| Market | Trust | Season N | Season WR | Season P&L | 14d N | 14d WR | 14d P&L | Grade A N | Grade A WR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | 204 | 55% | -8.12u | 31 | 52% | -3.50u | 108 | 58% |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | 135 | 60% | +10.27u | 43 | 51% | -2.41u | 1 | 100% |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | 101 | 52% | -4.26u | 33 | 39% | -11.23u | 36 | 64% |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | 28 | 48% | +4.54u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | 23 | 48% | -2.10u | 9 | 33% | -3.11u | 0 | - |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | 16 | 81% | +2.20u | 3 | 67% | -0.26u | 0 | - |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | 15 | 67% | +2.76u | 15 | 67% | +2.76u | 0 | - |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | 14 | 64% | +1.00u | 14 | 64% | +1.00u | 0 | - |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | 10 | 70% | +2.43u | 10 | 70% | +2.43u | 0 | - |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | 9 | 22% | -5.18u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | 6 | 50% | +2.85u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | 3 | 33% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | 2 | 100% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 75 | 41% | -13.74u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 1 | 0% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 42 | 38% | -9.29u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 1 | 100% |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 407 | 49% | -57.64u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 55 | 45% |
Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from configured market status plus settled tracker performance.
| Market | Current Stage | Next Stage | Progress | Promotion Blockers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 2/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 3/4 | 14d P&L non-negative |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 2/4 | season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 0/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Pitcher Earned Runs | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 3/5 | season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Pitcher Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 3/5 | season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Batter Walks | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 3/5 | season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 1/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; 14d WR >= 52% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 0/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 🔬 Research | 2/5 | diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative; 14d sample >= 10 |
Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.
| Pitcher | Game | Overall | Whiff | Contact | Arsenal | Top Pitch | Notes / Data Gaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Tolle | Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves | 70.5 | 58.0 | 89.0 | 5 | Curveball (47% whiff, 11% usage) | Savant whiff 25.2%, put-away 23.9%, xwOBA 0.237, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Paul Skenes | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs | 66.3 | 53.4 | 83.5 | 6 | Changeup (34% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 23.9%, put-away 21.8%, xwOBA 0.248, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Chris Sale | Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox | 63.1 | 63.7 | 68.0 | 4 | Slider (39% whiff, 41% usage) | Savant whiff 29.7%, put-away 20.7%, xwOBA 0.279, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Kendry Rojas | Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox | 60.4 | 68.7 | 55.5 | 4 | Slider (35% whiff, 28% usage) | Savant whiff 29.4%, put-away 26.3%, xwOBA 0.304, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Davis Martin | Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins | 58.4 | 64.6 | 57.5 | 6 | Slider (54% whiff, 16% usage) | Savant whiff 28.6%, put-away 23.7%, xwOBA 0.300, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros | 57.6 | 71.3 | 47.5 | 6 | Curveball (38% whiff, 20% usage) | Savant whiff 32.0%, put-away 23.7%, xwOBA 0.320, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers | 46.7 | 62.0 | 36.0 | 6 | Curveball (48% whiff, 32% usage) | Savant whiff 28.5%, put-away 21.3%, xwOBA 0.343, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Jack Flaherty | Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels | 42.2 | 49.5 | 32.0 | 5 | Curveball (38% whiff, 20% usage) | Savant whiff 24.2%, put-away 17.3%, xwOBA 0.351, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Chris Bassitt | Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays | 40.5 | 43.6 | 35.0 | 7 | Curveball (32% whiff, 25% usage) | Savant whiff 22.4%, put-away 15.1%, xwOBA 0.345, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Colin Rea | Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates | 36.1 | 41.6 | 30.0 | 7 | Slider (38% whiff, 12% usage) | Savant whiff 22.0%, put-away 13.9%, xwOBA 0.355, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s) |
| Patrick Corbin | Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles | 35.9 | 40.1 | 27.0 | 5 | Slider (40% whiff, 25% usage) | Savant whiff 21.0%, put-away 14.3%, xwOBA 0.361, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Los Angeles Angels vs Detroit Tigers | 23.0 | 44.3 | 0.0 | 4 | Slider (35% whiff, 22% usage) | Savant whiff 19.8%, put-away 20.9%, xwOBA 0.429, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.
| Pitcher | Team | Hand | Season K% | Recent IP | Season IP | K IP | Pitch Ct | Leash | Savant | Contact | HR Vuln | Quality | Flags / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale | Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox | L | 30.3% | 6.6 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 111 | deep | full | 68.00 | 32.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Chris Bassitt | Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays | R | 19.3% | 5.1 | 5.9 | 5.7 | 86 | short | full | 35.00 | 65.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.1 IP/start, low-K contact opponent 19.4% |
| Payton Tolle | Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves | L | 24.5% | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 101 | deep | full | 89.00 | 11.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Colin Rea | Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates | R | 19.0% | 5.1 | 6.8 | 6.3 | 86 | short | full | 30.00 | 70.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.1 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.7% |
| Davis Martin | Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins | R | 28.4% | 5.9 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 99 | normal | full | 57.50 | 42.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Jack Flaherty | Detroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels | R | 24.5% | 4.1 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 69 | short | full | 32.00 | 68.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.1 IP/start |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers | R | 22.4% | 5.9 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 99 | normal | full | 36.00 | 64.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.6% |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Los Angeles Angels vs Detroit Tigers | R | - | 4.2 | - | 5.5 | 70 | short | full | 0.00 | 100.00 | fallback+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.2 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.0%, season_pitcher_stats_missing |
| Kendry Rojas | Minnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox | L | 22.7% | 2.8 | 14.1 | 5.8 | 47 | short | full | 55.50 | 44.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 2.8 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.0% |
| Paul Skenes | Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs | R | 27.4% | 6.2 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 104 | deep | full | 83.50 | 16.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 11.6% |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros | R | 23.6% | 7.0 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 117 | deep | full | 47.50 | 52.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Patrick Corbin | Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles | L | 17.6% | 4.9 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 82 | short | full | 27.00 | 73.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.9 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.1% |
Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.
| Pitcher | Side | Game | Line | Proj | Gap | Edge / DIFF% | Grade | Rec | Status | Leash | K IP | Pitch Ct | Quality | Gate Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale | Chris Sale Over | Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox | 18.5 | 21.3 | 2.8 | 15.3% | D | MONITOR | research | deep | 6.3 | 111 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 15.3% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.83 <= 3 min |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Nathan Eovaldi Over | Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers | 18.5 | 20.7 | 2.2 | 12.1% | D | MONITOR | research | deep | 6.3 | 117 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 12.1% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.24 <= 3 min |
| Paul Skenes | Paul Skenes Under | Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | 18.5 | 18.4 | -0.1 | 0.7% | D | MONITOR | research | deep | 6.0 | 104 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.7% vs 10% min |
QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.
| Grade | Signal | Type | Side | Game | Time (ET) | Line | Proj | Odds | Best Book / Line | Edge/Diff | Checks ✓!✗– | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ► GOOD ADDS | ||||||||||||
| B | ✅ Good Add | Run Line | Boston Red Sox +1.5 | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 1.5 | - | -149 | LowVig Boston Red Sox 1.5 -138 | best price | +10.4% | –!✓✓–✓ | GOOD ADD |
| ► ALT / DERISK | ||||||||||||
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree | K Prop | Nathan Eovaldi Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 5.5 | 7.9 | -142 | DK Over 5.5 -142 | exact | 43.1% | ✓✓✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (3 books) — strongly disagree | K Prop | Jack Flaherty Under | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 6.5 | 4.8 | -131 | DK Under 6.5 -131 | exact | 25.5% | ✓✓✗✓–– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree | Batter Total Bas | Yordan Alvarez Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 2.8 | +106 | DK Over 1.5 +106 | exact | 87.5% | ✓✓✗––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C 🔬 MODEL SIGNAL | ↘ Alt / Derisk | No HR | No HR (Game) | TWI@SOX | 2:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -110 | DraftKings 0.5 -110 | 3.6% | ✓––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C 🔬 MODEL SIGNAL | ↘ Alt / Derisk | No HR | Under 1.5 HR (Game) | TWI@SOX | 2:10 PM | 1.5 | 0.5 | -110 | DraftKings 1.5 -110 | 2.2% | ✓––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk Totals model under recalibration — capped at B | Total | Over 7.5 | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 7.5 | - | -112 | LowVig Over 7.5 -107 | best price | +21.7% | –✓–––✓ | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | Total | Over 7.0 | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 7.0 | - | -124 | Bovada Direct Over 7 -120 | best price | +20.3% | –✓!––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | F5 Total | Over 3.5 | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 3.5 | - | -128 | BetOnline Over 3.5 -110 | best price | +11.1% | –✓–––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 34% (≥20%) — verify model inputs | YRFI | YRFI | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | - | 8.1 | -104 | DraftKings -104 | +34.0% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk High NRFI/YRFI edge 22% (≥20%) — verify model inputs | YRFI | YRFI | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | - | 6.2 | +104 | DraftKings +104 | +21.9% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | - | 5.7 | +102 | DraftKings +102 | +15.9% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | - | 5.3 | +120 | DraftKings +120 | +15.4% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | - | 4.1 | +116 | DraftKings +116 | +1.3% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| C | ↘ Alt / Derisk | YRFI | YRFI | TWI@SOX | 2:10 PM | - | 4.0 | +114 | DraftKings +114 | -1.2% | –––––– | ALT / DERISK |
| ► MONITOR | ||||||||||||
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.3% vs 17% min | K Prop | Colin Rea Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 4.5 | 5.2 | -105 | FanDuel Over 4.5 +116 | best price | 16.3% | ✓✗✗✓–– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.5% vs 17% min | K Prop | Spencer Arrighetti Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 5.5 | 6.0 | +122 | FanDuel Over 5.5 +130 | best price | 9.5% | ✓✗✗✓–– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.7% vs 17% min | K Prop | Patrick Corbin Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 4.5 | 4.1 | -157 | DK Under 4.5 -157 | exact | 8.7% | ✓✗!✓–– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.6% vs 17% min | K Prop | Chris Sale Over | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 7.5 | 8.1 | -137 | FanDuel Over 7.5 -130 | best price | 8.6% | ✓✗✓!–– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.4% vs 17% min | K Prop | Chris Bassitt Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 4.5 | 4.2 | -157 | FanDuel Under 4.5 -144 | best price | 6.4% | ✓✗✗✓–– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.1% vs 17% min | K Prop | Paul Skenes Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 6.5 | 6.8 | -118 | FanDuel Over 6.5 -104 | best price | 5.1% | ✓✗✗✓–– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.5% vs 17% min | K Prop | Payton Tolle Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 5.5 | 5.2 | -114 | DK Under 5.5 -114 | exact | 4.5% | ✓✗✗✓–– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.5% vs 17% min | K Prop | Grayson Rodriguez Under | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 5.5 | 5.3 | -143 | DK Under 5.5 -143 | exact | 3.5% | ✓✗✗✓–– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 15.3% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.83 <= 3 min | Pitcher Outs | Chris Sale Over | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 18.5 | 21.3 | +132 | Bovada Direct Over 18.5 +135 | best price | 15.3% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 12.1% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.24 <= 3 min | Pitcher Outs | Nathan Eovaldi Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 18.5 | 20.7 | -104 | DK Over 18.5 -104 | exact | 12.1% | ✓✗✗––✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.7% vs 10% min | Pitcher Outs | Paul Skenes Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 18.5 | 18.4 | -188 | DK Under 18.5 -188 | exact | 0.7% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.0% vs 50% min | Batter Hits | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -246 | DK Under 1.5 -246 | exact | 27.0% | ✓✗✗––! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 59.0% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Brandon Lowe Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.4 | +123 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 59.0% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 47.6% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Dillon Dingler Over | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 1.5 | 2.2 | +113 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 47.6% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.5% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Oneil Cruz Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +135 | DK Over 1.5 +135 | exact | 36.5% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.8% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Josh Jung Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 2.0 | +139 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 34.8% | ✓✗✗––✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.0% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Riley Greene Over | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +130 | DK Over 1.5 +130 | exact | 30.0% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.0% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Kevin McGonigle Over | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +139 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 30.0% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.5% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Ronald Acuna Jr. Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.1 | -164 | DK Under 1.5 -164 | exact | 29.5% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.8% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Brandon Nimmo Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.9 | +144 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +145 | best price | 23.8% | ✓✗✗––✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.9% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Gunnar Henderson Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +121 | DK Over 1.5 +121 | exact | 20.9% | ✓✗✗––! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.8% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Pete Alonso Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +114 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 20.8% | ✓✗✗––! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.4% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Mauricio Dubon Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -158 | DK Under 1.5 -158 | exact | 20.4% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.1% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Nico Hoerner Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.2 | -167 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -165 | best price | 19.1% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.8% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Ernie Clement Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +152 | DK Over 1.5 +152 | exact | 18.8% | ✓✗✗––! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.2% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Zach Neto Over | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.8 | +134 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 | best price | 18.2% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.8% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Ozzie Albies Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -168 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -165 | best price | 13.8% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.3% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Mike Trout Over | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +119 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 13.3% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.9% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Isaac Paredes Under | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.3 | -162 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -160 | best price | 12.9% | ✓✗✗––✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.9% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Matt Olson Over | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +125 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 11.9% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.3% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Jo Adell Over | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.7 | +129 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 11.3% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.4% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -152 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -150 | best price | 8.4% | ✓✗✗––! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.4% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Taylor Ward Under | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -172 | Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -170 | best price | 7.4% | ✓✗✗––! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.0% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Bryan Reynolds Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +140 | DK Over 1.5 +140 | exact | 7.0% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.9% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Jarren Duran Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 1.5 | 1.4 | -198 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 -180 | best price | 6.9% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.4% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Spencer Horwitz Over | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +152 | DK Over 1.5 +152 | exact | 4.4% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.1% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Daulton Varsho Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +129 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 4.1% | ✓✗✗––! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.2% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Jeremy Pena Over | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | 1.5 | 1.6 | +138 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 3.2% | ✓✗✗––✓ | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.5% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Nick Gonzales Under | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | -178 | DK Under 1.5 -178 | exact | 1.5% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | George Springer Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +122 | DK Over 1.5 +122 | exact | 1.3% | ✓✗✗––! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Adley Rutschman Over | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +125 | DK Over 1.5 +125 | exact | 1.3% | ✓✗✗––! | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.2% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Colt Keith Over | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +137 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 0.2% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.2% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Vaughn Grissom Over | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +123 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 0.2% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.2% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Matt Vierling Over | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 1.5 | 1.5 | +129 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +140 | best price | 0.2% | ✓✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 6.0 below 7.7 threshold | NRFI | NRFI | TWI@SOX | 2:10 PM | - | 6.0 | -146 | DraftKings -146 | +10.1% | –✗–––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 5.9 below 7.7 threshold | NRFI | NRFI | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | - | 5.9 | -148 | DraftKings -148 | +7.7% | –✗–––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 4.7 below 7.7 threshold | NRFI | NRFI | CUB@PIR | 6:41 PM | - | 4.7 | -154 | DraftKings -154 | -6.5% | –✗–––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 3.8 below 7.7 threshold | NRFI | NRFI | AST@RAN | 8:06 PM | - | 3.8 | -132 | DraftKings -132 | -12.9% | –✗–––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 3.6 below 7.7 threshold | NRFI | NRFI | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | - | 3.6 | -130 | DraftKings -130 | -15.0% | –✗–––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 1.9 below 7.7 threshold | NRFI | NRFI | JAY@ORI | 6:36 PM | - | 1.9 | -122 | DraftKings -122 | -25.0% | –✗–––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Colt Keith Under | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.7% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Matt Vierling Under | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.7% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Donovan Walton Under | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.7% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Oswald Peraza Under | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.7% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Gage Workman Under | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 93.7% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Wade Meckler Under | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 93.7% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Logan O'Hoppe Under | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 93.7% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Vaughn Grissom Under | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.7% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Zach McKinstry Under | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.7% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Carlos Narvaez Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Ha-Seong Kim Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Isiah Kiner-Falefa Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -10000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -10000 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Sandy León Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Caleb Durbin Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Andruw Monasterio Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Nick Sogard Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Eli White Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Ronald Acuna Jr. Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.0 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 92.2% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.050/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Mauricio Dubon Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 90.6% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Kevin McGonigle Under | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 86.5% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Ceddanne Rafaela Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 84.1% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Riley Greene Under | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 82.3% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Wilyer Abreu Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 78.2% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Austin Riley Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 77.4% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Ozzie Albies Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 77.0% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Jarren Duran Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.1 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 71.0% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Jo Adell Under | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -700 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 67.8% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Wenceel Perez Under | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 66.7% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.180/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Michael Harris II Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 64.1% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.180/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Spencer Torkelson Under | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 63.7% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Zach Neto Under | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 62.3% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Jorge Soler Under | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 60.8% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Willson Contreras Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -900 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price | 59.1% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.210/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Matt Olson Under | BRA@SOX | 4:10 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 57.3% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.240/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Mike Trout Under | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.2 | -500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -500 | best price | 51.9% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
| D | ◇ Monitor Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.270/G <= 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Dillon Dingler Under | ANG@TIG | 1:11 PM | 0.5 | 0.3 | -1000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price | 46.6% | –✗✗––– | MONITOR |
✓ PASS ! WARN ✗ FAIL – N/A | Checks order: Baby Line · Model Edge · Books · Matchup · Role · Game Script