MLB Full Audit Sunday, May 31 2026

MARKET TRUST TIERS

16 market(s) with settled tracker history

Market	Trust	Season N	Season WR	Season P&L	14d N	14d WR	14d P&L	Grade A N	Grade A WR
K Prop	✅ TRUSTED	211	55%	-8.36u	27	48%	-4.65u	110	58%
Pitcher Hits Allowed	✅ TRUSTED	140	60%	+11.17u	36	56%	+0.45u	1	100%
Run Line	✅ TRUSTED	104	51%	-7.26u	30	37%	-11.51u	37	62%
F5 ML	👀 WATCH	28	48%	+4.54u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-
Batter Total Bases	👀 WATCH	25	52%	-0.63u	6	67%	+1.60u	0	-
Batter Hits	👀 WATCH	21	81%	+2.85u	7	71%	+0.02u	0	-
Pitcher Earned Runs	👀 WATCH	21	71%	+5.11u	21	71%	+5.11u	0	-
Batter Walks	👀 WATCH	17	65%	+2.44u	17	65%	+2.44u	0	-
Pitcher Walks	👀 WATCH	16	56%	-1.00u	16	56%	-1.00u	0	-
No HR U1.5	👀 WATCH	9	22%	-5.18u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-
Moneyline	👀 WATCH	6	50%	+2.85u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-
NRFI	👀 WATCH	3	33%	+0.00u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-
YRFI	👀 WATCH	2	100%	+0.00u	0	-	+0.00u	0	-
Pitcher Outs	🔬 RESEARCH	75	41%	-13.74u	0	-	+0.00u	1	0%
Total	🔬 RESEARCH	42	38%	-9.29u	0	-	+0.00u	1	100%
Batter H+R+RBI	⛔ PAUSED	407	49%	-57.64u	0	-	+0.00u	55	45%

Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from configured market status plus settled tracker performance.

MARKET PROMOTION CRITERIA

What each market needs to move stages

Market	Current Stage	Next Stage	Progress	Promotion Blockers
K Prop	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	2/4	season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative
Pitcher Hits Allowed	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	4/4	No blocker
Run Line	✅ TRUSTED	Maintain Trusted	2/4	season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative
F5 ML	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
Batter Total Bases	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Batter Hits	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
Pitcher Earned Runs	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	3/5	season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
Batter Walks	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	3/5	season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
Pitcher Walks	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative
No HR U1.5	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Moneyline	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	2/5	season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
NRFI	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
YRFI	👀 WATCH	✅ Trusted	1/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Pitcher Outs	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	1/5	season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; 14d WR >= 52%
Total	🔬 RESEARCH	👀 Watch	0/5	season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Batter H+R+RBI	⛔ PAUSED	🔬 Research	2/5	diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative; 14d sample >= 10

Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.

SAVANT PITCH QUALITY DIAGNOSTICS

29 pitcher(s) with public-data pitch-quality diagnostics

Pitcher	Game	Overall	Whiff	Contact	Arsenal	Top Pitch	Notes / Data Gaps
Jacob Misiorowski	Milwaukee Brewers vs Houston Astros	86.8	94.9	90.5	4	4-Seam Fastball (45% whiff, 62% usage)	Savant whiff 39.4%, put-away 32.3%, xwOBA 0.234, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Spencer Strider	Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds	72.8	77.8	75.5	4	Curveball (54% whiff, 17% usage)	Savant whiff 36.6%, put-away 20.9%, xwOBA 0.264, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Bryce Miller	Seattle Mariners vs Arizona Diamondbacks	71.4	55.2	90.5	6	Slider (43% whiff, 24% usage)	Savant whiff 25.9%, put-away 19.8%, xwOBA 0.234, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Braxton Ashcraft	Pittsburgh Pirates vs Minnesota Twins	64.2	62.0	70.5	5	Curveball (39% whiff, 25% usage)	Savant whiff 26.9%, put-away 24.4%, xwOBA 0.274, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Zebby Matthews	Minnesota Twins vs Pittsburgh Pirates	60.3	48.5	80.0	5	Slider (46% whiff, 20% usage)	Savant whiff 22.8%, put-away 19.2%, xwOBA 0.255, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Nolan McLean	New York Mets vs Miami Marlins	59.6	59.5	65.5	6	Curveball (43% whiff, 12% usage)	Savant whiff 25.4%, put-away 25.0%, xwOBA 0.284, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Will Warren	New York Yankees vs Athletics	58.7	53.5	65.5	5	Sweeper (23% whiff, 23% usage)	Savant whiff 24.2%, put-away 21.3%, xwOBA 0.284, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Spencer Miles	Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles	57.2	49.2	70.0	4	Curveball (25% whiff, 24% usage)	Savant whiff 22.1%, put-away 21.2%, xwOBA 0.275, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Shane McClanahan	Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels	56.5	62.7	57.5	4	Changeup (36% whiff, 30% usage)	Savant whiff 28.5%, put-away 22.0%, xwOBA 0.300, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies	54.7	60.7	53.0	6	Split-Finger (40% whiff, 28% usage)	Savant whiff 28.2%, put-away 20.7%, xwOBA 0.309, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Jordan Wicks	Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals	52.7	77.2	21.0	4	Changeup (40% whiff, 31% usage)	Savant whiff 32.0%, put-away 29.4%, xwOBA 0.373, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Griffin Canning	San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals	51.0	65.4	39.5	7	Slider (40% whiff, 24% usage)	Savant whiff 27.7%, put-away 26.4%, xwOBA 0.336, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Ranger Suarez	Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians	50.5	45.2	58.5	6	Curveball (39% whiff, 14% usage)	Savant whiff 20.4%, put-away 20.6%, xwOBA 0.298, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Kyle Bradish	Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays	50.4	54.0	46.5	4	Curveball (44% whiff, 23% usage)	Savant whiff 24.5%, put-away 21.2%, xwOBA 0.322, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Michael Wacha	Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers	50.4	52.9	50.0	6	Changeup (34% whiff, 23% usage)	Savant whiff 24.3%, put-away 20.6%, xwOBA 0.315, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Jack Leiter	Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals	49.2	61.2	38.0	6	Slider (37% whiff, 18% usage)	Savant whiff 27.6%, put-away 22.4%, xwOBA 0.339, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Tanner Bibee	Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox	48.6	54.8	42.5	6	Changeup (39% whiff, 20% usage)	Savant whiff 26.8%, put-away 17.4%, xwOBA 0.330, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Tanner Gordon	Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants	47.8	52.3	42.0	5	4-Seam Fastball (30% whiff, 35% usage)	Savant whiff 24.5%, put-away 19.6%, xwOBA 0.331, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Sean Burke	Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers	45.8	38.1	53.5	6	Slider (31% whiff, 16% usage)	Savant whiff 19.8%, put-away 14.9%, xwOBA 0.308, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Keider Montero	Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox	45.1	36.6	54.0	5	Changeup (26% whiff, 16% usage)	Savant whiff 17.7%, put-away 17.5%, xwOBA 0.307, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Janson Junk	Miami Marlins vs New York Mets	45.0	34.6	52.5	6	Changeup (33% whiff, 20% usage)	Savant whiff 18.3%, put-away 14.2%, xwOBA 0.310, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Andrew Painter	Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers	44.8	43.6	43.0	6	Split-Finger (40% whiff, 13% usage)	Savant whiff 22.1%, put-away 15.7%, xwOBA 0.329, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Jack Kochanowicz	Los Angeles Angels vs Tampa Bay Rays	41.7	51.4	33.5	4	Slider (38% whiff, 18% usage)	Savant whiff 24.4%, put-away 18.9%, xwOBA 0.348, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Tatsuya Imai	Houston Astros vs Milwaukee Brewers	39.9	56.0	23.0	5	Slider (38% whiff, 43% usage)	Savant whiff 29.2%, put-away 14.0%, xwOBA 0.369, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Robbie Ray	San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies	39.4	52.0	27.5	5	Slider (36% whiff, 29% usage)	Savant whiff 26.0%, put-away 16.3%, xwOBA 0.360, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Matthew Liberatore	St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs	38.9	47.6	26.5	7	Curveball (42% whiff, 14% usage)	Savant whiff 23.7%, put-away 16.4%, xwOBA 0.362, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Nick Lodolo	Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves	37.0	50.1	14.5	4	Curveball (42% whiff, 26% usage)	Savant whiff 25.6%, put-away 15.1%, xwOBA 0.386, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Merrill Kelly	Arizona Diamondbacks vs Seattle Mariners	25.8	43.9	4.0	6	Slider (40% whiff, 14% usage)	Savant whiff 23.1%, put-away 14.1%, xwOBA 0.407, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Zack Littell	Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres	22.6	27.8	11.5	5	Slider (20% whiff, 28% usage)	Savant whiff 14.2%, put-away 15.7%, xwOBA 0.392, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)

Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.

PITCHER ASSESSMENT DIAGNOSTICS

29 starter assessment(s) emitted by Pitcher Engine

Pitcher	Team	Hand	Season K%	Recent IP	Season IP	K IP	Pitch Ct	Leash	Savant	Contact	HR Vuln	Quality	Flags / Notes
Merrill Kelly	Arizona Diamondbacks vs Seattle Mariners	R	17.5%	6.6	6.0	6.1	111	deep	full	4.00	96.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Spencer Strider	Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds	R	27.3%	5.1	5.2	5.4	86	short	full	75.50	24.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.1 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.2%
Kyle Bradish	Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays	R	24.2%	5.6	5.3	5.3	94	normal	full	46.50	53.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	low-K contact opponent 19.3%
Ranger Suarez	Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians	L	23.7%	5.2	5.3	5.3	87	normal	full	58.50	41.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.8%
Jordan Wicks	Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals	L	-	-	-	5.8	96	unknown	full	21.00	79.00	fallback+savant+savant_quality+hand	season_pitcher_stats_missing, recent_form_unavailable
Sean Burke	Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers	R	23.3%	5.1	6.7	6.3	86	short	full	53.50	46.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.1 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.0%
Nick Lodolo	Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves	L	21.0%	5.1	5.2	5.5	86	short	full	14.50	85.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.1 IP/start
Tanner Bibee	Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox	R	20.8%	5.4	5.2	5.3	91	normal	full	42.50	57.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Tanner Gordon	Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants	R	22.6%	4.2	32.1	7.5	70	short	full	42.00	58.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.2 IP/start
Keider Montero	Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox	R	17.3%	5.3	5.5	5.5	89	normal	full	54.00	46.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 9.8%
Tatsuya Imai	Houston Astros vs Milwaukee Brewers	R	-	4.3	-	5.5	72	short	full	23.00	77.00	fallback+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.3 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.9%, season_pitcher_stats_missing
Michael Wacha	Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers	R	21.6%	6.6	6.4	6.4	111	deep	full	50.00	50.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Jack Kochanowicz	Los Angeles Angels vs Tampa Bay Rays	R	17.5%	5.2	5.5	5.5	87	normal	full	33.50	66.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	low-K contact opponent 18.8%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies	R	24.0%	6.2	6.4	6.4	104	deep	full	53.00	47.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Janson Junk	Miami Marlins vs New York Mets	R	18.2%	5.3	5.5	5.4	89	normal	full	52.50	47.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Jacob Misiorowski	Milwaukee Brewers vs Houston Astros	R	39.3%	6.2	5.8	6.0	104	deep	full	90.50	9.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Zebby Matthews	Minnesota Twins vs Pittsburgh Pirates	R	22.9%	6.3	6.3	6.0	106	deep	full	80.00	20.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 9.9%
Nolan McLean	New York Mets vs Miami Marlins	R	27.1%	5.1	5.5	5.5	86	short	full	65.50	34.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.1 IP/start
Will Warren	New York Yankees vs Athletics	R	25.1%	5.3	5.3	5.3	89	normal	full	65.50	34.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	patient opponent BB% 10.0%
Andrew Painter	Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers	R	19.0%	5.1	5.6	5.5	86	short	full	43.00	57.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.1 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.6%
Braxton Ashcraft	Pittsburgh Pirates vs Minnesota Twins	R	24.2%	6.7	6.2	6.3	112	deep	full	70.50	29.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Griffin Canning	San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals	R	-	4.3	-	5.5	72	short	full	39.50	60.50	fallback+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.3 IP/start, season_pitcher_stats_missing
Robbie Ray	San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies	L	19.5%	4.9	5.3	5.2	82	short	full	27.50	72.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.9 IP/start
Bryce Miller	Seattle Mariners vs Arizona Diamondbacks	R	22.6%	5.1	8.0	6.0	86	short	full	90.50	9.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.1 IP/start
Matthew Liberatore	St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs	L	24.6%	5.1	5.1	5.1	86	short	full	26.50	73.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 5.1 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 11.4%
Shane McClanahan	Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels	L	24.1%	5.3	5.0	5.1	89	normal	full	57.50	42.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Jack Leiter	Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals	R	24.1%	5.7	5.5	5.5	96	normal	full	38.00	62.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	-
Spencer Miles	Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles	R	24.2%	3.1	33.1	7.4	52	short	full	70.00	30.00	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 3.1 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.3%
Zack Littell	Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres	R	15.4%	4.8	7.6	6.6	80	short	full	11.50	88.50	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	recent leash 4.8 IP/start

Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.

PITCHER OUTS RESEARCH GATE

6/6 candidate(s) held from actionable output

Pitcher	Side	Game	Line	Proj	Gap	Edge / DIFF%	Grade	Rec	Status	Leash	K IP	Pitch Ct	Quality	Gate Reason
Braxton Ashcraft	Braxton Ashcraft Over	Minnesota Twins @ Pittsburgh Pirates	17.5	21.1	3.6	20.4%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	deep	6.3	112	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)
Nick Lodolo	Nick Lodolo Under	Atlanta Braves @ Cincinnati Reds	17.5	14.3	-3.2	18.1%	C	ALT_DERISK	research	short	5.5	86	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Market status RESEARCH: Pitcher Outs research-stage -- downgraded to monitor/derisk
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over	Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Dodgers	18.5	21.3	2.8	15.1%	D	MONITOR	research	deep	6.4	104	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 15.1% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.79 <= 3 min
Jacob Misiorowski	Jacob Misiorowski Over	Milwaukee Brewers @ Houston Astros	18.5	21.1	2.6	14.3%	D	MONITOR	research	deep	6.0	104	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 14.3% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.64 <= 3 min
Kyle Bradish	Kyle Bradish Under	Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles	17.5	15.9	-1.6	9.0%	D	MONITOR	research	normal	5.3	94	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.0% vs 10% min
Tanner Bibee	Tanner Bibee Under	Boston Red Sox @ Cleveland Guardians	17.5	16.0	-1.5	8.5%	D	MONITOR	research	normal	5.3	91	season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand	Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.5% vs 10% min

QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.

FULL AUDIT — ALL CANDIDATES

116 candidates evaluated

← Back to Picks

Grade	Signal	Type	Side	Game	Time (ET)	Line	Proj	Odds	Best Book / Line	Edge/Diff	Checks ✓!✗–	Rec
► GOOD ADDS
B	✅ Good Add K final QC: opposing lineup not confirmed	K Prop	Spencer Miles Over	JAY@ORI	12:16 PM	3.5	7.3	-118	DK Over 3.5 -118 \| exact	107.9%	✓✓!✓––	GOOD ADD
B	✅ Good Add K final QC: opposing lineup not confirmed, juiced K over -154	K Prop	Braxton Ashcraft Over	TWI@PIR	1:36 PM	5.5	6.9	-154	FanDuel Over 5.5 -134 \| best price	25.5%	✓✓!✓––	GOOD ADD
B	✅ Good Add Heavy juice (-156) — break-even ~61%, requires clean execution	Run Line	Miami Marlins +1.5	MAR@MET	1:41 PM	1.5	-	-156	LowVig Miami Marlins 1.5 -149 \| best price	+10.0%	–!✓✓–✓	GOOD ADD
► ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check	K Prop	Jordan Wicks Over	CUB@CAR	7:21 PM	3.5	8.0	+108	DK Over 3.5 +108 \| exact	127.2%	✓✓✗✓––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check	K Prop	Spencer Strider Over	BRA@RED	1:41 PM	6.5	8.7	-129	DK Over 6.5 -129 \| exact	34.1%	✓✓✗✓––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees \| books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree	K Prop	Kyle Bradish Under	JAY@ORI	12:16 PM	5.5	4.5	-120	DK Under 5.5 -120 \| exact	19.1%	✓✓✗✓––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.05x)	Pitcher Outs	Braxton Ashcraft Over	TWI@PIR	1:36 PM	17.5	21.1	-161	Bovada Direct Over 17.5 -160 \| best price	20.4%	✓✓!––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Pitcher Outs	Nick Lodolo Under	BRA@RED	1:41 PM	17.5	14.3	-114	DK Under 17.5 -114 \| exact	18.1%	✓✓!––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check	Batter Hits	George Springer Under	JAY@ORI	12:16 PM	1.5	0.8	-254	DK Under 1.5 -254 \| exact	43.5%	✓!✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree	Batter Total Bas	Jordan Walker Over	CUB@CAR	7:21 PM	1.5	2.6	+120	DK Over 1.5 +120 \| exact	72.0%	✓✓✗––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.08x) \| Away pen fatigued (1.08x)	Total	Over 7.5	DIA@MAR	4:11 PM	7.5	-	-107	LowVig Over 7.5 -102 \| best price	+22.2%	–✓–––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	Total	Over 7.5	ROY@RAN	2:36 PM	7.5	-	-114	LowVig Over 7.5 -113 \| best price	+20.5%	–✓––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.07x)	Total	Over 7.5	SOX@GUA	1:41 PM	7.5	-	-102	LowVig Over 7.5 +103 \| best price	+18.5%	–✓–––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) \| Home pen fatigued (1.05x)	Total	Over 8.5	BRA@RED	1:41 PM	8.5	-	-115	LowVig Over 8.5 -113 \| best price	+16.9%	–✓–––!	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	Total	Over 7.5	TIG@SOX	2:11 PM	7.5	-	-119	BetMGM Over 7.5 -118 \| best price	+16.3%	–✓!–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	F5 Total	Over 3.5	ROY@RAN	2:36 PM	3.5	-	-154	FanDuel Over 3.5 -154 \| exact	+9.1%	–✓!–––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 32% (≥20%) — verify model inputs	YRFI	YRFI	DIA@MAR	4:11 PM	-	7.4	-111	DraftKings -111	+32.4%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 31% (≥20%) — verify model inputs	YRFI	YRFI	SOX@GUA	1:41 PM	-	6.8	+112	DraftKings +112	+31.0%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 30% (≥20%) — verify model inputs	YRFI	YRFI	PHI@DOD	4:11 PM	-	8.0	-122	DraftKings -122	+30.0%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 23% (≥20%) — verify model inputs	YRFI	YRFI	PAD@NAT	1:36 PM	-	6.8	-122	DraftKings -122	+23.0%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 23% (≥20%) — verify model inputs	YRFI	YRFI	BRA@RED	1:41 PM	-	6.4	-104	DraftKings -104	+23.0%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	ANG@RAY	1:41 PM	-	6.0	+106	DraftKings +106	+20.0%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	CUB@CAR	7:21 PM	-	6.2	-113	DraftKings -113	+18.4%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	GIA@ROC	3:11 PM	-	6.4	-122	DraftKings -122	+18.3%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	MAR@MET	1:41 PM	-	5.8	+104	DraftKings +104	+18.0%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	TWI@PIR	1:36 PM	-	5.1	+112	DraftKings +112	+11.0%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	TIG@SOX	2:11 PM	-	5.5	-111	DraftKings -111	+11.0%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	ROY@RAN	2:36 PM	-	5.3	+102	DraftKings +102	+11.0%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	BRE@AST	2:11 PM	-	4.4	+112	DraftKings +112	+3.4%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	JAY@ORI	12:16 PM	-	4.1	+104	DraftKings +104	-2.2%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk	YRFI	YRFI	YAN@ATH	4:05 PM	-	4.8	-110	DraftKings -110	-37.9%	––––––	ALT / DERISK
C	↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees \| books against us 33% (9 books) — strongly disagree	Run Line	Cincinnati Reds +1.5	BRA@RED	1:41 PM	1.5	-	-143	LowVig Cincinnati Reds 1.5 -138 \| best price	+11.0%	–!✗✓–✓	ALT / DERISK
► MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 19.2% vs 17% min clears, but raw gap +0.67 <= 1 min	K Prop	Andrew Painter Over	PHI@DOD	4:11 PM	3.5	4.2	+103	FanDuel Over 3.5 +104 \| best price	19.2%	✓✗✗!––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 18.5% vs 17% min clears, but raw gap +0.83 <= 1 min	K Prop	Tatsuya Imai Over	BRE@AST	2:11 PM	4.5	5.3	-162	DK Over 4.5 -162 \| exact	18.5%	✓✗✗!––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 18.1% vs 17% min clears, but raw gap +0.63 <= 1 min	K Prop	Keider Montero Over	TIG@SOX	2:11 PM	3.5	4.1	-141	DK Over 3.5 -141 \| exact	18.1%	✓✗✗✓––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.0% vs 17% min	K Prop	Jack Kochanowicz Over	ANG@RAY	1:41 PM	3.5	4.1	+118	FanDuel Over 3.5 +118 \| best price	17.0%	✓✗✗!––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.4% vs 17% min	K Prop	Tanner Bibee Over	SOX@GUA	1:41 PM	4.5	5.2	-147	FanDuel Over 4.5 -144 \| best price	15.4%	✓✗!✓––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.3% vs 17% min	K Prop	Nick Lodolo Under	BRA@RED	1:41 PM	5.5	4.8	+124	DK Under 5.5 +124 \| exact	12.3%	✓✗✗!––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.2% vs 17% min	K Prop	Jacob Misiorowski Over	BRE@AST	2:11 PM	8.5	9.5	-120	DK Over 8.5 -120 \| exact	12.2%	✓✗✗!––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.6% vs 17% min	K Prop	Sean Burke Under	TIG@SOX	2:11 PM	5.5	5.0	-119	DK Under 5.5 -119 \| exact	9.6%	✓✗✗✓––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.4% vs 17% min	K Prop	Matthew Liberatore Over	CUB@CAR	7:21 PM	4.5	4.9	-114	DK Over 4.5 -114 \| exact	9.4%	✓✗✗✓––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.9% vs 17% min	K Prop	Shane McClanahan Over	ANG@RAY	1:41 PM	6.5	7.1	+110	FanDuel Over 6.5 +130 \| best price	8.9%	✓✗✗✓––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.8% vs 17% min	K Prop	Ranger Suarez Under	SOX@GUA	1:41 PM	4.5	4.1	+113	FanDuel Under 4.5 +120 \| best price	8.8%	✓✗!✓––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.3% vs 17% min	K Prop	Zebby Matthews Over	TWI@PIR	1:36 PM	5.5	5.9	+100	FanDuel Over 5.5 +116 \| best price	7.3%	✓✗✗✓––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.9% vs 17% min	K Prop	Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over	PHI@DOD	4:11 PM	6.5	6.6	+124	DK Over 6.5 +124 \| exact	0.9%	✓✗✗✓––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 15.1% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.79 <= 3 min	Pitcher Outs	Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over	PHI@DOD	4:11 PM	18.5	21.3	+128	Bovada Direct Over 18.5 +130 \| best price	15.1%	✓✗✗––✓	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 14.3% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.64 <= 3 min	Pitcher Outs	Jacob Misiorowski Over	BRE@AST	2:11 PM	18.5	21.1	+128	Bovada Direct Over 18.5 +130 \| best price	14.3%	✓✗✗–––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.0% vs 10% min	Pitcher Outs	Kyle Bradish Under	JAY@ORI	12:16 PM	17.5	15.9	+114	Bovada Direct Under 17.5 +115 \| best price	9.0%	✓✗!––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.5% vs 10% min	Pitcher Outs	Tanner Bibee Under	SOX@GUA	1:41 PM	17.5	16.0	-121	DK Under 17.5 -121 \| exact	8.5%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.7% vs 50% min	Batter Hits	Alex Bregman Under	CUB@CAR	7:21 PM	1.5	1.1	-268	DK Under 1.5 -268 \| exact	26.7%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.2% vs 50% min	Batter Hits	Junior Caminero Under	ANG@RAY	1:41 PM	1.5	1.1	-277	DK Under 1.5 -277 \| exact	26.2%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.4% vs 50% min	Batter Hits	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under	JAY@ORI	12:16 PM	1.5	1.1	-214	DK Under 1.5 -214 \| exact	25.4%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.3% vs 50% min	Batter Hits	Mauricio Dubon Under	BRA@RED	1:41 PM	1.5	1.1	-248	DK Under 1.5 -248 \| exact	24.3%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.0% vs 50% min	Batter Hits	Ronald Acuna Jr. Under	BRA@RED	1:41 PM	1.5	1.1	-253	DK Under 1.5 -253 \| exact	24.0%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.9% vs 50% min	Batter Hits	Nico Hoerner Under	CUB@CAR	7:21 PM	1.5	1.2	-193	DK Under 1.5 -193 \| exact	21.9%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.5% vs 50% min	Batter Hits	Chandler Simpson Under	ANG@RAY	1:41 PM	1.5	1.2	-224	DK Under 1.5 -224 \| exact	19.5%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.1% vs 50% min	Batter Hits	Ozzie Albies Under	BRA@RED	1:41 PM	1.5	1.2	-275	DK Under 1.5 -275 \| exact	19.1%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 63.6% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Matt Olson Over	BRA@RED	1:41 PM	1.5	2.5	+107	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +110 \| best price	63.6%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 57.0% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Yandy Diaz Over	ANG@RAY	1:41 PM	1.5	2.4	+128	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 \| best price	57.0%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 41.5% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Byron Buxton Over	TWI@PIR	1:36 PM	1.5	2.1	+119	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +120 \| best price	41.5%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.7% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Junior Caminero Over	ANG@RAY	1:41 PM	1.5	2.0	+111	DK Over 1.5 +111 \| exact	36.7%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.0% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Ian Happ Over	CUB@CAR	7:21 PM	1.5	2.0	+129	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 \| best price	36.0%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.6% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Michael Harris II Over	BRA@RED	1:41 PM	1.5	2.0	+135	DK Over 1.5 +135 \| exact	35.6%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.9% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Austin Martin Under	TWI@PIR	1:36 PM	1.5	1.0	-210	DK Under 1.5 -210 \| exact	33.9%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 33.0% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Ronald Acuna Jr. Over	BRA@RED	1:41 PM	1.5	2.0	-101	DK Over 1.5 -101 \| exact	33.0%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.9% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Ivan Herrera Over	CUB@CAR	7:21 PM	1.5	1.9	+111	DK Over 1.5 +111 \| exact	29.9%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.0% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Alec Burleson Over	CUB@CAR	7:21 PM	1.5	1.9	+137	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 \| best price	29.0%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.0% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Ozzie Albies Over	BRA@RED	1:41 PM	1.5	1.9	+111	DK Over 1.5 +111 \| exact	27.0%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.8% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Jonathan Aranda Over	ANG@RAY	1:41 PM	1.5	1.9	+114	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +115 \| best price	26.8%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 26.2% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Nick Gonzales Under	TWI@PIR	1:36 PM	1.5	1.1	-166	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -165 \| best price	26.2%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.2% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Willson Contreras Over	SOX@GUA	1:41 PM	1.5	1.9	+132	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 \| best price	24.2%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.1% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Dansby Swanson Under	CUB@CAR	7:21 PM	1.5	1.2	-192	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -190 \| best price	22.1%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.6% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Brooks Lee Under	TWI@PIR	1:36 PM	1.5	1.2	-176	DK Under 1.5 -176 \| exact	21.6%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.9% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Brandon Lowe Over	TWI@PIR	1:36 PM	1.5	1.8	+132	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 \| best price	17.9%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.4% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	JJ Wetherholt Over	CUB@CAR	7:21 PM	1.5	1.8	+121	DK Over 1.5 +121 \| exact	17.4%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.0% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Spencer Horwitz Under	TWI@PIR	1:36 PM	1.5	1.2	-148	DK Under 1.5 -148 \| exact	17.0%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.4% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Bryan Reynolds Under	TWI@PIR	1:36 PM	1.5	1.2	-151	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -150 \| best price	16.4%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.3% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Mauricio Dubon Over	BRA@RED	1:41 PM	1.5	1.7	+110	DK Over 1.5 +110 \| exact	15.3%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.6% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Wilyer Abreu Over	SOX@GUA	1:41 PM	1.5	1.7	+129	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 \| best price	14.6%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.7% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Ernie Clement Over	JAY@ORI	12:16 PM	1.5	1.7	+147	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +150 \| best price	12.7%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.4% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Jose Ramirez Under	SOX@GUA	1:41 PM	1.5	1.3	-176	DK Under 1.5 -176 \| exact	11.4%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.9% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Jarren Duran Over	SOX@GUA	1:41 PM	1.5	1.7	+129	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 \| best price	10.9%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.8% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Nico Hoerner Over	CUB@CAR	7:21 PM	1.5	1.7	-106	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -105 \| best price	10.8%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Gunnar Henderson Over	JAY@ORI	12:16 PM	1.5	1.6	+127	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 \| best price	8.0%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.3% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Daulton Varsho Under	JAY@ORI	12:16 PM	1.5	1.4	-201	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -200 \| best price	7.3%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.5% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under	JAY@ORI	12:16 PM	1.5	1.4	-140	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -135 \| best price	6.5%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.3% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Chandler Simpson Under	ANG@RAY	1:41 PM	1.5	1.4	-149	DK Under 1.5 -149 \| exact	5.3%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.3% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Jake Mangum Over	TWI@PIR	1:36 PM	1.5	1.6	+137	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 \| best price	4.3%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.9% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Seiya Suzuki Over	CUB@CAR	7:21 PM	1.5	1.6	+125	DK Over 1.5 +125 \| exact	3.9%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.7% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Carson Kelly Over	CUB@CAR	7:21 PM	1.5	1.6	+131	DK Over 1.5 +131 \| exact	3.7%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.5% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Pete Alonso Under	JAY@ORI	12:16 PM	1.5	1.4	-182	DK Under 1.5 -182 \| exact	3.5%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.3% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Kazuma Okamoto Under	JAY@ORI	12:16 PM	1.5	1.4	-201	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -200 \| best price	3.3%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.2% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Chase DeLauter Under	SOX@GUA	1:41 PM	1.5	1.4	-200	DK Under 1.5 -200 \| exact	3.2%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.9% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Austin Riley Under	BRA@RED	1:41 PM	1.5	1.5	-182	Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -180 \| best price	2.9%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.9% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	George Springer Over	JAY@ORI	12:16 PM	1.5	1.5	+115	DK Over 1.5 +115 \| exact	1.9%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.9% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Samuel Basallo Over	JAY@ORI	12:16 PM	1.5	1.5	+134	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 \| best price	1.9%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.9% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Adley Rutschman Over	JAY@ORI	12:16 PM	1.5	1.5	+136	DK Over 1.5 +136 \| exact	1.9%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.9% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Nathan Lukes Over	JAY@ORI	12:16 PM	1.5	1.5	+157	DK Over 1.5 +157 \| exact	1.9%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.4% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Alex Bregman Over	CUB@CAR	7:21 PM	1.5	1.5	+110	DK Over 1.5 +110 \| exact	1.4%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.5% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Masataka Yoshida Over	SOX@GUA	1:41 PM	1.5	1.5	+152	DK Over 1.5 +152 \| exact	0.5%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 70% min	Batter Total Bas	Ceddanne Rafaela Over	SOX@GUA	1:41 PM	1.5	1.5	+141	Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +145 \| best price	0.0%	✓✗✗––!	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 5.9 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	JAY@ORI	12:16 PM	-	5.9	-132	DraftKings -132	+11.3%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 4.9 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	TWI@PIR	1:36 PM	-	4.9	-142	DraftKings -142	-1.9%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 4.7 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	ROY@RAN	2:36 PM	-	4.7	-130	DraftKings -130	-2.0%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 4.5 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	TIG@SOX	2:11 PM	-	4.5	-115	DraftKings -115	-2.1%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 4.9 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	BRE@AST	2:11 PM	-	4.9	-142	DraftKings -142	-2.3%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 4.2 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	MAR@MET	1:41 PM	-	4.2	-132	DraftKings -132	-8.9%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 3.6 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	GIA@ROC	3:11 PM	-	3.6	-104	DraftKings -104	-9.2%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 4.0 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	ANG@RAY	1:41 PM	-	4.0	-136	DraftKings -136	-11.2%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 3.6 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	BRA@RED	1:41 PM	-	3.6	-122	DraftKings -122	-13.9%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 3.1 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	CUB@CAR	7:21 PM	-	3.1	-113	DraftKings -113	-17.5%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 2.5 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	PAD@NAT	1:36 PM	-	2.5	-104	DraftKings -104	-21.0%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 2.0 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	PHI@DOD	4:11 PM	-	2.0	-104	DraftKings -104	-21.0%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 3.2 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	SOX@GUA	1:41 PM	-	3.2	-142	DraftKings -142	-21.9%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 2.6 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	DIA@MAR	4:11 PM	-	2.6	-115	DraftKings -115	-23.5%	–✗––––	MONITOR
D	◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 4.5 below 7.7 threshold	NRFI	NRFI	YAN@ATH	4:05 PM	-	4.5	-110	DraftKings -110	-41.3%	–✗––––	MONITOR

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