| Market | Trust | Season N | Season WR | Season P&L | 14d N | 14d WR | 14d P&L | Grade A N | Grade A WR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | 204 | 55% | -8.12u | 31 | 52% | -3.50u | 108 | 58% |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | 135 | 60% | +10.27u | 43 | 51% | -2.41u | 1 | 100% |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | 101 | 52% | -4.26u | 33 | 39% | -11.23u | 36 | 64% |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | 28 | 48% | +4.54u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | 23 | 48% | -2.10u | 9 | 33% | -3.11u | 0 | - |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | 16 | 81% | +2.20u | 3 | 67% | -0.26u | 0 | - |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | 15 | 67% | +2.76u | 15 | 67% | +2.76u | 0 | - |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | 14 | 64% | +1.00u | 14 | 64% | +1.00u | 0 | - |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | 10 | 70% | +2.43u | 10 | 70% | +2.43u | 0 | - |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | 9 | 22% | -5.18u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | 6 | 50% | +2.85u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | 3 | 33% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | 2 | 100% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 75 | 41% | -13.74u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 1 | 0% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 42 | 38% | -9.29u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 1 | 100% |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 407 | 49% | -57.64u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 55 | 45% |
Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from configured market status plus settled tracker performance.
| Market | Current Stage | Next Stage | Progress | Promotion Blockers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 2/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 3/4 | 14d P&L non-negative |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 2/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 0/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 3/5 | season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 3/5 | season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 3/5 | season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 1/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; 14d WR >= 52% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 0/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 🔬 Research | 2/5 | diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative; 14d sample >= 10 |
Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.
| Pitcher | Game | Overall | Whiff | Contact | Arsenal | Top Pitch | Notes / Data Gaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Tolle | Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves | 70.5 | 58.0 | 89.0 | 5 | Curveball (47% whiff, 11% usage) | Savant whiff 25.2%, put-away 23.9%, xwOBA 0.237, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Paul Skenes | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs | 66.2 | 53.4 | 83.5 | 6 | Changeup (34% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 23.9%, put-away 21.8%, xwOBA 0.248, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Chris Sale | Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox | 63.1 | 63.7 | 68.0 | 4 | Slider (39% whiff, 41% usage) | Savant whiff 29.7%, put-away 20.7%, xwOBA 0.279, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Davis Martin | Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins | 57.7 | 63.3 | 57.5 | 6 | Slider (54% whiff, 16% usage) | Savant whiff 28.4%, put-away 22.7%, xwOBA 0.300, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros | 57.6 | 71.3 | 47.5 | 6 | Curveball (38% whiff, 20% usage) | Savant whiff 32.0%, put-away 23.7%, xwOBA 0.320, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers | 46.7 | 62.0 | 36.0 | 6 | Curveball (48% whiff, 32% usage) | Savant whiff 28.5%, put-away 21.3%, xwOBA 0.343, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Jack Flaherty | Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels | 42.3 | 49.5 | 32.0 | 5 | Curveball (38% whiff, 20% usage) | Savant whiff 24.2%, put-away 17.3%, xwOBA 0.351, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Chris Bassitt | Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays | 40.5 | 43.6 | 35.0 | 7 | Curveball (32% whiff, 25% usage) | Savant whiff 22.4%, put-away 15.1%, xwOBA 0.345, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Colin Rea | Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates | 36.1 | 41.6 | 30.0 | 7 | Slider (38% whiff, 12% usage) | Savant whiff 22.0%, put-away 13.9%, xwOBA 0.355, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Patrick Corbin | Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles | 35.9 | 40.1 | 27.0 | 5 | Slider (40% whiff, 25% usage) | Savant whiff 21.0%, put-away 14.3%, xwOBA 0.361, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Simeon Woods Richardson | Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox | 28.3 | 29.1 | 19.0 | 4 | Split-Finger (20% whiff, 27% usage) | Savant whiff 17.3%, put-away 10.7%, xwOBA 0.377, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Los Angeles Angels vs Detroit Tigers | 22.9 | 44.3 | 0.0 | 4 | Slider (35% whiff, 22% usage) | Savant whiff 19.8%, put-away 20.9%, xwOBA 0.429, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.
| Pitcher | Team | Hand | Season K% | Recent IP | Season IP | K IP | Pitch Ct | Leash | Savant | Contact | HR Vuln | Quality | Flags / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale | Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox | L | 29.5% | 6.0 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 101 | deep | full | 68.00 | 32.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Chris Bassitt | Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays | R | 19.3% | 5.1 | 5.9 | 5.7 | 86 | short | full | 35.00 | 65.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.1 IP/start, low-K contact opponent 19.4% |
| Payton Tolle | Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves | L | 25.3% | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 101 | deep | full | 89.00 | 11.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Colin Rea | Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates | R | 19.0% | 5.1 | 6.8 | 6.3 | 86 | short | full | 30.00 | 70.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.1 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.7% |
| Davis Martin | Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins | R | 28.2% | 6.0 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 101 | deep | full | 57.50 | 42.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Jack Flaherty | Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels | R | 25.7% | 4.5 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 76 | short | full | 32.00 | 68.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.5 IP/start |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers | R | 22.4% | 5.9 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 99 | normal | full | 36.00 | 64.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.6% |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Los Angeles Angels vs Detroit Tigers | R | - | 4.5 | - | 5.5 | 76 | short | full | 0.00 | 100.00 | fallback+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.5 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.1%, season_pitcher_stats_missing |
| Simeon Woods Richardson | Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox | R | - | 2.5 | - | 5.1 | 42 | short | full | 19.00 | 81.00 | fallback+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 2.5 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.0%, season_pitcher_stats_missing |
| Paul Skenes | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs | R | 27.4% | 6.2 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 104 | deep | full | 83.50 | 16.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 11.6% |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros | R | 23.6% | 7.0 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 117 | deep | full | 47.50 | 52.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Patrick Corbin | Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles | L | 17.6% | 4.9 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 82 | short | full | 27.00 | 73.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.9 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.1% |
Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.
| Pitcher | Side | Game | Line | Proj | Gap | Edge / DIFF% | Grade | Rec | Status | Leash | K IP | Pitch Ct | Quality | Gate Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Eovaldi | Nathan Eovaldi Over | Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers | 18.5 | 20.7 | 2.2 | 12.1% | D | MONITOR | research | deep | 6.3 | 117 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 12.1% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.24 <= 3 min |
| Paul Skenes | Paul Skenes Under | Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | 18.5 | 18.4 | -0.1 | 0.7% | D | MONITOR | research | deep | 6.0 | 104 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.7% vs 10% min |
QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.
| Player | Game | Research Side | Component Proj | H | R | RBI | Current | Uncertainty | Support | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 2.52 | 1.22 | 0.68 | 0.61 | 3.01 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=56,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 2.37 | 1.17 | 0.75 | 0.45 | 2.22 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=54,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Oneil Cruz | Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 2.31 | 1.10 | 0.62 | 0.59 | 2.64 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=54,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Gunnar Henderson | Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 2.30 | 1.05 | 0.68 | 0.57 | 2.04 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=55,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Brandon Lowe | Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 2.30 | 1.06 | 0.58 | 0.65 | 2.66 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=50,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Pete Alonso | Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 2.27 | 0.93 | 0.60 | 0.74 | 2.32 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=56,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Taylor Ward | Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 2.12 | 1.03 | 0.76 | 0.32 | 2.05 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=55,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Josh Jung | Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 2.05 | 1.20 | 0.42 | 0.42 | 2.42 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=50,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 2.05 | 1.06 | 0.48 | 0.51 | 1.74 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=55,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Bryan Reynolds | Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 2.04 | 0.97 | 0.52 | 0.55 | 2.41 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=56,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Adley Rutschman | Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 2.01 | 1.08 | 0.43 | 0.50 | 1.77 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Kazuma Okamoto | Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 1.98 | 0.82 | 0.51 | 0.65 | 1.82 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=54,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Nick Gonzales | Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 1.93 | 1.13 | 0.41 | 0.40 | 2.32 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=50,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Ian Happ | Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 1.93 | 0.78 | 0.65 | 0.50 | 1.68 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=52,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Brandon Nimmo | Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.90 | 1.12 | 0.41 | 0.37 | 2.12 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=53,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Konnor Griffin | Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 1.89 | 0.98 | 0.52 | 0.39 | 2.17 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=49,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| George Springer | Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 1.89 | 1.03 | 0.46 | 0.40 | 1.64 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Daulton Varsho | Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 1.88 | 0.99 | 0.51 | 0.37 | 1.86 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=53,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Coby Mayo | Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 1.88 | 1.01 | 0.40 | 0.47 | 1.73 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Nathan Lukes | Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 1.85 | 1.01 | 0.45 | 0.39 | 1.64 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 1.84 | 0.85 | 0.41 | 0.58 | 1.60 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=55,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 1.82 | 0.85 | 0.58 | 0.38 | 1.51 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=56,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Jesus Sanchez | Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 1.80 | 1.04 | 0.39 | 0.37 | 1.88 / Over | 0.64 | exact_hrr_l10,lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Jake Burger | Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.78 | 0.89 | 0.38 | 0.51 | 2.36 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=53,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, component_projection_diverges_from_current_model |
| Ernie Clement | Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 1.77 | 1.11 | 0.37 | 0.29 | 1.94 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=55,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 1.76 | 1.05 | 0.42 | 0.29 | 1.58 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=55,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Jeremy Pena | Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.03 | 0.40 | 0.33 | 1.66 / Over | 0.64 | lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Joc Pederson | Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.74 | 1.03 | 0.39 | 0.32 | 1.64 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Spencer Horwitz | Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 1.71 | 0.90 | 0.36 | 0.44 | 1.97 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=51,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed |
| Alejandro Osuna | Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.71 | 1.01 | 0.38 | 0.31 | 1.64 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Isaac Paredes | Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers | Over 1.5 | 1.68 | 0.92 | 0.35 | 0.41 | 1.68 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=51,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Leody Taveras | Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles | Over 1.5 | 1.67 | 0.97 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 1.70 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Over 1.5 | 1.57 | 0.81 | 0.45 | 0.31 | 1.53 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=42,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Esmerlyn Valdez | Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Under 1.5 | 1.48 | 0.87 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 1.56 / Over | 0.74 | minimal | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, lineup_not_confirmed, missing_pitcher_assessment, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Jackson Holliday | Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles | Under 1.5 | 1.44 | 0.88 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 1.62 / Over | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Braden Shewmake | Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers | Under 1.5 | 1.44 | 0.89 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 1.60 / Over | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Blaze Alexander | Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles | Under 1.5 | 1.41 | 0.85 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 1.62 / Over | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Marcell Ozuna | Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Under 1.5 | 1.39 | 0.71 | 0.27 | 0.41 | 1.59 / Over | 0.40 | season_games=46,exact_hrr_l10,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, lineup_not_confirmed, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Brandon Valenzuela | Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles | Under 1.5 | 1.29 | 0.79 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 1.50 / Over | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Andres Gimenez | Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles | Under 1.5 | 1.26 | 0.76 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 1.45 / Under | 0.64 | exact_hrr_l10,lineup | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, missing_pitcher_assessment |
| Cam Smith | Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers | Under 1.5 | 1.14 | 0.64 | 0.29 | 0.21 | 1.29 / Under | 0.30 | season_games=56,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
Diagnostics only. HRR remains paused; these component projections are not used for recommendations.
| Grade | Signal | Type | Side | Game | Time (ET) | Line | Proj | Odds | Best Book / Line | Edge/Diff | Checks ✓!✗– | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ► GOOD ADDS | ||||||||||||
| B | 👀 Watch Heavy juice (-163) — break-even ~62%, requires clean execution | Pitcher Earned R | Nathan Eovaldi Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -163 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -160 | best price | 26.7% | ✓✓!––✓ | GOOD ADD |
| B | 👀 Watch Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Away pen fatigued (1.05x) | Batter Walks | Taylor Ward Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.8 | -126 | DK Over 0.5 -126 | exact | 67.9% | ✓✓!–✓! | GOOD ADD |
| ► ALT / DERISK | ||||||||||||
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk K final QC: full-lineup opp K% 18.2%, juiced K over -154, expected IP 5.7 below A-grade leash | K Prop | Chris Bassitt Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 3.5 | 4.5 | -154 | DK Over 3.5 -154 | exact | 29.9% | ✓✓✓✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (5 books) — strongly disagree | K Prop | Nathan Eovaldi Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 6.5 | 7.8 | +107 | theScore Bet Over 4.5 +125 | alt rescue | 19.8% | ✓✓✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home pen fatigued (1.05x) | Away pen fatigued (1.05x) | Pitcher Walks | Patrick Corbin Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -196 | DK Over 1.5 -196 | exact | 19.7% | ✓!!––! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Pitcher Walks | Spencer Arrighetti Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 2.5 | 2.9 | +100 | DK Over 2.5 +100 | exact | 14.4% | ✓!✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Pitcher Earned R | Spencer Arrighetti Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 2.5 | 2.1 | -153 | DK Under 2.5 -153 | exact | 16.0% | ✓!✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Batter Walks | Andres Gimenez Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -466 | DK Under 0.5 -466 | exact | 77.3% | ✓✓✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Batter Walks | Ernie Clement Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -383 | DK Under 0.5 -383 | exact | 70.8% | ✓✓✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Jesus Sanchez Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -298 | DK Under 0.5 -298 | exact | 70.1% | ✓✓✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Batter Walks | Ezequiel Duran Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -376 | DK Under 0.5 -376 | exact | 53.4% | ✓✓✗–✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Pete Crow-Armstrong Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -317 | DK Under 0.5 -317 | exact | 52.2% | ✓✓✗✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Gunnar Henderson Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -281 | DK Under 0.5 -281 | exact | 50.2% | ✓!✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Taylor Trammell Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -286 | DK Under 0.5 -286 | exact | 50.1% | ✓!✗–✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Jeremy Pena Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -516 | DK Under 0.5 -516 | exact | 50.1% | ✓!✗–✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Batter Walks | Brice Matthews Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -325 | DK Under 0.5 -325 | exact | 50.1% | ✓!✗–!✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Batter Walks | Zach Dezenzo Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -352 | DK Under 0.5 -352 | exact | 50.1% | ✓!✗–!✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Batter Walks | Braden Shewmake Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -472 | DK Under 0.5 -472 | exact | 50.1% | ✓!✗–✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Batter Walks | Christian Vazquez Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -480 | DK Under 0.5 -480 | exact | 50.1% | ✓!✗–!✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Konnor Griffin Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -495 | DK Under 0.5 -495 | exact | 48.5% | ✓!✗✓–✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Isaac Paredes Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -243 | DK Under 0.5 -243 | exact | 46.6% | ✓!✗–✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Batter Walks | Nick Gonzales Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -435 | DK Under 0.5 -435 | exact | 46.1% | ✓!✗✓–✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Brandon Valenzuela Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -291 | DK Under 0.5 -291 | exact | 41.7% | ✓!✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Nathan Lukes Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -441 | DK Under 0.5 -441 | exact | 41.7% | ✓!✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | George Springer Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -183 | DK Under 0.5 -183 | exact | 41.7% | ✓!✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Moisés Ballesteros Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -397 | DK Under 0.5 -397 | exact | 37.6% | ✓!✗✓!✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Miguel Amaya Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -423 | DK Under 0.5 -423 | exact | 37.6% | ✓!✗✓!✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: No usable Over/Under book pairs for consensus check | Batter Walks | Jake Burger Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -368 | DK Under 0.5 -368 | exact | 36.2% | ✓!✗–✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Cam Smith Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -304 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -300 | best price | 35.3% | ✓!✗–!✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Oneil Cruz Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -179 | DK Under 0.5 -179 | exact | 34.0% | ✓!✗✓–✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Nico Hoerner Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -415 | DK Under 0.5 -415 | exact | 33.3% | ✓!✗✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Seiya Suzuki Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -235 | DK Under 0.5 -235 | exact | 32.8% | ✓!✗✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Blaze Alexander Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -372 | DK Under 0.5 -372 | exact | 32.4% | ✓!✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Leody Taveras Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -310 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -290 | best price | 32.4% | ✓!✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Coby Mayo Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -278 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -260 | best price | 32.4% | ✓!✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Jackson Holliday Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -256 | DK Under 0.5 -256 | exact | 32.4% | ✓!✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Tyler O'Neill Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -339 | DK Under 0.5 -339 | exact | 32.4% | ✓!✗–!! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Adley Rutschman Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -219 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -215 | best price | 32.4% | ✓!✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Alex Bregman Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -270 | DK Under 0.5 -270 | exact | 31.8% | ✓!✗✓✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Walks | Daulton Varsho Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -206 | DK Under 0.5 -206 | exact | 28.0% | ✓!✗–✓! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk HRR over-rate: L10 40% (30-49%) — A capped at B | Batter H+R+RBI | Yordan Alvarez Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 3.0 | -137 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -125 | best price | 100.9% | ✓✓✓–✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Matchup: [!] Weather: -7% run env ✗ Over | Batter H+R+RBI | Brandon Lowe Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.7 | -139 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -135 | best price | 77.6% | ✓✓✓!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Matchup: [!] Weather: -7% run env ✗ Over | Batter H+R+RBI | Oneil Cruz Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.6 | -106 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 76.3% | ✓✓!!–! | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Baby Line: Projected PA (4.6) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Yordan Alvarez Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 2.8 | -106 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 87.5% | !✓✗–✓✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Totals model under recalibration — capped at B | Total | Over 7.0 | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 7.0 | - | -123 | MyBookie Over 7 -120 | best price | +26.9% | –✓!––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Totals model under recalibration — capped at B | F5 Total | Over 3.5 | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 3.5 | - | -128 | BetUS Over 3.5 -120 | best price | +18.0% | –✓–––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (8 books) — strongly disagree | F5 ML | Chicago Cubs | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | - | - | +175 | draftkings +175 | +9.4% | –✓✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 34% (≥20%) — verify model inputs | YRFI | YRFI | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | - | 8.1 | -104 | DraftKings -104 | +34.0% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 27% (≥20%) — verify model inputs | YRFI | YRFI | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | - | 6.3 | +120 | DraftKings +120 | +27.2% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | - | 5.0 | +112 | DraftKings +112 | +10.1% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| ► MONITOR | ||||||||||||
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 17.1% vs 17% min clears, but raw gap +0.60 <= 1 min | K Prop | Patrick Corbin Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 3.5 | 4.1 | -166 | BetRivers Over 3.5 -165 | best price | 17.1% | ✓✗✓✓–– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.2% vs 17% min | K Prop | Colin Rea Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 4.5 | 5.2 | +105 | FanDuel Over 4.5 +110 | best price | 16.2% | ✓✗✗!–! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.2% vs 17% min | K Prop | Spencer Arrighetti Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 5.5 | 6.1 | +115 | BetMGM Over 4.5 -160 | alt rescue | 10.2% | ✓✗✗✓–– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 17% min | K Prop | Paul Skenes Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 6.5 | 6.7 | -105 | FanDuel Over 6.5 +100 | best price | 3.6% | ✓✗✗!–! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 12.1% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.24 <= 3 min | Pitcher Outs | Nathan Eovaldi Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 18.5 | 20.7 | -105 | DK Over 18.5 -105 | exact | 12.1% | ✓✗✗––✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.7% vs 10% min | Pitcher Outs | Paul Skenes Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 18.5 | 18.4 | -182 | Bovada Direct Under 18.5 -180 | best price | 0.7% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 15% min | Pitcher Hits All | Patrick Corbin Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 5.5 | 5.7 | +121 | BetMGM Over 4.5 -150 | alt rescue | 3.6% | ✓✗✗––! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.8% vs 15% min | Pitcher Hits All | Chris Bassitt Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 5.5 | 5.6 | +104 | BetMGM Over 5.5 +110 | best price | 1.8% | ✓✗✗––! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 15% min | Pitcher Hits All | Colin Rea Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 5.5 | 5.5 | -101 | DK Under 5.5 -101 | exact | - | ✓✗!✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.5% vs 20% min | Pitcher Walks | Colin Rea Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -151 | DK Over 1.5 -151 | exact | 11.5% | ✓✗!!–! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.1% vs 20% min | Pitcher Walks | Paul Skenes Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -132 | DK Under 1.5 -132 | exact | 11.1% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.0% vs 20% min | Pitcher Walks | Nathan Eovaldi Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -113 | DK Under 1.5 -113 | exact | 9.0% | ✓✗✗––✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.2% vs 20% min | Pitcher Walks | Chris Bassitt Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -129 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -115 | best price | 7.2% | ✓✗✗––! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.0% vs 20% min | Pitcher Earned R | Chris Bassitt Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 2.5 | 2.7 | +108 | BetMGM Over 2.5 +120 | best price | 8.0% | ✓✗✗––! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.7% vs 20% min | Pitcher Earned R | Paul Skenes Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +122 | DK Over 1.5 +122 | exact | 6.7% | ✓✗✗!–! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 20% min | Pitcher Earned R | Colin Rea Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 2.5 | 2.6 | -110 | DK Over 2.5 -110 | exact | 4.0% | ✓✗✗!–! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.0% vs 20% min | Pitcher Earned R | Patrick Corbin Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 2.5 | 2.5 | -115 | DK Under 2.5 -115 | exact | - | ✓✗✗––! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.0% vs 50% min | Batter Hits | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -249 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 +220 | best price | 27.0% | ✓✗!–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.2% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Evan Carter Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.6 | +111 | DK Over 0.5 +111 | exact | 25.2% | ✓✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.7% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Ian Happ Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.6 | +155 | DK Over 0.5 +155 | exact | 22.7% | ✓✗✗!✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 22.0% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Josh Jung Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -336 | DK Under 0.5 -336 | exact | 22.0% | ✓✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.8% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Spencer Horwitz Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -193 | DK Under 0.5 -193 | exact | 21.8% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.9% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Henry Davis Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -439 | DK Under 0.5 -439 | exact | 19.9% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.9% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Esmerlyn Valdez Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -252 | DK Under 0.5 -252 | exact | 19.9% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.2% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Michael Busch Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.6 | +137 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 +145 | best price | 19.2% | ✓✗✗!✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.8% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Marcell Ozuna Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -216 | DK Under 0.5 -216 | exact | 18.8% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.2% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Kazuma Okamoto Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -241 | DK Under 0.5 -241 | exact | 18.2% | ✓✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.4% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Dansby Swanson Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -313 | DK Under 0.5 -313 | exact | 15.4% | ✓✗✗✓!✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.9% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Yordan Alvarez Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.6 | +104 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 +105 | best price | 10.9% | ✓✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.8% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Brandon Lowe Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -179 | DK Under 0.5 -179 | exact | 9.8% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.9% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Brandon Nimmo Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | +104 | DK Over 0.5 +104 | exact | 7.9% | ✓✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.8% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | +132 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 +140 | best price | 7.8% | ✓✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.4% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Alejandro Osuna Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -233 | DK Under 0.5 -233 | exact | 6.4% | ✓✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.4% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Joc Pederson Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -163 | DK Under 0.5 -163 | exact | 6.4% | ✓✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.4% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Kyle Higashioka Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -322 | DK Under 0.5 -322 | exact | 6.4% | ✓✗✗–!✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.7% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Pete Alonso Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -199 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -185 | best price | 4.7% | ✓✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.4% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Bryan Reynolds Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.5 | -204 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -200 | best price | 1.4% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 61.4% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.92 <= 1 min | Batter H+R+RBI | Josh Jung Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | -102 | DK Over 1.5 -102 | exact | 61.4% | ✓✗!–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 60.5% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.91 <= 1 min | Batter H+R+RBI | Bryan Reynolds Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | -119 | DK Over 1.5 -119 | exact | 60.5% | ✓✗✓!–! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 57.3% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.86 <= 1 min | Batter H+R+RBI | Jake Burger Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | +118 | DK Over 1.5 +118 | exact | 57.3% | ✓✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 54.9% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.82 <= 1 min | Batter H+R+RBI | Pete Alonso Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | -133 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 | best price | 54.9% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 54.4% vs 50% min clears, but raw gap +0.82 <= 1 min | Batter H+R+RBI | Nick Gonzales Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.3 | -124 | DK Over 1.5 -124 | exact | 54.4% | ✓✗✓!–! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 48.3% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | -140 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -135 | best price | 48.3% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 44.5% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Konnor Griffin Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | +103 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 44.5% | ✓✗✗!–! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 41.4% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Brandon Nimmo Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 2.1 | +102 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 41.4% | ✓✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.5% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Taylor Ward Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -133 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -130 | best price | 36.5% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.3% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Gunnar Henderson Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -120 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -120 | best price | 36.3% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 31.4% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Spencer Horwitz Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | -125 | DK Over 1.5 -125 | exact | 31.4% | ✓✗✓!–! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Baby Line: Batting 7 — limited PA opportunity for an Over | Batter H+R+RBI | Ernie Clement Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -106 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +100 | best price | 29.1% | !✗✗–!! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.2% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Jesus Sanchez Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -102 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 25.2% | ✓✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 24.3% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Daulton Varsho Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | -118 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 24.3% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 21.5% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Kazuma Okamoto Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -103 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 21.5% | ✓✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 17.9% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Adley Rutschman Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | -123 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -120 | best price | 17.9% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.3% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Nico Hoerner Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -109 | DK Over 1.5 -109 | exact | 16.3% | ✓✗✗!✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.6% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Coby Mayo Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +103 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 15.6% | ✓✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.1% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Cam Smith Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -178 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -165 | best price | 14.1% | ✓✗✗–!✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.4% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Leody Taveras Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +104 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 13.4% | ✓✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.1% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Isaac Paredes Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +116 | DK Over 1.5 +116 | exact | 12.1% | ✓✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.9% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Ian Happ Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +123 | BetMGM Over 0.5 -165 | alt rescue | 11.9% | ✓✗✗!✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.8% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Jeremy Pena Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | -108 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 10.8% | ✓✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.6% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Nathan Lukes Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -108 | DK Over 1.5 -108 | exact | 9.6% | ✓✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.6% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | George Springer Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | -125 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -120 | best price | 9.6% | ✓✗✓–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.5% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Joc Pederson Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +129 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 9.5% | ✓✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.5% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Alejandro Osuna Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +132 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 9.5% | ✓✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Baby Line: Batting 8 — limited PA opportunity for an Over | Batter H+R+RBI | Jackson Holliday Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +112 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 7.7% | !✗✗–!! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Baby Line: Batting 9 — limited PA opportunity for an Over | Batter H+R+RBI | Blaze Alexander Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +130 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 7.7% | !✗✗–!! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.6% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Braden Shewmake Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +138 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 -165 | alt rescue | 6.6% | ✓✗!–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.3% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Michael Busch Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +116 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 6.3% | ✓✗✗!✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.3% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Marcell Ozuna Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +115 | DK Over 1.5 +115 | exact | 6.3% | ✓✗✗!–! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.1% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Alex Bregman Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +109 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 5.1% | ✓✗✗!✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Esmerlyn Valdez Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +131 | DK Over 1.5 +131 | exact | 4.0% | ✓✗✗!–! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.6% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Andres Gimenez Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -143 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -140 | best price | 3.6% | ✓✗✗–!! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.1% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Seiya Suzuki Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +131 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 2.1% | ✓✗✗!✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.9% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Pete Crow-Armstrong Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +110 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 0.9% | ✓✗✗!✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Baby Line: Batting 9 — limited PA opportunity for an Over | Batter H+R+RBI | Brandon Valenzuela Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +132 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 0.1% | !✗✗–!! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 59.0% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Brandon Lowe Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | +104 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +110 | best price | 59.0% | ✓✗✗!–! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Baby Line: Projected PA (4.6) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Gunnar Henderson Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +137 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 20.9% | !✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Baby Line: Projected PA (4.4) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Pete Alonso Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +112 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 20.8% | !✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.1% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Nico Hoerner Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -186 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -185 | best price | 19.1% | ✓✗✓✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Baby Line: Batting 7 — limited PA opportunity for an Over | Projected PA (4.1) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Ernie Clement Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +147 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +155 | best price | 18.8% | !✗✗–!! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Baby Line: Projected PA (4.5) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Adley Rutschman Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +130 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 14.8% | !✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.4% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -149 | DK Under 1.5 -149 | exact | 8.4% | ✓✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Baby Line: Projected PA (4.7) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Jeremy Pena Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +143 | DK Over 1.5 +143 | exact | 7.9% | !✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.4% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Taylor Ward Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -166 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -165 | best price | 7.4% | ✓✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.0% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Bryan Reynolds Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +129 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 7.0% | ✓✗✗!–! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Baby Line: Projected PA (4.7) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | George Springer Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +124 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 6.7% | !✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Baby Line: Projected PA (4.6) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Nathan Lukes Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +139 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 6.7% | !✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.4% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Spencer Horwitz Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +139 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 4.4% | ✓✗✗!–! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Baby Line: Projected PA (4.4) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Daulton Varsho Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +128 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 4.1% | !✗!–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.5% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Nick Gonzales Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -176 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -175 | best price | 1.5% | ✓✗✗✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 5.0 below 7.7 threshold | NRFI | NRFI | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | - | 5.0 | -142 | DraftKings -142 | -0.9% | –✗–––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 3.7 below 7.7 threshold | NRFI | NRFI | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | - | 3.7 | -154 | DraftKings -154 | -18.3% | –✗–––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 1.9 below 7.7 threshold | NRFI | NRFI | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | - | 1.9 | -122 | DraftKings -122 | -25.0% | –✗–––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Moisés Ballesteros Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 94.4% | –✗✗✓!✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Miguel Amaya Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 94.4% | –✗✗✓!✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Henry Davis Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | George Springer Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Brandon Valenzuela Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗–!! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Nathan Lukes Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Kyle Higashioka Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗–!✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Joc Pederson Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Alejandro Osuna Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Christian Vazquez Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -4000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 | best price | 93.2% | –✗✗–!✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Taylor Trammell Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 93.2% | –✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Braden Shewmake Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.2% | –✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Jeremy Pena Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.2% | –✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Blaze Alexander Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 92.8% | –✗✗–!! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Tyler O'Neill Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -750 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -750 | best price | 92.8% | –✗✗–!! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Leody Taveras Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 92.8% | –✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Coby Mayo Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 92.8% | –✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Adley Rutschman Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1000 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 92.8% | –✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Jackson Holliday Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 92.8% | –✗✗–!! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Marco Gonzales Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 92.4% | –✗✗✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Taylor Ward Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -900 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 92.2% | –✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 88.5% | –✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Nico Hoerner Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -4000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 | best price | 88.0% | –✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.060/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Alex Bregman Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1800 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1800 | best price | 87.4% | –✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Bryan Reynolds Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 84.0% | –✗✗✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Cam Smith Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 83.0% | –✗✗–!✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Pete Crow-Armstrong Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 82.3% | –✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Konnor Griffin Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1800 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1800 | best price | 82.1% | –✗✗✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Michael Busch Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1200 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 81.9% | –✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Andres Gimenez Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 81.3% | –✗✗–!! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Ernie Clement Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 81.0% | –✗✗–!! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Isaac Paredes Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 80.5% | –✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.100/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Daulton Varsho Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -700 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 80.0% | –✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Evan Carter Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 78.5% | –✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Dansby Swanson Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 78.2% | –✗✗✓!✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Josh Jung Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 76.5% | –✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Marcell Ozuna Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 76.0% | –✗✗✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Jesus Sanchez Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 74.5% | –✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Brandon Nimmo Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 74.4% | –✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.130/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Spencer Horwitz Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 73.9% | –✗✗✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Seiya Suzuki Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 71.8% | –✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.140/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Ezequiel Duran Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 71.6% | –✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Ian Happ Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1400 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 65.7% | –✗✗✓✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Pete Alonso Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -550 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -500 | best price | 60.2% | –✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Kazuma Okamoto Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -900 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 59.9% | –✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.220/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Jake Burger Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 55.6% | –✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.220/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Oneil Cruz Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -650 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 55.4% | –✗✗✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.230/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Gunnar Henderson Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 54.2% | –✗✗–✓! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.310/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Brandon Lowe Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -600 | BetOnline Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 38.2% | –✗✗✓–✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.420/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Yordan Alvarez Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 0.5 | 0.4 | -450 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -450 | best price | 16.0% | –✗✗–✓✓ | MONITOR |
✓ PASS ! WARN ✗ FAIL – N/A | Checks order: Baby Line · Model Edge · Books · Matchup · Role · Game Script