MLB Full Audit Wednesday, June 03 2026

MARKET TRUST TIERS

16 market(s) with settled tracker history

Market	Trust	Season N	Season WR	Season P&L	14d N	14d WR	14d P&L	Grade A N	Grade A WR
K Prop	✅ TRUSTED	224	56%	-3.94u	31	65%	+3.38u	110	58%
Pitcher Hits Allowed	✅ TRUSTED	150	61%	+16.10u	37	62%	+5.30u	1	100%
Run Line	✅ TRUSTED	111	52%	-5.21u	32	47%	-6.25u	38	63%
Pitcher Earned Runs	👀 WATCH	31	71%	+7.72u	31	71%	+7.72u	0	-
Batter Walks	👀 WATCH	29	62%	+2.90u	29	62%	+2.90u	0	-
F5 ML	👀 WATCH	28	48%	+4.54u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-
Batter Total Bases	👀 WATCH	26	54%	+0.16u	6	83%	+3.39u	0	-
Batter Hits	👀 WATCH	21	81%	+2.85u	7	71%	+0.02u	0	-
Pitcher Walks	👀 WATCH	17	59%	-0.45u	17	59%	-0.45u	0	-
No HR U1.5	👀 WATCH	9	22%	-5.18u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-
Moneyline	👀 WATCH	6	50%	+2.85u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-
NRFI	👀 WATCH	3	33%	+0.00u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-
YRFI	👀 WATCH	2	100%	+0.00u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-
Pitcher Outs	🔬 RESEARCH	75	41%	-13.74u	0	-	+0.00u	1	0%
Total	🔬 RESEARCH	42	38%	-9.29u	0	-	+0.00u	1	100%
Batter H+R+RBI	⛔ PAUSED	407	49%	-57.64u	0	-	+0.00u	55	45%

Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from configured market status plus settled tracker performance.

MARKET PROMOTION CRITERIA

What each market needs to move stages

Market	Current Stage	Next Stage	Progress	Promotion Blockers
K Prop	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	3/4	season P&L non-negative
Pitcher Hits Allowed	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	4/4	No blocker
Run Line	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	2/4	season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative
Pitcher Earned Runs	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	3/5	season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
Batter Walks	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	3/5	season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
F5 ML	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
Batter Total Bases	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
Batter Hits	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
Pitcher Walks	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative
No HR U1.5	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Moneyline	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
NRFI	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
YRFI	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Pitcher Outs	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	1/5	season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; 14d WR >= 52%
Total	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	0/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Batter H+R+RBI	⛔ PAUSED	🔬 Research	2/5	diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative; 14d sample >= 10

Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.

SAVANT PITCH QUALITY DIAGNOSTICS

29 pitcher(s) with public-data pitch-quality diagnostics

Pitcher	Game	Overall	Whiff	Contact	Arsenal	Top Pitch	Notes / Data Gaps
Shohei Ohtani	Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks	76.1	75.3	84.0	7	Curveball (42% whiff, 10% usage)	Savant whiff 32.8%, put-away 25.9%, xwOBA 0.247, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Payton Tolle	Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles	72.6	61.1	89.0	5	4-Seam Fastball (30% whiff, 47% usage)	Savant whiff 26.3%, put-away 24.8%, xwOBA 0.237, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Gerrit Cole	New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians	71.9	68.3	89.5	5	Slider (44% whiff, 19% usage)	Savant whiff 26.7%, put-away 31.2%, xwOBA 0.236, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Paul Skenes	Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros	69.6	56.9	87.0	7	Changeup (38% whiff, 17% usage)	Savant whiff 25.3%, put-away 22.6%, xwOBA 0.241, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Cristopher Sánchez	Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres	69.3	76.2	71.5	3	Changeup (50% whiff, 38% usage)	Savant whiff 32.3%, put-away 27.9%, xwOBA 0.272, arsenal coverage 3 pitch type(s)
Chase Burns	Cincinnati Reds vs Kansas City Royals	68.9	72.9	72.0	3	Slider (53% whiff, 36% usage)	Savant whiff 33.4%, put-away 22.5%, xwOBA 0.271, arsenal coverage 3 pitch type(s)
Walbert Ureña	Los Angeles Angels vs Colorado Rockies	59.0	58.5	63.0	4	Changeup (37% whiff, 34% usage)	Savant whiff 27.1%, put-away 20.5%, xwOBA 0.289, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Taj Bradley	Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox	56.5	61.4	54.0	4	Curveball (48% whiff, 10% usage)	Savant whiff 28.7%, put-away 20.2%, xwOBA 0.307, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Gavin Williams	Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees	56.3	69.1	48.0	5	Sweeper (44% whiff, 26% usage)	Savant whiff 30.5%, put-away 24.5%, xwOBA 0.319, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Max Meyer	Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals	55.4	63.4	51.5	5	Slider (45% whiff, 26% usage)	Savant whiff 29.8%, put-away 20.1%, xwOBA 0.312, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Freddy Peralta	New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners	55.1	57.1	55.5	4	Curveball (33% whiff, 14% usage)	Savant whiff 27.3%, put-away 18.9%, xwOBA 0.304, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
George Kirby	Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets	50.8	41.4	60.5	6	Sweeper (27% whiff, 28% usage)	Savant whiff 20.7%, put-away 16.4%, xwOBA 0.294, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
MacKenzie Gore	Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals	50.7	53.2	50.0	6	Curveball (32% whiff, 22% usage)	Savant whiff 24.9%, put-away 19.6%, xwOBA 0.315, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Grant Holmes	Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays	50.1	57.4	44.0	6	Slider (45% whiff, 37% usage)	Savant whiff 27.6%, put-away 18.4%, xwOBA 0.327, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Jeffrey Springs	Athletics vs Chicago Cubs	49.8	47.5	52.0	5	Changeup (40% whiff, 22% usage)	Savant whiff 22.6%, put-away 18.7%, xwOBA 0.311, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Stephen Kolek	Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds	49.2	37.2	63.0	6	Slider (39% whiff, 11% usage)	Savant whiff 18.6%, put-away 16.3%, xwOBA 0.289, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Andre Pallante	St. Louis Cardinals vs Texas Rangers	48.7	44.4	52.0	5	Slider (33% whiff, 29% usage)	Savant whiff 23.0%, put-away 14.7%, xwOBA 0.311, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Andrew Alvarez	Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins	46.6	57.1	40.0	5	Slider (44% whiff, 28% usage)	Savant whiff 27.9%, put-away 17.7%, xwOBA 0.335, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Spencer Arrighetti	Houston Astros vs Pittsburgh Pirates	45.1	56.0	38.0	6	Curveball (44% whiff, 33% usage)	Savant whiff 26.1%, put-away 20.1%, xwOBA 0.339, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Logan Webb	San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers	42.8	44.2	42.5	5	Changeup (30% whiff, 22% usage)	Savant whiff 20.5%, put-away 19.5%, xwOBA 0.330, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Chris Bassitt	Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox	41.6	42.6	38.5	7	Curveball (30% whiff, 24% usage)	Savant whiff 22.0%, put-away 15.0%, xwOBA 0.338, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Nick Martinez	Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers	41.1	38.7	47.0	6	Changeup (35% whiff, 28% usage)	Savant whiff 18.6%, put-away 17.8%, xwOBA 0.321, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Patrick Corbin	Toronto Blue Jays vs Atlanta Braves	36.9	40.0	29.0	5	Slider (39% whiff, 25% usage)	Savant whiff 20.8%, put-away 14.7%, xwOBA 0.357, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Erick Fedde	Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins	36.7	27.9	39.5	4	Changeup (30% whiff, 13% usage)	Savant whiff 15.8%, put-away 12.5%, xwOBA 0.336, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Colin Rea	Chicago Cubs vs Athletics	36.4	41.6	31.0	7	Slider (34% whiff, 12% usage)	Savant whiff 21.9%, put-away 14.0%, xwOBA 0.353, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Walker Buehler	San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies	36.1	35.8	37.5	7	Curveball (33% whiff, 14% usage)	Savant whiff 18.0%, put-away 16.0%, xwOBA 0.340, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Michael Lorenzen	Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Angels	33.9	40.0	20.5	7	Changeup (34% whiff, 21% usage)	Savant whiff 20.5%, put-away 15.2%, xwOBA 0.374, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Zac Gallen	Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers	33.5	33.1	30.0	5	Slider (34% whiff, 23% usage)	Savant whiff 17.6%, put-away 14.1%, xwOBA 0.355, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Troy Melton	Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays	28.3	25.2	34.5	6	Slider (17% whiff, 29% usage)	Savant whiff 15.0%, put-away 11.5%, xwOBA 0.346, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)

Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.

PITCHER ASSESSMENT DIAGNOSTICS

29 starter assessment(s) emitted by Pitcher Engine

Pitcher	Team	Hand	Season K%	Recent IP	Season IP	K IP	Pitch Ct	Leash	Savant	Contact	HR Vuln	Quality	Flags / Notes
Zac Gallen	Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers	R	17.9%	5.3	4.9	5.0	89	normal	full	30.00	70.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.4%
Jeffrey Springs	Athletics vs Chicago Cubs	L	20.1%	5.4	5.5	5.5	91	normal	full	52.00	48.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 11.2%
Grant Holmes	Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays	R	23.3%	4.8	5.2	5.1	80	short	full	44.00	56.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.8 IP/start, low-K contact opponent 19.2%
Chris Bassitt	Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox	R	17.3%	5.0	5.9	5.7	84	short	full	38.50	61.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.0 IP/start
Payton Tolle	Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles	L	25.8%	6.0	5.9	6.0	101	deep	full	89.00	11.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.2%
Colin Rea	Chicago Cubs vs Athletics	R	18.8%	5.1	6.6	6.2	86	short	full	31.00	69.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.1 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.8%
Erick Fedde	Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins	R	15.3%	3.9	7.6	6.4	65	short	full	39.50	60.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 3.9 IP/start
Chase Burns	Cincinnati Reds vs Kansas City Royals	R	28.3%	6.0	5.8	6.0	101	deep	full	72.00	28.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Gavin Williams	Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees	R	28.0%	6.6	6.3	6.4	111	deep	full	48.00	52.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 11.5%
Michael Lorenzen	Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Angels	R	17.1%	4.5	4.8	4.7	76	short	full	20.50	79.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.5 IP/start
Troy Melton	Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays	R	16.0%	6.1	6.1	5.9	102	deep	full	34.50	65.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 9.7%, low-K contact opponent 18.9%
Spencer Arrighetti	Houston Astros vs Pittsburgh Pirates	R	20.7%	5.7	5.9	5.8	96	normal	full	38.00	62.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.1%
Stephen Kolek	Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds	R	18.4%	6.1	6.2	6.0	102	deep	full	63.00	37.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.2%
Walbert Ureña	Los Angeles Angels vs Colorado Rockies	R	21.4%	5.6	5.5	5.6	94	normal	full	63.00	37.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Shohei Ohtani	Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks	R	27.8%	6.2	6.1	6.1	104	deep	full	84.00	16.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Max Meyer	Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals	R	26.6%	5.8	5.5	6.0	97	normal	full	51.50	48.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Taj Bradley	Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox	R	26.1%	5.6	5.6	5.6	94	normal	full	54.00	46.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 9.5%
Freddy Peralta	New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners	R	22.9%	5.4	5.5	5.5	91	normal	full	55.50	44.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Gerrit Cole	New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians	R	24.4%	6.1	6.1	5.9	102	deep	full	89.50	10.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.6%
Cristopher Sánchez	Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres	L	30.1%	7.8	6.6	6.8	131	deep	full	71.50	28.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Paul Skenes	Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros	R	28.6%	6.2	5.4	6.0	104	deep	full	87.00	13.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Walker Buehler	San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies	R	19.7%	5.2	4.7	4.8	87	normal	full	37.50	62.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Logan Webb	San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers	R	21.2%	5.6	5.8	5.8	94	normal	full	42.50	57.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 11.2%
George Kirby	Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets	R	20.1%	5.7	6.2	6.1	96	normal	full	60.50	39.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Andre Pallante	St. Louis Cardinals vs Texas Rangers	R	18.9%	5.2	5.3	5.3	87	normal	full	52.00	48.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Nick Martinez	Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers	R	15.6%	5.8	6.0	6.0	97	normal	full	47.00	53.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.0%
MacKenzie Gore	Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals	L	22.6%	5.2	5.1	5.1	87	normal	full	50.00	50.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Patrick Corbin	Toronto Blue Jays vs Atlanta Braves	L	17.6%	4.8	4.9	4.9	80	short	full	29.00	71.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.8 IP/start
Andrew Alvarez	Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins	L	24.4%	3.0	-	5.2	50	short	full	40.00	60.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 3.0 IP/start

Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.

PITCHER OUTS RESEARCH GATE

7/7 candidate(s) held from actionable output

Pitcher	Side	Game	Line	Proj	Gap	Edge / DIFF%	Grade	Rec	Status	Leash	K IP	Pitch Ct	Quality	Gate Reason
Grant Holmes	Grant Holmes Under	Toronto Blue Jays @ Atlanta Braves	17.5	13.9	-3.6	20.4%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	short	5.1	80	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree
MacKenzie Gore	MacKenzie Gore Under	Texas Rangers @ St. Louis Cardinals	17.5	15.4	-2.1	12.0%	D	MONITOR	research	normal	5.1	87	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 12.0% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap -2.11 <= 3 min
Cristopher Sanchez	Cristopher Sanchez Over	San Diego Padres @ Philadelphia Phillies	19.5	21.7	2.2	11.1%	D	MONITOR	research	deep	6.8	131	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 11.1% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.17 <= 3 min
Walbert Urena	Walbert Urena Under	Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Angels	17.5	16.4	-1.1	6.6%	D	MONITOR	research	normal	5.6	94	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.6% vs 10% min
Taj Bradley	Taj Bradley Under	Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins	17.5	16.6	-0.9	5.4%	D	MONITOR	research	normal	5.6	94	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.4% vs 10% min
Chase Burns	Chase Burns Over	Kansas City Royals @ Cincinnati Reds	17.5	18.2	0.7	4.2%	D	MONITOR	research	deep	6.0	101	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.2% vs 10% min
Stephen Kolek	Stephen Kolek Under	Kansas City Royals @ Cincinnati Reds	17.5	17.5	-0.1	0.3%	D	MONITOR	research	deep	6.0	102	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.3% vs 10% min

QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.

FULL AUDIT — ALL CANDIDATES

134 candidates evaluated

← Back to Picks

Grade	Signal	Type	Side	Game	Time (ET)	Line	Proj	Odds	Best Book / Line	Edge/Diff	Checks ✓!✗–	Rec
► GOOD ADDS
B	✅ Good Add Matchup: [!] Opp lineup wRC+ 117 vs RHP — tough platoon matchup	K Prop	Gavin Williams Over	GUA@YAN	7:06 PM	6.5	7.9	-115	FanDuel Over 6.5 -115 \| best price	22.0%	✓✓!!––	GOOD ADD
B	✅ Good Add Matchup: [!] Opp lineup wRC+ 116 vs RHP — tough platoon matchup	Run Line	Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	1.5	-	-105	BetRivers Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 +100 \| best price	+19.5%	–✓✓!–✓	GOOD ADD
► ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check	K Prop	Walbert Urena Over	ROC@ANG	9:39 PM	4.5	6.1	-136	DK Over 4.5 -136 \| exact	35.0%	✓✓✗✓––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree	K Prop	Chris Bassitt Over	ORI@SOX	6:46 PM	3.5	4.7	-166	DK Over 3.5 -166 \| exact	34.0%	✓✓✗✓––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk K final QC: opposing lineup not confirmed	K Prop	Cristopher Sanchez Over	PAD@PHI	6:41 PM	7.5	9.7	+119	FanDuel Over 6.5 -160 \| alt rescue	29.5%	✓✓!✓––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check	K Prop	Chase Burns Over	ROY@RED	7:10 PM	6.5	8.3	-127	DK Over 6.5 -127 \| exact	27.6%	✓✓✗✓––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Pitcher Outs	Grant Holmes Under	JAY@BRA	7:16 PM	17.5	13.9	-133	DK Under 17.5 -133 \| exact	20.4%	✓✓✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check	Batter Hits	Vaughn Grissom Under	ROC@ANG	9:39 PM	1.5	0.8	-251	DK Under 1.5 -251 \| exact	43.3%	✓!✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees	Total	Over 7.5	GUA@YAN	7:06 PM	7.5	-	+102	LowVig Over 7 -123 \| alt rescue	+28.7%	–✓✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Total	Over 7.5	PAD@PHI	6:41 PM	7.5	-	-114	theScore Bet Over 7.5 -110 \| best price	+21.2%	–✓–––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	Total	Over 7.5	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	7.5	-	-112	LowVig Over 7.5 -107 \| best price	+20.4%	–✓––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees	Total	Over 8.0	GIA@BRE	7:40 PM	8.0	-	-105	BetRivers Over 7.5 -121 \| alt rescue	+18.1%	–✓✗–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	Total	Over 7.0	MET@MAR	3:41 PM	7.0	-	-124	DK Over 7 -124 \| exact	+17.5%	–✓!–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.07x)	F5 Total	Over 3.5	GUA@YAN	7:06 PM	3.5	-	-140	Bovada Direct Over 3.5 -135 \| best price	+14.2%	–✓–––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	F5 Total	Over 3.5	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	3.5	-	-146	Bovada Direct Over 3.5 -145 \| best price	+12.3%	–✓––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	F5 Total	Over 3.5	MET@MAR	3:41 PM	3.5	-	-144	FanDuel Over 3.5 -144 \| exact	+8.1%	–✓––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 35% (≥20%) — verify model inputs	YRFI	YRFI	TIG@RAY	1:11 PM	-	7.7	+100	DraftKings +100	+35.0%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 32% (≥20%) — verify model inputs	YRFI	YRFI	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	-	7.6	-113	DraftKings -113	+31.9%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 27% (≥20%) — verify model inputs	YRFI	YRFI	SOX@TWI	1:41 PM	-	7.1	-118	DraftKings -118	+27.4%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 22% (≥20%) — verify model inputs	YRFI	YRFI	JAY@BRA	7:16 PM	-	6.6	-115	DraftKings -115	+22.0%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 22% (≥20%) — verify model inputs	YRFI	YRFI	MAR@NAT	1:06 PM	-	6.4	-108	DraftKings -108	+21.7%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	ORI@SOX	6:46 PM	-	6.2	-113	DraftKings -113	+18.8%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	RAN@CAR	7:46 PM	-	5.4	-104	DraftKings -104	+11.2%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	ROC@ANG	9:39 PM	-	5.4	-113	DraftKings -113	+8.6%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	ROY@RED	7:10 PM	-	5.3	-115	DraftKings -115	+7.3%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	-	4.9	+104	DraftKings +104	+7.2%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	GUA@YAN	7:06 PM	-	4.9	+102	DraftKings +102	+6.6%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	-	4.8	-108	DraftKings -108	+3.9%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	PAD@PHI	6:41 PM	-	4.4	+100	DraftKings +100	+0.4%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	MET@MAR	3:41 PM	-	4.2	+106	DraftKings +106	+0.1%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	GIA@BRE	7:40 PM	-	4.6	-110	DraftKings -110	-40.5%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 33% (9 books) — strongly disagree	Run Line	San Diego Padres +1.5	PAD@PHI	6:41 PM	1.5	-	-123	FanDuel San Diego Padres 1.5 -114 \| best price	+13.5%	–✓✗✓–✓	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 33% (6 books) — strongly disagree	Run Line	San Francisco Giants +1.5	GIA@BRE	7:40 PM	1.5	-	-156	Bovada Direct San Francisco Giants 1.5 -150 \| best price	+6.8%	–!✗!–✓	ALT / DERISK
► MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 24.8% vs 17% min clears, but raw gap +0.87 <= 1 min	K Prop	Andre Pallante Over	RAN@CAR	7:46 PM	3.5	4.4	-137	DK Over 3.5 -137 \| exact	24.8%	✓✗!✓––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 17.9% vs 17% min clears, but raw gap +0.63 <= 1 min	K Prop	Erick Fedde Over	SOX@TWI	1:41 PM	3.5	4.1	+106	DK Over 3.5 +106 \| exact	17.9%	✓✗✗✓––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.5% vs 17% min	K Prop	Jeffrey Springs Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	4.5	5.1	-128	DK Over 4.5 -128 \| exact	12.5%	✓✗✗✓––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.9% vs 17% min	K Prop	Stephen Kolek Over	ROY@RED	7:10 PM	4.5	5.0	-113	DK Over 4.5 -113 \| exact	10.9%	✓✗✗✓––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.8% vs 17% min	K Prop	MacKenzie Gore Under	RAN@CAR	7:46 PM	5.5	4.9	-148	FanDuel Under 5.5 -138 \| best price	10.8%	✓✗✗✓––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.5% vs 17% min	K Prop	Michael Lorenzen Under	ROC@ANG	9:39 PM	4.5	4.0	+111	DK Under 4.5 +111 \| exact	10.5%	✓✗✗✓––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.5% vs 17% min	K Prop	Walker Buehler Under	PAD@PHI	6:41 PM	3.5	3.1	+130	FanDuel Under 4.5 -164 \| alt rescue	10.5%	✓✗✗✓––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.2% vs 17% min	K Prop	Taj Bradley Over	SOX@TWI	1:41 PM	5.5	6.0	-150	DK Over 5.5 -150 \| exact	9.2%	✓✗✗✓––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.1% vs 17% min	K Prop	Payton Tolle Under	ORI@SOX	6:46 PM	6.5	6.0	-137	DK Under 6.5 -137 \| exact	8.1%	✓✗✗!––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.3% vs 17% min	K Prop	Grant Holmes Over	JAY@BRA	7:16 PM	4.5	4.8	-127	FanDuel Over 4.5 -112 \| best price	7.3%	✓✗!✓––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.4% vs 17% min	K Prop	Colin Rea Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	4.5	4.3	-119	DK Under 4.5 -119 \| exact	3.4%	✓✗✗!––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.6% vs 17% min	K Prop	Gerrit Cole Over	GUA@YAN	7:06 PM	5.5	5.5	-116	FanDuel Over 5.5 -112 \| best price	0.6%	✓✗!!––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 12.0% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap -2.11 <= 3 min	Pitcher Outs	MacKenzie Gore Under	RAN@CAR	7:46 PM	17.5	15.4	-130	DK Under 17.5 -130 \| exact	12.0%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 11.1% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.17 <= 3 min	Pitcher Outs	Cristopher Sanchez Over	PAD@PHI	6:41 PM	19.5	21.7	-118	DK Over 19.5 -118 \| exact	11.1%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.6% vs 10% min	Pitcher Outs	Walbert Urena Under	ROC@ANG	9:39 PM	17.5	16.4	-112	DK Under 17.5 -112 \| exact	6.6%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.4% vs 10% min	Pitcher Outs	Taj Bradley Under	SOX@TWI	1:41 PM	17.5	16.6	-104	DK Under 17.5 -104 \| exact	5.4%	✓✗!–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.2% vs 10% min	Pitcher Outs	Chase Burns Over	ROY@RED	7:10 PM	17.5	18.2	-122	DK Over 17.5 -122 \| exact	4.2%	✓✗!–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.3% vs 10% min	Pitcher Outs	Stephen Kolek Under	ROY@RED	7:10 PM	17.5	17.5	-134	DK Under 17.5 -134 \| exact	0.3%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.3% vs 50% min	Batter Hits	Sam Antonacci Under	SOX@TWI	1:41 PM	1.5	0.9	-265	DK Under 1.5 -265 \| exact	42.3%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 40.0% vs 50% min	Batter Hits	Trea Turner Under	PAD@PHI	6:41 PM	1.5	0.9	-256	DK Under 1.5 -256 \| exact	40.0%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 39.7% vs 50% min	Batter Hits	Sal Stewart Under	ROY@RED	7:10 PM	1.5	0.9	-256	DK Under 1.5 -256 \| exact	39.7%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.3% vs 50% min	Batter Hits	Ceddanne Rafaela Under	ORI@SOX	6:46 PM	1.5	0.9	-256	DK Under 1.5 -256 \| exact	38.3%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.3% vs 50% min	Batter Hits	Brooks Lee Under	SOX@TWI	1:41 PM	1.5	0.9	-267	DK Under 1.5 -267 \| exact	38.3%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.2% vs 50% min	Batter Hits	Brandon Nimmo Under	RAN@CAR	7:46 PM	1.5	0.9	-248	DK Under 1.5 -248 \| exact	38.2%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 37.0% vs 50% min	Batter Hits	Nico Hoerner Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	0.9	-239	DK Under 1.5 -239 \| exact	37.0%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.5% vs 50% min	Batter Hits	Bobby Witt Jr. Under	ROY@RED	7:10 PM	1.5	1.1	-259	DK Under 1.5 -259 \| exact	29.5%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.9% vs 50% min	Batter Hits	Byron Buxton Under	SOX@TWI	1:41 PM	1.5	1.1	-255	DK Under 1.5 -255 \| exact	25.9%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.1% vs 50% min	Batter Hits	Josh Jung Under	RAN@CAR	7:46 PM	1.5	1.2	-177	DK Under 1.5 -177 \| exact	19.1%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.9% vs 50% min	Batter Hits	Wilyer Abreu Under	ORI@SOX	6:46 PM	1.5	1.2	-273	DK Under 1.5 -273 \| exact	17.9%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.9% vs 50% min	Batter Hits	Shea Langeliers Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.3	-258	DK Under 1.5 -258 \| exact	15.9%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 58.6% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Shea Langeliers Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	2.4	-101	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +100 \| best price	58.6%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 58.4% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Kyle Schwarber Over	PAD@PHI	6:41 PM	1.5	2.4	+115	DK Over 1.5 +115 \| exact	58.4%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 58.0% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Byron Buxton Over	SOX@TWI	1:41 PM	1.5	2.4	-109	DK Over 1.5 -109 \| exact	58.0%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 46.7% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Nathaniel Lowe Over	ROY@RED	7:10 PM	1.5	2.2	+132	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 \| best price	46.7%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 41.5% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Bryce Harper Over	PAD@PHI	6:41 PM	1.5	2.1	+123	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	41.5%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 41.4% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Tyler Freeman Over	ROC@ANG	9:39 PM	1.5	2.1	+143	DK Over 1.5 +143 \| exact	41.4%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.6% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Carter Jensen Under	ROY@RED	7:10 PM	1.5	1.0	-162	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -160 \| best price	34.6%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.1% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Nick Kurtz Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	2.0	+131	DK Over 1.5 +131 \| exact	33.1%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 32.6% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Vinnie Pasquantino Under	ROY@RED	7:10 PM	1.5	1.0	-169	DK Under 1.5 -169 \| exact	32.6%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.0% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Manny Machado Under	PAD@PHI	6:41 PM	1.5	1.1	-188	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -185 \| best price	30.0%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.2% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Austin Martin Under	SOX@TWI	1:41 PM	1.5	1.1	-191	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -190 \| best price	29.2%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.9% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Fernando Tatis Jr. Under	PAD@PHI	6:41 PM	1.5	1.2	-188	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -185 \| best price	22.9%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.7% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Salvador Perez Under	ROY@RED	7:10 PM	1.5	1.2	-176	DK Under 1.5 -176 \| exact	22.7%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.1% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Mike Trout Over	ROC@ANG	9:39 PM	1.5	1.8	+109	DK Over 1.5 +109 \| exact	22.1%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.5% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Luke Keaschall Under	SOX@TWI	1:41 PM	1.5	1.2	-200	DK Under 1.5 -200 \| exact	21.5%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.2% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Zach Neto Over	ROC@ANG	9:39 PM	1.5	1.8	+114	DK Over 1.5 +114 \| exact	21.2%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.8% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Brandon Marsh Over	PAD@PHI	6:41 PM	1.5	1.8	+138	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 \| best price	20.8%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.4% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Ernie Clement Over	JAY@BRA	7:16 PM	1.5	1.8	+139	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 \| best price	19.4%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.9% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Miguel Vargas Over	SOX@TWI	1:41 PM	1.5	1.8	+127	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 \| best price	18.9%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.4% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Jo Adell Over	ROC@ANG	9:39 PM	1.5	1.8	+112	DK Over 1.5 +112 \| exact	18.4%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.2% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Tyler Soderstrom Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.8	+123	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +125 \| best price	18.2%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.8% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Colson Montgomery Over	SOX@TWI	1:41 PM	1.5	1.8	+120	DK Over 1.5 +120 \| exact	17.8%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.4% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Andrew Benintendi Under	SOX@TWI	1:41 PM	1.5	1.2	-170	DK Under 1.5 -170 \| exact	16.4%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.4% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Cody Bellinger Over	GUA@YAN	7:06 PM	1.5	1.8	+145	DK Over 1.5 +145 \| exact	16.4%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.0% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Alec Bohm Under	PAD@PHI	6:41 PM	1.5	1.3	-194	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -190 \| best price	16.0%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.5% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Bobby Witt Jr. Over	ROY@RED	7:10 PM	1.5	1.7	-109	DK Over 1.5 -109 \| exact	14.5%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.5% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Michael Busch Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.3	-179	DK Under 1.5 -179 \| exact	14.5%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.4% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Nico Hoerner Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.3	-144	DK Under 1.5 -144 \| exact	12.4%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.9% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Jose Ramirez Under	GUA@YAN	7:06 PM	1.5	1.3	-162	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -160 \| best price	11.9%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.5% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under	JAY@BRA	7:16 PM	1.5	1.3	-162	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -160 \| best price	11.5%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.7% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Josh Bell Under	SOX@TWI	1:41 PM	1.5	1.3	-166	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -165 \| best price	10.7%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.3% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Ian Happ Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.6	+134	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 \| best price	10.3%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.1% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Hunter Goodman Over	ROC@ANG	9:39 PM	1.5	1.6	+133	DK Over 1.5 +133 \| exact	9.1%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.4% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Sal Stewart Over	ROY@RED	7:10 PM	1.5	1.6	+101	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 \| best price	7.4%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.0% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Trea Turner Under	PAD@PHI	6:41 PM	1.5	1.4	-144	DK Under 1.5 -144 \| exact	7.0%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.9% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Chase Meidroth Under	SOX@TWI	1:41 PM	1.5	1.4	-206	DK Under 1.5 -206 \| exact	6.9%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.3% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Amed Rosario Over	GUA@YAN	7:06 PM	1.5	1.6	+158	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +160 \| best price	6.3%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.3% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Pete Crow-Armstrong Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.4	-162	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -160 \| best price	6.3%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.4% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	George Springer Over	JAY@BRA	7:16 PM	1.5	1.6	+135	DK Over 1.5 +135 \| exact	5.4%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.4% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Nathan Lukes Over	JAY@BRA	7:16 PM	1.5	1.6	+146	DK Over 1.5 +146 \| exact	5.4%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.8% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Spencer Steer Over	ROY@RED	7:10 PM	1.5	1.6	+132	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 \| best price	4.8%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.6% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Daulton Varsho Under	JAY@BRA	7:16 PM	1.5	1.4	-200	DK Under 1.5 -200 \| exact	4.6%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.5% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Seiya Suzuki Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.4	-167	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -165 \| best price	4.5%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.5% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Brent Rooker Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.6	+129	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 \| best price	4.5%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.5% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Carlos Cortes Over	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.6	+133	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 \| best price	4.5%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.1% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Kody Clemens Over	SOX@TWI	1:41 PM	1.5	1.6	+104	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 \| best price	4.1%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.1% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Sam Antonacci Over	SOX@TWI	1:41 PM	1.5	1.6	+114	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	4.1%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.5% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	TJ Rumfield Under	ROC@ANG	9:39 PM	1.5	1.4	-170	DK Under 1.5 -170 \| exact	3.5%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.2% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Miguel Andujar Under	PAD@PHI	6:41 PM	1.5	1.4	-191	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -190 \| best price	3.2%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.5% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Brooks Lee Over	SOX@TWI	1:41 PM	1.5	1.5	+112	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	2.5%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.3% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Vaughn Grissom Over	ROC@ANG	9:39 PM	1.5	1.5	+101	DK Over 1.5 +101 \| exact	2.3%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Eugenio Suarez Over	ROY@RED	7:10 PM	1.5	1.5	+109	DK Over 1.5 +109 \| exact	1.3%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Blake Dunn Over	ROY@RED	7:10 PM	1.5	1.5	+120	DK Over 1.5 +120 \| exact	1.3%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	JJ Bleday Over	ROY@RED	7:10 PM	1.5	1.5	+130	DK Over 1.5 +130 \| exact	1.3%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Tyler Stephenson Over	ROY@RED	7:10 PM	1.5	1.5	+146	DK Over 1.5 +146 \| exact	1.3%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.5% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Alex Bregman Under	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	1.5	1.5	-184	DK Under 1.5 -184 \| exact	0.5%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 5.8 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	MET@MAR	3:41 PM	-	5.8	-136	DraftKings -136	+8.7%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 5.6 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	PAD@PHI	6:41 PM	-	5.6	-130	DraftKings -130	+8.1%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 5.2 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	DOD@DIA	9:41 PM	-	5.2	-118	DraftKings -118	+5.1%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 5.1 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	GUA@YAN	7:06 PM	-	5.1	-130	DraftKings -130	+2.4%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 5.1 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	PIR@AST	8:11 PM	-	5.1	-132	DraftKings -132	+1.9%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 4.7 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	ROY@RED	7:10 PM	-	4.7	-111	DraftKings -111	+1.6%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 4.6 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	ROC@ANG	9:39 PM	-	4.6	-113	DraftKings -113	+0.3%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 4.6 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	RAN@CAR	7:46 PM	-	4.6	-122	DraftKings -122	-2.2%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 3.8 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	ORI@SOX	6:46 PM	-	3.8	-113	DraftKings -113	-9.9%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 3.6 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	MAR@NAT	1:06 PM	-	3.6	-118	DraftKings -118	-12.7%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 3.4 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	JAY@BRA	7:16 PM	-	3.4	-111	DraftKings -111	-13.0%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 2.9 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	SOX@TWI	1:41 PM	-	2.9	-108	DraftKings -108	-18.5%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 2.4 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	ATH@CUB	8:06 PM	-	2.4	-113	DraftKings -113	-23.1%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 2.3 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	TIG@RAY	1:11 PM	-	2.3	-128	DraftKings -128	-26.1%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 4.7 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	GIA@BRE	7:40 PM	-	4.7	-110	DraftKings -110	-38.7%	–✗––––	MONITOR

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