| Market | Trust | Season N | Season WR | Season P&L | 14d N | 14d WR | 14d P&L | Grade A N | Grade A WR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | 193 | 55% | -7.32u | 60 | 60% | +2.82u | 106 | 59% |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | 113 | 61% | +10.80u | 39 | 56% | +2.79u | 0 | - |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | 79 | 54% | +1.04u | 28 | 46% | -5.79u | 30 | 70% |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | 28 | 48% | +4.54u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | 20 | 45% | -3.23u | 11 | 27% | -5.69u | 0 | - |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | 14 | 86% | +2.82u | 1 | 100% | +0.36u | 0 | - |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | 9 | 22% | -5.18u | 1 | 100% | +0.91u | 0 | - |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | 6 | 50% | +2.85u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | 3 | 33% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | 2 | 100% | +0.00u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 0 | - |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 75 | 41% | -13.74u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 1 | 0% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 42 | 38% | -9.29u | 0 | - | +0.00u | 1 | 100% |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 407 | 49% | -57.64u | 12 | 33% | -5.02u | 55 | 45% |
Raw edge is an uncalibrated ranking/debug signal. Trust tiers come from configured market status plus settled tracker performance.
| Market | Current Stage | Next Stage | Progress | Promotion Blockers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Prop | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 3/4 | season P&L non-negative |
| Pitcher Hits Allowed | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 4/4 | No blocker |
| Run Line | ✅ TRUSTED | Maintain Trusted | 3/4 | 14d P&L non-negative |
| F5 ML | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| Batter Total Bases | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d P&L non-negative |
| Batter Hits | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| No HR U1.5 | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Moneyline | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 2/5 | season sample >= 50; 14d sample >= 10; Grade A sample >= 20 and WR >= 55% |
| NRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| YRFI | 👀 WATCH | ✅ Trusted | 1/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Pitcher Outs | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 1/5 | season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10; 14d WR >= 52% |
| Total | 🔬 RESEARCH | 👀 Watch | 0/5 | season sample >= 50; season P&L positive; 14d sample >= 10 |
| Batter H+R+RBI | ⛔ PAUSED | 🔬 Research | 2/5 | diagnostic/component model has settled validation; season P&L non-negative; 14d P&L non-negative |
Promotion criteria keep markets from getting stuck in purgatory: each stage has explicit evidence needed for the next stage.
| Pitcher | Game | Overall | Whiff | Contact | Arsenal | Top Pitch | Notes / Data Gaps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Strider | Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins | 72.6 | 84.4 | 71.5 | 4 | Curveball (62% whiff, 17% usage) | Savant whiff 40.1%, put-away 20.6%, xwOBA 0.272, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Casey Mize | Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians | 65.1 | 65.2 | 70.0 | 5 | Split-Finger (34% whiff, 29% usage) | Savant whiff 27.7%, put-away 26.0%, xwOBA 0.275, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Braxton Ashcraft | Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals | 65.0 | 62.9 | 72.0 | 5 | Curveball (40% whiff, 26% usage) | Savant whiff 27.5%, put-away 24.1%, xwOBA 0.271, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| José Soriano | Los Angeles Angels vs Athletics | 58.7 | 75.7 | 49.0 | 5 | Split-Finger (46% whiff, 18% usage) | Savant whiff 33.5%, put-away 24.9%, xwOBA 0.317, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves | 54.9 | 46.2 | 62.5 | 6 | Changeup (36% whiff, 24% usage) | Savant whiff 22.9%, put-away 16.7%, xwOBA 0.290, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Joey Cantillo | Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers | 53.2 | 55.7 | 51.0 | 4 | Changeup (43% whiff, 27% usage) | Savant whiff 26.6%, put-away 18.8%, xwOBA 0.313, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| Cade Cavalli | Washington Nationals vs New York Mets | 52.3 | 57.1 | 46.5 | 5 | Curveball (45% whiff, 24% usage) | Savant whiff 25.7%, put-away 22.0%, xwOBA 0.322, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Carlos Rodón | New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays | 50.6 | 58.0 | 46.0 | 4 | Changeup (50% whiff, 10% usage) | Savant whiff 27.3%, put-away 19.8%, xwOBA 0.323, arsenal coverage 4 pitch type(s) |
| David Peterson | New York Mets vs Washington Nationals | 50.4 | 57.6 | 43.5 | 5 | Curveball (43% whiff, 13% usage) | Savant whiff 23.3%, put-away 27.3%, xwOBA 0.328, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Zach Agnos | Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks | 47.1 | 48.3 | 40.5 | 6 | Sweeper (46% whiff, 13% usage) | Savant whiff 25.8%, put-away 13.0%, xwOBA 0.334, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Braydon Fisher | Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees | 46.3 | 51.6 | 43.0 | 5 | Slider (30% whiff, 48% usage) | Savant whiff 25.4%, put-away 17.2%, xwOBA 0.329, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
| Luis Severino | Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels | 45.5 | 47.5 | 41.0 | 6 | 4-Seam Fastball (25% whiff, 21% usage) | Savant whiff 22.6%, put-away 18.7%, xwOBA 0.333, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Dustin May | St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates | 40.1 | 36.8 | 41.5 | 6 | Sweeper (29% whiff, 18% usage) | Savant whiff 18.6%, put-away 15.9%, xwOBA 0.332, arsenal coverage 6 pitch type(s) |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies | 38.7 | 39.5 | 40.5 | 5 | 4-Seam Fastball (25% whiff, 38% usage) | Savant whiff 18.9%, put-away 18.0%, xwOBA 0.334, arsenal coverage 5 pitch type(s) |
Diagnostic only. This is a free Savant-derived pitch-quality layer, not Pitcher List PLV/PLA, and it does not change recommendations.
| Pitcher | Team | Hand | Season K% | Recent IP | Season IP | K IP | Pitch Ct | Leash | Savant | Contact | HR Vuln | Quality | Flags / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies | L | 19.4% | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 99 | normal | full | 40.50 | 59.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Luis Severino | Athletics vs Los Angeles Angels | R | 21.9% | 5.9 | 5.4 | 6.0 | 99 | normal | full | 41.00 | 59.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.6% |
| Spencer Strider | Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins | R | 26.5% | 4.0 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 67 | short | full | 71.50 | 28.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.0 IP/start |
| Joey Cantillo | Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers | L | 19.7% | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 84 | short | full | 51.00 | 49.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.0 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 10.1% |
| Zach Agnos | Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks | R | 15.6% | 2.4 | - | 5.1 | 40 | short | full | 40.50 | 59.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 2.4 IP/start |
| Casey Mize | Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians | R | 24.6% | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.4 | 89 | normal | full | 70.00 | 30.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 11.4%, low-K contact opponent 19.7% |
| José Soriano | Los Angeles Angels vs Athletics | R | 25.5% | 5.3 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 89 | normal | full | 49.00 | 51.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.7% |
| Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves | R | 17.9% | 5.0 | 6.3 | 6.1 | 84 | short | full | 62.50 | 37.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 5.0 IP/start |
| David Peterson | New York Mets vs Washington Nationals | L | 23.4% | 4.2 | 8.6 | 6.6 | 70 | short | full | 43.50 | 56.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 4.2 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 9.5% |
| Carlos Rodón | New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays | L | 24.1% | 3.6 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 60 | short | full | 46.00 | 54.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 3.6 IP/start, low-K contact opponent 18.7% |
| Braxton Ashcraft | Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals | R | 24.9% | 6.3 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 106 | deep | full | 72.00 | 28.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
| Dustin May | St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates | R | 18.7% | 5.8 | 5.4 | 5.5 | 97 | normal | full | 41.50 | 58.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | patient opponent BB% 9.9% |
| Braydon Fisher | Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees | R | 21.0% | 1.0 | 26.1 | 6.4 | 17 | short | full | 43.00 | 57.00 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | recent leash 1.0 IP/start, patient opponent BB% 12.0% |
| Cade Cavalli | Washington Nationals vs New York Mets | R | 24.3% | 5.7 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 96 | normal | full | 46.50 | 53.50 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | - |
Diagnostics only. These values are exposed for review and do not change recommendations yet.
| Pitcher | Side | Game | Line | Proj | Gap | Grade | Rec | Status | Leash | K IP | Pitch Ct | Quality | Gate Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Severino | Luis Severino Under | Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels | 17.5 | 16.3 | -1.2 | C | PASS | research | normal | 6.0 | 99 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home back-to-back | Away back-to-back |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Eduardo Rodriguez Under | Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks | 18.5 | 17.8 | -0.7 | D | PASS | research | normal | 5.9 | 99 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.8% vs 10% min |
| Jose Soriano | Jose Soriano Over | Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels | 17.5 | 17.8 | 0.3 | D | PASS | research | normal | 6.0 | 89 | season+recent+savant+savant_quality+hand | Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.5% vs 10% min |
QC summary only. Pitcher Outs remains research-only until the assessment gate is validated.
| Player | Game | Research Side | Component Proj | H | R | RBI | Current | Uncertainty | Support | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ildemaro Vargas | Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Over 1.5 | 3.13 | 1.37 | 0.77 | 0.99 | 2.96 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=41,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Shea Langeliers | Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 3.03 | 1.43 | 0.96 | 0.64 | 3.11 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=44,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Josh Lowe | Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 2.78 | 1.53 | 0.68 | 0.57 | 2.49 / Over | 0.59 | exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Nick Kurtz | Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 2.73 | 1.06 | 0.76 | 0.91 | 2.49 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=48,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Nolan Arenado | Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Over 1.5 | 2.34 | 0.98 | 0.64 | 0.72 | 2.14 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=45,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Mike Trout | Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 2.31 | 0.89 | 0.89 | 0.53 | 2.56 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=49,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Tyler Freeman | Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Over 1.5 | 2.28 | 1.22 | 0.58 | 0.48 | 1.99 / Over | 0.59 | exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Over 1.5 | 2.26 | 0.98 | 0.73 | 0.55 | 1.94 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=45,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Zach Neto | Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 2.24 | 0.96 | 0.81 | 0.47 | 2.14 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=50,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Jo Adell | Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 2.02 | 1.00 | 0.36 | 0.66 | 2.13 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=50,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Nolan Schanuel | Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 1.97 | 1.05 | 0.39 | 0.54 | 1.96 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=46,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Over 1.5 | 1.96 | 1.05 | 0.49 | 0.42 | 1.67 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Willi Castro | Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Over 1.5 | 1.91 | 1.02 | 0.48 | 0.41 | 1.63 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Carlos Cortes | Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 1.86 | 1.02 | 0.46 | 0.39 | 1.64 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Tyler Soderstrom | Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 1.85 | 0.75 | 0.51 | 0.59 | 1.75 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=46,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Brent Rooker | Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 1.75 | 0.94 | 0.39 | 0.43 | 1.61 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Geraldo Perdomo | Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Over 1.5 | 1.75 | 0.83 | 0.47 | 0.44 | 1.64 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=45,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Vaughn Grissom | Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 1.72 | 0.93 | 0.38 | 0.42 | 1.58 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Troy Johnston | Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Over 1.5 | 1.71 | 0.99 | 0.32 | 0.40 | 1.94 / Over | 0.30 | season_games=45,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Corbin Carroll | Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Over 2.5 | 2.66 | 1.09 | 0.97 | 0.60 | 2.48 / Under | 0.35 | season_games=45,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Jake McCarthy | Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Over 1.5 | 1.55 | 0.88 | 0.34 | 0.33 | 1.57 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Zack Gelof | Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels | Over 1.5 | 1.52 | 0.88 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 1.58 / Over | 0.59 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates |
| Gabriel Moreno | Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Under 1.5 | 1.49 | 0.86 | 0.34 | 0.29 | 1.58 / Over | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Jeff McNeil | Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels | Under 1.5 | 1.42 | 0.86 | 0.30 | 0.26 | 1.52 / Over | 0.35 | season_games=46,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Ketel Marte | Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Under 2.5 | 2.41 | 1.04 | 0.81 | 0.56 | 2.10 / Under | 0.30 | season_games=45,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Kyle Karros | Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Under 1.5 | 1.38 | 0.65 | 0.44 | 0.30 | 1.45 / Under | 0.30 | season_games=46,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Ezequiel Tovar | Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Under 1.5 | 1.38 | 0.72 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 1.26 / Under | 0.30 | season_games=48,exact_hrr_l10,lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused |
| Adrian Del Castillo | Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Under 1.5 | 1.38 | 0.82 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 1.53 / Over | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks | Under 1.5 | 1.34 | 0.80 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 1.53 / Over | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Darell Hernaiz | Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels | Under 1.5 | 1.31 | 0.79 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 1.50 / Over | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
| Lawrence Butler | Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels | Under 1.5 | 1.28 | 0.77 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 1.50 / Over | 0.64 | lineup,pitcher_assessment | research_only_hrr_paused, missing_player_component_rates, component_side_conflicts_current_model |
Diagnostics only. HRR remains paused; these component projections are not used for recommendations.
| Grade | Signal | Type | Side | Game | Time (ET) | Line | Odds | Best Book / Line | Edge/Diff | Checks ✓!✗– | Rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ► GOOD ADDS | |||||||||||
| B | ✅ Good Add Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home back-to-back | Away back-to-back | Pitcher Hits All | Eduardo Rodriguez Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 5.5 | +103 | DK Under 5.5 +103 | exact | 25.4% | ✓✓!––! | GOOD ADD |
| ► PASSES | |||||||||||
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 0% (6 books) — strongly disagree | K Prop | Eduardo Rodriguez Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 5.5 | -139 | FanDuel Under 5.5 -130 | best price | 23.8% | ✓✓✗!–– | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 17% (6 books) — strongly disagree | K Prop | Jose Soriano Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 6.5 | -101 | FanDuel Over 6.5 +106 | best price | 13.0% | ✓!✗!–– | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.3% vs 17% min | K Prop | Luis Severino Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 5.5 | +118 | DK Under 5.5 +118 | exact | 4.3% | ✓✗!✓–– | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home back-to-back | Away back-to-back | Pitcher Outs | Luis Severino Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 17.5 | +112 | BetMGM Under 17.5 +115 | best price | 6.7% | ✓!!––! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.8% vs 10% min | Pitcher Outs | Eduardo Rodriguez Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 18.5 | -158 | DK Under 18.5 -158 | exact | 3.8% | ✓✗✓––! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 1.5% vs 10% min | Pitcher Outs | Jose Soriano Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 17.5 | -149 | BetOnline Over 17.5 -140 | best price | 1.5% | ✓✗✓––! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.1% vs 15% min | Pitcher Hits All | Luis Severino Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 5.5 | -156 | Bovada Direct Under 5.5 -140 | best price | 9.1% | ✓✗✗––! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 1 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Pitcher Walks | Luis Severino Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | -184 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -175 | best price | 77.3% | ✓✓✗––! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 1 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Pitcher Walks | Eduardo Rodriguez Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | -118 | DK Over 1.5 -118 | exact | 15.8% | ✓!✗––! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.0% vs 20% min | Pitcher Walks | Jose Soriano Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 2.5 | +105 | theScore Bet Under 2.5 +105 | best price | 2.0% | ✓✗✗––! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 1 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Pitcher Earned R | Jose Soriano Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 2.5 | -160 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -150 | best price | 16.0% | ✓!✗––! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 1 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Pitcher Earned R | Eduardo Rodriguez Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 2.5 | -123 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -120 | best price | 16.0% | ✓!✗––! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.0% vs 20% min | Pitcher Earned R | Luis Severino Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 2.5 | -117 | DK Under 2.5 -117 | exact | 4.0% | ✓✗✗––! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 40.2% vs 50% min | Batter Hits | Gabriel Moreno Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | -254 | DK Under 1.5 -254 | exact | 40.2% | ✓✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 38.1% vs 50% min | Batter Hits | Ketel Marte Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | -218 | DK Under 1.5 -218 | exact | 38.1% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.1% vs 50% min | Batter Hits | Corbin Carroll Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | -231 | theScore Bet Under 1.5 +220 | best price | 30.1% | ✓✗✓–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 2.9% vs 50% min | Batter Hits | Shea Langeliers Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | -269 | DK Under 1.5 -269 | exact | 2.9% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 1 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Batter Walks | Mike Trout Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -132 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 -120 | best price | 174.6% | ✓✓✗–✓! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 1 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Batter Walks | Nick Kurtz Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -227 | DK Over 0.5 -227 | exact | 136.8% | ✓✓✗–✓! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 1 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Batter Walks | Ildemaro Vargas Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -302 | DK Under 0.5 -302 | exact | 76.3% | ✓✓✗–✓! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 1 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Batter Walks | Jo Adell Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -364 | DK Under 0.5 -364 | exact | 63.6% | ✓✓✗–✓! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 1 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Batter Walks | Ezequiel Tovar Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -413 | DK Under 0.5 -413 | exact | 52.3% | ✓✓✗–✓! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 1 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Batter Walks | Zach Neto Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | +149 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 +150 | best price | 50.8% | ✓✓✗–✓! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 1 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Batter Walks | Hunter Goodman Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -331 | DK Under 0.5 -331 | exact | 44.5% | ✓!✗–✓! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 0 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Batter Walks | Troy Johnston Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -221 | DK Under 0.5 -221 | exact | 41.0% | ✓!✗–!! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 1 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Batter Walks | Adrian Del Castillo Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -207 | DK Under 0.5 -207 | exact | 40.4% | ✓!✗–!! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 1 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Batter Walks | Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -327 | DK Under 0.5 -327 | exact | 40.4% | ✓!✗–✓! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 1 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Batter Walks | Gabriel Moreno Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -163 | DK Under 0.5 -163 | exact | 40.4% | ✓!✗–!! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 0 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Batter Walks | Ryan Waldschmidt Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -233 | DK Under 0.5 -233 | exact | 40.4% | ✓!✗–!! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 1 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Batter Walks | Ketel Marte Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -137 | DK Under 0.5 -137 | exact | 39.6% | ✓!✗–✓! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 1 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Batter Walks | Willi Castro Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -305 | DK Under 0.5 -305 | exact | 35.4% | ✓!✗–✓! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 0 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Batter Walks | Jake McCarthy Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -261 | DK Under 0.5 -261 | exact | 35.4% | ✓!✗–✓! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 1 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Batter Walks | Jeff McNeil Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -271 | DK Under 0.5 -271 | exact | 31.8% | ✓!✗–!! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 1 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Batter Walks | Nolan Arenado Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -257 | DK Under 0.5 -257 | exact | 31.0% | ✓!✗–✓! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 1 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Batter Walks | Kyle Karros Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | +169 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 +185 | best price | 26.7% | ✓!✗–✓! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: Only 1 consensus book(s) with data — need ≥2 to be actionable | Batter Walks | Nolan Schanuel Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -183 | DK Under 0.5 -183 | exact | 26.5% | ✓!✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 25.1% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Geraldo Perdomo Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -107 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 -105 | best price | 25.1% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 20.8% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Corbin Carroll Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | +108 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 +110 | best price | 20.8% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.2% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Tyler Soderstrom Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -194 | DK Under 0.5 -194 | exact | 15.2% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Brent Rooker Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -217 | DK Under 0.5 -217 | exact | 12.0% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Darell Hernaiz Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -305 | DK Under 0.5 -305 | exact | 12.0% | ✓✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Lawrence Butler Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -185 | DK Under 0.5 -185 | exact | 12.0% | ✓✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Carlos Cortes Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -160 | DK Under 0.5 -160 | exact | 12.0% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 12.0% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Zack Gelof Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -223 | DK Under 0.5 -223 | exact | 12.0% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 10.6% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Tyler Freeman Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -292 | DK Under 0.5 -292 | exact | 10.6% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.2% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Vaughn Grissom Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -237 | DK Under 0.5 -237 | exact | 6.2% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.2% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Jose Siri Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -334 | DK Under 0.5 -334 | exact | 6.2% | ✓✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.2% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Sebastian Rivero Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -401 | DK Under 0.5 -401 | exact | 6.2% | ✓✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 6.2% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Adam Frazier Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -467 | DK Under 0.5 -467 | exact | 6.2% | ✓✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.5% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Shea Langeliers Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | +106 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 +110 | best price | 3.5% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.1% vs 30% min | Batter Walks | Josh Lowe Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -292 | DK Under 0.5 -292 | exact | 0.1% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| C | ⛔ Paused Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home back-to-back | Away back-to-back | Batter H+R+RBI | Shea Langeliers Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | -150 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -135 | best price | 107.2% | ✓✓✓–✓! | PASS |
| C | ⛔ Paused Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home back-to-back | Away back-to-back | Batter H+R+RBI | Ildemaro Vargas Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | -151 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -140 | best price | 97.5% | ✓✓✓–✓! | PASS |
| C | ⛔ Paused Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home back-to-back | Away back-to-back | Batter H+R+RBI | Mike Trout Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | -124 | BetOnline Over 1.5 -120 | best price | 70.9% | ✓✓✓–✓! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 33% (3 books) — strongly disagree | Batter H+R+RBI | Josh Lowe Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | +121 | DK Over 1.5 +121 | exact | 66.1% | ✓!✗–✓! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (4 books) — strongly disagree | Batter H+R+RBI | Nick Kurtz Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | -105 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 65.9% | ✓!✗–✓! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: DK agrees | books against us 25% (4 books) — strongly disagree | Batter H+R+RBI | Zach Neto Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | -119 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 42.8% | ✓!✗–✓! | PASS |
| C | ⛔ Paused Signal Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home back-to-back | Away back-to-back | Batter H+R+RBI | Nolan Arenado Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | -146 | DK Over 1.5 -146 | exact | 42.6% | ✓!✓–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 42.0% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Jo Adell Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | -109 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +100 | best price | 42.0% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 32.8% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Tyler Freeman Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | -120 | DK Over 1.5 -120 | exact | 32.8% | ✓✗✓–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 30.7% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Nolan Schanuel Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | -105 | DK Over 1.5 -105 | exact | 30.7% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Batting 8 — limited PA opportunity for an Over | Batter H+R+RBI | Troy Johnston Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | +128 | DK Over 1.5 +128 | exact | 29.4% | !✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 29.1% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Hunter Goodman Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | -111 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 29.1% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 16.7% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Tyler Soderstrom Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | +100 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +105 | best price | 16.7% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.8% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Ketel Marte Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 2.5 | -133 | theScore Bet Under 2.5 -130 | best price | 15.8% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 15.8% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Ezequiel Tovar Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | -128 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -110 | best price | 15.8% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 11.6% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | -151 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -140 | best price | 11.6% | ✓✗✓–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.6% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Geraldo Perdomo Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | -150 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -135 | best price | 9.6% | ✓✗✓–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 9.5% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Carlos Cortes Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | -110 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 9.5% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 8.9% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Willi Castro Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | -120 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -110 | best price | 8.9% | ✓✗✓–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 7.4% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Brent Rooker Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | -113 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -105 | best price | 7.4% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.3% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Zack Gelof Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | +122 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 5.3% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Batting 7 — limited PA opportunity for an Over | Batter H+R+RBI | Gabriel Moreno Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | -161 | theScore Bet Over 1.5 -140 | best price | 5.2% | !✗✓–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 5.2% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Vaughn Grissom Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | -112 | DK Over 1.5 -112 | exact | 5.2% | ✓✗!–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 4.8% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Jake McCarthy Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | +118 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 4.8% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 3.7% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Kyle Karros Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | -141 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -125 | best price | 3.7% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Batting 9 — limited PA opportunity for an Over | Batter H+R+RBI | Ryan Waldschmidt Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | -110 | DK Over 1.5 -110 | exact | 2.0% | !✗!–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Batting 8 — limited PA opportunity for an Over | Batter H+R+RBI | Adrian Del Castillo Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | +108 | DK Over 1.5 +108 | exact | 2.0% | !✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Batting 7 — limited PA opportunity for an Over | Batter H+R+RBI | Jeff McNeil Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | +122 | DK Over 1.5 +122 | exact | 1.3% | !✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 0.7% vs 50% min | Batter H+R+RBI | Corbin Carroll Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 2.5 | -138 | BetMGM Under 2.5 -135 | best price | 0.7% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Batting 8 — limited PA opportunity for an Over | Batter H+R+RBI | Darell Hernaiz Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | +130 | DK Over 1.5 +130 | exact | 0.0% | !✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Batting 9 — limited PA opportunity for an Over | Batter H+R+RBI | Lawrence Butler Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | +136 | BetMGM Over 0.5 -145 | alt rescue | 0.0% | !✗✗–!! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Projected PA (4.6) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Shea Langeliers Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | -102 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +115 | best price | 76.3% | !✓✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Projected PA (4.3) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Ildemaro Vargas Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | +122 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +128 | best price | 48.4% | !✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Projected PA (4.6) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Corbin Carroll Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | -124 | BetMGM Over 1.5 -115 | best price | 38.5% | !✗✓–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Projected PA (4.6) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Mike Trout Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | +117 | BetOnline Over 0.5 +128 | alt rescue | 36.9% | !✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 35.8% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Ezequiel Tovar Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | -190 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -175 | best price | 35.8% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Projected PA (4.5) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Hunter Goodman Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | +121 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +125 | best price | 15.6% | !✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Projected PA (4.6) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Tyler Freeman Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | +124 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +130 | best price | 14.9% | !✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: Insufficient model edge — diff_pct 14.8% vs 70% min | Batter Total Bas | Geraldo Perdomo Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | -163 | BetMGM Under 1.5 -160 | best price | 14.8% | ✓✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Projected PA (4.3) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Jo Adell Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | +131 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 +140 | alt rescue | 14.7% | !✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Projected PA (4.7) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Zach Neto Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | +118 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +145 | best price | 12.9% | !✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Projected PA (4.7) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Ketel Marte Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | -131 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 -130 | best price | 9.7% | !✗✓–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Batting 7 — limited PA opportunity for an Over | Projected PA (4.1) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Gabriel Moreno Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | +106 | BetOnline Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 8.7% | !✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Projected PA (4.7) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | +109 | BetOnline Over 0.5 +120 | alt rescue | 8.7% | !✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Projected PA (4.4) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Nolan Arenado Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | +117 | BetMGM Over 1.5 +120 | best price | 8.1% | !✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Projected PA (4.4) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Brent Rooker Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | +128 | BetMGM Over 0.5 -155 | alt rescue | 6.6% | !✗!–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Projected PA (4.7) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Carlos Cortes Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | +144 | theScore Bet Over 0.5 +150 | alt rescue | 6.6% | !✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Projected PA (4.7) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Willi Castro Over | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 1.5 | +150 | BetOnline Over 0.5 +139 | alt rescue | 6.1% | !✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Projected PA (4.4) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Vaughn Grissom Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | +133 | Bovada Direct Over 1.5 +150 | best price | 4.4% | !✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Baby Line: Projected PA (4.5) low relative to line (1.5) | Batter Total Bas | Nolan Schanuel Over | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 1.5 | +145 | DK Over 1.5 +145 | exact | 0.6% | !✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Game Script: Neutral run environment (1.00x) | Home back-to-back | Away back-to-back | F5 Total | Under 5.5 | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 5.5 | -135 | BetUS Under 5.5 -120 | best price | +8.5% | –✓!––! | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass Books Disagree: DK disagrees | books against us 0% (8 books) — strongly disagree | F5 ML | Colorado Rockies | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | - | +160 | draftkings +160 | +11.5% | –✓✗✓–! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 3.0 below 7.7 threshold | NRFI | NRFI | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | - | -111 | DraftKings -111 | -17.9% | –✗–––– | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: NRFI score 2.2 below 7.7 threshold | NRFI | NRFI | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | - | +104 | DraftKings +104 | -19.0% | –✗–––– | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass High NRFI/YRFI edge 28% (≥20%) — verify model inputs | YRFI | YRFI | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | - | -132 | DraftKings -132 | +28.1% | –––––– | PASS |
| C | ➖ Pass High NRFI/YRFI edge 27% (≥20%) — verify model inputs | YRFI | YRFI | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | - | -115 | DraftKings -115 | +26.8% | –––––– | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.020/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Ezequiel Tovar Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 95.8% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.020/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Kyle Karros Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 95.2% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Adam Frazier Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -4000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -4000 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Jose Siri Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Vaughn Grissom Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Sebastian Rivero Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 93.4% | –✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Willi Castro Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Jake McCarthy Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Lawrence Butler Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Zack Gelof Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -1600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1600 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Brent Rooker Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Darell Hernaiz Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -5000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -5000 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Carlos Cortes Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.3% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Ryan Waldschmidt Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.1% | –✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Gabriel Moreno Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -2000 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2000 | best price | 93.1% | –✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 93.1% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.030/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Adrian Del Castillo Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 93.1% | –✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.040/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Jeff McNeil Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -3500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -3500 | best price | 91.3% | –✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.050/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Geraldo Perdomo Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 90.7% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.050/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Troy Johnston Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 90.6% | –✗✗–!! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.070/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Nolan Schanuel Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -2500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2500 | best price | 86.1% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.110/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Tyler Soderstrom Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 78.3% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.130/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Tyler Freeman Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 74.5% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.160/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Ketel Marte Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 68.8% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.160/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Jo Adell Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 68.7% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.160/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Nolan Arenado Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -1200 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1200 | best price | 68.5% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.160/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Corbin Carroll Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 67.3% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.160/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Nick Kurtz Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -650 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -650 | best price | 67.2% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.170/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Zach Neto Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -800 | best price | 65.7% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.180/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Ildemaro Vargas Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -2800 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -2800 | best price | 64.6% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.230/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Hunter Goodman Under | ROC@DIA | 9:41 PM | 0.5 | -700 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -700 | best price | 53.5% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.300/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Mike Trout Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -500 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -500 | best price | 40.6% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.300/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Josh Lowe Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -1400 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -1400 | best price | 40.5% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
| D | ➖ Pass Weak Model Edge: HR proj 0.310/G < 0.5 threshold | Batter HR | Shea Langeliers Under | ATH@ANG | 9:39 PM | 0.5 | -600 | theScore Bet Under 0.5 -600 | best price | 39.0% | –✗✗–✓! | PASS |
✓ PASS ! WARN ✗ FAIL – N/A | Checks order: Baby Line · Model Edge · Books · Matchup · Role · Game Script