MLB Betting Analyzer — Full Audit

Thursday, May 28 2026

MARKET TRUST TIERS

16 market(s) with settled tracker history
MarketTrustSeason NSeason WRSeason P&L14d N14d WR14d P&LGrade A NGrade A WR
K Prop✅ TRUSTED20455%-8.12u3152%-3.50u10858%
Pitcher Hits Allowed✅ TRUSTED13560%+10.27u4351%-2.41u1100%
Run Line✅ TRUSTED10152%-4.26u3339%-11.23u3664%
F5 ML👀 WATCH2848%+4.54u0-+0.00u0-
Batter Total Bases👀 WATCH2348%-2.10u933%-3.11u0-
Batter Hits👀 WATCH1681%+2.20u367%-0.26u0-
Pitcher Earned Runs👀 WATCH1567%+2.76u1567%+2.76u0-
Pitcher Walks👀 WATCH1464%+1.00u1464%+1.00u0-
Batter Walks👀 WATCH1070%+2.43u1070%+2.43u0-
No HR U1.5👀 WATCH922%-5.18u0-+0.00u0-
Moneyline👀 WATCH650%+2.85u0-+0.00u0-
NRFI👀 WATCH333%+0.00u0-+0.00u0-
YRFI👀 WATCH2100%+0.00u0-+0.00u0-
Pitcher Outs🔬 RESEARCH7541%-13.74u0-+0.00u10%
Total🔬 RESEARCH4238%-9.29u0-+0.00u1100%
Batter H+R+RBI⛔ PAUSED40749%-57.64u0-+0.00u5545%

Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from configured market status plus settled tracker performance.

MARKET PROMOTION CRITERIA

What each market needs to move stages
MarketCurrent StageNext StageProgressPromotion Blockers
K Prop✅ TRUSTEDMaintain Trusted2/4season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative
Pitcher Hits Allowed✅ TRUSTEDMaintain Trusted3/414d P&L non-negative
Run Line✅ TRUSTEDMaintain Trusted2/4season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative
F5 ML👀 WATCH✅ Trusted2/5season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
Batter Total Bases👀 WATCH✅ Trusted0/5season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Batter Hits👀 WATCH✅ Trusted1/5season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; 14d P&L non-negative
Pitcher Earned Runs👀 WATCH✅ Trusted3/5season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
Pitcher Walks👀 WATCH✅ Trusted3/5season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
Batter Walks👀 WATCH✅ Trusted3/5season sample >= 50; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
No HR U1.5👀 WATCH✅ Trusted1/5season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Moneyline👀 WATCH✅ Trusted2/5season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55%
NRFI👀 WATCH✅ Trusted1/5season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
YRFI👀 WATCH✅ Trusted1/5season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Pitcher Outs🔬 RESEARCH👀 Watch1/5season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; 14d WR >= 52%
Total🔬 RESEARCH👀 Watch0/5season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10
Batter H+R+RBI⛔ PAUSED🔬 Research2/5diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative; 14d sample >= 10

Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.

SAVANT PITCH QUALITY DIAGNOSTICS

12 pitcher(s) with public-data pitch-quality diagnostics
PitcherGameOverallWhiffContactArsenalTop PitchNotes / Data Gaps
Payton TolleBoston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves70.558.089.05Curveball (47% whiff, 11% usage)Savant whiff 25.2%, put-away 23.9%, xwOBA 0.237, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Paul SkenesPittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs66.353.483.56Changeup (34% whiff, 17% usage)Savant whiff 23.9%, put-away 21.8%, xwOBA 0.248, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Chris SaleAtlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox63.163.768.04Slider (39% whiff, 41% usage)Savant whiff 29.7%, put-away 20.7%, xwOBA 0.279, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Kendry RojasMinnesota Twins vs Chicago White Sox60.468.755.54Slider (35% whiff, 28% usage)Savant whiff 29.4%, put-away 26.3%, xwOBA 0.304, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)
Davis MartinChicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins58.464.657.56Slider (54% whiff, 16% usage)Savant whiff 28.6%, put-away 23.7%, xwOBA 0.300, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Nathan EovaldiTexas Rangers vs Houston Astros57.671.347.56Curveball (38% whiff, 20% usage)Savant whiff 32.0%, put-away 23.7%, xwOBA 0.320, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Spencer ArrighettiHouston Astros vs Texas Rangers46.762.036.06Curveball (48% whiff, 32% usage)Savant whiff 28.5%, put-away 21.3%, xwOBA 0.343, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s)
Jack FlahertyDetroit Tigers vs Los Angeles Angels42.249.532.05Curveball (38% whiff, 20% usage)Savant whiff 24.2%, put-away 17.3%, xwOBA 0.351, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Chris BassittBaltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays40.543.635.07Curveball (32% whiff, 25% usage)Savant whiff 22.4%, put-away 15.1%, xwOBA 0.345, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Colin ReaChicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates36.141.630.07Slider (38% whiff, 12% usage)Savant whiff 22.0%, put-away 13.9%, xwOBA 0.355, arsenal coverage 7 pitch type(s)
Patrick CorbinToronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles35.940.127.05Slider (40% whiff, 25% usage)Savant whiff 21.0%, put-away 14.3%, xwOBA 0.361, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s)
Grayson RodriguezLos Angeles Angels vs Detroit Tigers23.044.30.04Slider (35% whiff, 22% usage)Savant whiff 19.8%, put-away 20.9%, xwOBA 0.429, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s)

Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.

PITCHER ASSESSMENT DIAGNOSTICS

12 starter assessment(s) emitted by Pitcher Engine
PitcherTeamHandSeason K%Recent IPSeason IPK IPPitch CtLeashSavantContactHR VulnQualityFlags / Notes
Chris SaleAtlanta Braves vs Boston Red SoxL30.3%6.66.26.3111deepfull68.0032.00season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand-
Chris BassittBaltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue JaysR19.3%5.15.95.786shortfull35.0065.00season+recent+savant+savant_quality+handrecent leash 5.1 IP/start, low-K contact opponent 19.4%
Payton TolleBoston Red Sox vs Atlanta BravesL24.5%6.06.06.0101deepfull89.0011.00season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand-
Colin ReaChicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh PiratesR19.0%5.16.86.386shortfull30.0070.00season+recent+savant+savant_quality+handrecent leash 5.1 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.7%
Davis MartinChicago White Sox vs Minnesota TwinsR28.4%5.96.16.199normalfull57.5042.50season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand-
Jack FlahertyDetroit Tigers vs Los Angeles AngelsR24.5%4.14.34.269shortfull32.0068.00season+recent+savant+savant_quality+handrecent leash 4.1 IP/start
Spencer ArrighettiHouston Astros vs Texas RangersR22.4%5.95.96.099normalfull36.0064.00season+recent+savant+savant_quality+handpatient opponent BB% 9.6%
Grayson RodriguezLos Angeles Angels vs Detroit TigersR-4.2-5.570shortfull0.00100.00fallback+recent+savant+savant_quality+handrecent leash 4.2 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.0%, season_pitcher_stats_missing
Kendry RojasMinnesota Twins vs Chicago White SoxL22.7%2.814.15.847shortfull55.5044.50season+recent+savant+savant_quality+handrecent leash 2.8 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.0%
Paul SkenesPittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago CubsR27.4%6.25.56.0104deepfull83.5016.50season+recent+savant+savant_quality+handpatient opponent BB% 11.6%
Nathan EovaldiTexas Rangers vs Houston AstrosR23.6%7.06.16.3117deepfull47.5052.50season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand-
Patrick CorbinToronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore OriolesL17.6%4.94.95.082shortfull27.0073.00season+recent+savant+savant_quality+handrecent leash 4.9 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.1%

Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.

PITCHER OUTS RESEARCH GATE

3/3 candidate(s) held from actionable output
PitcherSideGameLineProjGapEdge / DIFF%GradeRecStatusLeashK IPPitch CtQualityGate Reason
Chris SaleChris Sale OverAtlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox18.521.32.815.3%DMONITORresearchdeep6.3111season+recent+savant+savant_quality+handWeak Model Edge: diff_pct 15.3% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.83 <= 3 min
Nathan EovaldiNathan Eovaldi OverHouston Astros @ Texas Rangers18.520.72.212.1%DMONITORresearchdeep6.3117season+recent+savant+savant_quality+handWeak Model Edge: diff_pct 12.1% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.24 <= 3 min
Paul SkenesPaul Skenes UnderChicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates18.518.4-0.10.7%DMONITORresearchdeep6.0104season+recent+savant+savant_quality+handWeak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.7% vs 10% min

QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.

FULL AUDIT — ALL CANDIDATES

101 candidates evaluated
← Back to Picks
GradeSignalTypeSideGameTime (ET)LineProjOddsBest Book / LineEdge/DiffChecks ✓!✗–Rec
► GOOD ADDS
B✅ Good AddRun LineBoston Red Sox +1.5BRA@SOX4:10 PM1.5--149LowVig Boston Red Sox 1.5 -138 | best price+10.4%!GOOD ADD
► ALT / DERISK
C↘ Alt / Derisk
Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (2 books) — strongly disagree
K PropNathan Eovaldi OverAST@RAN8:06 PM5.57.9-142DK Over 5.5 -142 | exact43.1%ALT / DERISK
C↘ Alt / Derisk
Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (3 books) — strongly disagree
K PropJack Flaherty UnderANG@TIG1:11 PM6.54.8-131DK Under 6.5 -131 | exact25.5%ALT / DERISK
C↘ Alt / Derisk
Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (1 books) — strongly disagree
Batter Total BasYordan Alvarez OverAST@RAN8:06 PM1.52.8+106DK Over 1.5 +106 | exact87.5%ALT / DERISK
C 🔬 MODEL SIGNAL↘ Alt / DeriskNo HRNo HR (Game)TWI@SOX2:10 PM0.50.2-110DraftKings 0.5 -1103.6%ALT / DERISK
C 🔬 MODEL SIGNAL↘ Alt / DeriskNo HRUnder 1.5 HR (Game)TWI@SOX2:10 PM1.50.5-110DraftKings 1.5 -1102.2%ALT / DERISK
C↘ Alt / Derisk
Totals model under recalibration — capped at B
TotalOver 7.5AST@RAN8:06 PM7.5--112LowVig Over 7.5 -107 | best price+21.7%ALT / DERISK
C↘ Alt / DeriskTotalOver 7.0BRA@SOX4:10 PM7.0--124Bovada Direct Over 7 -120 | best price+20.3%!ALT / DERISK
C↘ Alt / DeriskF5 TotalOver 3.5BRA@SOX4:10 PM3.5--128BetOnline Over 3.5 -110 | best price+11.1%ALT / DERISK
C↘ Alt / Derisk
High NRFI/YRFI edge 34% (≥20%) — verify model inputs
YRFIYRFIJAY@ORI6:36 PM-8.1-104DraftKings -104+34.0%ALT / DERISK
C↘ Alt / Derisk
High NRFI/YRFI edge 22% (≥20%) — verify model inputs
YRFIYRFIAST@RAN8:06 PM-6.2+104DraftKings +104+21.9%ALT / DERISK
C↘ Alt / DeriskYRFIYRFIANG@TIG1:11 PM-5.7+102DraftKings +102+15.9%ALT / DERISK
C↘ Alt / DeriskYRFIYRFICUB@PIR6:41 PM-5.3+120DraftKings +120+15.4%ALT / DERISK
C↘ Alt / DeriskYRFIYRFIBRA@SOX4:10 PM-4.1+116DraftKings +116+1.3%ALT / DERISK
C↘ Alt / DeriskYRFIYRFITWI@SOX2:10 PM-4.0+114DraftKings +114-1.2%ALT / DERISK
► MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.3% vs 17% min
K PropColin Rea OverCUB@PIR6:41 PM4.55.2-105FanDuel Over 4.5 +116 | best price16.3%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.5% vs 17% min
K PropSpencer Arrighetti OverAST@RAN8:06 PM5.56.0+122FanDuel Over 5.5 +130 | best price9.5%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.7% vs 17% min
K PropPatrick Corbin UnderJAY@ORI6:36 PM4.54.1-157DK Under 4.5 -157 | exact8.7%!MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.6% vs 17% min
K PropChris Sale OverBRA@SOX4:10 PM7.58.1-137FanDuel Over 7.5 -130 | best price8.6%!MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.4% vs 17% min
K PropChris Bassitt UnderJAY@ORI6:36 PM4.54.2-157FanDuel Under 4.5 -144 | best price6.4%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.1% vs 17% min
K PropPaul Skenes OverCUB@PIR6:41 PM6.56.8-118FanDuel Over 6.5 -104 | best price5.1%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.5% vs 17% min
K PropPayton Tolle UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM5.55.2-114DK Under 5.5 -114 | exact4.5%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.5% vs 17% min
K PropGrayson Rodriguez UnderANG@TIG1:11 PM5.55.3-143DK Under 5.5 -143 | exact3.5%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 15.3% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.83 <= 3 min
Pitcher OutsChris Sale OverBRA@SOX4:10 PM18.521.3+132Bovada Direct Over 18.5 +135 | best price15.3%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: diff_pct 12.1% vs 10% min clears, but raw gap +2.24 <= 3 min
Pitcher OutsNathan Eovaldi OverAST@RAN8:06 PM18.520.7-104DK Over 18.5 -104 | exact12.1%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.7% vs 10% min
Pitcher OutsPaul Skenes UnderCUB@PIR6:41 PM18.518.4-188DK Under 18.5 -188 | exact0.7%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 27.0% vs 50% min
Batter HitsVladimir Guerrero Jr. UnderJAY@ORI6:36 PM1.51.1-246DK Under 1.5 -246 | exact27.0%!MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 59.0% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasBrandon Lowe OverCUB@PIR6:41 PM1.52.4+123Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +125 | best price59.0%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 47.6% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasDillon Dingler OverANG@TIG1:11 PM1.52.2+113theScore Bet Over 1.5 +120 | best price47.6%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 36.5% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasOneil Cruz OverCUB@PIR6:41 PM1.52.0+135DK Over 1.5 +135 | exact36.5%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 34.8% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasJosh Jung OverAST@RAN8:06 PM1.52.0+139Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 | best price34.8%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.0% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasRiley Greene OverANG@TIG1:11 PM1.51.9+130DK Over 1.5 +130 | exact30.0%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.0% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasKevin McGonigle OverANG@TIG1:11 PM1.51.9+139Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 | best price30.0%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.5% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasRonald Acuna Jr. UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM1.51.1-164DK Under 1.5 -164 | exact29.5%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 23.8% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasBrandon Nimmo OverAST@RAN8:06 PM1.51.9+144Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +145 | best price23.8%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.9% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasGunnar Henderson OverJAY@ORI6:36 PM1.51.8+121DK Over 1.5 +121 | exact20.9%!MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.8% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasPete Alonso OverJAY@ORI6:36 PM1.51.8+114Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +115 | best price20.8%!MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.4% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasMauricio Dubon UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM1.51.2-158DK Under 1.5 -158 | exact20.4%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 19.1% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasNico Hoerner UnderCUB@PIR6:41 PM1.51.2-167Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -165 | best price19.1%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.8% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasErnie Clement OverJAY@ORI6:36 PM1.51.8+152DK Over 1.5 +152 | exact18.8%!MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 18.2% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasZach Neto OverANG@TIG1:11 PM1.51.8+134Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +135 | best price18.2%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.8% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasOzzie Albies UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM1.51.3-168theScore Bet Under 1.5 -165 | best price13.8%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 13.3% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasMike Trout OverANG@TIG1:11 PM1.51.7+119theScore Bet Over 1.5 +120 | best price13.3%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.9% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasIsaac Paredes UnderAST@RAN8:06 PM1.51.3-162Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -160 | best price12.9%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.9% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasMatt Olson OverBRA@SOX4:10 PM1.51.7+125theScore Bet Over 1.5 +125 | best price11.9%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.3% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasJo Adell OverANG@TIG1:11 PM1.51.7+129Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 | best price11.3%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.4% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasVladimir Guerrero Jr. UnderJAY@ORI6:36 PM1.51.4-152Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -150 | best price8.4%!MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.4% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasTaylor Ward UnderJAY@ORI6:36 PM1.51.4-172Bovada Direct Under 1.5 -170 | best price7.4%!MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.0% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasBryan Reynolds OverCUB@PIR6:41 PM1.51.6+140DK Over 1.5 +140 | exact7.0%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.9% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasJarren Duran UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM1.51.4-198theScore Bet Under 1.5 -180 | best price6.9%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.4% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasSpencer Horwitz OverCUB@PIR6:41 PM1.51.6+152DK Over 1.5 +152 | exact4.4%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.1% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasDaulton Varsho OverJAY@ORI6:36 PM1.51.6+129Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +130 | best price4.1%!MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.2% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasJeremy Pena OverAST@RAN8:06 PM1.51.6+138Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 | best price3.2%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.5% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasNick Gonzales UnderCUB@PIR6:41 PM1.51.5-178DK Under 1.5 -178 | exact1.5%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasGeorge Springer OverJAY@ORI6:36 PM1.51.5+122DK Over 1.5 +122 | exact1.3%!MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.3% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasAdley Rutschman OverJAY@ORI6:36 PM1.51.5+125DK Over 1.5 +125 | exact1.3%!MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.2% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasColt Keith OverANG@TIG1:11 PM1.51.5+137Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +140 | best price0.2%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.2% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasVaughn Grissom OverANG@TIG1:11 PM1.51.5+123Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +125 | best price0.2%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.2% vs 70% min
Batter Total BasMatt Vierling OverANG@TIG1:11 PM1.51.5+129theScore Bet Over 1.5 +140 | best price0.2%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 6.0 below 7.7 threshold
NRFINRFITWI@SOX2:10 PM-6.0-146DraftKings -146+10.1%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 5.9 below 7.7 threshold
NRFINRFIBRA@SOX4:10 PM-5.9-148DraftKings -148+7.7%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 4.7 below 7.7 threshold
NRFINRFICUB@PIR6:41 PM-4.7-154DraftKings -154-6.5%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 3.8 below 7.7 threshold
NRFINRFIAST@RAN8:06 PM-3.8-132DraftKings -132-12.9%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 3.6 below 7.7 threshold
NRFINRFIANG@TIG1:11 PM-3.6-130DraftKings -130-15.0%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 1.9 below 7.7 threshold
NRFINRFIJAY@ORI6:36 PM-1.9-122DraftKings -122-25.0%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRColt Keith UnderANG@TIG1:11 PM0.50.0-1600theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price93.7%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRMatt Vierling UnderANG@TIG1:11 PM0.50.0-1600theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price93.7%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRDonovan Walton UnderANG@TIG1:11 PM0.50.0-2500theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price93.7%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HROswald Peraza UnderANG@TIG1:11 PM0.50.0-2000theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price93.7%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRGage Workman UnderANG@TIG1:11 PM0.50.0-1400theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price93.7%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRWade Meckler UnderANG@TIG1:11 PM0.50.0-3500theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price93.7%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRLogan O'Hoppe UnderANG@TIG1:11 PM0.50.0-1400theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price93.7%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRVaughn Grissom UnderANG@TIG1:11 PM0.50.0-2000theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price93.7%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRZach McKinstry UnderANG@TIG1:11 PM0.50.0-2800theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price93.7%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRCarlos Narvaez UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM0.50.0-2500theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price93.4%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRHa-Seong Kim UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM0.50.0-2500theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price93.4%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRIsiah Kiner-Falefa UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM0.50.0-10000theScore Bet Under 0.5 -10000 | best price93.4%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRSandy León UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM0.50.0-2800theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price93.4%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRCaleb Durbin UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM0.50.0-3500theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price93.4%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRAndruw Monasterio UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM0.50.0-2800theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price93.4%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRNick Sogard UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM0.50.0-2800theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price93.4%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HREli White UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM0.50.0-2000theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price93.4%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.040/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRRonald Acuna Jr. UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM0.50.0-800theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price92.2%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.050/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRMauricio Dubon UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM0.50.1-2500theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price90.6%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.070/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRKevin McGonigle UnderANG@TIG1:11 PM0.50.1-1000theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price86.5%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.080/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRCeddanne Rafaela UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM0.50.1-2000theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price84.1%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.090/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRRiley Greene UnderANG@TIG1:11 PM0.50.1-800theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price82.3%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRWilyer Abreu UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM0.50.1-1600theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price78.2%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.110/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRAustin Riley UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM0.50.1-800theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price77.4%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.120/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HROzzie Albies UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM0.50.1-1200theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price77.0%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.150/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRJarren Duran UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM0.50.1-2500theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price71.0%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.160/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRJo Adell UnderANG@TIG1:11 PM0.50.2-700theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 | best price67.8%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.170/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRWenceel Perez UnderANG@TIG1:11 PM0.50.2-2500theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price66.7%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.180/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRMichael Harris II UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM0.50.2-1400theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price64.1%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.180/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRSpencer Torkelson UnderANG@TIG1:11 PM0.50.2-900theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price63.7%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.190/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRZach Neto UnderANG@TIG1:11 PM0.50.2-800theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price62.3%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRJorge Soler UnderANG@TIG1:11 PM0.50.2-800theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price60.8%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.200/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRWillson Contreras UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM0.50.2-900theScore Bet Under 0.5 -900 | best price59.1%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.210/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRMatt Olson UnderBRA@SOX4:10 PM0.50.2-800theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price57.3%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.240/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRMike Trout UnderANG@TIG1:11 PM0.50.2-500theScore Bet Under 0.5 -500 | best price51.9%MONITOR
D◇ Monitor
Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.270/G <= 0.5 threshold
Batter HRDillon Dingler UnderANG@TIG1:11 PM0.50.3-1000theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1000 | best price46.6%MONITOR

✓ PASS   ! WARN   ✗ FAIL   – N/A  |  Checks order: Baby Line · Model Edge · Books · Matchup · Role · Game Script