MLB Full Audit Thursday, June 04 2026

MARKET TRUST TIERS

16 market(s) with settled tracker history

Market	Trust	Season N	Season WR	Season P&L	14d N	14d WR	14d P&L	Grade A N	Grade A WR
K Prop	✅ TRUSTED	239	56%	-5.15u	46	61%	+2.17u	112	59%
Pitcher Hits Allowed	✅ TRUSTED	153	61%	+16.36u	39	62%	+4.47u	1	100%
Run Line	✅ TRUSTED	115	52%	-5.75u	35	49%	-5.78u	39	64%
Pitcher Earned Runs	👀 WATCH	37	70%	+8.80u	37	70%	+8.80u	0	-
Batter Walks	👀 WATCH	36	69%	+5.86u	36	69%	+5.86u	0	-
Batter Total Bases	👀 WATCH	29	52%	-1.28u	9	67%	+1.95u	0	-
F5 ML	👀 WATCH	28	48%	+4.54u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-
Batter Hits	👀 WATCH	21	81%	+2.85u	7	71%	+0.02u	0	-
Pitcher Walks	👀 WATCH	21	57%	-1.41u	21	57%	-1.41u	0	-
No HR U1.5	👀 WATCH	9	22%	-5.18u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-
Moneyline	👀 WATCH	6	50%	+2.85u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-
NRFI	👀 WATCH	3	33%	+0.00u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-
YRFI	👀 WATCH	2	100%	+0.00u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-
Pitcher Outs	🔬 RESEARCH	75	41%	-13.74u	0	-	+0.00u	1	0%
Total	🔬 RESEARCH	42	38%	-9.29u	0	-	+0.00u	1	100%
Batter H+R+RBI	⛔ PAUSED	431	49%	-56.91u	24	58%	+0.72u	59	46%

Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from configured market status plus settled tracker performance.

MARKET PROMOTION CRITERIA

What each market needs to move stages

Market	Current Stage	Next Stage	Progress	Promotion Blockers
K Prop	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	3/4	season P&L non-negative
Pitcher Hits Allowed	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	4/4	No blocker
Run Line	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	2/4	season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative
Pitcher Earned Runs	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	3/5	season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
Batter Walks	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	3/5	season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
Batter Total Bases	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
F5 ML	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
Batter Hits	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
Pitcher Walks	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative
No HR U1.5	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Moneyline	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
NRFI	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
YRFI	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Pitcher Outs	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	1/5	season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; 14d WR >= 52%
Total	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	0/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Batter H+R+RBI	⛔ PAUSED	🔬 Research	3/5	diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative

Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.

SAVANT PITCH QUALITY DIAGNOSTICS

18 pitcher(s) with public-data pitch-quality diagnostics

Pitcher	Game	Overall	Whiff	Contact	Arsenal	Top Pitch	Notes / Data Gaps
Mason Fluharty	Toronto Blue Jays vs Atlanta Braves	78.2	66.9	94.0	3	Sweeper (41% whiff, 42% usage)	Savant whiff 29.5%, put-away 24.2%, xwOBA 0.227, arsenal coverage 3 pitch type(s)
Chris Sale	Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays	62.7	65.4	65.5	4	Slider (39% whiff, 41% usage)	Savant whiff 30.4%, put-away 20.9%, xwOBA 0.284, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Zack Wheeler	Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres	58.5	55.0	65.5	6	Split-Finger (41% whiff, 14% usage)	Savant whiff 25.8%, put-away 19.7%, xwOBA 0.284, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Jared Jones	Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros	57.3	90.8	14.0	4	Curveball (50% whiff, 18% usage)	Savant whiff 36.1%, put-away 34.9%, xwOBA 0.387, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Carlos Rodón	New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians	57.2	51.2	66.0	5	Changeup (38% whiff, 11% usage)	Savant whiff 24.7%, put-away 18.0%, xwOBA 0.283, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Shota Imanaga	Chicago Cubs vs Athletics	55.9	60.7	54.5	5	Split-Finger (42% whiff, 35% usage)	Savant whiff 28.5%, put-away 20.1%, xwOBA 0.306, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Andrew Morris	Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals	54.8	46.4	63.5	6	Sweeper (29% whiff, 19% usage)	Savant whiff 24.0%, put-away 14.8%, xwOBA 0.288, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Kai-Wei Teng	Houston Astros vs Pittsburgh Pirates	54.3	56.4	57.5	6	Sweeper (33% whiff, 36% usage)	Savant whiff 25.8%, put-away 21.1%, xwOBA 0.300, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
J.T. Ginn	Athletics vs Chicago Cubs	51.0	54.4	51.5	5	Changeup (34% whiff, 16% usage)	Savant whiff 24.5%, put-away 21.8%, xwOBA 0.312, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Justin Wrobleski	Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks	41.9	31.8	52.5	7	4-Seam Fastball (20% whiff, 51% usage)	Savant whiff 17.2%, put-away 13.7%, xwOBA 0.310, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Slade Cecconi	Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees	41.7	42.6	39.0	6	Curveball (34% whiff, 15% usage)	Savant whiff 21.3%, put-away 16.4%, xwOBA 0.337, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Trevor Rogers	Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox	41.2	41.0	39.0	5	Sweeper (35% whiff, 10% usage)	Savant whiff 22.6%, put-away 12.2%, xwOBA 0.337, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Ryne Nelson	Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers	38.5	43.0	32.5	5	Slider (32% whiff, 18% usage)	Savant whiff 22.2%, put-away 14.9%, xwOBA 0.350, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Brayan Bello	Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles	36.4	51.0	19.5	6	Cutter (46% whiff, 17% usage)	Savant whiff 24.6%, put-away 18.1%, xwOBA 0.376, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Lucas Giolito	San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies	35.5	35.5	32.5	4	Slider (25% whiff, 17% usage)	Savant whiff 21.4%, put-away 9.0%, xwOBA 0.350, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Seth Lugo	Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins	35.0	36.8	33.5	8	Cutter (23% whiff, 15% usage)	Savant whiff 17.4%, put-away 18.4%, xwOBA 0.348, arsenal coverage 8 pitch type(s)
Adrian Houser	San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers	31.0	30.8	23.5	5	Changeup (31% whiff, 18% usage)	Savant whiff 17.4%, put-away 12.3%, xwOBA 0.368, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Coleman Crow	Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants	29.5	26.4	32.5	5	Curveball (25% whiff, 19% usage)	Savant whiff 16.3%, put-away 10.2%, xwOBA 0.350, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)

Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.

PITCHER ASSESSMENT DIAGNOSTICS

18 starter assessment(s) emitted by Pitcher Engine

Pitcher	Team	Hand	Season K%	Recent IP	Season IP	K IP	Pitch Ct	Leash	Savant	Contact	HR Vuln	Quality	Flags / Notes
Ryne Nelson	Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers	R	18.9%	6.7	5.4	5.7	112	deep	full	32.50	67.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.4%
J.T. Ginn	Athletics vs Chicago Cubs	R	22.8%	6.0	5.9	5.9	101	deep	full	51.50	48.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 11.1%
Chris Sale	Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays	L	30.3%	6.4	6.1	6.2	107	deep	full	65.50	34.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	low-K contact opponent 19.3%
Trevor Rogers	Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox	L	16.7%	4.5	4.9	4.8	76	short	full	39.00	61.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.5 IP/start
Brayan Bello	Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles	R	16.8%	5.6	7.6	6.9	94	normal	full	19.50	80.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.3%
Shota Imanaga	Chicago Cubs vs Athletics	L	22.9%	5.6	5.8	6.0	94	normal	full	54.50	45.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 9.8%
Slade Cecconi	Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees	R	20.0%	5.2	5.2	5.2	87	normal	full	39.00	61.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 11.3%
Kai-Wei Teng	Houston Astros vs Pittsburgh Pirates	R	25.2%	4.2	8.4	6.5	70	short	full	57.50	42.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.2 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.1%
Seth Lugo	Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins	R	19.7%	5.4	5.9	5.8	91	normal	full	33.50	66.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Justin Wrobleski	Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks	L	18.0%	6.4	6.9	6.7	107	deep	full	52.50	47.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Coleman Crow	Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco Giants	R	18.0%	4.0	4.0	4.9	67	short	full	32.50	67.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.0 IP/start
Andrew Morris	Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals	R	23.3%	1.0	24.1	6.3	17	short	full	63.50	36.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 1.0 IP/start
Carlos Rodón	New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians	L	24.4%	4.9	5.0	5.3	82	short	full	66.00	34.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.9 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.5%
Zack Wheeler	Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres	R	24.5%	6.6	6.3	6.3	111	deep	full	65.50	34.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Jared Jones	Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros	R	22.8%	-	4.1	5.6	94	short	full	14.00	86.00	season+savant+savant_quality+hand	season leash 4.1 IP/GS, recent_form_unavailable
Lucas Giolito	San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies	R	18.7%	4.0	4.0	4.9	67	short	full	32.50	67.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.0 IP/start
Adrian Houser	San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers	R	17.2%	4.5	5.0	4.9	76	short	full	23.50	76.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.5 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 11.2%
Mason Fluharty	Toronto Blue Jays vs Atlanta Braves	L	30.1%	1.0	11.1	5.7	17	short	full	94.00	6.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 1.0 IP/start

Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.

PITCHER OUTS RESEARCH GATE

4/4 candidate(s) held from actionable output

Pitcher	Side	Game	Line	Proj	Gap	Edge / DIFF%	Grade	Rec	Status	Leash	K IP	Pitch Ct	Quality	Gate Reason
Chris Sale	Chris Sale Over	Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves	18.5	19.0	0.5	2.8%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	deep	6.2	107	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.8% vs 10% min
Shota Imanaga	Shota Imanaga Under	Athletics @ Chicago Cubs	17.5	17.2	-0.3	1.7%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	normal	6.0	94	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.7% vs 10% min
Seth Lugo	Seth Lugo Under	Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins	17.5	17.5	-0.0	0.0%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	normal	5.8	91	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 10% min
Justin Wrobleski	Justin Wrobleski Over	Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks	17.5	20.7	3.2	18.2%	B	MONITOR	research	deep	6.7	107	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	⚠ Market status RESEARCH: Pitcher Outs research-stage — downgraded to monitor/derisk — would have capped at C

QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.

HRR COMPONENT RESEARCH

75 HRR component candidate(s) emitted by Batter Engine | showing top 50 by component raw gap

Player	Game	Research Side	Component Proj	H	R	RBI	Current	Uncertainty	Support	Flags
Andy Pages	Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks	Over 1.5	2.98	1.19	0.70	1.09	2.67 / Over	0.30	season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Nick Kurtz	Athletics @ Chicago Cubs	Over 1.5	2.94	1.11	0.95	0.87	2.29 / Over	0.35	season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, component_projection_diverges_from_current_model
Yordan Alvarez	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros	Over 1.5	2.88	1.29	0.82	0.77	3.28 / Over	0.30	season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Byron Buxton	Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins	Over 1.5	2.79	1.19	1.02	0.58	2.63 / Over	0.30	season_games=53,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Ryan Ward	Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks	Over 1.5	2.75	1.47	0.69	0.59	2.33 / Over	0.59	exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Ketel Marte	Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks	Over 1.5	2.70	1.14	0.85	0.70	2.49 / Over	0.30	season_games=57,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Brandon Lowe	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros	Over 1.5	2.65	1.05	0.84	0.76	2.25 / Over	0.30	season_games=56,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Christian Walker	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros	Over 1.5	2.61	1.02	0.66	0.93	2.63 / Over	0.30	season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Matt Olson	Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves	Over 1.5	2.55	1.07	0.71	0.77	2.16 / Over	0.30	season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Corbin Carroll	Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks	Over 1.5	2.54	1.14	0.86	0.55	2.37 / Over	0.30	season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Ryan O'Hearn	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros	Over 1.5	2.52	1.07	0.67	0.78	2.17 / Over	0.30	season_games=47,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Bryan Reynolds	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros	Over 1.5	2.48	1.00	0.72	0.77	2.11 / Over	0.30	season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Ian Happ	Athletics @ Chicago Cubs	Over 1.5	2.47	0.89	0.84	0.74	2.08 / Over	0.30	season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Oneil Cruz	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros	Over 1.5	2.42	1.04	0.70	0.67	2.55 / Over	0.30	season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Nick Gonzales	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros	Over 1.5	2.37	1.16	0.59	0.62	2.30 / Over	0.30	season_games=56,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Michael Busch	Athletics @ Chicago Cubs	Over 1.5	2.33	0.94	0.55	0.85	1.89 / Over	0.30	season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Kyle Tucker	Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks	Over 1.5	2.33	0.95	0.74	0.64	2.28 / Over	0.30	season_games=59,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Ildemaro Vargas	Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks	Over 1.5	2.29	1.09	0.55	0.65	2.34 / Over	0.30	season_games=54,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Mookie Betts	Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks	Over 1.5	2.27	1.21	0.57	0.48	1.92 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Pedro Ramirez	Athletics @ Chicago Cubs	Over 1.5	2.26	1.16	0.60	0.50	1.91 / Over	0.64	exact_hrr_l10,lineup	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment
Ozzie Albies	Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves	Over 1.5	2.25	1.08	0.62	0.55	1.76 / Over	0.30	season_games=62,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Jeremy Pena	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros	Over 1.5	2.18	1.20	0.54	0.45	1.93 / Over	0.64	lineup	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment
Nolan Arenado	Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks	Over 1.5	2.18	0.90	0.60	0.68	2.09 / Over	0.30	season_games=56,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Brooks Lee	Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins	Over 1.5	2.17	0.93	0.50	0.75	2.24 / Over	0.30	season_games=59,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves	Over 1.5	2.16	1.14	0.66	0.36	1.86 / Over	0.30	season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Michael Harris II	Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves	Over 1.5	2.12	1.04	0.46	0.62	1.86 / Over	0.30	season_games=59,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Alex Bregman	Athletics @ Chicago Cubs	Over 1.5	2.08	1.07	0.57	0.44	1.88 / Over	0.30	season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Tyler Soderstrom	Athletics @ Chicago Cubs	Over 1.5	2.08	0.87	0.55	0.67	1.65 / Over	0.30	season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Spencer Horwitz	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros	Over 1.5	2.05	1.02	0.54	0.49	1.81 / Over	0.30	season_games=57,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Nico Hoerner	Athletics @ Chicago Cubs	Over 1.5	2.04	1.00	0.46	0.57	1.87 / Over	0.30	season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Ernie Clement	Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves	Over 1.5	2.01	1.24	0.45	0.32	1.86 / Over	0.30	season_games=61,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Isaac Paredes	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros	Over 1.5	1.96	0.93	0.44	0.59	2.10 / Over	0.30	season_games=57,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Kody Clemens	Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins	Over 1.5	1.95	1.02	0.44	0.49	1.69 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Max Muncy	Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks	Over 1.5	1.94	0.85	0.71	0.38	2.03 / Over	0.30	season_games=56,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Henry Bolte	Athletics @ Chicago Cubs	Over 1.5	1.92	0.97	0.51	0.43	1.58 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Michael Conforto	Athletics @ Chicago Cubs	Over 1.5	1.90	0.97	0.50	0.43	1.60 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Shea Langeliers	Athletics @ Chicago Cubs	Over 2.5	2.90	1.23	0.88	0.79	2.44 / Under	0.35	season_games=55,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, component_side_conflicts_current_model
Vinnie Pasquantino	Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins	Over 1.5	1.88	0.83	0.44	0.61	1.53 / Over	0.30	season_games=59,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Kazuma Okamoto	Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves	Over 1.5	1.88	0.81	0.46	0.60	1.80 / Over	0.30	season_games=60,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Endy Rodriguez	Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros	Over 1.5	1.84	1.09	0.41	0.34	2.02 / Over	0.64	exact_hrr_l10,lineup	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment
Trevor Larnach	Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins	Over 1.5	1.83	0.96	0.41	0.46	1.66 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Colby Thomas	Athletics @ Chicago Cubs	Over 1.5	1.80	0.89	0.43	0.48	1.55 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Carter Jensen	Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins	Over 1.5	1.79	0.74	0.54	0.51	1.41 / Under	0.35	season_games=57,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, component_side_conflicts_current_model
Salvador Perez	Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins	Over 1.5	1.77	0.81	0.43	0.53	1.48 / Under	0.35	season_games=59,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, component_side_conflicts_current_model
Gabriel Moreno	Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks	Over 1.5	1.76	0.92	0.40	0.44	1.55 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates
Will Smith	Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks	Over 1.5	1.75	0.85	0.46	0.45	1.82 / Over	0.30	season_games=50,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Ronald Acuna Jr.	Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves	Over 1.5	1.73	1.00	0.40	0.33	1.62 / Over	0.64	exact_hrr_l10,lineup	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment
Luke Keaschall	Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins	Over 1.5	1.72	0.90	0.46	0.35	1.88 / Over	0.30	season_games=58,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Austin Martin	Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins	Over 1.5	1.69	0.83	0.47	0.39	1.74 / Over	0.30	season_games=56,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused
Ryan Waldschmidt	Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks	Over 1.5	1.65	0.86	0.38	0.41	1.52 / Over	0.59	lineup,pitcher_assessment	research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates

Diagnostics only. HRR remains paused; these component projections are not used for recommendations.

FULL AUDIT — ALL CANDIDATES

358 candidates evaluated

← Back to Picks

Grade	Signal	Type	Side	Game	Time (ET)	Line	Proj	Odds	Best Book / Line	Edge/Diff	Checks ✓!✗–	Rec
► GOOD ADDS
B	✅ Good Add	Pitcher Hits All	Ryne Nelson Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	5.5	4.6	-129	BetMGM Under 5.5 -105 \| best price	16.4%	✓✓!–––	GOOD ADD
B	👀 Watch Heavy juice (-255) — break-even ~72%, requires clean execution	Batter Hits	Gabriel Moreno Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	0.8	-255	DK Under 1.5 -255 \| exact	44.3%	✓!!–✓–	GOOD ADD
B	✅ Good Add Matchup: [!] Opp lineup wRC+ 117 vs RHP — tough platoon matchup	Run Line	Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	-	-142	LowVig Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 -136 \| best price	+15.0%	–✓✓!–✓	GOOD ADD
► SMALL PLAYS
A (Weak)	◔ Small Play Books strongly against: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Pedro Ramirez Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.9	+246	DK Over 0.5 +246 \| exact	75.6%	✓✓✗✓✓✓	SMALL PLAY
A (Weak)	◔ Small Play Books strongly against: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Michael Busch Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.8	-101	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +100 \| best price	57.3%	✓✓✗✓✓✓	SMALL PLAY
A (Weak)	◔ Small Play Books strongly against: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Ian Happ Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.8	-110	DK Over 0.5 -110 \| exact	53.0%	✓✓✗✓✓✓	SMALL PLAY
A (Weak)	◔ Small Play HRR trust gate: raw gap 1.2, heavy juice -150 — A would have capped at C	Batter H+R+RBI	Andy Pages Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	2.7	-150	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -150 \| best price	78.0%	✓✓✓–✓–	SMALL PLAY
► ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (4 books) — strongly disagree	K Prop	Jared Jones Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	5.5	8.3	-109	FanDuel Over 5.5 -104 \| best price	50.6%	✓✓✗!––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.0% vs 17% min — would have capped at D	K Prop	Seth Lugo Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	4.5	3.8	+103	Bovada Direct Under 4.5 +105 \| best price	15.0%	✓✗!✓––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.3% vs 17% min — would have capped at D	K Prop	JT Ginn Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	4.5	5.0	+120	BetMGM Over 4.5 +130 \| best price	10.3%	✓✗✗✓–✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.2% vs 17% min — would have capped at D	K Prop	Ryne Nelson Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	4.5	4.1	-161	FanDuel Under 4.5 -160 \| best price	9.2%	✓✗✗!––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 17% min — would have capped at D	K Prop	Shota Imanaga Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	6.5	7.0	+112	BetMGM Over 6.5 +115 \| best price	8.0%	✓✗✗✓–✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.6% vs 17% min — would have capped at D	K Prop	Justin Wrobleski Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	3.5	3.3	+100	Bovada Direct Under 3.5 +105 \| best price	5.6%	✓✗!!––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.9% vs 17% min — would have capped at D	K Prop	Chris Sale Over	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	7.5	7.8	+107	FanDuel Over 7.5 +122 \| best price	3.9%	✓✗✗✓––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.8% vs 10% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Outs	Chris Sale Over	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	18.5	19.0	+102	BetOnline Over 18.5 +110 \| best price	2.8%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.7% vs 10% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Outs	Shota Imanaga Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	17.5	17.2	+132	Bovada Direct Under 17.5 +135 \| best price	1.7%	✓✗!!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 10% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Outs	Seth Lugo Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	17.5	17.5	+105	FanDuel Under 17.5 +106 \| best price	0.0%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree	Pitcher Hits All	JT Ginn Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	5.5	3.8	-166	theScore Bet Under 5.5 -160 \| best price	30.9%	✓✓✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 33% (3 books) — strongly disagree	Pitcher Hits All	Justin Wrobleski Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	6.5	4.5	-129	Bovada Direct Under 6.5 -125 \| best price	30.8%	✓✓✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (3 books) — strongly disagree	Pitcher Hits All	Shota Imanaga Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	5.5	4.5	-122	DK Under 5.5 -122 \| exact	18.2%	✓✓✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 15% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Hits All	Seth Lugo Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	5.5	5.5	+100	BetMGM Under 5.5 +100 \| best price	-	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check	Pitcher Walks	Jared Jones Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	2.3	-160	DK Over 1.5 -160 \| exact	52.5%	✓✓✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.8% vs 20% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Walks	Justin Wrobleski Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.3	-125	DK Under 1.5 -125 \| exact	10.8%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.8% vs 20% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Walks	JT Ginn Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	2.5	2.2	-184	DK Under 2.5 -184 \| exact	10.8%	✓✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.4% vs 20% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Walks	Ryne Nelson Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.6	-118	DK Over 1.5 -118 \| exact	8.4%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.2% vs 20% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Walks	Shota Imanaga Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.4	-142	DK Under 1.5 -142 \| exact	7.2%	✓✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.4% vs 20% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Walks	Seth Lugo Over	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.6	-130	DK Over 1.5 -130 \| exact	3.4%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.7% vs 20% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Walks	Chris Sale Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	1.5	-158	DK Under 1.5 -158 \| exact	2.7%	✓✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Pitcher Earned R	Chris Sale Over	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	1.8	-125	BetMGM Over 1.5 -118 \| best price	20.0%	✓!✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Matchup: [!] Weather: +8% run env ✗ Under	Pitcher Earned R	JT Ginn Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	2.5	2.1	+108	BetMGM Under 2.5 +110 \| best price	16.0%	✓!!!–!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Pitcher Earned R	Jared Jones Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	2.5	2.9	+125	DK Over 2.5 +125 \| exact	16.0%	✓!✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Earned R	Ryne Nelson Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	2.5	2.7	-123	DK Over 2.5 -123 \| exact	8.0%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Earned R	Justin Wrobleski Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	2.5	2.3	+104	DK Under 2.5 +104 \| exact	8.0%	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 20% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Earned R	Seth Lugo Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	2.5	2.5	-108	DK Under 2.5 -108 \| exact	-	✓✗!–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 20% min — would have capped at D	Pitcher Earned R	Shota Imanaga Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	2.5	2.5	+109	DK Under 2.5 +109 \| exact	-	✓✗!!–!	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Recent form: L10 19% + L5 12% (both cold) — would have capped at C	Batter Hits	Mauricio Dubon Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	0.8	-255	DK Under 1.5 -255 \| exact	49.8%	✓!!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Heavy juice (-263) + role/script uncertainty — B would have capped at C	Batter Hits	Henry Bolte Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	0.8	-263	DK Under 1.5 -263 \| exact	43.1%	✓!!!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 40.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter Hits	Pete Crow-Armstrong Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	0.9	-244	BetMGM Under 1.5 -235 \| best price	40.9%	✓✗!!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 32.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter Hits	Brooks Lee Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.0	-266	DK Under 1.5 -266 \| exact	32.7%	✓✗!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 32.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter Hits	Jeremy Pena Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	1.0	-260	theScore Bet Under 1.5 +200 \| best price	32.3%	✓✗!–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter Hits	Mookie Betts Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.0	-230	DK Under 1.5 -230 \| exact	31.7%	✓✗!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter Hits	Bobby Witt Jr. Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.1	-192	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -190 \| best price	29.8%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 28.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter Hits	Ketel Marte Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.1	-238	DK Under 1.5 -238 \| exact	28.9%	✓✗!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter Hits	Ernie Clement Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	1.1	-237	theScore Bet Under 1.5 +220 \| best price	27.6%	✓✗!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter Hits	Andy Pages Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.1	-235	DK Under 1.5 -235 \| exact	26.6%	✓✗!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter Hits	Byron Buxton Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.1	-252	BetMGM Under 1.5 -250 \| best price	25.2%	✓✗!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter Hits	Shea Langeliers Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.1	-221	theScore Bet Under 1.5 +220 \| best price	23.8%	✓✗!!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter Hits	Freddie Freeman Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.2	-227	DK Under 1.5 -227 \| exact	20.2%	✓✗!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Ernie Clement Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.1	-680	DK Under 0.5 -680 \| exact	79.2%	✓✓✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Ildemaro Vargas Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-343	DK Under 0.5 -343 \| exact	77.8%	✓✓✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Bryan Reynolds Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.8	+108	DK Over 0.5 +108 \| exact	67.2%	✓✓✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Michael Harris II Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.2	-397	DK Under 0.5 -397 \| exact	65.3%	✓✓✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Andy Pages Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-415	DK Under 0.5 -415 \| exact	60.8%	✓✓✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Salvador Perez Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-430	DK Under 0.5 -430 \| exact	59.8%	✓✓✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Nathan Lukes Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.2	-507	DK Under 0.5 -507 \| exact	54.0%	✓✓✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	George Springer Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.2	-296	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -290 \| best price	54.0%	✓✓✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Tyler Heineman Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.2	-760	DK Under 0.5 -760 \| exact	54.0%	✓✓✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Yohendrick Pinango Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.2	-810	DK Under 0.5 -810 \| exact	54.0%	✓✓✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Myles Straw Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.2	-408	DK Under 0.5 -408 \| exact	54.0%	✓✓✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Charles McAdoo Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.2	-496	DK Under 0.5 -496 \| exact	54.0%	✓✓✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Tommy Troy Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-423	DK Under 0.5 -423 \| exact	53.8%	✓✓✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Gabriel Moreno Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-264	DK Under 0.5 -264 \| exact	53.8%	✓✓✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Ryan Waldschmidt Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-346	DK Under 0.5 -346 \| exact	53.8%	✓✓✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Jose Fernandez Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-690	DK Under 0.5 -690 \| exact	53.8%	✓✓✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Jeff McNeil Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.2	-471	DK Under 0.5 -471 \| exact	53.6%	✓✓✗!!!	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Brooks Lee Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-396	DK Under 0.5 -396 \| exact	53.4%	✓✓✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Ryan Ward Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.8	+231	DK Over 0.5 +231 \| exact	50.9%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Byron Buxton Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-334	DK Under 0.5 -334 \| exact	50.1%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Nolan Arenado Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-423	DK Under 0.5 -423 \| exact	49.1%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Ketel Marte Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-280	DK Under 0.5 -280 \| exact	47.4%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Mauricio Dubon Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.3	-295	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -290 \| best price	47.1%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter Walks	Nick Kurtz Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.7	-106	theScore Bet Over 0.5 -105 \| best price	45.1%	✓!✗✓✓✓	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Ronald Acuna Jr. Over	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.7	-110	DK Over 0.5 -110 \| exact	44.8%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Zack Gelof Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.3	-325	DK Under 0.5 -325 \| exact	42.9%	✓!✗!!!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Jonah Heim Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.3	-348	DK Under 0.5 -348 \| exact	42.9%	✓!✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Colby Thomas Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.3	-387	DK Under 0.5 -387 \| exact	42.9%	✓!✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Henry Bolte Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.3	-397	DK Under 0.5 -397 \| exact	42.9%	✓!✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check	Batter Walks	Alika Williams Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.3	-478	DK Under 0.5 -478 \| exact	42.9%	✓!✗!!!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Jac Caglianone Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-229	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -225 \| best price	41.0%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Shea Langeliers Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.3	-341	DK Under 0.5 -341 \| exact	40.6%	✓!✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Endy Rodriguez Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-213	DK Under 0.5 -213 \| exact	39.7%	✓!✗–!!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Ryan Kreidler Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-404	DK Under 0.5 -404 \| exact	37.5%	✓!✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	James Outman Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-301	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -290 \| best price	37.5%	✓!✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Victor Caratini Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-302	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -290 \| best price	37.5%	✓!✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Kody Clemens Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-322	DK Under 0.5 -322 \| exact	37.5%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Trevor Larnach Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-253	DK Under 0.5 -253 \| exact	37.5%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Ozzie Albies Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.3	-287	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -280 \| best price	37.3%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Sandy León Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.3	-398	DK Under 0.5 -398 \| exact	37.0%	✓!✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Mike Yastrzemski Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.3	-192	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -190 \| best price	37.0%	✓!✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Dominic Smith Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.3	-303	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -290 \| best price	37.0%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check	Batter Walks	Nick Gonzales Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-274	DK Under 0.5 -274 \| exact	36.9%	✓!✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Luke Keaschall Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-355	DK Under 0.5 -355 \| exact	36.9%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Mookie Betts Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-199	DK Under 0.5 -199 \| exact	34.3%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Alex Freeland Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-243	DK Under 0.5 -243 \| exact	34.3%	✓!✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Dalton Rushing Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-329	DK Under 0.5 -329 \| exact	34.3%	✓!✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Austin Riley Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.3	-252	DK Under 0.5 -252 \| exact	34.0%	✓!✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Kazuma Okamoto Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.3	-316	DK Under 0.5 -316 \| exact	33.8%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Taylor Trammell Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-276	DK Under 0.5 -276 \| exact	33.7%	✓!✗–!!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Jeremy Pena Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-274	DK Under 0.5 -274 \| exact	33.7%	✓!✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Nick Allen Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-496	DK Under 0.5 -496 \| exact	33.7%	✓!✗–!!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Christian Walker Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-240	DK Under 0.5 -240 \| exact	31.8%	✓!✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Will Smith Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-224	DK Under 0.5 -224 \| exact	31.8%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Nick Loftin Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-301	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -290 \| best price	31.5%	✓!✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Kyle Isbel Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-433	DK Under 0.5 -433 \| exact	31.5%	✓!✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Michael Massey Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-426	DK Under 0.5 -426 \| exact	31.5%	✓!✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Yordan Alvarez Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.7	+101	DK Over 0.5 +101 \| exact	29.8%	✓!✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Tyler Soderstrom Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.4	-316	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 \| best price	27.6%	✓!✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Freddie Freeman Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.4	-195	DK Under 0.5 -195 \| exact	27.3%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Walks	Carter Jensen Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.4	-174	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -170 \| best price	27.2%	✓!✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.0% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Spencer Horwitz Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.6	+114	DK Over 0.5 +114 \| exact	24.0%	✓✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.4% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Corbin Carroll Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.4	-257	DK Under 0.5 -257 \| exact	22.4%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.3% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Isaac Paredes Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-177	DK Under 0.5 -177 \| exact	22.3%	✓✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.1% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Cam Smith Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-190	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -190 \| best price	22.1%	✓✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.0% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Dansby Swanson Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.6	+156	DK Over 0.5 +156 \| exact	22.0%	!✗✗✓!✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.2% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Austin Martin Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.4	-260	DK Under 0.5 -260 \| exact	18.2%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.9% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Pete Crow-Armstrong Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.4	-276	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -275 \| best price	14.9%	✓✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.6% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Geraldo Perdomo Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.4	-236	DK Under 0.5 -236 \| exact	14.6%	✓✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.6% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Brandon Lowe Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.6	+107	DK Over 0.5 +107 \| exact	13.6%	✓✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.7% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Bobby Witt Jr. Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.5	-259	DK Under 0.5 -259 \| exact	10.7%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.3% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Jared Triolo Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.5	-217	DK Under 0.5 -217 \| exact	10.3%	✓✗✗–!!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.3% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Jake Mangum Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.5	-373	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -350 \| best price	10.3%	✓✗✗–!!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.2% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Max Muncy Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.5	-135	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -135 \| best price	10.2%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.7% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Matt Olson Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.5	-147	DK Under 0.5 -147 \| exact	7.7%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.7% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Isaac Collins Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.5	-152	DK Under 0.5 -152 \| exact	6.7%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.6% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.5	-287	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -280 \| best price	5.6%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.9% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Kyle Tucker Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.5	+116	DK Over 0.5 +116 \| exact	4.9%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.8% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Vinnie Pasquantino Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.5	-200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -200 \| best price	2.8%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Oneil Cruz Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.5	-184	DK Under 0.5 -184 \| exact	1.8%	✓✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.2% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Moisés Ballesteros Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.5	-283	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -275 \| best price	0.2%	✓✗✗!!!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.2% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Michael Conforto Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.5	-179	DK Under 0.5 -179 \| exact	0.2%	✓✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.2% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Ryan O'Hearn Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.5	+136	DK Over 0.5 +136 \| exact	0.2%	✓✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
A (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Framework warning(s): Game Script — would have capped at B	Batter H+R+RBI	Yordan Alvarez Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	3.3	-145	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -140 \| best price	118.5%	✓✓✓–✓!	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (4 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter H+R+RBI	Byron Buxton Over	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	2.6	-159	DK Over 1.5 -159 \| exact	75.2%	✓✓✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
B (Weak)	↘ Alt / Derisk Books strongly against: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (4 books) — strongly disagree — would have capped at C	Batter H+R+RBI	Oneil Cruz Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	2.5	+110	BetOnline Over 1.5 +110 \| best price	69.8%	✓✓✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 66.2% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.99 <= 1 min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ketel Marte Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	2.5	-163	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -150 \| best price	66.2%	✓✗!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 55.5% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.83 <= 1 min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ryan Ward Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	2.3	+104	BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	55.5%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 53.3% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.80 <= 1 min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Nick Gonzales Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	2.3	-111	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -110 \| best price	53.3%	✓✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
A (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: diff_pct 52.8% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.79 <= 1 min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Nick Kurtz Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	2.3	-136	BetMGM Over 1.5 -130 \| best price	52.8%	✓✗✓✓✓✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 49.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Brandon Lowe Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	2.2	-109	BetMGM Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	49.8%	✓✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 44.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ryan O'Hearn Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	2.2	-108	BetMGM Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	44.7%	✓✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 40.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Bryan Reynolds Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	2.1	-104	DK Over 1.5 -104 \| exact	40.6%	✓✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 39.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Isaac Paredes Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	2.1	+106	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +110 \| best price	39.9%	✓✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
A (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ian Happ Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	2.1	-140	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -135 \| best price	38.7%	✓✗✓✓✓✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Max Muncy Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	2.0	-114	DK Over 1.5 -114 \| exact	35.5%	✓✗!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Endy Rodriguez Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	2.0	+124	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	34.8%	!✗✗–!!	ALT / DERISK
A (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Michael Busch Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.9	-144	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -140 \| best price	26.2%	✓✗✓✓✓✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Luke Keaschall Over	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.9	-113	BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 \| best price	25.6%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
A (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Alex Bregman Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.9	-133	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 \| best price	25.3%	✓✗✓✓✓✓	ALT / DERISK
A (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Nico Hoerner Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.9	-125	DK Over 1.5 -125 \| exact	24.5%	✓✗✓✓✓✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	1.9	-107	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	24.2%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ernie Clement Over	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	1.9	-118	BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 \| best price	23.8%	✓✗!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jeff McNeil Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.1	-135	DK Under 1.5 -135 \| exact	23.4%	✓✗✗!!!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Pete Crow-Armstrong Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	2.5	1.9	-148	BetMGM Under 2.5 -140 \| best price	21.9%	✓✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Cam Smith Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	1.8	+128	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 \| best price	20.6%	✓✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Bobby Witt Jr. Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	2.5	2.0	-150	theScore Bet Under 2.5 -140 \| best price	20.4%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Kazuma Okamoto Over	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	1.8	+132	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 \| best price	19.9%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Dalton Rushing Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.8	-103	BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	16.9%	!✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Alex Freeland Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.8	+131	DK Over 1.5 +131 \| exact	16.9%	!✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Austin Martin Over	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.7	-106	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -105 \| best price	15.8%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Isaac Collins Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.3	-128	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -125 \| best price	15.2%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Dominic Smith Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	1.3	-127	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -125 \| best price	12.6%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Kyle Isbel Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.3	-168	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -160 \| best price	12.3%	✓✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Nick Loftin Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.3	-152	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -140 \| best price	12.3%	✓✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Trevor Larnach Over	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.7	+113	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	10.4%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
A (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Tyler Soderstrom Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.6	-120	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -120 \| best price	10.1%	✓✗✓✓✓✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jac Caglianone Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.4	-116	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -115 \| best price	9.7%	✓✗!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Michael Massey Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.4	-147	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -140 \| best price	9.5%	✓✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Austin Riley Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	1.4	-135	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -130 \| best price	7.3%	✓✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
A (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Michael Conforto Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.6	-129	DK Over 1.5 -129 \| exact	6.8%	✓✗✓✓✓✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Geraldo Perdomo Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.6	+108	DK Over 1.5 +108 \| exact	6.3%	!✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Carter Jensen Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.4	-104	theScore Bet Under 1.5 +100 \| best price	6.2%	✓✗!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Victor Caratini Over	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.6	+109	theScore Bet Over 1.5 +110 \| best price	6.1%	!✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jose Fernandez Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.4	-163	BetMGM Under 1.5 -145 \| best price	5.8%	✓✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Tommy Troy Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.4	-159	BetMGM Under 1.5 -130 \| best price	5.8%	✓✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
A (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Henry Bolte Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.6	-143	BetMGM Over 1.5 -130 \| best price	5.2%	✓✗✓✓✓✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	George Springer Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	1.4	-144	theScore Bet Under 1.5 -140 \| best price	4.5%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Freddie Freeman Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	2.5	2.6	+123	BetOnline Over 1.5 -145 \| alt rescue	4.2%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Shea Langeliers Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	2.5	2.4	-139	BetMGM Under 2.5 -135 \| best price	2.3%	✓✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jake Mangum Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	1.5	-134	BetMGM Under 1.5 -118 \| best price	2.2%	✓✗✗–!!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Dansby Swanson Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.5	-145	BetMGM Under 1.5 -135 \| best price	1.8%	✓✗✗!!!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.4% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Salvador Perez Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.5	+100	theScore Bet Under 1.5 +100 \| best price	1.4%	✓✗!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ryan Waldschmidt Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.5	-107	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -105 \| best price	1.1%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Zack Gelof Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.5	-136	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -135 \| best price	0.9%	✓✗✗!!!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Moisés Ballesteros Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.5	+100	DK Over 1.5 +100 \| exact	0.6%	!✗✗✓!✓	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Baby Line: Projected PA (4.6) low relative to line (1.5)	Batter Total Bas	Yordan Alvarez Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	3.0	-108	BetMGM Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	96.6%	!✓✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 63.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Byron Buxton Over	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	2.4	-124	DK Over 1.5 -124 \| exact	63.0%	!✗✓–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 40.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Freddie Freeman Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	2.1	-115	BetMGM Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	40.8%	!✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 39.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Christian Walker Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	2.1	+130	DK Over 1.5 +130 \| exact	39.0%	!✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Andy Pages Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	2.0	-115	BetMGM Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	36.7%	!✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Corbin Carroll Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	2.0	+107	BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	36.0%	!✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Carter Jensen Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.1	-166	BetMGM Under 1.5 -155 \| best price	30.3%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 28.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Ketel Marte Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.9	-115	BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 \| best price	28.8%	!✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Mauricio Dubon Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	1.1	-153	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -150 \| best price	25.8%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Jeremy Pena Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	1.9	+111	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	25.3%	!✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Dalton Rushing Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.9	+131	theScore Bet Over 0.5 +140 \| alt rescue	24.7%	!✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Mookie Betts Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.9	-108	BetMGM Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	24.7%	!✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.1% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Vinnie Pasquantino Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.1	-152	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -150 \| best price	23.1%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	1.2	-184	DK Under 1.5 -184 \| exact	21.8%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Matt Olson Over	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	1.8	+121	BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	21.0%	!✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Brandon Lowe Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	1.8	+125	DK Over 1.5 +125 \| exact	21.0%	!✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.4% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Max Muncy Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.8	+130	BetMGM Over 0.5 -165 \| alt rescue	19.4%	!✗!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Salvador Perez Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.2	-149	DK Under 1.5 -149 \| exact	18.3%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Jac Caglianone Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.2	-170	DK Under 1.5 -170 \| exact	16.7%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Bobby Witt Jr. Over	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.7	-132	BetMGM Over 1.5 -120 \| best price	16.2%	!✗✓–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.5% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Luke Keaschall Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.3	-181	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -180 \| best price	15.5%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Ronald Acuna Jr. Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	1.3	-152	DK Under 1.5 -152 \| exact	14.9%	✓✗!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Ildemaro Vargas Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.7	+139	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 \| best price	14.9%	!✗!–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Ozzie Albies Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	1.3	-160	DK Under 1.5 -160 \| exact	14.6%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Ian Happ Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.7	+112	BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	14.6%	!✗✗✓✓✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Brooks Lee Over	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.7	+105	BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	13.0%	!✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Will Smith Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.3	-152	BetMGM Under 1.5 -150 \| best price	12.3%	✓✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Michael Busch Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.3	-144	BetMGM Under 1.5 -140 \| best price	10.7%	✓✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.7% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Nico Hoerner Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.4	-189	DK Under 1.5 -189 \| exact	9.7%	✓✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.6% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Kody Clemens Over	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.6	+106	BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	9.6%	!✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Nick Kurtz Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.6	+107	BetMGM Over 1.5 +110 \| best price	9.2%	!✗✗✓✓✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Nolan Arenado Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.6	+129	BetMGM Over 1.5 +140 \| best price	9.0%	!✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Tyler Soderstrom Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.4	-150	DK Under 1.5 -150 \| exact	6.8%	✓✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.4% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Kyle Tucker Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.6	+122	BetMGM Over 1.5 +130 \| best price	6.4%	!✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.9% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Ernie Clement Over	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	1.6	+114	BetMGM Over 1.5 +130 \| best price	5.9%	!✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.3% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Spencer Horwitz Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-184	BetMGM Under 1.5 -165 \| best price	5.3%	✓✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.5% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Michael Harris II Over	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	1.6	+114	BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	4.5%	!✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Michael Conforto Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.6	+123	BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	4.0%	!✗✗✓✓✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.4% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Nick Gonzales Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	1.4	-205	BetMGM Under 1.5 -190 \| best price	3.4%	✓✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.4% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Ryan O'Hearn Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	1.6	+147	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +150 \| best price	3.4%	!✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.2% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Pete Crow-Armstrong Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.4	-112	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -110 \| best price	3.2%	✓✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.4% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Henry Bolte Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.5	+105	BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	2.4%	!✗✗✓✓✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.4% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Colby Thomas Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.5	+138	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 \| best price	2.4%	!✗✗✓✓✓	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Alex Bregman Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.5	-175	BetMGM Under 1.5 -165 \| best price	1.8%	✓✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.4% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Ryan Waldschmidt Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.5	+135	DK Over 1.5 +135 \| exact	0.4%	!✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.4% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Gabriel Moreno Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.5	+100	BetMGM Over 1.5 +130 \| best price	0.4%	!✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	Total	Over 7.5	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	7.5	-	-105	Bovada Direct Over 7 -115 \| alt rescue	+24.1%	–✓––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.07x)	Total	Over 8.5	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	8.5	-	-108	Bovada Direct Over 8.5 +100 \| best price	+16.3%	–✓–––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Matchup: [!] Weather: +8% run env ✗ Under	F5 Total	Under 5.5	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	5.5	-	-108	MyBookie Under 5.5 -106 \| best price	+8.5%	–✓–!–!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees	F5 Total	Over 4.5	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	4.5	-	+110	MyBookie Over 4 +100 \| alt rescue	+8.3%	–✓✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (8 books) — strongly disagree	F5 ML	Toronto Blue Jays	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	-	-	+210	draftkings +210	+18.3%	–✓✗✓––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 6.1 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D	NRFI	NRFI	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	-	6.1	-138	DraftKings -138	+11.8%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.3 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D	NRFI	NRFI	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	-	4.3	+124	DraftKings +124	+4.7%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.7 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D	NRFI	NRFI	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	-	4.7	-115	DraftKings -115	+0.1%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 4.1 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D	NRFI	NRFI	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	-	4.1	+104	DraftKings +104	-2.0%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: NRFI score 3.7 below 7.7 threshold — would have capped at D	NRFI	NRFI	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	-	3.7	-104	DraftKings -104	-8.2%	–✗––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	-	6.3	-122	DraftKings -122	+17.3%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	-	5.9	-132	DraftKings -132	+11.1%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	-	5.3	-111	DraftKings -111	+8.8%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	-	5.7	-160	DraftKings -160	+4.1%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	-	3.9	+108	DraftKings +108	-2.9%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (9 books) — strongly disagree	Moneyline	Toronto Blue Jays	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	-	-	+210	theScore Bet +226 \| best price	+16.5%	–✓✗✓––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.020/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Luke Keaschall Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| best price	96.2%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Dominic Smith Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.0	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| best price	94.4%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Sandy León Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.0	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| best price	94.4%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Mike Yastrzemski Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.0	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| best price	94.4%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	George Springer Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.0	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| best price	94.1%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Myles Straw Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.0	-5000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -5000 \| best price	94.1%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Nathan Lukes Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.0	-5000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -5000 \| best price	94.1%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Tyler Heineman Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.0	-5000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -5000 \| best price	94.1%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Yohendrick Pinango Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.0	-3500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 \| best price	94.1%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Michael Massey Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| best price	94.1%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Kyle Isbel Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| best price	94.1%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Nick Loftin Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| best price	94.1%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Jeff McNeil Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.0	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| best price	93.7%	–✗✗!!!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Jose Fernandez Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| best price	93.7%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Ryan Waldschmidt Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| best price	93.7%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Tommy Troy Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| best price	93.7%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Gabriel Moreno Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| best price	93.7%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Zack Gelof Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.0	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| best price	93.5%	–✗✗!!!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Henry Bolte Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.0	-750	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -750 \| best price	93.5%	–✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Colby Thomas Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.0	-550	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -550 \| best price	93.5%	–✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Jonah Heim Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.0	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| best price	93.5%	–✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Michael Conforto Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.0	-650	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 \| best price	93.4%	–✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Moisés Ballesteros Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.0	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| best price	93.4%	–✗✗!!!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Jared Triolo Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| best price	93.4%	–✗✗–!!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Jake Mangum Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-5000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -5000 \| best price	93.4%	–✗✗–!!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Brent Rooker Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.0	-325	BetOnline Under 0.5 -325 \| best price	93.4%	–✗✗!–!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	James Outman Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| best price	93.1%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Victor Caratini Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| best price	93.1%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Kody Clemens Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-650	BetOnline Under 0.5 -600 \| best price	93.1%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Ryan Kreidler Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| best price	93.1%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Trevor Larnach Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| best price	93.1%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Marco Gonzales Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| best price	92.8%	–✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Ryan Ward Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| best price	92.2%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Dalton Rushing Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| best price	92.1%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Mookie Betts Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| best price	92.1%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Alex Freeland Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-2000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 \| best price	92.1%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Nick Allen Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-4000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 \| best price	92.1%	–✗✗–!!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Jeremy Pena Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| best price	92.1%	–✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Taylor Trammell Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.0	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| best price	92.1%	–✗✗–!!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Austin Martin Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.0	-3500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 \| best price	91.9%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.0	-1400	BetOnline Under 0.5 -1000 \| best price	91.4%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.050/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Geraldo Perdomo Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-4000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 \| best price	89.7%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.050/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Isaac Collins Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| best price	89.4%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.050/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Mauricio Dubon Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.1	-2800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 \| best price	89.0%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Nico Hoerner Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.1	-3500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 \| best price	87.7%	–✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Ernie Clement Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.1	-3500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 \| best price	84.9%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Alex Bregman Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.1	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| best price	83.2%	–✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Bryan Reynolds Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| best price	82.9%	–✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Vinnie Pasquantino Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-900	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 \| best price	81.8%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Kyle Tucker Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-800	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 \| best price	81.7%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Josh Bell Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-700	BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 \| best price	81.6%	–✗✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Michael Busch Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.1	-550	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -550 \| best price	81.5%	–✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Jac Caglianone Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-900	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 \| best price	80.0%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Austin Riley Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.1	-900	BetOnline Under 0.5 -750 \| best price	78.9%	–✗✗–!–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Tyler Soderstrom Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.1	-700	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 \| best price	78.7%	–✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Carter Jensen Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-800	BetOnline Under 0.5 -650 \| best price	78.5%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Dansby Swanson Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.1	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| best price	77.7%	–✗✗!!!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Cam Smith Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| best price	77.1%	–✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Ronald Acuna Jr. Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.1	-750	BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 \| best price	76.8%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Ozzie Albies Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.1	-1400	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 \| best price	76.5%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Spencer Horwitz Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| best price	76.3%	–✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Will Smith Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-900	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 \| best price	75.3%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Pete Crow-Armstrong Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.1	-600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 \| best price	74.5%	–✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Ildemaro Vargas Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-2500	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 \| best price	74.3%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Bobby Witt Jr. Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-700	BetOnline Under 0.5 -600 \| best price	72.5%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Salvador Perez Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-750	BetOnline Under 0.5 -650 \| best price	72.4%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Corbin Carroll Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-1000	BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 \| best price	71.6%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Isaac Paredes Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.1	-900	BetOnline Under 0.5 -900 \| best price	70.9%	–✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Nolan Arenado Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-1000	BetOnline Under 0.5 -1000 \| best price	69.2%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Brooks Lee Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.1	-1200	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 \| best price	69.2%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Ryan O'Hearn Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| best price	68.6%	–✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Nick Kurtz Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.2	-350	BetOnline Under 0.5 -350 \| best price	67.0%	–✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.180/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Freddie Freeman Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-900	BetOnline Under 0.5 -650 \| best price	64.1%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Michael Harris II Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.2	-900	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 \| best price	62.9%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Ketel Marte Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-700	BetOnline Under 0.5 -550 \| best price	62.8%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Kazuma Okamoto Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.2	-1000	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 \| best price	59.3%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.210/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Endy Rodriguez Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-1600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 \| best price	58.7%	–✗✗–!!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.210/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Ian Happ Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.2	-550	BetOnline Under 0.5 -500 \| best price	57.0%	–✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.210/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Andy Pages Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.2	-800	BetOnline Under 0.5 -650 \| best price	57.0%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.230/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Matt Olson Under	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	0.5	0.2	-650	BetOnline Under 0.5 -550 \| best price	54.6%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.240/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Oneil Cruz Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-650	BetOnline Under 0.5 -650 \| best price	52.9%	–✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.240/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Brandon Lowe Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.2	-600	theScore Bet Under 0.5 -550 \| best price	52.2%	–✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.250/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Shea Langeliers Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.2	-285	BetOnline Under 0.5 -285 \| best price	50.2%	–✗✗!✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.260/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Max Muncy Under	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-650	BetOnline Under 0.5 -550 \| best price	47.8%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.290/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Christian Walker Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.3	-600	BetOnline Under 0.5 -600 \| best price	42.0%	–✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.350/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Byron Buxton Under	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	0.5	0.3	-400	BetOnline Under 0.5 -325 \| best price	30.1%	–✗✗–✓–	ALT / DERISK
C (Review)	↘ Alt / Derisk Model edge fail: HR proj 0.420/G <= 0.5 threshold — would have capped at D	Batter HR	Yordan Alvarez Under	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	0.5	0.4	-400	BetOnline Under 0.5 -400 \| best price	15.2%	–✗✗–✓!	ALT / DERISK
► MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Market status RESEARCH: Pitcher Outs research-stage — downgraded to monitor/derisk — would have capped at C	Pitcher Outs	Justin Wrobleski Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	17.5	20.7	-144	DK Over 17.5 -144 \| exact	18.2%	✓✓✓–––	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.0% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Nico Hoerner Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.6	+225	DK Over 0.5 +225 \| exact	14.0%	✓✗✗✓✓✓	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.2% vs 30% min — would have capped at D	Batter Walks	Alex Bregman Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	0.5	0.5	+140	DK Over 0.5 +140 \| exact	6.2%	✓✗✗✓✓✓	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Market status PAUSED: Batter H+R+RBI paused — downgraded to monitor/derisk — would have capped at C	Batter H+R+RBI	Christian Walker Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	2.6	-108	DK Over 1.5 -108 \| exact	75.0%	✓✓!–✓!	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: diff_pct 58.0% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.87 <= 1 min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Corbin Carroll Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	2.4	-133	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 \| best price	58.0%	✓✗✓–✓–	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: diff_pct 56.3% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.84 <= 1 min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ildemaro Vargas Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	2.3	-117	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -115 \| best price	56.3%	✓✗✓–✓–	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: diff_pct 51.7% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.78 <= 1 min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Kyle Tucker Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	2.3	-128	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -125 \| best price	51.7%	✓✗✓–✓–	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 49.3% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Brooks Lee Over	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	2.2	-130	BetMGM Over 1.5 -125 \| best price	49.3%	✓✗✓–✓–	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 44.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Matt Olson Over	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	2.2	-132	BetMGM Over 1.5 -120 \| best price	44.2%	✓✗✓–✓–	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 39.5% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Nolan Arenado Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	2.1	-122	BetOnline Over 1.5 -120 \| best price	39.5%	✓✗✓–✓–	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 28.7% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jeremy Pena Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	1.9	-143	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -140 \| best price	28.7%	✓✗✓–✓!	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 28.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Mookie Betts Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.9	-161	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -150 \| best price	28.0%	✓✗✓–✓–	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Pedro Ramirez Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.9	+121	DK Over 1.5 +121 \| exact	27.1%	✓✗✗✓✓✓	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.2% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Michael Harris II Over	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	1.9	-137	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 \| best price	24.2%	✓✗✓–✓–	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Will Smith Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.8	-131	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -130 \| best price	21.6%	✓✗✓–✓–	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Spencer Horwitz Over	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	1.5	1.8	-121	BetMGM Over 1.5 -115 \| best price	20.8%	✓✗✓–✓!	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ozzie Albies Over	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	1.8	-142	BetMGM Over 1.5 -120 \| best price	17.1%	✓✗✓–✓–	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.6% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Kody Clemens Over	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.7	-125	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -120 \| best price	12.6%	✓✗✓–✓–	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.8% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Ronald Acuna Jr. Over	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	1.6	-150	BetMGM Over 1.5 -135 \| best price	7.8%	✓✗✓–✓–	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Colby Thomas Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.6	+108	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +110 \| best price	3.1%	✓✗✗✓✓✓	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Gabriel Moreno Over	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	1.6	-141	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 \| best price	3.1%	✓✗✓–✓–	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.0% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Mauricio Dubon Over	JAY@BRA	7:15 PM	1.5	1.6	-146	BetMGM Over 1.5 -115 \| best price	3.0%	✓✗✓–✓–	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.9% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Vinnie Pasquantino Over	ROY@TWI	7:41 PM	1.5	1.5	-133	theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 \| best price	1.9%	✓✗✓–✓–	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.1% vs 50% min — would have capped at D	Batter H+R+RBI	Jonah Heim Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.5	+101	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 \| best price	1.1%	✓✗✗✓✓✓	MONITOR
B (Review)	◇ Monitor Model edge fail: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 41.1% vs 70% min — would have capped at D	Batter Total Bas	Shea Langeliers Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	2.1	-131	BetMGM Over 1.5 -115 \| best price	41.1%	!✗✓✓✓✓	MONITOR

✓ PASS ! WARN ✗ FAIL – N/A | Checks order: Baby Line · Model Edge · Books · Matchup · Role · Game Script

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