears, but raw gap +0.73 <= 1 min — would have capped at D	K Prop	Jack Kochanowicz Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	3.5	4.2	+127	BetRivers Over 2.5 +132 \| alt rescue	20.9%	✓✗✗!––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 17.9% vs 17% min clears, but raw gap +0.99 <= 1 min — would have capped at D	K Prop	Braxton Ashcraft Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	5.5	6.5	-111	BetMGM Over 5.5 -110 \| best price	17.9%	✓✗!!––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.6% vs 17% min — would have capped at D	K Prop	Will Warren Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	5.5	5.0	-157	FanDuel Under 5.5 -150 \| best price	9.6%	✓✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.6% vs 17% min — would have capped at D	K Prop	Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	7.5	7.9	+111	FanDuel Over 7.5 +118 \| best price	5.6%	✓✗✗✓––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 17% min — would have capped at D	K Prop	Tanner Bibee Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	5.5	5.4	-156	BetMGM Under 5.5 -145 \| best price	1.8%	✓✗✗✓––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 17% min — would have capped at D	K Prop	Ranger Suarez Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	5.5	5.4	-151	DK Under 5.5 -151 \| exact	1.3%	✓✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 15.7% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.74 <= 3 min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Outs	Braxton Ashcraft Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	17.5	20.2	-126	BetOnline Over 17.5 -125 \| best price	15.7%	✓✗✓–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 11.8% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.18 <= 3 min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Outs	Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	18.5	20.7	+117	FanDuel Over 18.5 +122 \| best price	11.8%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.2% vs 10% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Outs	Tanner Bibee Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	17.5	16.4	+106	DK Under 17.5 +106 \| exact	6.2%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 10% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Outs	Will Warren Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	17.5	16.8	-123	DK Under 17.5 -123 \| exact	4.0%	✓✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 10% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Outs	Jack Leiter Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	17.5	16.9	+105	BetMGM Under 17.5 +120 \| best price	3.3%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.7% vs 10% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Outs	Nolan McLean Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	17.5	17.2	-118	BetMGM Under 17.5 -110 \| best price	1.7%	✓✗✓–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 33% (3 books) — strongly disagree	Pitcher Hits All	Braxton Ashcraft Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	5.5	4.2	-161	BetMGM Under 5.5 -160 \| best price	23.6%	✓✓✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.9% vs 15% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Hits All	Jack Kochanowicz Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	5.5	6.1	-151	BetMGM Over 5.5 -135 \| best price	10.9%	✓✗✓–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.1% vs 15% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Hits All	Will Warren Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	5.5	5.0	-149	Bovada Direct Under 5.5 -145 \| best price	9.1%	✓✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.1% vs 15% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Hits All	Ranger Suarez Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	5.5	5.0	-146	Bovada Direct Under 5.5 -140 \| best price	9.1%	✓✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check	Pitcher Walks	Jack Leiter Over	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	1.5	2.0	-176	DK Over 1.5 -176 \| exact	33.9%	✓✓✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check	Pitcher Walks	Griffin Canning Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	2.5	1.8	-204	DK Under 2.5 -204 \| exact	27.7%	✓✓✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check	Pitcher Walks	Nolan McLean Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	2.5	2.0	-180	DK Under 2.5 -180 \| exact	18.3%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.2% vs 20% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Walks	Tanner Bibee Over	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.7	-129	DK Over 1.5 -129 \| exact	10.2%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.2% vs 20% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Walks	Jacob Misiorowski Over	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.6	+115	DK Over 1.5 +115 \| exact	9.2%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.4% vs 20% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Walks	Braxton Ashcraft Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	1.4	+125	DK Under 1.5 +125 \| exact	7.4%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.9% vs 20% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Walks	Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-126	DK Under 1.5 -126 \| exact	5.9%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.9% vs 20% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Walks	Jack Kochanowicz Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	2.5	2.6	-150	DK Over 2.5 -150 \| exact	4.9%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.1% vs 20% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Walks	Will Warren Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.5	-155	DK Under 1.5 -155 \| exact	2.1%	✓✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.1% vs 20% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Walks	Spencer Strider Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	2.5	2.5	+142	DK Over 2.5 +142 \| exact	0.1%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Pitcher Earned R	Griffin Canning Over	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	2.9	-171	DK Over 1.5 -171 \| exact	93.3%	✓✓✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Pitcher Earned R	Braxton Ashcraft Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	2.5	1.6	-170	DK Under 2.5 -170 \| exact	36.0%	✓✓✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Pitcher Earned R	Spencer Strider Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	2.5	2.0	-153	DK Under 2.5 -153 \| exact	20.0%	✓✓✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Pitcher Earned R	Will Warren Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	2.5	2.0	-159	BetMGM Under 2.5 -150 \| best price	20.0%	✓✓✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	Pitcher Earned R	Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.8	-136	DK Over 1.5 -136 \| exact	20.0%	✓!!–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Pitcher Earned R	Ranger Suarez Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	2.5	2.1	-127	DK Under 2.5 -127 \| exact	16.0%	✓!✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Pitcher Earned R	Jack Leiter Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	2.5	2.1	-159	BetMGM Under 2.5 -155 \| best price	16.0%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.7% vs 20% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Earned R	Jack Kochanowicz Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	3.5	3.3	-136	DK Under 3.5 -136 \| exact	5.7%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 20% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Earned R	Tanner Bibee Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	2.5	2.5	-148	BetMGM Under 2.5 -130 \| best price	-	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Hits	Luis Rengifo Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	0.7	-265	DK Under 1.5 -265 \| exact	52.8%	✓!!––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Hits	Sal Frelick Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	0.8	-202	DK Under 1.5 -202 \| exact	47.5%	✓!!––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Hits	Christian Yelich Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	0.8	-186	BetMGM Under 1.5 -175 \| best price	43.2%	✓!!––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Hits	Jackson Chourio Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	0.8	-134	DK Under 1.5 -134 \| exact	43.2%	✓!!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter Hits	Bo Bichette Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.0	-249	theScore Bet Under 1.5 +220 \| best price	33.8%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter Hits	Brice Turang Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.1	-184	DK Under 1.5 -184 \| exact	29.2%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 28.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter Hits	Jake Bauers Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.1	-238	theScore Bet Under 1.5 +220 \| best price	28.2%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter Hits	Andy Pages Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.1	-207	DK Under 1.5 -207 \| exact	25.7%	✓✗!–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter Hits	William Contreras Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.1	-160	DK Under 1.5 -160 \| exact	24.0%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter Hits	Tyler Freeman Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.2	-236	DK Under 1.5 -236 \| exact	22.0%	✓✗!–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter Hits	Freddie Freeman Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.2	-221	theScore Bet Under 1.5 +200 \| best price	22.0%	✓✗!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter Hits	Shohei Ohtani Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.3	-201	DK Under 1.5 -201 \| exact	16.0%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Jo Adell Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-468	DK Under 0.5 -468 \| exact	83.6%	✓✓✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Angel Martinez Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.1	-479	DK Under 0.5 -479 \| exact	77.2%	✓✓✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Mark Vientos Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-275	DK Under 0.5 -275 \| exact	69.9%	✓✓✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Caleb Durbin Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.2	-299	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -290 \| best price	66.2%	✓✓✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Ceddanne Rafaela Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.2	-295	DK Under 0.5 -295 \| exact	65.3%	✓✓✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Ha-Seong Kim Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-306	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 \| best price	53.2%	✓✓✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Mike Yastrzemski Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-224	DK Under 0.5 -224 \| exact	53.2%	✓✓✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Austin Riley Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-363	DK Under 0.5 -363 \| exact	50.8%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Ozzie Albies Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-346	DK Under 0.5 -346 \| exact	50.8%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Marcus Semien Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-254	DK Under 0.5 -254 \| exact	49.9%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Jake Burger Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.2	-450	DK Under 0.5 -450 \| exact	49.4%	✓!✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Jake McCarthy Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.3	-366	DK Under 0.5 -366 \| exact	48.4%	✓!✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Ezequiel Duran Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-453	DK Under 0.5 -453 \| exact	47.2%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Josh Jung Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-462	DK Under 0.5 -462 \| exact	46.8%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Hunter Goodman Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.3	-402	DK Under 0.5 -402 \| exact	45.0%	✓!✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Jarren Duran Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-267	DK Under 0.5 -267 \| exact	44.4%	✓!✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Mike Trout Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.7	-107	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -105 \| best price	42.9%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Andy Pages Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-262	DK Under 0.5 -262 \| exact	41.3%	✓!✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Luis Rengifo Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.3	-285	DK Under 0.5 -285 \| exact	40.2%	✓!✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	TJ Rumfield Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.3	-263	DK Under 0.5 -263 \| exact	39.5%	✓!✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Freddy Fermin Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-280	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -280 \| best price	38.0%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	A.J. Ewing Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-280	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -280 \| best price	38.0%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Jared Young Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-249	DK Under 0.5 -249 \| exact	38.0%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Ty France Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-237	DK Under 0.5 -237 \| exact	38.0%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Miguel Andujar Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-261	DK Under 0.5 -261 \| exact	38.0%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check	Batter Walks	Bryce Johnson Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-265	DK Under 0.5 -265 \| exact	38.0%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check	Batter Walks	Hayden Senger Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-428	DK Under 0.5 -428 \| exact	38.0%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-317	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 \| best price	37.7%	✓!✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Corey Seager Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-217	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -215 \| best price	36.8%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Wyatt Langford Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-224	DK Under 0.5 -224 \| exact	36.8%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Joc Pederson Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-233	DK Under 0.5 -233 \| exact	36.8%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Kyle Higashioka Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-463	DK Under 0.5 -463 \| exact	36.8%	✓!✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check	Batter Walks	Nick Gonzales Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-315	DK Under 0.5 -315 \| exact	36.8%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Kyle Tucker Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.7	+101	DK Over 0.5 +101 \| exact	36.4%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Brandon Nimmo Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-250	DK Under 0.5 -250 \| exact	34.5%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Matt Olson Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-202	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -190 \| best price	34.4%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Carson Benge Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-220	DK Under 0.5 -220 \| exact	34.3%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Sal Frelick Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.3	-205	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -200 \| best price	34.2%	✓!✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Max Muncy Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.7	+105	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +105 \| best price	34.0%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Spencer Horwitz Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.7	+116	DK Over 0.5 +116 \| exact	32.6%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Wilyer Abreu Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-275	DK Under 0.5 -275 \| exact	32.4%	✓!✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Tyler Freeman Over	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.7	+253	DK Over 0.5 +253 \| exact	32.1%	✓!✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Freddie Freeman Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.7	+108	DK Over 0.5 +108 \| exact	32.1%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Steven Kwan Over	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.7	+197	DK Over 0.5 +197 \| exact	31.6%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Bo Bichette Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-428	DK Under 0.5 -428 \| exact	30.0%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Brett Baty Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-237	DK Under 0.5 -237 \| exact	29.2%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Willson Contreras Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.4	-208	DK Under 0.5 -208 \| exact	28.4%	✓!✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Brayan Rocchio Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.4	-379	DK Under 0.5 -379 \| exact	27.6%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Jackson Merrill Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-207	DK Under 0.5 -207 \| exact	27.5%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Paul Goldschmidt Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.4	-234	DK Under 0.5 -234 \| exact	27.4%	✓!✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Isiah Kiner-Falefa Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.4	-321	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 \| best price	27.4%	✓!✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Jose Caballero Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.4	-326	DK Under 0.5 -326 \| exact	27.4%	✓!✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Mickey Gasper Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.4	-332	DK Under 0.5 -332 \| exact	27.4%	✓!✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Anthony Volpe Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.4	-336	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 \| best price	27.4%	✓!✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Austin Wells Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.4	-393	DK Under 0.5 -393 \| exact	27.4%	✓!✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Amed Rosario Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.4	-402	DK Under 0.5 -402 \| exact	27.4%	✓!✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Masataka Yoshida Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.4	-410	DK Under 0.5 -410 \| exact	27.4%	✓!✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Marcelo Mayer Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.4	-477	DK Under 0.5 -477 \| exact	27.4%	✓!✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Kyle Karros Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.4	-335	DK Under 0.5 -335 \| exact	27.3%	✓!✗–!!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Donovan Walton Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-443	DK Under 0.5 -443 \| exact	27.0%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Logan O'Hoppe Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-475	DK Under 0.5 -475 \| exact	27.0%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Wade Meckler Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-369	DK Under 0.5 -369 \| exact	27.0%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Alex Freeland Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-211	DK Under 0.5 -211 \| exact	27.0%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Oswald Peraza Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-401	DK Under 0.5 -401 \| exact	27.0%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Alex Call Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-146	DK Under 0.5 -146 \| exact	27.0%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Mookie Betts Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-167	DK Under 0.5 -167 \| exact	27.0%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check	Batter Walks	Adam Frazier Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-507	DK Under 0.5 -507 \| exact	27.0%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check	Batter Walks	Nick Madrigal Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-515	DK Under 0.5 -515 \| exact	27.0%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Batter Walks	Christian Yelich Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.4	+108	DK Under 0.5 +108 \| exact	26.8%	✓!!––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Jackson Chourio Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.4	-243	DK Under 0.5 -243 \| exact	26.8%	✓!✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	David Hamilton Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.4	-204	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -200 \| best price	26.8%	✓!✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	William Contreras Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.4	-230	DK Under 0.5 -230 \| exact	26.4%	✓!✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Kyle Manzardo Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.4	-234	DK Under 0.5 -234 \| exact	25.8%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Travis Bazzana Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.4	-248	DK Under 0.5 -248 \| exact	25.8%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Daniel Schneemann Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.4	-317	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 \| best price	25.8%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Patrick Bailey Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.4	-388	DK Under 0.5 -388 \| exact	25.8%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.3% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Xander Bogaerts Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-202	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -200 \| best price	25.3%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.0% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Juan Soto Over	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.6	-150	DK Over 0.5 -150 \| exact	21.0%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.8% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Fernando Tatis Jr. Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-187	DK Under 0.5 -187 \| exact	19.8%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.8% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Jake Bauers Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.4	-111	DK Under 0.5 -111 \| exact	18.8%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.4% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Evan Carter Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.4	-242	DK Under 0.5 -242 \| exact	18.4%	✓✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.1% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Brandon Lowe Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.6	+126	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +130 \| best price	18.1%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.8% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Gavin Sheets Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-186	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -185 \| best price	17.8%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.4% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Zach Neto Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-293	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -280 \| best price	16.4%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.4% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Jose Ramirez Over	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.6	+139	DK Over 0.5 +139 \| exact	14.4%	!✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.3% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Manny Machado Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.5	-192	DK Under 0.5 -192 \| exact	8.3%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Cody Bellinger Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.5	+175	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +180 \| best price	8.0%	✓✗✗✓–✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.2% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Jared Triolo Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.5	-243	DK Under 0.5 -243 \| exact	7.2%	✓✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.5% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Oneil Cruz Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.5	+122	DK Over 0.5 +122 \| exact	6.5%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.5% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Ben Rice Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.5	+162	DK Over 0.5 +162 \| exact	5.5%	✓✗✗✓–✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.0% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Ronald Acuna Jr. Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.5	+124	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +125 \| best price	5.0%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.1% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Trent Grisham Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.5	-212	DK Under 0.5 -212 \| exact	4.1%	✓✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.8% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Chase DeLauter Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.5	-200	DK Under 0.5 -200 \| exact	2.8%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.2% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Will Smith Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.5	-160	DK Under 0.5 -160 \| exact	2.2%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.8% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Garrett Mitchell Over	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.5	-103	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +100 \| best price	0.8%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.2% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Ryan O'Hearn Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.5	-183	DK Under 0.5 -183 \| exact	0.2%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 51.8% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.78 <= 1 min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Max Muncy Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	2.3	-142	BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 \| best price	51.8%	✓✗✓–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 51.6% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.77 <= 1 min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Oneil Cruz Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	2.3	+104	BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	51.6%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 49.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Matt Olson Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	2.2	-108	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -105 \| best price	49.0%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 47.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Brandon Lowe Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	2.2	-104	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	47.7%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Kyle Tucker Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	2.1	-146	BetMGM Over 1.5 -125 \| best price	42.9%	✓✗✓–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 40.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Endy Rodriguez Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	2.1	+123	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	40.2%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 39.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jackson Chourio Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	2.5	1.5	+107	theScore Bet Under 2.5 +110 \| best price	39.3%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 39.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Christian Yelich Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	2.5	1.5	-110	DK Under 2.5 -110 \| exact	39.3%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 37.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Bo Bichette Over	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	2.1	-137	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -135 \| best price	37.9%	✓✗✓–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Nick Gonzales Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	2.0	-111	BetOnline Over 1.5 -110 \| best price	35.8%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Brandon Nimmo Over	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	1.5	2.0	+102	DK Over 1.5 +102 \| exact	35.3%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ryan O'Hearn Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	2.0	-111	BetMGM Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	35.0%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jake Burger Over	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	1.5	2.0	+105	BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	34.5%	!✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Sal Frelick Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	2.5	1.6	-151	theScore Bet Under 2.5 -150 \| best price	34.4%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Mike Trout Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	2.0	+122	DK Over 1.5 +122 \| exact	33.6%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Kyle Karros Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.0	-154	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -150 \| best price	33.5%	✓✗✗–!!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Carson Benge Over	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	2.0	-101	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	33.2%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Zach Neto Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	2.0	+120	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	31.6%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Garrett Mitchell Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	2.5	1.7	-153	theScore Bet Under 2.5 -150 \| best price	30.6%	✓✗✓––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ezequiel Duran Over	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	1.5	2.0	+134	DK Over 1.5 +134 \| exact	30.4%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Bryan Reynolds Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	1.9	+100	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	30.2%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ozzie Albies Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	1.9	-106	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 \| best price	30.0%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Willson Contreras Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.9	-114	BetOnline Over 1.5 -110 \| best price	29.9%	✓✗✗✓–✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Chase DeLauter Over	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.9	+104	DK Over 1.5 +104 \| exact	29.6%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Mauricio Dubon Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	1.9	-111	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +110 \| best price	27.1%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Mark Vientos Over	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.8	+114	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	21.9%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ezequiel Tovar Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.2	-132	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -130 \| best price	21.7%	✓✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Angel Martinez Over	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.8	+112	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	21.3%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jose Ramirez Over	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.8	-122	DK Over 1.5 -122 \| exact	19.2%	!✗✓–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jo Adell Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.8	+129	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -165 \| alt rescue	16.4%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Caleb Durbin Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.3	-161	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -145 \| best price	16.0%	✓✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Trent Grisham Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.7	+104	BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	14.4%	✓✗✗✓–✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jake McCarthy Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.3	-125	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -115 \| best price	13.4%	✓✗!–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Spencer Horwitz Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	1.7	-105	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 \| best price	11.3%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Brett Baty Over	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.7	+131	DK Over 1.5 +131 \| exact	10.5%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ha-Seong Kim Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-162	DK Under 1.5 -162 \| exact	8.6%	✓✗!–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Troy Johnston Over	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.6	+101	BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	8.6%	✓✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Shohei Ohtani Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	2.5	2.7	-118	theScore Bet Over 2.5 -110 \| best price	8.2%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Corey Seager Over	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.6	-113	DK Over 1.5 -113 \| exact	8.2%	✓✗!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Joc Pederson Over	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.6	+100	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	8.2%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Luis Rengifo Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.4	+117	theScore Bet Under 1.5 +120 \| best price	7.5%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ty France Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-136	BetMGM Under 1.5 -135 \| best price	6.8%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Miguel Andujar Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-137	DK Under 1.5 -137 \| exact	6.8%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	A.J. Ewing Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-172	BetMGM Under 1.5 -135 \| best price	6.8%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Alex Freeland Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+105	BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	6.4%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Mookie Betts Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.6	-153	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -150 \| best price	6.4%	✓✗✓–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Alex Call Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.6	-107	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 \| best price	6.4%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Wyatt Langford Over	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.6	+116	DK Over 1.5 +116 \| exact	6.1%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jake Bauers Over	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	2.5	2.6	-101	BetMGM Over 2.5 +110 \| best price	6.1%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Austin Riley Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-146	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -140 \| best price	5.4%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Masataka Yoshida Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.6	+107	DK Over 1.5 +107 \| exact	4.7%	✓✗✗✓–✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Isiah Kiner-Falefa Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.6	+122	DK Over 1.5 +122 \| exact	4.7%	✓✗✗✓–✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Anthony Volpe Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.6	+124	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	4.7%	✓✗✗✓–✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jose Caballero Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.6	+124	BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	4.7%	✓✗✗✓–✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Marcelo Mayer Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.6	+127	BetMGM Over 0.5 -165 \| alt rescue	4.7%	✓✗✗✓–✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Mickey Gasper Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.6	+131	DK Over 1.5 +131 \| exact	4.7%	✓✗✗✓–✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Xander Bogaerts Over	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.6	-105	BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	4.2%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	William Contreras Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	2.5	2.4	-111	Bovada Direct Under 2.5 -105 \| best price	3.9%	✓✗!––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	TJ Rumfield Over	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.6	-113	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	3.1%	✓✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jared Young Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-165	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -140 \| best price	3.1%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Marcus Semien Over	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+116	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	2.6%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Brice Turang Over	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	2.5	2.6	-113	BetMGM Over 2.5 -105 \| best price	2.5%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jackson Merrill Over	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+118	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	2.2%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Andy Pages Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	2.5	2.5	-144	DK Under 2.5 -144 \| exact	2.0%	✓✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Dominic Smith Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	1.5	-154	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -140 \| best price	1.9%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Freddie Freeman Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	2.5	2.5	+115	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -160 \| alt rescue	1.9%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Manny Machado Over	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+101	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 \| best price	1.3%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	David Hamilton Over	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.5	-146	BetMGM Over 1.5 -130 \| best price	1.2%	✓✗✓––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Gavin Sheets Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.5	-153	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -140 \| best price	1.0%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Steven Kwan Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.5	-167	BetMGM Under 1.5 -150 \| best price	0.7%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Travis Bazzana Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.5	-126	BetMGM Under 1.5 -115 \| best price	0.6%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Kyle Manzardo Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.5	-151	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -140 \| best price	0.6%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 58.1% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Juan Soto Over	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	2.4	+117	BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	58.1%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 46.4% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Shohei Ohtani Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	2.2	-127	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -125 \| best price	46.4%	✓✗✓–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 41.4% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Luis Rengifo Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	0.9	-152	DK Under 1.5 -152 \| exact	41.4%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 39.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Tyler Freeman Over	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	2.1	+111	BetMGM Over 1.5 +135 \| best price	39.7%	!✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 39.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Freddie Freeman Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	2.1	-106	BetMGM Over 1.5 +110 \| best price	39.7%	!✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Max Muncy Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	2.1	+114	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	38.7%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Josh Jung Over	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	1.5	2.1	+137	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 \| best price	38.2%	!✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 37.5% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Andy Pages Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	2.1	-113	BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 \| best price	37.5%	!✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Jake Bauers Over	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	2.0	-115	BetMGM Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	33.9%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Sal Frelick Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.1	-122	DK Under 1.5 -122 \| exact	27.2%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Garrett Mitchell Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.1	-121	DK Under 1.5 -121 \| exact	23.6%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Fernando Tatis Jr. Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.2	-168	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -165 \| best price	22.8%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.5% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Matt Olson Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	1.8	+123	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 \| best price	22.5%	!✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Brandon Lowe Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	1.8	+130	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 \| best price	21.7%	!✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Xander Bogaerts Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.2	-210	DK Under 1.5 -210 \| exact	21.7%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	TJ Rumfield Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.2	-181	BetMGM Under 1.5 -175 \| best price	19.7%	✓✗!–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Jake McCarthy Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.3	-191	BetMGM Under 1.5 -165 \| best price	15.6%	✓✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.4% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Brice Turang Over	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.7	-134	BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 \| best price	15.4%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Nick Gonzales Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	1.3	-189	DK Under 1.5 -189 \| exact	15.2%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Willson Contreras Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.7	+130	BetMGM Over 1.5 +135 \| best price	12.8%	✓✗✗✓–✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.5% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Wilyer Abreu Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.7	+109	BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	12.5%	✓✗✗✓–✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Cody Bellinger Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.6	+116	BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	9.3%	✓✗✗✓–✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Mookie Betts Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+114	BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	7.8%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.4% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Will Smith Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-171	DK Under 1.5 -171 \| exact	7.4%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Paul Goldschmidt Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.6	+125	DK Over 1.5 +125 \| exact	6.0%	✓✗✗✓–✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Amed Rosario Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.6	+134	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 \| best price	6.0%	✓✗✗✓–✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Hunter Goodman Over	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.6	+113	BetMGM Over 1.5 +135 \| best price	6.0%	!✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Corey Seager Over	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.6	+119	BetMGM Over 1.5 +130 \| best price	5.3%	!✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.1% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Mauricio Dubon Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-181	BetMGM Under 1.5 -175 \| best price	5.1%	✓✗!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Ozzie Albies Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-184	DK Under 1.5 -184 \| exact	4.6%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Ceddanne Rafaela Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.4	-174	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -160 \| best price	4.6%	✓✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.5% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Bo Bichette Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-159	DK Under 1.5 -159 \| exact	4.5%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	William Contreras Over	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.6	-141	BetMGM Over 1.5 -120 \| best price	4.2%	✓✗✓––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Kyle Tucker Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+127	BetMGM Over 1.5 +135 \| best price	2.8%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.5% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Christian Yelich Over	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.5	-135	BetMGM Over 1.5 -135 \| best price	2.5%	✓✗✓––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.5% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	David Hamilton Over	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.5	+114	BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	2.5%	✓✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.5% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Ryan O'Hearn Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	1.5	-180	theScore Bet Under 1.5 +150 \| best price	2.5%	✓✗!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Ronald Acuna Jr. Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	1.5	+123	DK Over 1.5 +123 \| exact	2.0%	!✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Jarren Duran Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.5	+124	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	1.7%	!✗✗✓✓✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Jose Ramirez Over	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.5	+111	BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	0.8%	!✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Travis Bazzana Over	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.5	+147	DK Over 1.5 +147 \| exact	0.6%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	Total	Over 7.5	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	7.5	-	-111	LowVig Over 7.5 -107 \| best price	+21.9%	–✓––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	F5 Total	Under 5.5	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	5.5	-	-114	BetOnline Under 5.5 -112 \| best price	+11.6%	–✓–––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (8 books) — strongly disagree	F5 ML	Los Angeles Angels	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	-	-	+260	draftkings +260	+14.2%	–✓✗!––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (8 books) — strongly disagree	F5 ML	Colorado Rockies	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	-	-	+220	draftkings +220	+9.2%	–✓✗✓–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 7.2 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D	NRFI	NRFI	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	-	7.2	-140	DraftKings -140	+24.7%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 5.4 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D	NRFI	NRFI	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	-	5.4	-118	DraftKings -118	+8.0%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.7 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D	NRFI	NRFI	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	-	4.7	+102	DraftKings +102	+4.0%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.6 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D	NRFI	NRFI	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	-	4.6	-113	DraftKings -113	+0.1%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.4 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D	NRFI	NRFI	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	-	3.4	-104	DraftKings -104	-12.5%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.2 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D	NRFI	NRFI	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	-	3.2	-138	DraftKings -138	-21.6%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 31% (≥20%) — verify model inputs	YRFI	YRFI	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	-	6.8	+108	DraftKings +108	+30.6%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 22% (≥20%) — verify model inputs	YRFI	YRFI	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	-	6.7	-122	DraftKings -122	+21.5%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	-	5.4	-113	DraftKings -113	+8.8%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	-	5.3	-130	DraftKings -130	+5.0%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	-	4.6	-108	DraftKings -108	+1.0%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	-	2.8	+110	DraftKings +110	-15.6%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (9 books) — strongly disagree	Moneyline	Los Angeles Angels	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	-	-	+292	BetOnline +302 \| best price	+15.2%	–✓✗!––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.020/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Fernando Tatis Jr. Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-900	BetOnline Under 0.5 -900 \| best price	96.9%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.020/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Caleb Durbin Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.0	-3500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 \| best price	96.6%	–✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.020/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Steven Kwan Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.0	-4000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 \| best price	96.5%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Brett Sullivan Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.0	-3500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 \| best price	94.7%	–✗✗–!!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Edouard Julien Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.0	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| best price	94.7%	–✗✗–!!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Jake McCarthy Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.0	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| best price	94.7%	–✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Troy Johnston Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.0	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| best price	94.4%	–✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Jared Young Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1000	BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 \| best price	94.0%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Luis Torrens Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| best price	94.0%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	A.J. Ewing Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| best price	94.0%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Miguel Andujar Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| best price	94.0%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Freddy Fermin Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-4000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 \| best price	94.0%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Ty France Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| best price	94.0%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Jared Triolo Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-3500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 \| best price	93.9%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Marco Gonzales Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| best price	93.9%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Dominic Smith Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| best price	93.9%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Mike Yastrzemski Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| best price	93.9%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Ha-Seong Kim Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| best price	93.9%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Kyle Manzardo Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.0	-700	BetOnline Under 0.5 -600 \| best price	93.7%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Patrick Bailey Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.0	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| best price	93.7%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Travis Bazzana Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.0	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| best price	93.7%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Daniel Schneemann Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.0	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| best price	93.7%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Jackson Chourio Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.0	-550	BetOnline Under 0.5 -350 \| best price	93.5%	–✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Christian Yelich Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.0	-800	BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 \| best price	93.5%	–✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	David Hamilton Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.0	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| best price	93.5%	–✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Joc Pederson Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.0	-600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -475 \| best price	93.4%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Corey Seager Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.0	-600	BetOnline Under 0.5 -500 \| best price	93.4%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Wyatt Langford Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.0	-1000	BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 \| best price	93.4%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Kyle Higashioka Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.0	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| best price	93.4%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Paul Goldschmidt Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.0	-700	BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 \| best price	93.3%	–✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Isiah Kiner-Falefa Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.0	-4000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 \| best price	93.3%	–✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Austin Wells Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.0	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| best price	93.3%	–✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Amed Rosario Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.0	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| best price	93.3%	–✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Jose Caballero Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.0	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| best price	93.3%	–✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Anthony Volpe Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.0	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| best price	93.3%	–✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Mickey Gasper Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.0	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| best price	93.3%	–✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Masataka Yoshida Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.0	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| best price	93.3%	–✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Marcelo Mayer Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.0	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| best price	93.3%	–✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Vaughn Grissom Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| best price	93.2%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Oswald Peraza Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| best price	93.2%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Mookie Betts Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| best price	93.2%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Wade Meckler Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| best price	93.2%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Logan O'Hoppe Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| best price	93.2%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Alex Freeland Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| best price	93.2%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Donovan Walton Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| best price	93.2%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Alex Call Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-3500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 \| best price	93.2%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Luis Rengifo Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.0	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| best price	93.0%	–✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Kyle Karros Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.0	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| best price	92.1%	–✗✗–!!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.050/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Brett Baty Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| best price	89.3%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.050/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Sal Frelick Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.1	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| best price	89.3%	–✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Ezequiel Tovar Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.1	-1600	BetOnline Under 0.5 -1000 \| best price	88.8%	–✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Garrett Mitchell Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.1	-750	BetOnline Under 0.5 -500 \| best price	88.1%	–✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Brayan Rocchio Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.1	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| best price	86.9%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Ezequiel Duran Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.1	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| best price	85.5%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	William Contreras Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.1	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| best price	85.3%	–✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Ceddanne Rafaela Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.1	-1000	BetOnline Under 0.5 -1000 \| best price	84.1%	–✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Bryan Reynolds Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-900	BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 \| best price	83.8%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Bo Bichette Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1400	BetOnline Under 0.5 -1400 \| best price	82.5%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Kyle Tucker Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| best price	82.5%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	TJ Rumfield Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.1	-1600	BetOnline Under 0.5 -1200 \| best price	81.7%	–✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Mauricio Dubon Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| best price	81.4%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Jackson Merrill Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| best price	81.0%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Marcus Semien Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| best price	80.6%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Austin Riley Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1000	BetOnline Under 0.5 -1000 \| best price	79.7%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Evan Carter Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.1	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| best price	79.1%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.1	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| best price	78.6%	–✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Spencer Horwitz Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| best price	78.5%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Carson Benge Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| best price	77.6%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Wilyer Abreu Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.1	-600	BetOnline Under 0.5 -600 \| best price	76.8%	–✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Xander Bogaerts Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1200	BetOnline Under 0.5 -1200 \| best price	75.3%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Brice Turang Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.1	-900	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 \| best price	75.0%	–✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Chase DeLauter Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.1	-1200	BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 \| best price	75.0%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Will Smith Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-650	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 \| best price	74.8%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Trent Grisham Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.1	-800	BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 \| best price	74.7%	–✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Cody Bellinger Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.1	-900	BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 \| best price	74.6%	–✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Brandon Nimmo Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.1	-800	BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 \| best price	74.0%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Ozzie Albies Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| best price	73.8%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Jose Ramirez Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.1	-500	BetOnline Under 0.5 -500 \| best price	73.3%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Ronald Acuna Jr. Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| best price	73.2%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Jo Adell Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-800	BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 \| best price	72.7%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Josh Jung Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.1	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| best price	72.6%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Mark Vientos Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-900	BetOnline Under 0.5 -900 \| best price	69.9%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Jorge Soler Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| best price	69.8%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Ryan O'Hearn Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| best price	68.6%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Zach Neto Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-700	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 \| best price	68.2%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Angel Martinez Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.2	-1400	BetOnline Under 0.5 -900 \| best price	67.2%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Jarren Duran Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.2	-700	BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 \| best price	67.2%	–✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Gavin Sheets Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-1200	BetOnline Under 0.5 -1200 \| best price	66.9%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Manny Machado Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-1000	BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 \| best price	66.5%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Jake Burger Under	GUA@RAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.2	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| best price	65.7%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Michael Harris II Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-500	BetOnline Under 0.5 -500 \| best price	65.3%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Tyler Freeman Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.2	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| best price	62.2%	–✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Freddie Freeman Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-800	BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 \| best price	62.2%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Shohei Ohtani Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-390	BetOnline Under 0.5 -325 \| best price	61.5%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Willson Contreras Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.2	-700	BetOnline Under 0.5 -600 \| best price	61.4%	–✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Endy Rodriguez Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| best price	60.3%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.210/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Oneil Cruz Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-500	BetOnline Under 0.5 -500 \| best price	58.5%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.210/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Jake Bauers Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.2	-500	BetOnline Under 0.5 -400 \| best price	57.7%	–✗✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.210/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Andy Pages Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-750	BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 \| best price	57.1%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.220/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Mike Trout Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-600	BetOnline Under 0.5 -500 \| best price	56.8%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.230/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Hunter Goodman Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	0.5	0.2	-500	BetOnline Under 0.5 -350 \| best price	55.0%	–✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.230/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Matt Olson Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-600	BetOnline Under 0.5 -400 \| best price	54.7%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.230/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Brandon Lowe Under	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-550	BetOnline Under 0.5 -450 \| best price	53.6%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.300/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Ben Rice Under	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	0.5	0.3	-600	BetOnline Under 0.5 -500 \| best price	41.0%	–✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.300/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Max Muncy Under	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-400	BetOnline Under 0.5 -400 \| best price	39.9%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.330/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Juan Soto Under	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-500	BetOnline Under 0.5 -500 \| best price	34.4%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
► MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: diff_pct 19.1% vs 17% min clears, but raw gap +0.86 <= 1 min — would have capped at D	K Prop	Griffin Canning Over	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	4.5	5.4	-115	FanDuel Over 4.5 -115 \| best price	19.1%	✓✗✓✓––	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.5% vs 17% min — would have capped at D	K Prop	Nolan McLean Over	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	5.5	5.9	-133	FanDuel Over 5.5 -130 \| best price	7.5%	✓✗✓✓––	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Market status RESEARCH: Pitcher Outs research-stage — downgraded to monitor/derisk — would have capped at C	Pitcher Outs	Jacob Misiorowski Over	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	17.5	21.6	-146	DK Over 17.5 -146 \| exact	23.2%	✓✓✓––!	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 43.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Cody Bellinger Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	2.1	-121	BetMGM Over 1.5 -115 \| best price	43.4%	✓✗✓✓–✓	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Wilyer Abreu Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	2.0	-121	BetOnline Over 1.5 -120 \| best price	36.8%	✓✗✓✓–✓	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ronald Acuna Jr. Over	PIR@BRA	4:11 PM	1.5	1.9	-124	DK Over 1.5 -124 \| exact	30.0%	✓✗✓–✓–	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 28.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Will Smith Over	ANG@DOD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.9	-130	BetMGM Over 1.5 -120 \| best price	28.2%	✓✗✓–✓–	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Hunter Goodman Over	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.7	-121	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -120 \| best price	15.1%	✓✗✓–✓!	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Fernando Tatis Jr. Over	MET@PAD	10:11 PM	1.5	1.7	-122	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -120 \| best price	12.4%	✓✗✓–✓–	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ceddanne Rafaela Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.7	-117	BetOnline Over 1.5 -110 \| best price	12.3%	✓✗✓✓–✓	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.6	+115	BetMGM Over 0.5 -165 \| alt rescue	8.2%	✓✗✗✓✓✓	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Amed Rosario Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.6	-123	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -115 \| best price	4.7%	✓✗✓✓–✓	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Paul Goldschmidt Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	1.6	-130	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -125 \| best price	4.7%	✓✗✓✓–✓	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 49.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Ben Rice Over	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	1.5	2.2	+117	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	49.7%	✓✗!✓–✓	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Ezequiel Tovar Under	BRE@ROC	9:10 PM	1.5	1.0	-191	DK Under 1.5 -191 \| exact	35.7%	✓✗✓–✓!	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Market status RESEARCH: Total research-stage — downgraded to monitor/derisk — would have capped at C	Total	Over 8.5	SOX@YAN	7:36 PM	8.5	-	-103	MyBookie Over 8 -119 \| alt rescue	+17.7%	–✓–✓–✓	MONITOR

✓ PASS ! WARN ✗ FAIL – N/A | Checks order: Baby Line · Model Edge · Books · Matchup · Role · Game Script

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